import numpy as np
np.random.seed(20)
x = np.linspace(0, 10, 1000)
y = 3 * x**2 - x + 5 + np.random.normal(scale=5, size=1000)
def normal_pdf(x, mean, std):
return (1 / (std * np.sqrt(2 * np.pi))) * np.exp(-(x - mean)**2 / (2 * std**2))
def model(x, a, b, c):
return a * x**2 + b * x + c
def monte_carlo_with_pdf(x, y, std_dev=5, iterations=10000, epsilon=1e-10):
# Initial values (can be random or zeros)
a, b, c = np.random.uniform(-1, 1, 3)
max_likelihood = -float('inf')
# Best coefficients initialization
best_a, best_b, best_c = a, b, c
for i in range(iterations):
# Proposal step: generate new candidate coefficients
a_new = a + np.random.normal(0, 0.5)
b_new = b + np.random.normal(0, 0.5)
c_new = c + np.random.normal(0, 0.5)
# Compute the predicted y values and the likelihood
y_pred_new = model(x, a_new, b_new, c_new)
pdf_values_new = normal_pdf(y, y_pred_new, std_dev)
likelihood_new = np.sum(np.log(pdf_values_new + epsilon))
# Compute the acceptance probability
y_pred = model(x, a, b, c)
pdf_values = normal_pdf(y, y_pred, std_dev)
likelihood = np.sum(np.log(pdf_values + epsilon))
acceptance_prob = np.exp(likelihood_new - likelihood)
print(f"Iteration {i}:")
print(f" Current coefficients: a = {a}, b = {b}, c = {c}")
print(f" Proposed coefficients: a_new = {a_new}, b_new = {b_new}, c_new = {c_new}")
print(f" Current likelihood: {likelihood}")
print(f" Proposed likelihood: {likelihood_new}")
print(f" Acceptance probability: {acceptance_prob}")
print(f" Max likelihood: {max_likelihood}")
print(f" Best coefficients so far: a = {best_a}, b = {best_b}, c = {best_c}")
# Accept or reject the new state
if likelihood_new > likelihood or np.random.uniform(0, 1) < acceptance_prob:
a, b, c = a_new, b_new, c_new
if likelihood_new > max_likelihood:
max_likelihood = likelihood_new
best_a, best_b, best_c = a_new, b_new, c_new
return best_a, best_b, best_c, max_likelihood
# Perform the Metropolis-Hastings simulation
best_a, best_b, best_c, max_likelihood = monte_carlo_with_pdf(x, y)
print(f"Best coefficients: a = {best_a}, b = {best_b}, c = {best_c}")
print(f"Maximum likelihood: {max_likelihood}")
Iteration 0:
Current coefficients: a = -0.8934011915936522, b = 0.23003567677045322, c = 0.35471512823859586
Proposed coefficients: a_new = -0.005369846107265541, b_new = -0.31927475572142094, c_new = 0.12231869085214575
Current likelihood: -18692.95269318287
Proposed likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Acceptance probability: 9.447626155560898e+173
Max likelihood: -inf
Best coefficients so far: a = -0.8934011915936522, b = 0.23003567677045322, c = 0.35471512823859586
Iteration 1:
Current coefficients: a = -0.005369846107265541, b = -0.31927475572142094, c = 0.12231869085214575
Proposed coefficients: a_new = -0.5066901260649739, b_new = -0.19927784137175114, c_new = 0.6992914992780269
Current likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Proposed likelihood: -18523.04642186484
Acceptance probability: 6.516784718546943e-101
Max likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Best coefficients so far: a = -0.005369846107265541, b = -0.31927475572142094, c = 0.12231869085214575
Iteration 2:
Current coefficients: a = -0.005369846107265541, b = -0.31927475572142094, c = 0.12231869085214575
Proposed coefficients: a_new = -0.26787154443756, b_new = -1.1852137488143968, c_new = -0.06822324490265796
Current likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Proposed likelihood: -18772.555357372006
Acceptance probability: 2.8423627177470935e-209
Max likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Best coefficients so far: a = -0.005369846107265541, b = -0.31927475572142094, c = 0.12231869085214575
Iteration 3:
Current coefficients: a = -0.005369846107265541, b = -0.31927475572142094, c = 0.12231869085214575
Proposed coefficients: a_new = -0.29123257973185906, b_new = -0.2144937582420942, c_new = 0.1694190722761333
Current likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Proposed likelihood: -18461.655573096206
Acceptance probability: 2.9904753980663852e-74
Max likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Best coefficients so far: a = -0.005369846107265541, b = -0.31927475572142094, c = 0.12231869085214575
Iteration 4:
Current coefficients: a = -0.005369846107265541, b = -0.31927475572142094, c = 0.12231869085214575
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.1563401278927679, b_new = -0.11773092972556307, c_new = 0.5936015749779204
Current likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Proposed likelihood: -18011.881722283444
Acceptance probability: 6.457162951243256e+121
Max likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Best coefficients so far: a = -0.005369846107265541, b = -0.31927475572142094, c = 0.12231869085214575
Iteration 5:
Current coefficients: a = 0.1563401278927679, b = -0.11773092972556307, c = 0.5936015749779204
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.04789163447662052, b_new = -0.12423556918351589, c_new = 0.49128540076076443
Current likelihood: -18011.881722283444
Proposed likelihood: -18125.695464230448
Acceptance probability: 3.726661164766975e-50
Max likelihood: -18011.881722283444
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.1563401278927679, b = -0.11773092972556307, c = 0.5936015749779204
Iteration 6:
Current coefficients: a = 0.1563401278927679, b = -0.11773092972556307, c = 0.5936015749779204
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.9084405575893189, b_new = 0.1850134604765092, c_new = 0.7863165498391853
Current likelihood: -18011.881722283444
Proposed likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Acceptance probability: inf
Max likelihood: -18011.881722283444
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.1563401278927679, b = -0.11773092972556307, c = 0.5936015749779204
Iteration 7:
Current coefficients: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.6866374694566684, b_new = 0.6927680100722196, c_new = 0.3936505934355968
Current likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Proposed likelihood: -17070.593656386285
Acceptance probability: 2.2734451487268207e-70
Max likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Iteration 8:
Current coefficients: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.0369015509667094, b_new = -0.6911977599763656, c_new = 0.7848248463469726
Current likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Proposed likelihood: -17165.742540479645
Acceptance probability: 1.0815563699192438e-111
Max likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Iteration 9:
Current coefficients: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.5476904896188441, b_new = 0.252037364066245, c_new = 1.334516963903598
Current likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Proposed likelihood: -17298.526161232017
Acceptance probability: 2.327316130443042e-169
Max likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Iteration 10:
Current coefficients: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.302457773681577, b_new = -0.2593696179580608, c_new = 0.6947123252838484
Current likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Proposed likelihood: -17908.212338817364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Iteration 11:
Current coefficients: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.8133216079028965, b_new = -0.5622497256154517, c_new = 0.4123593736830848
Current likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Proposed likelihood: -17494.592324370584
Acceptance probability: 1.6458969504340477e-254
Max likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Iteration 12:
Current coefficients: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.9699894235403768, b_new = 0.6825841479410897, c_new = 0.5918618599776512
Current likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Proposed likelihood: -16566.588493299125
Acceptance probability: 1.7512399661190856e+149
Max likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Iteration 13:
Current coefficients: a = 0.9699894235403768, b = 0.6825841479410897, c = 0.5918618599776512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.1861344054640044, b_new = 1.4442722414451785, c_new = 0.2355210918155119
Current likelihood: -16566.588493299125
Proposed likelihood: -15674.903060896035
Acceptance probability: inf
Max likelihood: -16566.588493299125
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.9699894235403768, b = 0.6825841479410897, c = 0.5918618599776512
Iteration 14:
Current coefficients: a = 1.1861344054640044, b = 1.4442722414451785, c = 0.2355210918155119
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.4560675349459513, b_new = 0.9429135931215028, c_new = 0.3732468085699362
Current likelihood: -15674.903060896035
Proposed likelihood: -17277.339149862986
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -15674.903060896035
Best coefficients so far: a = 1.1861344054640044, b = 1.4442722414451785, c = 0.2355210918155119
Iteration 15:
Current coefficients: a = 1.1861344054640044, b = 1.4442722414451785, c = 0.2355210918155119
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.1009781988617318, b_new = 2.2871365324937556, c_new = 1.0075147906116955
Current likelihood: -15674.903060896035
Proposed likelihood: -15129.848105084495
Acceptance probability: 5.180356441192951e+236
Max likelihood: -15674.903060896035
Best coefficients so far: a = 1.1861344054640044, b = 1.4442722414451785, c = 0.2355210918155119
Iteration 16:
Current coefficients: a = 1.1009781988617318, b = 2.2871365324937556, c = 1.0075147906116955
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.1292930126187324, b_new = 2.7080141300318523, c_new = 1.2698287674419586
Current likelihood: -15129.848105084495
Proposed likelihood: -14691.6846658093
Acceptance probability: 1.9586816244394945e+190
Max likelihood: -15129.848105084495
Best coefficients so far: a = 1.1009781988617318, b = 2.2871365324937556, c = 1.0075147906116955
Iteration 17:
Current coefficients: a = 1.1292930126187324, b = 2.7080141300318523, c = 1.2698287674419586
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.288202976271521, b_new = 3.423844216039427, c_new = 1.1623256172360625
Current likelihood: -14691.6846658093
Proposed likelihood: -13624.286752101445
Acceptance probability: inf
Max likelihood: -14691.6846658093
Best coefficients so far: a = 1.1292930126187324, b = 2.7080141300318523, c = 1.2698287674419586
Iteration 18:
Current coefficients: a = 1.288202976271521, b = 3.423844216039427, c = 1.1623256172360625
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.339752030703175, b_new = 4.119207113367844, c_new = 0.3449010707156648
Current likelihood: -13624.286752101445
Proposed likelihood: -12981.903019236197
Acceptance probability: 9.631866350539832e+278
Max likelihood: -13624.286752101445
Best coefficients so far: a = 1.288202976271521, b = 3.423844216039427, c = 1.1623256172360625
Iteration 19:
Current coefficients: a = 1.339752030703175, b = 4.119207113367844, c = 0.3449010707156648
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.4666706261175748, b_new = 4.994077823544239, c_new = 0.4642288322894241
Current likelihood: -12981.903019236197
Proposed likelihood: -11474.081764742597
Acceptance probability: inf
Max likelihood: -12981.903019236197
Best coefficients so far: a = 1.339752030703175, b = 4.119207113367844, c = 0.3449010707156648
Iteration 20:
Current coefficients: a = 1.4666706261175748, b = 4.994077823544239, c = 0.4642288322894241
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9227361188823016, b_new = 4.395837256269017, c_new = 0.9870432595603233
Current likelihood: -11474.081764742597
Proposed likelihood: -8546.278650763628
Acceptance probability: inf
Max likelihood: -11474.081764742597
Best coefficients so far: a = 1.4666706261175748, b = 4.994077823544239, c = 0.4642288322894241
Iteration 21:
Current coefficients: a = 1.9227361188823016, b = 4.395837256269017, c = 0.9870432595603233
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.156716609463295, b_new = 3.8870670423590443, c_new = -0.039255255365232555
Current likelihood: -8546.278650763628
Proposed likelihood: -6727.198041042742
Acceptance probability: inf
Max likelihood: -8546.278650763628
Best coefficients so far: a = 1.9227361188823016, b = 4.395837256269017, c = 0.9870432595603233
Iteration 22:
Current coefficients: a = 2.156716609463295, b = 3.8870670423590443, c = -0.039255255365232555
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4548857978166287, b_new = 3.5888471325121154, c_new = -0.2066653302499352
Current likelihood: -6727.198041042742
Proposed likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Acceptance probability: inf
Max likelihood: -6727.198041042742
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.156716609463295, b = 3.8870670423590443, c = -0.039255255365232555
Iteration 23:
Current coefficients: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8193441943612707, b_new = 2.5487806768111962, c_new = -0.5775071224606401
Current likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Proposed likelihood: -4322.300823850408
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Iteration 24:
Current coefficients: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8454024715067545, b_new = 4.169645288793293, c_new = -0.7212463656319134
Current likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Proposed likelihood: -9511.871931629703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Iteration 25:
Current coefficients: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.025342127552577, b_new = 4.393460333686794, c_new = -0.40780849381353435
Current likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Proposed likelihood: -13162.588570414962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Iteration 26:
Current coefficients: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6911705106695591, b_new = 3.643662066259061, c_new = -0.3958697370272726
Current likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Proposed likelihood: -11760.274465345876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Iteration 27:
Current coefficients: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5417211932539916, b_new = 4.181174945757689, c_new = -0.11866849196860334
Current likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Proposed likelihood: -12001.628690032936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Iteration 28:
Current coefficients: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.50969631753759, b_new = 3.467001700357397, c_new = 0.49572645632368206
Current likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Proposed likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Acceptance probability: 2.213035725164594e+50
Max likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Iteration 29:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4965468931640817, b_new = 2.9330964583454606, c_new = 0.7720463328503611
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -3546.1203973286847
Acceptance probability: 4.13030177310155e-77
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 30:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.736456397673527, b_new = 3.1755236236891298, c_new = 0.45186895747728556
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -11817.549518628499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 31:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6305736603222862, b_new = 2.983253968348212, c_new = 0.5525493718766086
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -3389.77252613431
Acceptance probability: 3.288512528786806e-09
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 32:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2352773323151482, b_new = 4.38244088753115, c_new = 1.6040238116220011
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -4591.467141756841
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 33:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6884167054364854, b_new = 3.2512710341886457, c_new = 1.2643353164646187
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -4367.164171911224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 34:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9881848188062805, b_new = 3.1500588462397583, c_new = 0.6922025493477659
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -9783.500728795196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 35:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.920626933005847, b_new = 3.251120582441752, c_new = -0.5490616231149381
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -8342.853525902814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 36:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.288848507850576, b_new = 2.5589960840008237, c_new = 0.5423452629261488
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -7117.976452561931
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 37:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5726845097261024, b_new = 3.993477130054202, c_new = 0.5208944332635812
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -4097.72214663381
Acceptance probability: 1.1438942e-316
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 38:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6316477078312226, b_new = 2.9161782973457555, c_new = 0.621576555312448
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Acceptance probability: 1987663.552083062
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 39:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6598599896519595, b_new = 2.888832622791338, c_new = 0.9675949065742955
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -3524.909623724877
Acceptance probability: 3.3834584119840347e-74
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 40:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.425154749999456, b_new = 2.9961892009101843, c_new = 0.8030619771338298
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -4129.917988867131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 41:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3417483321148587, b_new = 3.1481738080774537, c_new = -0.11596105118933264
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -13775.38711222003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 42:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0924882484702176, b_new = 2.043096645893403, c_new = 0.022170981024838388
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -8823.384776656743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 43:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3401425931913558, b_new = 3.6447327572256345, c_new = 0.14446854801062864
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -14419.865821986621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 44:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.411481367202703, b_new = 3.3069623435131668, c_new = 0.6298143749323344
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -3947.3861091917374
Acceptance probability: 1.1224176065975844e-257
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 45:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8368069960629803, b_new = 2.440042156143725, c_new = -0.4073156402834931
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -4406.531649710873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 46:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8450606220787065, b_new = 3.1635056641844983, c_new = 0.4540084568304093
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -6657.458988033798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 47:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7514546752393474, b_new = 3.0214793446801695, c_new = 1.5258450982576808
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -15725.407299261959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 48:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.595868084951422, b_new = 2.3789079306266405, c_new = 0.9370911146805467
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Acceptance probability: 1.3880678611194517e+30
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 49:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2976860658027363, b_new = 3.5461139797500514, c_new = 0.2995745141730465
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -5107.641741588437
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 50:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4038210988376267, b_new = 2.1846558061491366, c_new = 0.9591523199187367
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -13210.448903100429
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 51:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4311592038976695, b_new = 2.1541671242190157, c_new = 1.404936241784303
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -5307.336096708999
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 52:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2372823964714126, b_new = 2.3408207927362965, c_new = 1.2770238333498034
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -12190.53991790789
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 53:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.833234490718314, b_new = 2.3273186420288927, c_new = 0.6414835377728909
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -4417.168329372238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 54:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6661367842816963, b_new = 2.2142243509764117, c_new = 1.002383044783787
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -14644.922114293957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 55:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.501076305179805, b_new = 2.5955999987607905, c_new = 1.930476209041244
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -3684.8006867330955
Acceptance probability: 8.854086770194754e-174
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 56:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4906062130195785, b_new = 2.864104646040294, c_new = -0.46974167803638545
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -3762.4657147097523
Acceptance probability: 1.6506336203318887e-207
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 57:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5151194313976375, b_new = 2.462588458758446, c_new = 0.4807754246320844
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -3833.2293872914033
Acceptance probability: 3.0575823674266624e-238
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 58:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.449722260000047, b_new = 3.028048301621009, c_new = 1.3823464830085426
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -3792.0304751050085
Acceptance probability: 2.3869228840326865e-220
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 59:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9671034547803474, b_new = 2.5711592504361125, c_new = 1.50655407462828
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -8213.027844551742
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 60:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.17259806562582, b_new = 1.6541991617144278, c_new = 1.1452522319063656
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -9819.520981367325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 61:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5304694204629, b_new = 2.7617340658059533, c_new = 0.5357574942347585
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -3449.6848613212696
Acceptance probability: 1.13932954139696e-71
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 62:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.335837952470371, b_new = 3.038776502060913, c_new = 0.6207321454229743
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -5350.568631257091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 63:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.541036278997892, b_new = 1.7360589878785095, c_new = 1.4514070838921
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -4356.963985650038
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 64:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.173487959883442, b_new = 1.9220685192501912, c_new = 0.9693671577584421
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -9753.454487090372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 65:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7699068060311234, b_new = 1.964710640741599, c_new = 1.0494039928953844
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -12860.013882058194
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 66:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.741815273603052, b_new = 1.2235003928955164, c_new = 0.7098046779712512
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Acceptance probability: 1.235400309063301e+47
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 67:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.541025064643887, b_new = 1.2245091912439265, c_new = 0.8527201392135442
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -5519.75149257499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 68:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8836308675284137, b_new = 1.6702985810806048, c_new = 0.5564665700159994
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -3921.025804795523
Acceptance probability: 2e-323
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 69:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3921788856547543, b_new = 1.7616861385473652, c_new = 0.3200926763982603
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -12353.939991640098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 70:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6949877506780204, b_new = 0.9803382376167245, c_new = 1.4683489257032276
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -3601.2383429850042
Acceptance probability: 1.39959007088399e-184
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 71:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.929170643439233, b_new = 1.32762576055954, c_new = 1.8368801050775194
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -4211.2911128778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 72:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5302441837974934, b_new = 1.1700086462360446, c_new = 0.6584048320390707
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -5912.148895745799
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 73:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.677823001948795, b_new = 0.8969898226872927, c_new = 0.686783059872607
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -4046.4818393497635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 74:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.061007943875164, b_new = 0.9978850891832584, c_new = 1.446631555612181
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -5589.696103966988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 75:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.468820059295937, b_new = 0.8321855729040145, c_new = 0.3647933233117343
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -8039.9085170844955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 76:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.772073715761781, b_new = 1.7860516281002288, c_new = 0.47525382858690013
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -3187.06918707356
Acceptance probability: 0.00010408300915590082
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 77:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7135393122644875, b_new = 1.4077482566277015, c_new = 0.5486586300395465
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -13957.744909863924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 78:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4307540640223384, b_new = 0.7936049044322221, c_new = 1.3757800273592173
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -11487.963709355416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 79:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8514426052721515, b_new = 1.8174360036889212, c_new = 0.515251267174841
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -3774.7704166690473
Acceptance probability: 6.053113517987777e-260
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 80:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6988880938391127, b_new = 1.5690089869571415, c_new = 0.9073632777652824
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -3186.773838740043
Acceptance probability: 0.00013984533742370154
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 81:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.268657144049567, b_new = 0.8339166587386425, c_new = 0.5824086806774056
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -10760.39811076887
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 82:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3158832136523237, b_new = 0.5940297786376884, c_new = 0.7565965077952288
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -10610.919410237151
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 83:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.532575736431837, b_new = 1.6445891445069496, c_new = 0.4846010773789197
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -4876.954503878784
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 84:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4957563341944367, b_new = 0.6291487608613823, c_new = -0.43133874087064394
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -8382.206574676948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 85:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9959884221709188, b_new = 1.6272899345514604, c_new = 0.7122336443713688
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -5655.941990286883
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 86:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4311805624514418, b_new = 0.8939945280056023, c_new = 0.14896924441714332
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -8626.086591214485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 87:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4207275709209024, b_new = 0.5984474542363419, c_new = 0.3580679954778184
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -9386.492482295169
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 88:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2467046705277016, b_new = 0.8403129420331517, c_new = 0.8875562581427076
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -8965.955364611793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 89:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.747032722638499, b_new = 1.4338887886316838, c_new = 0.25893372828494293
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Acceptance probability: 2.2171184535736546e+28
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 90:
Current coefficients: a = 2.747032722638499, b = 1.4338887886316838, c = 0.25893372828494293
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6346624634877482, b_new = 1.1636873125470557, c_new = 0.7127103142646265
Current likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Proposed likelihood: -4175.205470149221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.747032722638499, b = 1.4338887886316838, c = 0.25893372828494293
Iteration 91:
Current coefficients: a = 2.747032722638499, b = 1.4338887886316838, c = 0.25893372828494293
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.014610381610918, b_new = 1.8371200359687119, c_new = 0.9237244388918657
Current likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Proposed likelihood: -6733.585272807961
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.747032722638499, b = 1.4338887886316838, c = 0.25893372828494293
Iteration 92:
Current coefficients: a = 2.747032722638499, b = 1.4338887886316838, c = 0.25893372828494293
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8096709452957986, b_new = 1.7122954561911432, c_new = 0.8725089990526269
Current likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Proposed likelihood: -3361.368597690477
Acceptance probability: 9.425810690095417e-109
Max likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.747032722638499, b = 1.4338887886316838, c = 0.25893372828494293
Iteration 93:
Current coefficients: a = 2.747032722638499, b = 1.4338887886316838, c = 0.25893372828494293
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7651427621226903, b_new = 1.7082175899038141, c_new = -0.24341789063336522
Current likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Proposed likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Acceptance probability: 93.13423019348791
Max likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.747032722638499, b = 1.4338887886316838, c = 0.25893372828494293
Iteration 94:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1430938011618688, b_new = 0.7477783886245394, c_new = -2.145344426777186
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -5527.237905574088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 95:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8889146901976277, b_new = 1.0053295089908647, c_new = -0.37243066877215114
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -3183.860424521975
Acceptance probability: 1.2474682001966383e-33
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 96:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1602181885967022, b_new = 1.5483278700482221, c_new = -0.8460568076964765
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -8499.767344170685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 97:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.033095830453036, b_new = 1.350872407738259, c_new = -0.13974304404438023
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -12278.509800727012
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 98:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4133190271966454, b_new = 1.9199573051615495, c_new = -0.01400528051100522
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -12652.666852588827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 99:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4780177395645024, b_new = 0.5106206506370403, c_new = -0.21153790993355434
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -8906.43873339883
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 100:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9729184092895404, b_new = 1.4011513884992202, c_new = -0.32952371507212785
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -4446.04808595388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 101:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2969107781270455, b_new = 1.5251217520928253, c_new = -0.34867260715114173
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -9415.463541842717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 102:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5869630606650498, b_new = 2.073990452213529, c_new = 0.24154801987736146
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -13968.493260151907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 103:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.297228023568275, b_new = 1.3767341221527734, c_new = -0.14746152488269082
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -9637.479813636168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 104:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2854411423268015, b_new = 2.196100557560083, c_new = 0.5031553198876426
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -7932.5822986067105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 105:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.450561151402773, b_new = 1.6833685363006892, c_new = -0.3002404535662181
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -6520.750897880553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 106:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6438327505804824, b_new = 2.0502494368859665, c_new = -0.5337086912021988
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -3299.777876392635
Acceptance probability: 5.671785263851184e-84
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 107:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8635524872353133, b_new = 1.6617010236972047, c_new = -0.47777268185948496
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -3538.0938295892793
Acceptance probability: 1.7964550587819255e-187
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 108:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6929679155675514, b_new = 1.6533504069191496, c_new = -0.04728213539404921
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -3235.721172388389
Acceptance probability: 3.7427675707389744e-56
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 109:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.33915922080149, b_new = 1.3936530669149447, c_new = -0.40325952354896333
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -11064.458832269705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 110:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.224136003675752, b_new = 1.500769774637503, c_new = -0.20746432379243554
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -9821.649669439732
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 111:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.185089328055845, b_new = 2.1968913194986275, c_new = -0.3455086812535507
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -10763.288812162737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 112:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.42641721529467, b_new = 1.9337931284865135, c_new = -1.085180450835901
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -12494.604624179514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 113:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.549887274614566, b_new = 1.7746272474804836, c_new = -0.07355836092680448
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -4507.0541116296845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 114:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0476203122597494, b_new = 1.1421150829967925, c_new = 0.2811465780383288
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -5314.360322748584
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 115:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0679437304198585, b_new = 1.2305621570028011, c_new = 1.282655812038067
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -6304.861415568919
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 116:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9770691951958144, b_new = 1.9537096911736056, c_new = -0.7071699079115863
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -5637.10503948742
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 117:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6634910462684505, b_new = 2.9725665880098124, c_new = -0.17339639190305528
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -3453.744946188591
Acceptance probability: 7.703196435205175e-151
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 118:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1038520933243623, b_new = 1.4934685346299301, c_new = -0.3851196011989654
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -7254.717563171849
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 119:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9439251180893167, b_new = 1.2014856137556489, c_new = 0.19261608149585163
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -3847.814176229956
Acceptance probability: 5.53e-322
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 120:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.091757162692876, b_new = 1.4155930887540924, c_new = 0.4241272422426849
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -11558.024683880249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 121:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.120651773254885, b_new = 1.812108809373301, c_new = -0.536954892161474
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -8526.439932842799
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 122:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.460136993142025, b_new = 1.6217448442445468, c_new = -0.8276666558746775
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -6678.696667725799
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 123:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.816102942565064, b_new = 1.372235885760057, c_new = 0.4864605820662406
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -13413.292517045997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 124:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.625439426575901, b_new = 1.3606055589265296, c_new = 0.36618094257060124
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -4061.2196051552655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 125:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.726018311964349, b_new = 1.5915702490561983, c_new = -0.20547449024020048
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -3145.626703556287
Acceptance probability: 5.020228925120817e-17
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 126:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0485090687454557, b_new = 2.1669252414300915, c_new = -0.036550307835374884
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -10930.375266439001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 127:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.506637114810342, b_new = 0.6429024088125497, c_new = 0.34659633848113164
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -7826.621319848926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 128:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4240187240352884, b_new = 0.9393203474405267, c_new = -0.1412752073467693
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -8749.28234365428
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 129:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6231371880460608, b_new = 1.538371453277629, c_new = -0.8281219656668801
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -4080.5809913702333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 130:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.774264533554854, b_new = 1.4068041978849446, c_new = -0.15639938024301928
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Acceptance probability: 341789681.0340993
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 131:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7624962822442782, b_new = 1.7619106644301308, c_new = 0.4079187593852929
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13286.242610599244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 132:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.725925429893962, b_new = 1.7482484925414268, c_new = -0.7647061532555144
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3131.355447603159
Acceptance probability: 2.3168199548328913e-19
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 133:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.04920612034431, b_new = 1.2886769731043244, c_new = -0.9505973510166386
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5329.364632862265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 134:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0001464034015424, b_new = 1.319321425153857, c_new = -0.4595143525780465
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4674.490071447404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 135:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1995167241832867, b_new = 0.9763109418720677, c_new = 0.2537767559098061
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11335.948651772169
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 136:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.292572624248989, b_new = 1.3862354953365017, c_new = -0.1405603329762183
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9676.004564836574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 137:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.206768037251051, b_new = 1.63925341417207, c_new = -0.6487582265284522
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9709.767118664575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 138:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.618199953177494, b_new = 1.4073719646970249, c_new = 0.29416494044802743
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13412.94124491527
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 139:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5236834794160274, b_new = 0.7044517887602015, c_new = -0.08994086744985845
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -7510.946266563498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 140:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9516162282106997, b_new = 2.021085102892151, c_new = -0.5888384785048535
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5349.575890062237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 141:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7414483179723934, b_new = 1.7590484172795202, c_new = 0.32581536658242316
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3105.3374035986562
Acceptance probability: 4.6172695220874175e-08
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 142:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.467529754084326, b_new = 2.0412501473878697, c_new = 0.06915046183391632
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5275.716119332592
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 143:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7087530845378884, b_new = 1.763488991433075, c_new = 0.4692831066021077
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3122.543124648003
Acceptance probability: 1.5560928861650254e-15
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 144:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6730071589198765, b_new = 0.8524457019921702, c_new = -0.4047378091607087
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12932.136592396966
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 145:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.924352148229864, b_new = 1.9982522724130538, c_new = 0.22375466542626812
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5052.07711622533
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 146:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.050030707972755, b_new = 1.9117109726145984, c_new = 0.1082688062232405
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -7464.756455775609
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 147:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.092586890300324, b_new = 1.2326600127437342, c_new = 0.47233078470475176
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -6557.7599997345205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 148:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4307383059177954, b_new = 0.9691326888654702, c_new = -1.1531507746783798
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11093.558437921354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 149:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8555334613107055, b_new = 1.6062209100853773, c_new = -0.41821207100735736
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3425.6463405667046
Acceptance probability: 3.597339253571768e-147
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 150:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.210464365581147, b_new = 0.846878292987337, c_new = 0.5283208561574613
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -8108.788193520857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 151:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.587786881159852, b_new = 1.9348742776703398, c_new = -0.1699852351059595
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3805.296334445208
Acceptance probability: 4.7433372136e-312
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 152:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2019865035219666, b_new = 2.082306576554405, c_new = -0.44317921122047244
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -10718.493590482838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 153:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.306334081315961, b_new = 1.7038412178447282, c_new = 0.03701312153389394
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11388.581004185631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 154:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.795072475742878, b_new = 1.7638689026370316, c_new = 0.28346522754908277
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3256.2097016062744
Acceptance probability: 1.3847734535784264e-73
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 155:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.979758532246533, b_new = 1.5544485593554305, c_new = -0.7806243281851454
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4743.664003211599
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 156:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7195716768674623, b_new = 1.3304479761435146, c_new = 0.3897909946726651
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3250.727968694533
Acceptance probability: 3.3270941007130205e-71
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 157:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.269100935511975, b_new = 1.8996336487601022, c_new = -0.27519646294711536
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11241.769063105312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 158:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2367054105842556, b_new = 0.8833509537354921, c_new = -0.5455318836902436
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11400.142711783623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 159:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.565700669401664, b_new = 2.440231174919827, c_new = 0.9576157749368093
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3404.1931854746235
Acceptance probability: 7.46394228525594e-138
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 160:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.096095969084596, b_new = 1.5913802386198137, c_new = 0.5719707382564788
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -7756.333683035544
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 161:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1992137737109214, b_new = 1.1319714242206786, c_new = -0.18502837166903968
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -8402.221940442847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 162:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.506598740295223, b_new = 0.6023859153030021, c_new = -0.584395204088607
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -8314.652030175084
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 163:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.485131167006308, b_new = 1.0151365393559881, c_new = 0.43572275767051505
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -7250.62015499164
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 164:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1768303973333794, b_new = 1.5571292061433557, c_new = -0.20005007602630165
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9113.913013508172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 165:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5349754417927515, b_new = 1.4330714302857628, c_new = 0.4981905145953348
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12982.428008040672
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 166:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7258956666782925, b_new = 0.5944827430320413, c_new = 0.3009839348173172
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4007.5771608292134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 167:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7531458438183263, b_new = 0.3802373861196773, c_new = -0.3566678951732315
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4175.1031371125355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 168:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.289264762108247, b_new = 2.142850429616919, c_new = 0.22355418238640898
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12024.979184194672
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 169:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2541701629055435, b_new = 1.0173610952251306, c_new = -0.4618604106923049
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9076.132843482224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 170:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9338062547030312, b_new = 1.5149646468029687, c_new = -0.738039201213777
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4027.8411343633775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 171:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4771375297321017, b_new = 0.45928790993016255, c_new = 0.4229006791359319
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11134.076179064232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 172:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.896706778582096, b_new = 1.9641036581616855, c_new = -1.514061670989606
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4129.93144531259
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 173:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.845503211427915, b_new = 0.16098029209932707, c_new = 0.17530907148556743
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13258.70694094937
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 174:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2161732632272537, b_new = 2.086985446257339, c_new = -0.006405384457358526
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11062.257291064021
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 175:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.514011416721484, b_new = 0.8936278449345632, c_new = 0.3289536152840655
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -7041.164303064514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 176:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2642919457085275, b_new = 1.7672470657394284, c_new = 0.7498693270362123
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9004.477904583677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 177:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.250097428440346, b_new = 1.7889309302701015, c_new = -0.2747992755250431
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9476.033715913662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 178:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.938549983782455, b_new = 1.1987809232364046, c_new = -0.6196161602592719
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3664.0839414820293
Acceptance probability: 1.0088974884428959e-250
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 179:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3007554436129833, b_new = 1.1654948061619474, c_new = -0.9397490954423052
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -10002.38486460789
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 180:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7768218805941096, b_new = 0.740460645208444, c_new = 0.20823699602934295
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3362.022491383639
Acceptance probability: 1.539813115049927e-119
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 181:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0781626584631026, b_new = 1.010631145166695, c_new = 0.34894780516761315
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5603.9717012375495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 182:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.573874883867862, b_new = 1.8404078243772388, c_new = -0.2571702272795272
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13530.333305561824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 183:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5284558123689753, b_new = 0.8985618806046154, c_new = -0.019923336206841114
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12109.051721676205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 184:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.994292283324274, b_new = 1.2360119767050084, c_new = -0.6749549950424848
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12860.688739409445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 185:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.437953463068256, b_new = 0.8154504270553101, c_new = -0.06144793231080946
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11198.107064731399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 186:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0406155904007384, b_new = 1.0355060389173305, c_new = -0.3041494057748445
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4792.64596062249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 187:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.807956140195599, b_new = 1.0959994217937854, c_new = -0.3843188678937818
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13984.159230674095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 188:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5996159976061812, b_new = 0.8714473910123308, c_new = 0.2046836397253425
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5466.081467174119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 189:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4780519167048056, b_new = 1.5094877186492768, c_new = 0.32458452489579037
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -6203.618509383253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 190:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7412650649737014, b_new = 0.5534222356246168, c_new = -0.6247322728116961
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12947.96068198428
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 191:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7713483797568355, b_new = 1.9540521935939341, c_new = -0.3657821326869286
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3217.7623882133134
Acceptance probability: 6.899772636943739e-57
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 192:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.195841439520097, b_new = 0.6247397962266062, c_new = -0.06343399266565047
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -14969.087214987307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 193:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8938197167995074, b_new = 1.3930812360679476, c_new = -0.5758493319654804
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13256.578533559103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 194:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9412866887933538, b_new = 1.54797367794643, c_new = 0.3681557738570914
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4423.65517116091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 195:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3109830533133278, b_new = 1.8560531043069406, c_new = -0.3428001012728867
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11587.847832085528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 196:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4270809417872714, b_new = 0.8557228731926935, c_new = -0.09641574350701165
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -8878.401930377488
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 197:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1228028919883584, b_new = 0.8253646575470648, c_new = -0.5860425665151281
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5745.176571704784
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 198:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5435620604597875, b_new = 1.3252817095123344, c_new = -0.8065895680841972
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5791.457525155964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 199:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.786754573414354, b_new = 1.9673663954391887, c_new = -0.5771040173090454
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3281.2863380149347
Acceptance probability: 1.7812870576456554e-84
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 200:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.234627311868824, b_new = 1.2634508008972598, c_new = 0.7539399613838328
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9769.167015784837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 201:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.864982737556543, b_new = 1.004783666325049, c_new = 1.1021224101653535
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3163.0758267855945
Acceptance probability: 3.880669365955252e-33
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 202:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7167067887033762, b_new = 0.5394008891039977, c_new = 0.17397993073896614
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4249.101484668908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 203:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.600481972012079, b_new = 2.4875170839919645, c_new = -0.8769556744276715
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3306.0419693202584
Acceptance probability: 3.1586378884796986e-95
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 204:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.629611202327465, b_new = 1.1999736796912663, c_new = -0.5666797407703125
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13040.772935922667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 205:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3006503892896477, b_new = 1.663618603566794, c_new = -0.05732024941535735
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -8986.255155449056
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 206:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.173123893462796, b_new = 0.7806784727295432, c_new = -0.09056042509198435
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -6871.626356467204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 207:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6029223727866615, b_new = 0.9417837510287299, c_new = 0.05005754238203339
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12702.181007513622
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 208:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.681160650370532, b_new = 1.7604870102975858, c_new = 0.46669779903472475
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3201.5673100186104
Acceptance probability: 7.4519146817808805e-50
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 209:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.680395068673301, b_new = 1.220882965135206, c_new = 1.2893125224962305
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3504.1066989676247
Acceptance probability: 3.0274759024011016e-181
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 210:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5764264729293016, b_new = 1.1681893803010388, c_new = -0.3759846184979177
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5398.975387054834
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 211:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.221194523414559, b_new = 1.2848999111967179, c_new = 0.21813027811938593
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9393.959575670968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 212:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7130824687634743, b_new = 1.6122533773941885, c_new = 0.008771304044613126
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3167.661894212197
Acceptance probability: 3.955513447382249e-35
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 213:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.772964699720132, b_new = 1.5969582049941764, c_new = 0.4077491220631184
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -14374.418105229448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 214:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.275459940319137, b_new = 1.9822015566508073, c_new = -0.0005161532844979722
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11543.825011973164
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 215:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.746938074854599, b_new = 1.096365703431424, c_new = 0.16619516272514875
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3276.700148958007
Acceptance probability: 1.747795081416269e-82
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 216:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.500386096333319, b_new = 1.163195569666888, c_new = -0.2513236366342718
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -6837.97399389708
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 217:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6218759137419685, b_new = 1.6939651933365065, c_new = 0.32420275943670274
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3667.8407153844773
Acceptance probability: 2.3566813518739535e-252
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 218:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3624486365991415, b_new = 2.0554639172106337, c_new = 0.10980106911441709
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12489.518619772814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 219:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.736883236278141, b_new = 1.543541189703931, c_new = -0.4785014128586843
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3145.369932392562
Acceptance probability: 1.8987984755293144e-25
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 220:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8915319276328533, b_new = 1.7412127659623429, c_new = 0.38193490058640567
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4091.7030849644675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 221:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.483752037862744, b_new = 1.7848255172106064, c_new = -0.03264798080528615
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5574.842124213472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 222:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0427285814337366, b_new = 1.4559685742464914, c_new = -0.6502394406432102
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12215.804093337396
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 223:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.58498359044138, b_new = 1.2623502468108176, c_new = 0.1120044364527624
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4890.203921452891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 224:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2020820042952947, b_new = 1.0166187352711553, c_new = -0.10333433900831368
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -8170.317646186959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 225:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9028735882001793, b_new = 0.6350711569217428, c_new = -0.8408571065610326
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3117.3533679637326
Acceptance probability: 2.7920179605343854e-13
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 226:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.567907103089798, b_new = 1.1958941478283345, c_new = 0.2015981490677203
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5302.027053063336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 227:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5147347933863426, b_new = 1.6932377389410984, c_new = -0.05625314605629497
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5231.653051957119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 228:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.273443119198407, b_new = 0.6525443626041698, c_new = 0.10791944135500112
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11201.631614775804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 229:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.909958799971836, b_new = 1.473408696262695, c_new = 0.2830343085025786
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12817.148894078207
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 230:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.465278445844381, b_new = 1.5545618474393, c_new = -0.7135138653982355
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -6705.014005269216
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 231:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6557840364848455, b_new = 0.8926761848617188, c_new = 0.2564477059127789
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13023.059578658418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 232:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6009282898099553, b_new = 1.8858296303063444, c_new = -0.27990615384713635
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3747.808979119408
Acceptance probability: 4.390613393199223e-287
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 233:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.130691363466071, b_new = 1.7230746223735327, c_new = -0.30467058428995286
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -8578.884036076077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 234:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7633060483055245, b_new = 0.7246931982095106, c_new = 0.18237258992349817
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3482.0142636159403
Acceptance probability: 1.1904288955136567e-171
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 235:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.511189046554977, b_new = 2.4729295548241446, c_new = -0.39407817579572463
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3997.3533207421924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 236:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.517931216616512, b_new = 2.442776641014664, c_new = -1.3268439917269772
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13656.019451772103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 237:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.263194079426283, b_new = 1.1322438602795113, c_new = -0.8325050726411461
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9386.23723528563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 238:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8574539498607923, b_new = 1.286887206543881, c_new = -1.0635134448637897
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3173.5546233595974
Acceptance probability: 1.091498424661054e-37
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 239:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0724120581369796, b_new = 1.618970155020829, c_new = 0.7221303872763806
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -7347.286304089351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 240:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6589093075002, b_new = 1.7031400369909329, c_new = -0.45631255007250404
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3453.1863270371578
Acceptance probability: 3.940190693251669e-159
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 241:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.087784180622752, b_new = 2.42849388077756, c_new = -0.12434135141241659
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -10146.660230702731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 242:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4085987733522463, b_new = 1.2272239562984966, c_new = 0.11812156276349486
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11625.3577943723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 243:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5949039720991052, b_new = 1.0628321027609626, c_new = -0.2998281359310267
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -14851.097961321913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 244:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.050870975266978, b_new = 0.8115731698234444, c_new = -0.3642939927590948
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12952.461618042984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 245:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7703128879480245, b_new = 1.544476761809225, c_new = -0.018886838248447974
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Acceptance probability: 0.5088737123133252
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 246:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6091761592460982, b_new = 1.38619111675684, c_new = 0.21600417433118205
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13317.78388024167
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 247:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5167639736446565, b_new = 1.4363691062513055, c_new = 0.5784168873331345
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5568.747073576213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 248:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.673863206742634, b_new = 1.2367392822876322, c_new = -0.42211587954658203
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3835.15991501042
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 249:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9974230268963518, b_new = 0.7811964537950251, c_new = -0.042571173454410034
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13234.982929622282
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 250:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.630122704512443, b_new = 2.4696439018877356, c_new = 0.5717970573786201
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3191.3155365555076
Acceptance probability: 4.1490293046531997e-45
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 251:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4694728596211597, b_new = 2.040982576088777, c_new = -0.2906348815658678
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5346.204966765773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 252:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5173320311154823, b_new = 1.1125320176078952, c_new = -0.1741213701767846
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -6604.406567343633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 253:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.552819022352165, b_new = 1.3543196561280764, c_new = -0.7511167973690658
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5528.644042714513
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 254:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.107252167381691, b_new = 1.7037697885717296, c_new = -0.08692424760223423
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -8083.71788738352
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 255:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8800369731862148, b_new = 1.6964718993412078, c_new = 0.4224745088985896
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3892.7174895508824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 256:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.545968503927381, b_new = 1.495738026946364, c_new = 0.5868116285673645
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -4926.832953534842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 257:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.494964180843604, b_new = 2.764120109365329, c_new = -1.0022581609609835
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13959.757237717908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 258:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1023368897946204, b_new = 1.2480940613508165, c_new = 0.6828773664216768
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11641.799984908073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 259:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6310315144352434, b_new = 1.0368379775251928, c_new = 0.2930585710007848
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -4552.673468518327
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 260:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.879353738266045, b_new = 1.1626076560484484, c_new = -0.21974262420816296
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3237.277032461491
Acceptance probability: 4.540696245284263e-65
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 261:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0710858445716087, b_new = 1.195435516314326, c_new = -0.33428418381246383
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5711.709800886333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 262:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8447860583979283, b_new = 1.5411444988448109, c_new = -0.0907343171946854
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3329.6581404493445
Acceptance probability: 3.4396719043554e-105
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 263:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8947833014247704, b_new = 2.274242010452427, c_new = 0.18029574767655823
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5154.606513571547
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 264:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.97933315500516, b_new = 1.5114526913300488, c_new = -1.1585049772327543
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -12744.333381404018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 265:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4812401207039354, b_new = 0.6299385435191716, c_new = 0.04152326426538896
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -8449.178887880282
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 266:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.172092559376712, b_new = 1.5613726833237505, c_new = 0.3183667153648194
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -9233.087435926935
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 267:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.159200670067697, b_new = 2.241472297315679, c_new = -0.18131995420538263
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -10540.332832466182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 268:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.501878818151562, b_new = 1.802158085676576, c_new = -0.9524591904050187
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5499.37987301249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 269:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6362201665323135, b_new = 0.7118331292053419, c_new = 0.48412673751033175
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -12735.419974656948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 270:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.876075272295195, b_new = 0.5955883021609183, c_new = -0.42272138555094596
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3104.688798613299
Acceptance probability: 1.735644497680098e-07
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 271:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9971017289971282, b_new = 1.7787360041624092, c_new = 0.040495168753659425
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5841.7175931864895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 272:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.828998659303768, b_new = 2.5832870870008584, c_new = -0.5017522899765395
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -12175.241455726882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 273:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.590422322012455, b_new = 1.9441266905968655, c_new = 0.10634074522317777
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3722.81221477531
Acceptance probability: 6.192585356959025e-276
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 274:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.29023096544713, b_new = 1.6977906211139244, c_new = 0.5529852806276817
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -8858.296017156938
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 275:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.611192438759653, b_new = 0.9613687457687927, c_new = 0.14343256801943932
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5072.964793277366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 276:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8753176394898206, b_new = 1.3482814401759649, c_new = -0.39822852445879886
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3335.271026418331
Acceptance probability: 1.2556587147501221e-107
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 277:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7589707808537622, b_new = 1.1288510308749178, c_new = -0.18938422245639805
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3229.605556787019
Acceptance probability: 9.745452381369972e-62
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 278:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9601070686640463, b_new = 1.3627564573248598, c_new = -0.07316697974597008
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -4251.7802202870325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 279:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6504979879887864, b_new = 2.63671727463601, c_new = -0.9644958918787709
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -14549.398495076499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 280:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.361501938826097, b_new = 2.433726748050607, c_new = 0.476691046196129
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13121.664903196615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 281:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.340497642962164, b_new = 1.9720584839489106, c_new = 0.7338821148466579
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -12360.607820145518
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 282:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8519467026537932, b_new = 1.406125856747836, c_new = 0.5910258936492745
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3331.6700582518642
Acceptance probability: 4.599940555389296e-106
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 283:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3687203130137857, b_new = 2.117690284077335, c_new = 0.5663745170364957
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -6717.210342469933
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 284:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.820634059681875, b_new = 2.1194178939223614, c_new = -0.021452672231681284
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3774.319300463847
Acceptance probability: 2.6462380391813647e-298
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 285:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0169128581345097, b_new = 2.174869885692007, c_new = -0.6779894246042911
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11386.828770339685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 286:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.597260267516759, b_new = 1.4006254569256558, c_new = -0.28304086339869794
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -4536.376782009128
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 287:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9365100302946994, b_new = 1.8714620418010033, c_new = -0.03612073528680655
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -4900.318114038839
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 288:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.423223068448075, b_new = 1.512255671514124, c_new = -0.22067072862611992
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -7419.442844174351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 289:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.847514171789165, b_new = 1.471040484237244, c_new = -0.2957500866194217
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3273.570554411601
Acceptance probability: 7.853190607891893e-81
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 290:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.577204469393056, b_new = 1.9936057127508733, c_new = 0.5544118228179027
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13906.830739981879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 291:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7266133617724044, b_new = 1.1790680442848827, c_new = -0.3740158916272517
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3411.4679494264883
Acceptance probability: 1.0161747860190966e-140
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 292:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8038338743832276, b_new = 2.2262425875595024, c_new = 0.3891802510308445
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3828.8975330635594
Acceptance probability: 5.24e-322
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 293:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1825609169869753, b_new = 1.8094869452795517, c_new = -0.11998568327383072
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -10188.30835814057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 294:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.951185584297876, b_new = 2.001233390155235, c_new = 0.4100706787866366
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5624.134623562692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 295:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.687668515752777, b_new = 1.3055360450338722, c_new = -0.07226908864803513
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3552.6318770036364
Acceptance probability: 5.014800080570657e-202
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 296:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.639168889477009, b_new = 1.4690755757597043, c_new = 0.0928516521309887
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3803.0690801304136
Acceptance probability: 8.644865543328e-311
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 297:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6416234507971477, b_new = 1.8211798246858928, c_new = 0.2454678255238308
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3395.958257996537
Acceptance probability: 5.53021249044015e-134
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 298:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5758202497922316, b_new = 1.7183958382323994, c_new = 0.28620393462396543
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -4161.162462426399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 299:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304330875882615, b_new = 1.716894640764756, c_new = 0.9124498355560619
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11657.957471314547
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 300:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8600403464238975, b_new = 1.136713584531845, c_new = -0.8775144345669872
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13823.498183921503
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 301:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.203233543494034, b_new = 1.9289494476354059, c_new = -0.7953918606444337
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -9955.936514235722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 302:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9203524347014342, b_new = 1.3670767048725954, c_new = -0.4925215077204633
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3711.079123651035
Acceptance probability: 7.717714920880013e-271
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 303:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2652957376616603, b_new = 2.1931882322962952, c_new = 0.09771529855923555
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11839.036667755001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 304:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.660416438500814, b_new = 1.168719570302789, c_new = 0.6516681831773715
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3864.281469285375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 305:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6331041725166526, b_new = 1.7263252648375405, c_new = -0.4909057557740105
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -14149.411165657286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 306:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.671657268736723, b_new = 1.7815110665835328, c_new = 0.19129521878044917
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3251.2394536367397
Acceptance probability: 3.9203061137784355e-71
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 307:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9426732542560718, b_new = 1.5675491227375447, c_new = 0.30433102193722583
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -12486.619167519579
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 308:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7079048531992505, b_new = 1.5725024012617563, c_new = 0.2824593253305909
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3186.138407254348
Acceptance probability: 7.350979131787879e-43
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 309:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6377999831500687, b_new = 0.7008963804003902, c_new = 0.37941945553993506
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5105.62304465783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 310:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7279300083014466, b_new = 1.5346378430314465, c_new = -0.33754472195465335
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13887.012019767919
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 311:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.559888108352755, b_new = 1.1972159418535386, c_new = 0.5627761058466116
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -12862.598707804702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 312:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.261664176717653, b_new = 1.3641538602603658, c_new = 0.9101451293274221
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -9750.63673292176
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 313:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3589383509244803, b_new = 2.0888621072749745, c_new = 0.3580872601288131
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -12579.73973387291
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 314:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.726785317901105, b_new = 1.5287033634600418, c_new = -0.6123750131148842
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3196.291724146923
Acceptance probability: 2.86296270350261e-47
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 315:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4422977976717037, b_new = 1.1518645833834986, c_new = -0.3379203114944008
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -7998.561003522533
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 316:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9643573278412383, b_new = 1.6935105985990608, c_new = -0.1061527814915751
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -15045.203276418228
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 317:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8994590696121647, b_new = 1.015905506225916, c_new = 0.20941129123893765
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3275.40508844171
Acceptance probability: 1.254059470808068e-81
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 318:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.413211688589466, b_new = 1.009425109548522, c_new = 0.6888107822356326
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -8450.425106583743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 319:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7849708098204657, b_new = 1.4994372516781478, c_new = -0.7204955182068246
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3094.8556799496173
Acceptance probability: 0.0032354146778035505
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 320:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2394506843027786, b_new = 0.9938231738918614, c_new = -0.22280408530548076
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -8825.208470458136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 321:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8631814156167734, b_new = 1.5537691738457495, c_new = -0.18023725050763945
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3459.389943556439
Acceptance probability: 1.565708114155621e-161
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 322:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8238181220546177, b_new = 1.7111983028063584, c_new = -0.11933492163728356
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3337.4052944805717
Acceptance probability: 1.4858356450892785e-108
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 323:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0647519552451645, b_new = 0.9728613039553258, c_new = -0.5781406194698744
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5000.790625625499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 324:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2491561739763153, b_new = 0.361599491900904, c_new = 0.015058477966078489
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -7402.76114807847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 325:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0533221701611346, b_new = 2.860609161615013, c_new = 0.014507271560370995
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -10382.033617188223
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 326:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.208389246688696, b_new = 0.9221654269501414, c_new = 0.09290621724857345
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -8112.731881674947
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 327:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2606775124648983, b_new = 2.211424671588534, c_new = -0.2221898308014157
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11726.083241812668
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 328:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1075541000476754, b_new = 1.526152414906657, c_new = 0.5784897357968211
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -7826.204234865974
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 329:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9388040802227002, b_new = 2.1770052172577823, c_new = -0.27620480841263806
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5593.9900359767735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 330:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9330148624267833, b_new = 1.299869768979447, c_new = -0.4053614460280076
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13086.86002744802
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 331:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5964678344140864, b_new = 0.9808832080615354, c_new = 0.9469741341166815
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5040.149170055283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 332:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3848921751711742, b_new = 1.2610349922812163, c_new = 0.5276233900028545
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11570.926960172521
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 333:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.959932742477053, b_new = 2.148630127691966, c_new = -0.7676318108388511
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11902.215590595777
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 334:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.937378539320043, b_new = 1.9686868986474693, c_new = 0.11145390296542851
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5181.259444869224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 335:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.971323902507689, b_new = 0.546332885023275, c_new = -0.844947435066181
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3300.1545897195374
Acceptance probability: 2.2374137234697234e-92
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 336:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.808965083146817, b_new = 1.9209015209563545, c_new = -0.05297525955799076
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3435.466525620163
Acceptance probability: 3.8416624288838996e-151
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 337:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.493448166040543, b_new = 1.4836259524555357, c_new = 0.1706742525198548
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -6025.798177259928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 338:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2339826722961806, b_new = 1.0463947631256167, c_new = -0.4450100607432993
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11105.794648061488
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 339:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3112435282973878, b_new = 0.622154138904281, c_new = 0.03428250424215204
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -9276.396818533678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 340:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.116346537999276, b_new = 1.334690170149365, c_new = -0.28796129516942215
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -7110.449669914695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 341:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.804431526135848, b_new = 0.6982727221643388, c_new = -0.28078327741135456
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13508.059626840248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 342:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3061456858240854, b_new = 1.7226080482490647, c_new = -0.17366547663814338
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11356.83676867142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 343:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2086583979583567, b_new = 1.5544767270471842, c_new = 0.12860672690545374
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -9813.132510976702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 344:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.322817179026762, b_new = 1.9934459653894605, c_new = 0.23056072320110776
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -12093.143371836897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 345:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.305708928627589, b_new = 1.385992612907842, c_new = 0.6377472988379461
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -10988.039766986984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 346:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4522015150705716, b_new = 1.1523680846279643, c_new = 0.31483397214527
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -7571.021757866247
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 347:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3207902931567475, b_new = 1.8855920643130097, c_new = -0.7106115561975156
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -8453.961707480088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 348:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6662272279239705, b_new = 1.8579251025685695, c_new = 0.5371504262209031
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3217.4507720338474
Acceptance probability: 1.8516459550781924e-56
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 349:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7654074702700429, b_new = 1.9258487299219238, c_new = 0.4961409889834052
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13068.536372894541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 350:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4192991785438864, b_new = 1.2236895659733458, c_new = 0.06421751723232316
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -8075.764633184616
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 351:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8196802805690986, b_new = 2.815203940302147, c_new = -0.5105361700582316
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -4878.706081451991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 352:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.940288280775522, b_new = 1.690377375378149, c_new = -0.16327146025441755
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -4550.64088558403
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 353:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8146356908507646, b_new = 1.2104718597792061, c_new = -0.05515225211710826
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Acceptance probability: 21851.415333442503
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 354:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.034956124418124, b_new = 1.350933328542881, c_new = -0.4162453669175515
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -5363.791676463232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 355:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.629116750655253, b_new = 0.9531218363911583, c_new = -0.10438974352992936
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -4862.98605666462
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 356:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1260185496318282, b_new = 0.37000138110297054, c_new = 0.13112277627205204
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -4953.212173046552
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 357:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3300251769876654, b_new = 1.4834133814892814, c_new = -0.389554591624627
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -11127.690347654552
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 358:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1199778209020863, b_new = 1.244223114442557, c_new = -0.2560341231248702
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -6941.549508937498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 359:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3449950431704063, b_new = 2.206267160449638, c_new = 0.6278444387570156
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -12718.735156783403
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 360:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.519164518289739, b_new = 0.412817605520831, c_new = -0.06580589720376258
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -11327.575928575494
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 361:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3371489772515335, b_new = 1.0176755705071638, c_new = -0.6912206267339731
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -10040.163651346296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 362:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.742760845310075, b_new = 1.0477113448129192, c_new = 0.2222139778879065
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -13663.192445496694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 363:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.413898875740224, b_new = 1.3572151898353693, c_new = 0.413282699312286
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -11954.614669503475
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 364:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6516499464416188, b_new = 2.4002540886491417, c_new = -0.3793556359246761
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -3159.3414997033296
Acceptance probability: 1.460880524958491e-35
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 365:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3316855024897394, b_new = 1.240172502490843, c_new = -0.40278676572451955
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -9550.260579916678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 366:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3912819418196367, b_new = 1.5812029970392367, c_new = 0.3412094106693197
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -12082.012354073944
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 367:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2604020124718955, b_new = 2.2168194780856716, c_new = 0.7297777192396372
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -8189.895801024792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 368:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8472231445591114, b_new = 0.8991608379416859, c_new = -0.13506878501997482
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Acceptance probability: 4.70293994238889
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 369:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.86617179259282, b_new = 2.0794504943978516, c_new = 0.08295834932464463
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4273.376325224637
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 370:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.99698509258027, b_new = 1.5436033621364693, c_new = 0.047112339356181254
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5250.7988445100145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 371:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.054824310397153, b_new = 0.7164255741403565, c_new = 0.7340657088126745
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4633.409079414833
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 372:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.978317121224947, b_new = -0.297096700378774, c_new = -0.44476756607960394
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13343.280061340516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 373:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5744947961449776, b_new = 0.8061545918120845, c_new = -0.25552262173105056
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6283.888115696676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 374:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.04389164246733, b_new = 0.6194529902536545, c_new = -0.512406021872035
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4055.3950349725546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 375:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6498160507414323, b_new = 0.6434397414358055, c_new = 0.012988373237418138
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5141.76770057115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 376:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.753147124995773, b_new = 1.3426848601457233, c_new = -1.3328098162718913
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3252.104495308277
Acceptance probability: 1.6061575766977637e-76
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 377:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.441715668878743, b_new = 1.7492446627906904, c_new = -0.377156223384553
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6555.378074477578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 378:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2743727976575974, b_new = 1.0789554371796155, c_new = -0.38668593972897625
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9591.37843926653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 379:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9432448388467507, b_new = 0.6904300401012999, c_new = -0.13938088208545993
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3271.98393282908
Acceptance probability: 3.734720728675026e-85
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 380:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5877377047123424, b_new = 0.9446178185021203, c_new = -0.19451886049647013
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5653.746654599233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 381:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.206119665046732, b_new = 0.8409495243096686, c_new = 0.9309784909336767
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8153.0995476125345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 382:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.197210521731634, b_new = -0.1409319827695078, c_new = -0.40867979206142707
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4989.27096754716
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 383:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3403641001772875, b_new = 0.84037489791976, c_new = 0.2326473916795705
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10019.786159050862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 384:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.951041226142668, b_new = 0.843517390673933, c_new = -0.6039168935245969
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14219.407382095507
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 385:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9324024826020683, b_new = 1.4991886533063146, c_new = 0.0953372240976755
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12697.577874204955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 386:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5094731420476837, b_new = 0.3102464130416662, c_new = -0.6979380555428738
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9068.855300996136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 387:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4460593837656193, b_new = 0.7302049369124723, c_new = -0.3856064743342599
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8979.907658556425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 388:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2580230147409988, b_new = 1.0672318415924171, c_new = 0.1813314573711301
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10588.17122673585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 389:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.56055353067808, b_new = 0.9842373331575492, c_new = -0.18175330557072045
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12416.84709575573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 390:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.628206638327896, b_new = 1.9062903561161608, c_new = 0.4723365063880494
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3399.608739048494
Acceptance probability: 1.398006005537145e-140
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 391:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.602416518319431, b_new = 0.6987759567108096, c_new = 0.07190383413545082
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5879.523401126929
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 392:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5435000129040573, b_new = 1.2064836257202796, c_new = -0.4529744109128322
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12520.514274881598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 393:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5010198327838014, b_new = 0.8617109582625788, c_new = -0.2782475209837218
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11777.194693866797
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 394:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9279201354647086, b_new = 0.8220788971254858, c_new = 0.2687388561163665
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3304.390203900979
Acceptance probability: 3.1506011451741685e-99
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 395:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.888931463782868, b_new = 0.9132064559599011, c_new = -0.09436176012538033
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3151.185581393659
Acceptance probability: 1.0822200694338111e-32
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 396:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031407426730197, b_new = 0.6527306577150833, c_new = -0.7142997610148041
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3923.7328331746376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 397:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1679782407297443, b_new = 0.31043527831368656, c_new = 0.15993348185747586
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12661.696343727703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 398:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1991794814165186, b_new = 0.9480872059815366, c_new = -1.0526887249703893
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7572.657819720035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 399:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.003635733959603, b_new = 1.2820668926973224, c_new = 0.09417701994694586
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4796.113167326183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 400:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.332411463810853, b_new = -0.2956182333430425, c_new = -0.0181987323975583
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7387.914264119075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 401:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9707280297914522, b_new = 1.5167702000694319, c_new = -1.0407947811876914
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12758.799781758582
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 402:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.431220987022603, b_new = 0.9118428180390115, c_new = 0.5731204189301533
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8422.178474955717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 403:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.269360682779957, b_new = 1.0224896650975341, c_new = 0.6501009734901564
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9729.829857011415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 404:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.309541876508328, b_new = 1.25957533712939, c_new = 0.2621798752740058
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10676.78131553777
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 405:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.4797109368948866, b_new = 1.6575141471012789, c_new = 0.8368563753378453
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14473.952446078572
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 406:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.393359927669079, b_new = 0.6912781623088536, c_new = -0.5213191339881698
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10392.244939509774
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 407:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.338731381961054, b_new = -0.16296972352448502, c_new = 0.14674196009112483
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7901.511680974705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 408:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.76760730282933, b_new = 1.0380051703734767, c_new = -0.2947659206132538
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3254.6613076967237
Acceptance probability: 1.2456001136191987e-77
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 409:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0249728652572156, b_new = 0.653568372258682, c_new = -0.11161477017881995
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13247.407939148903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 410:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8425120034933626, b_new = 0.20730173005761676, c_new = -0.5710117875029838
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3523.113061707979
Acceptance probability: 3.2230215908493115e-194
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 411:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.077419171390423, b_new = 1.0755673104624774, c_new = -0.4723555355377757
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5497.554612165899
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 412:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0977331507957673, b_new = 1.1929670149055356, c_new = -0.30317208851034233
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6278.325352532091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 413:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9904965247280813, b_new = 0.7690324014488285, c_new = -0.37899596960703386
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3684.57720532913
Acceptance probability: 2.4281561667885873e-264
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 414:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.425065659391276, b_new = 1.0365053879625563, c_new = -0.22803000514357302
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11384.284390646733
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 415:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0907013959714367, b_new = 1.107632900451419, c_new = -0.16220069221133782
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5943.875213856061
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 416:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8742065577617124, b_new = -0.1607495767128847, c_new = -0.7831059012408714
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12893.632196247283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 417:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6397625173923807, b_new = 0.9337984037958544, c_new = 0.38211793519896836
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13003.199510720095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 418:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.396557211578257, b_new = 1.1400574752178048, c_new = -0.49254849243090987
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8860.144626614034
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 419:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7045088656212073, b_new = 0.978829441286502, c_new = 0.06455070857188663
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3752.9887004290654
Acceptance probability: 4.726523203565871e-294
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 420:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8947681971475294, b_new = 1.1697304323448305, c_new = 0.4472189420335861
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3395.4687358735478
Acceptance probability: 8.779900030732846e-139
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 421:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8003593763245607, b_new = 1.3211609213136504, c_new = -0.9649417700963931
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3101.87249499261
Acceptance probability: 2.8230390987910408e-11
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 422:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0189611198901276, b_new = 1.0676291055710665, c_new = 0.47303831450878103
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12577.327789400399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 423:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3175881889980583, b_new = 1.130059215137051, c_new = 0.10591991628507788
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10476.365594376706
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 424:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4307644595094646, b_new = 0.8907434256828509, c_new = -0.6964039086691598
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8972.204493177112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 425:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.879199376913542, b_new = 1.39370501626932, c_new = -0.7228976719574531
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3369.3727029300053
Acceptance probability: 1.8917018037090542e-127
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 426:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1271723440792383, b_new = 0.8482153717986411, c_new = 0.1894047438755655
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6144.6207108507515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 427:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7042781561947686, b_new = 1.035489459989244, c_new = 0.4027150158329524
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3623.545834759755
Acceptance probability: 7.777930823013323e-238
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 428:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0488036959165137, b_new = 1.1023872626073177, c_new = 0.20510445085670365
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5220.50159121281
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 429:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.322518137038934, b_new = 0.9336363646235079, c_new = -0.14781795071258202
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10067.407275026528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 430:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3747796200608478, b_new = 0.9500607008292941, c_new = 0.729016407369647
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9155.300110477963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 431:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5408671744095805, b_new = 2.37119586321785, c_new = -0.26800869779227393
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13938.024155940031
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 432:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.496757932878382, b_new = 0.6509966302855639, c_new = 0.729718181382069
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7840.675795544446
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 433:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.976490521426336, b_new = 0.1536758399684971, c_new = -0.7067698280663246
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3167.2953730645404
Acceptance probability: 1.0912442196553323e-39
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 434:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8608340405286614, b_new = 1.1317931767916076, c_new = -0.7351635831015406
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3133.4311739825253
Acceptance probability: 5.558489014028332e-25
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 435:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3132878429829793, b_new = 0.718504696804612, c_new = 0.04277709090361925
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9530.169013787436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 436:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.427771144031456, b_new = 1.095582698726579, c_new = -0.622069126193417
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8500.644518270958
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 437:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.454494418273051, b_new = 0.6800086403756913, c_new = 0.22738690864815897
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11217.008983964975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 438:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1384016078172143, b_new = 1.3401410268445848, c_new = -0.7209905246801454
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7463.428505226002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 439:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3096478245962713, b_new = 0.6532991236052854, c_new = -0.5178180117327987
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11029.091715885366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 440:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4826129300996342, b_new = 1.5196010452404503, c_new = -0.5106851855000358
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6383.352684286556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 441:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8247700900133643, b_new = 0.4601360733699943, c_new = -0.005399716024276163
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3316.040782682053
Acceptance probability: 2.745436169315012e-104
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 442:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.878862839934738, b_new = 1.5426902745794002, c_new = -0.2288739284416186
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3570.4045830976675
Acceptance probability: 9.328599206874479e-215
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 443:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.253585649016211, b_new = 0.6449274938112286, c_new = 0.41278564700886383
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11313.973981340376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 444:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6529472929101505, b_new = 0.7300912261056267, c_new = -0.1808317781127688
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4959.784997100705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 445:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.746119546395447, b_new = 0.32627299160039414, c_new = 0.317402361540621
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4181.652577018908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 446:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3878451511868017, b_new = 0.8912370025388072, c_new = 0.1588103596639573
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9299.920906352834
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 447:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8687284589884334, b_new = 0.6083400644387154, c_new = -0.3980132622440521
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3110.545613003348
Acceptance probability: 4.830917269478937e-15
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 448:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.422461823757836, b_new = 0.3340164304476402, c_new = 0.20581140880318016
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9994.483804230178
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 449:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6157532912904777, b_new = 0.9455187285830398, c_new = -0.8483397403844617
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5356.409540066974
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 450:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6886072347378764, b_new = 0.7961731579999495, c_new = 0.05865475220149072
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4219.306561641403
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 451:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1023160888400976, b_new = 0.5607761157338056, c_new = 0.08309361524504424
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4937.082514861499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 452:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8364260246413355, b_new = 0.5192472024044149, c_new = -0.8480747867839167
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3322.853639639733
Acceptance probability: 3.0187362379950575e-107
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 453:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.741348111656641, b_new = 1.45812559245666, c_new = -0.6649538083071991
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3176.7361359456727
Acceptance probability: 8.66663950232738e-44
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 454:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.554865220728096, b_new = 1.1730514424972935, c_new = -0.25716409134108553
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12601.243060212964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 455:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9736023026188168, b_new = 0.49604127017740873, c_new = -0.20733747961720164
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14079.045963297804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 456:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.54468828283503, b_new = 0.553291708112982, c_new = 0.2485906344626314
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7357.220384880817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 457:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.133319276223133, b_new = 1.0754213993103818, c_new = -0.8516805704540877
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6548.541441481287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 458:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.093262472505332, b_new = 0.8660470238779439, c_new = -0.7192548128310856
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14723.653247635599
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 459:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0461932011081196, b_new = 0.5687319938263509, c_new = 0.5426997410131489
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4194.304313864552
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 460:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.129288538284902, b_new = 1.2805632953076673, c_new = -1.2892212144275383
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6882.098418768184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 461:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0002414425234942, b_new = 0.9718741166401222, c_new = -0.01763920106683242
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4140.487418456703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 462:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.846104540614893, b_new = 1.626084382851082, c_new = 0.23555708899574263
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3453.831683706483
Acceptance probability: 3.95169465494854e-164
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 463:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4757142945154507, b_new = 0.32536081948535445, c_new = -0.0038620477572170464
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9310.4100299992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 464:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3652712700827396, b_new = 0.6939773035789245, c_new = 0.2840301425235871
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10284.317504096529
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 465:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9075135268842933, b_new = 1.2560972371779633, c_new = 0.8907495040005899
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3659.3826401986453
Acceptance probability: 2.123915454598676e-253
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 466:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.596739026560522, b_new = 1.6171466315021374, c_new = -0.3108672487447831
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13391.504331313892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 467:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6560902491962697, b_new = 0.6629828334680996, c_new = -0.5628689496264162
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5180.516302852082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 468:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.937045711346361, b_new = 1.6824819604952528, c_new = 0.30606334912980987
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4606.2803538100125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 469:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.878891558056135, b_new = 1.045915691591032, c_new = 0.235641351962239
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13515.513064793731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 470:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.408743127345374, b_new = 2.3078634172993007, c_new = -0.8613858799458673
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12925.915572888987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 471:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3492831272982224, b_new = 1.1652440072580994, c_new = 0.015771958452139828
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9314.898163851767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 472:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.721733860000889, b_new = 0.23306545095771547, c_new = 0.293755076910053
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4722.175545466726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 473:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.209495521269167, b_new = 0.9166069461160709, c_new = -0.17227913011225632
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11481.907284231085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 474:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.128200911042122, b_new = 0.7749794395848827, c_new = 0.41316469492237945
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12212.179082325853
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 475:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9502407075539652, b_new = 1.0000260271831787, c_new = -0.43707634834844444
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13363.793727013388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 476:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.908137323801032, b_new = 1.5540305372013354, c_new = 0.44251655491389147
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4007.398278384807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 477:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1543600951386743, b_new = 0.4028868009190189, c_new = 0.033151140912549365
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12670.262922413367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 478:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4898743473750553, b_new = 1.1239159976976332, c_new = 0.46608815292132905
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6873.992820883686
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 479:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6190252785958092, b_new = -0.02330926553596313, c_new = -0.9354130003313657
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7947.270853494261
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 480:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.903426453940454, b_new = 1.1492446974029826, c_new = -0.5178932104864915
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3344.0854457935
Acceptance probability: 1.8153857194571838e-116
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 481:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.121524683811488, b_new = 0.8801376211760222, c_new = 0.29252598151719916
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12148.687895113362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 482:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9373860915123386, b_new = 0.8700463835184151, c_new = 0.387597982835897
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3421.499322492242
Acceptance probability: 4.3506028678200475e-150
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 483:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.869751485878392, b_new = 0.792208961918732, c_new = -0.5413942670065945
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3093.419717286054
Acceptance probability: 1.3234624014284502e-07
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 484:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0435269357788983, b_new = 1.3370065816732866, c_new = 0.3436888720247471
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5737.827757933335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 485:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.119813966570565, b_new = 1.5389958565308124, c_new = 0.1443431756287895
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7968.625626529451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 486:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3796357829018397, b_new = 1.2640663054946994, c_new = -0.6363009461083078
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8897.408233566506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 487:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.839669425391936, b_new = 1.3521078234120547, c_new = -0.6294293441532499
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3154.176681751692
Acceptance probability: 5.436222243188889e-34
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 488:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.037899658724863, b_new = 1.6284083104554388, c_new = -0.8731168440006865
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12075.581003004372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 489:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981267000412171, b_new = 1.3844740652606966, c_new = 0.48444404183402584
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4747.337571814689
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 490:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4994143896494196, b_new = 0.7719962817680831, c_new = -0.5531658403712187
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7994.414458097299
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 491:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.845864859298495, b_new = 1.2673551960439382, c_new = -0.382592936022356
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3147.047716201583
Acceptance probability: 6.7821533187792576e-31
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 492:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3241898452493945, b_new = 1.515635967753743, c_new = -0.4499286908942346
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9099.602529731143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 493:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0598477559484483, b_new = 0.8703220232152625, c_new = -0.025718734092210233
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4839.918663415209
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 494:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0829978714996225, b_new = 0.4562773285761346, c_new = 0.29499819471914623
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4469.308338180315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 495:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.030733600554585, b_new = 0.28146725499769276, c_new = -0.8657821281906206
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3487.937881122991
Acceptance probability: 6.0904592651778086e-179
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 496:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.277171746764845, b_new = 0.8629406859244261, c_new = -0.8181388758661856
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8988.845377194553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 497:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7540417521870766, b_new = 1.3348246109469306, c_new = 0.7471396980247575
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14113.116988389198
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 498:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.208239806472104, b_new = 0.942648944676195, c_new = 0.35199933363383745
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11275.511016824279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 499:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.015658990745868, b_new = 1.5963581810974243, c_new = 0.2187540343400607
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11961.610164823778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 500:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6072357048331725, b_new = 0.4999116405496163, c_new = -0.22714637893959921
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12113.18339498822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 501:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0276121979796584, b_new = 0.9607024050980135, c_new = 0.23278685884342343
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4565.460059141591
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 502:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4094224846485996, b_new = 0.4478084234687064, c_new = 0.36222449438648235
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9870.755345413085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 503:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0992327888980213, b_new = 1.0526307754761604, c_new = -0.04432004605466257
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6017.251254976478
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 504:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2973019617065873, b_new = 0.5856624574640685, c_new = 0.15369854793156207
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8992.680464524972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 505:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.17216289063938, b_new = 0.2609202287133533, c_new = 0.3723451862199219
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5621.805605648843
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 506:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4924339537020535, b_new = 1.3176553616246816, c_new = 0.09285931918099627
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6476.457729640683
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 507:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0744752993149027, b_new = 0.6548396501461324, c_new = 0.0439623355977643
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4659.152505793601
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 508:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3009693743719595, b_new = 0.7570425783927559, c_new = -0.3855734094294543
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9283.701522292373
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 509:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9550834109419255, b_new = 0.43030728758469833, c_new = 0.40207118533897684
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3201.8297474847013
Acceptance probability: 1.0960584374146712e-54
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 510:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.949258946146079, b_new = 1.2184116174927215, c_new = -0.5139116660855397
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3813.5618453334528
Acceptance probability: 2.3335e-320
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 511:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4282390929958564, b_new = 1.6236255310759982, c_new = -0.2926491500294024
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7082.724569790387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 512:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.029461519747023, b_new = 1.215291997108598, c_new = -0.9283218919433924
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14745.704910632696
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 513:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1313546985008123, b_new = 1.0865235592215066, c_new = 0.03582651285075161
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11842.636606859569
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 514:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.460131710244617, b_new = 1.061074540723491, c_new = -0.010573650478733182
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11792.825503569546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 515:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1144152797507028, b_new = 0.22915152823044316, c_new = -0.4932991753218021
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13352.567696441847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 516:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.296523417616932, b_new = 0.8955020941020451, c_new = 0.31617494766228327
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9754.34458601362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 517:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6823261494536914, b_new = 1.355897239612508, c_new = -0.45828120767841035
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13535.526205661827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 518:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8684404480290588, b_new = 0.21001622620511495, c_new = 0.2837304873833259
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14440.589596714657
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 519:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.369089439531529, b_new = 0.7622726151632053, c_new = -0.3079361263821436
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10004.925387797804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 520:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.539269798755118, b_new = 0.42211665894882067, c_new = -0.7629123369308226
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8246.395636855468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 521:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.511101580455298, b_new = 1.0894039380860951, c_new = -1.0780710187821982
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11985.80029039053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 522:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0811417529666985, b_new = 1.1722091331099143, c_new = -0.30191594913889286
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14981.53071492301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 523:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0059155210296047, b_new = 1.4186776869734357, c_new = -0.5861250107894979
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4945.182951140509
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 524:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5274669939749153, b_new = 0.9520232930830386, c_new = 0.16909153620232786
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12220.179591591861
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 525:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0750771315060352, b_new = 1.9897555640853994, c_new = -0.32289907456158096
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8115.53128925126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 526:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.135207241814136, b_new = 1.115133141668489, c_new = 0.6577947746751456
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11571.531316612207
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 527:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.295851767298903, b_new = 1.4829843013000001, c_new = 0.44964529028184147
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10997.131896506486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 528:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.169585701608656, b_new = 1.1926018148316213, c_new = 0.5731325110941157
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11162.653870854232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 529:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.714380133044678, b_new = 0.6301734013848542, c_new = -0.28333152599522526
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4243.9877864294995
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 530:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.358963272428039, b_new = 1.1153040361066808, c_new = -0.5350019703915607
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9486.02413134167
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 531:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.749629572257411, b_new = 0.4911106498828737, c_new = 0.7181297351538849
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3792.3872301756155
Acceptance probability: 3.664187849511e-311
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 532:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.281863716984584, b_new = 1.3765837742309412, c_new = -1.1285856784145276
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10118.977638321021
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 533:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9444580613489806, b_new = 0.7673171600204907, c_new = 0.08562393918154029
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13523.798170683825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 534:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4057166643222754, b_new = 1.5886717217073016, c_new = -0.0898682227236028
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7503.349733587458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 535:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5062329364914704, b_new = 0.03182223198376399, c_new = 0.857929194303273
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9168.004572669473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 536:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.555232440667091, b_new = 0.8067020163743488, c_new = -0.03402584945791509
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12181.812482450376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 537:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6028624043947026, b_new = 0.33999831595465424, c_new = -0.1515890465982135
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6908.377700670668
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 538:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.532805159162485, b_new = 1.4192192023386232, c_new = -0.365020564846384
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5618.275834506147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 539:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0260776107571994, b_new = 0.7498627402785157, c_new = -0.4524110047753934
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13220.609510834822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 540:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8437696482447528, b_new = 1.0869497464364426, c_new = -0.09472392826912855
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13740.962695278646
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 541:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.768072774976668, b_new = 0.290152267879097, c_new = 0.36929526828880027
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3951.1267138452486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 542:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8306152732341316, b_new = 0.4166260990560289, c_new = 0.11938073941511329
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3297.9495853695644
Acceptance probability: 1.974779066041605e-96
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 543:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.182173541079608, b_new = 1.3214425453076681, c_new = -0.42596248299002526
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11150.084664674525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 544:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8009579305942056, b_new = 1.487216927804039, c_new = 0.062408347252517565
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3120.1939395742234
Acceptance probability: 3.117558494287801e-19
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 545:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2957593724475664, b_new = 1.4652097310523513, c_new = 0.2128624293578512
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9357.674110058564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 546:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.646969115906788, b_new = 0.7301703527058763, c_new = -0.029130260443988684
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5013.124433806798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 547:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1616930381223067, b_new = 0.9868564660743913, c_new = 0.057471868128701364
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7256.157399199528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 548:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7279460583542265, b_new = 1.3338065488552082, c_new = 0.2467099627102557
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3219.4325471236707
Acceptance probability: 2.4833330034798065e-62
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 549:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.879355130921366, b_new = 0.5199135090944214, c_new = -0.11180167239446458
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3096.1253003789357
Acceptance probability: 8.844877049475235e-09
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 550:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1709782443135066, b_new = 1.2613768698209087, c_new = 0.2248271673687705
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8324.019103655677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 551:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8922532819780944, b_new = 0.5588630264056635, c_new = -0.8000308992151257
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3119.265819719889
Acceptance probability: 7.886638637914325e-19
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 552:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.834395625531305, b_new = 1.137570409006815, c_new = 0.26413472472339
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14173.53451108472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 553:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9325044229024497, b_new = 0.400753387367172, c_new = -0.5746890382988049
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14192.295110214232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 554:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3136792025325077, b_new = 1.6340527284464912, c_new = 0.6469937082878319
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8630.04759466621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 555:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.464686451460267, b_new = 1.6512501098531103, c_new = -0.1951908104725274
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6294.105679881302
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 556:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6408682172260023, b_new = 0.21373442613550053, c_new = -0.3426997668174844
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11962.800468910405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 557:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.575229238900792, b_new = 1.0159081813753505, c_new = -0.20991226021476425
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5725.19987876298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 558:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8251010754544144, b_new = 1.3153316398495953, c_new = -0.06585037687594757
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3116.2625008859054
Acceptance probability: 1.5893397269715126e-17
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 559:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2006485779798277, b_new = 2.076351840016274, c_new = 0.006576120034068905
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9454.43167734472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 560:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7493879802987427, b_new = 0.26665992050850573, c_new = 0.11623188523627909
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4295.305091797642
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 561:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7125920004042325, b_new = 0.4183634672097157, c_new = -0.42679888820859146
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4713.039480518826
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 562:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7031088436603308, b_new = 0.3240694382449151, c_new = -0.587663564580301
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5129.40590405459
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 563:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.18857329673124, b_new = 0.4634411883621194, c_new = 0.3064486023147032
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12230.719943546548
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 564:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5724179024876923, b_new = 0.6244856672984032, c_new = 0.38461741388325504
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6552.9599437751185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 565:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3725935484697596, b_new = 0.3780711757609999, c_new = 0.2829211105693488
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9752.450698718567
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 566:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.676574971288664, b_new = 0.8761337247614014, c_new = -0.5820879551682656
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12942.564373288315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 567:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3526895640216687, b_new = 0.25141532654692633, c_new = -1.2830214516183602
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8717.74043760533
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 568:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.341568585146695, b_new = 0.930583036932811, c_new = -0.013465039387405911
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10354.638436369674
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 569:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8310664524151563, b_new = 0.1489828410299472, c_new = -0.05160614054974645
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3583.1559204390087
Acceptance probability: 2.703840010234773e-220
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 570:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.605480783222607, b_new = 1.4817130118300583, c_new = -1.5772766514661867
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4618.46908511624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 571:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.476521139655704, b_new = 0.14015186564056148, c_new = -1.2015444676102967
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10228.93649834863
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 572:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.849107934976933, b_new = 1.23497236192468, c_new = -0.9219212144405009
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3133.4924687711255
Acceptance probability: 5.228014256252652e-25
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 573:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.368700429406931, b_new = 0.6694236977091819, c_new = -0.40795875059182884
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10079.816181842085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 574:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0941455044838233, b_new = 0.8795143106207024, c_new = 0.24072913020781295
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5560.094694936894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 575:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2238721030888544, b_new = 0.5236503851020664, c_new = 1.2878572930245993
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7769.729872073265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 576:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0865496774896606, b_new = 0.7724317603454965, c_new = -1.3480467058181198
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4771.964163229157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 577:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9009464650715326, b_new = 0.7094296188553709, c_new = -1.1521392098023155
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3130.8973487599046
Acceptance probability: 7.004595550680475e-24
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 578:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6633800006984063, b_new = 1.2376309662372882, c_new = 0.3215594753733742
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3801.9505663123173
Acceptance probability: 2.574385717e-315
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 579:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.130996522412489, b_new = 0.9267230037391916, c_new = 0.573849056547411
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6584.111372767393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 580:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7597022809013527, b_new = 0.9450301800739218, c_new = -1.0422910799816651
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3491.77401640222
Acceptance probability: 1.3141279708863188e-180
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 581:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9477881455900883, b_new = 0.6443284085121697, c_new = -0.22133017629959104
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13737.477318684349
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 582:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5519953789122813, b_new = 0.6174696576942691, c_new = 0.6031498886110089
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12055.75926589403
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 583:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.22521405214964, b_new = 0.539868505059238, c_new = -0.4215682394267735
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7227.454012108488
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 584:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.239289255032031, b_new = 1.2038784348803797, c_new = -0.5865487839471929
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9229.427709209735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 585:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.077104400852258, b_new = 0.8702972071260918, c_new = -0.48663603421085877
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5018.0718384635875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 586:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.751263920807198, b_new = 1.1385391582326525, c_new = 0.26096300439616715
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13803.767775851036
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 587:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5195221174525164, b_new = 1.5453687035247996, c_new = -0.06555497109131328
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5475.062755234756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 588:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.4504042424030879, b_new = 1.558578447912459, c_new = 0.1335957369612153
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14821.12970406427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 589:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.498806686453066, b_new = 0.7442293799757472, c_new = -0.10301818455121828
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11631.255062763401
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 590:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0316159654005825, b_new = 0.8489345895899917, c_new = -0.49816742911620254
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4263.683259173681
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 591:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.256899043977255, b_new = 1.7847917487313345, c_new = 0.16441904822593723
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9253.114278222556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 592:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.728338380901723, b_new = 1.4036037883393702, c_new = -0.9395944559593026
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3295.4306409587953
Acceptance probability: 2.451783808112782e-95
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 593:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0443178306651255, b_new = 1.3044298642327643, c_new = 0.9935097508423478
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5892.88728484483
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 594:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7203779595460156, b_new = 0.7602107958143074, c_new = -0.6269275080969745
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4039.3460341909085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 595:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.015180164772559, b_new = 0.9755729063853648, c_new = -0.3279508189377688
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4286.569021664001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 596:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7575879996072556, b_new = 0.9455477703295959, c_new = 0.24185692627966193
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3315.186734051256
Acceptance probability: 6.449409582759656e-104
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 597:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.38937600506679, b_new = 1.462591163839928, c_new = -0.6779285796608203
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8297.576058634724
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 598:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.872153655409992, b_new = 0.4462821436137351, c_new = -0.4140978565231949
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3158.526067836985
Acceptance probability: 7.020738976020631e-36
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 599:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9236987984411653, b_new = 1.0586311649377442, c_new = 0.3448309136026456
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13222.034888704831
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 600:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4482433324533104, b_new = 1.9472831225966405, c_new = 0.2464876493644329
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5768.1344364904535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 601:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5016703555840607, b_new = 1.2809139452887985, c_new = 0.7111283707009186
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6172.657913406038
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 602:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.425206061225029, b_new = 0.4171326320352835, c_new = -0.5973067567511916
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10252.872750459153
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 603:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3348581643533155, b_new = 1.6174007172397653, c_new = -0.35205688144765956
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11420.602648783346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 604:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9572669665078775, b_new = 0.6868164032322029, c_new = -0.4617207926441334
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3332.3673062625207
Acceptance probability: 2.2289085557039328e-111
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 605:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.639160024580521, b_new = 1.0090483919791067, c_new = 0.2129577393973877
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13050.14207922074
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 606:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7579764872983015, b_new = 0.8466177070772065, c_new = -0.06829401800710458
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3442.4070189224967
Acceptance probability: 3.617864130441682e-159
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 607:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3807403900134583, b_new = 0.47010256527630395, c_new = -0.34287886901752485
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9867.094936155641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 608:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7352234669179407, b_new = 0.15400732455320465, c_new = -0.2477471317097346
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4842.319340212466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 609:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.751372181818992, b_new = 0.8542649084769566, c_new = -0.07157370242455725
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13444.540918345745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 610:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.950460354168195, b_new = 1.0598494516073855, c_new = -0.6203169777131543
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3613.789691395249
Acceptance probability: 1.342466026989261e-233
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 611:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.963487028319892, b_new = 1.210662714415934, c_new = -0.6065748862993382
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3947.820345562762
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 612:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.42907288897772, b_new = 0.9859417173085877, c_new = -0.5766182347640647
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8724.98310001669
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 613:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2360091717566735, b_new = 0.9327654304911102, c_new = -1.0066971853907938
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11483.50228459161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 614:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3175541573286482, b_new = 1.41129162500151, c_new = 0.6539939946044493
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9026.1484760377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 615:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7454477771601415, b_new = 0.70557594369614, c_new = 0.28396572689659016
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3643.8950514853195
Acceptance probability: 1.1306066647856167e-246
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 616:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7572120783134344, b_new = 0.812820711110585, c_new = -0.9564105918554318
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3643.3849890291167
Acceptance probability: 1.8829069193587673e-246
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 617:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0471849448143287, b_new = 1.4879583923138848, c_new = -0.3021832818406531
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5992.701961199442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 618:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.239143125425888, b_new = 1.259349868556325, c_new = -0.1884971121276507
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9500.702988777455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 619:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1622446862876497, b_new = 1.2986105295378687, c_new = -0.11843060227974882
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8106.22008535681
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 620:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.180056846930179, b_new = 1.1803693756044766, c_new = -0.45050849025880624
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8029.340923701779
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 621:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1262838727248488, b_new = 1.4437026756368416, c_new = 0.2696842097484496
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11258.493495991734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 622:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3881912259093774, b_new = 0.873211108842421, c_new = -0.42468559385203963
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9552.185444104376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 623:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.090685182339076, b_new = 0.9750532364774406, c_new = -0.7118180541508017
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5442.332730281558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 624:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5633301478782418, b_new = 0.7688508697358332, c_new = 0.39588477619593915
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12293.00213324607
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 625:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8810229891336503, b_new = 1.3288197807777635, c_new = -0.37192787024582097
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3358.454020765662
Acceptance probability: 1.0441817335031183e-122
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 626:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4375825440408367, b_new = 1.7815137531571978, c_new = -0.16114471166521016
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12602.06622213639
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 627:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.524145284662632, b_new = 1.1140782201290453, c_new = 0.4580632127634498
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6235.210638080997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 628:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0875430699409976, b_new = 1.1250153648572945, c_new = -0.47689883655823484
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5821.452716246882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 629:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2930503713662804, b_new = 1.2967167197304232, c_new = -0.23762017343475922
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9879.920987252328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 630:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5738327289461638, b_new = 0.5918215307663275, c_new = 1.035935930942243
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6362.4116325959985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 631:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.841942980466524, b_new = 0.5757402117645584, c_new = -0.0933345031176949
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3167.7476207007953
Acceptance probability: 6.9424586763078784e-40
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 632:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7982443691855083, b_new = 1.4985719498410965, c_new = -0.2458108640438033
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3109.386954140724
Acceptance probability: 1.5389650270414338e-14
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 633:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.407588675607615, b_new = 0.7316315551638706, c_new = -0.625031028849029
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10596.180110615076
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 634:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0044522677543646, b_new = 0.28245517040328094, c_new = 0.20476425113772895
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3372.642351674911
Acceptance probability: 7.192208521311001e-129
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 635:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4240922932794704, b_new = 0.6195559285514368, c_new = -0.10359045316128399
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9466.778531470229
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 636:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.048728759993341, b_new = 1.3949691177666226, c_new = -0.6302309503909309
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12251.058399465372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 637:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.60670276028211, b_new = 0.8835486513535216, c_new = 0.7351886832659082
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5137.095424122411
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 638:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5292513024637286, b_new = 0.9439054955218449, c_new = -0.181739223577141
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6806.0450402070055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 639:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.287409462842894, b_new = 0.582317971098996, c_new = 0.14310019551609027
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8802.778794353846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 640:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.123302771259168, b_new = 1.1903052332966526, c_new = -0.017759361870310075
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6949.71761024065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 641:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9957629982219585, b_new = 1.6192169843479844, c_new = -0.23705631619730128
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5320.995918977783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 642:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9030662793830877, b_new = 0.8332995097846361, c_new = -0.4548018159718399
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3157.514253431989
Acceptance probability: 1.9311154546444443e-35
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 643:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7810087536554846, b_new = 1.8357629990187974, c_new = -0.29308271310401757
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14482.529259353803
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 644:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9631381647518653, b_new = 0.38873741967165654, c_new = 0.09727282569203713
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3204.842994919233
Acceptance probability: 5.385139725122277e-56
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 645:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.236040666627941, b_new = 0.5519325887258251, c_new = 1.239580911781702
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8094.093097926405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 646:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4182244311608057, b_new = 2.214993897629944, c_new = 0.8315098607099716
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5552.865091686132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 647:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4044293927574687, b_new = 0.8799177602535201, c_new = 0.15280532044222556
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11024.89512681092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 648:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.29652326124835, b_new = 1.001453150587348, c_new = 0.10565978670263462
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9919.181506861798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 649:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9476409093122617, b_new = 1.3796214683607197, c_new = 0.0591021291538853
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4141.9970614508
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 650:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.852199627861517, b_new = 1.1465139572973977, c_new = -0.16290525096759942
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3126.0365681072053
Acceptance probability: 9.044681519875515e-22
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 651:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.060854774906395, b_new = 0.8687636734302734, c_new = -0.012506446353905257
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12701.439372999452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 652:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031047426156653, b_new = 0.8692844171235656, c_new = 0.12086983327035322
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4419.070940860864
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 653:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.107896825998636, b_new = 1.5717712854075465, c_new = -0.5347214626968051
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7522.0451069852315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 654:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7942451905248102, b_new = 0.6523418277421251, c_new = -0.1198476778766087
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3367.701145204795
Acceptance probability: 1.0064703240802327e-126
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 655:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9744852738612444, b_new = 0.0775760249334887, c_new = -0.5072027370663572
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3147.5211464874956
Acceptance probability: 4.224345612746063e-31
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 656:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.813008062371896, b_new = 0.5178197806754083, c_new = -0.5582014873227041
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3429.1635492529635
Acceptance probability: 2.0418228117478613e-153
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 657:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0039668717320827, b_new = 1.6193173704801607, c_new = -0.975581356426898
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5253.655557870289
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 658:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6423438149413454, b_new = 0.6124849870065432, c_new = -0.44078868814138666
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5509.16927017934
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 659:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.830269543963179, b_new = 0.061711141111298495, c_new = -0.2382868588928136
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3738.570217709226
Acceptance probability: 8.637921977243726e-288
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 660:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8642650830443994, b_new = 0.4707199714971691, c_new = 0.19332190473866007
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3117.1249001912997
Acceptance probability: 6.709365938621998e-18
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 661:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.77902734028539, b_new = 1.2644629313448539, c_new = -0.019864489462903714
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13995.05982332804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 662:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.797891135650443, b_new = 1.5892822317748052, c_new = 0.2199951282910524
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3160.5745600979094
Acceptance probability: 9.051778989385611e-37
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 663:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.162800998282629, b_new = 1.0394798462296757, c_new = -0.6583149871466847
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11871.929601739026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 664:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5026966485163227, b_new = 1.9803453359757666, c_new = -1.1120750865270168
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13068.74547260018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 665:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.121781248219956, b_new = 0.35992416497070445, c_new = -1.5962878228198476
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4506.923787687286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 666:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.96572670241732, b_new = 1.1447599940638908, c_new = 0.6923399490463791
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4119.4757871090205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 667:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8145102335094423, b_new = 0.3774970346525611, c_new = -0.7196300693199797
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3595.2399378330483
Acceptance probability: 1.5274215610468312e-225
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 668:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4151702247112397, b_new = 0.9300472805908361, c_new = 1.0088641012556032
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8484.645446616893
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 669:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7044676010489797, b_new = 0.6149953068307121, c_new = -0.8032825611270722
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12763.31553897847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 670:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7551038676407376, b_new = 1.457941206288333, c_new = -0.34407910351717813
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14008.043007385846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 671:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9547841983711205, b_new = 1.0813315651530049, c_new = -0.8770739527374356
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13367.776747512089
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 672:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.55163419293917, b_new = 0.3904903367109168, c_new = 0.9006898531402214
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7388.991920271688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 673:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1285920873091113, b_new = 1.4680096031241654, c_new = -0.9694881171092133
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11595.575633960212
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 674:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1734926233415686, b_new = 1.4071909458041132, c_new = -0.34176558129518975
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8574.455441506185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 675:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.149666395882936, b_new = 1.5653856837192643, c_new = -1.0592387583567002
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8239.742990709128
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 676:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1265874789827675, b_new = 1.3472853174174635, c_new = 0.2227951305938295
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7580.503951482715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 677:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.271602221469092, b_new = 0.660761085957116, c_new = 0.4157363996891848
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11099.26725835496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 678:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.232289697382082, b_new = 0.4026264488102867, c_new = -0.5287200423393762
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6972.446571496102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 679:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.826896419746599, b_new = 0.6880389165366521, c_new = -0.21728312830743485
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14275.025610238423
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 680:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3705476600831417, b_new = 1.4363270278945985, c_new = -0.534387197943257
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8612.172194948329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 681:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.923752937649692, b_new = 1.6612462979829732, c_new = -0.2907807190486692
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4229.123155870618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 682:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.149696472422118, b_new = 1.1184750708777462, c_new = -1.171441735840168
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6921.3950404418365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 683:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4884367208021088, b_new = 0.36959125467207743, c_new = -0.2166203411180953
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9079.750308687473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 684:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.720187267574135, b_new = 0.04999070022716112, c_new = -0.36583710307293776
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5384.278565417472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 685:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2669899811829453, b_new = 0.8825090162231077, c_new = -0.4262127290644999
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11042.201852861137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 686:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.147033369508094, b_new = 1.153304592155288, c_new = -0.10126633266677057
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7348.388375125232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 687:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7245466928104927, b_new = -0.08122942537499933, c_new = -1.1029892207561751
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5925.755112048984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 688:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6907089566463953, b_new = 0.7408448932874258, c_new = -1.3147936243528355
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4682.1330951745895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 689:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.876215287301723, b_new = 1.3482818359878779, c_new = -0.7237010578137211
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3314.2159838746693
Acceptance probability: 1.702595195586075e-103
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 690:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0345442133390677, b_new = 0.046042252263255645, c_new = -0.17026576414488875
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3369.409129543348
Acceptance probability: 1.8240334600908272e-127
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 691:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2795291333304273, b_new = -0.08387608927734869, c_new = -1.1644076255182334
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6511.145375976665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 692:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.834672100471943, b_new = 0.9805362820901273, c_new = -0.09118904110627082
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Acceptance probability: 3.8575718334807414
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 693:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.793932834761201, b_new = 0.6825149481370335, c_new = 0.3490830849241837
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13568.582232154036
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 694:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.472010281103297, b_new = 1.3924796874327146, c_new = 0.012500056971247744
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6713.388429917943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 695:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0988456725182956, b_new = 1.3109496058747783, c_new = -0.6634305277668177
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6506.644976070886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 696:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1299266440415776, b_new = 1.5824647622636312, c_new = 0.8791360638139274
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8634.704046883786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 697:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4817439139989887, b_new = 0.29581368422558163, c_new = -0.4892751170594716
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -9484.237937276383
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 698:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2062919119299433, b_new = 0.9922697476651199, c_new = -0.20860311748271157
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8152.58151206726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 699:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.132245594686547, b_new = 0.3358318530397234, c_new = -0.1366348221013236
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4923.633585048126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 700:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.47710652785022, b_new = 0.08529926857433612, c_new = -0.44231712795169764
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -15295.047705882755
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 701:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8002127066321254, b_new = 1.4797506599004793, c_new = -0.7342406397704041
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3103.131247410857
Acceptance probability: 2.078421574363024e-12
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 702:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4079133096387193, b_new = 1.3249037356958653, c_new = 0.1937599845378413
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -7984.37138726872
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 703:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.922015617394852, b_new = 0.5966278259228981, c_new = 0.8638821374360282
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3166.340409142973
Acceptance probability: 7.350950457960399e-40
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 704:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7048887833359028, b_new = 0.9238188498795378, c_new = 0.40284259242638487
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3754.930930514789
Acceptance probability: 1.7568228178269632e-295
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 705:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1357683532835323, b_new = 0.3369431221117781, c_new = 0.09273340774911903
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5042.359729631844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 706:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.854643986119222, b_new = 0.680134083935863, c_new = -0.7173451797034428
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13643.541248578143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 707:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8152682012148826, b_new = 0.32225398058016963, c_new = -1.3824305860879043
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3802.6911278873386
Acceptance probability: 3.1822756e-316
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 708:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.779169204573202, b_new = 0.5037047260374469, c_new = -0.16988708664190572
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3656.047246725194
Acceptance probability: 1.5465578993318496e-252
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 709:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3284344407850415, b_new = 0.882152819753836, c_new = -0.15405173767399344
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10041.263634384031
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 710:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8328495637221922, b_new = 1.8598098024179603, c_new = -0.4022219963685175
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13004.000763910168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 711:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.497183513459475, b_new = 1.201900013244604, c_new = -0.8850400920018634
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -7046.955608275545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 712:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7680993172245176, b_new = 1.5251283244577136, c_new = -0.5707363873149353
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3096.124416139712
Acceptance probability: 2.2948896035288977e-09
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 713:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.664614397207436, b_new = 1.2525086394923213, c_new = 0.17390061261799192
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13468.41635558745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 714:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0978290244294437, b_new = 0.14966634109444532, c_new = 0.06521797129379364
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4115.460278972765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 715:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.2704383209181949, b_new = 0.767066802430656, c_new = 0.1428179346834831
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -15959.68913680794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 716:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.107704096836704, b_new = 1.2499677329221661, c_new = -1.1706240154585508
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12178.083573880349
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 717:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4695627921481957, b_new = 0.3159324289625637, c_new = -0.07506980729463844
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -9459.084290153867
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 718:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.882395752013794, b_new = 1.19527666745986, c_new = 0.1421284978029239
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -14398.812887738379
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 719:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.740453083171392, b_new = 1.3418653438694041, c_new = 0.1936925061068154
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3166.2717301566454
Acceptance probability: 7.873546570487493e-40
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 720:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5875546682546755, b_new = 1.70327559758486, c_new = 0.1714632905776853
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13550.566126408648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 721:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.256909845117462, b_new = 0.6063616901929599, c_new = -0.0862585502544187
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8193.28240919454
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 722:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.377158048628456, b_new = -0.3476177638670357, c_new = -0.551732917478674
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12181.116945850325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 723:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.956114117047701, b_new = 0.7457812022371489, c_new = -0.1953038921916553
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3390.9156724708782
Acceptance probability: 2.1604581623223864e-137
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 724:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.333677784460221, b_new = 1.5091895818951968, c_new = 0.04846162832396314
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8803.609062462716
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 725:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.883456777461336, b_new = 1.2501918790552615, c_new = 0.0344566084661887
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3346.2655947949124
Acceptance probability: 5.318978217189166e-118
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 726:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0703155441259415, b_new = -0.44981620417312196, c_new = -0.1872303894421954
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13655.195082192593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 727:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9496218715119924, b_new = 1.3948210298876758, c_new = 0.5631130094036767
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4306.843523955109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 728:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9024058390214074, b_new = 0.11447023239292564, c_new = -0.4394124840515511
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3223.412925905671
Acceptance probability: 1.2024427203177224e-64
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 729:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.960542110606952, b_new = 1.3379866642904417, c_new = -0.4296542860447632
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4141.795864777601
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 730:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.979242075896218, b_new = 1.5832689117647485, c_new = -0.5970257290160775
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4842.854539749361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 731:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1207378533783663, b_new = 0.5022620964189992, c_new = -0.35351474381401715
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12894.172761915966
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 732:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7287745646025416, b_new = 1.0981676232685769, c_new = -1.1925899644612021
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3613.3390728955833
Acceptance probability: 5.461229279093589e-234
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 733:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4080918761673953, b_new = 1.0763300788283743, c_new = -1.3299781704992568
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -9153.1207611794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 734:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.062027614525602, b_new = 1.2666360450403655, c_new = -0.5903456091086692
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -14943.815676860653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 735:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1581864903420853, b_new = 0.8728513365492624, c_new = -0.3904200153994195
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12083.065729604532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 736:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2248068856446643, b_new = 0.6342958132888566, c_new = 0.37022879179846324
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -11624.472762724818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 737:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.999328863853592, b_new = 0.5231203702366232, c_new = -0.0815081348932767
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3527.37227579811
Acceptance probability: 1.1808534866604317e-196
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 738:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.650697857073074, b_new = 1.3747891150195002, c_new = -0.01806955982495982
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3822.8317318183126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 739:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.545219197210754, b_new = 0.60857610807558, c_new = 0.5633813423261252
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -11981.320457522605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 740:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.912184477309224, b_new = 0.637699261893308, c_new = 0.6837412139169292
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3139.918489631148
Acceptance probability: 2.194003626500469e-28
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 741:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.212313983820772, b_new = 1.1170222321572185, c_new = -0.158698464693717
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8641.15986071999
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 742:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9635453832484018, b_new = 1.9932390679633678, c_new = 0.29817671540050217
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5813.265917316174
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 743:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5606401366200724, b_new = 1.3998871619023447, c_new = 0.2765764976334507
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13051.719260802522
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 744:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.512668849887358, b_new = 1.2797110739997644, c_new = -0.07037440866643413
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12491.785414375418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 745:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.630296742400361, b_new = 0.03043198261397473, c_new = -0.23523790284451626
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -11669.053565157135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 746:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9119955796252044, b_new = 1.3139073112413722, c_new = 0.4718059865974975
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3709.3055031422286
Acceptance probability: 1.1470947863420504e-275
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 747:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0366883440727763, b_new = 0.9067396988811129, c_new = 0.686555275269649
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4714.361724249018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 748:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0000410034040352, b_new = 0.864247304431643, c_new = 0.2323235997918858
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4014.3089206065256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 749:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5637164679746416, b_new = 1.4456315488175124, c_new = -0.38017397131834463
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12970.44071623891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 750:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.12794251745724, b_new = -0.2055268248888631, c_new = -0.5475256530756553
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3896.3124350692133
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 751:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.450904205418356, b_new = 0.4251135323834331, c_new = 0.38474154450287823
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10804.883345694056
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 752:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8141331136347478, b_new = 1.081356971971485, c_new = -0.5766747463775266
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -14023.512458585621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 753:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5691387736159244, b_new = 0.749498557889227, c_new = -0.2168990235786713
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6525.393756527241
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 754:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8626831578105256, b_new = 1.050761875640411, c_new = 0.47698286261411904
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3142.79566252
Acceptance probability: 1.2350855252677159e-29
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 755:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1664919180694637, b_new = 0.6174990802086895, c_new = -0.9977101684220163
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5992.603770529173
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 756:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5447384224250307, b_new = 1.3474875894100729, c_new = -0.5350469244674037
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5621.543281365271
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 757:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9180195392772, b_new = 1.8460585666179492, c_new = 0.2553046550612792
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4627.206155827629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 758:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8650963121598294, b_new = 1.0233800200474672, c_new = 0.41672860541298806
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3136.1177556401176
Acceptance probability: 9.814657316012654e-27
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 759:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9369227642248426, b_new = 0.7370145212906153, c_new = -1.4574213398666898
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3226.589642044393
Acceptance probability: 5.016884559133823e-66
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 760:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.129286087298517, b_new = 0.940807449097272, c_new = -0.24794268778105627
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6294.210080463205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 761:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3328840259500683, b_new = 1.2372872781438324, c_new = -0.5706083224779694
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10666.353649893048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 762:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.721712305754991, b_new = 1.0227579334563226, c_new = -0.5419180214234217
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3643.688978730165
Acceptance probability: 3.601585918770848e-247
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 763:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7123812660020943, b_new = 1.29249565080948, c_new = 0.02571338522898152
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3360.3567064237022
Acceptance probability: 4.037719892656324e-124
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 764:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.889861713285248, b_new = 0.8730410387035472, c_new = 0.3014785039249911
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3150.691547718905
Acceptance probability: 4.597880295576748e-33
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 765:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0872990049254283, b_new = 0.6364850939742104, c_new = 0.615007539036889
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4977.64788127786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 766:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.91705034882451, b_new = 0.7065144226106377, c_new = 0.09848572845886588
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3168.496023397999
Acceptance probability: 8.514754283855787e-41
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 767:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2487230460147534, b_new = 0.9371042964638805, c_new = -0.741828362692112
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8674.685143586146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 768:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2768487238456436, b_new = 1.3049869356238877, c_new = -0.5904289731359653
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10063.8781949558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 769:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.610893963380815, b_new = 1.1629951505126086, c_new = 0.15537161458340956
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4659.111207033429
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 770:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.440416590640226, b_new = 0.37913120534668354, c_new = -0.3886985235144955
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10412.853568273824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 771:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0344993251997194, b_new = 1.9468498531069862, c_new = -0.607436588643771
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6911.338150881336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 772:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.995227193362223, b_new = 0.9007621452363642, c_new = 0.21396200548735714
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4007.9090368419575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 773:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.571973484887666, b_new = 1.2533840382163604, c_new = 0.6924114299010238
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13043.702409439516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 774:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.221827588981503, b_new = 0.9480992200738296, c_new = -0.786206664393049
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8148.645394457643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 775:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.815360506345866, b_new = 0.9918336702168452, c_new = -0.06549014552083286
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3091.4284905619766
Acceptance probability: 2.512906700334644e-07
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 776:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6543739342487216, b_new = 1.0862310654485179, c_new = -0.1511592056622857
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4243.632720239306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 777:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7635588718653874, b_new = -0.5323215129564713, c_new = -0.6703550720311151
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -15773.423227110321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 778:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3635898059773037, b_new = 2.1722096912495394, c_new = -0.1304757446084934
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6906.671754440458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 779:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0688923995882518, b_new = 0.8016322001412088, c_new = -0.338858726514781
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12837.17852468129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 780:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.553132182911825, b_new = 1.1432717983999727, c_new = 0.3728435866307398
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5638.913755056777
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 781:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.417152322701572, b_new = 1.4202283807219742, c_new = 0.12165736913729999
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -7624.863965730321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 782:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9419308879572066, b_new = 1.9402173575415524, c_new = 0.46301127162840505
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5310.0915767245315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 783:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7955835167655843, b_new = 0.4205546849688111, c_new = -0.0018060608944350243
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3571.7296491010666
Acceptance probability: 6.427373813814906e-216
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 784:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9031077211011114, b_new = 1.0541061895767065, c_new = 0.2811920121297521
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13362.347088900173
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 785:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4140892338820326, b_new = 2.0301137875768074, c_new = -0.05903913734647064
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12797.755098117006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 786:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6040743843439556, b_new = 1.9035276916857105, c_new = -0.17194695869736182
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3679.082805241088
Acceptance probability: 1.53161719202275e-262
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 787:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7432087726892815, b_new = 0.957266009725996, c_new = -0.1362615704622547
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3459.444337033334
Acceptance probability: 3.740459776469891e-167
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 788:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3757235615974115, b_new = 0.5118736181814227, c_new = -0.023237203285443236
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10327.307833927016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 789:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.939895789012891, b_new = 0.803400184008155, c_new = 0.5053749233581203
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3390.3096518251173
Acceptance probability: 3.9603838688662086e-137
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 790:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.459727654366527, b_new = 1.0417986968118307, c_new = -0.7943708244009542
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8138.499181725351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 791:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6370475080872944, b_new = 1.9000100191045823, c_new = 0.1948668755111366
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3372.569977259066
Acceptance probability: 2.00437998645887e-129
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 792:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.500818415906954, b_new = 1.656793705288409, c_new = -0.3075813271404759
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5640.955388407746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 793:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6509979236392063, b_new = 0.2725658677815095, c_new = 0.8437816079654392
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5712.461617888208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 794:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.704824125769327, b_new = 1.0070307455004084, c_new = -0.5295144626238258
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3833.3460037092073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 795:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.530068076989058, b_new = 0.8547907777327748, c_new = -0.39377773015962414
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -7108.062240535052
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 796:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.145051794555474, b_new = 0.15445284528495307, c_new = 0.22217197865154978
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4851.889794607244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 797:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4504776663367993, b_new = -0.0786664261583152, c_new = -0.6997934803122875
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10863.381158242959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 798:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7321681229919905, b_new = 0.677544976553206, c_new = 0.8120688025376636
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3711.264064967637
Acceptance probability: 1.6181050474764448e-276
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 799:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.896621122122851, b_new = 0.8286251505843225, c_new = 0.007835182813354727
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3145.1075864631894
Acceptance probability: 1.2236049377512526e-30
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 800:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5448368673329247, b_new = 0.8743888136579444, c_new = -0.8947933566401203
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6960.811393955869
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 801:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9999359048186598, b_new = 1.3587393590495596, c_new = -0.27814525850944194
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12542.883743158727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 802:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.617535505437893, b_new = 0.8578044412700598, c_new = 0.2756087730287382
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5147.855565290649
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 803:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3719331543729507, b_new = 0.8371283052165831, c_new = -0.40790822601736054
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10436.64866571871
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 804:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.274188162510178, b_new = 1.4715985494671304, c_new = -0.4309133097431517
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10427.466887358882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 805:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.516354154414583, b_new = 1.369792258204659, c_new = -0.36350913811125307
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6047.951456577264
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 806:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.335346294138228, b_new = 1.3298389029677309, c_new = -0.11852571826135958
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10992.125988389425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 807:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6315176574056247, b_new = 2.320933057813365, c_new = -0.004191769398043013
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3205.4395445425075
Acceptance probability: 7.687847229955001e-57
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 808:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.55041912562048, b_new = 0.4821827832393707, c_new = 0.2243756501956122
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -11762.913333433702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 809:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2832225766808034, b_new = 0.5976185822858753, c_new = -0.11127457083130766
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8677.121471959203
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 810:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.229590442680406, b_new = 1.6020540330789819, c_new = -1.0187250861724322
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -9868.693009438
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 811:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6885017735589622, b_new = 0.7696001812224337, c_new = 0.9134026093609957
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4059.813573409813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 812:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0724849893962456, b_new = 1.0041554121261311, c_new = 0.3233917182166758
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5468.908298376646
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 813:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2909891206389417, b_new = 2.235141038320773, c_new = 0.3641302096512907
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -7809.820035663109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 814:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8998650893654303, b_new = 1.0455732340481143, c_new = 0.25198105793603054
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3303.692898486409
Acceptance probability: 1.6402698354048138e-99
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 815:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4309081772174643, b_new = 0.7676270128766601, c_new = -0.43827927219967266
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -9156.852809673983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 816:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.500883636602323, b_new = 1.1767896122358215, c_new = -0.33664941640436774
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6825.908007000586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 817:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3617328571581364, b_new = 1.5744057499646131, c_new = 0.35490496999594845
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -11812.297957430439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 818:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5496796552114946, b_new = 0.3950449743581319, c_new = -0.7500651569190647
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8109.363029634824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 819:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1947007098936573, b_new = 1.2953573401299099, c_new = -0.33317750636201016
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -11037.414213535221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 820:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7300930783632666, b_new = 0.49808763499759096, c_new = -0.11367944899703764
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12927.418182467343
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 821:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.503155520563345, b_new = 1.3426912732168474, c_new = 0.10949534788567891
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12551.88238260707
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 822:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4596591509991566, b_new = 0.9812981416300239, c_new = -0.021967276859440013
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -7985.424983300741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 823:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.803928522234613, b_new = 1.1011491816094563, c_new = 0.11906280910180259
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3081.2216700781173
Acceptance probability: 0.00680678727424603
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 824:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.713700224043016, b_new = 0.5104379509340178, c_new = 0.07829259738727637
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -14817.666199466115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 825:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.585073343203291, b_new = 1.2512689653593838, c_new = -0.25090777412249576
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12898.117275250077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 826:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8380080120083724, b_new = 0.6554616387396816, c_new = 0.26979286642434974
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3114.985966017733
Acceptance probability: 1.4767084714857615e-17
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 827:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.18975404984214, b_new = 1.069459322331072, c_new = 0.021285555254952293
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -11351.240628195304
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 828:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1213581823547023, b_new = 1.631933958830854, c_new = -0.1030673772730561
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -11119.803678616267
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 829:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7167825844739415, b_new = 1.964813966640102, c_new = -0.9796800927014024
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3120.944102220801
Acceptance probability: 3.816885138275616e-20
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 830:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9463454953514807, b_new = 1.0715989856582522, c_new = -0.08315183371083527
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3658.8836572916616
Acceptance probability: 9.06835944690574e-254
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 831:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.103746830228484, b_new = -0.3471317415998241, c_new = -0.4543855505556783
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3535.5150882130533
Acceptance probability: 3.434136213562303e-200
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 832:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.003501131292888, b_new = 0.7737423048748477, c_new = 0.4353170402341583
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3955.608802800556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 833:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3578445437623397, b_new = 1.1761748058243227, c_new = -0.7046794416493866
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -9435.344747317848
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 834:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9399910839812815, b_new = 1.2718930323656719, c_new = 0.3275464610819291
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3929.955772770464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 835:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7877530029264728, b_new = 0.9158544670092728, c_new = -0.8190995300096369
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3294.8781957878164
Acceptance probability: 1.1043126317521884e-95
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 836:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6517905129180854, b_new = 1.0423760139214746, c_new = 0.16127919739828814
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4276.113265816888
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 837:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6173300723811557, b_new = 0.9823282195165166, c_new = 0.007431854211350369
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4964.725890165782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 838:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8414203555182285, b_new = 0.8878212087960093, c_new = 0.39075236338798713
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Acceptance probability: 61655.821479145045
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 839:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1413409340920757, b_new = 0.8101685624292532, c_new = 0.7500797333261973
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6549.101710241416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 840:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.489668659260971, b_new = 1.7997754994641695, c_new = 0.4487540929086352
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5293.484186422694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 841:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3715137836388753, b_new = 1.5017142593559836, c_new = 0.14268337085762609
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11726.10382412045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 842:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5530343633139063, b_new = 1.6033311642164598, c_new = 0.296452736411354
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4680.332063628811
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 843:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0471797870545556, b_new = 0.524695408994976, c_new = 1.0789577549658822
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4242.526244837183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 844:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5026002117122284, b_new = 1.3292105961692124, c_new = -0.09455240454105335
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6318.018852427745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 845:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.298633875970446, b_new = 1.1506241719297168, c_new = 0.292524569213212
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10326.301924721341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 846:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.231490029741729, b_new = 0.16862928568249058, c_new = 0.7638716304780032
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6754.317051751463
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 847:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.2722508532388057, b_new = 1.2959350027720324, c_new = -0.0150841950012926
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -15607.767081804692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 848:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.089303124706353, b_new = 1.4233277147505823, c_new = 0.6851664671959894
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11488.911884282037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 849:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.111476118099788, b_new = 1.260219684336854, c_new = 0.2325345579001661
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6979.257154328066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 850:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.470694070870116, b_new = 1.6039272128270556, c_new = 0.5035069894054787
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6059.209242750127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 851:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.169418105157579, b_new = 1.0586995033825104, c_new = 0.57537182554111
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11380.45517687701
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 852:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.647789446455375, b_new = 0.8141975570397197, c_new = -0.23174176481291997
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4883.31275016704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 853:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0449638657224383, b_new = 0.5335982042017261, c_new = 0.5285294144924085
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4117.800006021528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 854:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6816953843961397, b_new = 1.5416679771374566, c_new = 0.6176039704999532
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3306.0009412672957
Acceptance probability: 2.6458850111753716e-105
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 855:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.275019169372443, b_new = 1.0418011165879095, c_new = 0.32619302376587445
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9753.770496216199
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 856:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801533123174502, b_new = 0.301311994437796, c_new = 0.05672626109967133
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3647.9335205347643
Acceptance probability: 8.377966264058505e-254
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 857:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2726528310670715, b_new = 1.464476902727645, c_new = -0.2545299663415127
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10448.1343723311
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 858:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8920874459106858, b_new = 1.319727881771238, c_new = -0.9204431537429935
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13454.5244195876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 859:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8492274168958764, b_new = -0.37111928440608155, c_new = 0.3543657734455195
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4019.319670639661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 860:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.053353960524115, b_new = 1.0029108713379566, c_new = 0.4014791827128842
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5131.531479049717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 861:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.164781029937835, b_new = 1.4184329170110486, c_new = -0.4020956838243497
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8397.446474220309
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 862:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.044351437144474, b_new = 0.9879094929144254, c_new = 0.5558746659899788
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12485.416574697256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 863:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.012344205314634, b_new = 1.4855368272572451, c_new = 0.26012671257109415
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5468.117627664094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 864:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5453075923420885, b_new = -0.08435681430448705, c_new = 0.14225972290800976
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10866.07031296462
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 865:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7077483982380954, b_new = 0.4583194599892561, c_new = 0.5852049698659884
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12901.004582947775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 866:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.545173731203598, b_new = 0.5339824982993094, c_new = -0.2023421789694605
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7585.414402849623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 867:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1513777124173683, b_new = 1.3992174345779123, c_new = 0.5741819558890637
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8437.48591438478
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 868:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7551745062980304, b_new = 0.9834378180425389, c_new = 0.18933757570089935
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3307.5030104467223
Acceptance probability: 5.891564138393428e-106
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 869:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.00983224712264, b_new = 1.390311796826252, c_new = -0.38643942762784567
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12464.580737558743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 870:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5818617232664254, b_new = 0.591175448233406, c_new = 0.505194027752423
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6402.563394183997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 871:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3950729904623187, b_new = 1.2331240248870337, c_new = 1.0847173145460036
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11780.80853997831
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 872:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.475163065113767, b_new = 1.186610784328467, c_new = 0.5576295679914431
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6966.268571886933
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 873:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.398238643499075, b_new = 1.133674396920815, c_new = -0.5725342690042983
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -15708.052025071122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 874:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.262112258734489, b_new = 1.2144634913500996, c_new = 0.07561346365517746
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9860.730850740538
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 875:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5648209250074, b_new = 1.8814627226328273, c_new = 0.1540121913633725
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4081.6553649973853
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 876:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.530455429484958, b_new = 1.7301749301705363, c_new = 0.5688322788501321
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4723.5858516150765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 877:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981429274943429, b_new = 0.8563052160909466, c_new = -0.20806530719332783
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3723.567950127329
Acceptance probability: 1.1899348753531126e-286
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 878:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.241547102735666, b_new = 1.3570170612356762, c_new = 0.6559864942397646
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10067.110801664823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 879:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.550365844444513, b_new = 0.725192688347704, c_new = 0.7554514530566265
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6592.966763172139
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 880:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.754822758902665, b_new = 1.3411544774628, c_new = 0.17008952121519771
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3121.970098099124
Acceptance probability: 2.2189660314543004e-25
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 881:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9132559849957982, b_new = 1.418806374273585, c_new = 1.4722407440663772
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12542.140290589352
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 882:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6632835222766693, b_new = -0.18183425320153845, c_new = 0.2961390139213821
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -15541.346626950537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 883:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.531355951262117, b_new = 0.5115199883515716, c_new = -0.2949370862640931
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7959.137175931364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 884:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0604843662542676, b_new = 0.7947726014558667, c_new = 0.22811506855631272
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4757.857635276734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 885:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7395348859673856, b_new = 0.36109568422814176, c_new = -0.23288124874823324
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12802.37867666368
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 886:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.979440923096041, b_new = 0.6770287755904172, c_new = 0.09554353598649401
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14315.615482727555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 887:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4667744147614057, b_new = 1.424190281194716, c_new = 0.05132517664713221
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6721.224518438887
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 888:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5772898979456857, b_new = 0.40592811625680675, c_new = -0.2556683332160634
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7302.934811498728
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 889:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5615252829275037, b_new = 0.633126757835551, c_new = 0.36849167373651814
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6757.3338478867745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 890:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8942795976272233, b_new = 1.0763858441422183, c_new = 0.7939922306216061
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14470.388878495143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 891:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0028371656219597, b_new = 1.321703841787464, c_new = 0.3366587000020187
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12392.027740920608
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 892:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.375581571504983, b_new = 1.4870257171674939, c_new = -0.174894173320437
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8283.522903063824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 893:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.122429290476135, b_new = 0.6512418058163472, c_new = 0.5624139726338716
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5653.547554699988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 894:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.637144705435459, b_new = 0.06712337984484751, c_new = 0.9546833395195546
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6484.68909197895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 895:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.987927081799585, b_new = 1.179968775411311, c_new = 0.10248107434985615
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4355.425056980497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 896:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7574500974553806, b_new = 0.8367661060902247, c_new = 1.116921174302521
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3295.991152711313
Acceptance probability: 5.885276898335481e-101
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 897:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5951393622371652, b_new = 1.6772169234661638, c_new = 0.3298233204637044
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3974.1184050166394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 898:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.460887003704674, b_new = 0.29848689477512746, c_new = 1.209410686740327
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10919.659373969225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 899:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9007919134438858, b_new = 0.7853510348357505, c_new = 1.671540748441131
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3238.786931008586
Acceptance probability: 4.1043532101850264e-76
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 900:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.717173076324835, b_new = 1.3661195166973634, c_new = 0.53636973517439
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3229.131502345913
Acceptance probability: 6.405368454209394e-72
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 901:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.943424769879583, b_new = 0.7135247222793877, c_new = 0.00394240917540406
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13615.730107337678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 902:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8621311121825155, b_new = 0.041739643680755334, c_new = 0.6705707478886576
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3330.9525159390787
Acceptance probability: 3.8569123663616977e-116
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 903:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.508771784749576, b_new = 1.2862601079633236, c_new = -0.1049405231211118
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6308.452452704965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 904:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0891738894783383, b_new = 2.1587744550693024, c_new = 0.7222587133655232
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9400.810748240263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 905:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2574485889099267, b_new = 1.9112699537361786, c_new = -0.5619712902232448
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9240.045066864124
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 906:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.886916932389291, b_new = 0.14477247427461548, c_new = 0.5673401770373366
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3152.1463910727152
Acceptance probability: 1.7408170485085775e-38
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 907:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0866363883272645, b_new = 1.5690583339959896, c_new = 0.6233260690294937
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7487.70057409098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 908:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.149477124679213, b_new = 1.2854727477717534, c_new = -0.4580026469530084
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7652.753849276052
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 909:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.483061423849231, b_new = 0.24662867691127166, c_new = -0.5491441439071324
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9605.923399965928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 910:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.649472856390558, b_new = 1.4645551805330062, c_new = 0.6730361123246495
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3609.772879619691
Acceptance probability: 3.133966735986927e-237
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 911:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7295484214625603, b_new = 0.8866636972308317, c_new = 0.6998078415660769
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3512.3344647322338
Acceptance probability: 6.502199548058063e-195
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 912:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.693347521385315, b_new = 0.8939960537220988, c_new = 0.06256931470619459
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3999.5717781099597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 913:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.223196206426464, b_new = -0.2899407180436422, c_new = -0.026404361854318437
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13180.488066945763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 914:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.58294852983379, b_new = 0.8807668748080718, c_new = 0.09244468226797692
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5799.333488994564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 915:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.910123494936186, b_new = 0.7045879241807772, c_new = 1.0795732007583911
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3186.4777809832744
Acceptance probability: 2.1420023207471514e-53
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 916:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7655286276632927, b_new = 0.19531875261123333, c_new = 0.6899715597473065
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4053.3296344798223
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 917:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9390503823402723, b_new = 1.1429939579561392, c_new = 0.8081117238628381
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3819.7078455290743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 918:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.20131669866869, b_new = 1.5060036570038904, c_new = 0.47663233532493815
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9694.606261627685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 919:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.048852631767541, b_new = 0.5766443564190686, c_new = 0.3967505863487117
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4214.739602352594
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 920:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.969504183443316, b_new = 0.9348453360567176, c_new = 0.4199747792594747
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3795.9711071845163
Acceptance probability: 4.27791e-318
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 921:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.758884662772098, b_new = 0.42902797701499246, c_new = 0.3528422850624455
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3855.597657085378
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 922:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.570392762431927, b_new = 0.5740036039975697, c_new = -0.31108768834052203
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7008.352018591631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 923:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.622210086078024, b_new = 0.8630699735999626, c_new = -0.1589666291482772
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5194.535797207557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 924:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3895375984892477, b_new = 0.28362350179353535, c_new = -0.33231745776842414
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10736.936586423579
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 925:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7159142588147387, b_new = 0.8779540813758521, c_new = 1.0020487078386224
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3595.049829141926
Acceptance probability: 7.766654068047923e-231
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 926:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.044917394410499, b_new = 0.5122482284331739, c_new = 0.21105121312769703
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4026.935359975802
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 927:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8763985529458624, b_new = 1.1974433160933744, c_new = 0.30632614718930995
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3284.998639809788
Acceptance probability: 3.4974748186031075e-96
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 928:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3009185771529967, b_new = 0.5871499249197656, c_new = 0.33395964194528743
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9119.35491942563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 929:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8098932813129185, b_new = 0.5400256770378344, c_new = 0.9829018062595745
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3219.336000067281
Acceptance probability: 1.149944032021842e-67
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 930:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6876990196827046, b_new = 1.4525902771255466, c_new = 0.6985001054691282
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13914.300425679117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 931:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2399623475206103, b_new = 0.7596285389370474, c_new = 0.610555320598371
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11186.481982440808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 932:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2842332352570365, b_new = 0.15936423621740015, c_new = -0.15944758270402748
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12045.700438594798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 933:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.954722693142579, b_new = 0.8717828163146412, c_new = -0.09930660578271983
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3508.1386778488986
Acceptance probability: 4.3178483412181243e-193
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 934:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6859159696398374, b_new = 1.066362383252149, c_new = -0.8987400042616168
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4050.008957223501
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 935:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7026580000087765, b_new = 1.1983053505931067, c_new = 0.5019742052246091
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13680.798462753275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 936:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374629000259223, b_new = 0.8817478060620015, c_new = 1.0441517515606358
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10965.612951667958
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 937:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.676399182344303, b_new = 0.6057425550670446, c_new = 0.7269698958116755
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12916.225985831099
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 938:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.100220967783362, b_new = 0.8313339006397082, c_new = 0.5838589331201949
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5668.019792786504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 939:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.199522217441083, b_new = 0.562080929990656, c_new = 0.6699881030844017
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7112.619392591175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 940:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230856331945505, b_new = 1.1278904974583719, c_new = 0.7465554518191795
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9363.689895321842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 941:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6582003581166553, b_new = 1.333359500755856, c_new = 0.4769713380077375
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3707.2701211728954
Acceptance probability: 1.4242308056953496e-279
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 942:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6234295774642593, b_new = 1.3309584958964762, c_new = 0.08688163200240812
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13306.312277314646
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 943:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8498223230720447, b_new = 2.3844357284018534, c_new = -0.18326395857734623
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4547.247099830907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 944:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.609295961111781, b_new = 1.5840152193599306, c_new = 0.5800726952278201
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13631.073646597115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 945:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1040163514630206, b_new = 1.0621817932966433, c_new = -0.2841837930043031
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6064.439482056796
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 946:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3775623732283617, b_new = 0.33935108031072936, c_new = 1.211040709004024
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10200.02379746495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 947:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5657290394430925, b_new = 1.6862074489504768, c_new = -0.14633997988021752
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13329.742449006475
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 948:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.89373896600388, b_new = 1.2053026405149174, c_new = 1.085594222895574
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3504.8655317422263
Acceptance probability: 1.1396635983588945e-191
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 949:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9685836660670244, b_new = 0.38115709140385956, c_new = 0.2804271238166142
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3233.545953267607
Acceptance probability: 7.7512624278551e-74
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 950:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5116525327190242, b_new = 1.2659749966664144, c_new = 0.009662635971242506
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6261.624278522525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 951:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.486114126532646, b_new = 1.5487326077035375, c_new = 1.421395318676482
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5617.95950360422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 952:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7802169860194477, b_new = 0.6013207999024586, c_new = -0.2625433822806319
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3549.8178123088137
Acceptance probability: 3.4217578935908305e-211
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 953:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3149705055959053, b_new = 1.0583371587915869, c_new = 0.2614876818970263
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10347.118016590255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 954:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3092592705465145, b_new = 0.6148545670317748, c_new = 0.7373567257123075
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10654.879232645095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 955:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.080680387347774, b_new = 1.9981257601985456, c_new = 1.6818143704783775
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9156.388121214168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 956:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3642866821468242, b_new = 1.4242657256810358, c_new = -0.6574218201651613
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11307.179101511436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 957:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.384474630963925, b_new = 0.8218234944744998, c_new = 0.47650683024877394
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10801.967075831704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 958:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0537646404132683, b_new = 1.000889320139548, c_new = -0.18643001761791045
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12624.813485605886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 959:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4920326680355758, b_new = 0.9071388882435126, c_new = -0.5138492599083051
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11710.35447167358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 960:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.738306118254906, b_new = 0.8461729660437582, c_new = -0.47203750475972506
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3686.030684365045
Acceptance probability: 2.3864403285738626e-270
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 961:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6596149737002213, b_new = -0.12390781734802658, c_new = -0.38931820935647576
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11656.856074870719
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 962:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.882091573667238, b_new = 1.071203804978027, c_new = 0.5320326198325087
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14364.595896054263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 963:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1555502876830417, b_new = 0.980366975046292, c_new = 0.4875789951852392
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11656.294690112936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 964:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2854837387164624, b_new = 1.522017826448813, c_new = 0.41104370925777217
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10937.051445954761
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 965:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2655109139153016, b_new = 0.944248191067914, c_new = 0.7761195411829407
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10527.75843637613
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 966:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.394949520047503, b_new = 1.5732789593104095, c_new = 1.4105410559196243
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7217.780118705692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 967:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.400188953568609, b_new = 1.1800013699827638, c_new = 0.03497804223569162
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8510.569263115112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 968:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8725442134239456, b_new = 1.703032464444143, c_new = -0.04282310972708919
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3736.7521481555864
Acceptance probability: 2.2371687348414503e-292
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 969:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.303280162702367, b_new = 0.2996440123324069, c_new = -0.4215638082338127
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11713.437225622514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 970:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6384715462815134, b_new = 1.5747582429588423, c_new = -0.5785954853861144
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3799.1898002105836
Acceptance probability: 1.7115e-319
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 971:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094918437232994, b_new = 1.262490381955844, c_new = 0.6751746717464269
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6776.499666765723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 972:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0739777225733524, b_new = 1.1497131780512735, c_new = 0.5350044537616103
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12053.805704943607
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 973:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4995705252353497, b_new = 0.622525166642441, c_new = 0.5308776175884319
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7938.488704021063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 974:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.172604067322096, b_new = 1.4214114198080279, c_new = 0.9554879701365998
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9109.178470747436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 975:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.656908135725189, b_new = 0.7254036238627952, c_new = 0.6122458513783695
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4665.000358305222
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 976:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.78333921050052, b_new = 1.3837605492790286, c_new = 1.3385939809199403
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3101.109639842204
Acceptance probability: 2.5452624176919177e-16
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 977:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6537438640928555, b_new = 1.123094981422304, c_new = 0.21446282969108404
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4104.272213353968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 978:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4318645415481894, b_new = 1.1693207802224477, c_new = 0.41737220585911694
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11824.885457479004
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 979:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.129001146434975, b_new = 0.9744453981304367, c_new = 0.27842202467691546
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11954.680406362286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 980:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.154433709844341, b_new = 1.1438129778621446, c_new = 1.1706202406142348
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7990.952324990744
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 981:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5252816721926186, b_new = 0.7319996949926122, c_new = -0.2298390199408028
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7463.214065888385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 982:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5028465653102185, b_new = 2.359128428364193, c_new = 0.2759009419551431
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13856.80723439073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 983:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.430201305387479, b_new = 1.665891340982053, c_new = 0.12993889476293097
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6794.933496858552
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 984:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8810210696127405, b_new = 0.8977853833889001, c_new = 1.0706124466565243
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3168.2915449076463
Acceptance probability: 1.6943452569967097e-45
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 985:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.475144583360203, b_new = 1.5422584226583373, c_new = 0.10721559550689275
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12618.064001417426
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 986:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.857082005055857, b_new = 0.6335408897211977, c_new = 0.08964033566917967
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3091.971760053883
Acceptance probability: 2.3673547015877824e-12
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 987:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.243188200089949, b_new = 0.4512553391297417, c_new = -0.053831482859007185
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11900.17441175118
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 988:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7155821896296573, b_new = 0.633347125283769, c_new = 0.6959198137925052
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3983.071343948434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 989:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.282398363749543, b_new = 0.4871183819628571, c_new = 0.2133048761497692
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8489.725488209626
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 990:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.140774344543017, b_new = 0.6809028149417491, c_new = -0.15403817119132512
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5878.665260157726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 991:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.351386267996823, b_new = 1.2641987499120861, c_new = -0.08233845400954687
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9112.600188526249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 992:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.657003074089468, b_new = 1.2594812587648023, c_new = 0.7455529347493972
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3764.564216159538
Acceptance probability: 1.8666851684914697e-304
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 993:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8700617305885356, b_new = 1.1612322885528414, c_new = 0.6575023156947946
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3252.7713444097403
Acceptance probability: 3.466499606325991e-82
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 994:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3325927577542505, b_new = 0.008284778486816302, c_new = 0.8229344006027615
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11486.854668421649
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 995:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.158280055264519, b_new = 1.2296966649852943, c_new = 0.4490737031734602
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8040.111387702158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 996:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.095759738531339, b_new = 0.7121039950407044, c_new = 0.9657544614274384
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5405.848525571344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 997:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7872163035450486, b_new = 0.9264625312976066, c_new = 0.2813092079258053
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3170.0386416266297
Acceptance probability: 2.9528912087543755e-46
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 998:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.961508249158826, b_new = 1.3136202544843945, c_new = 0.2237439668720593
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4250.054211544766
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 999:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4065695203186457, b_new = 0.39724692700259284, c_new = 0.1450603946688081
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10098.56842954905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1000:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8078099424800165, b_new = 1.2905408063352162, c_new = 0.07302868131020057
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3083.3406405204173
Acceptance probability: 1.3265111943848552e-08
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1001:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.847232976807132, b_new = 0.5772342947302056, c_new = -0.534605722787401
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3193.2192421821564
Acceptance probability: 2.529534099974062e-56
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1002:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.94748693671722, b_new = 0.7021618000348986, c_new = -0.000499975624750848
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3313.921052013541
Acceptance probability: 9.614142897806505e-109
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1003:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0307864478277087, b_new = 0.6680439650410509, c_new = -0.4002203941006741
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13280.603291404417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1004:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1041035007096784, b_new = 1.135617575613063, c_new = 1.2672274911264059
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6845.7653316088745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1005:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.735693267999591, b_new = 0.5811203505938193, c_new = 0.9075029180030691
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3782.2533378483486
Acceptance probability: 3.8795659385e-312
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1006:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.631736661897427, b_new = 1.0674143432840402, c_new = 0.42081200012690295
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13123.097863304902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1007:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8080183341029223, b_new = 1.0158018390050256, c_new = -0.26903561179575886
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3111.3148266303233
Acceptance probability: 9.411877284793402e-21
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1008:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.410281276140915, b_new = 0.9649664646110412, c_new = -0.02097870341595509
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11179.594345183414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1009:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.638311468113171, b_new = 1.3194830242332993, c_new = 0.6050568909395967
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13498.115681204401
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1010:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.723308930407344, b_new = 1.1993850745702224, c_new = 0.9918000118202026
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3257.7503575944797
Acceptance probability: 2.3852461512447787e-84
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1011:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.774921536038534, b_new = 1.5898284893785615, c_new = 0.6725253150093862
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3120.908652785025
Acceptance probability: 6.414022760882121e-25
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1012:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8279465294953456, b_new = 1.587188610798293, c_new = 0.7388880240686231
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3351.6514903052384
Acceptance probability: 3.951749645550214e-125
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1013:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2187647387624763, b_new = 1.2165987550939712, c_new = 0.6197210383304089
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9322.989145347521
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1014:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2821651102315124, b_new = 0.7064599806717158, c_new = 0.8729292218442317
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10744.454003758408
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1015:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.872983860912446, b_new = 1.160098610215501, c_new = 0.8363542158696268
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3284.717112192756
Acceptance probability: 4.6346878234182385e-96
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1016:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.76117866230262, b_new = 0.9332404046112506, c_new = 0.11743881776275361
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3317.8712561525354
Acceptance probability: 1.850796684891973e-110
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1017:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4198081602648096, b_new = 0.6104004271366148, c_new = 0.6630681748784836
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9259.310370891613
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1018:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0898871112316835, b_new = 1.0344901385107705, c_new = 0.4540875641092207
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5939.662679375899
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1019:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374836556722646, b_new = 0.02898763257854453, c_new = 1.4331294213788364
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9398.99318323075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1020:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1213794570960847, b_new = 0.45612359125396473, c_new = 0.12632829420770997
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5055.143882380954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1021:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.796284076320441, b_new = 1.112681474061713, c_new = 0.6578259226293942
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14066.289285522756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1022:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.787822394230168, b_new = 0.8083159009047651, c_new = -0.05453063110819467
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13583.008879040917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1023:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.144970261537335, b_new = 1.278471373786344, c_new = -0.14244193000857452
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7651.775468907899
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1024:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3434828271612185, b_new = 1.1692890752437683, c_new = 0.41409570615884495
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10950.516852165387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1025:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.87318539161181, b_new = 0.7831707355731764, c_new = 0.6096152032556285
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3081.5003122960184
Acceptance probability: 8.35517040990302e-08
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1026:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2692073517960685, b_new = 0.7894849692607697, c_new = 0.7549197648458138
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9203.179487144364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1027:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.187981695774974, b_new = 0.5905812716383245, c_new = 0.5446295356773775
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6892.815653105389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1028:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7308370781758557, b_new = 0.5342240246036901, c_new = 0.6828549295079787
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3952.202330886499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1029:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8876602791893475, b_new = 1.044263801525912, c_new = 0.32371399300964687
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3239.0913463330835
Acceptance probability: 3.02718409105314e-76
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1030:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.425313519427705, b_new = 0.7133293772740871, c_new = 0.6065935630545817
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11084.504998186268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1031:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7379663291489478, b_new = 0.4249600687706297, c_new = 0.9973569380936189
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13134.237651395846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1032:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.009061206327521, b_new = 0.4480792272147768, c_new = -0.35886890824717965
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14151.302537351763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1033:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.128287285216175, b_new = 0.306213689653017, c_new = -0.7136248364879813
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4673.675621839029
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1034:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.234893121542945, b_new = 1.668904860246278, c_new = 0.809055977693756
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10717.891847080318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1035:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4306775483761633, b_new = 1.1696871586450686, c_new = 0.04863301884970361
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11716.336718721883
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1036:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.917031946567125, b_new = 0.7520821115882685, c_new = 0.5354624991520581
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3214.1924340542814
Acceptance probability: 1.9701488541848235e-65
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1037:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5105459584060594, b_new = 2.117782398302846, c_new = -0.0679811773602843
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13536.488097588233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1038:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.192888691930774, b_new = 0.10254208861034686, c_new = -0.055059711598962946
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12847.00652840598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1039:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6088404465987503, b_new = 0.6842270034951483, c_new = -0.00972156036402344
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5820.23349348687
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1040:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.421095760622913, b_new = 0.5192785740579049, c_new = 1.1650993674480694
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10866.187582424065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1041:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.307785149771981, b_new = 0.7273274979559575, c_new = 0.4908876234019977
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9609.11256714907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1042:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3293058845687145, b_new = 0.9972816122071316, c_new = 0.572356452356908
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10507.971865278441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1043:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8136071909243348, b_new = 0.24891450765318535, c_new = 0.6116733839436469
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3496.8726574069447
Acceptance probability: 3.3731674058747314e-188
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1044:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.423938716402944, b_new = 0.761964111970653, c_new = 0.280540773977344
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9000.570294728635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1045:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5882780616144956, b_new = 0.49796607484372074, c_new = 0.7311183459009241
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6429.681919905823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1046:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0535456765446103, b_new = 1.2388725983976527, c_new = 0.48980193994103505
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5736.393320490603
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1047:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.913963080072289, b_new = 0.7565821537317259, c_new = -0.5352806069234187
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13876.887637704811
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1048:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.099603897647037, b_new = 0.5700422623046852, c_new = 1.0572566184899594
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5171.4683751328275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1049:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.682299635002644, b_new = 1.4506709558572264, c_new = 0.03544300254617044
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3438.3266832495874
Acceptance probability: 8.999769973465395e-163
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1050:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.633467716248495, b_new = 1.2204779614649526, c_new = 0.012502600536059949
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4261.374984857326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1051:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9659212226959495, b_new = 0.8030756323195796, c_new = 0.4443714679262193
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3597.4982932483817
Acceptance probability: 6.71242600493306e-232
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1052:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.191100843806187, b_new = 0.890478379124721, c_new = 0.7397369699222602
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7893.031274225663
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1053:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9421941307197965, b_new = 0.5488512112498336, c_new = 0.4231417610766632
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13692.266474572833
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1054:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4529457917373634, b_new = 1.224892099755389, c_new = 1.1872455694015094
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7066.786522318685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1055:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3597819661060164, b_new = 0.9572635387345345, c_new = 1.0755977031999722
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10946.696414743888
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1056:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.742402851695156, b_new = 1.1631075520923195, c_new = 0.9625057148122481
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3186.493116680661
Acceptance probability: 2.1094038206053136e-53
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1057:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.630148127040878, b_new = 0.9997037222406034, c_new = -0.5901005144471428
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4898.050194117353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1058:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9228540573765502, b_new = 1.2305624086542497, c_new = 0.40498155121455015
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3699.5563463907015
Acceptance probability: 3.1888214136369643e-276
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1059:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.426080183710575, b_new = 0.11344537988702708, c_new = -0.8951732863738616
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10850.749252825626
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1060:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7813629083822664, b_new = 0.631742947904995, c_new = 0.31622273657342725
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3412.183987293746
Acceptance probability: 2.0317019857783848e-151
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1061:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3628972092805856, b_new = 1.2008492740052117, c_new = 0.33186433211830774
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11191.918674942102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1062:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.426444581647375, b_new = 0.06647349612703912, c_new = -0.008194145122953467
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9779.456333519123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1063:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1329241578620826, b_new = 0.9220142082342815, c_new = 0.8756879066595022
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6726.680598725326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1064:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8624518080589154, b_new = -0.04280703480790593, c_new = 0.07424240783109465
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3510.991794862337
Acceptance probability: 2.4898570235615304e-194
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1065:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6709156029125767, b_new = 0.903096649901918, c_new = 0.565532909183041
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4153.4093532249835
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1066:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1975814903928343, b_new = 1.017309452630344, c_new = 0.7961741658062695
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11110.331873838682
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1067:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8757806311250733, b_new = 0.7202749076771335, c_new = 1.075158402394075
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13663.701946332822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1068:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.287651060619103, b_new = 0.8595239633308009, c_new = 0.22870176991855232
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9503.579375739655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1069:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.036512466060954, b_new = 1.1710292552985124, c_new = -0.15316128319171995
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5052.821301098282
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1070:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7003047991414175, b_new = 0.7068757842810907, c_new = -0.22019523922117523
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4286.255165904879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1071:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8304269814689307, b_new = 0.5788662824548461, c_new = 0.1923129879767856
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3182.573168150629
Acceptance probability: 1.0630941889184052e-51
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1072:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.533598464775028, b_new = 0.6998394724101614, c_new = 0.979291935009123
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12122.403945646807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1073:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6903129028616837, b_new = 1.4015921828399593, c_new = -0.2124727952872112
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13676.205868234625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1074:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6556323690926447, b_new = 0.25207511682561834, c_new = 1.2363229902703319
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5533.5287629331415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1075:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.506148744676463, b_new = 1.3497353362679982, c_new = 1.199636495588571
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5767.013543200426
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1076:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2875493702364396, b_new = 0.574211691610629, c_new = -0.7783345311797677
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8478.08119925278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1077:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9959436282189837, b_new = 0.9991027696895318, c_new = 0.6262943008508184
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12772.432661146813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1078:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5472609120487664, b_new = -0.03489392526100643, c_new = 0.7113272951205728
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8676.615965694724
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1079:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.564353734567919, b_new = 1.1071426389534686, c_new = 0.1513126058973541
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5588.043145129754
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1080:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7980566119157677, b_new = 0.15048661070342906, c_new = 0.27770985309641816
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13012.851253475468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1081:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.609005563394444, b_new = 1.1918188558645562, c_new = -0.2391216713353973
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4743.700247225435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1082:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.223182968407631, b_new = 0.6926195158777668, c_new = 0.23305887550230417
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7837.754333863435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1083:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7934111213534467, b_new = 1.874327604084271, c_new = -1.128804026041427
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3214.809755363452
Acceptance probability: 1.0626733816411195e-65
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1084:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.772902298875422, b_new = 0.8294605473119167, c_new = 0.7801745685519978
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3247.1576714208995
Acceptance probability: 9.503385738957176e-80
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1085:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.651268265889537, b_new = 0.46928307667725044, c_new = 0.9642139347815509
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5196.391813677223
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1086:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6677235035481375, b_new = 1.1074842327601297, c_new = -0.4627359596038807
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13181.84819743469
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1087:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2033560027211605, b_new = 1.6547009378811264, c_new = 0.7259212373942847
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10185.939531009073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1088:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2389478540433942, b_new = 1.1612681167144592, c_new = 0.5427565572712929
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10508.008345487724
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1089:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.825091476273126, b_new = 0.6463081123254306, c_new = 0.3070739808741597
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3157.7243030272793
Acceptance probability: 6.581073615913736e-41
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1090:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7215428279024443, b_new = 0.8908374867407056, c_new = 1.1307757403547507
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3510.894484067958
Acceptance probability: 2.7443275793027247e-194
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1091:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4516785155314085, b_new = 0.8869245645547214, c_new = 0.32649741279065736
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11542.459779141962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1092:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9216334963343686, b_new = -0.35938059528912847, c_new = 0.5797827274421239
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3316.6335803869783
Acceptance probability: 6.380790244307061e-110
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1093:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4656455032204234, b_new = 1.2534626080931408, c_new = 0.7147185366399165
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6925.559307517468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1094:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.48752997376177, b_new = 1.2141799345588529, c_new = 0.9817817191025415
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12487.748850003427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1095:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5170232005229827, b_new = 1.6522594383206106, c_new = 0.26828364542273003
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5183.744842249542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1096:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3222293614085303, b_new = 1.5826046879075428, c_new = 0.33402876893290234
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11431.563327606045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1097:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8821134192657687, b_new = 0.7552257233485784, c_new = 0.5074256709456095
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3090.8940896807535
Acceptance probability: 6.954879817688017e-12
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1098:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7521233889438865, b_new = 1.0709410894766582, c_new = 0.7734132355398231
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3205.7068170649836
Acceptance probability: 9.544554769858726e-62
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1099:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7330722252478945, b_new = 0.2902045243016277, c_new = -0.25960834006847533
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4599.453620552535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1100:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3033635342487653, b_new = 0.5161146689906513, c_new = -0.07820594461222641
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11195.821258666518
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1101:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.01009509032652, b_new = 1.00684921443415, c_new = 0.4682160833748156
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4443.397375089973
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1102:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.691754286265086, b_new = 0.7314590358637563, c_new = 0.2920246148909853
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4227.943368610615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1103:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.887748187011911, b_new = 0.810176239735547, c_new = 0.6457009092715809
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3128.924518747809
Acceptance probability: 2.117796086465259e-28
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1104:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.473333996438807, b_new = 0.4051194748184111, c_new = 0.2263303651342829
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9064.90238823978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1105:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2267640994245537, b_new = 0.3255999810010862, c_new = 0.09698614597300326
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12196.3849501659
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1106:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.569410837229642, b_new = 0.7911026410373311, c_new = -0.04581040510715434
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6344.6015833217925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1107:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.814728391152039, b_new = 0.6053159976452385, c_new = -0.024805102604111895
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3266.616110877627
Acceptance probability: 3.3665531470509426e-88
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1108:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6732230096227156, b_new = 1.0226574567913418, c_new = -0.09808214318285752
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4087.035522633793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1109:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.076580764696996, b_new = -0.10726712662030247, c_new = 0.7556313108304253
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14141.736189000523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1110:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.068493242111968, b_new = 1.3860385577909429, c_new = 1.0751074205383748
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6690.785977467425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1111:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6285599203026835, b_new = 0.006916259590977969, c_new = 1.171160299015975
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6739.81938619684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1112:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7221240547115837, b_new = 1.2664812408727464, c_new = 0.659440524906626
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3252.0430575964856
Acceptance probability: 7.180953251566973e-82
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1113:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.260880537831116, b_new = 0.9859681910632245, c_new = -0.40954940844743515
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9136.377920255662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1114:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3419974119517564, b_new = 1.8559897523774151, c_new = 1.4775954476970385
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7461.757997719016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1115:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.791273387349512, b_new = 0.8614854447095183, c_new = 1.3428692676496246
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3108.842643181734
Acceptance probability: 1.1151463982998399e-19
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1116:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4568308798381295, b_new = 1.0140881557766759, c_new = 0.048331719046252664
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7928.193519782188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1117:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0428142740571156, b_new = 0.45310561055508713, c_new = -0.4145236946537564
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3825.2336120577115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1118:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.680385003980785, b_new = 0.42544260820816376, c_new = 1.1398923567500683
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4739.137977153829
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1119:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7619209604101504, b_new = 0.5910534138123038, c_new = 0.47137622863749107
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3590.6457031450077
Acceptance probability: 6.352162211492139e-229
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1120:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.430844401483884, b_new = 1.3231715097328784, c_new = 0.705117483288817
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7403.550473355799
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1121:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9151089114042508, b_new = 1.730568521215511, c_new = 0.15427967391422762
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4335.434040074912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1122:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094837269181241, b_new = -0.07009560324791131, c_new = 1.0247841364818167
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3909.1082533657504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1123:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.829754054229661, b_new = 1.3367995486018736, c_new = 0.033093465020104296
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3140.6604549618214
Acceptance probability: 1.6944618826187463e-33
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1124:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1734513721830915, b_new = 1.1553750506042517, c_new = 0.7726137946596552
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8287.795069623297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1125:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9811443859643703, b_new = -0.055889363471398945, c_new = 0.3792488162469746
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3115.930627696985
Acceptance probability: 9.312350705394449e-23
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1126:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.175866382939592, b_new = 0.6657075268126674, c_new = -0.6969671947465471
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14837.801442375488
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1127:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.761227858900328, b_new = 1.3426589074234694, c_new = 0.8634880403224068
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3086.0991674052552
Acceptance probability: 8.408100906478885e-10
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1128:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9560258953983642, b_new = -0.21472355718747793, c_new = 0.7054915918918063
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3103.1952144163242
Acceptance probability: 3.1621250148320364e-17
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1129:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.257632836192412, b_new = 1.5942300336484845, c_new = 0.21912870180295435
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10668.666183775127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1130:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.209683440055462, b_new = 0.3762617431837142, c_new = 0.8981228905639297
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11998.188945045837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1131:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.880266234985072, b_new = 1.9309954464447137, c_new = -0.1549073641258788
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14951.069882784159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1132:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3229350598301295, b_new = 1.2239525135894433, c_new = -0.7651954838672971
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9831.569892259397
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1133:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3992843334462024, b_new = 1.3997929966784757, c_new = 0.13623589861599317
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11816.169016882845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1134:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8234973882952015, b_new = 2.3043122334933313, c_new = 0.7858031397028662
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4278.81171975585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1135:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.717444339158466, b_new = 1.6954761348473286, c_new = 0.6423966307294193
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3114.0958313662104
Acceptance probability: 5.833124488927476e-22
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1136:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0301619373967292, b_new = 0.9619693831290945, c_new = 1.0961497783632472
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4831.510273509695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1137:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.159679541647669, b_new = 0.2081413068729242, c_new = 1.782595555623867
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12365.040376364635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1138:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3470078041217466, b_new = 0.09977919253373524, c_new = 0.49571521870876256
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11283.730505687941
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1139:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.490884825682503, b_new = 1.2939708357873239, c_new = 0.2682769015173322
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6502.297770906876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1140:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8442120970953413, b_new = 0.4705406397707182, c_new = -0.4288043530105865
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3258.2192224577648
Acceptance probability: 1.4924774597100812e-84
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1141:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.912351608919904, b_new = 1.692031627807804, c_new = 1.2797946451021271
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4510.25962956846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1142:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9423443413095083, b_new = 1.0029597913250974, c_new = 0.30337565541541245
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13191.568405228918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1143:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9422375064912525, b_new = 0.7729983379129792, c_new = 0.32612077873202366
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13460.817314910231
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1144:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4135435587225986, b_new = 1.4778740098591423, c_new = 0.7123632814653729
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7344.164021830474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1145:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.648056724932044, b_new = 0.4813106153136999, c_new = -0.04485277375147895
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5576.462547207389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1146:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5667890295038083, b_new = 1.7491204825571938, c_new = 0.08032484282749436
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4276.268475141173
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1147:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3066017369234415, b_new = 0.42594130682434655, c_new = 0.6465210081846198
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11068.202996977405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1148:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5507178171694176, b_new = 0.9194747993718613, c_new = 0.35198642543030595
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6239.415015859334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1149:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.237950947707934, b_new = 0.4327041537262491, c_new = 0.8309665092686476
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7647.579157218122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1150:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.850896928445913, b_new = 0.757848741074217, c_new = -0.1608821097757035
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3089.960890287356
Acceptance probability: 1.7683693409353073e-11
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1151:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2222114692369113, b_new = 1.489792115175025, c_new = 0.6942129231609844
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10085.389060715694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1152:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1587409464355596, b_new = 0.9904537349897048, c_new = 1.1415344232387044
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7619.496925787912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1153:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.670306919460364, b_new = 1.0453869542243395, c_new = 0.05222613927725983
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4053.2964688109055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1154:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9724633067847623, b_new = 0.2918511174992101, c_new = 0.35674011500693925
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3205.559763722007
Acceptance probability: 1.105656261725099e-61
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1155:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.76095061103043, b_new = 0.5736275200616535, c_new = 0.7153037012606882
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3576.237459149007
Acceptance probability: 1.1490592978216618e-222
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1156:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.966961701741415, b_new = 1.3794568944754548, c_new = 0.26674265243142703
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14881.024224027835
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1157:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8265634325768745, b_new = 0.7447819339661228, c_new = 0.5491906529987958
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3096.2387298676194
Acceptance probability: 3.320029088083359e-14
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1158:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.352638962054141, b_new = 0.823458271411571, c_new = 0.3186728410473472
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9864.954328456355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1159:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5056075029061606, b_new = 2.048165242295547, c_new = 1.2163950194805757
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13748.04142578871
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1160:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9070532112554286, b_new = 0.7030568770081274, c_new = 0.3781267883657823
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3139.5436389799543
Acceptance probability: 5.176769426696507e-33
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1161:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6149528819014414, b_new = 1.0974086821876314, c_new = 1.1890860265545697
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4451.113849445926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1162:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2438057382329784, b_new = 0.7164222498440779, c_new = 0.3348960367178869
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8373.42118801862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1163:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.393702037354035, b_new = 0.4583766820280511, c_new = 0.015527749843459504
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10113.880231040379
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1164:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.020810668221797, b_new = 0.43930993803861984, c_new = 0.7851937926569829
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3741.0373664430654
Acceptance probability: 3.0807189875141203e-294
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1165:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0188797736541266, b_new = 0.3972493926407991, c_new = 0.5581662673260053
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13406.216421376714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1166:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.546384482791217, b_new = 0.10488909231892474, c_new = 0.2716818081082951
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8512.255346957272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1167:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5059649685355283, b_new = 1.1771081030865742, c_new = 0.6211967496141136
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6374.460079079566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1168:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.440970486502494, b_new = 1.1556868424622735, c_new = 0.38549784663140996
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11874.513341850015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1169:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4747674286326444, b_new = 0.6731134583804096, c_new = 0.8557519707500754
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8137.0235514087035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1170:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4803470300832435, b_new = 0.9850890291906151, c_new = 0.9171254732058362
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12091.615678099313
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1171:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1917520887048485, b_new = 0.39484030243658536, c_new = 0.5485024547764944
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12230.319823421749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1172:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.723744826015851, b_new = 0.597920202858504, c_new = 0.8460541458943147
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3905.6379079741505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1173:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.764873599575908, b_new = 0.651851441344194, c_new = 1.3490851236074741
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3368.698014254258
Acceptance probability: 1.5616299741738604e-132
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1174:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9093216551176893, b_new = 0.36683443315296294, c_new = -0.04008083217804409
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3090.6448746773367
Acceptance probability: 8.923234996880463e-12
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1175:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.470733217308499, b_new = 0.6444974432352932, c_new = 0.03284623926527219
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8601.749087231987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1176:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3074696103472543, b_new = 0.7075764046395843, c_new = 0.6710757472710486
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10523.641824763923
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1177:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1164186591995793, b_new = -0.09152913743689928, c_new = 0.13184609685150206
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13563.304942078197
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1178:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8328026664436807, b_new = 0.3636674402184631, c_new = 0.8860538986131069
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3227.423822981337
Acceptance probability: 3.533294533498021e-71
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1179:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6590275841891797, b_new = 0.7401241925794183, c_new = 0.1712651927773034
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4730.095185059987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1180:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5103045724738453, b_new = 1.550571115197144, c_new = 0.17821631508695981
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5553.854218873371
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1181:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.051135447061497, b_new = 1.7976156569382233, c_new = 0.35387183069146466
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7240.230350004907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1182:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5263665962200514, b_new = 0.7492146910060249, c_new = 0.04438052043178581
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11901.833927688214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1183:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.305532058278809, b_new = -0.06073770536851719, c_new = -0.5003751330599032
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7294.911912788154
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1184:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.475866671888136, b_new = -0.17826288817073754, c_new = 0.6623627492114705
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10116.734053114656
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1185:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7591604759321178, b_new = 0.07718195646471204, c_new = 1.075806716246099
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12876.12933131154
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1186:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6547795863256978, b_new = 1.2386427149636496, c_new = 0.4321272831929166
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3874.5465677175807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1187:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.114736891881051, b_new = 1.3031541965553752, c_new = 0.1731446342220516
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7157.84428449554
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1188:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.472472189527655, b_new = 1.0813839813400972, c_new = 0.24585761821609384
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -15945.761760457335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1189:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.394008219557106, b_new = 0.666777692183867, c_new = -0.1399034762275423
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10459.928670916805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1190:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6563160584340757, b_new = 0.1902459971448428, c_new = 0.20606561532582074
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6059.12895791283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1191:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.683834792439487, b_new = 1.1636149773984024, c_new = 0.685620742249716
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3622.1742540237788
Acceptance probability: 1.2889792045850331e-242
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1192:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.477189510693826, b_new = 0.4494870004232174, c_new = -0.16096172402586784
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10969.01452267129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1193:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.561608129554648, b_new = -0.1283037329528547, c_new = 0.32757319286677955
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8821.471547466768
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1194:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4174070718104317, b_new = 0.6406469435562404, c_new = 0.5236581966884992
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9280.13534648078
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1195:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2638229393815674, b_new = 1.3507197700541036, c_new = 0.8108607600709564
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10437.82918020027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1196:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4205785072829897, b_new = 0.18461336479485935, c_new = 0.6264531331020944
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10175.958506578181
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1197:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5714785597367738, b_new = 1.7813715625564988, c_new = 0.4682744103789906
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4084.440250510612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1198:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3935445948203977, b_new = 0.13993856783219438, c_new = 0.26398908168672125
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10750.11032440968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1199:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.584691153193342, b_new = 0.5725004651848783, c_new = -0.5844885005255904
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11963.424485986845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1200:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0740206677123663, b_new = 1.5619669616931096, c_new = -0.5552288831412582
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6705.124272788244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1201:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.737702133582988, b_new = 1.4588755445952417, c_new = 0.762472558722799
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3110.2901296351793
Acceptance probability: 2.6223853297006518e-20
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1202:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.162453197292783, b_new = 1.169506743794865, c_new = 0.29836259537806953
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11354.640947507853
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1203:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3074847033957595, b_new = 1.1763136828354146, c_new = 0.4509947645205027
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10546.307711490366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1204:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1308399342724016, b_new = 1.0549460230184553, c_new = -0.10626840076217314
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6698.047715351387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1205:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5611873009328847, b_new = 0.9355662075979297, c_new = 0.5494000840108637
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5923.898768979222
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1206:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4656636702114256, b_new = 0.2906432879424562, c_new = -0.032395228351383976
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10626.175009117771
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1207:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.420976989252662, b_new = 0.3470916383250159, c_new = 1.2075424755247157
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9611.097157166547
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1208:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.668946481639599, b_new = 0.7266824559157963, c_new = 0.00047435247749233467
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4650.310816898627
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1209:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8933948555730566, b_new = 1.4565450608480737, c_new = 0.1965227844413706
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14675.992360295493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1210:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5537453841756586, b_new = 0.9127144743056816, c_new = 0.8083016326237222
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12514.899142138844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1211:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.924591578755445, b_new = 0.6693939004044294, c_new = 0.5611027144776206
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13609.623744684804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1212:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6490829132486304, b_new = 1.6023953628467162, c_new = 0.20427362364794538
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13771.232042513535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1213:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.076798933211007, b_new = 0.23130357167152793, c_new = -0.1815033798896203
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3940.661724287818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1214:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.814062462400188, b_new = 1.6604254388787685, c_new = -0.07149917990948185
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3248.915974085554
Acceptance probability: 1.6377862199027787e-80
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1215:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.042211699413625, b_new = 0.8631829862241661, c_new = 0.4454982049778067
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4654.289210580055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1216:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.979539274165413, b_new = 0.40623698634096805, c_new = 0.8290961634778815
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3353.1275187503547
Acceptance probability: 9.031469386592738e-126
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1217:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4711976483957487, b_new = 2.0058107045268256, c_new = 0.3262197582517472
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13254.498521664365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1218:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.24678556705171, b_new = 0.1021317583414516, c_new = 0.9571503712857194
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6968.957800000018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1219:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0584887094542794, b_new = 0.47592697117114036, c_new = 0.7311918847977052
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4242.921369172573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1220:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2568083333749085, b_new = 1.0385070333604884, c_new = -0.07033570875954775
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10741.892061482404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1221:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0411976201377344, b_new = 0.249081881638889, c_new = 1.0073831440135705
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13324.831470108067
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1222:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.559207777354176, b_new = 1.3256470077020346, c_new = 0.8619556431518258
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4976.318296102161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1223:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6011620429942512, b_new = 1.0571807136513762, c_new = 1.2129264070685142
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4731.138071868187
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1224:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.251384470496081, b_new = 0.4660482056343646, c_new = -0.2959207086279443
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11883.805315743439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1225:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.777296111767643, b_new = 0.8407291815978915, c_new = 0.5796299593576486
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13696.062533347473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1226:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1868454586906925, b_new = 1.2287976684431965, c_new = 1.3980223647867454
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9037.7846084208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1227:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2967539696093224, b_new = 0.8368205652631063, c_new = 0.40701481871398276
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10496.071753190452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1228:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.503034655006294, b_new = 1.0343896817750937, c_new = -0.013918317884608344
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7025.652839547411
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1229:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9346366079808393, b_new = 1.2403051441497694, c_new = -1.351443985380119
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3587.45110546341
Acceptance probability: 1.5499501301273142e-227
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1230:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8871088790100718, b_new = 1.5518285240096972, c_new = 0.7808624041941077
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12725.553783972246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1231:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.148323738017585, b_new = 0.9079553881610924, c_new = -0.03105525683561039
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11994.48627433347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1232:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1015344163729948, b_new = 0.519217977881933, c_new = -0.23096652415901786
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4763.168112870237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1233:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1891733893464793, b_new = 0.342283846093109, c_new = 0.6543993365945984
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6273.497368083783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1234:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5212683972639605, b_new = 0.062437862800857835, c_new = 0.3312288957153937
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9053.421055608334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1235:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8466666083163235, b_new = 0.8703799643883304, c_new = 0.11252253485531583
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13945.954135056229
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1236:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7017119147834268, b_new = 0.8783239839105539, c_new = 1.5014834089539884
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3648.6538332716923
Acceptance probability: 4.0767188394795246e-254
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1237:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.268123403537316, b_new = 0.7174121926175445, c_new = -0.6962260369850845
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8497.884673251343
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1238:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0201360902032515, b_new = 1.1080085390762984, c_new = 1.4328869619883609
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5079.572248523298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1239:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.142171673738967, b_new = 1.0747787929371884, c_new = 0.061039566863835826
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11760.893022599876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1240:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.257781569588558, b_new = 0.4510346918825522, c_new = 0.7731917577531704
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8097.8340078445335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1241:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3194054548356875, b_new = 1.310419557685772, c_new = -0.10589741882559722
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10779.916973290301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1242:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.978431922197142, b_new = 0.04938507869026687, c_new = 0.8803184633389557
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3135.0330936104515
Acceptance probability: 4.7093805551580715e-31
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1243:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.83274413998916, b_new = 1.2969655126618111, c_new = 0.1318480672438157
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3137.2798260773684
Acceptance probability: 4.97989600607752e-32
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1244:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1226611886563767, b_new = 0.29465608335108606, c_new = 0.3485018597708853
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12943.952969737818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1245:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.610111289191086, b_new = 0.5975263829696849, c_new = 0.6755177167273547
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5762.626907122607
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1246:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3913732130054948, b_new = 1.3495062474982706, c_new = 1.3687841552375795
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7796.60269796146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1247:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3134437366076477, b_new = 1.058687363912229, c_new = 0.2299109639854936
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10317.571270019671
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1248:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1366117414086365, b_new = 0.7702578697573745, c_new = 0.7414433589204366
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6328.541146842329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1249:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2355352002392457, b_new = 0.5827965197111791, c_new = 0.7308416370568349
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11489.035338656235
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1250:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.48796474198482, b_new = 0.6412071558010015, c_new = 0.9328002758164425
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11649.527539370965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1251:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9637689071981175, b_new = 0.9622487098277442, c_new = 0.6996664004110955
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3818.143247392239
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1252:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1340670409327496, b_new = 0.9013256671012929, c_new = 1.0566453706898657
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11782.599031366699
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1253:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.168597445768211, b_new = 1.808658307556859, c_new = 0.6067232162732811
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9935.901279729384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1254:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.558518870030116, b_new = 1.6436601042210213, c_new = 0.20833249211974111
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13320.847812186137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1255:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6406610180295513, b_new = 0.5897032273399616, c_new = 0.4630580292988585
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12609.35743803332
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1256:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4795386897911738, b_new = 0.26497094925473996, c_new = 0.9843096306951212
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10992.239857441227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1257:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.420332018842655, b_new = 1.285985915461991, c_new = -0.09849065461843637
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7969.954956854537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1258:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5168911806527503, b_new = 1.3202157533128989, c_new = 0.9806980929084105
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12838.385650150936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1259:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5654469832821802, b_new = 1.0087427710720904, c_new = 0.8568157182567375
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5564.052489259337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1260:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5304069769622184, b_new = 0.3386946265880285, c_new = 0.8868308184675029
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7946.077217506846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1261:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.816799534839239, b_new = 1.1857134331356758, c_new = -0.15538689605382416
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14058.500573979025
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1262:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.372692620324272, b_new = 0.7905385643964394, c_new = -0.14613435996967183
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9837.423852779035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1263:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1585202188718853, b_new = 1.435680547420133, c_new = 0.4073035876621176
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8632.061681036294
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1264:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4679591362003337, b_new = 1.2456883066783098, c_new = 0.4839962108796098
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6983.550178732962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1265:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5307648015702777, b_new = 1.0189045029584443, c_new = 0.5071574991080432
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6325.422435372497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1266:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.710829542955366, b_new = 0.9674039262973895, c_new = -0.052156708976850874
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3725.203543900609
Acceptance probability: 2.3184292263090796e-287
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1267:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.082564557146257, b_new = 1.0479907005198634, c_new = 0.5411198725248874
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5851.835880441763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1268:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.842692759065472, b_new = 0.869743584780017, c_new = 1.0650488296350105
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Acceptance probability: 100.16206201244783
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1269:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.193923663056294, b_new = 0.4041357658554862, c_new = 1.6193965741351366
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -11860.655355829393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1270:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.040607270791666, b_new = 1.3744139872114123, c_new = 1.7531939407962072
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -6292.292687350457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1271:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3111517824191665, b_new = 0.7704890743832784, c_new = 0.24751911022156892
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -10509.582751301612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1272:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.723016886237216, b_new = 1.0083716666511304, c_new = 0.542744687841096
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -3466.6793955019357
Acceptance probability: 4.366180387729846e-177
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1273:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.504384431828807, b_new = 0.5259360082552482, c_new = 1.7650985094448215
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -11840.840933252906
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1274:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0104898619594307, b_new = 1.2364452693192864, c_new = 1.620044137510047
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -12090.330214098904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1275:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6591443871012963, b_new = 0.5294864149943133, c_new = 0.12006719566998325
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -5198.079517410841
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1276:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5465546743177048, b_new = 0.831151504328766, c_new = 0.7476515468756374
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -6400.4360929984205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1277:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8636294595023233, b_new = 0.37921235009346144, c_new = 1.6148213321003895
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Acceptance probability: 11.848104094714735
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1278:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6202930458683302, b_new = 0.9569731138982254, c_new = 0.8827442372723437
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -4712.505415866844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1279:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.520524424742641, b_new = 0.0020975352942982917, c_new = 1.5930617653360313
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -8701.419676354159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1280:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7826671790083393, b_new = 0.04057035374321294, c_new = 1.8369027386987329
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3823.3079226035015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1281:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7130870260947364, b_new = 0.9429257007317754, c_new = 1.9956021734046552
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -13802.954366035843
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1282:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1797744924534475, b_new = -0.26071107546918715, c_new = 1.905804158372217
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -4993.106656594982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1283:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.188894393918763, b_new = 0.4936531216148061, c_new = 2.2382730161364988
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -7275.090339766279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1284:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8134012334339276, b_new = 0.273101280021098, c_new = 1.860910881474809
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -14201.637047479051
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1285:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4752592775605393, b_new = -0.247352763967441, c_new = 1.6367805337502384
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -10250.921331519783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1286:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.102992489644395, b_new = 1.18350533861752, c_new = 2.1862403575168665
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -11295.595688814241
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1287:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7546541077013553, b_new = -0.03367846207072278, c_new = 1.0958792908785582
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -14898.79751107066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1288:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4886902710258076, b_new = -0.08235371380475959, c_new = 2.353503147672469
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -9138.417379944794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1289:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0992157422916926, b_new = 0.5406059328932402, c_new = 1.896240752009835
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -5347.181405400801
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1290:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.810883963140904, b_new = 0.6707386480639056, c_new = 1.6287675740298468
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3099.819801515577
Acceptance probability: 7.790227038122268e-19
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1291:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.502901216263775, b_new = 0.33972535595785275, c_new = 1.241254691270659
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -8311.05384803134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1292:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.820089415498588, b_new = 1.2318795653635344, c_new = 0.6803641184734344
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3100.5777329315224
Acceptance probability: 3.6507717672638766e-19
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1293:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.08963211893135, b_new = 0.5253843863647831, c_new = 1.1602081927450194
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -12613.733152948482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1294:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.202750501518944, b_new = 0.17668903412991724, c_new = 0.7295845342308991
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -6147.778343809359
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1295:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3275068170025515, b_new = -0.5668209149384221, c_new = 1.2371661315290505
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -6984.717255345744
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1296:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8955803626754837, b_new = 0.2997689044395347, c_new = 1.3746396765255149
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -13876.69034955969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1297:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3251709489332204, b_new = 0.4403532946000988, c_new = 1.5106945194368193
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -10532.111940143743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1298:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1094181443062574, b_new = 0.387248904103253, c_new = 1.7658254265809292
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -5137.634787633646
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1299:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2942679354256565, b_new = -0.40059567274593644, c_new = 1.1436087413085323
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -6697.644495544984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1300:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3160489771681947, b_new = 0.7178341323695756, c_new = 1.2267000627828732
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -9956.993047946084
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1301:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.367496154123421, b_new = 1.099762802261409, c_new = 1.0531556584613404
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -8830.542620480326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1302:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.502266027857769, b_new = 1.1683555069021765, c_new = 1.9420222887438872
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -12788.688764162967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1303:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0656507242973774, b_new = -0.3169690514087278, c_new = 1.4353937080030974
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -13743.322525339736
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1304:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1730427773109406, b_new = -0.07566247051969882, c_new = 1.984169517410044
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -5306.890546764439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1305:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.349752339520064, b_new = 0.46816418258862547, c_new = 1.269716497709759
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -9922.580305293623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1306:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2817468756736328, b_new = 0.29359534719575814, c_new = 1.4231837304030184
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -8397.967919479333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1307:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.920301512944111, b_new = 0.36844532313751793, c_new = 1.6328205491962866
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3091.162066291712
Acceptance probability: 4.48287623051795e-15
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1308:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7024176539842304, b_new = 0.6515554171114111, c_new = 1.555058277969618
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3930.000192335884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1309:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.168767419050367, b_new = 0.034420831673707575, c_new = 1.2232209823306657
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -12710.625103210436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1310:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4334409344927384, b_new = 1.2435981558089757, c_new = 2.2892056635641214
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -12475.834487660066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1311:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4394246400721946, b_new = -0.1391387673094091, c_new = 1.3657643618736475
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -10324.807618516405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1312:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.205320117246471, b_new = 0.9526168996941373, c_new = 1.8870665040565626
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -8837.080057962572
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1313:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.488589557106238, b_new = 0.23068629772235813, c_new = 2.9342801566709333
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -8195.137136730573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1314:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.707292052007248, b_new = 0.8279167436413253, c_new = 2.2058711385915086
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3547.513221871904
Acceptance probability: 2.8891365584817377e-213
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1315:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.05983799472176, b_new = 0.8557182003467158, c_new = 0.8426641782019757
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -5041.111819514421
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1316:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5893538035699346, b_new = 1.1955327984337254, c_new = 2.0753724853204494
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -4445.214408865919
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1317:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4352284194602927, b_new = 0.22547621631825743, c_new = 2.1870581406214082
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -10801.257960103341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1318:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.908893403479696, b_new = -0.008135974749594044, c_new = 1.1264517429649554
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3101.0047788154416
Acceptance probability: 2.3818862228600415e-19
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1319:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6784795472717065, b_new = 0.21783326602319103, c_new = 1.290682541048879
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -12589.958323089253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1320:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.638952919508184, b_new = 0.21146006620103727, c_new = 0.7759535758428358
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -6134.015751717332
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1321:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5817507741955312, b_new = 0.07678617575274693, c_new = 1.0642851644898788
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -7559.570596110183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1322:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5917987000640874, b_new = -0.24977251538065093, c_new = 1.7011041309027766
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -11419.291884066983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1323:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3738636782556233, b_new = -0.02569212838188778, c_new = 2.0355914375864654
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -10666.522361233217
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1324:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.109477787578477, b_new = -0.12894704862015738, c_new = 1.8431482639461731
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -4144.487609944052
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1325:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.996383983743283, b_new = 1.5863548575282753, c_new = 2.385217458830527
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -11527.878897591985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1326:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6327013964041144, b_new = 0.9833337138006045, c_new = 1.8764289488092563
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -13383.080354651818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1327:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.771517833167544, b_new = 0.07003276652681129, c_new = 1.5496947682361872
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -13047.67589324742
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1328:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.19274398649021, b_new = 0.528291773607047, c_new = 1.1957662033496181
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -7060.079708159303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1329:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.486989851090994, b_new = 0.036364306123499335, c_new = 2.062426269331871
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -9000.614137574661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1330:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4024395534776986, b_new = -0.29218519202604576, c_new = 2.0908438503310482
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -9327.72332824215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1331:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.304964861709991, b_new = 0.08012982635231641, c_new = 0.9773222392948621
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -11585.437392574657
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1332:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.701575659980527, b_new = -0.12148848618943331, c_new = 1.1446487584241187
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -5600.744222775201
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1333:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.707127808260549, b_new = 0.6837178662950912, c_new = 1.722756124378825
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3798.5570731467415
Acceptance probability: 2.7e-322
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1334:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.020070858187726, b_new = 0.21626941634403504, c_new = 1.2695247448768825
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3534.379021160303
Acceptance probability: 1.4617697255074242e-207
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1335:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4634995785237197, b_new = 0.33261817213421657, c_new = 2.0478805189417413
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -8697.481492888197
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1336:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.937468469306217, b_new = 0.026716597597131853, c_new = 1.9199236302064846
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Acceptance probability: 157709.9408147259
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1337:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6343402401952725, b_new = 1.0564308611201203, c_new = 2.419024451629268
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -3997.4195188786025
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1338:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.060510613904375, b_new = 0.41643857417993513, c_new = 1.8217532001026666
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -4405.350252720891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1339:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2717073865848376, b_new = -1.1107304500832575, c_new = 1.5244085506860974
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -4731.364800973009
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1340:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0847147970105335, b_new = -0.628277803185251, c_new = 2.2906000109907083
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -13759.753979290737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1341:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.140404989242486, b_new = 0.599518396062732, c_new = 1.0806222042838214
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -6061.690858283392
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1342:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.038079966845526, b_new = -0.21255475887528158, c_new = 1.7114045813497596
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -3317.6731848154805
Acceptance probability: 1.2055044422039008e-118
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1343:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7283467235315686, b_new = -0.05902723355288535, c_new = 1.51578207985987
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -12625.230776262828
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1344:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.649821063226929, b_new = -0.41605808948796336, c_new = 1.1336999828009833
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -7488.810996154938
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1345:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.34155500903144, b_new = -0.06280090885529488, c_new = 2.550533769667543
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -9016.261147497122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1346:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8588206548570403, b_new = 0.4640531082541334, c_new = 2.011785484488925
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Acceptance probability: 82.75395355032965
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1347:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.022666622619308, b_new = 0.9558129771105149, c_new = 1.6805162184614006
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -4856.661367965611
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1348:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8492806013807273, b_new = -0.047726491470379995, c_new = 2.249559500023073
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3272.5995624832753
Acceptance probability: 5.477791806462964e-101
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1349:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3060216983139212, b_new = 1.225347506844935, c_new = 2.8974714923754696
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -8842.316629947149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1350:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.010001995038255, b_new = 0.6767996696250138, c_new = 2.4009432482833093
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -12596.869241217231
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1351:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7879536883849685, b_new = 1.45371346134486, c_new = 2.1897546263395675
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -14693.979498265271
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1352:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4575546178754673, b_new = 0.5342798827396104, c_new = 1.9621343765871715
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -8356.418798919069
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1353:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.65353870840753, b_new = 0.023886990226550386, c_new = 2.251757001337783
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -5779.0103453561815
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1354:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.61930803000859, b_new = -0.3437807238381989, c_new = 2.2426355469790242
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -7456.402684358795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1355:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6148316176275426, b_new = 1.517869380976367, c_new = 2.8785805846369086
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -14149.522197554039
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1356:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1975080604777686, b_new = 0.8093341615992689, c_new = 1.265894598900422
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -11303.637740516913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1357:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.598255894258494, b_new = 0.09683154080857503, c_new = 1.8777300930829637
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -6843.930940616006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1358:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.626321888391433, b_new = 1.3550807833084186, c_new = 3.018797800313407
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3635.5027688413456
Acceptance probability: 1.3543956048231272e-258
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1359:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4500643573288072, b_new = 1.2460933394490112, c_new = 1.975940276327474
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -6804.482775896413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1360:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.24005737951641, b_new = -0.32141067914150245, c_new = 1.9812366910745027
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -6036.015256456679
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1361:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1155431547012036, b_new = 0.2555222810818119, c_new = 1.737976004207106
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -4945.1368405908925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1362:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.485753974367422, b_new = 0.7460565003566981, c_new = 1.1357326555221072
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -11842.384447659782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1363:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0911859702322353, b_new = 0.3919326868526367, c_new = 2.267909619269297
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -4969.1319550135395
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1364:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.611188291995318, b_new = 0.8844687278349357, c_new = 2.018621828503433
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -13166.49508581945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1365:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.557897724108779, b_new = 1.1253583667374865, c_new = 1.4181197690735579
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -5263.846216521214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1366:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6143904800267075, b_new = -0.353267916999379, c_new = 1.2676230536380646
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -7993.128040028532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1367:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.872376753578198, b_new = 0.2017451250315691, c_new = 2.5208548826231008
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -13922.217003090855
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1368:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8688899853778027, b_new = -0.07087384149551268, c_new = 2.594196087149009
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3148.5570318951604
Acceptance probability: 4.0699781511129285e-47
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1369:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1353016504452307, b_new = 0.7193202003743531, c_new = 1.4593216701609628
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -6417.482264201481
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1370:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.029667224551993, b_new = 0.36602886278582347, c_new = 2.0580148595368706
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3955.492412134844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1371:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1022979934055885, b_new = 0.0009227944209013739, c_new = 1.7732942728023986
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -4250.254262586393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1372:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6102373458339985, b_new = 0.7681466595593307, c_new = 1.711664612217472
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -12935.61746748499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1373:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5191554191198904, b_new = -0.4293472865635223, c_new = 1.247867509496833
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -10321.40121960781
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1374:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.905485770501664, b_new = 0.4485862349472385, c_new = 1.3733251923181624
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3072.9946241242615
Acceptance probability: 2.6664215585904042e-14
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1375:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7714897385026815, b_new = 0.48444176765040053, c_new = 1.4079085852521223
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -13476.44068527114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1376:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1988142272766864, b_new = -0.24982509905876504, c_new = 2.042727945553579
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -5402.898732012316
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1377:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.399077287755201, b_new = 0.17182757453963643, c_new = 2.5798848589602894
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -9783.021364816846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1378:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1124135708196903, b_new = 0.5737749278616431, c_new = 1.4217456563027708
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -12309.969019319651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1379:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.570999872867134, b_new = 0.7791991702165469, c_new = 1.800617699511528
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -5690.591651188461
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1380:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1255160435448635, b_new = 0.5249771167462011, c_new = 2.3476917020737016
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -5988.777114443789
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1381:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0970608172169536, b_new = 0.8150787387632655, c_new = 2.112545478985918
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -11890.520926228966
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1382:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4722774297078174, b_new = 0.05657665977112003, c_new = 2.2934556298581326
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -9099.730171458368
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1383:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5245473134441037, b_new = 1.2089463343052764, c_new = 2.018897934625152
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -13018.25292672424
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1384:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.6069578254099, b_new = 1.5572039863087075, c_new = 2.793892439351354
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -16779.498326480687
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1385:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.102924623963781, b_new = 0.6373715316527817, c_new = 1.9620685375469646
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -5681.907777393103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1386:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8161893057660263, b_new = 1.3664011260657891, c_new = 1.2979863269327276
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -14528.669751073263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1387:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.348412631866971, b_new = 1.0945236059380399, c_new = 1.822416044119078
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -11300.207103181916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1388:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.381751076736147, b_new = 0.48401959316647036, c_new = 2.4908148570345094
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -10761.565589000944
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1389:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7017778422726133, b_new = -0.39606119648442784, c_new = 3.0440448565696414
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -5601.291847472146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1390:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9844719804567639, b_new = -0.08769988079319313, c_new = 2.0128422909289587
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -13748.379028178013
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1391:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8077813967448444, b_new = 0.33923969869279025, c_new = 3.227138981543571
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -13922.01795275685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1392:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5724203622416, b_new = 0.05193752455148232, c_new = 1.7963313178867992
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -7517.113720132109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1393:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4099238931586493, b_new = 0.6326303015181981, c_new = 2.287842513556931
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -11277.650794893574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1394:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.888800553791065, b_new = 1.0988383223696947, c_new = 2.0304861691198997
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3486.881667497663
Acceptance probability: 4.754115665501816e-194
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1395:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4058067992570686, b_new = 0.5803937024756781, c_new = 2.6186706369936887
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -8840.334312885338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1396:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.433453604780453, b_new = 0.7881384902145057, c_new = 2.3627273532067545
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -11791.681333753175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1397:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7868943880816204, b_new = 0.4890140167395523, c_new = 2.365053842382541
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3240.8841030738495
Acceptance probability: 3.25427713363154e-87
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1398:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7232335313494516, b_new = -0.21272362098676534, c_new = 0.7762193826913555
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -5545.863688003621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1399:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4748313351979316, b_new = 0.7989615429982144, c_new = 1.6653496525298477
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -7527.951380660997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1400:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.48523535815405, b_new = 0.03339945326596422, c_new = 2.2996856299301056
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -11030.172085289558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1401:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.58040594218361, b_new = -0.7631797560095056, c_new = 1.5653462785201993
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -9595.38533029431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1402:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.132060405728174, b_new = -0.27330066771021866, c_new = 2.301805389212367
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -4304.599530439315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1403:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3994204526966723, b_new = 0.5872475341588024, c_new = 2.1003001862714012
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -9092.24636114129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1404:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.863613741426225, b_new = -0.24102316122937417, c_new = 1.4650114890575794
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3462.8066226251995
Acceptance probability: 1.3574657581573921e-183
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1405:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4833302326045392, b_new = 0.6937705566199323, c_new = 1.790782089660358
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -7584.073590064925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1406:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8107005430894487, b_new = 0.3039776025880166, c_new = 2.8888835060620632
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3185.7481042926265
Acceptance probability: 2.8688943785690874e-63
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1407:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4785684341191216, b_new = 0.6245138496049802, c_new = 1.659997305876917
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -11738.374132994979
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1408:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.704462225465803, b_new = -0.0003958094090549813, c_new = 2.3096147933213294
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -4880.4404969167745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1409:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.890684064138367, b_new = 0.023584519412702287, c_new = 1.746294071690929
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3092.1060298680695
Acceptance probability: 1.3364439708258245e-22
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1410:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8844520596424448, b_new = 0.7690582933854813, c_new = 1.541313098679486
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3142.430439459664
Acceptance probability: 1.8635341913280208e-44
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1411:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.225765520416041, b_new = 0.908578953108507, c_new = 1.684773810301877
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -10727.344048459636
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1412:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.916049952122299, b_new = -0.0013765650120685646, c_new = 2.0256323846194153
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Acceptance probability: 17.195502672629132
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1413:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4274546794814538, b_new = 0.13931821330675453, c_new = 1.918534140457933
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -9702.609259614268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1414:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4407765903780065, b_new = 0.28055164046810815, c_new = 2.807277635387008
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -11144.23840132916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1415:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.054401154686822, b_new = 1.379504082688186, c_new = 1.5437142023746608
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -15380.429520971644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1416:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4309681924514024, b_new = 0.3330508926700115, c_new = 3.021151447535682
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -8861.115101834643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1417:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6608866944489917, b_new = -0.8172528499870699, c_new = 2.154269437102725
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -7952.556968251913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1418:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3773604088271716, b_new = -0.9471293143893842, c_new = 0.9224576880205224
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -12662.78543859666
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1419:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8907822119510564, b_new = -0.6156077587234503, c_new = 2.8490652813099873
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -13243.17785396161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1420:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6379132936299388, b_new = 0.18808943396467845, c_new = 1.649710222081524
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -12365.719053148361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1421:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.699583725143491, b_new = -0.6257315973258006, c_new = 1.9064431719661317
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -15394.61049901586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1422:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1952364189823763, b_new = 0.645516941725456, c_new = 2.536945003405507
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -7990.239739273215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1423:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8455937816442, b_new = 0.11766131099350906, c_new = 2.1521895100988266
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -3187.659040222688
Acceptance probability: 2.4682591397272425e-65
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1424:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.502116074580378, b_new = -0.5516344063022096, c_new = 2.1183389754461226
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -10072.140132025203
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1425:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6654133185708258, b_new = -0.06311721746544363, c_new = 2.3540369844764344
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -5726.819908858204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1426:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.49452519781728, b_new = -0.21540009444245997, c_new = 1.8817288603751035
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -10588.366513844889
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1427:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.064946306761787, b_new = -0.30284154342984, c_new = 2.5121271998361445
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -3522.1697476380577
Acceptance probability: 1.3068820283751435e-210
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1428:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5584031356016963, b_new = 0.24866030945822643, c_new = 2.4116549936211173
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -7044.443148343749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1429:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2293117308904824, b_new = 0.2863129691279037, c_new = 1.5884703778645655
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -11748.314374038679
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1430:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7555432418692947, b_new = -0.03984900617173953, c_new = 1.6183741502596223
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -12840.34274822297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1431:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9803865767240048, b_new = -0.37923765385816177, c_new = 1.5395075228930346
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -3064.329747411279
Acceptance probability: 8.98715183187223e-12
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1432:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.447771417750623, b_new = 0.0722431150331963, c_new = 1.8180884841105032
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -10560.028191291187
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1433:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.957303293554586, b_new = 0.19028653926767075, c_new = 2.2918867553524356
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -3181.30909386041
Acceptance probability: 1.4129845701439256e-62
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1434:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.038411975408537, b_new = -0.9085536770026574, c_new = 2.2161386647719095
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -3072.84525488522
Acceptance probability: 1.800462881417359e-15
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1435:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9468296551754514, b_new = -0.06124340056637686, c_new = 1.1084653980831343
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -3064.1170649519427
Acceptance probability: 1.1117033064563181e-11
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1436:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.893199591725476, b_new = 0.26961127686255426, c_new = 2.0474128124670905
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Acceptance probability: 24.70297838835047
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1437:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.572704027606383, b_new = 0.01906517310048028, c_new = 1.1788373531128713
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -7850.1420682387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1438:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.085422479636362, b_new = 0.13391687290301324, c_new = 2.1775748569710593
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4333.531964059033
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1439:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1728315358443964, b_new = 0.5278173672965316, c_new = 2.3323073491601973
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -11636.423209700626
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1440:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.189943156748973, b_new = 0.23943831387329015, c_new = 1.6679336797277495
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -14973.657142223099
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1441:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8382208174058134, b_new = 0.16827083158373865, c_new = 3.214457726613502
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3113.782725531363
Acceptance probability: 1.2125991213329077e-34
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1442:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.420941090005605, b_new = 0.5406967491537327, c_new = 2.115617802890376
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -8872.23421283033
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1443:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8976268376419045, b_new = 0.018662721619435496, c_new = 2.300580413101872
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3047.113389247429
Acceptance probability: 1.0910436084655593e-05
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1444:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9215436970340973, b_new = -0.187380176021554, c_new = 1.3443019747301872
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3118.343827150382
Acceptance probability: 1.2672315725957376e-36
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1445:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3683185339790196, b_new = 0.47696126324489396, c_new = 1.992671338606019
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9772.044774643855
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1446:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6631098215627014, b_new = 0.31406706437007315, c_new = 2.362066634481486
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4900.224307015547
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1447:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.48929714870733, b_new = 0.16569592024941082, c_new = 1.5378792148531049
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -11077.04331215209
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1448:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.226438265685857, b_new = 0.19409270678709378, c_new = 2.6452632326860255
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -7405.497675146344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1449:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4667331256574037, b_new = 0.20240784252140878, c_new = 2.8863689421759378
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -11300.062579934962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1450:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4736619505448756, b_new = -0.0319174931017297, c_new = 2.150318977407809
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -10755.643827856315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1451:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3981098266186445, b_new = -0.4211213137706098, c_new = 1.3647738739076352
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -11380.47396689038
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1452:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6029819417613673, b_new = 0.696289434303299, c_new = 1.1204662044289877
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -5507.647908653722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1453:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5874967777955433, b_new = 0.40414781064068783, c_new = 1.175354256322212
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -6521.396044506097
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1454:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.65634611426314, b_new = 0.4526810041012138, c_new = 2.0778431286714105
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4807.196778320071
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1455:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5939953496106907, b_new = -0.34990285972935486, c_new = 2.864328155998532
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -11592.378754124118
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1456:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0209445004424804, b_new = 0.56025974097443, c_new = 1.1979826892429029
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3982.567380025916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1457:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8827312273239176, b_new = -0.38449592611366357, c_new = 1.3566942902076997
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3480.6150094579702
Acceptance probability: 5.894955837726021e-194
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1458:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7900672574243544, b_new = 0.3955430408185949, c_new = 1.9130091022235471
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3340.8060518104444
Acceptance probability: 3.0813383054582363e-133
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1459:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.413153201968288, b_new = 0.19280083975537182, c_new = 1.2077773933902831
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -10040.651455431218
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1460:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.345258266477569, b_new = 0.7153769597308625, c_new = 2.442467586521852
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -10752.622558161745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1461:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.309995137486296, b_new = 0.23589736075834652, c_new = 1.87918775930315
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -10953.285064165724
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1462:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.320620491415345, b_new = 0.9233020576544398, c_new = 2.7575621273466746
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -10966.38858323989
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1463:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6034644019416566, b_new = 0.5722120407469387, c_new = 1.5402103072412108
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12597.443046761298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1464:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.060248358330065, b_new = -0.5852578678705174, c_new = 2.1941088910684914
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -13865.550947272664
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1465:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4344781971930103, b_new = 0.7764495763398912, c_new = 1.5315496209292068
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -8332.781338431763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1466:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.815917060674127, b_new = -0.4322477679007143, c_new = 2.4388181295252713
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4007.6897239023665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1467:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.930507706075508, b_new = 0.07807839584507589, c_new = 2.277173503853529
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -14008.02132769315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1468:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.465338509796364, b_new = 0.260775092706357, c_new = 1.3733804383141377
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9085.62605334237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1469:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.309771089882504, b_new = 0.19884437145720876, c_new = 2.606496337925567
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9122.025585647018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1470:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.498688489681081, b_new = 0.3820145236950656, c_new = 2.550591301870746
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -11790.92123838349
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1471:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.416107194946488, b_new = -0.005650898814005101, c_new = 2.323932620148388
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -10007.255515322473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1472:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.135842313152214, b_new = -0.19037781850377827, c_new = 1.9183433064837248
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4425.087850011632
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1473:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.742239849371255, b_new = 1.239988216787082, c_new = 1.4738166825662182
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3128.8548836662276
Acceptance probability: 3.451136531228928e-41
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1474:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5784522707215185, b_new = -0.5018878511771799, c_new = 2.2446850107462444
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -8678.811771753532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1475:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7986475730003795, b_new = -0.9087421234547999, c_new = 2.0672914987656057
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -5352.755759738648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1476:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.984484316378693, b_new = 0.15810465348446306, c_new = 1.6880189607591245
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3260.9106677593204
Acceptance probability: 1.5376723526536913e-98
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1477:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8242233953602978, b_new = 0.2210508418520053, c_new = 1.97903043497428
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3251.81591269252
Acceptance probability: 1.3698270740154927e-94
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1478:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8394518633563055, b_new = 0.6126891326300765, c_new = 2.0773722896378035
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3046.407302457801
Acceptance probability: 2.210506040181325e-05
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1479:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7344931373126786, b_new = 0.1553214580136123, c_new = 3.0106744146860063
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3981.8665782834487
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1480:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031248106868997, b_new = 0.015291519271894427, c_new = 1.9818091283567825
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3503.2481390183284
Acceptance probability: 8.730463070793265e-204
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1481:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9125009859102575, b_new = -0.06380046938082157, c_new = 2.194783456821389
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3045.2273680029703
Acceptance probability: 7.193342328205641e-05
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1482:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8288737677704057, b_new = -0.08855507303767773, c_new = 2.3869180411545945
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3436.3470937134734
Acceptance probability: 9.903577149319479e-175
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1483:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.828814557306579, b_new = -0.7089788740585922, c_new = 2.272369334125313
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12651.248408796537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1484:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6218038121268243, b_new = 0.9370285271645281, c_new = 1.8253315055343677
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4483.6352746001485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1485:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0533187640591533, b_new = -0.2267082540238532, c_new = 2.5076427134557844
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3501.632144158647
Acceptance probability: 4.393948172147053e-203
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1486:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.490751361131544, b_new = 0.37826684993087895, c_new = 2.46563699296214
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -7972.6870057161395
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1487:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6173121106547255, b_new = 0.4344236378205091, c_new = 1.3985281533297487
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -5769.32631712437
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1488:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.218249540658624, b_new = 0.09844692905826888, c_new = 1.1247334343867517
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12278.168687733069
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1489:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.190996649384529, b_new = 0.10368841856615268, c_new = 2.5733218805898037
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -6331.565187127237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1490:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4453054008267983, b_new = 0.0614558187437938, c_new = 1.6412399930873305
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9721.704553141593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1491:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.199941851592223, b_new = 0.048952395318304004, c_new = 2.2310401215320823
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -6252.73137842958
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1492:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6455025648420385, b_new = 0.8724456891929497, c_new = 2.7740504572528746
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -13554.643054257715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1493:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.567401270699874, b_new = 0.4791136389079689, c_new = 2.088304394880277
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -6395.577827605783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1494:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.785357171621398, b_new = -0.15021297891941954, c_new = 1.8970966713133846
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4068.097638353149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1495:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6051909333072043, b_new = 0.4139903326083656, c_new = 2.61840610915851
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12679.106378451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1496:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1977773018182547, b_new = 0.20883638853052597, c_new = 1.7059742770343795
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12095.126019088953
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1497:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1179516828961504, b_new = -0.021988161795869987, c_new = 2.1564844398219596
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4524.009724424723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1498:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3329444821716527, b_new = 0.3092345409218421, c_new = 2.5321750371276073
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9747.262832659988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1499:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.072087616433233, b_new = 0.25043153778271565, c_new = 2.253357321629442
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4370.068648089289
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1500:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9152227678008757, b_new = -0.6187670029118886, c_new = 1.901204247798255
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3379.4686893475264
Acceptance probability: 4.986194837170854e-150
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1501:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.264077097580132, b_new = 0.4715430770937237, c_new = 2.2348931298580546
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -8832.080585955684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1502:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9508675388461874, b_new = 0.6912128037567913, c_new = 2.5689420214104253
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3645.8814557814426
Acceptance probability: 9.912309955598754e-266
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1503:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.32706767010289, b_new = 0.8736419011280931, c_new = 3.347124340744764
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -11148.848671210908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1504:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0326235068667, b_new = 0.14730463574901564, c_new = 0.5927232285775201
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -13620.406999129638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1505:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.236576254287465, b_new = 0.680262162761184, c_new = 2.585178499939419
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -10726.072995864322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1506:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2904433141632095, b_new = 0.7030700291343024, c_new = 1.662867656232099
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9677.505944937104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1507:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.166356054503838, b_new = 0.0678778181605878, c_new = 1.8746380050904352
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -14810.002755764515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1508:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.047164737765625, b_new = -0.3388796585313034, c_new = 1.0043187999142
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3246.290399050391
Acceptance probability: 3.438474675163289e-92
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1509:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3556990670271554, b_new = 0.8267737139331661, c_new = 2.2901501456747893
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9144.14454742312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1510:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.833736607634567, b_new = -0.028692011530769557, c_new = 1.827707769028199
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -13345.395216389727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1511:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.488945078807647, b_new = 0.703889014280453, c_new = 2.533276678789779
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12192.286174668156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1512:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.627300931588185, b_new = -0.46787938006413277, c_new = 2.5397636446001224
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -7510.83450315586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1513:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5989077536843992, b_new = 0.4914172455421262, c_new = 1.5224112470578208
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -14885.604137557191
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1514:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.175904845377448, b_new = 0.3433076576675102, c_new = 1.7842808411365263
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -15028.581628281652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1515:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.757567510622514, b_new = -0.04075915536150104, c_new = 3.0002224701663005
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3996.8071906651003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1516:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.975791378573407, b_new = 0.15411810499290662, c_new = 2.178055056695781
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3246.994473968104
Acceptance probability: 1.700552242695799e-92
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1517:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2688799102189607, b_new = -0.4820266929412689, c_new = 1.9346160988336902
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12485.07255085002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1518:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1052007150663172, b_new = -0.04656765056220341, c_new = 2.427795148138649
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4350.34332528583
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1519:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.962576996190796, b_new = 0.5652743479839077, c_new = 2.3434389730643086
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3563.5109207369687
Acceptance probability: 5.87819129246435e-230
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1520:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9643210510004825, b_new = 1.3909018680270322, c_new = 2.20208921707624
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4982.74183431592
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1521:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5428001706686567, b_new = 0.32176844554746137, c_new = 2.306660633982301
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12005.126511227902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1522:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0449503883416438, b_new = 0.20359316583813855, c_new = 2.4868215972512435
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3975.874599825966
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1523:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6472347461780767, b_new = 0.643885020108774, c_new = 1.819337692548394
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -13043.672543490638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1524:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8599939695027143, b_new = 0.06429054385833086, c_new = 1.8140209139976118
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3183.5519174410374
Acceptance probability: 6.072145869948514e-65
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1525:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0342199134048786, b_new = -0.4478836150535622, c_new = 2.2169042769834486
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -13838.87491258324
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1526:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3925808081697455, b_new = 0.5004586306875698, c_new = 2.7409934501246185
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9152.708194987332
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1527:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2707246537897072, b_new = 0.727546453018543, c_new = 1.7066994900930816
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -10555.252619434832
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1528:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.217685929146628, b_new = 0.3985289429018395, c_new = 1.8682370652597273
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -7497.96160530064
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1529:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.107060662116479, b_new = 0.6263255603713052, c_new = 1.8317837810855626
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -5693.062855842803
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1530:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.653567801711261, b_new = -0.07685440408755256, c_new = 1.2914224795299791
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -6397.899482290469
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1531:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0057558123505776, b_new = 0.38880965785310145, c_new = 2.5845186698867573
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3812.0812794278017
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1532:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.508146725464849, b_new = 0.9145010077425398, c_new = 2.3145258602920276
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12583.492280589016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1533:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.091823288443358, b_new = -0.45302169888904353, c_new = 2.230956770442436
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3565.249122288304
Acceptance probability: 1.0335996960048365e-230
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1534:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6756642620102915, b_new = 0.39827698722263527, c_new = 1.7508522091434415
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4695.0844227812295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1535:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0098721412215945, b_new = -0.21832697518992483, c_new = 1.6586457533991124
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3159.8952750874273
Acceptance probability: 1.141015201619142e-54
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1536:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4495433659923553, b_new = -0.5883788318722466, c_new = 2.08485370353552
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9393.736451696017
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1537:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1760141520497527, b_new = 0.7245453351275107, c_new = 1.9955743381075564
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -7567.3527179708035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1538:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0145767724230517, b_new = 0.6560358901009204, c_new = 2.7862292005432736
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12491.896280351179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1539:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8793025984138922, b_new = 0.21726058503541523, c_new = 2.5467923957275582
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Acceptance probability: 2.656974447720501
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1540:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2931340008808943, b_new = 0.3166205053596749, c_new = 1.9415912290296296
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -10968.689404120118
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1541:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.515717206064769, b_new = 0.8018141291819334, c_new = 3.371357466752421
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -6184.910831342274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1542:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.08064475770096, b_new = 0.39860565530102265, c_new = 2.8334379526632354
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -4966.190532858589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1543:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6120676750825167, b_new = -0.037273289704397305, c_new = 2.2495763651407334
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -6774.918559972821
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1544:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.710619912400661, b_new = -0.08042652350325308, c_new = 2.5261122139552676
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -12725.765653313647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1545:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8999238380982706, b_new = -0.08362636447853317, c_new = 2.239458655906956
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3072.5031524308733
Acceptance probability: 3.862074830299182e-17
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1546:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4032965171583562, b_new = 1.071253779549786, c_new = 2.033304095918904
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11873.776026590042
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1547:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1186170136538918, b_new = 0.6724367262254429, c_new = 2.360706036795887
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11854.99788823676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1548:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.667302039891872, b_new = 0.5219608257538364, c_new = 2.3672877338810645
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -13156.278188417902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1549:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.948580702215568, b_new = -0.8789550074770383, c_new = 2.3339929759440112
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3324.937397869013
Acceptance probability: 9.036928518993934e-127
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1550:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9451832298979697, b_new = 0.6304983110805422, c_new = 3.07226239513773
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3603.2895229269784
Acceptance probability: 1.1728133702803463e-247
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1551:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.915149982529512, b_new = -0.40662671052993693, c_new = 2.587594920532425
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3135.358094809758
Acceptance probability: 1.9465521742052633e-44
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1552:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.953178931948388, b_new = 0.2804572861210803, c_new = 2.3841590671892288
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -14317.40869568714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1553:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.900827141106216, b_new = 0.621080926226963, c_new = 3.2327542514660235
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3278.1939856906997
Acceptance probability: 1.8047906045770573e-106
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1554:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3425036058759114, b_new = 0.20499616038141574, c_new = 3.5262160298553655
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -10108.368639180439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1555:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4161904698890093, b_new = 0.8787931920615533, c_new = 1.7237382361192761
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -8330.724566395984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1556:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4528549585815584, b_new = -0.4654167288707469, c_new = 3.1873406708935463
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -10159.359256233613
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1557:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7005401297958174, b_new = 0.0736575867984022, c_new = 2.338633468190733
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -4782.651354566553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1558:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.111010428890166, b_new = 0.20301757412858437, c_new = 2.721486052578638
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -5029.702573128088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1559:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7051742487386377, b_new = 0.5080940505655829, c_new = 2.6874603256509784
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3882.711169829434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1560:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1198694480551805, b_new = 0.05317948183665283, c_new = 2.2085519291566515
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -4716.58517036256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1561:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2834982491225593, b_new = -0.022023506564893935, c_new = 2.788397612377146
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11369.80086405847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1562:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.182063059943431, b_new = 0.03891367375674151, c_new = 2.4436676959750274
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -5917.037856203458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1563:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6211710530260683, b_new = 0.5607479374758746, c_new = 2.0335827873290673
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -5194.345944491691
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1564:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.012156009152142, b_new = 0.6079762601273239, c_new = 1.8504024529359633
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -4078.5079641459693
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1565:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.448482703895638, b_new = 0.23166949052369507, c_new = 1.507614022078073
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -9356.827480778134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1566:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.780899595703329, b_new = 0.8374267879086794, c_new = 2.4172664023383628
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -14114.971803096709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1567:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.537446067742751, b_new = 0.268302126892136, c_new = 2.223289072213775
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11859.846305256982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1568:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.294674837578762, b_new = 0.20113263055066852, c_new = 2.419367007223488
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -8776.791223930615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1569:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1458034757411437, b_new = 1.0101315924810912, c_new = 2.9359357479880654
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -8142.725227535702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1570:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3279529162674097, b_new = 0.17376635243684516, c_new = 2.919277847910722
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -9489.069158471062
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1571:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6489079666220565, b_new = 0.9826335877886813, c_new = 2.317604223546914
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3945.427781674064
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1572:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.88589056814902, b_new = -0.25336292121649945, c_new = 2.3374583299061578
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -13487.786412943116
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1573:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.259125617376387, b_new = -0.5147532389990532, c_new = 1.8359064058540717
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -5890.566414890371
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1574:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3666824766240504, b_new = 0.7229297795913874, c_new = 3.014645840215152
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11204.894731394568
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1575:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.382140032119558, b_new = -0.302183177732548, c_new = 2.418917964809457
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -9090.650917533296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1576:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1748631282302044, b_new = 0.2981577011320073, c_new = 2.6132923576475924
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11875.771997465354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1577:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7891538027028004, b_new = -0.006439851262621005, c_new = 2.548736884099154
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3678.6636564132878
Acceptance probability: 2.1610193569458276e-280
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1578:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6180462761187373, b_new = 0.9755222780022585, c_new = 2.955167210374221
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -4226.118903892461
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1579:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7668120840412844, b_new = 0.10217034340511584, c_new = 2.4062866574683595
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3799.560387913576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1580:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.818805628583251, b_new = 0.6878963476476729, c_new = 2.9708815801340607
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3058.9339165326037
Acceptance probability: 3.0190128291100294e-11
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1581:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.500827829369406, b_new = 0.4597748416491172, c_new = 2.562044397823737
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11932.095301519788
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1582:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5602516655174545, b_new = -0.577538799300487, c_new = 2.846611811259194
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -8952.335692409295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1583:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.802760820179899, b_new = 0.5235210422891007, c_new = 2.3020696814398076
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3148.1590343792077
Acceptance probability: 5.368940989085838e-50
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1584:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6620451765924447, b_new = -0.6000522634618961, c_new = 2.3830316842024772
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -7217.200649559486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1585:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.584915592743383, b_new = -0.6957840126314787, c_new = 3.3409262638922974
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -8617.737345600159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1586:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3495879187800233, b_new = -0.4891462318293386, c_new = 3.348414645469715
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -15931.771850057004
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1587:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5434471789484263, b_new = 0.5651505322342066, c_new = 2.4469434719774767
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -12395.010633013168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1588:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3186924758834473, b_new = 0.4334780061878587, c_new = 1.7287272038404398
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -9527.372357974098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1589:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5360993766848523, b_new = -0.1775756512894862, c_new = 2.215201401035498
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11162.098352009954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1590:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0408578076380812, b_new = -0.2298717295376797, c_new = 1.7439002438938713
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3324.9555608187784
Acceptance probability: 8.874272865055902e-127
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1591:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7347563294784605, b_new = 0.5805517522958795, c_new = 2.3241756928289705
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -13599.949639996696
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1592:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.904067979011579, b_new = 0.5405192187614581, c_new = 2.5991098985392753
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3172.029938704764
Acceptance probability: 2.3061449663429302e-60
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1593:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.449872472469929, b_new = 0.9524311073410119, c_new = 1.9015225422510516
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -12060.897059402008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1594:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.704051817631924, b_new = 0.5942797483799316, c_new = 2.4748067281563912
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -13485.610128137314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1595:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4931611573345216, b_new = 0.530863130896883, c_new = 2.686000749882226
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -7482.804883591119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1596:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.318479439160768, b_new = 0.02726086516367507, c_new = 1.3267089237503367
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11422.052304294277
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1597:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0086254303493813, b_new = 1.1166146341710061, c_new = 2.8752399979775136
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -5359.966276144617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1598:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3850601028041278, b_new = 0.44131336248419706, c_new = 2.9219994613668128
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -15275.51513201652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1599:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8371883693764928, b_new = 0.27248195858806235, c_new = 2.0943310918429803
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -13735.15233289251
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1600:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.918794739199096, b_new = -0.02112970068188233, c_new = 2.586038084292416
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Acceptance probability: 1154.619453202239
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1601:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8179776949859754, b_new = -0.12921967105368604, c_new = 1.978370769250764
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3649.8517699599943
Acceptance probability: 6.096254464117434e-271
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1602:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1225756050238767, b_new = -0.27412567435228474, c_new = 2.1219528801972203
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4136.0973434424195
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1603:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.860102578018349, b_new = -0.33981847067394677, c_new = 2.105047514070953
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3488.620727254435
Acceptance probability: 6.409368552247603e-201
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1604:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3129961538794355, b_new = -0.5109982844399863, c_new = 3.0660712957447656
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11802.483292446817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1605:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.815281650639093, b_new = -0.4383436615450983, c_new = 2.5296347312865057
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4004.104267553106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1606:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.557229625369772, b_new = -0.11816691547940646, c_new = 3.0823601150190543
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7758.9294465182265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1607:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.328543339824633, b_new = -0.41902870164378736, c_new = 1.847780527119241
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7596.857467437115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1608:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1963983563051617, b_new = 0.32629032595259266, c_new = 2.9855879950153783
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11548.149858568284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1609:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.28497960826212, b_new = -0.32778596561879114, c_new = 1.974590509643905
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -6971.386464116093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1610:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.481347297143562, b_new = 0.3068179671191861, c_new = 3.2687342686160035
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11726.16041466464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1611:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.087826892752487, b_new = -0.7608862619104284, c_new = 2.2486860219764306
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3267.3928106600624
Acceptance probability: 7.671471307352518e-105
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1612:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8279906784888693, b_new = 0.6032153081237214, c_new = 2.513484051847743
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3052.81528537122
Acceptance probability: 1.187719367790532e-11
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1613:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6970071646658855, b_new = 0.07187855762528193, c_new = 2.5725616859250144
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12838.808123575891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1614:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.693638481208815, b_new = -0.6257025143514207, c_new = 2.9690538665733985
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -6385.793989184998
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1615:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5786170857461004, b_new = -0.9479065290693336, c_new = 1.969174207529429
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -9905.65173193952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1616:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7282545279449737, b_new = 0.6828161571879575, c_new = 3.1659953083449563
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3400.8160581155084
Acceptance probability: 8.707601340089368e-163
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1617:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8363285350960936, b_new = 0.2686965438251311, c_new = 2.4301686595024425
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -13801.88920978651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1618:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.672642298780834, b_new = -0.4300049405404982, c_new = 3.206497595980869
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12188.89285257917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1619:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3819379040189395, b_new = 0.3385058984359991, c_new = 2.9050128226082492
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10617.795276889734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1620:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6054482548726736, b_new = -0.9076970482167606, c_new = 0.9024307344811509
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -9825.169447355347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1621:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7443927586683596, b_new = 0.6207339048821674, c_new = 2.7925219308984186
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -13804.93813257842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1622:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9565544037986284, b_new = 0.3357360849693706, c_new = 3.6214106085347613
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3450.9730136995877
Acceptance probability: 1.4355208287683096e-184
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1623:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4915449497989455, b_new = 0.01100903856689351, c_new = 2.664349178623862
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -8761.696882759003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1624:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0558458897704197, b_new = 1.3376038794741318, c_new = 2.9865598452312367
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7055.354314230102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1625:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7138335069872603, b_new = 0.3307873160650794, c_new = 2.4068530203185716
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4098.379140680716
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1626:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.955974900855522, b_new = 0.20223298979827647, c_new = 2.2441413784036306
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -14226.566696704445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1627:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7647614807080423, b_new = 0.24248928100694908, c_new = 2.439725491778412
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3633.726930934624
Acceptance probability: 6.137502710357524e-264
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1628:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6022638496473087, b_new = 0.2293815764270559, c_new = 1.9315486278021954
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12235.734553685264
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1629:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6521281852229426, b_new = 0.4604822791551698, c_new = 3.075119332912069
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4597.3740049293465
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1630:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.997933820089465, b_new = 0.002578102824587255, c_new = 3.3141739316603798
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -13234.872462359946
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1631:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3757643186729935, b_new = -0.284752079918527, c_new = 2.488745598149732
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10975.531702182112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1632:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.22197800799097, b_new = 0.0633174608992317, c_new = 3.3192753821624015
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7193.543831727615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1633:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.079990692097236, b_new = 1.261290958971061, c_new = 2.6724238361212582
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7254.840578969417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1634:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.013698272857777, b_new = 0.12932604510070078, c_new = 2.4254071565954165
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -14430.633281564298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1635:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5458391578854034, b_new = -0.12540664361473136, c_new = 4.1090418707116205
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11869.093136519406
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1636:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.233673825457356, b_new = 0.18180727887119863, c_new = 1.9078622548825352
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7247.024778028067
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1637:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.854023633100937, b_new = 0.6757719009836168, c_new = 2.320127141381272
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3062.508602816683
Acceptance probability: 7.327562991427444e-16
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1638:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8158177617222475, b_new = 0.4317079411940078, c_new = 2.4073731287571105
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3131.4679252431542
Acceptance probability: 8.247196739835219e-46
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1639:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.987578820842955, b_new = -0.2594542737916503, c_new = 2.00585429867312
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3079.3343010742815
Acceptance probability: 3.6112009259944183e-23
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1640:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.695496325659305, b_new = -0.24422081505690535, c_new = 2.5752343230997643
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -5512.372647474472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1641:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2162073977649808, b_new = 0.0932702384020409, c_new = 2.3354762120257284
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -6771.212125168382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1642:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6627700663982643, b_new = 0.314211143033964, c_new = 2.294209008553599
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4925.234792378131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1643:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1680586486716664, b_new = 0.44798712694428233, c_new = 2.6810900496955363
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -6844.283241224019
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1644:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.782599466910874, b_new = 0.5100290298658607, c_new = 4.012018143587852
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3151.9727035968363
Acceptance probability: 1.026110810922016e-54
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1645:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.96143970113531, b_new = -0.191911677854205, c_new = 2.1840190619529944
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3045.666412050443
Acceptance probability: 1.5115762982052052e-08
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1646:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2130096452525168, b_new = -0.2999321358982793, c_new = 2.8886316718349687
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12355.051510835354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1647:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5206295638705076, b_new = 0.05545092565325922, c_new = 1.969225472239624
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11318.190623297824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1648:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5722051783398694, b_new = 0.7709278575610705, c_new = 2.141960353390541
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12797.253112737384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1649:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.822990716372924, b_new = -0.5694932159323418, c_new = 2.961802211151426
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4016.452339387096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1650:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3325208361756884, b_new = -0.6165429564524251, c_new = 2.112154247994261
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12107.829104475953
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1651:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0156181916125426, b_new = 0.2250282735493641, c_new = 2.8123659987842147
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3732.814872553745
Acceptance probability: 5.6838869129132514e-307
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1652:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.723030718179736, b_new = -0.012514241419948556, c_new = 2.5117138320265626
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12884.496410806172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1653:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.090325977051523, b_new = -0.5277161552303231, c_new = 2.3245200979509204
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3484.307255119111
Acceptance probability: 4.787760213058349e-199
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1654:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7608288374185648, b_new = 0.7707968086098714, c_new = 3.094948061763536
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -14114.292102253068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1655:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.07497347413423, b_new = 0.08203259676231696, c_new = 2.8292497586645347
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4241.723721867253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1656:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5116888558344126, b_new = -0.669186564648898, c_new = 2.7382006465696027
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10226.226506972667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1657:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.181624787750416, b_new = 0.37758170055177276, c_new = 3.5952640529526034
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7320.934949012087
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1658:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0047343307055043, b_new = 0.827913046301467, c_new = 2.407230096062382
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12441.515165525143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1659:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5791383765389786, b_new = 0.4001216241165324, c_new = 3.003660357345828
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12580.516364243276
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1660:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.271851097074972, b_new = 0.43388033911902, c_new = 2.963421513077366
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10663.367490964745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1661:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.028001837980585, b_new = -0.22087691695992603, c_new = 2.9046923316381292
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -13431.415242525385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1662:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9986740578919737, b_new = -0.12890714233058195, c_new = 2.6080981613088876
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3211.292829591469
Acceptance probability: 1.7733353767318158e-80
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1663:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.911806827386664, b_new = 0.15220886793385052, c_new = 2.8722978065909497
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3045.816317368803
Acceptance probability: 1.3011489659260389e-08
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1664:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.729217256794461, b_new = -0.2660969994157032, c_new = 3.0012768002269796
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4821.355045431137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1665:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.113173339206207, b_new = -0.753494157784023, c_new = 2.4678492907361016
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3466.8022937924816
Acceptance probability: 1.9161985246587056e-191
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1666:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8378710325762473, b_new = 0.21783403784423483, c_new = 2.2944439031761137
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3153.426879805528
Acceptance probability: 2.3969201155881902e-55
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1667:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7071714413042587, b_new = 0.5239598695077392, c_new = 2.7111669523518334
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3833.8172813240453
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1668:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6464029081797875, b_new = 0.3674899984637706, c_new = 1.8799336996261329
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -5221.006090469437
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1669:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.402527591612802, b_new = 0.5355515515312701, c_new = 3.5071042128941983
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11413.035829411887
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1670:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.687070492057569, b_new = 0.12905626697733785, c_new = 2.8522155152856046
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4746.015565751416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1671:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6171487799160795, b_new = -0.4970211766530236, c_new = 2.492427532062024
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7816.678964418892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1672:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.155048373344015, b_new = -0.022049985644058336, c_new = 2.6549259956488283
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12459.780026733088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1673:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.108427301661985, b_new = -0.3789905459702696, c_new = 3.182534736714237
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3994.1574576271632
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1674:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.847477930650998, b_new = -0.06051914009189892, c_new = 2.2597088486870636
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3293.015723898201
Acceptance probability: 5.714639456503542e-116
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1675:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2037678456656717, b_new = 0.35499504851955854, c_new = 2.529680029318487
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11575.271039081574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1676:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7709593313916683, b_new = -0.4095510302979626, c_new = 2.8807068202885087
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4478.315331023131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1677:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8819215835720362, b_new = -0.034631261478414894, c_new = 2.406956898309879
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -14073.781060471021
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1678:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6537594971025538, b_new = -0.23516684068657479, c_new = 2.233231326080101
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -6450.257276538647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1679:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.506978517475542, b_new = -0.4876664938703923, c_new = 2.1377071311967852
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10325.397438519718
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1680:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0797787917298844, b_new = 0.26100851169582084, c_new = 1.7288194518000415
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12859.659813367318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1681:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8165524620011033, b_new = 0.15859466851000661, c_new = 2.562909960750315
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3281.0796067736146
Acceptance probability: 8.725265240178718e-111
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1682:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7122608072566066, b_new = -0.07044216106433462, c_new = 3.2759661698593945
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4624.537584869685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1683:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.469455792255964, b_new = -0.2921899185099497, c_new = 2.2598666337575333
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10279.238292486574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1684:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8899699239135852, b_new = -0.7181261262595642, c_new = 2.5313095107695465
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -14657.739734727393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1685:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3798448643345167, b_new = 0.42555254311305035, c_new = 2.0887245515999004
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -9692.687582440944
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1686:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.927304257808312, b_new = 1.0746519921939437, c_new = 2.454786216766582
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3912.618778902087
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1687:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.217450997160974, b_new = -0.06395993831066454, c_new = 2.402827504578956
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -6385.06987602374
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1688:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8974206073264883, b_new = -0.16078155338378353, c_new = 2.9362025125713105
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -13999.365862531155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1689:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8031210131394766, b_new = 0.2617232511978991, c_new = 3.7324395166512563
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -13940.055858811942
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1690:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.045808924971785, b_new = -0.8729216638110693, c_new = 2.5137801273688782
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3073.427039989032
Acceptance probability: 1.3278302110713025e-20
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1691:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9168702747858335, b_new = 0.10442025959424817, c_new = 3.0349543938452155
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3047.692538483426
Acceptance probability: 1.992941468865854e-09
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1692:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7449463384471984, b_new = 0.6463258360198162, c_new = 2.7751055044081805
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3350.342764587359
Acceptance probability: 7.247219251132565e-141
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1693:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.983399100238148, b_new = 0.30753332293416635, c_new = 2.5014570027974226
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3477.3863747758437
Acceptance probability: 4.851014071066839e-196
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1694:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0895780468114498, b_new = 0.6504802148046792, c_new = 2.877868272261816
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -5765.082974489682
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1695:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.889624501945712, b_new = -0.1717992084768713, c_new = 2.4891540294988954
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3124.133866278383
Acceptance probability: 1.2631289625730908e-42
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1696:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2738419278865107, b_new = 0.5518523870196279, c_new = 2.9165880742527115
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -9490.97847498317
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1697:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.015900025988266, b_new = -0.5878726994616054, c_new = 2.6322141526239085
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -13825.29911490226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1698:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.133847037542764, b_new = -0.12044501056027282, c_new = 2.1865587326135967
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4588.585527555795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1699:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3270351076542055, b_new = -0.5639665613751693, c_new = 2.0640210973821302
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7254.65391551905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1700:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.527929107620694, b_new = -0.1546632778220625, c_new = 1.9377466108171841
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -8824.380237344536
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1701:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0111289680262368, b_new = -0.0309533460678838, c_new = 2.2801250492560166
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3334.889548744243
Acceptance probability: 3.727500999808857e-134
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1702:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.684240045282286, b_new = 0.2901994945084745, c_new = 3.8825214922850435
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4246.65014158785
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1703:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.253410985587264, b_new = 0.4610519773252657, c_new = 2.7806026889576
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -8806.317507345622
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1704:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.435344867843999, b_new = 0.5617758569097538, c_new = 3.070584622406251
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11651.721472566907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1705:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.283394206355453, b_new = 0.393896516128426, c_new = 2.6790526495927787
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -9166.970875646415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1706:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4845985198908753, b_new = 0.7116994032693261, c_new = 1.99554977654667
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12016.31499904548
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1707:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.090065964708034, b_new = -0.3230921940544861, c_new = 3.4371098854511244
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3904.9903977769977
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1708:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6755447335814893, b_new = -0.12456650275912683, c_new = 3.367743965591944
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -5344.871137279415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1709:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.81666152995881, b_new = 0.4153354453625987, c_new = 2.75732166206931
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3115.2774113727028
Acceptance probability: 8.866601460268586e-39
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1710:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.848541535354974, b_new = 0.6321314901384714, c_new = 3.490301980400301
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3096.1658411639637
Acceptance probability: 1.769321155015447e-30
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1711:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9372358041845406, b_new = 0.31348037663286854, c_new = 3.0936601536804984
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3231.0992605627994
Acceptance probability: 4.4357514272985504e-89
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1712:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4490814435982604, b_new = -0.03221813891626986, c_new = 2.7271836806451883
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10655.503057047916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1713:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4610824457179787, b_new = 0.4356735844246157, c_new = 2.8507371835813275
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -8211.86645030698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1714:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.711686987236559, b_new = 0.16017649020147876, c_new = 2.9404004725727733
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4291.446455137129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1715:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.603926710380199, b_new = -0.06469540731308629, c_new = 2.512003378834075
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11993.049912997189
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1716:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.324645300123721, b_new = 0.30767793175536295, c_new = 2.275183374762529
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -9521.104180030889
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1717:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.084960987310493, b_new = -1.0509830656762926, c_new = 2.5058947181720033
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -13670.303675934148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1718:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.82567800618265, b_new = -0.16896125331824471, c_new = 3.1819926473931766
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3427.966539061095
Acceptance probability: 1.4079735031757211e-174
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1719:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7608764662273826, b_new = -0.1863806090341279, c_new = 1.7066960830956166
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4527.8771631743275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1720:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.036349048410246, b_new = 0.07229086595436356, c_new = 1.9340874168983748
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3607.599772279909
Acceptance probability: 1.3641826710521114e-252
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1721:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3083504138255586, b_new = 0.24289090805209748, c_new = 2.372151883326648
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10795.530555573512
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1722:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7288575025332467, b_new = 0.5309967230533504, c_new = 2.336191351833077
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3658.6166655110055
Acceptance probability: 9.517377910340408e-275
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1723:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.417688655037602, b_new = -0.6291785882760145, c_new = 2.8306227201716427
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11029.557234450576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1724:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0195450341099317, b_new = 0.7391038991584445, c_new = 1.5269774872336113
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4334.05959845006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1725:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.628725169329646, b_new = -0.5811826121130318, c_new = 1.8147835376825614
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -8099.4097591756445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1726:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.199208510450113, b_new = 0.8905109370026929, c_new = 2.4651067528146635
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10789.17234500969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1727:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.414524933638121, b_new = 0.3950287781669559, c_new = 2.708546468528472
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11036.06012050698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1728:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.940327162226677, b_new = -0.25626449312385313, c_new = 3.335591629389212
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Acceptance probability: 464.31882520969447
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1729:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.249016689911004, b_new = 0.3883990611214988, c_new = 3.9266244864851836
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -8987.52978887307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1730:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2755652670945676, b_new = 0.2138739869019396, c_new = 3.623460490433242
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -10799.759078983108
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1731:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3113510375278707, b_new = -0.3674910691872784, c_new = 3.6557012955632797
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -8044.458125211648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1732:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.457957296981003, b_new = -0.07318636768762798, c_new = 3.7575377673929644
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -10996.609391478629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1733:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.770584507742726, b_new = -0.4383777528640801, c_new = 3.0411506656222658
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -4495.861257878838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1734:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.083014304929429, b_new = -0.0018868767591952995, c_new = 2.683833870046207
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -12903.378030811851
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1735:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.70047174150644, b_new = -0.7550792628610343, c_new = 3.314441892583843
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -6458.824096159492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1736:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.694498902427359, b_new = 0.11045253129182425, c_new = 3.952939520718404
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -4392.452235322753
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1737:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8363949349322843, b_new = 0.3809795208317549, c_new = 3.7580928206938706
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3057.519957122975
Acceptance probability: 2.3157121033815283e-16
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1738:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4892863245548416, b_new = -0.7961151544056971, c_new = 3.322398150238875
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -9889.070689547996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1739:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0107833324162376, b_new = -0.49221232152267713, c_new = 3.1962707359173166
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -13744.984592626746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1740:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9925081111892076, b_new = 0.08884200230786315, c_new = 2.667893572585612
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3351.226326380587
Acceptance probability: 6.451030528564746e-144
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1741:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.881247024177476, b_new = -0.20193083475350207, c_new = 3.2545223089121667
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -13723.014496398027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1742:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3724726289708697, b_new = -1.0974789062115788, c_new = 3.2764646417740466
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -12146.333773820308
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1743:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.843010020708563, b_new = -0.3223203793871311, c_new = 3.346808702020217
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3418.369232759906
Acceptance probability: 4.4651428514586654e-173
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1744:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.813345115239986, b_new = -0.8981994569160563, c_new = 3.3898725361496513
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -4641.260838657747
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1745:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.68688240446166, b_new = -0.380920535919237, c_new = 3.899129389843912
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -5565.6504246868835
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1746:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9433240044922955, b_new = -0.34546872583247923, c_new = 2.4559553441137916
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3045.2188109474027
Acceptance probability: 5.0933611421029325e-11
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1747:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5240491790272084, b_new = -0.031011373988684837, c_new = 3.8768268174269593
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -7866.175270478057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1748:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5920245115449987, b_new = -0.3317707786369943, c_new = 3.2847068852666337
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -7561.611410791838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1749:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.810598190045727, b_new = -0.021953250849900352, c_new = 3.364676498208598
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -13585.955479761531
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1750:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.928119308184417, b_new = -0.9944713618594906, c_new = 3.3626732219161184
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3422.4001175682442
Acceptance probability: 7.929473064468344e-175
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1751:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5734529683397147, b_new = -0.6652363437855582, c_new = 3.1351903142829847
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -10992.688495789818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1752:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.081286053218329, b_new = -0.24969365001044666, c_new = 3.071438557309949
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3841.402299563686
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1753:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5342127179079466, b_new = 0.19777140619904898, c_new = 2.9973862645779907
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -11941.829613841159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1754:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7413230700579945, b_new = -0.15490743003839028, c_new = 3.2343451544673907
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -13004.161141392466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1755:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5626081698660546, b_new = 0.4723812124381348, c_new = 3.8245094240377204
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -5933.420947983514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1756:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.742629133764524, b_new = -0.3963481905216175, c_new = 2.5936304690452165
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -4996.380072247159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1757:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.229835251323093, b_new = 0.00553117930552377, c_new = 3.571850774890999
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -11575.704223020482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1758:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4366289848182046, b_new = 0.48413138835988145, c_new = 2.442801386809415
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -8641.718868432015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1759:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.303252962158013, b_new = -0.1394964221345107, c_new = 4.028626020084367
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -15459.640258747
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1760:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8489864500667017, b_new = -0.6345644006564957, c_new = 3.729380067127637
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3657.244948839657
Acceptance probability: 8.080346853736789e-277
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1761:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.781650152609875, b_new = -0.04963659816464672, c_new = 3.2659751521481812
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -13375.218224806984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1762:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5917567379719357, b_new = 0.02236829306573257, c_new = 3.570040242813695
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -6546.8370509151355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1763:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.044659347126943, b_new = -0.6428294525667122, c_new = 4.312767996308383
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3257.1251472035765
Acceptance probability: 4.756110698815992e-103
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1764:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4814914702773994, b_new = -0.5421313253902221, c_new = 3.344541228176499
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -10282.353149680073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1765:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1614712578589, b_new = -0.45964916228591374, c_new = 3.708190887829628
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -4742.093734509212
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1766:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.975646297419182, b_new = -0.5785862326715536, c_new = 3.2453958197656014
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3022.866721706299
Acceptance probability: 0.25965308511561674
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1767:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8864357816691477, b_new = -0.08083083217290268, c_new = 2.864492335776233
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -13782.489090909261
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1768:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.247080309986348, b_new = -0.5312616021395452, c_new = 3.5086341918529484
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -6145.922122933641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1769:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.995325275841329, b_new = -0.5017045254064492, c_new = 3.492128485952302
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3060.979463014586
Acceptance probability: 7.28182515337089e-18
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1770:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5816333077381564, b_new = 0.1778788485044694, c_new = 3.323874185925952
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -6440.690907620365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1771:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.450090120535516, b_new = -1.2972516575429467, c_new = 4.123496024754285
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -11460.982021663904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1772:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2290575652274507, b_new = 0.1208365477019927, c_new = 3.1592399203915775
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -7455.651478315075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1773:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9546929928506334, b_new = -0.37514831802554005, c_new = 2.5773271896940853
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -13744.624904960401
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1774:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.854523229596207, b_new = 0.1771481120890488, c_new = 3.3998524184128303
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3058.0228306706317
Acceptance probability: 1.4005201406170471e-16
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1775:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7208120626174528, b_new = 0.17489005978495242, c_new = 3.5964273510230624
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -14250.416498703222
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1776:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.952535811748559, b_new = -0.20837206783931328, c_new = 3.4852843618184766
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3048.2727031807162
Acceptance probability: 2.402790606461604e-12
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1777:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4159741275426336, b_new = -0.5746276707689292, c_new = 3.1148159556946577
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -10847.345260643538
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1778:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3484594020837832, b_new = -0.028376349552290014, c_new = 3.088081160961007
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -9408.38362114035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1779:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2073189418664922, b_new = -0.15178204395020045, c_new = 4.117372440445427
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -6558.062279248578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1780:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.881990372184013, b_new = -0.2025809446100553, c_new = 3.3831158267225345
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3102.6804256688174
Acceptance probability: 5.6460182281263395e-36
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1781:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.115411416513585, b_new = -0.5753597693417505, c_new = 2.723926355656289
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3717.9550495986614
Acceptance probability: 3.4783097017350775e-303
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1782:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9412457877012703, b_new = -0.37872430460832673, c_new = 4.022351515732091
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Acceptance probability: 32.4231159561385
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1783:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.330445508315038, b_new = -0.19386333306911735, c_new = 4.357147945431935
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10702.721441062322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1784:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.899907890124053, b_new = -0.02521359663722811, c_new = 4.615118022584216
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3052.5336875117537
Acceptance probability: 1.045536487316095e-15
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1785:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4739000754040292, b_new = 0.07414814798801406, c_new = 3.7500141870497483
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8518.804213380346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1786:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7056934971620827, b_new = -0.3650290842914019, c_new = 4.417485973880098
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5026.324885522574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1787:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0460143271161164, b_new = -1.4351245946480375, c_new = 4.288759138585225
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3048.662333444095
Acceptance probability: 5.019343324707524e-14
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1788:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.133807302754062, b_new = -0.6964113662304199, c_new = 4.142204800361583
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13052.34392292325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1789:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8063915895657816, b_new = -0.4537431083554136, c_new = 3.035304839581104
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4023.9457312818313
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1790:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8978283498753474, b_new = -0.7796012029227263, c_new = 3.185310207031345
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3469.6446191299046
Acceptance probability: 7.419305433379605e-197
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1791:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6979501024710855, b_new = -0.7830868694968041, c_new = 4.625638853447642
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6101.900548079886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1792:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8763363370658728, b_new = 0.5613339334292564, c_new = 4.448304215489411
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3247.807167548674
Acceptance probability: 1.6335948342653075e-100
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1793:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.254922827185936, b_new = -0.29048636127354754, c_new = 4.8644254336163515
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7529.413763167246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1794:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3667948894216764, b_new = -0.09266380427943177, c_new = 4.073943342985551
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10201.24710725117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1795:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8090219053081826, b_new = -0.5393277799302317, c_new = 3.7911603277649246
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13091.47267897295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1796:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8717164199822625, b_new = 0.4498722811576674, c_new = 3.989422545077023
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3116.4140135983353
Acceptance probability: 1.890018572840406e-43
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1797:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9625441625321907, b_new = 0.24721803411534082, c_new = 4.606512309189795
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3567.113526577917
Acceptance probability: 3.4686029442866e-239
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1798:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.842804479273921, b_new = 0.10199755176877873, c_new = 3.378342164157416
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3115.845072876733
Acceptance probability: 3.33851927391545e-43
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1799:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.568834075878031, b_new = -0.9691670610538083, c_new = 3.7572393287053516
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10619.052295987281
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1800:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.734212554531015, b_new = -0.02269284778561742, c_new = 3.552044640632906
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13202.783858772344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1801:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8871327124659443, b_new = 0.41433983185661327, c_new = 4.173875812005949
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3167.4953831633093
Acceptance probability: 1.236258076278465e-65
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1802:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6875942878958563, b_new = -0.6243104556741546, c_new = 4.383541578259144
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12345.17616387688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1803:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.040754325304881, b_new = -0.7046063505772557, c_new = 4.3012971866890295
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3188.5008951269433
Acceptance probability: 9.322474550108771e-75
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1804:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0252987492905103, b_new = -0.6052670973855355, c_new = 4.3370888985334055
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3176.6966311053307
Acceptance probability: 1.247549923615109e-69
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1805:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4474393276159927, b_new = 0.057402245634085525, c_new = 3.7898767993841487
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8949.515852540957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1806:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.000403333021259, b_new = -0.2687242811809708, c_new = 3.3554780244889897
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3186.562409339678
Acceptance probability: 6.477462197040103e-74
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1807:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.278692827744633, b_new = 0.48875062723468177, c_new = 3.7157922341202365
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10266.65837651731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1808:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1559563845116596, b_new = -0.7974036713607369, c_new = 4.4704223359130815
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4205.166991120851
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1809:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6265639750099345, b_new = -0.17879030278452143, c_new = 3.2862790522690872
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6464.948101655746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1810:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7197000089038066, b_new = -0.3620300176687542, c_new = 5.00949057292345
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4632.434772678167
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1811:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.881999759431705, b_new = -0.26759444509221325, c_new = 4.27392381887459
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3082.48575326049
Acceptance probability: 1.0264134095295102e-28
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1812:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230228099555746, b_new = -0.9596380768496015, c_new = 4.7299804093796585
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5140.516896470949
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1813:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7103980293473433, b_new = 1.3224679223009397, c_new = 3.049112348307987
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3167.5292312779616
Acceptance probability: 1.1951133353287898e-65
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1814:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.481658373520282, b_new = -0.665631964956273, c_new = 4.24114797632455
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9825.790818404248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1815:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.022623960037492, b_new = -0.5381144392677848, c_new = 4.003500569675643
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3178.4447090918093
Acceptance probability: 2.1720874708434706e-70
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1816:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.863304267106306, b_new = -0.19207817794802118, c_new = 5.112727798702427
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3090.1732635669787
Acceptance probability: 4.7062935413861825e-32
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1817:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6983567209114545, b_new = -0.2551170786096081, c_new = 4.0416974709127755
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5024.199874401519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1818:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6736489879775753, b_new = 0.5572114488237857, c_new = 3.760438563690213
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13599.777101324504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1819:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2347285823553484, b_new = -0.899475501426066, c_new = 4.120403146210639
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5177.893790287179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1820:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7859465105740817, b_new = -1.2149957046643374, c_new = 4.37051393959041
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12256.47302775618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1821:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3476283423102635, b_new = -0.3056347598332648, c_new = 3.8585420387591136
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10869.170127498808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1822:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8904382715450936, b_new = -0.19625495468585508, c_new = 2.8787725874150283
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3103.0114256628335
Acceptance probability: 1.2506507720256835e-37
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1823:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.528112464922472, b_new = -0.43064738723999874, c_new = 4.028092004233196
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8696.997744842161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1824:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.350820814477639, b_new = 0.534380151126948, c_new = 4.4793201898932375
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11163.365241385718
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1825:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.106188479038857, b_new = -0.3847842186943978, c_new = 3.296714559708945
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13067.014730345372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1826:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2795220596752266, b_new = -0.11749992826563577, c_new = 4.189600790667258
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8292.696624844979
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1827:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.196829331401438, b_new = -0.38203590054451997, c_new = 4.3782951956161416
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5791.8861978818695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1828:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.652990667815179, b_new = -0.5347148120826691, c_new = 4.606075589094246
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6380.335582160147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1829:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.208419612626575, b_new = -0.34042381723172377, c_new = 3.768281682932199
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5926.943571351105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1830:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2688273087354984, b_new = -0.07165562133340381, c_new = 4.941072637165884
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8515.134449333635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1831:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.472340285726968, b_new = 0.8043093023500089, c_new = 4.047820453082849
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12656.036627390624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1832:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.326024373653084, b_new = -0.7925861211979865, c_new = 4.420319788823271
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15136.648916484171
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1833:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.664159154104772, b_new = -1.5195901879886016, c_new = 4.222673979158791
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8943.035529340706
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1834:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4928811655380922, b_new = -0.8607929478080489, c_new = 4.442313888239405
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10157.33286441467
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1835:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9324767985202222, b_new = -0.882960605040945, c_new = 3.275626741076278
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3298.1773128579525
Acceptance probability: 2.176046597018222e-122
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1836:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1634269073661874, b_new = 0.647941898630379, c_new = 3.965178262314588
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7888.86875925268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1837:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.965566478557332, b_new = 0.10589915312208181, c_new = 3.5175363949828307
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3281.8577904952654
Acceptance probability: 2.6616239780418986e-115
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1838:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.541382194755381, b_new = -0.3364599866965159, c_new = 3.545616833886988
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11330.816809318363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1839:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0735572744297945, b_new = -0.839886773299952, c_new = 4.560734869121379
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14250.520339310242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1840:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0722564438420465, b_new = -0.4358943755090977, c_new = 4.66861193929884
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3776.4802616539805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1841:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9187946426732614, b_new = -0.780194024434304, c_new = 4.009586340464483
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3212.610199390908
Acceptance probability: 3.1549566919501983e-85
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1842:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.559286291143727, b_new = -0.5204422187238438, c_new = 3.386097805159452
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11159.144217183346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1843:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1995973718532476, b_new = -0.523159377173311, c_new = 4.364881357948734
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5483.260165819945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1844:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4230808293876542, b_new = 0.038357430006183246, c_new = 4.876080533759725
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8990.03730671697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1845:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3261106496124937, b_new = -1.321018911164242, c_new = 4.123618787900265
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -16351.274228814094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1846:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1709661431557774, b_new = 0.5625172678324742, c_new = 2.6568127116771585
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7239.728638445776
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1847:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.427746934647368, b_new = 0.2821873875555986, c_new = 4.449466231735399
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11534.181205371353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1848:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5069840683062177, b_new = -0.39130707265238307, c_new = 3.601533078673704
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9099.365896474967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1849:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4476616903569646, b_new = -1.085076450590809, c_new = 3.718078703964054
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8799.599481117079
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1850:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8546322921316705, b_new = -1.554492279185927, c_new = 3.8244188748830905
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5246.123614831771
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1851:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.473905928601013, b_new = -1.326665481945434, c_new = 4.263855078953219
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11209.915318902546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1852:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1395513779996778, b_new = -1.3136895296330546, c_new = 3.9288758946603948
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3309.1001238802155
Acceptance probability: 3.926012130134906e-127
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1853:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.120922564045128, b_new = -0.836818381118247, c_new = 3.9619232550714387
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3633.978657429359
Acceptance probability: 3.1695472316624494e-268
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1854:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4875555576859716, b_new = 0.26974696342525506, c_new = 4.6312821663589
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7552.2185241333445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1855:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.613477481184429, b_new = -1.1837941194757493, c_new = 3.1905847024935823
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9409.902701921239
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1856:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.437180699953689, b_new = -0.33378102800548204, c_new = 4.423074700695374
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10485.389928913131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1857:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9269987602658327, b_new = -1.5919772483029382, c_new = 3.1967044196692016
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4341.886124333866
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1858:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.461122623877556, b_new = -0.6216548881479325, c_new = 3.491529196403128
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9917.828163710115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1859:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.497007406097918, b_new = -0.385826711020598, c_new = 4.2036929474557505
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9028.632423028948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1860:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9176520399731838, b_new = -0.10984018463092782, c_new = 4.523810382945284
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13474.727460243768
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1861:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8890999856071065, b_new = -0.7927342397313191, c_new = 3.3337131144186607
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3535.3861319152074
Acceptance probability: 2.085388698400785e-225
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1862:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4490006887747424, b_new = 0.023381070511955926, c_new = 3.9928411961605526
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8931.918078709466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1863:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.054696135168948, b_new = -0.18247607235539198, c_new = 4.7751537402992685
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3976.2664800222165
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1864:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.126615088750388, b_new = -0.8149955583737887, c_new = 3.787783686523279
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3692.1311575449135
Acceptance probability: 1.7607079242345046e-293
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1865:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.517789510476706, b_new = -0.7347435082635083, c_new = 3.6445208976110903
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9681.669743599427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1866:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2067836014830653, b_new = 0.7820172689506703, c_new = 4.80489114410192
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9639.458038558652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1867:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.936460297198989, b_new = -0.17065331722350666, c_new = 3.5213795974780906
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3031.0398490640464
Acceptance probability: 2.2594078132930855e-06
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1868:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0175318128696085, b_new = -0.8518649658471039, c_new = 3.3289711671197084
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14058.177682372576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1869:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.257230450027354, b_new = -0.7356120005275246, c_new = 3.0905075331894465
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5687.95432309795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1870:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4111165277278133, b_new = 0.32751723002557276, c_new = 3.3208553372483918
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9059.511604050558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1871:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.26040372995631, b_new = -0.025174829167006918, c_new = 4.291046591338987
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8190.586717761805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1872:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8285600958883435, b_new = -0.7753175077257894, c_new = 4.226415678169235
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3990.550017154159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1873:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6931001245857775, b_new = 0.20613630767883617, c_new = 4.120418413527912
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13384.529696811767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1874:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097138360039061, b_new = 0.16258446612559996, c_new = 3.8192440763483253
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5026.507880930067
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1875:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.061480544885721, b_new = -0.2890368501555278, c_new = 4.412296090199868
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14670.619925616726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1876:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.120774347664851, b_new = -0.012134574855967029, c_new = 4.580070777796486
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5296.371399974994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1877:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8456287259550366, b_new = -0.25600531094176904, c_new = 4.281869624287102
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13734.233053170443
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1878:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4165162738863364, b_new = -0.28679337969741125, c_new = 3.1598123369206155
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10271.205219221034
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1879:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.397325595563352, b_new = -0.5714483675881135, c_new = 4.366986460735094
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9389.09997669176
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1880:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.677055511640187, b_new = -1.2619899334024494, c_new = 4.177470647149655
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11301.157779753525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1881:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5265971836083065, b_new = -0.45149128359749024, c_new = 3.198924019439665
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10894.850593206804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1882:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7656695538072946, b_new = 1.1690566523071109, c_new = 4.1610030813584045
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3181.282162395977
Acceptance probability: 1.2722925900800086e-71
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1883:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9318069103886994, b_new = -1.0370613137956703, c_new = 3.5458535027068736
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3408.291637076258
Acceptance probability: 3.2781196751533876e-170
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1884:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6903666908644372, b_new = -0.375584626928106, c_new = 4.729931024237381
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5232.529236285252
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1885:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6828096713191227, b_new = -0.7621198744266782, c_new = 5.550861876295333
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6039.333511302817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1886:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.96134259310038, b_new = -0.6206256200038736, c_new = 3.4922465590336875
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3030.323760615177
Acceptance probability: 4.623681264476935e-06
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1887:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5753602538945253, b_new = -0.6401854742319929, c_new = 3.655715586346935
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8527.076531619987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1888:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.253240429298623, b_new = -1.158873884439459, c_new = 4.129804469625368
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4939.056679984059
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1889:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.475330600213244, b_new = -0.10433682173980446, c_new = 4.41012046832564
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8672.647982500497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1890:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6416790131631487, b_new = -0.9102952993320411, c_new = 3.731544880197914
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7942.1015847358685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1891:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1847820222504204, b_new = 0.1266163710982917, c_new = 4.161402967023775
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6879.337045614073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1892:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8147940088091143, b_new = 0.14794164470857718, c_new = 3.2015674376961565
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13750.404750585118
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1893:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.01573318911012, b_new = -0.4359464777185841, c_new = 3.4546083588586667
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3165.580401478429
Acceptance probability: 8.390254231080518e-65
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1894:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.530806597517689, b_new = -0.18856968596014947, c_new = 3.750775210107311
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8171.522125492249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1895:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9485040542930965, b_new = -0.1140427230180367, c_new = 3.190687323744213
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3056.765301169253
Acceptance probability: 1.5190523206483484e-17
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1896:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7347626981100475, b_new = -0.4763780735556355, c_new = 4.485542894159343
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12886.753149537186
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1897:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.311307615792204, b_new = -0.6926896867854118, c_new = 4.387389604306871
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11698.75732697775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1898:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6781012923937535, b_new = 0.11525866472684271, c_new = 4.021736193614879
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4614.423218795346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1899:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.07429432155779, b_new = 0.25576357843947706, c_new = 3.002220793692114
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4603.83674529239
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1900:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1691222953573845, b_new = -0.4185128498129234, c_new = 4.157331557041033
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5093.760996936014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1901:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8493596793165903, b_new = 0.1591102101313333, c_new = 3.336646288787414
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13958.96999695219
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1902:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.238883322805186, b_new = -0.6714921719810851, c_new = 4.0139098897377865
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5778.562153010811
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1903:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6263262232907625, b_new = -0.20146946782238426, c_new = 4.243217131227345
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12438.889584589575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1904:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2404677898955745, b_new = -0.5699620707875738, c_new = 4.064483889308365
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6097.829331554944
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1905:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304334075248551, b_new = -0.11189052457677645, c_new = 4.149406170875787
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8801.879067443493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1906:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.108131242130462, b_new = -0.7993919858722124, c_new = 4.021923065966426
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13359.45766113257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1907:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.59875227678708, b_new = 0.006654863465938132, c_new = 3.646453198856239
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6421.43986082415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1908:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.544230350541244, b_new = -1.0353078939368159, c_new = 4.594186350058342
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9614.211042365925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1909:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.489043483022048, b_new = -0.7947768225976855, c_new = 4.029574961866126
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10106.535006025617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1910:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.727391558888179, b_new = 0.61334100992583, c_new = 4.057493789785858
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3383.301531869578
Acceptance probability: 2.3371662050134167e-159
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1911:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.001556738059449, b_new = 0.0038992085310438074, c_new = 4.012049906719907
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13036.195905343255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1912:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.483060286499288, b_new = -0.33541365983433014, c_new = 3.8546707549402286
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9246.18964474092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1913:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6331424825831498, b_new = -0.7088167349577241, c_new = 4.2538970857552405
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11769.693289907582
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1914:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9913137569557815, b_new = -0.1293050794935592, c_new = 4.10104173187738
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3317.8869199008213
Acceptance probability: 5.996455453505706e-131
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1915:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.628984410404789, b_new = 0.11408534642829343, c_new = 4.330616860533264
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5369.8645735714845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1916:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7519457804163667, b_new = -1.666259020941359, c_new = 4.090247412929512
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7610.618175478739
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1917:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.231735541170708, b_new = 0.255067258689163, c_new = 3.9390599647907827
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11068.455751733349
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1918:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9741523164606307, b_new = -0.8307070385794666, c_new = 4.015420710634397
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3033.7753996505758
Acceptance probability: 1.465413207934042e-07
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1919:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5098126089080983, b_new = 1.0501141909921987, c_new = 3.6251008266626674
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5661.758356377604
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1920:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.41556107449167, b_new = -0.487796524609557, c_new = 3.7311949005110314
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10477.925202487611
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1921:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.23082358987108, b_new = 0.0016374491409273384, c_new = 4.44757066840876
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11324.683254838112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1922:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.925234602751879, b_new = -0.026194827603799486, c_new = 3.2417508870843443
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3037.132171602577
Acceptance probability: 5.106608523714075e-09
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1923:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.628527131509797, b_new = 0.0918338144221964, c_new = 4.39806213855332
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12896.711120138672
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1924:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8324439263520835, b_new = 0.31970290441540616, c_new = 4.742961660866863
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3079.605385892411
Acceptance probability: 1.829152736169135e-27
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1925:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1645192566637066, b_new = -0.5078987560585848, c_new = 4.091735751063254
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4797.667955345073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1926:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.148955891179348, b_new = -0.28429072183572957, c_new = 3.650130500575138
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12569.96520134111
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1927:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.413371294972509, b_new = 0.3143315151756273, c_new = 3.9865230053125584
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8842.481865761678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1928:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.739836431491031, b_new = -0.3197288095947123, c_new = 4.690257466622132
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13171.777909205266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1929:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6898964078334826, b_new = -0.5415626132401966, c_new = 3.802699013625099
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5935.643349768166
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1930:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9356457784115753, b_new = -0.13286028064390615, c_new = 4.654949409412547
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14366.42388551954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1931:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.426250197273576, b_new = -0.028311962658652323, c_new = 3.9897530486074357
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9358.012437996862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1932:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.555877173660297, b_new = -0.1790652456176989, c_new = 4.083821190604425
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7572.660570505275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1933:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3891861189209225, b_new = -0.6714562065497601, c_new = 4.9965399896899285
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9248.00053291523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1934:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9229852010524553, b_new = -0.7679576952108778, c_new = 3.9284801696963867
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3189.5486561514613
Acceptance probability: 3.2695981210872036e-75
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1935:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.314494995317577, b_new = 0.5782431522386672, c_new = 3.8312032970933445
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9663.869598188881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1936:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.378441626869151, b_new = -0.5252295058248999, c_new = 5.004219633371021
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9423.959661978912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1937:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5895588533261815, b_new = -0.3730935085021362, c_new = 4.530493434245074
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7257.674727090812
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1938:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.499179293939473, b_new = 0.025262576873186615, c_new = 3.8475404790591634
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11609.636006671752
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1939:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.463481321775332, b_new = 0.6611349262100611, c_new = 4.553254474351387
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12524.773480572565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1940:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.131015714297753, b_new = -0.4367555177339248, c_new = 3.8139158716301695
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4339.605472574485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1941:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.717784404502606, b_new = 0.40950945868759914, c_new = 4.614892197452943
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3588.633259724488
Acceptance probability: 1.5640593571570082e-248
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1942:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8430561872221287, b_new = -0.47748900318999543, c_new = 3.564721010575383
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3551.905085905563
Acceptance probability: 1.396678509478244e-232
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1943:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.49841489146237, b_new = -0.8895932319966244, c_new = 3.3204412957720675
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9824.859395848505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1944:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5840011758804162, b_new = -0.34685264734189836, c_new = 4.292813569201778
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7383.701616879118
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1945:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4005085767752345, b_new = -0.2975433406576787, c_new = 4.867209500242839
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10229.682911189708
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1946:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.851091031491355, b_new = -1.73755185159555, c_new = 2.798655139598975
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6191.419605183876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1947:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8906585739937896, b_new = -0.17736818934996115, c_new = 3.9450152956060873
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13952.071700479552
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1948:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.923804383076669, b_new = -0.07116564366355094, c_new = 4.274432393079963
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3063.74797870802
Acceptance probability: 1.4094004587093873e-20
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1949:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.283462072731077, b_new = 0.13742397869745404, c_new = 3.9478351710993613
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8988.597407026806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1950:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.765464330871018, b_new = -0.7378862496886651, c_new = 3.872670890088252
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4955.887479550012
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1951:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.014238273581962, b_new = -0.45160936214401415, c_new = 3.461768783383961
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13615.457617805827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1952:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.421481535213942, b_new = 0.2550502886587511, c_new = 4.47031782532126
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8697.557776424243
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1953:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1147568761727262, b_new = -0.7690139010193116, c_new = 3.590942361870243
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3600.2959566189465
Acceptance probability: 1.346506100724901e-253
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1954:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.993791544537564, b_new = -0.6368030599420529, c_new = 4.193024690874904
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3040.7503907998716
Acceptance probability: 1.3701241902965306e-10
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1955:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.062581064946153, b_new = -0.7629446414043975, c_new = 4.767420517829379
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3326.2374566507992
Acceptance probability: 1.4167805310783144e-134
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1956:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0648892994265653, b_new = -1.4247660705843987, c_new = 4.759130869011923
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3023.7586789343677
Acceptance probability: 0.0032822120485361574
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1957:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6209740147220195, b_new = -0.3277525546018136, c_new = 3.7229978095058
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12077.809041400018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1958:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.746062712293836, b_new = -0.6309494934080491, c_new = 4.159779550067277
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4973.675321459137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1959:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.327879552557427, b_new = -0.7567062679785597, c_new = 4.003618349194479
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11768.318694632502
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1960:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3618954204290685, b_new = 0.31896800991290497, c_new = 4.457835509279596
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9377.057564907316
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1961:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4763975795673425, b_new = -0.06958123586424397, c_new = 3.5183240762671666
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11124.248376234611
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1962:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.792154814723636, b_new = -0.6167046885373184, c_new = 3.7252884334803373
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4330.191774700893
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1963:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1951083961600224, b_new = -0.1900007979844678, c_new = 4.1248431152469145
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6181.981786979933
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1964:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7669234553735333, b_new = -0.36346947694453724, c_new = 4.18091844890321
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13149.213327382658
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1965:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3931395819087875, b_new = -0.2600099302508299, c_new = 3.228810323201193
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10478.298754702962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1966:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9432941017889958, b_new = -1.0803999614836215, c_new = 3.2306204478435383
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3413.958728548424
Acceptance probability: 1.1335436531731512e-172
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1967:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1696723466394587, b_new = 0.1030999288834959, c_new = 4.028324886902703
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6412.424466447803
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1968:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.625517375138538, b_new = -0.568648348823939, c_new = 3.7526491091560956
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7339.992950100502
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1969:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7758549880190664, b_new = 0.34980189754077073, c_new = 4.251420052604096
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14029.496024572138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1970:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9877729305645309, b_new = 0.4197049649226303, c_new = 5.301088602338345
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12330.958035374115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1971:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1575876166050176, b_new = -0.5330711580318319, c_new = 3.7909679689263616
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4553.051754542394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1972:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0815499469482175, b_new = -0.9248989573435507, c_new = 4.622431540481558
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3299.7258606197433
Acceptance probability: 4.62532701327816e-123
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1973:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7830682876112545, b_new = -0.4187545109010698, c_new = 3.3883532642465193
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12979.163984786293
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1974:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4942906288496576, b_new = 0.33360978626154414, c_new = 3.997545765235393
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7489.140205655454
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1975:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.334763197046079, b_new = -0.3240257007316832, c_new = 3.8455020612587854
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11039.91280431293
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1976:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.816473023795623, b_new = -0.8051270459975057, c_new = 4.380468393610771
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4162.462657728536
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1977:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2281453693453463, b_new = 0.2510801065618783, c_new = 3.7461315975245504
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8062.784246258369
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1978:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.301462991539842, b_new = -0.9637948872003357, c_new = 3.8432748931802396
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6264.237117132661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1979:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3790043624988026, b_new = 0.038221659292418, c_new = 4.262183351460437
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10432.803390428098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1980:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5060494364611277, b_new = -0.38538705891285824, c_new = 4.470696089458503
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8795.660092387432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1981:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.459512407586823, b_new = -0.034464807538000075, c_new = 3.8112675190221172
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8960.577471199711
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1982:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.690436359663936, b_new = -0.6143409316020685, c_new = 3.3030539284090503
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6294.6737324738315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1983:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.627655805375757, b_new = 0.4728546078822562, c_new = 4.608604619828182
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13452.678877941456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1984:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6069905851279, b_new = -0.6363221539212882, c_new = 4.141857178789716
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7738.823931187036
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1985:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7724425205382706, b_new = 0.10028210189835685, c_new = 4.628573519361139
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3423.7724965562074
Acceptance probability: 6.199732582418716e-177
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1986:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4824033000566956, b_new = -0.8892970214929933, c_new = 3.9196618625012256
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10379.872211858563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1987:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5205799000052873, b_new = 0.6026619822477517, c_new = 3.4206345948028827
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6548.144440502162
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1988:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4428664538632616, b_new = -0.2582565283648153, c_new = 4.158970832957086
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10613.73014429635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1989:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5794621135162523, b_new = -0.23087685396596982, c_new = 3.045043987679641
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7635.898422878058
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1990:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.711444206221241, b_new = -0.5200035665227983, c_new = 4.549967954962052
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5227.458861064136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1991:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5049028741352024, b_new = -0.6782136759967179, c_new = 3.9121672419142235
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9647.351293413969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1992:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4115359369818132, b_new = 0.7277632341446875, c_new = 5.199087567895908
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12393.827624736576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1993:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.194101546754331, b_new = -1.015949267427346, c_new = 4.066786286945058
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4269.614286991817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1994:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2413092147777913, b_new = -0.8276529715218905, c_new = 4.536618263301149
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5606.175529294651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1995:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.038602622197551, b_new = -0.8008744192176787, c_new = 3.834897513225861
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3096.0985919183727
Acceptance probability: 1.2570183137824946e-34
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1996:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7555946243562115, b_new = -0.6334980830220072, c_new = 3.95105996683005
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12683.887900166344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1997:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9287854803980533, b_new = -0.987935453511269, c_new = 3.8242944472875733
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3341.826662960617
Acceptance probability: 2.404342330856893e-141
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1998:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3636074231160547, b_new = -0.30469330370799474, c_new = 3.5708729850340672
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9175.474115427893
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1999:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.174694571490066, b_new = -1.2124460317127976, c_new = 4.496453355877271
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3801.813191229434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2000:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9696824020810673, b_new = -0.3439901188258325, c_new = 4.341393496444639
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3087.5033912180106
Acceptance probability: 6.795005930107381e-31
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2001:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1881733696937316, b_new = -0.6433655219687056, c_new = 4.526344947744978
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5038.038490125159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2002:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6205530717825702, b_new = 0.006114459644872117, c_new = 4.263152895605068
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12687.603222814509
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2003:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9856635940047567, b_new = -0.40925564314064244, c_new = 3.6674202757429213
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13660.778110764393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2004:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1297961008102755, b_new = -0.050484894024251825, c_new = 3.5733888068317357
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5047.305574604519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2005:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.456295882792692, b_new = -1.1397432775395577, c_new = 3.3320515917013678
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8691.757690681377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2006:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.198298569377582, b_new = -0.31302931880083, c_new = 3.1918268294422187
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5594.233282715246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2007:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5188423573009766, b_new = 0.23489682706886983, c_new = 3.8348597280787677
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7332.610792790681
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2008:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7037866765109206, b_new = -0.8152818926568559, c_new = 3.44895743201796
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6500.464130152593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2009:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.902386105762736, b_new = -0.7893684879664951, c_new = 4.242349085292341
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3295.110723022367
Acceptance probability: 4.671660077183408e-121
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2010:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.56871712007328, b_new = -0.008301123109038244, c_new = 4.133182311819389
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6882.179621841077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2011:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.28671256411644, b_new = -0.5698732031845406, c_new = 3.2105725317786655
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12075.619494169798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2012:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.652819155770739, b_new = -0.40156396387208976, c_new = 3.207933811259679
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6541.789103312778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2013:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.489231124394053, b_new = -0.6806247925459954, c_new = 3.7230442372009382
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9934.531983872084
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2014:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.414921313607192, b_new = -0.4825901166123597, c_new = 3.6042144388842785
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9596.490443600924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2015:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0462690422344156, b_new = -0.42442982734420664, c_new = 4.333394804274791
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3478.32874735911
Acceptance probability: 1.2557242467974016e-200
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2016:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.38142218730791, b_new = 0.09232857540166922, c_new = 3.927496672817088
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9723.16348559592
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2017:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8221676145392864, b_new = 0.39184214970127695, c_new = 3.4832842812829705
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3080.8379053890485
Acceptance probability: 5.33302420483836e-28
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2018:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1068917809815426, b_new = -1.1634052890220858, c_new = 4.173285264875083
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13738.833110443651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2019:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.27283369970751, b_new = -0.016048925866700647, c_new = 4.326317633590485
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8498.698440201095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2020:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3994563941236224, b_new = -1.581468360422941, c_new = 4.6377637148010376
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6955.389200771075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2021:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.855873473896315, b_new = -0.412851641383293, c_new = 4.214233923424454
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3298.853465587743
Acceptance probability: 1.1066716674662903e-122
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2022:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.691688501120795, b_new = -0.7110680072257696, c_new = 4.234344378674873
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6181.433541775996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2023:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.004399040824016, b_new = -1.0471478777093122, c_new = 3.792550833415362
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3044.5814919233308
Acceptance probability: 2.9712134788666948e-12
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2024:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3347043644553955, b_new = -1.0731015037957778, c_new = 3.4830541663099193
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12359.317080489574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2025:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4847663003122173, b_new = -0.20727657130276636, c_new = 3.6127172923178366
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9025.62764230567
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2026:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.925389241975587, b_new = 0.21972169467013325, c_new = 4.667930512553671
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14667.204531057992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2027:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.048018852735752, b_new = -0.189528139845193, c_new = 3.686416511281798
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14548.19243329244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2028:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.070614320998148, b_new = -0.13634901085175788, c_new = 5.163724508569813
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4367.528673751587
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2029:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.306190738551862, b_new = 0.24286999347528337, c_new = 4.791710518451913
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10011.137381128076
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2030:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2245441631703673, b_new = -1.4039996767523197, c_new = 3.605792439294512
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13526.53239113794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2031:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3023898437044332, b_new = -0.41922371112639006, c_new = 3.6690942142737466
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7715.559145181376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2032:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2731595142190315, b_new = -0.6619938758245414, c_new = 3.780164582337914
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6448.764287114494
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2033:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5795579595174862, b_new = -0.7657328736618652, c_new = 3.756761642857883
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11063.223545887258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2034:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.152389790346634, b_new = -0.7090953012176106, c_new = 3.476161810543794
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13135.73922586526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2035:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9670122767177336, b_new = -0.37194157168823333, c_new = 3.6217512180697504
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13723.583611259579
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2036:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6070772260100803, b_new = -0.9270268080659904, c_new = 4.0830628458317815
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11158.916064111554
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2037:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8874638085154725, b_new = 0.7653403325526672, c_new = 4.654776954171519
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12676.056156778603
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2038:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9957285132651128, b_new = -0.6406542417410301, c_new = 4.080092994625426
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13752.63299887182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2039:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6880282552232213, b_new = -0.9224876273527597, c_new = 3.587086875676657
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15277.966660579505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2040:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.626436120719417, b_new = -0.7730727818701307, c_new = 4.2613539374693445
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7670.048827634571
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2041:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5927724720819993, b_new = -0.650231090445075, c_new = 3.466234090789019
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8306.919234433886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2042:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.109541799721459, b_new = -0.7946761011426002, c_new = 4.1588533013043065
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3603.487371742317
Acceptance probability: 5.535977902344549e-255
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2043:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3506638813688303, b_new = 0.00190845856005728, c_new = 4.317464483657838
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9963.291420903233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2044:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1577886535966497, b_new = -0.3430284282538422, c_new = 4.304765196652805
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5107.55964497772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2045:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6892004377727723, b_new = -1.6049884139532944, c_new = 3.6363680482476997
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8945.606230364447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2046:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8859830643988063, b_new = 0.12730453827629462, c_new = 4.354009366491689
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3058.0347945751946
Acceptance probability: 4.268140934985844e-18
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2047:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8241527885331354, b_new = -0.26231725192914235, c_new = 4.413774774721883
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3374.27105261845
Acceptance probability: 1.9524364440540562e-155
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2048:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.589077830624886, b_new = -0.7214319196170533, c_new = 3.8803321680063054
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11258.908220054722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2049:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8947081143439246, b_new = -1.2595147907604805, c_new = 4.53573531314771
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3865.5195630243215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2050:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5020651946458536, b_new = 0.04860787155284113, c_new = 3.4094324088371457
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8226.093222488515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2051:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7613858299476886, b_new = -0.31368702250061575, c_new = 3.837764092349028
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4205.257335777719
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2052:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.548481283654268, b_new = -0.44556306879866103, c_new = 3.3741363366856434
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8627.268154756857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2053:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2514512582742094, b_new = 0.6031229554850923, c_new = 3.6984187198734046
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9529.840813973991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2054:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0469405803153915, b_new = -0.987378033531236, c_new = 3.8674893204332252
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3057.696397296352
Acceptance probability: 5.986911279972918e-18
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2055:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.02785112758162, b_new = -0.13389742682979813, c_new = 4.2497629556113345
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3641.4379159023874
Acceptance probability: 1.8259228939216244e-271
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2056:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0856794838572768, b_new = -0.8698857201562191, c_new = 3.9505582267242523
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3304.04613266812
Acceptance probability: 6.149957748607779e-125
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2057:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2857352295772406, b_new = 0.7861091453215007, c_new = 3.8877873566269487
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10618.688940858056
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2058:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.368575856911133, b_new = -1.1074195747401796, c_new = 4.82631629262441
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7651.603299755501
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2059:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.742733720933551, b_new = 0.3003490468141137, c_new = 3.776759880306839
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3577.06890101877
Acceptance probability: 1.6466086914616828e-243
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2060:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6947853819865082, b_new = -0.5964429438039375, c_new = 3.5319378781699275
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15006.73755022405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2061:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.469210167090806, b_new = -0.7709051747349698, c_new = 3.806223945006537
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10348.768580823375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2062:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9955977266795335, b_new = 0.006436206885807372, c_new = 3.2475138315850445
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3366.379065245977
Acceptance probability: 5.224244241595054e-152
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2063:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.95840950631667, b_new = -0.7743506420683393, c_new = 4.401893707218256
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3034.5431991156606
Acceptance probability: 6.800001847042942e-08
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2064:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7103956405338487, b_new = -0.2570128942119133, c_new = 3.8973306647141497
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12851.482625867211
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2065:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7636542431134634, b_new = 0.18620294579367325, c_new = 4.838162750455798
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13942.070992251032
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2066:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7980533769854556, b_new = -0.009094021717607481, c_new = 4.379194395548871
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3351.545902854573
Acceptance probability: 1.4453866810056945e-145
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2067:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4219116958158238, b_new = -0.7263422628121461, c_new = 3.7899585696454046
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9224.600845011066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2068:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.80545196392349, b_new = -0.6128919279121796, c_new = 3.8271254249638584
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4114.74646597008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2069:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.976059652720033, b_new = -0.09998800651936957, c_new = 3.9406390057834386
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3228.0247341387135
Acceptance probability: 6.375966403446494e-92
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2070:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2517146442154417, b_new = -0.7306166582386426, c_new = 3.5595760979424247
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5738.820845631242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2071:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9212640351147274, b_new = -1.142619232101636, c_new = 4.470405701597818
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3460.6881066389915
Acceptance probability: 5.75608504753403e-193
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2072:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6869726734566806, b_new = -0.6650045008774204, c_new = 4.218992944184467
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12241.583901941685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2073:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0371502746517844, b_new = -0.5847870164076756, c_new = 3.3209289226554293
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3171.542648283376
Acceptance probability: 2.159753733093395e-67
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2074:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0843769533529457, b_new = -0.5792376366952949, c_new = 3.8274781940561637
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3569.0694617192885
Acceptance probability: 4.905719919355e-240
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2075:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8799657505088445, b_new = -0.004089398593321192, c_new = 4.446184835184539
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13564.189760786338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2076:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.84564075595831, b_new = -0.4280157259984582, c_new = 3.1122102203678152
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3545.3730106688145
Acceptance probability: 9.592695997797622e-230
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2077:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5905565770542396, b_new = -1.139977452969756, c_new = 3.885809888331693
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15663.285095750638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2078:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4306012871302514, b_new = -0.8603914200510755, c_new = 6.067690040071678
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9866.292166268284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2079:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0640671756494444, b_new = -0.6832167420347336, c_new = 5.083107412623786
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3460.155248391554
Acceptance probability: 9.807190212542354e-193
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2080:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.261044066569453, b_new = 0.05172754311267874, c_new = 3.31668980391564
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8024.349445743931
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2081:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.011056822644034, b_new = 0.4660851937635586, c_new = 3.973778532608225
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4323.41827834909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2082:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.836595874326552, b_new = 0.14379041008684101, c_new = 4.208791341316864
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3090.3440820534333
Acceptance probability: 3.967285778525987e-32
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2083:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4431478766514467, b_new = 0.5531405654133573, c_new = 4.810925007684014
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12261.532097206558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2084:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.464834648001096, b_new = -0.015137656800263799, c_new = 3.8074369923650204
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11188.16112927444
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2085:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.705478372067584, b_new = -0.7601071356907037, c_new = 3.8761082098918136
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6157.174773015056
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2086:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9913915676945733, b_new = -0.3206050499596906, c_new = 3.602909031024266
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13553.69335214457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2087:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.200633738784016, b_new = -0.3741214876963752, c_new = 4.559265316643605
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12078.288138430611
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2088:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0040489810586064, b_new = -0.12183461142902413, c_new = 4.724772973835058
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3517.3982929447825
Acceptance probability: 1.3527147381886523e-217
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2089:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7221003736164056, b_new = -0.5224075837242104, c_new = 4.1283312655297335
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5166.87846325171
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2090:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6363763108099376, b_new = 0.07810583803543758, c_new = 2.850656275432417
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5774.490697649704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2091:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8990074731616735, b_new = -0.9140885124798097, c_new = 3.8655296814875726
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3496.5303415900553
Acceptance probability: 1.5633000572469877e-208
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2092:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8457946041471693, b_new = -0.7014629315608094, c_new = 4.6590534656158304
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3614.761139301584
Acceptance probability: 7.031683370226818e-260
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2093:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9811504466717427, b_new = -1.9413584374926915, c_new = 4.328133429815629
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3942.301878938277
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2094:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.711071296907592, b_new = -0.8971333126717403, c_new = 3.8271071935619876
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6423.885943479165
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2095:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.865311842815185, b_new = -1.565775477928801, c_new = 4.257785527276323
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12319.827747940584
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2096:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.826189800012929, b_new = -0.005575470297383867, c_new = 4.4664550301831305
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3177.2325453984827
Acceptance probability: 7.29983953652476e-70
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2097:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9123652116699907, b_new = -0.5651786818987081, c_new = 4.644503161879067
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3077.9971854240557
Acceptance probability: 9.134453309152533e-27
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2098:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1375666224399166, b_new = -0.9323958619035511, c_new = 4.555908464749911
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3783.19847314628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2099:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.712992459774993, b_new = -0.22112044995727964, c_new = 4.191261931667394
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4669.6170064562175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2100:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.672665161796076, b_new = -1.5086486097607335, c_new = 3.109798179000996
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9229.368339719178
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2101:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.226499874500826, b_new = 0.10163210464498107, c_new = 4.101111045994118
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7731.341264237082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2102:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0610476060040566, b_new = -0.567009607743381, c_new = 3.1473084901055035
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3309.6109396271486
Acceptance probability: 2.3556305441353386e-127
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2103:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.377502165310073, b_new = -0.16716835321708284, c_new = 4.4102501070554645
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10019.300022764108
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2104:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.051222004996329, b_new = 0.1419865252974991, c_new = 4.176000668911923
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4346.05804626979
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2105:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4691191443795355, b_new = -0.8458931056880865, c_new = 4.145544102898123
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9780.766989579044
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2106:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.326833401891421, b_new = -0.6519428983544601, c_new = 3.5798837940199304
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11742.127736679258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2107:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.404084613696001, b_new = -0.6488178436205547, c_new = 3.9270978308228286
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10847.15944731049
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2108:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3223166952712875, b_new = -0.40032813551726126, c_new = 4.205533843973195
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8395.760191592046
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2109:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.683917947602674, b_new = 0.5468520502873105, c_new = 4.395140447341392
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13814.369996861233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2110:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.28451297319487, b_new = -0.9826606170966533, c_new = 3.861566595786062
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12498.77686698463
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2111:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9445003003727117, b_new = 0.4371923230334027, c_new = 4.218283313013741
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12818.06956909108
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2112:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.996604323807916, b_new = -0.8261820779869744, c_new = 3.408936522523155
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3029.022676046876
Acceptance probability: 1.6984068652892577e-05
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2113:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9920913425646507, b_new = -0.11830072938464997, c_new = 3.9760766213426058
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3317.3512150246725
Acceptance probability: 1.024585683922383e-130
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2114:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8820414978143427, b_new = -0.14481242340582604, c_new = 4.1151557457779475
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13985.340997338673
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2115:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8314040030601633, b_new = -0.48497466889889385, c_new = 3.613333978287986
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3666.049990885036
Acceptance probability: 3.737610841250888e-282
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2116:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.007576983403658, b_new = 0.35483735023748975, c_new = 4.109896567680202
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4112.1476825967475
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2117:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.635151821474466, b_new = 0.03801875353511974, c_new = 3.608736888203734
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5647.085721152165
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2118:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.835027036123212, b_new = -0.8145848838891064, c_new = 4.3206699203744625
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3951.35796218169
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2119:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0242739719528373, b_new = -0.14386065403674922, c_new = 3.661670086992461
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13166.048471760394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2120:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0557531232167507, b_new = -0.168252716163739, c_new = 3.9561675879537836
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12934.615244858694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2121:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.169046314038606, b_new = -0.4031089321719561, c_new = 3.942787228392213
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5062.313042377069
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2122:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.723310895450271, b_new = -0.5651102661203159, c_new = 4.139390896655513
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5238.493036630812
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2123:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1970463917791925, b_new = -0.55461209114628, c_new = 4.330812473055593
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12409.42326183792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2124:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.994957488362248, b_new = -1.1492174267041328, c_new = 3.2790457958988726
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3155.9299268871964
Acceptance probability: 1.3029356982993415e-60
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2125:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7647588037647384, b_new = 0.40963634537703764, c_new = 2.874087674495791
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3396.479685329519
Acceptance probability: 4.420692110923114e-165
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2126:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5046616857628843, b_new = 0.13715986411590053, c_new = 3.8250829055862
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7826.266785264088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2127:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.405983706202794, b_new = -0.45628064722965994, c_new = 4.223537765064345
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10370.086773466484
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2128:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.000801775028215, b_new = -0.5095437089029403, c_new = 3.626216933190998
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3079.1536126370206
Acceptance probability: 2.873773944867596e-27
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2129:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.932898750021112, b_new = -1.1877435382636254, c_new = 3.7701856156123617
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3526.3174448529485
Acceptance probability: 1.809954947800249e-221
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2130:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5757417667218543, b_new = -0.00031299053884265016, c_new = 4.03812744024795
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6757.952418097261
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2131:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1099623285164064, b_new = -1.1244988686617994, c_new = 3.410581101392043
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13881.703668898823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2132:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8595037223717497, b_new = -0.6352696870287817, c_new = 3.9521522115644134
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13309.72740706896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2133:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.376255319837637, b_new = -0.8540654425250794, c_new = 4.62324764268212
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8409.025972889998
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2134:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.835429305660068, b_new = -0.13824963222458342, c_new = 3.850456076431485
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3255.0472813730476
Acceptance probability: 1.1716634144278362e-103
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2135:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.463129572578064, b_new = -0.8094769648716817, c_new = 3.5372077186991344
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9577.580684315615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2136:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8435220908738144, b_new = 0.005441171012112167, c_new = 3.953099888033224
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3124.614410685656
Acceptance probability: 5.188942610978214e-47
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2137:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4890657784144237, b_new = -0.26309604751581267, c_new = 4.5271255673288024
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8770.118065884313
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2138:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.411632833504804, b_new = -0.010612112333900303, c_new = 3.523012927166851
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10504.250299654164
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2139:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9965065313231447, b_new = -0.8079510338836963, c_new = 3.5708972499185685
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14047.89846233411
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2140:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6251065858022151, b_new = -1.0811723221838077, c_new = 4.025701157341958
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15491.595925830818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2141:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.538179968183192, b_new = -0.31539608467463154, c_new = 4.031117117232185
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8247.854829208922
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2142:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2492052181740165, b_new = -0.358805137388022, c_new = 4.094722950489535
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11806.914079135655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2143:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.305298485649164, b_new = -1.1813718109498335, c_new = 4.117282476074138
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5871.354828718221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2144:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.013171396964224, b_new = 0.6348677060936748, c_new = 4.512872829523726
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4860.539875600978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2145:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1659559577091354, b_new = 0.4761827013648514, c_new = 4.601894673660973
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7700.8121294550065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2146:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.259916700151053, b_new = -0.2726935637191983, c_new = 3.744994130394474
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7236.306272661066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2147:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.085226353385162, b_new = 0.15683842830763917, c_new = 3.852298288244248
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12377.553098076414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2148:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7149858042061448, b_new = -0.23838181245585852, c_new = 3.5848900095705676
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12823.375859089636
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2149:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.121909579448695, b_new = -1.309201381488036, c_new = 3.04869722623794
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14123.045638318425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2150:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.534676701840206, b_new = -0.38264369620096694, c_new = 4.339964960387409
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8360.283024780292
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2151:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4264243460945574, b_new = 0.24862489384187236, c_new = 3.8651653003965674
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8829.1921529001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2152:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1718729068765406, b_new = -0.8893052795389642, c_new = 3.7803187994623237
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4117.906683894203
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2153:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.235895953000771, b_new = -0.4407576491042596, c_new = 3.73954310264823
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14997.072000086015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2154:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.954117691822884, b_new = -0.7076372242966977, c_new = 4.533755544306239
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3024.852391799673
Acceptance probability: 0.001099444151008216
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2155:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.127846323174561, b_new = 0.6057311984729346, c_new = 3.9462594590539024
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6913.31899321317
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2156:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.936984069806811, b_new = -0.555773293531958, c_new = 3.81818984185091
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3045.368901203481
Acceptance probability: 1.351967809724187e-12
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2157:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.32713508877785, b_new = -0.7748757010953347, c_new = 4.48202904967167
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7563.867818741421
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2158:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.940561598042869, b_new = 0.5567354334993039, c_new = 3.638059335255966
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3570.208763034311
Acceptance probability: 1.5700391255378324e-240
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2159:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230094899188768, b_new = -0.691303650772076, c_new = 4.195832710565849
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5610.986676447992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2160:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3442511803653785, b_new = 0.6997701004577276, c_new = 3.915478299753671
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11210.245802649055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2161:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.102170071562593, b_new = 0.27592053032698294, c_new = 3.7368112243352045
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15133.492176124248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2162:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1207333559900574, b_new = 0.16368853558783492, c_new = 4.125705376312471
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12052.822751293686
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2163:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.627880513224273, b_new = -0.9611956327077721, c_new = 4.949264760760491
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7875.027780214476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2164:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0346069238596054, b_new = -0.24339949547006937, c_new = 4.9972819970520685
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12887.790651956837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2165:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.320859961939826, b_new = -0.8629981631132331, c_new = 4.455325514929431
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11858.647177804867
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2166:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4737139929124647, b_new = 0.044003826600114704, c_new = 3.7769736352477783
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11372.230521040106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2167:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.13897744932016, b_new = 0.0073553194133170186, c_new = 3.7822190454944606
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5421.4097839448295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2168:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.990856881205865, b_new = -0.9520098567559497, c_new = 4.314980603977349
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14034.498119633718
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2169:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.455134999096884, b_new = -0.8069233441510912, c_new = 3.888916097494358
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9582.457871064822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2170:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.793301357739102, b_new = 0.173056389544331, c_new = 3.046737984093374
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3373.5169216133986
Acceptance probability: 4.15041801714437e-155
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2171:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0954840173343667, b_new = -0.5727747043556002, c_new = 3.6146668906169848
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3652.497230848742
Acceptance probability: 2.8739749545550944e-276
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2172:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.975008150064548, b_new = -0.27486626722716667, c_new = 3.672735363409384
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3095.3984185193094
Acceptance probability: 2.5317629999927104e-34
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2173:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8889428031355004, b_new = -0.07987628838301408, c_new = 4.43042746519297
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3036.3657940909998
Acceptance probability: 1.0989200320263974e-08
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2174:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4196702012199056, b_new = -0.0805619572332733, c_new = 3.9471083411777395
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10606.613393133692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2175:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.802792241844995, b_new = -0.2507839933523792, c_new = 4.252324355532062
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3562.251067748051
Acceptance probability: 4.4863549057786364e-237
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2176:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9450764062015304, b_new = 0.6362574841417937, c_new = 3.9631452361672945
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3783.0484398309745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2177:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0561308307463717, b_new = -0.45965711724972735, c_new = 3.631366114106717
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3425.476170592129
Acceptance probability: 1.1284354584795848e-177
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2178:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.491205161847671, b_new = 0.6014056458443462, c_new = 4.0068963704628615
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -16321.506057681865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2179:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6170471773109196, b_new = -0.9463178758406249, c_new = 4.1734207865899595
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11246.072509488095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2180:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3498600055528374, b_new = -0.5998918072729327, c_new = 4.213280206594261
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8409.657641093196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2181:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2637139343710606, b_new = -0.926618615715241, c_new = 4.8090078368728335
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5903.3075181718195
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2182:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.278761613621116, b_new = 0.14026221230630986, c_new = 4.057369012237853
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8948.474274522041
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2183:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.995194850015554, b_new = -0.21974546920813104, c_new = 4.1023287465473555
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3265.7619649351964
Acceptance probability: 2.603004523139103e-108
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2184:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.351607303427344, b_new = -1.010027720992277, c_new = 4.31749056323878
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11861.59003703544
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2185:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3161714600729795, b_new = 0.009201176033602154, c_new = 4.500559633325274
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9483.151430362544
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2186:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5870368811849014, b_new = -0.3124421243824623, c_new = 3.8242054148879805
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7406.6947664343525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2187:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2883654105007873, b_new = -0.318609015419558, c_new = 3.887995275868086
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7784.742439313037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2188:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0550704571705203, b_new = 0.03206918989708746, c_new = 4.724694274562273
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4341.469968014472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2189:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2088123572960976, b_new = -0.4471298101664325, c_new = 3.6213615714435536
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5608.685249544435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2190:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6043556936415375, b_new = -0.15039536376906318, c_new = 3.711887501133189
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12197.710360060508
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2191:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6419439739883464, b_new = -0.1026982637053494, c_new = 4.4450942760616385
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5589.813955890504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2192:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.017023328817523, b_new = -0.7472270375798967, c_new = 4.154697541270807
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13743.05372605797
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2193:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1934298384200233, b_new = -0.37368233134707374, c_new = 4.00026362141181
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5612.875783347337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2194:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.560412308594789, b_new = -0.5865828371558706, c_new = 3.884300825922129
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8572.55875590458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2195:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8523230143970664, b_new = 0.3710988141627959, c_new = 4.801299123480577
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3102.3297951332243
Acceptance probability: 2.472660170164869e-37
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2196:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6228844599542924, b_new = -0.051661840716416996, c_new = 4.2360598367759295
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5897.18792474138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2197:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.417494037713708, b_new = -0.8609048937211965, c_new = 4.688842833618346
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10837.55938295692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2198:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.25298607357344, b_new = -0.4129042315138693, c_new = 3.935749095102013
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11901.566439785847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2199:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.680824390347955, b_new = -0.34331543895419014, c_new = 3.686087607378836
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5661.36557843097
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2200:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2728828498010496, b_new = -0.2976456528111956, c_new = 4.091477793676535
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7588.690582378678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2201:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8709549926087155, b_new = -0.3053332533990172, c_new = 3.720828065819285
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3180.0552791998025
Acceptance probability: 4.339259269386176e-71
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2202:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4177810102958714, b_new = -0.8508123321438977, c_new = 4.385433438557513
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10914.383604681176
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2203:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.44273573913197, b_new = -0.4750520177606894, c_new = 3.6864678509495765
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10031.296827792845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2204:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7440706217776496, b_new = -0.7719312703972305, c_new = 4.860411249963391
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5111.993380537802
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2205:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5352504465268404, b_new = -0.9205047766096686, c_new = 4.329874597726413
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9588.197137932451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2206:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0844953392117342, b_new = 0.4936642482708239, c_new = 3.643100282782675
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5530.40291716351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2207:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.209833003346359, b_new = -0.17807689412557842, c_new = 4.137613633594482
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11849.908478029623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2208:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.995463671920852, b_new = -0.051207528597641216, c_new = 4.239458963535136
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3445.294975096803
Acceptance probability: 2.7879134693663226e-186
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2209:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3656261685216347, b_new = -0.3442771482055086, c_new = 5.020853816914082
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9653.532858281542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2210:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9136222556932383, b_new = 0.35835698085708734, c_new = 4.3955848031101326
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3284.3353725752195
Acceptance probability: 2.2343256671172432e-116
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2211:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3033268903952497, b_new = 0.06124391271345958, c_new = 3.9218168325282847
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9154.675514854798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2212:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7215592853973947, b_new = -0.3125049019865109, c_new = 3.9104531339736384
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4787.875430791912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2213:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3847578511604124, b_new = -0.7619117886979403, c_new = 3.853197926414664
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11281.672320444297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2214:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6577987571334933, b_new = -0.21973855672097536, c_new = 3.7715167985739257
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5778.580114776909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2215:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.365392718463168, b_new = 0.013924689255015776, c_new = 4.6525179453594525
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9844.263698717172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2216:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.39763539860531, b_new = 0.4334121304815196, c_new = 3.8104035133259564
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11275.033540841963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2217:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.620592396174688, b_new = -0.47025348440322856, c_new = 3.671712535190284
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11855.693131212964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2218:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5619247661049305, b_new = -0.4637409361458221, c_new = 4.147866593854058
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11493.369362910335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2219:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.727580568078762, b_new = -0.8939361665869385, c_new = 4.624427532625943
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12334.029551328738
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2220:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.235178775137539, b_new = 0.09004703625386595, c_new = 4.979451799099257
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8274.826781704973
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2221:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.156287826063556, b_new = -0.6694028206046634, c_new = 4.357123177169902
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4413.9993636395975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2222:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.724707764977666, b_new = -0.13826451777833887, c_new = 4.453534794011584
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4280.819371781845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2223:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5113951780108934, b_new = 0.21083316750520142, c_new = 4.090998889551186
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7441.164249189142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2224:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6983603106521503, b_new = -0.27906090062444705, c_new = 4.700631560208963
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4893.250427383731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2225:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.774656160370946, b_new = -0.9356543326085268, c_new = 4.275925594003571
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5109.93028259348
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2226:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8193783883161512, b_new = -0.3910405251837372, c_new = 3.431267086328375
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14414.805600863468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2227:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5299829943445933, b_new = -0.2795869699172032, c_new = 4.203749428732423
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11509.638347070526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2228:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0768330734279754, b_new = 0.05322687519747521, c_new = 4.140424001966357
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4548.280735382434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2229:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.542396040899594, b_new = -0.4122489662329837, c_new = 3.9431924157920517
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8440.38645157162
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2230:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.33935567478178, b_new = -0.5355857053019224, c_new = 3.879161036224121
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11341.31151798408
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2231:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0553731192793947, b_new = -0.634493636802258, c_new = 4.2200828036388955
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3325.2313575939706
Acceptance probability: 3.874769289137453e-134
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2232:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9340087470484737, b_new = -0.5843170933266066, c_new = 3.867774587634907
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3058.760355841129
Acceptance probability: 2.0660056145296416e-18
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2233:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6198608110174457, b_new = -0.563543459551683, c_new = 4.68687640642558
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7093.425673924631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2234:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.385137258417605, b_new = -0.035242814678757006, c_new = 4.500751117258305
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10445.717652056754
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2235:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8833810088532483, b_new = 0.2744325748943778, c_new = 4.885476040545777
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3145.2835653162347
Acceptance probability: 5.477458121707347e-56
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2236:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4009892318401267, b_new = 0.937309935210383, c_new = 4.151044732130162
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7671.322071571481
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2237:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2103873130712026, b_new = -0.01701570951079029, c_new = 4.131602686056203
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11614.59746190464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2238:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.007198215406161, b_new = -0.23259377999673578, c_new = 3.7254334645414113
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3289.2927540316928
Acceptance probability: 1.5710248814521392e-118
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2239:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1963866723871948, b_new = -0.8470843218753199, c_new = 4.038675939707332
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4611.110208018961
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2240:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9861498572141474, b_new = -0.568163538749807, c_new = 3.6382480995742346
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3029.7042477980503
Acceptance probability: 8.590904397927397e-06
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2241:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.337743607126671, b_new = -0.7637014539933393, c_new = 3.528598375395267
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7459.543256812172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2242:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7565609227023744, b_new = -0.045069396019631724, c_new = 3.546052149256658
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3905.505221554655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2243:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.512092568933624, b_new = -0.3513955224629358, c_new = 4.419644636604675
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8638.656102577745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2244:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4525253494745516, b_new = -0.4594241769888524, c_new = 4.098105308822666
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9840.520253015715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2245:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.566079351251318, b_new = 0.931180950646903, c_new = 4.785683107949136
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4683.861831290842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2246:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0965035138586035, b_new = -0.6617189896852826, c_new = 3.768821949331564
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3577.9735072057674
Acceptance probability: 6.663845633089681e-244
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2247:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.884754064207466, b_new = -0.07849666636555885, c_new = 3.9871813171696
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3039.2834698361266
Acceptance probability: 5.940672540834304e-10
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2248:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.712978098006837, b_new = -0.10973768916469845, c_new = 4.237905959929465
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4448.6213988033105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2249:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1287400153010587, b_new = 0.11788991451735908, c_new = 3.8683992588544225
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5527.011556529741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2250:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2839384772080265, b_new = -0.375693038393122, c_new = 2.589069288110416
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11994.260864491129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2251:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9780732726960615, b_new = -1.517539578920776, c_new = 4.035776173580535
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3466.855672375181
Acceptance probability: 1.2066670009167392e-195
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2252:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0673622111246344, b_new = 0.27271944566685113, c_new = 4.010685321582069
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12309.772183759025
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2253:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.418332898434413, b_new = -1.5538963035340783, c_new = 4.0710752962617445
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7216.937147322182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2254:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8502512261485076, b_new = -0.5162770623223364, c_new = 4.632008644158869
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13560.560013182276
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2255:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.867617917559094, b_new = -0.8364454347524624, c_new = 3.707130381268634
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3733.4869854320496
Acceptance probability: 1.927877669244e-311
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2256:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2663013842920194, b_new = -0.3935731350343301, c_new = 3.466193203242825
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6926.657743031837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2257:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6991573024918525, b_new = -0.3221085439157113, c_new = 3.871122292349225
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5208.1064433753045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2258:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.734775796705122, b_new = -0.5398907406821609, c_new = 3.546856093094305
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5157.385634263366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2259:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6805079138109744, b_new = -0.3965277240270479, c_new = 4.086762806783963
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5664.765421546278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2260:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6564752885878264, b_new = -0.708665858714516, c_new = 4.678841877928771
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6735.498077946879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2261:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.279519662983121, b_new = 0.06071318967952083, c_new = 4.823087862418088
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9064.036521915597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2262:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.766824944431568, b_new = -0.17113637274689736, c_new = 3.4198176451771336
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3994.138488585469
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2263:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0072737586020795, b_new = -0.11215819985792136, c_new = 3.78968161606617
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3410.19502570432
Acceptance probability: 4.886451879838613e-171
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2264:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.559568363515561, b_new = -1.2303081052842035, c_new = 3.612988071589199
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10024.70297601429
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2265:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.164067363050929, b_new = -0.7863336550506388, c_new = 4.320135961916887
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4304.332245986193
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2266:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4237774420316445, b_new = 0.051699811044686794, c_new = 4.664191565759562
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11144.102608839528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2267:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.581613055762643, b_new = -0.6961292321487642, c_new = 3.956071127322048
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8439.926923612458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2268:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3505433054586238, b_new = -0.6109680265509638, c_new = 3.918679885728109
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8281.304481604238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2269:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.550163047148053, b_new = -0.6925622739735972, c_new = 3.76978821320976
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9045.698443780904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2270:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2912268296570453, b_new = -0.13676501234495836, c_new = 4.642595174537663
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8671.584931618105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2271:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9787088046909327, b_new = -0.21967890976813834, c_new = 3.663734139238764
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3137.445722676719
Acceptance probability: 1.3883880729734206e-52
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2272:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.628904324292069, b_new = 0.929988487570322, c_new = 3.4452870948580623
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4065.670962406577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2273:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2362144277870577, b_new = -1.0074191199278482, c_new = 3.8226925019782314
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4885.136672723157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2274:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4779037624982574, b_new = -0.40764650916545053, c_new = 3.8136623621599393
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10632.081368181725
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2275:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3614546955075957, b_new = 0.5105218713464591, c_new = 3.9503570462893633
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11057.425836908336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2276:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8546778749387647, b_new = -0.1338105223548562, c_new = 4.638319082466742
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13994.970486339664
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2277:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0590868841257732, b_new = -0.19884282606446105, c_new = 3.9439292318271173
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12954.362161665784
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2278:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5110360901056046, b_new = -0.4438896868896391, c_new = 4.235081220533183
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11055.66109094478
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2279:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7893217770671122, b_new = -1.3158223764711463, c_new = 3.4819329727114416
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15301.888794772014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2280:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4816920040621757, b_new = -0.6452367539865689, c_new = 3.3985551393804667
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10106.601029941334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2281:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.075410295487327, b_new = -0.43812381735851685, c_new = 3.622298995770669
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3621.13768152394
Acceptance probability: 1.1960854458730459e-262
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2282:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2473982203283582, b_new = 0.41423238033637677, c_new = 4.6501442861759426
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9338.655218060114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2283:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.753544638664814, b_new = -0.5536027842157119, c_new = 4.831471887062694
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13002.285578583842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2284:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1718381048020348, b_new = 0.10485931921882136, c_new = 3.6128757347684273
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6302.840762050652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2285:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.066867423539112, b_new = -0.03662820122417171, c_new = 3.887252294168619
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4169.869655477545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2286:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.032066708670328, b_new = -1.1090018006481495, c_new = 3.998909648590815
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3024.0718206144975
Acceptance probability: 0.002399777248685759
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2287:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3003673580157553, b_new = 0.3070797999275118, c_new = 4.143363965495702
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10218.621343839692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2288:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5792366175519166, b_new = -0.3417360360301135, c_new = 4.357579161592247
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7439.6091186691665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2289:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1498519409350116, b_new = -0.3267989391557671, c_new = 3.936912234760664
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4892.761718909856
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2290:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1133054584692728, b_new = -0.6288446365943484, c_new = 3.5245447381701918
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3751.6351986411423
Acceptance probability: 2.5317e-319
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2291:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9400768515134437, b_new = -0.7564794317306824, c_new = 3.553603144784319
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3136.05900460956
Acceptance probability: 5.555905864115042e-52
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2292:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6479851408809454, b_new = -0.2941795246634215, c_new = 3.7549143935736726
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6163.291486729008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2293:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1515617580037136, b_new = 0.30736677709136906, c_new = 4.021483158897485
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6596.230461196808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2294:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9305921889808926, b_new = -1.0912307427348955, c_new = 4.984136521588248
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3274.0768405831122
Acceptance probability: 6.373387307919593e-112
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2295:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.638646756544444, b_new = -1.0959654972856452, c_new = 4.50952383566493
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8189.270471913858
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2296:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.833239670186119, b_new = -0.5199307570815205, c_new = 4.413974013263142
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3559.4504175377897
Acceptance probability: 7.382450756551927e-236
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2297:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7856458467122684, b_new = -0.6594891595965987, c_new = 3.4003906976319893
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4596.311834137111
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2298:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.810560029413253, b_new = -0.23138388223388268, c_new = 3.7566038471328365
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3541.27658836867
Acceptance probability: 5.767588695723236e-228
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2299:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.470235932810206, b_new = -0.6952026325702384, c_new = 4.759799724250807
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10299.563997343108
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2300:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6873342935320563, b_new = 0.6948213010185752, c_new = 4.486422168285689
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3589.4779492311945
Acceptance probability: 6.720618438485145e-249
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2301:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.183909519709232, b_new = -0.7159141506846392, c_new = 2.7802830081300303
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4372.971739650917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2302:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.264589315391214, b_new = 0.01079084899952265, c_new = 3.281406721016973
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11342.788386649618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2303:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.815166908335896, b_new = -0.6174476928665374, c_new = 3.97043774249579
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3966.1460240895667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2304:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1420523379538654, b_new = -1.0056316308532596, c_new = 3.4753850746953225
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3571.7321840737213
Acceptance probability: 3.422134890671026e-241
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2305:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.579124269143635, b_new = -0.37518894932093866, c_new = 3.8800587137706954
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7700.664123534691
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2306:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.311356101957435, b_new = 0.4886956242252146, c_new = 3.620806602045468
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10221.024166912759
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2307:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.965508671985066, b_new = -0.8377539275041822, c_new = 3.9445481959142374
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3057.386854481151
Acceptance probability: 8.158974183408134e-18
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2308:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.00866478845936, b_new = -0.08641586881215663, c_new = 3.646458173458262
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3427.7529368351525
Acceptance probability: 1.1579497371178427e-178
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2309:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4008390988460526, b_new = -0.3282446553810678, c_new = 4.21590642432519
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9936.697156043092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2310:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5734545276889897, b_new = 0.36184605205022, c_new = 4.079972374612331
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5909.309504466301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2311:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4549677802136225, b_new = -1.3279564654848344, c_new = 3.6368205831717777
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8331.139873033979
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2312:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6716956254973074, b_new = -0.32856989529063996, c_new = 3.682058143861292
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12440.67170840131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2313:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.838707283261443, b_new = -0.7823830461698351, c_new = 4.297739875629168
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3863.7835525722935
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2314:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4147354989789465, b_new = -0.36684088050614755, c_new = 4.16785945881883
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10113.174743369345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2315:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9379111533267275, b_new = 0.22660937938730985, c_new = 4.212003511402292
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3296.0609340282526
Acceptance probability: 1.8063414105971837e-121
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2316:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.266706407305003, b_new = -0.7480658078438301, c_new = 3.882079569845067
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6114.6610881896295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2317:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.780021741490934, b_new = -0.8912837637035584, c_new = 5.0154629636802746
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12794.690123105978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2318:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.578626761987301, b_new = -0.7224801755458704, c_new = 3.6132895822425826
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8691.480243369528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2319:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.121388863144364, b_new = -0.8918360512200213, c_new = 3.1826676266777305
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3474.346897195721
Acceptance probability: 6.732708844748472e-199
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2320:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9370605159837875, b_new = -0.6697122023249635, c_new = 3.7019137634356687
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13614.733574284437
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2321:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.818604317556498, b_new = 0.04141671942871733, c_new = 3.4612811008708677
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3264.0738726240006
Acceptance probability: 1.408004680397844e-107
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2322:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.77049715680213, b_new = -0.25440569678750025, c_new = 3.7793383468268273
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4002.0769463956485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2323:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1516439158159937, b_new = 0.5230205414908895, c_new = 3.4706313188862263
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7013.939535335413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2324:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.212259991401005, b_new = 0.3029559840402024, c_new = 3.7127271618333055
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11236.318990935726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2325:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9405288448010967, b_new = 0.21123836742285163, c_new = 3.7908814675497315
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3247.3891904807056
Acceptance probability: 2.4812440667425654e-100
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2326:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.310031665878001, b_new = -0.10616492960693585, c_new = 3.565791160238968
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8697.660667052938
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2327:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0008191406894205, b_new = 0.12385122831164419, c_new = 4.1595697495241035
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3692.046380507557
Acceptance probability: 1.9164854142912116e-293
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2328:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8320433407215524, b_new = -0.41691434283753503, c_new = 4.894332348976956
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13641.320048538175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2329:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8940373550497838, b_new = -0.5332596075277601, c_new = 4.31360273778837
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3154.868845630705
Acceptance probability: 3.764824341246435e-60
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2330:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5121608774975077, b_new = 0.26204515803648976, c_new = 4.283606984582749
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12231.574239711592
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2331:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.318132034520552, b_new = -0.2340219233298537, c_new = 3.8701005227393077
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8632.123561932163
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2332:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.902787319044407, b_new = 0.11825927206926529, c_new = 3.4224281029888437
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3041.2437498844856
Acceptance probability: 8.365594434040952e-11
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2333:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.986062490772465, b_new = -0.6538223415412938, c_new = 3.8003909219130043
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3019.9663847872953
Acceptance probability: 0.14559251801769382
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2334:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.166114662574381, b_new = -0.7519237901094, c_new = 4.770004418866081
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12752.345681633213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2335:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9600002456468855, b_new = -0.08193577281336584, c_new = 3.8031374565992944
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3146.251492112783
Acceptance probability: 2.0807207547516054e-56
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2336:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7860683747668458, b_new = -1.6197983111228882, c_new = 4.040108201667249
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11646.61511256178
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2337:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.929290862347716, b_new = -0.37111875344238043, c_new = 3.7091636355009845
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3025.0205567904222
Acceptance probability: 0.0009292659961346704
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2338:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.964945105332298, b_new = -0.4816485481828946, c_new = 4.060536733687547
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3023.8957071975065
Acceptance probability: 0.002861910294464813
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2339:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.951714911000687, b_new = -0.15833454703044184, c_new = 4.706308836804308
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3144.8526503985345
Acceptance probability: 8.42797108109017e-56
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2340:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7627508262860907, b_new = -1.3115581716274876, c_new = 4.298685164209584
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6280.606261630765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2341:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6534521809816796, b_new = 0.09190304226377954, c_new = 4.547613350079382
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4928.854322439907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2342:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0988817016897467, b_new = 0.11652959228475557, c_new = 4.663016206847258
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5226.5252755909005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2343:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8659573131677902, b_new = -0.9281800434621903, c_new = 3.1799807343589315
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4002.7784077069605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2344:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.538538598815093, b_new = -1.0762201991553857, c_new = 3.9309428460364733
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10148.868701929849
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2345:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6479672941387635, b_new = 0.28154161369584396, c_new = 4.2696771693205005
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4713.005878875713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2346:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.384998192056533, b_new = -1.239311481943179, c_new = 3.005530830513515
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6998.041368781565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2347:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.55413576896753, b_new = 0.1635502954446063, c_new = 3.922453785288988
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12317.613377350137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2348:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.747036443110023, b_new = 0.8152774992417057, c_new = 4.635343464719634
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3175.435227949583
Acceptance probability: 4.40431491337755e-69
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2349:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0598314505398676, b_new = 0.14469536514491865, c_new = 3.63313233255628
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12613.628464166259
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2350:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.726502043860836, b_new = -0.3871143262128175, c_new = 4.330851545680785
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4744.986000698989
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2351:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.518402815886163, b_new = 0.17987648581701465, c_new = 2.804848798213003
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7836.682812779092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2352:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.760170247825952, b_new = -0.42296275136708894, c_new = 3.3911204576326464
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4531.738232102085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2353:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7900448018753803, b_new = -0.722776166492828, c_new = 3.5124816284604607
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4621.858519617979
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2354:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.161882391718022, b_new = -1.5105403841826313, c_new = 4.276595225814023
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3334.592915370351
Acceptance probability: 3.330987206086748e-138
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2355:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5399528327658216, b_new = 0.18506041765011494, c_new = 4.3936662840314815
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12375.380467496063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2356:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.930253595467132, b_new = -1.627391092308962, c_new = 3.7655852515105477
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4203.539285715319
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2357:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.701740695505339, b_new = -0.20733536579832437, c_new = 3.809573144391811
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4929.753986505764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2358:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0054251337659696, b_new = -0.681298887712209, c_new = 4.714159155430319
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3080.2451532117593
Acceptance probability: 9.647228264224333e-28
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2359:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.825267649206145, b_new = -0.707532798866164, c_new = 4.049810704406658
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3963.709679816774
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2360:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.405452042110786, b_new = -1.0798051759945508, c_new = 4.012626251797944
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8161.937371847869
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2361:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1438404424075315, b_new = -0.6685397784759701, c_new = 4.493076377949783
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4267.295643523671
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2362:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6571620757583996, b_new = -0.20567102807474805, c_new = 3.3294154011411785
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5905.229865631879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2363:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3406054797256273, b_new = 0.7550223420912688, c_new = 4.371941882862902
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11435.234216035558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2364:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1251313498003266, b_new = 0.19449092127750878, c_new = 3.7128216267397596
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5595.899936959337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2365:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.729637301059232, b_new = -0.711974987899004, c_new = 4.608459214819367
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5315.001764516035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2366:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1422801993164526, b_new = -0.41124280198890145, c_new = 4.420628606020582
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4723.68789732993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2367:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6477245127232765, b_new = -0.9550822762137703, c_new = 5.070915444212285
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7420.211860231496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2368:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2404120042399787, b_new = -0.7978889857093068, c_new = 3.836672992378802
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12569.24732070929
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2369:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.049370862558121, b_new = -0.8872861688802636, c_new = 3.7723868754854726
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13929.02455732943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2370:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.630402314136514, b_new = 0.33431079855967927, c_new = 4.638699616191246
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4806.027184500175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2371:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3114361858046077, b_new = -0.5426947554895376, c_new = 4.206444302444002
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7772.10782530713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2372:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6471489374260186, b_new = -0.5575320981064336, c_new = 3.153356472316588
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7100.128227833979
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2373:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.712306729194687, b_new = -0.7730581177864029, c_new = 3.550390286872253
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6171.395774288163
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2374:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7407553931256734, b_new = 0.11135223470239647, c_new = 5.010907758314411
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3645.0668172761675
Acceptance probability: 4.846972904657307e-273
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2375:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6721101731986807, b_new = -0.6179846488310448, c_new = 4.344617820566472
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12230.233091251359
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2376:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9679480579112427, b_new = 0.3138995207547387, c_new = 3.783953556043996
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3549.673970702513
Acceptance probability: 1.300341646090921e-231
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2377:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.397905958293096, b_new = 0.1624311098118092, c_new = 3.6065972226846132
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10701.233393873568
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2378:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8701198066184617, b_new = -0.6065908966071426, c_new = 3.518165761489289
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3463.4529410705436
Acceptance probability: 3.6255580664222313e-194
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2379:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.19635969415962, b_new = -0.29528052091513024, c_new = 3.7352535640882354
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12228.449675470813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2380:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4251965768881045, b_new = -0.09306957119095716, c_new = 4.255590035115291
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9416.65314134329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2381:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.370787684897448, b_new = -0.493269191816997, c_new = 3.772203317350454
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8912.229664120508
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2382:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.093298818395454, b_new = -1.2573534306328167, c_new = 3.9350147663900725
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13970.140456656576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2383:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.434953905553858, b_new = -0.8498530706344894, c_new = 4.8807778839166645
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9526.812617531532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2384:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8347374950157933, b_new = -1.05605913849268, c_new = 3.46510820362991
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12552.277229816074
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2385:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.514595720804849, b_new = -0.6543138079452687, c_new = 3.80167456826385
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10594.934137212695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2386:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0905331786712167, b_new = -0.31421858506127187, c_new = 3.8501555034229455
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4008.1204774471257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2387:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9275431758171084, b_new = 0.012488898869049858, c_new = 4.432820219974381
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14420.579370433128
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2388:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4923817494639073, b_new = -0.6010530897244575, c_new = 3.788044355303139
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9702.239027278318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2389:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.225700633475893, b_new = -0.6411089703716379, c_new = 3.342722565135163
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5377.149936459521
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2390:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.791299372223194, b_new = -0.9185236812113468, c_new = 4.854609363396057
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4625.029592024599
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2391:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.971946483325702, b_new = -0.7784305075333957, c_new = 3.686283350500247
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14098.995800383025
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2392:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9305193224046535, b_new = 0.005711908768571916, c_new = 3.455217645525437
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3063.6857256238463
Acceptance probability: 1.4999285768614648e-20
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2393:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4008248340435325, b_new = -0.9230658957023263, c_new = 4.257253706836682
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11266.860959567828
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2394:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.295859429294042, b_new = -0.51769537648004, c_new = 4.263494836862384
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7529.3077306092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2395:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.955779594061024, b_new = -1.386090100396994, c_new = 3.3928942731318483
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3628.2871738088543
Acceptance probability: 9.392412505608225e-266
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2396:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1429623254213395, b_new = -0.22308762689194217, c_new = 4.176089515156247
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5075.35241155634
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2397:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.071171268739106, b_new = -0.48696721321364717, c_new = 3.7655820815941614
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13271.466352005333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2398:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.194776124123976, b_new = -0.32683404310123687, c_new = 3.849975096119048
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5708.372750051585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2399:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1956865683502738, b_new = -0.8002757887920009, c_new = 4.373386869519095
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4783.339585272445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2400:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.617963698466841, b_new = -0.06738821859547534, c_new = 4.300206597972084
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6009.958087942828
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2401:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0646047561893655, b_new = -0.2529094121654796, c_new = 3.4398115551658432
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14502.25543743701
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2402:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9850462133167706, b_new = -1.2702714306988647, c_new = 3.9692096833189234
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3205.5273441068784
Acceptance probability: 3.758706093647228e-82
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2403:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7947450504324296, b_new = -0.19889302798458572, c_new = 4.258912043643813
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3578.176226638687
Acceptance probability: 5.4410785679043946e-244
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2404:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0728845969186347, b_new = 0.15248982838776515, c_new = 3.4420163712537817
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4494.081653388488
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2405:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4364298400921345, b_new = -1.3470545541360328, c_new = 4.09021753095572
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11698.394125800973
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2406:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.056345924782988, b_new = -0.9479394421953357, c_new = 4.254194354394858
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3117.4628953358124
Acceptance probability: 6.621288652078604e-44
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2407:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.498886352130465, b_new = -0.45557593877614166, c_new = 3.3571612716485286
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10641.085989057643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2408:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.512580852654174, b_new = 0.17558714172513123, c_new = 4.673053030338288
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7313.166495208172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2409:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.578697714510796, b_new = -0.07181016297264037, c_new = 4.948195477772243
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6575.8127118493685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2410:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9492714947443304, b_new = -0.9801089162541792, c_new = 3.9525955508396
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3192.769029110231
Acceptance probability: 1.3058827029293145e-76
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2411:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.483315155784329, b_new = -0.21415425922692993, c_new = 4.058188682777524
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11111.425287951794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2412:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2200843985276064, b_new = -1.0968444820841552, c_new = 4.600584965199746
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12886.525241064017
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2413:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.45679708247608, b_new = 0.6630920358900761, c_new = 4.0552287646488665
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7370.737657624082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2414:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0949922583824145, b_new = -0.9278845816133593, c_new = 3.990359099255581
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3323.5403331355055
Acceptance probability: 2.1020761269102763e-133
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2415:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4281090497892466, b_new = -0.6863544676111668, c_new = 4.345898865563998
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9599.656830115206
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2416:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3116560371413044, b_new = -0.6193618447975745, c_new = 4.906928127405225
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7840.214198255751
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2417:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8517763793155453, b_new = -0.558439321224541, c_new = 3.6592947193515313
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3549.6298633964548
Acceptance probability: 1.3589798944436494e-231
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2418:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7896435802485238, b_new = -0.04833808498531206, c_new = 3.7934461016447245
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3524.634558332842
Acceptance probability: 9.739487267771986e-221
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2419:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8204519446544998, b_new = -0.12036659669027217, c_new = 3.618653435262228
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3366.2187084080906
Acceptance probability: 6.132895469270595e-152
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2420:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0532434001833293, b_new = -0.15715675233928783, c_new = 4.851736364864526
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4016.815724140448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2421:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.395712376463001, b_new = 0.2921177824544873, c_new = 3.7674297858802954
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10976.785070956968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2422:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.182975343385837, b_new = -0.7148756745129987, c_new = 4.489457260213098
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4781.972884845958
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2423:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.912994990491641, b_new = -1.0597131549595087, c_new = 4.005400359249852
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3514.9988633931125
Acceptance probability: 1.490270950078333e-216
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2424:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.192468601897783, b_new = -0.6497431720349032, c_new = 3.3414608882936427
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12841.167887383766
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2425:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9938476497862143, b_new = -0.6266898877742554, c_new = 3.7756043428333976
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13935.903710064322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2426:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4196508943554167, b_new = -0.8042912644152286, c_new = 5.200060102678887
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10546.826641698117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2427:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6202669992170833, b_new = -0.1098115169357809, c_new = 4.084838376594398
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6139.160453001959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2428:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3996294253546093, b_new = -0.2708474833910686, c_new = 4.299914165238631
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10072.042902328923
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2429:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.759987811949092, b_new = -0.41860734046644377, c_new = 3.629945884591384
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4463.618215928096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2430:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0328126591358053, b_new = -0.4194660607703279, c_new = 4.516548766663028
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3399.953609858699
Acceptance probability: 1.3702001633827397e-166
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2431:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.556028677623745, b_new = -0.05361328457526787, c_new = 3.703871258368813
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7390.731996764772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2432:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9355612173519936, b_new = -0.9660467416014332, c_new = 3.454572256808258
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3326.0867536029373
Acceptance probability: 1.6472218042091978e-134
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2433:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8977703112979976, b_new = -0.44790684205326137, c_new = 4.1389982524261715
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3107.008379620991
Acceptance probability: 2.2976348351408873e-39
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2434:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.319716019765625, b_new = -0.6517262983760916, c_new = 4.177611104345687
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11622.474860000579
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2435:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4940260770863643, b_new = -0.6249329721510236, c_new = 3.7849009152428654
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10410.855233611805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2436:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.369193633244941, b_new = 0.6047913894124954, c_new = 4.021268774644254
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8863.897510621768
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2437:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.107581948748266, b_new = 0.4958823084351075, c_new = 4.17502160786778
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6219.03663557564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2438:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6644985608165093, b_new = -0.11517048376589595, c_new = 3.7301363058568273
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5415.411810112614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2439:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.682452603368835, b_new = -0.6712949610303298, c_new = 4.269220005138402
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14944.942081683017
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2440:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.446050964651878, b_new = -0.9322891180714431, c_new = 4.426707709793202
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10731.010732260575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2441:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.722999924104139, b_new = -0.9215380932243614, c_new = 3.1792369623873604
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6491.580313055337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2442:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2990720962628144, b_new = -1.2307174913100658, c_new = 4.180920100229939
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5642.318296185096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2443:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.717545378576167, b_new = -0.910335132439304, c_new = 3.846107740923517
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6317.063528788432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2444:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.067743147763826, b_new = -0.2269618778295906, c_new = 3.8391558831793815
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3864.167161216701
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2445:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7679493563639856, b_new = -0.668746007432067, c_new = 4.112193142183759
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4699.617768173048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2446:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6786774439060776, b_new = -0.4449259473423647, c_new = 2.976244298052754
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6211.5328557037465
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2447:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5237204176933457, b_new = -0.11791152705941144, c_new = 3.9678553009012343
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8049.095780413536
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2448:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2906650855186093, b_new = -0.6280903499137612, c_new = 3.769346567612621
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6916.310951424189
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2449:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.777824546714641, b_new = -0.3023382507668192, c_new = 4.498327654707749
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3846.8626428027997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2450:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1551140362059775, b_new = -1.2892061522904794, c_new = 4.873793828636856
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3563.2175819491154
Acceptance probability: 1.706639694044674e-237
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2451:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.139470866740641, b_new = 0.04536859298488777, c_new = 4.292765408328452
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5705.764796350895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2452:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0483776823349293, b_new = 0.08061347795937795, c_new = 4.3813760731774405
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4246.190772647093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2453:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.351802709428475, b_new = -0.048506119448370966, c_new = 4.09276194932305
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15656.976463445148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2454:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.492733872973854, b_new = -0.587048377962915, c_new = 4.641399728066093
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10731.935347183025
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2455:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6373710487913113, b_new = -0.9798163406788006, c_new = 4.5932603446710845
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7873.992234907534
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2456:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.113968721386491, b_new = 0.3847763434146918, c_new = 3.1848797060533367
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5676.058054758347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2457:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.78732775213107, b_new = -0.08605567422961047, c_new = 3.5900067418952575
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3618.975270648856
Acceptance probability: 1.0396455919495256e-261
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2458:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8713720894085317, b_new = 0.5756867074535362, c_new = 4.312263942530158
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3217.867115245032
Acceptance probability: 1.6441591540222094e-87
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2459:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.625564773041683, b_new = 0.1327301398656573, c_new = 4.6285647748026895
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5307.103319198928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2460:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8791447481364605, b_new = 0.022896781952743528, c_new = 4.317915489236583
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3040.0480878346243
Acceptance probability: 2.765452711399109e-10
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2461:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8059749975493924, b_new = -1.4315981995238989, c_new = 4.012524937738896
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12030.410560369955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2462:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9065996395784026, b_new = 0.04394385350975316, c_new = 3.719470971116526
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3040.3105355569905
Acceptance probability: 2.1270937862749794e-10
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2463:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2459018457300797, b_new = -0.4160215640224351, c_new = 5.300012257898891
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11582.930594058585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2464:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5702427746717764, b_new = -0.5236306230913566, c_new = 4.270094666735063
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8097.620698427449
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2465:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.576216377839416, b_new = -0.9000590935204696, c_new = 4.124542927582577
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15473.848236263984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2466:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6431266199882923, b_new = -0.46540947888298234, c_new = 5.218822937470156
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6196.4104702994355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2467:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.272946769446536, b_new = -0.57291473921083, c_new = 3.71067564285941
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6663.3268630897255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2468:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3717613270069937, b_new = -0.622061787315426, c_new = 4.415998285103218
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8845.526322921027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2469:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5644181721871693, b_new = 0.026838025075463123, c_new = 3.6863405324466902
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12131.724632724523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2470:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9067885728216662, b_new = -0.8782960322464842, c_new = 3.7408856002996815
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3412.975126559018
Acceptance probability: 3.0311760861992566e-172
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2471:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.930224003443529, b_new = -0.8087057785219953, c_new = 3.96495086283081
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3175.4791779642724
Acceptance probability: 4.2149372659968156e-69
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2472:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0309870390493874, b_new = 0.07822329952922918, c_new = 3.712371723063018
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3866.609149615972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2473:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1908808219561764, b_new = 0.5867797383343611, c_new = 4.0891725056671016
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8388.499234151217
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2474:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.590991584885019, b_new = -0.19068057573351002, c_new = 4.388763374590717
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6816.992309504385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2475:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.181984312075914, b_new = -1.0909265134703807, c_new = 3.9397387247802196
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13300.332265184179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2476:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1029192668761016, b_new = -0.26805155945621134, c_new = 2.9026881964519218
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4043.6432779174143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2477:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6521503411855205, b_new = -0.7505913636974673, c_new = 4.720401667307555
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11993.830821126685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2478:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.98719689625609, b_new = -1.1030492722622283, c_new = 2.982363824387223
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3194.7791035598007
Acceptance probability: 1.749604664220565e-77
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2479:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3784783943370718, b_new = -0.6691336014300713, c_new = 4.109480746897288
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8734.887495012725
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2480:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0238901124129307, b_new = -1.0506478540787554, c_new = 3.9662676157214745
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14071.348187676394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2481:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8279734155950176, b_new = 0.2933106960140922, c_new = 4.392922985514034
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14251.080895748983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2482:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.328291948456492, b_new = 0.9119386110612936, c_new = 5.545998819054977
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8414.001803135923
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2483:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7574277921251156, b_new = -1.4081713417463875, c_new = 3.1839465621827188
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7126.952268628858
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2484:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.386535544011992, b_new = -0.6606452245165269, c_new = 3.944249091303727
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11055.107097914928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2485:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0217101336142136, b_new = -0.20902439246709684, c_new = 4.0193027378002295
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3458.5053289284765
Acceptance probability: 5.1061729077896816e-192
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2486:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.159074959183889, b_new = -0.7938015351782666, c_new = 4.825790418750834
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -16242.65639951473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2487:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4370046876455134, b_new = -0.8503580528728807, c_new = 3.7112943784081605
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10922.239114653894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2488:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1401789159140887, b_new = -0.31588848815164744, c_new = 3.4567813576216944
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4621.996124598839
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2489:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.246422524003781, b_new = -0.5557766281130507, c_new = 3.9381207563673883
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12159.371404947224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2490:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.875665877674544, b_new = -0.43725574999615474, c_new = 3.4770523896805647
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14226.49495272457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2491:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1264255890421793, b_new = -0.456278296369443, c_new = 4.000533726634482
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4282.691450907087
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2492:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.210671000420278, b_new = -0.6266195472452365, c_new = 2.6468887775197474
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4941.986695158132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2493:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.210012931319361, b_new = -0.3682094573541348, c_new = 4.305821405218993
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6080.928955312518
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2494:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7338637825791277, b_new = -0.028071685706580585, c_new = 3.010882799360435
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4289.467865307903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2495:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2040062481260847, b_new = 0.07341214682817504, c_new = 3.672632319106105
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6959.863988650394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2496:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5815394992646423, b_new = -0.8879957033106723, c_new = 3.6409278122081643
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9041.043769714777
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2497:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8131381441201238, b_new = -0.34563867718878905, c_new = 4.324779901923515
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3562.1807382019547
Acceptance probability: 4.8132382630056734e-237
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2498:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.666040354236826, b_new = -0.562054871340514, c_new = 5.01059864788825
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12446.608981257828
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2499:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.285214273373648, b_new = 0.1414304740073723, c_new = 4.226603264735009
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10643.655242870278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2500:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.237202861674501, b_new = -0.1575654281082414, c_new = 3.33160675169403
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6901.787646933734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2501:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.748108499419906, b_new = 0.08398788460579037, c_new = 4.81399995941589
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3629.3535742412478
Acceptance probability: 3.233295030980736e-266
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2502:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9428446631170653, b_new = -0.37578889920311553, c_new = 4.976429746091581
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3046.076537795376
Acceptance probability: 6.662599135863702e-13
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2503:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801952842870648, b_new = -0.11275864116975814, c_new = 4.625774293705649
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3386.3442401790644
Acceptance probability: 1.114957129726533e-160
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2504:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8561649344877758, b_new = -0.860736077316536, c_new = 3.4110136643984332
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3962.9691960463706
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2505:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5910377139700342, b_new = -0.024287268609346657, c_new = 3.756946428421
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12286.787584219224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2506:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2145426684068585, b_new = 0.0707564358008082, c_new = 4.029592079780631
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7337.925198311796
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2507:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5481435956522844, b_new = -1.5674324272246158, c_new = 2.9488724053039768
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11292.686193945228
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2508:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.979423970264023, b_new = 0.4240141681219465, c_new = 3.8237815264228874
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3818.335137232361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2509:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.477521096770641, b_new = -0.3460468200689232, c_new = 3.754045383076233
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9383.165418217404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2510:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2353308723870766, b_new = -0.26927720404813904, c_new = 4.744716688618814
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7100.582172034985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2511:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6981997516385237, b_new = -0.13309770638338977, c_new = 3.9048445680047346
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4809.05596568378
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2512:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6494101173714135, b_new = -0.9129871058718767, c_new = 4.11433645404517
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7640.514482331684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2513:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.163247944427049, b_new = -1.0599804536898645, c_new = 3.9508053748195695
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3790.134891107595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2514:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.56407873218574, b_new = -0.7297570374514997, c_new = 3.7145331275771514
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10957.91374800197
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2515:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7564410914316912, b_new = 0.5754873934231145, c_new = 3.7040192973431
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3253.434284012027
Acceptance probability: 5.87920660611586e-103
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2516:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6054182635270093, b_new = -0.2328040617023654, c_new = 4.101715991998534
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12197.167218323913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2517:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.254717246498659, b_new = 0.20382594190333259, c_new = 5.156755715078724
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9111.419173581213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2518:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0456655301314335, b_new = -0.6079383103706835, c_new = 4.2279996508342155
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14277.272673885043
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2519:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3769680065366714, b_new = -0.11632273856554359, c_new = 3.9576744556299386
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9961.74683024962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2520:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6842965911135144, b_new = -0.20237561983772753, c_new = 3.6457332515069885
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14690.62045353125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2521:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.650736842093736, b_new = -0.5907745691612646, c_new = 3.4792544839267956
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6988.641434387634
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2522:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9004678478965653, b_new = -0.14041904301834351, c_new = 3.2482504386025095
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13874.081908463128
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2523:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1687303903491997, b_new = -0.9712227006840513, c_new = 3.3861941912526774
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13387.10046101197
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2524:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2283055241081, b_new = -0.22036450265667368, c_new = 3.5273656673065656
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6601.499969597232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2525:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.356043302749073, b_new = -0.5257753112505, c_new = 4.544951465852742
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8851.474649630029
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2526:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.069717923644631, b_new = -0.5654103610299254, c_new = 4.335411510580994
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3526.8141130081876
Acceptance probability: 1.1014569451345967e-221
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2527:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2006963853911845, b_new = -0.350860910882094, c_new = 4.17222661594328
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5881.002489441007
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2528:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8720393979522822, b_new = -0.3529772846348035, c_new = 4.285489679801004
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3159.206256534339
Acceptance probability: 4.920747681811258e-62
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2529:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1045674310120255, b_new = -0.7606007405948091, c_new = 3.557294931840871
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3511.011913401111
Acceptance probability: 8.03111078773983e-215
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2530:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6492830159876295, b_new = 0.38743891877434644, c_new = 4.14613574327719
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4525.222525737851
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2531:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9784311012636087, b_new = -0.6340086875628925, c_new = 2.964719116353841
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3033.8252054449113
Acceptance probability: 1.3942149005797784e-07
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2532:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3045138286352933, b_new = -0.46999807927977355, c_new = 4.0360393573302265
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7761.70333813131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2533:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.641411074057877, b_new = 0.11137038637885094, c_new = 3.7961540803231646
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5304.581903155806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2534:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.893328948189559, b_new = -0.9083942891121106, c_new = 3.7680734878113618
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3557.4479218943898
Acceptance probability: 5.4685648509545855e-235
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2535:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.1145239178478015, b_new = -0.2346507932713101, c_new = 4.124551191222458
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14844.7216952628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2536:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5864573102792323, b_new = -0.6890165671884145, c_new = 3.337028849797897
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8573.994991344312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2537:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.08323254112039, b_new = -0.5697315487924404, c_new = 4.4196474482900205
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3665.5062488740896
Acceptance probability: 6.437811194698781e-282
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2538:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.842779957080852, b_new = -1.0261197397392805, c_new = 4.55118435282275
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4142.199130906427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2539:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2066696881725747, b_new = -0.8862309092577999, c_new = 4.563190594744144
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4839.876110819531
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2540:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.894054560799311, b_new = -0.14877938550147746, c_new = 3.3649997052072087
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3050.400008585866
Acceptance probability: 8.830477273894667e-15
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2541:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9896226902423115, b_new = 0.7721889708423412, c_new = 4.127121676686041
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4651.756141341565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2542:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.184972800672293, b_new = 0.22466855043623513, c_new = 4.714042654537608
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11317.295566177574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2543:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.30224063198232, b_new = -0.17507671272054834, c_new = 3.730773493223597
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8418.648706620574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2544:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.688794977961874, b_new = 0.013072082091805381, c_new = 4.489581871917608
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4529.959176811107
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2545:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1160029737021198, b_new = -1.4481181139527788, c_new = 4.182638833038437
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3122.8464645378867
Acceptance probability: 3.040101780707678e-46
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2546:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2967666228644545, b_new = -0.8561798872515642, c_new = 3.541494770029747
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6346.438545589721
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2547:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.580411993095092, b_new = -0.33966263167747024, c_new = 4.7290353059030705
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12018.965469738581
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2548:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.913371186337255, b_new = -0.09808845520002146, c_new = 3.6079299211043923
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3024.0144945996476
Acceptance probability: 0.0025413665161585935
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2549:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0017385392377447, b_new = -1.1059876821108163, c_new = 5.266328714334765
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13912.727334110226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2550:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.390560168993048, b_new = -0.48227059637392383, c_new = 3.488431873486793
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9175.842177334136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2551:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9933472877418503, b_new = -0.6573534524376283, c_new = 4.506823450830937
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3045.363826625869
Acceptance probability: 1.3588459122762142e-12
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2552:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.637413721176605, b_new = -0.322515933399933, c_new = 3.9165891557920935
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6391.4365949130515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2553:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.475359118414941, b_new = -1.0288713768482398, c_new = 4.524965051081606
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9612.315213733946
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2554:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0071899593058418, b_new = -0.9629189061984654, c_new = 4.083213505284663
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Acceptance probability: 0.816952120925505
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2555:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.171438195686793, b_new = -0.682246868491504, c_new = 4.481636891659567
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -14745.143695463057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2556:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.804876368206573, b_new = -0.6605271420045356, c_new = 4.052625948864403
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -4150.368670278991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2557:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6974767696728528, b_new = -0.8020032443229196, c_new = 4.520497755666879
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -14947.066220207302
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2558:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.80052919846674, b_new = -1.2696571399378693, c_new = 4.2862594920897275
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -5413.179203974996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2559:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.488756364868763, b_new = -0.6648049441117004, c_new = 3.161170003740163
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -10084.91268169433
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2560:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3653398171892395, b_new = -1.2426313943958966, c_new = 3.493862345777728
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -6748.654903321858
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2561:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4951673529700473, b_new = -1.5077569015952204, c_new = 3.4206867917470483
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -11610.271982982002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2562:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5623358729194643, b_new = -0.6873844158606556, c_new = 3.854763624067846
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -11050.804211495228
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2563:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7383552194436525, b_new = -1.9637603103690613, c_new = 3.9320699090192597
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -8841.85870984144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2564:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0399029214804973, b_new = -0.9900423418683796, c_new = 3.594615921578395
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -3041.1369653610036
Acceptance probability: 1.1393997786655145e-10
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2565:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0126260546955224, b_new = -1.1999519133122796, c_new = 3.163644866740723
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -3127.980978913086
Acceptance probability: 2.1917966497335432e-48
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2566:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.686608331879168, b_new = -1.2737135591548827, c_new = 4.808859451404026
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -7587.944156101472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2567:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0429290968906884, b_new = -1.4241110116444284, c_new = 4.0232826556489405
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -3067.15495961449
Acceptance probability: 5.71748187175813e-22
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2568:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.131521592017202, b_new = 0.012710109304868489, c_new = 4.05953965825552
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -5384.600535054354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2569:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6317158475464666, b_new = -0.38314025804870366, c_new = 3.5606802005259666
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -12038.960412643046
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2570:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.887574759708534, b_new = -1.004700899121607, c_new = 3.836534717717155
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -13019.640671499996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2571:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9492209064188977, b_new = -1.540574018458663, c_new = 3.792665967541843
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -3822.8526858051628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2572:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9754358294806655, b_new = -1.1435988744554855, c_new = 4.293885900074956
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -3137.011066210426
Acceptance probability: 2.624721171802723e-52
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2573:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.487442585870574, b_new = -0.7582243247597291, c_new = 4.033075314691778
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -10158.087191017925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2574:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.010725898961816, b_new = -1.114076525035345, c_new = 4.727783926715785
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Acceptance probability: 13.157672107551724
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2575:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8813099675824545, b_new = -0.9227557125057664, c_new = 4.627742298416276
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3543.227451120128
Acceptance probability: 7.627280003488682e-230
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2576:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.873450184354752, b_new = -1.3132992366556788, c_new = 4.499509660739615
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4233.657055721589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2577:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.93594664409202, b_new = -1.4757341777233852, c_new = 5.106457755612894
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -14556.839313863631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2578:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5384919734096796, b_new = -0.46762291990277116, c_new = 4.618811148430455
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8398.528554330542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2579:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5025377533682707, b_new = -1.6683042810270028, c_new = 5.047544395764845
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8809.252656934537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2580:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9258441872291656, b_new = -1.296891697255235, c_new = 4.901780415667248
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3524.662254820182
Acceptance probability: 8.813166977296438e-222
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2581:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.734703570569964, b_new = -2.0501903704321705, c_new = 4.433093368321229
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8939.3973978245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2582:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8965609998380732, b_new = -1.3575522114361498, c_new = 3.748995873243489
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4186.301353465438
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2583:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2941143401287794, b_new = -1.097873070115795, c_new = 4.23456213065705
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -12480.483844144215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2584:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.476060970833626, b_new = -0.41660806596697186, c_new = 4.370420663210815
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -10769.718114749474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2585:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7376640788860387, b_new = -0.31398832718004366, c_new = 5.250611642409489
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4228.8236295725355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2586:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1076714074204768, b_new = -0.6889361998875139, c_new = 4.298261322107469
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -13158.890731746451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2587:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3238182340335944, b_new = -1.1968587587066932, c_new = 4.8520518906493795
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -6470.180648482577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2588:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.175505590097736, b_new = -1.4032712904390454, c_new = 5.3853427859639424
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3706.883227252381
Acceptance probability: 6.420504935331134e-301
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2589:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6990667061967315, b_new = -1.5636660082552885, c_new = 4.982378885665526
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -11258.882402753854
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2590:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1016610381538947, b_new = -1.7037455431639743, c_new = 3.8923238979584713
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3067.2272941360998
Acceptance probability: 4.042139087318897e-23
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2591:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4874367304864218, b_new = -1.327874023715171, c_new = 5.200521606467151
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -10739.946787230416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2592:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.134870924307282, b_new = -0.89819529863268, c_new = 4.504364922152024
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3791.3181277535823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2593:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1276790286064826, b_new = -0.9834318066544079, c_new = 5.8905611976358205
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3857.2999431067783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2594:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3421986201872027, b_new = -0.3727448535677139, c_new = 4.391531008444491
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8930.866837035941
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2595:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.685670839406387, b_new = -1.5288683670380854, c_new = 4.745158589233343
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8335.457322630713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2596:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.309854014942879, b_new = -1.360718745647674, c_new = 4.952535947009433
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -5783.535478744817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2597:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.063623059717832, b_new = -0.5047946307656173, c_new = 4.49952224442289
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3567.887344136911
Acceptance probability: 1.4883813807013531e-240
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2598:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0836153920892118, b_new = -0.40828922367044296, c_new = 4.9739827009932265
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4017.3444573137695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2599:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981749039885062, b_new = -2.1121861481976527, c_new = 4.891880322738872
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4074.8055989124678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2600:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.625264549735028, b_new = -1.146837188338372, c_new = 4.618188541492956
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8532.858403855353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2601:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2389681576314096, b_new = -0.7540109711428262, c_new = 4.945350938527754
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -5889.881088731535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2602:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.009536630682829, b_new = -1.8529014426919295, c_new = 4.1512939013021395
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3563.3379493489065
Acceptance probability: 1.4076389676319798e-238
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2603:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.501977703053474, b_new = -0.46765531889285994, c_new = 5.522889220934421
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -11329.757577245493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2604:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5779886607898184, b_new = -2.093779736936677, c_new = 5.128220391035794
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -11180.216734057889
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2605:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.979024236840234, b_new = -2.0422867654973023, c_new = 4.891610020040543
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3993.5298000556963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2606:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1507428988770005, b_new = -1.478970420825824, c_new = 5.043832065331083
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3355.520691090111
Acceptance probability: 2.5256885008259466e-148
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2607:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.007874817384463, b_new = -1.5948408517757084, c_new = 4.47101218866932
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3263.258081965928
Acceptance probability: 2.9615687278528298e-108
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2608:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6487382552533645, b_new = -0.0030903379250981633, c_new = 4.575015598290755
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -12957.40718373991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2609:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.070093626766855, b_new = -1.3435549282505603, c_new = 5.199189725172818
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3050.545469098429
Acceptance probability: 7.102901877034426e-16
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2610:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8583267380321353, b_new = -0.6876639263116116, c_new = 4.194795531691912
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3552.549361870387
Acceptance probability: 6.82205616144859e-234
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2611:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8133431235942847, b_new = -1.0740289079075136, c_new = 4.976060583328821
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4552.183721203936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2612:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7241538686920532, b_new = -2.079596912609687, c_new = 4.559436171676751
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -9174.515751565765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2613:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1487354749319616, b_new = -1.6751389852436651, c_new = 5.273269347607743
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3213.333606434862
Acceptance probability: 1.4237903681449477e-86
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2614:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2387870717860077, b_new = -1.2903966098526454, c_new = 5.101995913657412
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4683.51181034103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2615:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.954336489007453, b_new = -1.464881837424, c_new = 4.782539637221738
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -13101.874579681993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2616:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6202020088781803, b_new = -0.007972592244023247, c_new = 4.624099472527398
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -14542.427888671484
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2617:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.702052467721594, b_new = -0.931144326102821, c_new = 4.780180865880905
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -6347.894897429417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2618:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7331435514835074, b_new = -0.4393085528734927, c_new = 4.5605105155173815
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4681.608429120269
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2619:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.624687805093531, b_new = -1.039190917473197, c_new = 4.8788357681621966
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8165.465763125585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2620:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.868456940492272, b_new = -0.34666479443793397, c_new = 5.060905080240893
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3128.1480976961197
Acceptance probability: 1.4094265037668745e-49
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2621:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.170937553139355, b_new = -0.7986698422602646, c_new = 4.279060476033331
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4372.236339216357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2622:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.21012896105872, b_new = -0.5151139388059028, c_new = 5.032910721265315
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -5954.198480522092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2623:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1071323325843188, b_new = -1.7674404964301522, c_new = 5.0841261695371305
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3037.600766384132
Acceptance probability: 2.973368757927226e-10
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2624:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.311721905038344, b_new = -1.6856573442293934, c_new = 5.643518841614665
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -12757.097498989804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2625:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.563059041206842, b_new = -1.2650887851989134, c_new = 4.173141166554726
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -10163.431900315063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2626:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9701246101006427, b_new = -1.12888940810287, c_new = 5.441656337078408
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3070.867362349998
Acceptance probability: 1.0610838736382898e-24
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2627:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.447633022572174, b_new = -1.5652961818136935, c_new = 4.856092493192711
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8032.285695239709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2628:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5308388448259995, b_new = -1.8169250853493109, c_new = 5.659614736501424
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -11011.969120916861
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2629:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.32200524476252, b_new = -1.1131825631346726, c_new = 4.886063683531248
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -6670.448895436005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2630:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9500820992713237, b_new = -0.1972680224150294, c_new = 4.654085564732633
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -13375.889136833865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2631:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0656409265421773, b_new = -1.0837111716299914, c_new = 4.726951965744641
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3115.780438314883
Acceptance probability: 3.3132076642959964e-44
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2632:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.565938794539476, b_new = -1.3691250152259864, c_new = 5.164814645004418
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -9824.460371089095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2633:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.142758774078887, b_new = -0.8184639202406708, c_new = 5.080844454695712
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4129.380108108171
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2634:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9959020644822445, b_new = -0.9065107286563532, c_new = 5.335165064279778
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3021.0554531642088
Acceptance probability: 0.004558133141558824
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2635:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.176616709435395, b_new = -1.4301839955686717, c_new = 5.560940135600433
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -13307.294166266345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2636:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.528286761621569, b_new = -2.4546439903787047, c_new = 5.5425207834899535
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -12221.570509854626
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2637:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.033043806298558, b_new = -0.20618530598468876, c_new = 4.465103225260462
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3638.7273934800232
Acceptance probability: 2.5542988096784903e-271
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2638:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.492484442021694, b_new = -1.8858198954438217, c_new = 4.645287338249169
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -11892.812663346955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2639:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7833041906384164, b_new = -0.6420193998616432, c_new = 4.97301722911263
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -13116.269557339903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2640:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3456970072200827, b_new = -0.982271070966731, c_new = 5.221949137104405
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -7669.476604058384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2641:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9877756174174124, b_new = -0.619050691464542, c_new = 4.48666931244864
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3043.4766110180503
Acceptance probability: 8.344529855141797e-13
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2642:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5022363121961986, b_new = -0.8668033736774577, c_new = 4.82742849280741
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -10383.000996196519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2643:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5443581066200576, b_new = -0.6029137283179229, c_new = 5.382786213062478
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -11476.512082499492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2644:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0198204855936814, b_new = -0.8652849168807021, c_new = 4.6351832190461755
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3049.7151784572657
Acceptance probability: 1.6293952990183398e-15
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2645:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.209928337205279, b_new = -0.4328716742393096, c_new = 4.100612272086607
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -5831.35299639871
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2646:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4768402473611184, b_new = -1.2499286609443936, c_new = 4.369321860713511
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -9109.348933809131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2647:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.91381126813733, b_new = -0.7706143094055067, c_new = 4.211086444636424
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3213.2950499578023
Acceptance probability: 1.4797587471866132e-86
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2648:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.147706466389417, b_new = -0.9530838641345658, c_new = 4.373191207153135
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3835.753585577235
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2649:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7048077933970638, b_new = -0.8053872644700966, c_new = 3.8942202220158517
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -15063.144666657641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2650:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8824879222734956, b_new = -2.0356276951880976, c_new = 4.025746569875742
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -5851.224420350813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2651:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8069459512701753, b_new = -1.2857165105554538, c_new = 5.647959583788405
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4906.53760526959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2652:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.127656942296904, b_new = -1.2835787447674618, c_new = 4.414245123796452
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -14030.237956298135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2653:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.278103424615204, b_new = -1.4741727344090774, c_new = 4.981841782612973
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4928.746098424022
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2654:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.676283527667362, b_new = -0.9063689154039895, c_new = 5.159882693642849
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -6676.2603193083605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2655:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1060895262303077, b_new = -0.5980158470602746, c_new = 4.857696856847913
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3968.1346868353844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2656:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.514568109265929, b_new = -1.681348507477959, c_new = 5.0942477086939295
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8984.045272771764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2657:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1376291970321906, b_new = -0.7578776757349714, c_new = 5.405692199319703
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4242.256514021079
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2658:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8927074125912338, b_new = -0.7129284152425026, c_new = 5.114228081537845
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3210.0632485191773
Acceptance probability: 3.74752421067983e-85
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2659:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8068354531412996, b_new = -1.7669186258582736, c_new = 5.1889931654974
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -6248.6756817611085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2660:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.073463154129293, b_new = -1.7722027947430166, c_new = 3.898675165153953
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3140.793260574201
Acceptance probability: 4.5427409647957045e-55
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2661:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3387162807828235, b_new = -1.1318885298301973, c_new = 5.667139399625816
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -11762.48106760654
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2662:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.618247085225727, b_new = -1.3705223731063567, c_new = 5.5773029581967375
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -10980.963448556537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2663:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7325806607081278, b_new = -1.9649561125233743, c_new = 4.7447410273861275
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8603.628251276928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2664:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.591683501086332, b_new = -1.2448294491999696, c_new = 5.117228404047622
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -9171.83357199796
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2665:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.082335123116878, b_new = -1.0003746489652456, c_new = 4.351570043884763
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3220.2761963036655
Acceptance probability: 1.3750471190754999e-89
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2666:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6780502030812796, b_new = -1.1460592503867815, c_new = 4.915106531962772
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -11682.067667304269
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2667:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6772618306073346, b_new = -0.5925728113707649, c_new = 4.141716718033592
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -6201.057758264448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2668:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4811024942111297, b_new = -0.9561525295225399, c_new = 4.002471327407446
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -9673.707956602126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2669:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.199588891355657, b_new = -1.2138483520522219, c_new = 5.0048857957915205
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -13054.448434336635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2670:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.902721151388743, b_new = -0.9564102579305152, c_new = 5.209581218266676
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3324.2335098840067
Acceptance probability: 9.777547603706172e-135
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2671:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2801447573229723, b_new = -0.64432802250701, c_new = 4.758328730738722
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -7019.900641857542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2672:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9941382555790317, b_new = -0.8893135432905608, c_new = 4.952517025927357
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Acceptance probability: 4.620805695521922
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2673:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2163920696568318, b_new = -1.3433761094165877, c_new = 4.555077962134373
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4128.011282520298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2674:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.050029083534907, b_new = -0.91819808193327, c_new = 4.894969676682869
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14152.797459816975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2675:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7188974407196445, b_new = -1.0847085568646613, c_new = 4.507809613078252
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6507.839280575654
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2676:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.182962392623441, b_new = -1.5319897044340807, c_new = 5.518555839780037
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -13400.819547239003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2677:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.481975148912875, b_new = -0.9248102098876079, c_new = 5.114069040238184
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10051.317468940375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2678:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4053114457485356, b_new = -0.12357586071779125, c_new = 5.378500396535076
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10838.180465216938
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2679:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6673893120600907, b_new = 0.3374711484925612, c_new = 4.8899339512132505
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4204.474928305215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2680:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6039242724398863, b_new = -0.9038859705328469, c_new = 5.118023181933702
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8119.938287901746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2681:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.89754006028321, b_new = -1.1843470694528573, c_new = 4.36794881724145
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3759.6362540006535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2682:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8551695441024543, b_new = -0.8204994344955994, c_new = 4.983158213380538
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3615.2357125415824
Acceptance probability: 8.807677340010624e-262
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2683:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.666777951811919, b_new = -0.36221941848718897, c_new = 5.031459602730605
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12729.844820789891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2684:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9915450902747267, b_new = -1.7721387360015401, c_new = 4.936342863804226
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3484.368052885113
Acceptance probability: 6.025094247258689e-205
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2685:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8027745171910436, b_new = -1.556481568579699, c_new = 5.160752359180589
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5783.023771694667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2686:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5934756729282644, b_new = -0.6406071032994368, c_new = 4.6734306405435095
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11653.040522567364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2687:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0284725999271513, b_new = -0.7437303590633931, c_new = 4.677381048449042
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3135.166345430054
Acceptance probability: 2.7311054170640887e-53
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2688:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.440770212948032, b_new = -0.8185621709561863, c_new = 5.435662682882307
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10251.972760984892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2689:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0995803112915614, b_new = 0.3730945517453663, c_new = 5.381143059538683
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6188.446711449231
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2690:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7605260713229782, b_new = -0.37287801814450217, c_new = 5.175198619172993
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4035.152724843294
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2691:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.22750740498749, b_new = -1.5914242648188979, c_new = 5.33161399227099
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4033.899496073709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2692:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9251978091602573, b_new = -0.4111188813791342, c_new = 6.438040566711286
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3095.254399632993
Acceptance probability: 5.886759391645097e-36
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2693:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8843601675843265, b_new = -1.107238837282914, c_new = 4.661195763008454
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3739.2836748108366
Acceptance probability: 1.179005664e-315
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2694:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.411271866503402, b_new = -1.8967093287550696, c_new = 5.666087914838555
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6733.2272576934465
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2695:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.507583034167676, b_new = -0.4475144642590179, c_new = 6.088014938160508
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8377.743835905561
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2696:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2769013402586724, b_new = -0.5153569166374365, c_new = 4.932265911117897
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11569.100825751268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2697:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.504470187901025, b_new = -1.430289548612657, c_new = 4.651331858449128
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10922.575257103485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2698:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.272154879601284, b_new = -1.21389033205772, c_new = 5.521354981114147
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5583.532532871681
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2699:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.718940736606356, b_new = -0.32833311017241695, c_new = 5.164114323935671
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4544.17143058767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2700:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7256251923696984, b_new = -1.0905885397478012, c_new = 5.166150737831122
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6143.307142934631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2701:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5516274823879477, b_new = -0.35570820963255856, c_new = 4.756312187173351
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7849.964593835103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2702:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.827689358308419, b_new = -1.1094254195028141, c_new = 4.907673343838036
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14675.830080294436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2703:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0655525087524884, b_new = -0.8349986854893708, c_new = 3.893500711873685
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3202.097231400085
Acceptance probability: 2.3368133119032222e-82
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2704:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6157381545346112, b_new = -1.0335731490855251, c_new = 4.7862976783154885
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11270.962107906973
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2705:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3905678037346094, b_new = -0.909452997946594, c_new = 5.261143588714402
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8779.519167262415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2706:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5293096869160445, b_new = -1.5637642021157447, c_new = 4.871011455563596
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10809.36498687611
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2707:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8063206050900726, b_new = -1.5298824130169641, c_new = 5.248948066122436
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5613.451923313311
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2708:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0371032590116984, b_new = -1.001934505568496, c_new = 4.583094303374374
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3048.9159321195866
Acceptance probability: 7.841822833453661e-16
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2709:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.924060611869481, b_new = -0.13402829237472147, c_new = 5.646580198247417
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3142.3712799118234
Acceptance probability: 2.0289678979958007e-56
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2710:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7318497190924258, b_new = -0.9163124326327621, c_new = 4.689185185833437
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14890.577337418385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2711:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.674832832487884, b_new = -1.1727563530479475, c_new = 5.2155099454361675
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7397.174547034152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2712:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0251575771359436, b_new = 0.34227753194236565, c_new = 4.329915005884118
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4388.913688302377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2713:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8380467399468787, b_new = -0.36537890775803183, c_new = 5.380313134888108
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3272.4782513951795
Acceptance probability: 6.346516352335835e-113
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2714:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.087181092126494, b_new = -0.9823875832196715, c_new = 4.942593046035577
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3325.2150258352535
Acceptance probability: 7.929490272622575e-136
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2715:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4063311328196533, b_new = -0.8420077987192279, c_new = 4.281267314002504
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11057.557678286274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2716:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.643094265450709, b_new = 0.2403388908633548, c_new = 4.943598667451227
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4712.152325457146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2717:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1925290672896405, b_new = -0.16395533057567901, c_new = 5.155191652004979
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11692.65192599258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2718:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3028855943084556, b_new = -1.0745548015382838, c_new = 5.220486832713599
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6489.372044349957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2719:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.090483095484235, b_new = -0.6243726869323327, c_new = 5.158604872931161
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3807.452774660046
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2720:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9274960280221414, b_new = -1.1196605153049024, c_new = 5.93038446118547
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14091.150696254228
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2721:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.217636081076744, b_new = -0.02091075661665298, c_new = 4.552834673735573
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7355.448064219205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2722:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4053768021959705, b_new = -0.7292934727850705, c_new = 4.360270169922396
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9148.277515657746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2723:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0689462920910944, b_new = -0.313639744158586, c_new = 4.267869694581483
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3835.873752607789
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2724:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8863376318218243, b_new = -0.7860493095425548, c_new = 5.45357900402923
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3270.8631828680655
Acceptance probability: 3.191175966987545e-112
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2725:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0897895842757372, b_new = -0.36855336724851906, c_new = 4.468506658691794
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12837.160473087877
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2726:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5043237003366707, b_new = -0.7992619904494156, c_new = 4.91214136328094
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10560.574621658065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2727:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7400656489877706, b_new = -0.8872206260866264, c_new = 4.215375242397457
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12323.451389664908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2728:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.204416789707282, b_new = -0.82250344563551, c_new = 5.351900837499484
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14929.363404879843
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2729:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.559241297462707, b_new = -0.7871122901286991, c_new = 4.767039785426821
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11123.921953673758
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2730:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.513934531634901, b_new = -0.9819936142856062, c_new = 5.4652520124863475
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10510.15826072829
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2731:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.482131270765068, b_new = -0.7600277960857152, c_new = 4.624332940240072
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9882.230002155158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2732:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9373577269477136, b_new = -2.0615486325286603, c_new = 4.903624825504198
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12336.384832214975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2733:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.915003045791763, b_new = -0.7667503710154573, c_new = 5.5097583606007525
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3110.18741987304
Acceptance probability: 1.9255198360702205e-42
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2734:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8939712311059207, b_new = -0.951520381398881, c_new = 4.455745598723974
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3488.7629862444783
Acceptance probability: 7.434787129059694e-207
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2735:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6357394020163682, b_new = -0.296221534522213, c_new = 5.651033810601203
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12780.500472085823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2736:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3483843975987155, b_new = -0.9288013640392216, c_new = 4.866585389282577
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7735.704317905134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2737:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.177025595298256, b_new = -1.4873636985595664, c_new = 4.930424138229411
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3551.0770836911615
Acceptance probability: 6.435760479715293e-234
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2738:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5874613995217404, b_new = -1.0615354339300063, c_new = 5.3212934451573135
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11112.992671854667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2739:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0605929086910546, b_new = -0.6948334258202791, c_new = 4.813090738327066
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3381.48689978745
Acceptance probability: 2.8885569000947454e-160
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2740:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.406148478837426, b_new = -0.09772877339877029, c_new = 4.434820959504832
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -15818.642517276237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2741:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7294281159094975, b_new = -0.913426457730132, c_new = 4.574906402160259
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5819.084158328662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2742:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6015756972803623, b_new = -0.4404988938959993, c_new = 5.422075542724065
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12247.67319863035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2743:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.633033679477402, b_new = -1.048972149265168, c_new = 4.904144406239731
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8021.512631882136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2744:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.509959724971064, b_new = -0.8488035167521147, c_new = 5.14263572257067
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10607.424142278047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2745:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9196739765254445, b_new = -0.36382509243388683, c_new = 4.450683773442121
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3025.3011065321484
Acceptance probability: 1.4132059914228702e-05
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2746:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.270000894522371, b_new = -0.9698629198422991, c_new = 4.943597289359053
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5968.519466865587
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2747:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2702963451203777, b_new = -1.0039952419147062, c_new = 4.895659190069406
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5868.029175770904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2748:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8843507450851584, b_new = -1.4435049434205824, c_new = 4.8346662057578325
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4229.590416260049
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2749:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7734095132972616, b_new = -1.013674560783927, c_new = 5.798885785282488
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4858.957793196212
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2750:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8832898573460946, b_new = -0.4179819777812315, c_new = 5.310967862743917
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3094.3963174932287
Acceptance probability: 1.3884703934474704e-35
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2751:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0854423874269186, b_new = -0.9459436017119156, c_new = 5.086431563999636
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3363.71070283128
Acceptance probability: 1.5163001368865292e-152
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2752:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.539449584195103, b_new = -1.3718004750819293, c_new = 4.7185206504480215
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10347.476776903404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2753:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.725725236161635, b_new = -0.7543342838531455, c_new = 4.5931360689680005
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12496.617716985951
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2754:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7336647833697947, b_new = -0.5299338610042377, c_new = 5.456239963254341
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14406.899652101676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2755:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8114592732454695, b_new = -0.009164799724142081, c_new = 4.207266772304456
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3277.8611513555047
Acceptance probability: 2.9158934744893077e-115
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2756:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.088760032373416, b_new = -0.8660448642860341, c_new = 5.095020989605805
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3473.0807324455754
Acceptance probability: 4.808225497060164e-200
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2757:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1700490909356036, b_new = -1.6617577179510992, c_new = 3.999621014862151
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3259.0269719358885
Acceptance probability: 4.4091192711694143e-107
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2758:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2804502372110185, b_new = -1.3484993188968482, c_new = 5.357445262255704
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12603.28826567257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2759:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.762719538742819, b_new = -0.4072989596835419, c_new = 5.0319139544748035
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4087.6471192343365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2760:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.352207316899337, b_new = -1.4930631514641495, c_new = 6.232509259112699
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6781.745261829576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2761:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.28723483384907, b_new = -0.9530804240920242, c_new = 4.393122862673601
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6182.905623193432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2762:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9657106284217747, b_new = -1.4362662737696912, c_new = 3.852186101722414
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3511.780414063891
Acceptance probability: 7.497675649455918e-217
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2763:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8111842764149926, b_new = -1.369000141710458, c_new = 5.932339391178921
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4931.863084387498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2764:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7718425654263017, b_new = -0.46548958346740393, c_new = 5.077380193584338
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4051.8517637601226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2765:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.776869915522025, b_new = -1.0047118342097066, c_new = 4.830537137435553
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5055.65150067406
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2766:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.105713873970281, b_new = -1.3481304774832836, c_new = 5.690953297650704
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14163.102834008336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2767:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3286636519955346, b_new = -0.4280397110808165, c_new = 5.030370229902197
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10919.720057294922
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2768:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9541895823087536, b_new = -0.6521620384366364, c_new = 5.555192008319985
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3028.6697268547355
Acceptance probability: 4.866673964058671e-07
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2769:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.128651703191822, b_new = -0.9767701091460962, c_new = 5.46870626352786
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -13076.224619104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2770:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8542943502891136, b_new = -0.7771490967057703, c_new = 4.936218010152048
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -13363.949558840479
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2771:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0452924706807205, b_new = -0.12387175163160413, c_new = 5.193264351978657
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4053.1116395877116
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2772:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9955554872546086, b_new = -0.44579166432300193, c_new = 5.298015343588681
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3227.7429694204593
Acceptance probability: 1.7014590901608366e-93
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2773:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8324763767798347, b_new = -1.2089665848299411, c_new = 5.2125368988348635
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4456.839322654141
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2774:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1096797769171283, b_new = -1.5666423030661614, c_new = 5.506983492786637
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3105.495592370404
Acceptance probability: 2.0998234980383577e-40
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2775:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6796105012341123, b_new = -1.4612228903371594, c_new = 4.805422253322444
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11193.328560035625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2776:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.830570178185773, b_new = -0.3082987361232028, c_new = 5.105449062614848
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3300.0589045975066
Acceptance probability: 6.674364341643891e-125
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2777:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.784294568428304, b_new = -0.9762728649392498, c_new = 4.53759780968503
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4950.759882781151
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2778:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.189912691584538, b_new = 0.6335082357233177, c_new = 5.1898674916909995
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9018.957263685732
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2779:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4841706075058356, b_new = -0.7365659240931758, c_new = 4.607454127104176
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9813.32737835524
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2780:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3581171914264605, b_new = -1.0264669413705068, c_new = 4.855784610222798
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7666.223041982976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2781:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.545669469021994, b_new = -0.08037984833060507, c_new = 4.770258086475644
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7285.142524841067
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2782:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8380497897167751, b_new = -0.11050409196789146, c_new = 5.149299121976374
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -13699.938233139559
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2783:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3348104580995432, b_new = -0.656680448529575, c_new = 4.583146481023011
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8094.888789517452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2784:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.717413802934136, b_new = -0.6038270654011364, c_new = 4.61788200388292
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12643.126477444823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2785:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.286022924593532, b_new = -0.6174291267269344, c_new = 5.283915193564963
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7439.6724517117655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2786:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.950755373709116, b_new = -1.337371885386498, c_new = 4.725373578344887
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3386.8772459977645
Acceptance probability: 1.3172958153444799e-162
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2787:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6930787169534227, b_new = -0.08586127617981265, c_new = 5.279708608386921
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4469.028991451866
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2788:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2465668218016424, b_new = -1.7394671512283129, c_new = 4.40405319461156
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3884.0336030068574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2789:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.090692190108559, b_new = -1.0563940482638192, c_new = 4.996016284211649
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3291.6690124799507
Acceptance probability: 2.9382839357622444e-121
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2790:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.42408258813343, b_new = -0.06868365280915967, c_new = 4.800584982687587
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -15945.482450601783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2791:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.504419583790752, b_new = -0.9850593734562145, c_new = 4.415280602623467
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10118.391016550075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2792:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.295933580943796, b_new = -0.7793038521706713, c_new = 5.105397668478465
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7119.977555622689
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2793:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3219369680769417, b_new = -0.31882810363927006, c_new = 4.978921925184637
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10820.253853535805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2794:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.84187188248237, b_new = -0.9694730033784109, c_new = 4.541571930604979
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4062.2769026842466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2795:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.068625410828181, b_new = -1.1018334657392135, c_new = 4.548126162839748
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3108.810225143846
Acceptance probability: 7.632311170954186e-42
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2796:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2914538210648483, b_new = -1.288244187828876, c_new = 4.9509126580994645
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5594.133775923721
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2797:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8097749230230455, b_new = -1.0884279327750332, c_new = 4.686900219527498
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4716.805641475456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2798:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5413534921757392, b_new = -0.5329822405123315, c_new = 4.786142279269837
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11378.55293325572
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2799:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.338627309755204, b_new = -0.7807773033332293, c_new = 4.205838479840549
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7684.789726181616
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2800:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9388430823366716, b_new = -0.7870138670521153, c_new = 5.198581430993829
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3054.549101380632
Acceptance probability: 2.8051927033104734e-18
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2801:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.366900650106701, b_new = -1.906229232633804, c_new = 5.152538081611785
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5640.800071450633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2802:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.889890865700628, b_new = -1.2070796596726399, c_new = 5.188840219922161
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3717.311852545884
Acceptance probability: 4.109197909323127e-306
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2803:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.106507153278498, b_new = -1.0798360213679457, c_new = 4.50139047677702
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3327.283794367193
Acceptance probability: 1.001821880895555e-136
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2804:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1825343839441023, b_new = -0.24694532545463455, c_new = 3.946785676922028
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5698.744639750022
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2805:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1769571415377875, b_new = -1.1573199275249706, c_new = 5.179246937881885
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4041.4680808023068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2806:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.361888969405392, b_new = -0.8367278133228784, c_new = 4.2294285733320525
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8021.668277503852
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2807:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.74739937781499, b_new = -1.7122020386111991, c_new = 4.578648137997115
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7633.340491179974
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2808:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.326248549598134, b_new = -1.6313266808377647, c_new = 4.46607605354063
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5303.207843713185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2809:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5706378869833424, b_new = -1.0165422994267763, c_new = 4.779308946203505
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9101.314047628337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2810:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8944056139408936, b_new = -0.29207705373197257, c_new = 4.788051026782012
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14054.477231064468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2811:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3855879288942408, b_new = -0.7157014675927758, c_new = 4.75221936727359
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8985.308658863716
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2812:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0289328707617766, b_new = -0.19199721140523907, c_new = 4.339301625113246
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3594.376146680407
Acceptance probability: 1.0093824390704941e-252
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2813:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4541790912439536, b_new = -2.0154065794032343, c_new = 4.309478624405443
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6845.7126690004925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2814:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3018846821282435, b_new = -1.2273767384675898, c_new = 5.597375513424424
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12217.331713279502
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2815:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.958499165589117, b_new = -1.5371419275501084, c_new = 4.781114368441999
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3529.7969971646526
Acceptance probability: 1.1231144772039878e-224
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2816:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.580952004944956, b_new = -0.3571533901291496, c_new = 3.603805872388272
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11672.246497577165
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2817:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.394519357799734, b_new = 0.09351259325779537, c_new = 4.430552562171119
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10804.26705226356
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2818:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8767745567901724, b_new = -1.0960412524844574, c_new = 4.940584759843157
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3753.866645378698
Acceptance probability: 5.5e-322
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2819:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.543736006051932, b_new = -1.2566376204862535, c_new = 4.614388318380703
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10087.871603886844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2820:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8395512834952985, b_new = -0.6138882511414767, c_new = 4.979867172328159
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -13480.995412063567
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2821:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.566229651080403, b_new = -0.9228478168834677, c_new = 4.487892459416479
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9059.89782739389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2822:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4501762153873194, b_new = -0.6271453222867082, c_new = 5.027686864609614
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9898.714191377192
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2823:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6185908350801554, b_new = -2.383863765938436, c_new = 5.868451781440131
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11000.272064756122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2824:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6490034103060625, b_new = -0.5529605267271608, c_new = 5.049188315265422
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6355.128700778186
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2825:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.35470634455759, b_new = -0.34990003187748175, c_new = 4.820306340067402
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9379.699883503634
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2826:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1972560878539387, b_new = -0.6595925905453188, c_new = 4.84012175032999
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5263.884317205691
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2827:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.877939381080143, b_new = -1.491970802196537, c_new = 4.9049552528054665
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12646.272904816002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2828:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.780557447693285, b_new = -0.6939492924902991, c_new = 5.439500625652614
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -13160.791763884117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2829:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.590093066099606, b_new = -0.6796589535669626, c_new = 5.631228935757727
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11849.437724980016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2830:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.296202334406912, b_new = -1.3220933065652218, c_new = 4.701206907862375
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12640.86239448663
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2831:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2763064260839894, b_new = -0.06275053412768639, c_new = 5.096084314276843
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8766.174638356737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2832:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8749698993700985, b_new = -0.31950825633150515, c_new = 4.975211790441969
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3097.5525620370017
Acceptance probability: 5.912852355567201e-37
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2833:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5319347375967394, b_new = -0.7139313496706587, c_new = 4.839707635093028
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10991.908051665265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2834:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.999624301244128, b_new = -1.6856310220731998, c_new = 4.72259375714547
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -13092.338983164185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2835:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0511362986621315, b_new = -1.0455714605744926, c_new = 4.94502900801804
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3091.065572468235
Acceptance probability: 3.8820471747462995e-34
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2836:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.539842025182651, b_new = -1.4359779648150277, c_new = 5.507744830410445
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10199.563933512345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2837:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.973478472605155, b_new = -0.6299269945704015, c_new = 4.761562319146325
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3025.871637900605
Acceptance probability: 7.987793793176416e-06
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2838:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4035542443197118, b_new = -0.5150120453359885, c_new = 4.078511536184568
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9514.708811043476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2839:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5403246716355325, b_new = -0.9569354026082045, c_new = 4.279187983811165
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9612.274252527239
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2840:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.795186745315672, b_new = 0.3117516132892535, c_new = 3.6842661544460595
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3203.091830700168
Acceptance probability: 8.643209308800363e-83
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2841:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4663031455797326, b_new = 0.08583762192586775, c_new = 5.4945314366088756
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11923.643901534946
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2842:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.002818283312068, b_new = -0.5174284426578408, c_new = 4.248322637067864
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3118.4799919487637
Acceptance probability: 4.820917546299796e-46
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2843:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.513752291951426, b_new = 0.1532125289680355, c_new = 5.09897820811842
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12328.951088753642
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2844:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5704490969360916, b_new = -0.5361761920469867, c_new = 4.176920326515327
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8159.347075017566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2845:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5242102626768084, b_new = -0.6299377914352791, c_new = 4.780883785168999
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11038.99121556791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2846:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8479338000387795, b_new = -0.2976956221621123, c_new = 4.456626987378918
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3239.285279695263
Acceptance probability: 1.652189472700201e-98
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2847:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1139292533680027, b_new = -1.0043714361761467, c_new = 5.20578160023346
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3559.0483954945857
Acceptance probability: 2.2217906909528153e-237
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2848:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3066774975343005, b_new = -1.6056659580697579, c_new = 5.549423423990738
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5314.458325976124
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2849:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6565681431846855, b_new = -1.3215594108208688, c_new = 5.624584462697686
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8005.602130335148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2850:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3834020330859484, b_new = 0.24181491862388316, c_new = 4.91897335603617
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9111.987621053422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2851:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9349458388459277, b_new = -1.460472839414129, c_new = 5.62347298037024
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3515.9769237379433
Acceptance probability: 1.1282508104448911e-218
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2852:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8479901837749306, b_new = -1.062369918867685, c_new = 4.953146781132064
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12993.17962899245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2853:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.860018628834096, b_new = -1.596766005423685, c_new = 4.766514752333947
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4935.880669486143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2854:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.972610343994231, b_new = -1.1579411879015922, c_new = 5.959469233234305
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3053.5772710096417
Acceptance probability: 7.413499592713705e-18
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2855:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.61322424370717, b_new = -0.7198095714133719, c_new = 5.766671913174845
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7245.01892943404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2856:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.04312389049279, b_new = -1.0813847998639603, c_new = 5.258244159305496
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3067.0443799491786
Acceptance probability: 1.0503454740633639e-23
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2857:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9700736595647097, b_new = -1.3671131537310997, c_new = 4.704058421810947
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -13277.00104042791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2858:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9511302708865155, b_new = -0.3365900900247123, c_new = 4.72447037506224
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14249.807005947514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2859:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9622708106261113, b_new = -1.4824429283687324, c_new = 5.254691415866106
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3367.3332428922163
Acceptance probability: 4.05075535912192e-154
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2860:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3457736663802997, b_new = -0.1369290853862527, c_new = 4.109441113564357
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9478.724051773923
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2861:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0781922348670228, b_new = -1.5766353137264133, c_new = 5.459788362680844
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3023.938645565512
Acceptance probability: 5.51969079181434e-05
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2862:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7503850004026478, b_new = -1.4667065465546014, c_new = 5.118955304879216
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6651.488265022115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2863:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3580671723588074, b_new = -1.1804690493084353, c_new = 4.322222396709233
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7047.230742897061
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2864:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1793577431502724, b_new = -0.839102512921284, c_new = 4.836985171743048
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12759.050740043382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2865:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2569817936388312, b_new = -0.33868425379492906, c_new = 5.246217427169296
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7594.987553636429
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2866:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.401808295104094, b_new = -1.2906182687734051, c_new = 4.366982976337068
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7671.608435813048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2867:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.365154310278864, b_new = -1.598420993268018, c_new = 5.777470309448761
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6601.474572341924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2868:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.904405041353593, b_new = -1.7246426141446836, c_new = 5.7493910561980455
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4224.317239605152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2869:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.14971345511686, b_new = -1.2731028213175224, c_new = 3.912715092832685
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3415.271974548705
Acceptance probability: 6.137752719333757e-175
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2870:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.787095712654921, b_new = -1.5820779727515757, c_new = 5.161888384855428
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6173.113638386034
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2871:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.002442130245886, b_new = -0.33307860647005416, c_new = 5.37892672153469
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3382.1114762183543
Acceptance probability: 1.54678812561522e-160
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2872:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1804587153514134, b_new = -1.2340518628990287, c_new = 5.096326173836607
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3948.7450734162376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2873:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0731567172527208, b_new = -0.6330371655182208, c_new = 4.437086324755642
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3496.3509043584127
Acceptance probability: 3.765976211715431e-210
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2874:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0148058869456125, b_new = -1.2266246097778506, c_new = 4.394613078544328
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3042.5826098740013
Acceptance probability: 4.415134412975907e-13
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2875:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.375723090093759, b_new = -1.2605055132302572, c_new = 4.693654090731449
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11928.540718443975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2876:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.266549251841662, b_new = -1.5687923129127506, c_new = 4.772763619334429
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4500.241112071439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2877:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.579101771310155, b_new = -0.6597768237774719, c_new = 5.573377299759782
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11765.654503156838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2878:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.909963434545326, b_new = -0.14021829930897134, c_new = 4.094907770294817
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14112.363371442774
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2879:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.866410198568929, b_new = -1.1634214947160082, c_new = 4.611879737824914
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4045.6785152142893
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2880:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6514377271743124, b_new = -2.2602332870681767, c_new = 4.865957195402661
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10681.658749853601
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2881:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1122274932812894, b_new = -0.8651906936388399, c_new = 4.548046172292713
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3604.9647762366767
Acceptance probability: 2.543737881274692e-257
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2882:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.594483206045086, b_new = -0.7661614022275368, c_new = 4.374001680355231
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11378.820698516582
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2883:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304235613854183, b_new = -0.22187192768329234, c_new = 4.6393417652255
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8697.478556248234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2884:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0133349116043, b_new = -1.0648451044413658, c_new = 5.08607893776871
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Acceptance probability: 3.2870532185127432
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.466640594843418, b_new = -0.542769208967495, c_new = 5.706877823354303
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10868.533128035888
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.029509445757425, b_new = -0.7260322105167725, c_new = 4.623548276347352
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3145.893937488225
Acceptance probability: 1.822206926676254e-58
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.169947428370168, b_new = -0.7727512844972126, c_new = 5.406498135183573
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4705.190405026982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6652936825381377, b_new = -0.9599888067523499, c_new = 5.08574440924312
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7071.117669310198
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.215578506434402, b_new = -1.2464046754485245, c_new = 5.238665303013989
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4440.1101205296545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4332955608052806, b_new = -0.8156889714231929, c_new = 5.7738804180902665
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10230.760027526385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.967601178028733, b_new = -0.8102426812758847, c_new = 4.6436426850077455
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3020.770622890438
Acceptance probability: 0.00039899070690683374
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.077055143158918, b_new = -1.277677485671772, c_new = 5.856906332585848
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3141.0323095721733
Acceptance probability: 2.354918438712096e-56
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.210273271341834, b_new = -1.020038319124028, c_new = 4.640729735795244
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4644.490083739035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3913461981571853, b_new = 0.1444852531444527, c_new = 5.37446148293287
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11197.424731458363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8580868179810497, b_new = -1.411798876182611, c_new = 5.477287413935779
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4388.005118295988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.671416154751726, b_new = -1.2150264754503501, c_new = 5.430467170785098
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11669.288234325792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2478914859025645, b_new = -0.8007505308449885, c_new = 5.227052779360448
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6056.289373521679
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8954791537956477, b_new = -0.2733667597091779, c_new = 5.024546205421927
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3043.423988682787
Acceptance probability: 5.79069939130748e-14
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9395799421306124, b_new = -2.257167707542539, c_new = 4.870545708981795
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5008.430935160677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.285252478888726, b_new = -0.14842627205510328, c_new = 4.57680752423976
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8486.836591539413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.556130069894013, b_new = -0.21998118592900617, c_new = 5.829835827700466
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7083.694091426726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8065455398593304, b_new = -1.834568296305628, c_new = 4.694985591988803
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6640.545083411651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3871789479371035, b_new = -0.9619543845662394, c_new = 5.315954413947639
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8601.533314615517
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7391429684547597, b_new = -1.6529726659757746, c_new = 5.318759057830056
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7335.10963809484
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.955439393080074, b_new = -0.46375363421163596, c_new = 3.77315159023678
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13922.752792132453
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8765742949178787, b_new = -1.450506700563275, c_new = 5.114457560209295
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4281.711865236844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.714817164942898, b_new = -0.5699444763024509, c_new = 5.628961888878434
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12949.632174384315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.970339994649901, b_new = -0.7175129466501287, c_new = 4.105465407453352
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3017.6296572489055
Acceptance probability: 0.00922713397343582
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2954396324526565, b_new = -1.1579301383310643, c_new = 5.490221063833972
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6202.077212546385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5020353470832135, b_new = -0.7799784085664506, c_new = 4.993075574413127
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9530.869285570183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6533161634072004, b_new = -1.0479135756810458, c_new = 5.218182305912509
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11706.099866702658
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.91679444174612, b_new = -1.8341854943482856, c_new = 4.59886545616284
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4557.788997123395
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6869880430282587, b_new = -1.9847766029774394, c_new = 5.330444836964715
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10587.809107456462
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9077628758191794, b_new = -1.3526953555853898, c_new = 4.830623436618255
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3791.8624950648327
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8847742160680143, b_new = -0.82717719073116, c_new = 4.573912126468951
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3418.013678803787
Acceptance probability: 1.2036372586444831e-176
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.507851657679583, b_new = -1.2948713320301566, c_new = 5.066344172309503
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10473.855598598697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5715565603776245, b_new = -1.186241779367386, c_new = 4.589642390860534
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10517.592309108251
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8983903086433438, b_new = -2.523928787622964, c_new = 5.021092359827187
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -15583.30177347242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.511693610127103, b_new = -2.33721145624576, c_new = 4.795341791902105
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7323.739632329514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0180260322111563, b_new = -0.8333825502994103, c_new = 5.5511915171332795
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13492.973003724528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8178099997902892, b_new = -0.6134122986159414, c_new = 5.635087704327935
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3638.9423438997464
Acceptance probability: 1.356424037651154e-272
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.096610920643124, b_new = -0.6892142291278971, c_new = 5.797447791328896
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3917.3762631724403
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4459769832356515, b_new = -1.453761360350076, c_new = 6.100240977105354
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8730.69416244887
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.110751927015514, b_new = -1.0483608566136506, c_new = 5.708880409618976
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3559.2091184614073
Acceptance probability: 5.755662364568997e-238
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.354468052171859, b_new = 0.33412102810734856, c_new = 4.720779381696241
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9365.168606921607
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083783510320915, b_new = -1.171682880982768, c_new = 4.7941955477715155
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3152.899887538867
Acceptance probability: 1.651780161187457e-61
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2599433502029846, b_new = -0.510312151627928, c_new = 4.21854824933163
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6744.912698431993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1812378362890743, b_new = -1.0882906059171713, c_new = 4.359376689335195
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4037.6086913394565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1857186068704606, b_new = -1.620760242806328, c_new = 4.807818187874471
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3471.6001221419874
Acceptance probability: 6.429822384661773e-200
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4657132942228412, b_new = -1.7858133448706277, c_new = 4.5532053504690095
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12010.230614142452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8027559357800875, b_new = -0.5279957745812923, c_new = 5.3504058370813015
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13472.002533198258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.739039587354437, b_new = -1.7825421847099752, c_new = 5.5531838102807285
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7608.491823649352
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.303547929402044, b_new = -1.4957361794961326, c_new = 5.95631119627857
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5651.0127426666095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.291803185282223, b_new = -1.1349866799946384, c_new = 5.238288871023801
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14939.963097813456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.761977791237604, b_new = -1.4502377041909948, c_new = 5.381654310584061
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6262.820556985485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9564449925080973, b_new = -0.18047032003167718, c_new = 4.945585920093614
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3175.494031170183
Acceptance probability: 2.5435503751411563e-71
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.102283836789839, b_new = -1.198960196847501, c_new = 4.756884462441759
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14077.44450370374
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6812081533544094, b_new = -0.6236526781197544, c_new = 4.296233686323773
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6146.644507794683
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.589767852390687, b_new = -0.43806911018210526, c_new = 4.501409899177834
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11881.667394507767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9006260411594647, b_new = -1.389930842888356, c_new = 5.0616017299078875
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12945.921839842096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6775682137588492, b_new = -0.5658428162697637, c_new = 4.982502586524369
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5843.070861194956
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7342766624151804, b_new = -1.5662111895787154, c_new = 5.01110951285889
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7318.611419028617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9503818203512853, b_new = -1.0797598053025825, c_new = 5.310554069267674
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13630.524896028432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5956159801047898, b_new = -1.0065386464138808, c_new = 4.784022075093009
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8651.472514829744
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0336849899311678, b_new = -0.9478959499877828, c_new = 5.480993108589799
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3107.9045629036755
Acceptance probability: 5.743457955455011e-42
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.940875563313575, b_new = -2.1383921966097015, c_new = 4.608270343813014
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4806.848428627614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5432543435551116, b_new = -2.7452788505217827, c_new = 4.48018091693154
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12916.60699139789
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7621564934368834, b_new = -1.295953810855686, c_new = 5.603590567045542
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5779.698481077849
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.053125068018172, b_new = -1.372261071887995, c_new = 5.0599693626967595
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3017.440964526516
Acceptance probability: 0.011143331091678324
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5894827706979067, b_new = -0.21384097986064954, c_new = 5.457082549498876
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6551.311747899597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.56748433473431, b_new = -1.127718426398356, c_new = 5.961334200605897
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8989.555202722006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8979118598217353, b_new = -1.638038338125062, c_new = 5.387900369997852
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4249.517579580901
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.806036176218415, b_new = -1.4284462244221425, c_new = 5.167489206171746
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12323.058359301685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.007832569885583, b_new = -0.9667621166477359, c_new = 5.493340414176002
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3030.654548167179
Acceptance probability: 2.0343635841173193e-08
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.536658221961664, b_new = -0.6981248023122059, c_new = 5.024878068408035
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8825.704752328878
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8488025001387873, b_new = -1.2153574497565265, c_new = 5.567976379217404
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4149.369631220819
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.560727095608635, b_new = -1.022281640713456, c_new = 4.891466534943213
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9231.60693117593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2653060719183675, b_new = -1.0042070595971009, c_new = 4.968654272972201
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5789.621973821559
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.464956385677696, b_new = -1.370384990684499, c_new = 5.000297845364489
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8860.587218304749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9622748713891887, b_new = -0.6887040530508328, c_new = 4.775416736501845
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3014.757440107346
Acceptance probability: 0.16310034579538155
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.167846097975586, b_new = -0.8828572045846451, c_new = 5.09690061411049
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14695.623985573442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6036777882030195, b_new = -1.0559598842121785, c_new = 5.351436196741966
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8419.784524366145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5380099793785913, b_new = -1.5335851732043184, c_new = 4.747416691553377
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10685.23652934073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.240667482264859, b_new = -1.1077407366589371, c_new = 5.214705390623348
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5139.780152675915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.064511381425543, b_new = -0.7050084044677196, c_new = 5.329197544389299
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14515.928103482434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.723625534154541, b_new = -0.5810615815621925, c_new = 5.617710444542369
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4849.899363773589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4801808746425857, b_new = -1.2844160036016095, c_new = 5.534621069641116
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9476.250933908506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2384191277011256, b_new = -0.5121067558023085, c_new = 5.342959494213838
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6706.31392133743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3225415086534795, b_new = -1.8263522669932986, c_new = 4.1996462413064926
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13283.47905367638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3364519930836796, b_new = -1.2526025815277504, c_new = 4.35921363635638
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6415.136212078773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.18422138976623, b_new = -0.8968687844357941, c_new = 4.942478398045848
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4554.353295056288
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.12488073179411, b_new = -0.9412054859025525, c_new = 4.657972842619575
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3654.265826631835
Acceptance probability: 3.0025585393041477e-279
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7284592818855353, b_new = -1.6310133914548457, c_new = 4.358321991645013
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11247.844703694393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.605680957659191, b_new = -1.3712805346970527, c_new = 5.542382500126317
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9085.132930137836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.146920075802798, b_new = -1.0147160804291768, c_new = 5.612197591590292
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3981.2468292903413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5723767748785415, b_new = -2.066566852710439, c_new = 4.777199969517998
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8934.47642480211
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3613603051835885, b_new = -0.7947918375400018, c_new = 4.868665206097568
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8369.031777202741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.584579550259484, b_new = -0.32660413957410606, c_new = 4.748663351798612
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12079.088028967908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3041863278637718, b_new = -0.9621066992340677, c_new = 4.698517712986761
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6631.899877450463
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2691176157990944, b_new = -1.592260162938087, c_new = 4.860973997980841
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4516.3719819863945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4634868159279395, b_new = -0.809672941768038, c_new = 4.438193682284315
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9873.981423730009
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0587301498166886, b_new = -1.026297427407095, c_new = 4.726928132668124
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3116.2602597214286
Acceptance probability: 1.3500206942886357e-45
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0686833686593347, b_new = -1.620850737702955, c_new = 6.268254849463695
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3019.3766733190846
Acceptance probability: 0.0016082271416559453
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1021414563207377, b_new = -0.48124078703265905, c_new = 4.817889557225894
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4099.027186370153
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.841934953927201, b_new = -0.6330522494092921, c_new = 5.662172614301527
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3439.681810419095
Acceptance probability: 4.678920102290194e-186
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9718112081278465, b_new = -1.0832184317175908, c_new = 5.018073346998532
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14078.314221200528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6089049678198037, b_new = -0.7413954575840961, c_new = 5.23348284488286
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11797.09036949247
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3670075437795424, b_new = -0.7042206825136204, c_new = 4.968653795954594
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8757.46657589213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.687405267886145, b_new = -0.8733599448311071, c_new = 5.9833139105516135
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12449.394706474037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.170930464964308, b_new = -0.12363286915130389, c_new = 5.313069216085028
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11762.726111779542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5180560757660997, b_new = -0.7580993102163232, c_new = 5.614559865531662
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11013.230296495894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0016942636361468, b_new = -0.665950008704334, c_new = 4.770578070627732
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3078.1304093941994
Acceptance probability: 4.896931383911667e-29
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.572350597869778, b_new = -0.6978296569731303, c_new = 5.921726410849655
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11752.239452338494
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2011873909695834, b_new = -1.3795890266092028, c_new = 4.581699114358171
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13362.59114279879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.614666114347762, b_new = -1.5263566441136307, c_new = 4.559848253688414
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10388.1836122779
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.747508921776113, b_new = -0.8337941256360781, c_new = 4.806618049356891
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5205.434135955265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.767204201351467, b_new = -0.8679360678649033, c_new = 4.412234323908388
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12582.55713618384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.744939361775793, b_new = -0.4107765594741506, c_new = 5.447442190003124
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4248.937249479393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.522717398510213, b_new = -0.6114382273972927, c_new = 4.937115192917756
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11104.58905466897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3000:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9403995482351934, b_new = -0.8880485719158034, c_new = 4.005791214386922
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3171.63183431998
Acceptance probability: 1.209960306761461e-69
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3001:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.713804233958543, b_new = -0.8134413561726124, c_new = 5.337208030909517
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5626.655446604756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3002:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.194470386759576, b_new = -1.1980226865961576, c_new = 5.246485461789813
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4222.899689706162
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3003:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9382760289184966, b_new = -0.3659468885978079, c_new = 4.483968392708903
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3024.9195591603784
Acceptance probability: 6.296549945636625e-06
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3004:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.511843450201405, b_new = -1.2180665974835636, c_new = 4.606421179695163
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9751.926971500568
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3005:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.539842598538567, b_new = -1.4479825618081115, c_new = 5.6621213142358195
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10171.50237892757
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3006:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2472529449794534, b_new = -1.1702596751227206, c_new = 4.998293041262565
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5052.951862919994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3007:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8425954179901107, b_new = -1.1268860953471374, c_new = 5.341209718490506
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12982.407721978532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3008:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.355023231400801, b_new = -0.7891331529538073, c_new = 4.835864127515979
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8244.660758381871
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3009:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.436976395071871, b_new = -1.5691247975023304, c_new = 5.48320146589707
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8044.14356850605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3010:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.871435762713397, b_new = -1.2146235385091368, c_new = 4.787265286845582
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4024.982164660234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3011:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7016464082679756, b_new = -1.4280574364479803, c_new = 5.41742855553736
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7460.864680360624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3012:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4956971060300983, b_new = -1.7195490338144308, c_new = 5.4253370022526655
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11303.220008969336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3013:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7286303510512893, b_new = -1.2750351275689258, c_new = 4.742520177752548
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6731.826401026006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3014:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0056221280629867, b_new = -1.0741888793564727, c_new = 4.76715622882145
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13981.561134266381
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3015:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.048170218465689, b_new = -0.6315767397163723, c_new = 5.485951451556036
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13134.563353508398
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3016:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.549782285614128, b_new = -1.4085266119827948, c_new = 5.2432716843380796
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10065.217893555358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3017:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.580685850692353, b_new = -1.5197317615142185, c_new = 4.164316758558543
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -15899.812114787497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3018:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7088985343257717, b_new = -0.7721062982148945, c_new = 5.184732361477387
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12516.39377640899
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3019:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2070559507270353, b_new = -0.6065725143874856, c_new = 5.425117926802202
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5790.67858130711
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3020:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8560466567765803, b_new = -1.3924381182974463, c_new = 4.243787674580151
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12467.212266820476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3021:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0906083777165607, b_new = -1.132602612712321, c_new = 4.884071536051248
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3221.01447213763
Acceptance probability: 4.3267720670751e-91
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3022:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3341125866851815, b_new = -0.6870241005412271, c_new = 4.798147730845993
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11360.331302512937
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3023:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.075592928603822, b_new = -1.02216341475736, c_new = 5.8677183546446425
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14389.92772472414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3024:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7046453397319128, b_new = -1.7406545597342848, c_new = 5.457589475159393
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -15453.586435031784
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3025:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4367558997654477, b_new = -1.2396688056161835, c_new = 6.022719239539515
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10887.852734499513
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3026:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2420862305023235, b_new = -0.4009293514404513, c_new = 5.294369977939303
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7094.371975179765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3027:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.956528347551241, b_new = -0.5534738284242148, c_new = 4.681587313726995
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14048.580974208779
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3028:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2181585620850415, b_new = -0.3454389692753185, c_new = 5.442302331968289
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6777.3157361486155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3029:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9919331162860563, b_new = -1.43639942990831, c_new = 5.383336881926269
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3139.613086289418
Acceptance probability: 9.735016915128322e-56
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3030:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.856892029261044, b_new = -0.630671877091137, c_new = 5.760680739071807
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13756.585860744317
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3031:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.076724901711454, b_new = -1.2842411933480256, c_new = 5.148424222094276
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3089.2194971942145
Acceptance probability: 7.4815981509948925e-34
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3032:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1515739237529488, b_new = -0.9167662129209248, c_new = 5.514221205065216
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4181.883451210271
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3033:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.522523071122487, b_new = -0.1032214371202318, c_new = 5.482203838518016
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7530.976343413666
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3034:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.722053262178057, b_new = -1.2837786892396443, c_new = 4.87968846710446
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6842.44148732915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3035:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0387071886015695, b_new = -1.2591988804740313, c_new = 4.380686663866647
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3022.54706008357
Acceptance probability: 6.752520479334018e-05
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3036:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.451199020054688, b_new = -0.6567436636476804, c_new = 5.907837830189183
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10528.1860271918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3037:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.035456084522997, b_new = -1.2839216163176725, c_new = 3.6813182403322067
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3060.7664924252495
Acceptance probability: 1.7020697078695822e-21
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3038:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.573263247178246, b_new = -0.4533689378803736, c_new = 4.338883868989061
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7841.299699882211
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3039:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.225413565752748, b_new = -1.0573449168433107, c_new = 4.2893040980883645
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4723.8071243612685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3040:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.259844029624902, b_new = -1.1444387045786752, c_new = 3.9842127742288684
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5045.874122378123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3041:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4247112835296036, b_new = -0.9314462884653978, c_new = 5.1313893329259175
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10744.003367591424
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3042:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083179227454018, b_new = -1.098900460297086, c_new = 5.52293201933602
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3266.013966798362
Acceptance probability: 1.2391725879530995e-110
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3043:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2338392756257357, b_new = -1.372714038713181, c_new = 4.017836452219057
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4207.976628873564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3044:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.305774572431089, b_new = -0.9502817450641279, c_new = 5.563089257769746
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -15191.384221106095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3045:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3771345928352288, b_new = -1.7015456911722628, c_new = 3.5598615259713497
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12931.282609501573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3046:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9337279370649156, b_new = -1.0241591064792286, c_new = 4.5157541627912146
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3252.8381282158916
Acceptance probability: 6.5362068615136964e-105
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3047:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0151409242592018, b_new = -0.27830459322774526, c_new = 5.377211305771063
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3545.455680344692
Acceptance probability: 5.409256691101087e-232
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3048:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8352464262510475, b_new = -0.905945996862491, c_new = 5.87194541028374
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3788.7691192969664
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3049:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.095264187181624, b_new = -1.2441612389955918, c_new = 5.277833418793394
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14122.41409653998
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3050:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.486695349837667, b_new = -1.1056861522540709, c_new = 5.4703310844903665
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9925.262168196827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3051:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0415068744347606, b_new = -1.0940247235237786, c_new = 4.866557204212719
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3042.4758629943635
Acceptance probability: 1.4945029440921448e-13
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3052:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8750709252743816, b_new = -1.3589214895806934, c_new = 5.272152574999384
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4105.428375709886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3053:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.001942287056696, b_new = -1.1821561238038671, c_new = 5.252050064094706
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13760.449342386994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3054:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6344286848406044, b_new = -1.38047068532683, c_new = 4.82984121858457
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8881.325314110733
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3055:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.64973644035325, b_new = -1.667195212461649, c_new = 4.834630328501508
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9334.037768179045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3056:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.906248308609516, b_new = -0.7952484296827269, c_new = 4.966640985295847
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3202.2434680963424
Acceptance probability: 6.141967191223843e-83
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3057:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.607184897223664, b_new = -0.8663421018503983, c_new = 5.544678252241019
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11680.881283454519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3058:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3960202384960816, b_new = -1.1528697694733763, c_new = 5.743874553478647
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11245.80049235806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3059:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.1097152223445335, b_new = -2.3967790768559234, c_new = 5.735367740654084
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13144.939617404209
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3060:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7619304021888, b_new = -1.2082979591416456, c_new = 4.997672278682354
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5770.238916647108
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3061:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7899159747509663, b_new = -1.3571889353221969, c_new = 5.885456732829212
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5300.501394751665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3062:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4999388179782263, b_new = -0.9010549169579153, c_new = 5.254541642649673
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9722.359488681881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3063:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.325010967847853, b_new = -0.939166371762338, c_new = 5.336178032509627
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7391.913386897376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3064:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0057738773846356, b_new = -0.9027721083693817, c_new = 4.40081906815545
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3015.8367208146437
Acceptance probability: 0.05542800228551955
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3065:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.120154242950737, b_new = -1.1098069925188705, c_new = 4.542471406733485
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13513.940508709838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3066:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9568054333279203, b_new = -1.3875701786138468, c_new = 4.527552373035884
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3420.0455148435285
Acceptance probability: 1.5779035116048753e-177
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3067:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.048734055986381, b_new = -0.9325773361074852, c_new = 4.701634279332137
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14089.129469124302
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3068:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.013188048173146, b_new = -0.6363964936770847, c_new = 5.214448191609052
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3176.4230433423763
Acceptance probability: 1.004559079456232e-71
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3069:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.453906035397443, b_new = -1.7179004789934034, c_new = 5.43704302531359
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7972.1445592008895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3070:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.941731213132654, b_new = -0.8313462215269282, c_new = 5.347929045061546
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3055.3764445919674
Acceptance probability: 3.731172894115587e-19
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3071:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.647219983004423, b_new = -1.1942293173502219, c_new = 4.72660591411336
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8197.942658133412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3072:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831334050710489, b_new = -2.053940829956173, c_new = 4.826231155740839
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6672.132614606942
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3073:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.143088785795228, b_new = -0.6803889415060007, c_new = 4.827089304367437
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12794.585544874897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3074:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6727997489224404, b_new = -1.4250034881283058, c_new = 5.0870425897674325
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11265.633474110418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3075:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4976476327903554, b_new = -0.7882414952404269, c_new = 5.391629848519393
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9477.19494755822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3076:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.490807827049096, b_new = -1.3661636811746611, c_new = 5.840403896529169
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9560.864189607972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3077:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4766496579464845, b_new = -1.0822317988517736, c_new = 4.770990573334799
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9599.798680989994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3078:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.059657765350626, b_new = -1.1058754542525138, c_new = 5.1822847658361715
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14079.752875125916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3079:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2047192640648334, b_new = -0.21551109664193446, c_new = 5.81547460767306
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11498.672063251925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3080:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5682108988423407, b_new = -0.9126086071208885, c_new = 4.536365614386289
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8985.174789052018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3081:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3586282225234276, b_new = -1.6543056927723092, c_new = 5.034850928267607
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12553.03699459824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3082:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.285010362109388, b_new = -0.8543270736739224, c_new = 5.633814589684821
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -15217.026575111493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3083:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1497969709967437, b_new = -1.0306896451513874, c_new = 4.677610688210364
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3805.328529146708
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3084:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.785070182699811, b_new = -0.5933368605355667, c_new = 4.958961740000681
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4105.758101913566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3085:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9990453585638095, b_new = -1.5005608043982495, c_new = 5.780892469887505
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3114.1808365220068
Acceptance probability: 1.079996745670302e-44
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3086:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3284766203172675, b_new = -1.2485696172890328, c_new = 5.103389679540243
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6520.682482332842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3087:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.224693300245794, b_new = -0.24690277278399708, c_new = 5.015569938086846
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7038.458994265175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3088:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5080529512416496, b_new = -0.7504455526681701, c_new = 4.590933230589969
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10591.086620739987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3089:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.891646828191909, b_new = -1.0747811965833451, c_new = 5.211556093252861
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3532.528248870057
Acceptance probability: 2.2256134928356353e-226
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3090:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.853829398958873, b_new = -0.763927732623709, c_new = 4.4401339956913075
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13251.200334473873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3091:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.848771930902135, b_new = -1.0500075885084892, c_new = 5.207789691841267
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3960.4030543773747
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3092:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.59754123376835, b_new = -0.4764064629134164, c_new = 5.966564247568709
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6875.360549854109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3093:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9110448176440573, b_new = -1.1614006827776313, c_new = 5.240517167950328
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3452.9236036432685
Acceptance probability: 8.30439314804325e-192
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3094:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.156479676773111, b_new = -1.3274919680630237, c_new = 5.36627615476549
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13351.776019027508
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3095:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.339353752131371, b_new = -3.157641491307905, c_new = 5.963793513482935
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3432.6021727076436
Acceptance probability: 5.556396398663602e-183
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3096:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2978601378103582, b_new = -0.7244624605484092, c_new = 4.915205851943825
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11709.965567516558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3097:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.266201190167225, b_new = -1.048678535395726, c_new = 5.753961142543344
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5971.346076001882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3098:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.68520266099631, b_new = -1.6963999068506626, c_new = 5.019279763485646
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10941.431975381676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3099:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0839214846939917, b_new = -1.3016132766823552, c_new = 4.284723091709732
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3073.216407084865
Acceptance probability: 6.668806338095139e-27
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3100:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.101347340908737, b_new = -1.376124984497475, c_new = 5.498896584018881
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3169.5942608601817
Acceptance probability: 9.282779476801159e-69
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3101:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.675410523970222, b_new = -1.1281697895842886, c_new = 4.2887366332878205
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7626.398386960339
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3102:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1613748116644973, b_new = -1.055974204085669, c_new = 4.656138073156951
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3899.237064115725
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3103:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.091396818302064, b_new = -0.43422853136823336, c_new = 4.578406715676854
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3984.534546747152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3104:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6519048157755156, b_new = -0.00652609061700371, c_new = 4.816409028888328
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13042.496891109604
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3105:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2532048816381915, b_new = -1.5961536391079005, c_new = 5.195952232843282
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4348.275776513509
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3106:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2015854141839513, b_new = -1.204695524373622, c_new = 5.5994842674352245
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12874.085608397781
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3107:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5025285647265325, b_new = -0.9121664490575807, c_new = 5.727806590869513
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10594.206305515216
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3108:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4247714844643764, b_new = -0.7307844191727708, c_new = 5.463941898778599
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9847.399179425485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3109:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083979658930565, b_new = -1.2553536733944908, c_new = 4.827607626200101
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3112.193417144398
Acceptance probability: 7.880390082279829e-44
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3110:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0971283898305297, b_new = -1.6574232097084836, c_new = 4.75329617888979
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14160.100077338036
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3111:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5520685612239853, b_new = -0.5164076496944198, c_new = 4.390770594795509
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8361.349127858515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3112:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.578056065142397, b_new = -0.6745390072408219, c_new = 5.395918326651338
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7925.966605779207
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3113:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7280231559594488, b_new = -1.2870973238743713, c_new = 5.573714746518489
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12059.88095645494
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3114:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8863127366232142, b_new = -0.7535909783531876, c_new = 5.275169350802058
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14066.37192142747
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3115:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1365247340282014, b_new = -1.4794411327186408, c_new = 5.253738956222077
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3278.166484176716
Acceptance probability: 6.536730184975938e-116
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3116:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.06923331750985, b_new = -0.9798577874719907, c_new = 4.225932066699365
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3155.377753549119
Acceptance probability: 1.3862089883470241e-62
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3117:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9487813429472456, b_new = -1.2248300003222936, c_new = 5.487234430808881
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13509.440655114475
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3118:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.075990059503938, b_new = -0.3103692485157312, c_new = 5.147263853851343
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12682.130886702145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3119:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5095870506835047, b_new = -0.0305864651718204, c_new = 4.455023324440964
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11800.90847394948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3120:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.692816331946948, b_new = -0.9878340451223266, c_new = 4.610680679822021
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11945.076442826932
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3121:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.712841180226378, b_new = -1.1735985653287375, c_new = 4.416661289545986
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11788.529261628015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3122:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6453202534411524, b_new = -1.0873891115141345, c_new = 4.90480148870511
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11487.642522728122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3123:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.138821754848654, b_new = -1.1972908297722817, c_new = 5.377536312799101
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13297.898873086617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3124:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4878187990758005, b_new = -1.4823548773499484, c_new = 4.909037310748739
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11125.326646127274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3125:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5197658818643824, b_new = -1.370494245929966, c_new = 5.4385783384306
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9819.436996000586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3126:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.315700861623958, b_new = -1.835823497553457, c_new = 5.603755587390741
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12938.728770281878
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3127:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.491136826055917, b_new = -0.638839771006309, c_new = 4.784375007095572
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9458.095473504049
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3128:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1270582029930423, b_new = -0.9546727643381141, c_new = 5.344605355233114
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3782.081903995596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3129:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.812484449804079, b_new = -0.9396316958954819, c_new = 5.722152831116777
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4146.354344495538
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3130:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.341989186130888, b_new = -1.4264725737506625, c_new = 4.65084171648951
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6175.964077704455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3131:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.764736565977003, b_new = -1.1399867897161255, c_new = 5.773725483449333
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12577.263835113452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3132:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9383652537442546, b_new = -0.9002571732745368, c_new = 4.848396691344355
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3118.436050395717
Acceptance probability: 1.5325213805365009e-46
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3133:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.886992124615189, b_new = -1.384633111821851, c_new = 6.036692224034632
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3839.785476100482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3134:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0906671845542233, b_new = -1.259879505523231, c_new = 4.967350000734302
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3147.0668109899334
Acceptance probability: 5.6393000592990165e-59
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3135:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.185802394554896, b_new = -0.3028294731343595, c_new = 5.782846117924539
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6312.837101487097
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3136:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.349879483235788, b_new = -2.3615560756010234, c_new = 4.705879304834354
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4323.184386451867
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3137:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0183092346424214, b_new = -0.8931225747698723, c_new = 5.404541669152979
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13587.681256736596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3138:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1874040571385787, b_new = -1.5772533055393383, c_new = 5.682135035622162
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3657.592073529019
Acceptance probability: 1.0787500043475464e-280
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3139:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7457328860938026, b_new = -0.6267758249589881, c_new = 4.7483711530999395
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4804.33397291648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3140:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.686676137828263, b_new = -1.3610240976572785, c_new = 5.245916500185531
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11528.155925436866
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3141:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.806968889324726, b_new = -2.06220992356045, c_new = 5.269972758808192
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7049.875838621904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3142:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8119130248161404, b_new = -0.6442280132270087, c_new = 5.122707999897501
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3821.522433155517
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3143:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1234019319682504, b_new = -1.295347702702036, c_new = 5.378086890892715
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3357.087351471104
Acceptance probability: 3.471070112323843e-150
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3144:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8549339116106918, b_new = -1.0219649385323353, c_new = 4.877375676204256
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3909.943194838823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3145:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8989908644533893, b_new = -1.1442950608647202, c_new = 5.224408977223264
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3542.7721099761557
Acceptance probability: 7.91766994439244e-231
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3146:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9529168103626593, b_new = -1.183481620060568, c_new = 5.252581487854717
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3184.0656704047888
Acceptance probability: 4.817533272614041e-75
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3147:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.04497061075798, b_new = -1.1301949584322954, c_new = 5.154815101984309
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3050.509146928336
Acceptance probability: 4.849376357964243e-17
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3148:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.221795611454628, b_new = -1.3269859066107488, c_new = 5.0871087582656624
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4347.577754791379
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3149:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5292306071092154, b_new = -1.4715984575929169, c_new = 4.259281683141407
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9372.460104041545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3150:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.724221819086089, b_new = -1.2047185704689891, c_new = 5.01648917155984
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6528.992563026141
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3151:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.35872057019694, b_new = -1.4951241700730185, c_new = 4.9512276679025105
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6447.453385898104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3152:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2414683093186953, b_new = -0.08180244635197931, c_new = 5.721965087924453
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11012.839160308597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3153:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3115708930639656, b_new = 0.0044500400505549376, c_new = 5.128904981210996
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9643.026500049791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3154:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5829361830371447, b_new = -0.9315089709061832, c_new = 5.167987422348208
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8548.469128997755
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3155:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0469789635813322, b_new = -0.7756879722374506, c_new = 5.653548159469463
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3318.962136237279
Acceptance probability: 1.2532392370094082e-133
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3156:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5018762213967967, b_new = -1.2649739640121074, c_new = 5.163766217610458
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9702.267665587677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3157:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.602039486582498, b_new = -1.7368365927736495, c_new = 5.218860163134867
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10091.858173443054
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3158:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.791373893015372, b_new = -1.314684680775089, c_new = 4.5534949326666805
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12212.059561918442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3159:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6070590163376695, b_new = -1.5609520254915519, c_new = 5.402121889253849
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10491.338306931933
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3160:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.293625910505606, b_new = -0.9532026245840235, c_new = 5.984370690183037
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6925.069276950438
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3161:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.785032728073236, b_new = -0.8076527689095614, c_new = 4.633720159094581
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12831.573926580219
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3162:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6745031272157878, b_new = -0.8179258965907679, c_new = 5.799104873644926
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6263.142884625509
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3163:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.034771884248078, b_new = -1.9329928452195146, c_new = 5.5311246425895275
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13200.828844645657
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3164:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5940538781206226, b_new = -0.934999400993832, c_new = 5.198389925632577
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11347.526836994646
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3165:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8066787302258014, b_new = -1.6210812189739952, c_new = 5.31041909768486
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5817.537637148304
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3166:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9191081043191205, b_new = -1.1407406788844303, c_new = 4.772576401096783
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3431.347789616436
Acceptance probability: 1.947892008585465e-182
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3167:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0313503472798273, b_new = -0.6420736270249365, c_new = 5.107809176681868
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3262.6807379323996
Acceptance probability: 3.4732392573817976e-109
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3168:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.013943852154545, b_new = -1.1113838261640288, c_new = 5.098068087184972
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13902.569632329676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3169:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.249564741849083, b_new = -0.032593367046099164, c_new = 5.026212411619122
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11048.987521490142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3170:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.675405304491003, b_new = -1.4039404146743242, c_new = 4.984948609745612
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -15715.911736679807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3171:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7615311679381427, b_new = -0.9850472349255479, c_new = 5.094479385009151
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5207.082306628412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3172:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.370294343994572, b_new = -1.981657565337731, c_new = 4.957749967880441
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5470.305365715089
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3173:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6726839229062476, b_new = -1.230704283192344, c_new = 5.1954731033943675
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7605.191259566883
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3174:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3407434746445004, b_new = -0.9554562283637569, c_new = 5.422889319812268
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11542.796689569546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3175:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7775047863017455, b_new = -1.504349311201777, c_new = 5.4552059310869065
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12098.217313993813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3176:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.473387164902083, b_new = -1.3381890798989917, c_new = 4.9087145965216505
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11018.901625590775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3177:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.912309850926869, b_new = -1.2945316962786093, c_new = 5.085818920402307
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3618.883858284541
Acceptance probability: 6.977263031313822e-264
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3178:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5188597655628855, b_new = -1.3991472529540891, c_new = 5.380194025791141
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10436.767480259963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3179:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.670053454579459, b_new = -1.3394289915578508, c_new = 5.505764772443578
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11490.833692186932
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3180:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7548398087059742, b_new = -1.5588754518830668, c_new = 5.005829954491765
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11734.133767250312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3181:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.608928865444475, b_new = -1.0767497265634156, c_new = 3.9814099038830664
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8900.529366790308
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3182:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8067785086757917, b_new = -1.5687762082735834, c_new = 6.531448822389819
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5281.810672903247
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3183:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3970646536061087, b_new = -1.3371785345797411, c_new = 4.290339605637516
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11987.244493697493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3184:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6976806914052864, b_new = -1.4048799167382344, c_new = 5.158817898784299
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11532.142769770815
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3185:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.256014039152788, b_new = -1.0792762039635164, c_new = 5.237187446080234
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5504.085088321721
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3186:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.073841964632703, b_new = -1.041696100907526, c_new = 5.620734685021877
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3264.1626778842074
Acceptance probability: 7.891078387459515e-110
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3187:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0674018889885675, b_new = -0.9460293011978371, c_new = 3.8414316139369467
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3142.3538265168827
Acceptance probability: 6.281282892798084e-57
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3188:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.523390911368858, b_new = -0.926102529594535, c_new = 4.734427717637739
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9627.620981042453
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3189:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6828285478289422, b_new = -2.3042039453930627, c_new = 5.711146982451917
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -15866.310028358355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3190:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.848098739435952, b_new = -1.1913976345858932, c_new = 5.8600397356445395
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4056.8418018491575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3191:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5813711050305304, b_new = -1.5411039051673086, c_new = 4.359089668273414
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10272.766393427039
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3192:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0756683466474395, b_new = -1.0750350183679718, c_new = 5.008074111038775
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3188.4852275570884
Acceptance probability: 5.8000994362430456e-77
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3193:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5556332888775155, b_new = -0.8177086432350537, c_new = 4.802252263870222
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8872.212204312946
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3194:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6529174446662176, b_new = -1.182472737303829, c_new = 5.519233894560673
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7750.342028417983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3195:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.624860170081212, b_new = -1.1476110324940831, c_new = 4.5865466809441156
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8554.659671267897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3196:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.674858832680347, b_new = -0.6106654420653943, c_new = 4.976511251004407
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12434.35921090884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3197:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5848568519429653, b_new = -1.503155936928317, c_new = 5.298206647402988
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10318.728538579004
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3198:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.958817924391256, b_new = -0.5480319643671071, c_new = 5.806636695819474
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14338.030334211782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3199:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3273168433961517, b_new = -0.8289791974282159, c_new = 5.037580165290074
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7634.443610054008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3200:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.35928502171775, b_new = -1.2678421723069024, c_new = 4.951145075554548
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12003.872751882674
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3201:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.887132149098548, b_new = -1.3461509512579397, c_new = 5.605689077094737
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13056.05001369589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3202:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7878936932515677, b_new = -1.1198168935043094, c_new = 5.706416695454843
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12740.35827417167
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3203:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.954738394129334, b_new = -0.5870820112022668, c_new = 5.637846901607852
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3043.854190849616
Acceptance probability: 3.766141153070551e-14
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3204:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.093229229128535, b_new = -1.7909523129037852, c_new = 4.816077858909853
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3042.716559293447
Acceptance probability: 1.17479935769625e-13
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3205:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4202958222115676, b_new = -1.3842966064588413, c_new = 4.398923632839323
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7806.3812433600015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3206:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.605691500017967, b_new = -1.2812763667133067, c_new = 4.765937440816491
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9158.862404420337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3207:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1733178731189935, b_new = -0.7417953150205951, c_new = 5.047377586527032
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4722.4298050517045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3208:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3881507815248106, b_new = -0.9518458495811032, c_new = 4.743487177836331
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8427.947472524069
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3209:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.226479677978738, b_new = -0.5309393949259179, c_new = 4.378133759702473
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6017.813741762882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3210:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7890553192880123, b_new = -1.0037087924192185, c_new = 4.985196627924306
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4799.284175900372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3211:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.852624229863044, b_new = -0.08516229930705699, c_new = 4.769724943989983
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3097.094506120084
Acceptance probability: 2.843946723524676e-37
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3212:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.262655657891475, b_new = -1.1425096980368459, c_new = 4.6295824660787686
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12653.495865692998
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3213:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9770744696825098, b_new = -0.911842416731183, c_new = 5.113655606744831
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13885.497720469642
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3214:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.705026980628827, b_new = -0.7018414353394178, c_new = 5.863503207521587
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5371.7255195756925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3215:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7521318791991, b_new = -1.6837723369333175, c_new = 5.162194231939697
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7206.100921256114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3216:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2441593024080104, b_new = -1.106858381170788, c_new = 5.608320857477219
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12467.702832417763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3217:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.966975999186872, b_new = -0.7946531917662889, c_new = 4.969590015780168
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3015.977267758929
Acceptance probability: 0.04816044197524289
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3218:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7953561473286066, b_new = -0.043082088026972665, c_new = 5.67202808650356
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14068.650660962063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3219:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.443578644416715, b_new = -0.3836458143499599, c_new = 4.3468111053638285
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9723.796798691837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3220:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.406390578680639, b_new = -0.29391238682398513, c_new = 5.025895037661834
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9807.108126061377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3221:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3649521051088582, b_new = -1.189542616063297, c_new = 5.984527867486468
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7801.666004371218
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3222:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.547856950787579, b_new = -1.1919148725332382, c_new = 5.923555110054412
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10658.230845284868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3223:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.050300692634192, b_new = -1.278039939214196, c_new = 4.312955556684672
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3024.8081268342603
Acceptance probability: 7.038775228680585e-06
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3224:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6386299728801768, b_new = -0.7375826872598099, c_new = 5.471272424517613
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12120.42590981085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3225:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7906152880296147, b_new = -1.472475415167709, c_new = 5.515686935973929
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5687.985239201929
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3226:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.40535793738495, b_new = -0.44579936217079696, c_new = 5.456201930542203
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10190.674116554865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3227:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2385867240357507, b_new = -0.9562026589608249, c_new = 4.896756497482794
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5355.60717515917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3228:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9931186906120555, b_new = -0.8374613909659985, c_new = 5.596745859960311
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3041.3884363346483
Acceptance probability: 4.433637407681572e-13
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3229:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3563158987023725, b_new = -0.18213908329376916, c_new = 5.188233300124269
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10147.38195072813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3230:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.271472358523697, b_new = -0.8055504999999852, c_new = 5.691553903167971
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11831.314131016845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3231:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8539098274721644, b_new = -0.5948094731624582, c_new = 4.978298359193419
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3386.4255854383
Acceptance probability: 6.295500537647815e-163
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3232:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.020952069460254, b_new = -0.7769095756216863, c_new = 5.589860244453953
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13410.394962583614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3233:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.299442966957364, b_new = -1.0642795829737262, c_new = 4.95097007225078
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6344.032853301441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3234:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.868866137125247, b_new = -1.0126724420612354, c_new = 4.041232435059367
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3904.3062612877284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3235:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2698116302598392, b_new = -1.9675611788956422, c_new = 4.822293824635711
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3907.549887450638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3236:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0110478927463356, b_new = -1.334850540853543, c_new = 4.984019063656422
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3053.391476722405
Acceptance probability: 2.7158511670700465e-18
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.76489323547667, b_new = -1.5298011260136635, c_new = 5.869225147522277
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12082.594432235015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1886906621261044, b_new = -0.9240376808490438, c_new = 4.814062481058758
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12812.004840311924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.781223012949426, b_new = -1.627858695220476, c_new = 4.892263820098186
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6526.798825369824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8422392305622064, b_new = -1.1854731003890013, c_new = 5.140090742026394
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4287.7562641894865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0411749793112515, b_new = -1.0803637035185905, c_new = 5.4511438655134485
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3071.9919895068697
Acceptance probability: 2.2688506214674966e-26
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0120260417738574, b_new = -0.8558558604617447, c_new = 5.852704448470873
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3101.9224888200242
Acceptance probability: 2.2759106655931856e-39
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2107919469784916, b_new = -1.057965101132813, c_new = 4.536112509233678
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4551.1773792242875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3669195723888024, b_new = -0.8328113383836744, c_new = 5.536960351019187
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8640.34252098461
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0732462741463147, b_new = -1.382101037707527, c_new = 4.394640742084247
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14077.62462130054
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4136294606577273, b_new = -1.528714030171356, c_new = 4.6618744839343425
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7390.819190489399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7445988078628254, b_new = -1.130982827687026, c_new = 4.530186714150404
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6088.584640163539
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6800022567136743, b_new = -1.5212935715903397, c_new = 5.705653291498642
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8043.777472528192
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.238813699675388, b_new = -1.9812622311603465, c_new = 4.336381608607749
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13840.61774968684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.715641211177796, b_new = -1.3246917945628558, c_new = 4.9536212097944174
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7062.807997182696
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.531639989359223, b_new = -0.19350846869661253, c_new = 5.5391864149254655
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7561.639968695457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2977471848085997, b_new = -0.9929681967656349, c_new = 5.469933831742049
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6699.059673946793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.53481674206046, b_new = -0.7897378608888115, c_new = 4.699769489803407
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9175.488842056588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.028361741018758, b_new = -1.0172407810982471, c_new = 5.19226026132945
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3046.3149499195874
Acceptance probability: 3.2151593900378433e-15
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
C:\Users\ntk00\AppData\Local\Temp\ipykernel_7116\180213239.py:38: RuntimeWarning: overflow encountered in exp
acceptance_prob = np.exp(likelihood_new - likelihood)
Iteration 3255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0877914960731387, b_new = -0.3664694554481278, c_new = 5.753139789352217
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4342.940237318144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0496910294912287, b_new = -1.7753578926302769, c_new = 5.190136694522687
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3106.373653569752
Acceptance probability: 2.6548434829169546e-41
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.540457519776423, b_new = -0.9039460673003628, c_new = 4.059788326729939
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9572.966882017934
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3840982338391354, b_new = -1.2866711261853585, c_new = 5.26818797088695
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7653.660407820273
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8981113776799883, b_new = -1.0690430480129043, c_new = 4.471402102744566
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3584.389688431171
Acceptance probability: 6.672870869069114e-249
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9233648583081, b_new = -1.812762478283736, c_new = 5.171130006188861
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4261.838119969556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.011977002851629, b_new = -1.4360554353782908, c_new = 4.793199286227999
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3105.327035688978
Acceptance probability: 7.561000947649518e-41
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5071273537415397, b_new = -0.7869420522630373, c_new = 4.628548548638241
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9597.76226790221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3412816971969557, b_new = -0.799057341251024, c_new = 5.153934826919321
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8061.398936269896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.613662498447379, b_new = -0.8597229035934468, c_new = 4.926825984266209
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11565.428791223641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.057341735332468, b_new = -1.0885023843892236, c_new = 4.4562842954849655
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3071.3222168362036
Acceptance probability: 4.432864724683988e-26
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9822406774006582, b_new = -0.3948875487107114, c_new = 5.137114587205966
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3176.817301045001
Acceptance probability: 6.772539373569327e-72
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2407903020022095, b_new = -0.5901254027021388, c_new = 4.772376576623495
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12016.546126812962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8379930320709015, b_new = -0.825597417783028, c_new = 4.8948733057105125
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3819.0244659591963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.188708143891608, b_new = -0.13531846778272993, c_new = 4.439141898888041
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -15225.877214103999
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6289229951674784, b_new = -0.6095361657840797, c_new = 5.2192136973940295
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6843.4090812730055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9727087114039605, b_new = -0.4913768933809133, c_new = 5.726518455086593
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3134.8496235202183
Acceptance probability: 1.1404659039573386e-53
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3319598119332716, b_new = -1.4927726092882332, c_new = 5.498250951276146
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6084.992375711303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0688287126654474, b_new = -1.2288335156980554, c_new = 5.156958412023428
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3085.5692674133234
Acceptance probability: 2.879181408592039e-32
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.810243718252881, b_new = -1.1189459481350625, c_new = 4.985533112512961
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4688.513766202755
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.719085460789476, b_new = 0.5086942384050241, c_new = 5.099773828902312
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3445.8342149887244
Acceptance probability: 9.95841622384521e-189
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0554613915329605, b_new = -1.2807057404613809, c_new = 4.784427274248771
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3027.4529648951757
Acceptance probability: 4.998716672124397e-07
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.382729790793212, b_new = -1.5716112618710465, c_new = 5.455873428745581
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12119.301801773876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9299911450295246, b_new = -0.8338419071381729, c_new = 5.498234439927748
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3084.883271320734
Acceptance probability: 5.717331143522851e-32
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9668667091377188, b_new = -1.0469595340189557, c_new = 5.416364454233277
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3053.079031846046
Acceptance probability: 3.7119237973388186e-18
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6978862186391956, b_new = -1.0684556277970534, c_new = 4.437206963400233
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6933.104383353437
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.074207369600471, b_new = -0.9550209019715594, c_new = 5.608539978131917
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3340.574448046622
Acceptance probability: 5.151411267494111e-143
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.056866682467157, b_new = -0.26326886738848154, c_new = 5.0003163696745165
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3925.907573204182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.701128567806146, b_new = -0.30463830612551457, c_new = 4.7145534117490175
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12949.765176463203
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7932501526680538, b_new = -1.0117374531156569, c_new = 4.264403774733404
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14856.075526359164
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6909929803050234, b_new = -1.0514745823292884, c_new = 6.322749371613219
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12324.381358823908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0329402294267207, b_new = -1.3212054456168145, c_new = 5.120434767444494
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Acceptance probability: 0.2432906044006623
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7600341088201805, b_new = -1.1182630842890768, c_new = 4.725815151006888
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5674.804519686539
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9651272769875168, b_new = -1.9293476456175105, c_new = 5.194378427375213
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3911.8194523516427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8668572533437033, b_new = -1.176449155173018, c_new = 5.327090922723258
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3908.1802736101813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7879842362782594, b_new = -1.5325360970287703, c_new = 4.848516750363025
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11978.821387358883
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0259036897761193, b_new = -2.094646877810945, c_new = 4.85636406692552
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3575.8670838411194
Acceptance probability: 1.3788198537318819e-244
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3292:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3776979069577076, b_new = -1.1831302602195375, c_new = 5.194304216235439
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7774.6933363092885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3293:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.297718334967008, b_new = -1.1094764496672893, c_new = 5.502738787228432
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -15033.536688464756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3294:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9520219060648096, b_new = -0.4618065114397799, c_new = 5.701676835640353
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3080.780136135848
Acceptance probability: 1.42244989954127e-29
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3295:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.240276182540109, b_new = -1.545581338367592, c_new = 5.12771789918498
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4236.971055379009
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3296:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2422441659492143, b_new = -0.7189272835128576, c_new = 4.970148299578193
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6062.523103208476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3297:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6513966463217464, b_new = -1.4656998029967188, c_new = 4.521064632142332
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10847.470528798067
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3298:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801838934899544, b_new = -2.0062266121981622, c_new = 6.1094377639767865
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6662.360904881751
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3299:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1111500373338163, b_new = -1.1749618741350312, c_new = 5.180064030574385
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3353.055221869045
Acceptance probability: 8.043955979941001e-148
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3300:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.991923255119251, b_new = -1.7098004775142384, c_new = 5.238370226070139
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3368.9514653539527
Acceptance probability: 1.0041968547746215e-154
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3301:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.947570411763855, b_new = -0.28994433800683206, c_new = 5.9871112550156855
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -14592.283934887797
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3302:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5432107042642307, b_new = -1.3954224364526846, c_new = 4.510855214225731
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -9782.928645639413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3303:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.296889514233653, b_new = -0.8297368434017637, c_new = 5.023600590718647
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -15144.625536006482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3304:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.852782148324527, b_new = -1.7763427872750528, c_new = 4.442878125987506
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5609.269988973705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3305:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4989549202732286, b_new = -1.599871831355084, c_new = 5.8761133629925455
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10897.419288413534
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3306:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.610007371544837, b_new = -0.8612040482414437, c_new = 5.763494736260744
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11780.146552626818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3307:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.820074513323004, b_new = -1.8653225275584742, c_new = 5.844176046401227
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5990.473000607072
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3308:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981836350172381, b_new = -1.6908150489063596, c_new = 5.6838576419613585
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3363.678067082756
Acceptance probability: 1.9589647751242862e-152
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3309:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3692124169642916, b_new = -0.5699073393559573, c_new = 4.1067085625013835
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11026.263330608745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3310:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.205332869369781, b_new = -2.4075632196315677, c_new = 5.0715428871263075
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3123.6001171578637
Acceptance probability: 3.602097847891469e-48
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3311:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7630799437649527, b_new = -1.6420730501611478, c_new = 4.697078099633804
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7039.3435578006765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3312:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.733435982382784, b_new = -1.1478772390356835, c_new = 5.123586767681348
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6147.757832955739
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3313:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.718960848199095, b_new = -1.5575940290593544, c_new = 5.091140837653358
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7587.61979856954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3314:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7511974171723685, b_new = -0.6325388260940654, c_new = 5.318865401657392
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4581.419594682698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3315:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6518199147670187, b_new = -1.560095051258241, c_new = 5.075735440212316
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10855.156745562412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3316:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.600771123661524, b_new = -1.036142969421304, c_new = 5.034627090401521
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11198.5805840658
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3317:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.128325397514541, b_new = -1.9621445920970657, c_new = 4.633991517988743
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13436.458354655093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3318:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7603244136363183, b_new = -1.313652707261102, c_new = 4.758905468716629
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6162.948212266298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3319:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.35448429877633, b_new = -1.4343434659285317, c_new = 5.25000506477531
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6625.162266702464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3320:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.686463007207848, b_new = -1.1067894538168175, c_new = 4.643489237569868
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11733.73352672499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3321:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.392062727463939, b_new = -1.4993958725737635, c_new = 5.341375742957346
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7271.033624121419
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3322:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9287504966190223, b_new = -0.8771279496826616, c_new = 5.992657871488527
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3087.0013042466408
Acceptance probability: 2.826298300943855e-32
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3323:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.534966218825323, b_new = -1.3170708904103132, c_new = 4.902752083746031
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -9949.709517308047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3324:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7912072054087926, b_new = -0.9990377291623809, c_new = 4.384975950173802
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -12568.181713152971
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3325:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5466875938432496, b_new = -2.1464166543268943, c_new = 5.591097628663572
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11477.18510924523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3326:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.604898883001336, b_new = -0.734328387301172, c_new = 5.524900582374586
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7526.986127041324
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3327:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.150212332181139, b_new = -1.5322088488371066, c_new = 5.862364558665092
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3398.635068793611
Acceptance probability: 1.2894178556223508e-167
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3328:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.87313307676539, b_new = -1.135814956765292, c_new = 5.117630192689531
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3816.53064477505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3329:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0171768959325918, b_new = -1.2435984288668993, c_new = 5.147972620413825
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3016.502788306868
Acceptance probability: 0.11704003754819024
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3330:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3933077492044865, b_new = -1.811469428091404, c_new = 5.261601098541544
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -12448.564250073414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3331:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2401047642657375, b_new = -1.0133426421549847, c_new = 5.40835595606585
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5412.902839030348
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3332:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.47895671185911, b_new = -0.9655489615067514, c_new = 6.008828740465621
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10294.352273063561
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3333:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4042217505878996, b_new = -1.1470784708087447, c_new = 5.633815399493475
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -8565.495790812245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3334:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.833917405444189, b_new = -1.6599657838245394, c_new = 5.2029303371425275
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5415.7801675150995
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3335:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7278951703846253, b_new = -0.6109226453318202, c_new = 4.236585772942833
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5229.448917329062
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3336:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1121181288762654, b_new = -1.822387159142216, c_new = 5.526782065519976
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3037.9915824246164
Acceptance probability: 5.443393675284556e-11
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3337:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3520637211238418, b_new = -0.7898767040846608, c_new = 5.2708945587837555
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11216.172007748393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3338:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.074076213922446, b_new = -1.650617993824433, c_new = 5.077234531778121
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13587.434209451676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3339:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7011208451050317, b_new = -1.304199532372834, c_new = 5.326373444179539
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7167.718187546486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3340:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.836929813909242, b_new = -1.1677359411240644, c_new = 5.026516837453618
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4360.2511012055365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3341:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5534734271659607, b_new = -1.921132582429112, c_new = 5.384270361810969
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11041.99783034541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3342:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7418084901132094, b_new = -1.9958042091841248, c_new = 5.006767100390111
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -8387.107900878898
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3343:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.106111683115253, b_new = -0.3723586677816575, c_new = 5.598201312971645
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -15025.937246379708
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3344:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8851686589724586, b_new = -1.786704371356337, c_new = 4.092015003294334
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5147.341946182125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3345:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.421618974561907, b_new = -1.289843071607274, c_new = 6.047408717228451
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -8681.75054789572
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3346:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7097299461218105, b_new = -1.500590682943028, c_new = 4.240090946911312
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7973.739000003301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3347:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.842662437322813, b_new = -0.8219940448064247, c_new = 5.472449582142847
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13384.923286597343
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3348:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.827590572719364, b_new = -1.4778708564920962, c_new = 5.6804856091884455
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4957.705460967669
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3349:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.787092426672962, b_new = -0.8626093864882529, c_new = 5.48656096815543
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4424.657343176353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3350:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.851650521913532, b_new = -0.6949315931989246, c_new = 5.339224005934793
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3458.1444854804636
Acceptance probability: 1.8440911837493678e-193
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3351:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.069502930545406, b_new = -2.0876297327025157, c_new = 5.184431755687867
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3210.588881399635
Acceptance probability: 5.995359199903658e-86
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3352:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1841324287294346, b_new = -1.7016220007085134, c_new = 4.122750244038425
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3325.8017844646415
Acceptance probability: 5.514259028216973e-136
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3353:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.001742920701518, b_new = -1.3613221793776293, c_new = 4.5711033839854815
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3124.239814883596
Acceptance probability: 1.8999331199580552e-48
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3354:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9396085853362464, b_new = -1.0953174673727897, c_new = 4.743276324382705
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3247.0827112069665
Acceptance probability: 8.486845562203423e-102
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3355:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.115894903455919, b_new = -1.9590696334421822, c_new = 5.0005092402484275
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3046.888873941865
Acceptance probability: 7.444321734238344e-15
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3356:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4012353768125294, b_new = -1.1057966207034147, c_new = 5.165756446414791
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11290.488189749929
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3357:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0200776199856207, b_new = -1.9253768720860722, c_new = 4.366842259384354
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3516.8976552110685
Acceptance probability: 5.618300747219044e-219
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3358:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2220931009994325, b_new = -1.829356242876687, c_new = 5.4608376391933
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13542.402092004279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3359:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9919947919182386, b_new = -1.1855605693619091, c_new = 6.339861949269111
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3022.8819386083906
Acceptance probability: 0.00019856590397748276
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3360:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.055090824295461, b_new = -2.118948152020436, c_new = 4.7500899379322945
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3385.2344822859095
Acceptance probability: 8.515192189327433e-162
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3361:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9793229672390886, b_new = -1.130211442251131, c_new = 5.643490368938528
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3039.821537909019
Acceptance probability: 8.732330718839633e-12
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3362:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1089337743635777, b_new = -1.4113746968320926, c_new = 5.8685134678329725
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3219.910933755937
Acceptance probability: 5.361660484221843e-90
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3363:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.992252530676475, b_new = -1.8183795366232611, c_new = 5.25406393227256
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3477.3830792940594
Acceptance probability: 8.138928977812824e-202
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3364:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.630615973441276, b_new = -1.0064926187004828, c_new = 5.427128312209982
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11634.23954453735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3365:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9558018989529167, b_new = -1.9850667011231056, c_new = 4.131700035539557
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4405.189860414123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3366:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.793796291422261, b_new = -2.0069568702999856, c_new = 4.945109768918793
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7318.577627010375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3367:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6304923590886182, b_new = -1.5619493849351684, c_new = 5.001758028333909
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10618.054282002315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3368:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.856832461315981, b_new = -1.0618494767157047, c_new = 5.94854621009488
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3747.522757655942
Acceptance probability: 3.894e-319
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3369:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.747261620847546, b_new = -1.111381084538523, c_new = 5.601832245627544
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5615.984536307125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3370:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.136294592615418, b_new = -1.7737194956068283, c_new = 5.480106674255369
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3114.4351613266444
Acceptance probability: 3.44227252327915e-44
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3371:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3534512612189364, b_new = -1.8324329511627568, c_new = 4.457777872173705
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13008.144769456581
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3372:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8334483512605455, b_new = -1.0310354188820205, c_new = 4.309839358921733
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -14721.80108793994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3373:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.247113551578369, b_new = -1.470392239421175, c_new = 5.273281148447266
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4506.630648639802
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3374:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6554005821546656, b_new = -0.844744108591718, c_new = 5.93792635170568
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6668.667401367526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3375:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.391311027574605, b_new = -0.8300226766269494, c_new = 5.54185987365899
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10802.364944839765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3376:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.838620663808887, b_new = -0.7804136808162999, c_new = 5.530292636175989
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3646.6459804786355
Acceptance probability: 2.5154939859256573e-275
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3377:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.595484436411797, b_new = -1.6435166515262343, c_new = 5.189966211747136
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10156.673618494304
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3378:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9903530487671126, b_new = -1.327476299185983, c_new = 4.633928737052404
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -14321.611908043744
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3379:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.467627163634397, b_new = -2.3506853170116857, c_new = 5.926880953054834
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6799.255699955668
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3380:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1757637838558184, b_new = -1.7790143078481941, c_new = 4.81847382280536
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3267.260888234707
Acceptance probability: 1.463778490883801e-110
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3381:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.922248468499334, b_new = -1.7874921932614813, c_new = 5.063862517128264
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4259.399074216449
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3382:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.590029369597224, b_new = -1.4004245148689811, c_new = 5.630751372186756
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -9372.136626374302
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3383:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.741546069866387, b_new = -1.0495835849389827, c_new = 4.470025083334584
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5960.2991318429595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3384:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.519557762822257, b_new = -1.9376062766498423, c_new = 4.873295547698489
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -8424.398815073402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3385:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.107539416218473, b_new = -0.7253048430102841, c_new = 3.751288247262585
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3605.8275566392676
Acceptance probability: 1.342268865851092e-257
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3386:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.112254163343231, b_new = -1.1022468281715077, c_new = 4.680228663823858
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3369.172091837072
Acceptance probability: 8.053821364167338e-155
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3387:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.933708712948049, b_new = -1.6408227147352112, c_new = 4.5808744063626845
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -12731.897576975496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3388:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.625797056313391, b_new = -1.108332739603746, c_new = 4.289574825358777
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -8552.329750649635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3389:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7327684837474364, b_new = -1.6571005814963085, c_new = 4.702516982356143
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7736.961910131651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3390:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5578962276859807, b_new = -0.91406223404162, c_new = 4.51862751845587
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10819.955841827628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3391:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.529811872000943, b_new = -1.5124899678599415, c_new = 4.390442377869039
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -9338.197384465624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3392:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.550493137138989, b_new = -1.1910672412360386, c_new = 4.9086225564689165
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10371.869298045196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3393:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2518407664852087, b_new = -1.0640139493931866, c_new = 5.1633551153241335
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5435.958852488694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3394:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5451643862129405, b_new = -2.427878542990366, c_new = 4.8344226375105706
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -12256.116093096778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3395:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0468478611595455, b_new = -1.8366434675296308, c_new = 5.217993805639082
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3148.57267794524
Acceptance probability: 5.141740530828406e-59
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3396:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4841750950817496, b_new = -0.8888234009390652, c_new = 5.272024860196295
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -9899.95024301763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3397:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0613969987570844, b_new = -1.4980851187340578, c_new = 5.430226038662314
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13995.926874449318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3398:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.771772150441005, b_new = -1.6419585063323654, c_new = 5.177178600347572
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11795.150703228106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3399:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.046431925789336, b_new = -0.6970271709974424, c_new = 6.027455473470316
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -14617.4369843055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3400:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.707196614646503, b_new = -1.2447626345182434, c_new = 4.993744007692508
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7005.3067193677525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3401:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.657017487445405, b_new = -1.0978021502334372, c_new = 4.913397972961262
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7673.389642090417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3402:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.130637881642573, b_new = -0.504633054530349, c_new = 4.312643412265699
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4330.940458172514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3403:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0981732342647437, b_new = -0.7134397941776836, c_new = 4.700684921235526
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13139.238738805318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3404:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8455901110762278, b_new = -1.5038487659044821, c_new = 4.689472948311568
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -14995.404977359976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3405:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3486610728269204, b_new = -1.3460457429072414, c_new = 5.6475991429115195
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6887.3833797115385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3406:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.730546996032976, b_new = -0.6593301869946041, c_new = 5.212356576827659
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5003.46984971855
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3407:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.436728404653993, b_new = -1.294143347024055, c_new = 4.943487341506664
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -8536.198021633054
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3408:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7579917459992895, b_new = -2.2720466086195765, c_new = 6.196600462143538
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11044.616725964563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3409:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3761072178370943, b_new = -1.4476379380362703, c_new = 4.450569406191307
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6760.183932102586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3410:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.816642763526446, b_new = -1.5408634801717023, c_new = 4.661857999279835
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5643.89854601677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3411:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7547389349566287, b_new = -1.2488118872597482, c_new = 4.993430866082077
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6021.461806409275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3412:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.125137746373511, b_new = -0.9741072054486372, c_new = 4.759570283545955
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3632.2283643013684
Acceptance probability: 4.593190218894524e-269
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3413:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.069540208814563, b_new = -0.8781984583413482, c_new = 5.0128441883101535
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3302.222020494068
Acceptance probability: 9.595078671017959e-126
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3414:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3645850848246988, b_new = -1.7062484817156887, c_new = 5.040196039083542
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6053.594696259732
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3415:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0765227020959927, b_new = -0.916268478266917, c_new = 4.9040716209797415
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3304.3581545978627
Acceptance probability: 1.1332801606723744e-126
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3416:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.012650458213837, b_new = -2.6830613221153934, c_new = 5.031124252413525
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4676.790226870738
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3417:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.654673474919207, b_new = -0.7640403764951679, c_new = 4.895332368317455
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -12043.691847637048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3418:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8893718357393166, b_new = -2.0441930933860615, c_new = 5.100207855457591
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5337.611417918812
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3419:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9716839150899466, b_new = -1.3752860975982302, c_new = 4.503701361050689
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13229.691061565005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3420:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0090929490950735, b_new = -1.3403681198677055, c_new = 5.758780825504566
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13753.28741223264
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3421:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.768382410121475, b_new = -1.2991157757153986, c_new = 5.8566097729941005
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5581.021043352991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3422:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.154670723209306, b_new = -1.5955104797724493, c_new = 5.171964375902482
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -14018.913886261147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3423:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.255305311248141, b_new = -1.5029551626926365, c_new = 4.759233375839348
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4448.235076462461
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3424:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.055603655399117, b_new = -1.5167504800006704, c_new = 5.673998964169588
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Acceptance probability: 2.8854952038696964
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3425:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.530511322277374, b_new = -1.7932451590272667, c_new = 5.771952176271863
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10932.509067577606
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3426:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2289569971644947, b_new = -1.8546220229931005, c_new = 6.193648532526102
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3826.90211759692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3427:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.577261631269572, b_new = -1.1432842310353681, c_new = 6.583431738517147
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -15153.123997412278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3428:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.95311129926587, b_new = -1.9662399402763788, c_new = 5.174321697093089
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4127.096919207874
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3429:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4901511900743003, b_new = -0.9016753166777666, c_new = 5.318039255303531
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10328.755738878386
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3430:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3212011721544377, b_new = -1.133632170852585, c_new = 5.054429925054955
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12086.257670435625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3431:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.990581212718489, b_new = -2.2486211695647196, c_new = 4.993442282954823
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12466.359830838464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3432:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0497100991584793, b_new = -0.6467608991792786, c_new = 6.263890032421312
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3576.3898530028737
Acceptance probability: 2.8330315377348472e-245
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3433:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4453026195566183, b_new = -1.6834430672541207, c_new = 5.2565726420939445
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -7830.301944671287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3434:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.272720466572768, b_new = -0.5852073284531129, c_new = 4.810065282588317
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -7045.500412351283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3435:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0746993869469272, b_new = -1.8106333213790378, c_new = 6.827607112461896
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3016.863721439572
Acceptance probability: 0.028272409840285395
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3436:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1715909010596888, b_new = -1.5569493254731517, c_new = 6.257758023375456
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -13307.174845513131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3437:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9087314477798523, b_new = -1.3123423161322445, c_new = 6.872738957312605
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3418.808881686843
Acceptance probability: 7.741011358178537e-177
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3438:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3989618154111936, b_new = -0.9090004754445403, c_new = 5.026071566894371
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -8844.220122974311
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3439:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4081111989456767, b_new = -1.3922675852523836, c_new = 5.8159096991276655
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11502.97777216147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3440:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.27748929967003, b_new = -2.038293281609279, c_new = 5.649735518092721
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4042.4952015485414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3441:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.05519199334516, b_new = -1.454669847356459, c_new = 5.935266737026689
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3019.8619871523697
Acceptance probability: 0.0014100437030861034
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3442:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.564815430904027, b_new = -1.7023775835922532, c_new = 4.97032502750536
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10609.499439624342
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3443:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5137431979841502, b_new = -1.6252435739392206, c_new = 6.485692957623027
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9560.268584557398
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3444:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3265145382814647, b_new = -1.8402070001513742, c_new = 5.083632262234844
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -13018.858355366783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3445:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0074143388268304, b_new = -1.7588869101097597, c_new = 5.529226071900122
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3268.6375854806574
Acceptance probability: 1.2804510697236498e-111
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3446:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9908014290144034, b_new = -2.5339731578098172, c_new = 6.0587293321270215
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4403.430441358045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3447:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.671073052301303, b_new = -1.64414586933439, c_new = 5.350456568152323
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10983.035416886934
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3448:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5412228670135963, b_new = -1.0942115449128427, c_new = 4.538348643466353
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10328.65267487899
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3449:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7860992681421193, b_new = -1.3236781602426222, c_new = 5.128902685499468
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5537.230196056178
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3450:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3772644430841243, b_new = -0.4672092296922947, c_new = 5.8395807021838015
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9864.061639998481
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3451:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2762368760558704, b_new = -2.3384968558156136, c_new = 5.687747491152214
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3637.0326156231904
Acceptance probability: 1.3044704207915433e-271
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3452:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.924166875497477, b_new = -1.6774746602666264, c_new = 5.710747625862117
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3900.567910817945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3453:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5741501116541876, b_new = -1.4273154835106419, c_new = 5.776036713991099
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9618.250125480281
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3454:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9241413653478086, b_new = -1.5559188922021836, c_new = 5.133009461497456
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3839.246102702906
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3455:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.406253783724827, b_new = -0.8866272808997216, c_new = 6.171833636702908
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10550.117553965902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3456:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7611851753282766, b_new = -1.0903280816558074, c_new = 6.4240994920281205
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5062.673148045923
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3457:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7024488269714007, b_new = -1.9534537511870704, c_new = 4.953574041223997
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9076.992468259614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3458:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4065758935008796, b_new = -2.03919093401713, c_new = 5.294448303497596
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12666.86896376123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3459:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.990519376701722, b_new = -1.9367369169338708, c_new = 5.918388601256644
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3518.247646430862
Acceptance probability: 5.047669240550585e-220
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3460:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.425790857570072, b_new = -1.6643394192487229, c_new = 6.289328040270369
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -7876.838148800056
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3461:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9906289573120683, b_new = -1.4400333946068744, c_new = 5.842075142568004
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3112.9160568151315
Acceptance probability: 5.449587125412215e-44
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3462:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.464753699899761, b_new = -1.338932091744541, c_new = 4.917296242637501
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11113.752561341638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3463:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6067645601885037, b_new = -1.7543678893616845, c_new = 6.038035251025874
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9767.110118995268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3464:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.041646009582355, b_new = -2.207704924130329, c_new = 5.603054957364617
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3440.404212863317
Acceptance probability: 3.236417492847298e-186
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3465:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.814476008853327, b_new = -1.6712117200628638, c_new = 5.341533207265029
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5778.299489074053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3466:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.055435317699826, b_new = -2.1690366482564096, c_new = 5.60855286812866
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3302.766381788714
Acceptance probability: 1.9293680246565833e-126
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3467:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2640480329453716, b_new = -1.5765182585985134, c_new = 5.28680486110538
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -13027.821703412854
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3468:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981656429984107, b_new = -2.0732453397352857, c_new = 5.826008431692067
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3801.5747776777303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3469:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8254216493592033, b_new = -1.4283339914974913, c_new = 5.383468141241374
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4974.878805135444
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3470:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.527368691418522, b_new = -1.1796290012843507, c_new = 5.6241660140604495
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10348.48315853062
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3471:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.079364823846021, b_new = -0.8033210966448855, c_new = 5.995032503167022
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3611.5110119596393
Acceptance probability: 1.5824349861748828e-260
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3472:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.804553077315098, b_new = -1.664155769384998, c_new = 5.235042967328974
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -6001.778922509043
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3473:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.015080179385166, b_new = -2.0394046270622543, c_new = 4.986679016226876
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12847.025184775714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3474:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7213260767872156, b_new = -0.84906666610217, c_new = 4.9117332968421605
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5704.917000939093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3475:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4934556424771155, b_new = -1.5821531715055177, c_new = 5.410668996959645
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11080.040398913963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3476:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.838350078367247, b_new = -2.246768663890014, c_new = 5.816624638173138
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -6664.574977353936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3477:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.836149405639715, b_new = -2.0821990112412947, c_new = 6.417739601932179
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -15120.662826015057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3478:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6071070048197797, b_new = -1.473591577944264, c_new = 6.1911613495590485
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9068.975792783243
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3479:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0638967476124908, b_new = -1.2711244156843367, c_new = 5.691128384464792
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3080.8191339180576
Acceptance probability: 4.741110752180299e-30
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3480:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3118408020799985, b_new = -2.9228483938937817, c_new = 5.7758213752449095
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -14222.605760446662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3481:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2234129788524113, b_new = -1.0312938968410565, c_new = 5.278792769597275
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5022.047128481161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3482:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.161923075978648, b_new = -0.5995003449680918, c_new = 6.072244334620446
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5159.453283494597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3483:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0949697461087484, b_new = -1.447459036602702, c_new = 5.349004658072248
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3094.966225378426
Acceptance probability: 3.403112798506562e-36
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3484:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.618470543286871, b_new = -2.0472073942484266, c_new = 4.573210760713443
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9523.699211874356
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3485:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5242671268093164, b_new = -2.2043856855793007, c_new = 4.982983758959405
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -7926.93029704959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3486:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9122228446246967, b_new = -1.231246784775084, c_new = 6.350187742908633
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3373.2660815682884
Acceptance probability: 4.653551093509099e-157
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3487:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5038753974885872, b_new = -1.7780337732677387, c_new = 4.826754852706
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -8510.972458636943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3488:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.129370018586124, b_new = -1.730110907608368, c_new = 6.95248894265802
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3217.9367269391805
Acceptance probability: 1.3380307047459781e-89
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3489:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.272643521111084, b_new = -1.2918114435569767, c_new = 6.405107429114112
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5701.778438125051
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3490:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7043775675632706, b_new = -0.16510763829848774, c_new = 6.521430680283796
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -13668.571807741788
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3491:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8355008622606057, b_new = -2.269236959809417, c_new = 5.366706141864299
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -6979.970142699978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3492:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.557327340647173, b_new = -1.711506517732396, c_new = 5.554110589410916
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9673.959123749448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3493:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.94861469867716, b_new = -1.1200311110507097, c_new = 6.253707632854073
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3103.0971573879715
Acceptance probability: 1.0015149575806707e-39
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3494:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3786583614330286, b_new = -1.9382410090299622, c_new = 6.988033245367663
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -6419.961076688402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3495:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.793116032466565, b_new = -0.7187471680814554, c_new = 6.147943017256156
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3970.1528597701645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3496:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4231303549509335, b_new = -1.9545302970927994, c_new = 5.920259909594945
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12226.426388547508
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3497:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9513754468579396, b_new = -1.4930146968611584, c_new = 6.1403124191931635
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3345.362433206922
Acceptance probability: 6.112023211856146e-145
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3498:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.490596511962438, b_new = -1.6443554111147143, c_new = 5.556020894104542
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11178.480281637485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3499:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7144018399928123, b_new = -1.5921634919734455, c_new = 5.139331881291331
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11391.729609049653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3500:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6352745000135815, b_new = -0.3600076890833048, c_new = 5.667366925018279
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5952.464515881353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3501:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.405465882937249, b_new = -1.9461140726537922, c_new = 6.443158222463036
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12204.973491664143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3502:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.323760994128433, b_new = -0.7631629501520629, c_new = 5.695447616664515
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -8014.238439303246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3503:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8349183494137735, b_new = -0.9450513196024669, c_new = 5.681338086285421
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -13247.980497030381
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3504:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7280066971949584, b_new = -1.9665108200915316, c_new = 5.68301402534996
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -8304.020277219273
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3505:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4836218108903916, b_new = -1.1190227972037827, c_new = 5.247010661892706
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10367.840323365119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3506:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.836129454542607, b_new = -0.5463437643386074, c_new = 5.756867552373672
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3395.7389712782833
Acceptance probability: 8.089701428249717e-167
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3507:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.659439907353957, b_new = -1.966762411572686, c_new = 5.325323339892425
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9713.402713635336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3508:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.670899445428445, b_new = -1.2069480837517625, c_new = 4.899978887821622
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11527.15346789347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3509:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9001727965883335, b_new = -2.038607704849383, c_new = 5.890069562183327
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4873.373829504672
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3510:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1945511680742764, b_new = -2.178913197371637, c_new = 5.422688560916304
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3168.6369548011594
Acceptance probability: 3.4441739548544417e-68
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3511:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.223702824367821, b_new = -0.6559368194431785, c_new = 5.370647213633443
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5987.218895233476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3512:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1427559616167033, b_new = -1.4517296832270512, c_new = 4.667332050409614
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3286.1946437350966
Acceptance probability: 3.0368928490137517e-119
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3513:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3936788709936265, b_new = -1.2773320305730236, c_new = 5.942259286358629
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11414.86578398882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3514:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.636838506499024, b_new = -1.4886059241604652, c_new = 5.975011954507384
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -8673.293322370053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3515:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.221822861496202, b_new = -0.6795956802157206, c_new = 5.665756360662566
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5994.457282491962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3516:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6162450508565187, b_new = -1.010602450089778, c_new = 5.034303157315737
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11383.880047211172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3517:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0178156675206638, b_new = -0.838809878328543, c_new = 6.334171787443547
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3181.4066145006545
Acceptance probability: 9.801495276759434e-74
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3518:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.875929437781272, b_new = -1.6523668638240916, c_new = 5.841012963739659
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4483.210857291344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3519:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.7381324594437, b_new = -1.3426434840603196, c_new = 5.30023042708566
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -15937.95950053142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3520:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304569842382798, b_new = -2.111893399668271, c_new = 5.56192042425435
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4268.843695504471
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3521:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.17550951246424, b_new = -0.7885896427035195, c_new = 6.062833514940684
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12408.116798991017
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3522:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.163832188564713, b_new = -1.5027660992279905, c_new = 5.291159257173487
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3465.6944491378285
Acceptance probability: 3.3624395073679323e-197
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3523:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.115860833164402, b_new = -1.6609826095064364, c_new = 6.436879612649118
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3145.443359005739
Acceptance probability: 4.07320011809964e-58
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3524:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.008814974710102, b_new = -0.654834037961849, c_new = 5.316492469298437
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -14329.917927608516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3525:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.535327372830437, b_new = -1.7537943092183705, c_new = 5.616614589366997
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10851.934005753077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3526:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4540573939958104, b_new = -1.0742072246894416, c_new = 6.059090950884025
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9735.674811322948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3527:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6638501660168954, b_new = -1.299231343098376, c_new = 5.150782887715644
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11396.596884649125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3528:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9585189625592307, b_new = -1.6975374089462574, c_new = 6.095592426874445
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -13184.693412710414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3529:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.086381538105489, b_new = -0.9398042909597157, c_new = 6.445921707830319
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3591.5869921714507
Acceptance probability: 7.115701601344252e-252
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3530:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.638196773757416, b_new = -0.7252332623258003, c_new = 6.084881435115989
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12317.479098067852
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3531:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6478534762535397, b_new = -1.6273144124313146, c_new = 6.273886835875452
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11057.170578162622
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3532:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1487791788120205, b_new = -1.8596594015520505, c_new = 5.280396346168822
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3117.0513826839588
Acceptance probability: 8.717950415164362e-46
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3533:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3117297521292652, b_new = -2.4524152468660336, c_new = 4.079293616379061
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3676.3515149605096
Acceptance probability: 1.0950985882744573e-288
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3534:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2338396010711934, b_new = -1.5291835879524738, c_new = 6.0498180523620055
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4387.673902584945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3535:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5235805903963424, b_new = -1.7464541121775228, c_new = 6.826374181498639
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9561.142385590905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3536:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.700170883714619, b_new = -1.758388566953205, c_new = 5.305263374846322
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -8445.371275130305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3537:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2012882499252444, b_new = -1.0776345715323705, c_new = 4.844952134202537
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12916.533065505473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3538:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.219870099565055, b_new = -1.9047092247820836, c_new = 6.2258102599913885
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3668.2630186930655
Acceptance probability: 3.5665023535175545e-285
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3539:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1924211592270955, b_new = -1.247563520807252, c_new = 5.482410558978922
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4163.521161825793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3540:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6071978524191266, b_new = -1.5968517011996899, c_new = 5.8196383449454
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9486.150017945609
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3541:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.451112857299875, b_new = -1.1384794636037072, c_new = 5.445759676129092
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10725.240071926099
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3542:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6343762593660487, b_new = -1.159289356766899, c_new = 5.415771869086644
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -8089.141330743768
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3543:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7769764328857245, b_new = -1.3977118247019389, c_new = 5.895058873594151
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5642.956923055939
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3544:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.312300768127993, b_new = -1.8377800769159314, c_new = 5.915544711793993
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5003.0034399607885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3545:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4060821479372416, b_new = -1.853498254891921, c_new = 6.166868321921732
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -6918.134841102886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3546:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.258206894602623, b_new = -2.0321447047139554, c_new = 5.5757558277841515
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3808.482121365127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3547:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.540502229479399, b_new = -1.2618225624217785, c_new = 5.640329102507328
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9786.971568350082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3548:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4474165295532204, b_new = -1.2346470388988728, c_new = 4.4287205894268045
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -8686.641021018691
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3549:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083282381586924, b_new = -0.81276956393255, c_new = 5.566067450625942
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3560.5860006783782
Acceptance probability: 2.069079922534321e-238
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3550:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6421878562872667, b_new = -1.4485171080531372, c_new = 5.152949989345003
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10963.605631408765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3551:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9734452416342734, b_new = -1.859128709838316, c_new = 5.469551320811087
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3663.4551155017957
Acceptance probability: 4.368057437264469e-283
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3552:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.934501480509126, b_new = -2.1774606178014357, c_new = 6.3137114136537695
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4484.690259123951
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3553:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0714408450398096, b_new = -1.5627638911249047, c_new = 6.415426610578011
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3038.451735402814
Acceptance probability: 1.1907140777762275e-11
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3554:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.69004179452391, b_new = -1.349266882144538, c_new = 5.108667190270297
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11536.054864948244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3555:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4755777025568397, b_new = -1.920378259289669, c_new = 5.651665779708583
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11786.346447575874
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3556:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1609985304973645, b_new = -1.3582542143106668, c_new = 5.394149651098774
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3617.0710668119436
Acceptance probability: 6.0901043601231396e-263
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3557:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1940070563478153, b_new = -0.7533602218618406, c_new = 5.825606936425823
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5304.070265776354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3558:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.18046932127538, b_new = -1.678081372764005, c_new = 5.219850274963858
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -13657.882952586227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3559:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.954287890683153, b_new = -1.5834513247362323, c_new = 5.442940157131944
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3511.4541249786153
Acceptance probability: 4.502770047419848e-217
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3560:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.983230355353413, b_new = -1.4595740431744364, c_new = 5.813368779177854
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3158.8448112731526
Acceptance probability: 6.162529034633933e-64
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3561:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9085191462329862, b_new = -1.8830586225252317, c_new = 5.770747744099129
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4452.441049222404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3562:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.045158751625171, b_new = -2.197180930907937, c_new = 5.557182229362284
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3409.344769228305
Acceptance probability: 9.977219377960337e-173
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3563:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7431213274475805, b_new = -1.5088310899158626, c_new = 5.306908913480843
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11792.713667268707
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3564:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.962756356979234, b_new = -1.671394486144449, c_new = 5.318968756975625
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3558.0369209961746
Acceptance probability: 2.647454509231407e-237
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3565:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7150885600410732, b_new = -0.5347735258393259, c_new = 5.968579215544897
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -13095.119774919516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3566:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7196995538370743, b_new = -2.12948687192699, c_new = 5.640308683802249
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10760.356476432893
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3567:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6616069281729207, b_new = -1.987616376762169, c_new = 5.5195775516244545
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10378.288970161491
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3568:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5598400782740365, b_new = -1.3820116887557232, c_new = 5.547798737728281
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9803.801642002976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3569:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3829934227311664, b_new = -0.6182665582791518, c_new = 5.36178684759366
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10573.462039849386
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3570:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0292474397355362, b_new = -1.2264548572119982, c_new = 5.16987118037
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Acceptance probability: 2.9458308102489874
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3571:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.202499129440391, b_new = -1.1208238440506864, c_new = 4.799678397398319
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4371.103704617417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3572:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3443117619667535, b_new = -1.0020606000620234, c_new = 4.6815560429971175
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7375.344117841379
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3573:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3201717516653977, b_new = -0.6223818946814137, c_new = 4.669721770433652
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7917.9653913736765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3574:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5066329463586143, b_new = -1.0742917613810214, c_new = 4.519908310822763
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10234.969162177073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3575:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1024364610175224, b_new = -1.597518294295873, c_new = 5.690399726661513
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3076.6940614311907
Acceptance probability: 9.957917386273541e-29
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3576:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5979783890769954, b_new = -1.2981981164978038, c_new = 5.357417826056068
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10831.488621128061
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3577:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1698432899263644, b_new = -1.4027163917894707, c_new = 5.665422991964585
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3695.9682894194098
Acceptance probability: 1.1240574768526291e-297
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3578:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9985839820624767, b_new = 0.1751350204504465, c_new = 5.090048143281711
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15002.98038198685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3579:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.835289377388507, b_new = -2.0269841045727306, c_new = 5.964938977642768
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11954.617434226962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3580:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5618658358837, b_new = -1.1199321716969672, c_new = 5.113217777684162
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10685.520144011643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3581:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.260776414345185, b_new = -0.9088744259258918, c_new = 5.113246689209268
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5997.150093011499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3582:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.139794048137161, b_new = -0.9335961157457335, c_new = 4.927250396955844
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13097.050684147029
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3583:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2911963354650595, b_new = -1.4691602930463739, c_new = 4.827430249656136
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5127.209682229336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3584:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.656520816397024, b_new = -0.8087310882800893, c_new = 5.315900219038182
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6768.465581485978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3585:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6308868677972543, b_new = -1.607834843363401, c_new = 5.861238468733079
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9113.83300912882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3586:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3811783988642214, b_new = -1.7866040188169108, c_new = 5.0374864348650235
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6187.560566748808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3587:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3670674951220754, b_new = -0.3464342748899908, c_new = 4.989330687523034
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9659.823609248397
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3588:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.2219220643705615, b_new = -0.7217063807904531, c_new = 4.577296714527731
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14903.982909958817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3589:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.096911143498941, b_new = -2.2510874741130404, c_new = 5.090731058003039
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3202.326305567131
Acceptance probability: 2.733871776780919e-83
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3590:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8779032119688446, b_new = -1.2513760203056807, c_new = 4.203718577807033
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4138.172618086845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3591:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3673100023488263, b_new = -1.394773211876645, c_new = 5.363360725299028
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12007.310656157519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3592:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8571530712256865, b_new = -1.503945503527781, c_new = 4.526625230331453
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4855.599046907002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3593:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.413798224431284, b_new = -1.6296105278479405, c_new = 5.418385471710107
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11953.860038934474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3594:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.133241657878408, b_new = -0.044005297035428104, c_new = 4.688975527518513
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5494.247134890522
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3595:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2549263874594634, b_new = 0.1737353848117993, c_new = 4.603544855117806
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8786.39871727625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3596:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.141922428620481, b_new = -1.998624421518357, c_new = 5.238626679425433
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3060.013459547584
Acceptance probability: 1.747679820880685e-21
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3597:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7075883628336705, b_new = -1.781031737011405, c_new = 5.246479785764146
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8383.442993512039
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3598:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.700711385847642, b_new = -0.6949254762459246, c_new = 4.225785052326536
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5960.726584360148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3599:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6318996693561554, b_new = -1.5104616718660058, c_new = 5.595671042533084
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15460.878538903831
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3600:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3163716869027415, b_new = -1.5932733427813912, c_new = 5.3419635031354025
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -16301.469865516894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3601:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.205638141722117, b_new = -0.9935781489843278, c_new = 6.159949528140625
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12441.457486717642
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3602:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2242303242539574, b_new = -0.9479664318675034, c_new = 6.020559677042096
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5473.205606289412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3603:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8362382168797997, b_new = -0.49756339518447845, c_new = 5.536530338412157
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3373.919178892243
Acceptance probability: 8.22129292749155e-158
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3604:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7990567649395643, b_new = -0.6778985421267096, c_new = 4.246343153494141
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12979.345433003986
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3605:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1336890645623683, b_new = -0.4015548449743166, c_new = 4.781671695868235
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4706.209471659033
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3606:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2731357877778318, b_new = -0.963176706387842, c_new = 5.766866112293536
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6359.76880799265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3607:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8113426393470053, b_new = -0.49632264570783846, c_new = 5.297500757102762
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3612.8703644166835
Acceptance probability: 1.3796178507792436e-261
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3608:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.075498987183732, b_new = -1.7180464058252414, c_new = 5.529667010961539
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3021.253928040845
Acceptance probability: 0.00011899056490450306
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3609:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.833209167921528, b_new = -1.7004061420463685, c_new = 4.832676594490942
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5660.7007503148525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3610:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.033378937809666, b_new = -0.33537706814253665, c_new = 5.538459816382221
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3677.16020465615
Acceptance probability: 1.6559070173794002e-289
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3611:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.473336045535966, b_new = -1.3751010404579944, c_new = 3.8318406021633002
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8599.076482552484
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3612:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2799681038810973, b_new = -0.9234959319370395, c_new = 4.865730299822432
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12160.25985850459
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3613:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.883415210811766, b_new = -0.37411819568616733, c_new = 3.893617369967246
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3146.4396310725388
Acceptance probability: 5.105667005824884e-59
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3614:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.47443168329652, b_new = -0.570493347205488, c_new = 5.059306039755635
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10689.210274611421
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3615:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.251365650778538, b_new = -0.6340395168938844, c_new = 4.797114372225813
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15109.861620943833
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3616:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.885681199387166, b_new = -1.2537566880362474, c_new = 4.774029324354685
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3913.147695297541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3617:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7815670724738055, b_new = -1.4508174474610092, c_new = 4.922853117435596
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12059.647980356156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3618:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.457023396231886, b_new = -1.1853116953954794, c_new = 4.678834244506554
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10995.4499690098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3619:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.502646489060468, b_new = -1.8300840474432838, c_new = 5.579612272620597
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11377.97964603185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3620:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2332124562298, b_new = -1.5952152273831048, c_new = 5.087749350625335
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4052.943818307884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3621:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.459025673198945, b_new = -0.5580311611067917, c_new = 5.091705986492035
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9628.109295499413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3622:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.334253362243562, b_new = -1.1982439205967819, c_new = 5.637075718535227
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11908.485586246856
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3623:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8064512942823505, b_new = -1.8324310711120033, c_new = 4.404852170545443
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6756.863180734435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3624:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.11522723631163, b_new = -0.8316337838266094, c_new = 4.107746374347127
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3606.4317850863126
Acceptance probability: 8.629751290280862e-259
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3625:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9632109900631938, b_new = -0.4424719923396707, c_new = 4.653837935509428
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14181.663818297697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3626:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9979900509714676, b_new = -1.1779145116060274, c_new = 4.294731226663399
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3072.186722383196
Acceptance probability: 9.029859553407607e-27
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3627:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.197404467746994, b_new = -1.5209838758969962, c_new = 5.366543190749985
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3784.14252961717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3628:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1996827883652172, b_new = -2.0115851311384216, c_new = 5.029666871656717
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3268.1204108302095
Acceptance probability: 7.290566640443713e-112
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3629:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9611202435260715, b_new = -1.3462460143607666, c_new = 5.073526604328899
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3275.9908051521516
Acceptance probability: 2.7841489090722236e-115
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3630:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2848972361991318, b_new = -0.6680516691356552, c_new = 4.895827686416485
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11740.62435865221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3631:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.788989428056649, b_new = -1.047658022589038, c_new = 5.616530336313614
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14607.558411173492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3632:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.196253507677276, b_new = -1.5678975019047956, c_new = 3.9360732302504617
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3517.4164264540923
Acceptance probability: 3.934389371036598e-220
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3633:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4624848777705295, b_new = -1.8978891251332621, c_new = 4.750004025797925
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7445.532475774118
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3634:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3965444639759657, b_new = -0.6099616725830612, c_new = 4.894581859986177
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9478.482772147681
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3635:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4960675306756026, b_new = -1.074484463102665, c_new = 5.394062740735228
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10087.332046231859
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3636:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1171513131361435, b_new = -1.0894262177571352, c_new = 5.86106904968907
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3596.1124300551664
Acceptance probability: 2.6159969080425528e-254
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3637:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0544454512345434, b_new = -1.1296551822756418, c_new = 4.921809285521707
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13774.188101953187
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3638:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.683274083844793, b_new = -0.8388035473646256, c_new = 5.577484672792833
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6213.843001449577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3639:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1429011095937227, b_new = -1.7195012285330735, c_new = 5.111661575547715
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3148.8053722472846
Acceptance probability: 4.7931845269239474e-60
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3640:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.133062988025377, b_new = -0.8251804308044897, c_new = 5.1143820820683175
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12958.920799880085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3641:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.319110778284138, b_new = -0.6467182694537288, c_new = 5.7858444736434596
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8286.72176754675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3642:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4775908366106503, b_new = -1.4589015758381128, c_new = 5.284063186744751
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11071.069971709814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3643:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.311650920485242, b_new = -1.271518241296619, c_new = 5.244861446376232
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6153.109453334089
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3644:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5396445816009905, b_new = -0.6806838300336202, c_new = 4.3522544308142095
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8975.110021828046
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3645:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.236791578025151, b_new = -0.614322131920635, c_new = 4.613777474074464
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12124.484361384959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3646:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.644876565791161, b_new = -1.8013910452559885, c_new = 5.019736349688625
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9670.51677046254
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3647:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.654706634282396, b_new = -1.2677690551885719, c_new = 4.522395411451844
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8329.35320148234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3648:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6760802257308223, b_new = -0.6867946242061185, c_new = 5.334159489872299
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6056.332635953677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3649:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8387498751499898, b_new = -1.4740361625145586, c_new = 5.546966435345878
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4798.123828463775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3650:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.487535773731473, b_new = -1.4735387320155187, c_new = 5.003419777858947
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11080.234680999227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3651:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.136383199907827, b_new = -1.0491296298236747, c_new = 4.670735367163729
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3637.1644256236573
Acceptance probability: 3.881343501819169e-272
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3652:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7416015346349392, b_new = -1.1796205152074903, c_new = 5.371643748580511
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14925.506891088886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3653:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.357043048930174, b_new = -1.8348286373353635, c_new = 4.2195516703129154
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5348.735469512568
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3654:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7858380412088737, b_new = -1.1555290151572422, c_new = 4.942910245550268
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12477.900476798513
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3655:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9883466827446066, b_new = -2.2737067374194604, c_new = 4.364152761269201
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4421.627199375169
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3656:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.481494816202575, b_new = -2.634621582095622, c_new = 6.054973059158829
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6413.064462127736
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3657:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.585654085765924, b_new = -1.2917531791703027, c_new = 4.864502625731102
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9469.763023915639
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3658:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0319609856105676, b_new = -1.1055650874461755, c_new = 5.578256830331133
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3044.847767759652
Acceptance probability: 6.742766641204392e-15
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3659:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7544927840840976, b_new = -0.814015036577888, c_new = 5.185014708838913
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12771.807348477028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3660:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.865604261407099, b_new = -0.9703722414237304, c_new = 5.433509043655334
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3623.420414381473
Acceptance probability: 3.6135188247010815e-266
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3661:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.582111949265446, b_new = -1.6019272356325753, c_new = 5.167281681029455
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10097.65006315397
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3662:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.961422615674693, b_new = -2.0442702788627054, c_new = 4.681017896180713
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4281.7259650500355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3663:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5996729716016502, b_new = -1.491165795765945, c_new = 5.168415116646775
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9597.997359455043
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3664:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.023295832754411, b_new = -1.5617794018965097, c_new = 4.891048920761129
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13387.98412604722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3665:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.681647634508519, b_new = -1.704042387766199, c_new = 5.512960575566966
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8576.439253367827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3666:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.90953151223708, b_new = -0.7567478536848793, c_new = 5.559029480179607
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3124.8078156587385
Acceptance probability: 1.26657395796063e-49
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3667:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.780077718581832, b_new = -1.1301897978264648, c_new = 5.652524411811643
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5034.135836457182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3668:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.119845394909526, b_new = -0.5862845764574937, c_new = 5.346775655553389
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4286.36801297541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3669:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3814841626150893, b_new = -1.6708914394684258, c_new = 5.694667221007959
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6720.672661473732
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3670:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7958002069783716, b_new = -1.153520398523943, c_new = 4.048656074127429
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12321.059585807052
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3671:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.317935453474491, b_new = -1.1208304643131308, c_new = 5.835469041587835
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11872.808325770857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3672:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7897944419701393, b_new = -1.5801770251680691, c_new = 4.447123915027762
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11827.679119877741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3673:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6771524064937453, b_new = -1.801030075828319, c_new = 4.798666992316126
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10639.751918523309
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3674:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9997495344421043, b_new = -1.655918563050528, c_new = 4.108258493770196
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3430.102840557346
Acceptance probability: 3.271040251034877e-182
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3675:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1867746030975597, b_new = -2.619728074986422, c_new = 5.02144059780067
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3123.094481319333
Acceptance probability: 7.02622743434228e-49
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3676:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.354745229956316, b_new = -1.7450838189954827, c_new = 4.882688917474856
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5708.292373362527
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3677:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8550152990948985, b_new = -1.1314626097943221, c_new = 4.201960972590362
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12764.742727340978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3678:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6327150631952647, b_new = -1.2463122507955342, c_new = 5.753429245479771
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11373.627072539399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3679:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1095640081924865, b_new = -1.1251961447005352, c_new = 4.454279425081559
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3305.341994120052
Acceptance probability: 4.98463145315463e-128
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3680:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2671438763589657, b_new = -0.548310096328005, c_new = 4.415350249406844
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6872.053178497533
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3681:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.335746265177172, b_new = -1.630428917757421, c_new = 4.67722542016514
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12790.185232875085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3682:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.651201519888334, b_new = -1.3953935178054109, c_new = 4.618644432009051
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8695.936710001246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3683:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.193540489198219, b_new = -1.5443519665668908, c_new = 4.914099259275338
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3641.222837288699
Acceptance probability: 6.705579077307602e-274
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3684:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9042814717547647, b_new = -2.284384924228381, c_new = 5.455488864875643
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5522.983621629955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3685:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.645464700399197, b_new = -1.033895440500846, c_new = 5.122758522873928
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7654.743805900775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3686:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.346609369808335, b_new = -1.7566481498758615, c_new = 5.142986284084571
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5599.903652175301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3687:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9832787043600275, b_new = -1.1083793786234983, c_new = 4.553022176953133
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3071.461840483085
Acceptance probability: 1.8642030096555884e-26
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3688:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5124375607872445, b_new = -1.082363800709211, c_new = 5.280088064789914
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10241.392418972722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3689:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9656168466356627, b_new = -1.4658447613666161, c_new = 3.8952323892556846
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12957.014867493524
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3690:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7813609634874794, b_new = -1.410217867935908, c_new = 5.039755091058829
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5881.780718562448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3691:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1640135879755453, b_new = -0.4621387077966459, c_new = 5.5013705077479145
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5333.055705270282
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3692:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7989902814622405, b_new = -1.4570141848491471, c_new = 4.908937895321264
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5693.472708328146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3693:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.81485496267845, b_new = -1.3877746321556441, c_new = 5.517249061258124
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12525.385900947078
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3694:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.867010933161911, b_new = -1.2015285410435965, c_new = 5.348672338934137
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13042.424952354082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3695:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.301185859463844, b_new = -1.357810624479562, c_new = 5.697967854424681
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5866.79971949926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3696:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5532962821650664, b_new = -0.10106001828313604, c_new = 4.982370061865539
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12231.68593735505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3697:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0255409520364376, b_new = -0.5150613653309972, c_new = 4.724066214369574
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3285.86114576452
Acceptance probability: 1.4389907331550326e-119
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3698:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.172117691397464, b_new = -1.1504211524868952, c_new = 5.588090346727263
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4078.87411092445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3699:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9683350300873435, b_new = -1.717323109869063, c_new = 5.498906402420827
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3531.0822487484033
Acceptance probability: 4.5696835369817754e-226
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3700:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.241031030660847, b_new = -0.9680436436512253, c_new = 5.590463328193509
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5605.097365899717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3701:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9439826579527684, b_new = -1.0472298325200589, c_new = 5.18603838587245
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3149.4151399302336
Acceptance probability: 2.6049860907332753e-60
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3702:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8576408148378674, b_new = 0.5552244813786802, c_new = 5.30820430315244
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3265.2301528896683
Acceptance probability: 1.312152641037607e-110
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3703:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.922897555516511, b_new = -1.528710911534514, c_new = 4.624948364180553
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3922.086445154682
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3704:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.790573894088542, b_new = -1.8956652942424592, c_new = 5.410589418248095
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11651.385040142988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3705:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0487442950319337, b_new = -0.9684636412402635, c_new = 5.662155087154723
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3179.0955612960706
Acceptance probability: 3.3555382133586686e-73
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3706:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.336902754003503, b_new = -0.7357161122120873, c_new = 5.441878111720245
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15410.955851257408
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3707:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4912170222906154, b_new = -1.4906496470920507, c_new = 5.502723193199464
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10904.00778362468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3708:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0173932324354853, b_new = -0.734299238742248, c_new = 4.314411373602929
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3074.993207342889
Acceptance probability: 5.455569138881022e-28
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3709:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.271177194370652, b_new = -1.6341020160680921, c_new = 4.974941410666295
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13141.77472312903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3710:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8550050140791896, b_new = -0.9580980987729584, c_new = 4.7774571425392995
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13115.314791021803
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3711:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.296350284537967, b_new = -1.1844677420684073, c_new = 5.591081079650661
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6186.823958954374
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3712:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1898223470515306, b_new = -0.8826704854054304, c_new = 4.53834360567714
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4564.867582365641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3713:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8904156283668656, b_new = -0.7148405054075769, c_new = 5.716214176112041
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3180.752072716862
Acceptance probability: 6.4024827897053974e-74
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3714:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0883213981294526, b_new = -1.2349616870703817, c_new = 4.468221296931397
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3120.3977259037065
Acceptance probability: 1.0420971293619166e-47
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3715:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9827556877823502, b_new = -1.0221662011530845, c_new = 5.119878347030602
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3024.14549486246
Acceptance probability: 6.602691585192974e-06
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3716:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.490634133457961, b_new = -0.38024778551093863, c_new = 4.898477615888501
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11162.365416148177
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3717:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8615694093768, b_new = -1.0216375542238925, c_new = 4.525252518039697
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3902.327654722091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3718:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.328314222269353, b_new = -1.2995991061411156, c_new = 5.334520006362448
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6463.570780788682
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3719:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0993631948155937, b_new = -1.3644059065288308, c_new = 4.6484827072470445
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3113.495186600965
Acceptance probability: 1.0366757267396493e-44
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3720:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8722540674438988, b_new = -0.6725510240607776, c_new = 5.218700695887116
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3296.3723881486408
Acceptance probability: 3.918171414019171e-124
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3721:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4924910336756207, b_new = -1.0019513536170517, c_new = 5.880397485572995
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10349.976031187804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3722:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5243943183245101, b_new = -1.106052158468306, c_new = 4.693315869402321
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15646.087093653534
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3723:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.198568956357832, b_new = -1.2952072660546734, c_new = 4.727100943457205
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4007.5843410262983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3724:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.020075641792016, b_new = -1.364348387052172, c_new = 5.310668736283108
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13674.506285205869
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3725:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2525389712011323, b_new = -1.4574388151425188, c_new = 5.327003782883826
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4630.388754126201
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3726:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.320159129524914, b_new = -1.7424355619352894, c_new = 5.255562617991681
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5165.177479906186
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3727:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8876397747775813, b_new = -1.4628636629397158, c_new = 6.121580821710164
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3931.083986535822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3728:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1988107651333184, b_new = -1.2310460133556933, c_new = 5.644100392093318
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4320.286913083832
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3729:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5220080516648506, b_new = -1.7536354255390907, c_new = 5.782098548147708
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10952.698835975125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3730:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7879257728147, b_new = -0.7474106964391306, c_new = 5.016991225470727
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4314.341829517951
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3731:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7284480301410934, b_new = -1.024748103295552, c_new = 5.109643442602884
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5936.591671842136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3732:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7658509863658267, b_new = -1.8043202488600505, c_new = 4.724333190832355
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11404.721024573277
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3733:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5670764565068103, b_new = -1.6653024349288772, c_new = 4.7012569202792065
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9628.253412561697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3734:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3779245139758705, b_new = -1.0969327433221967, c_new = 5.559366908318505
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8155.648014139711
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3735:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.266471944220658, b_new = -1.1257731637742254, c_new = 4.69789415841688
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14752.055705366196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3736:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.390016783603207, b_new = -1.8999618498932547, c_new = 5.672683579490582
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6290.70020382629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3737:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.314652960775137, b_new = -2.477372110387013, c_new = 5.126789477887569
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3791.9670337883867
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3738:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9047191557263883, b_new = -1.4596795962849793, c_new = 5.019262282568985
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3947.441938039857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3739:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.298658411822057, b_new = -0.8902689771128243, c_new = 4.409932632928436
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6603.3587470533275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3740:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.499719278431916, b_new = -1.3366872843350857, c_new = 4.983740681996191
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10683.507350413649
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3741:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4077612767872902, b_new = -1.258698822926123, c_new = 4.679587331605794
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7986.156812227966
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3742:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0726400780973755, b_new = -1.4596814283892765, c_new = 4.806716996828014
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3027.639938112354
Acceptance probability: 2.0049502047956138e-07
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3743:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8074182969084474, b_new = -1.69603961564561, c_new = 4.805239074783408
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15251.281022962783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3744:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.352613120617277, b_new = -1.431165905082236, c_new = 5.952046090476183
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6853.581866241058
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3745:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.401615641790656, b_new = -1.969169826202997, c_new = 5.388292285395061
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6256.22926148345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3746:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5545497498468346, b_new = 0.023348292868463183, c_new = 4.8108223879895515
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12376.717025013499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3747:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.98933379273837, b_new = -1.37818954524876, c_new = 5.34209800348928
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3121.54599847805
Acceptance probability: 3.3053675321135115e-48
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3748:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.057107732058023, b_new = -0.7544884717089053, c_new = 4.517140684077838
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3268.054898744662
Acceptance probability: 7.784179128401135e-112
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3749:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.13977714437218, b_new = -0.6644988614249131, c_new = 5.007147729076057
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4342.7045984209735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3750:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3342067480027717, b_new = -1.4762604489842968, c_new = 4.936294350649941
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12511.706849880264
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3751:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2280228350408238, b_new = -1.4424139227974346, c_new = 5.111457218437512
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4238.8497863080565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3752:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4309393855670924, b_new = -2.2601302915653783, c_new = 5.568807033895518
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6177.922774137483
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3753:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.66151795001624, b_new = -2.1371619731130496, c_new = 4.503346629869442
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10404.03424525787
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3754:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4155579728783776, b_new = -0.8289262928475434, c_new = 4.571480184406966
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10838.655306306771
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3755:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6168168476293268, b_new = -1.6017559488986517, c_new = 5.894066422894738
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9319.177886392965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3756:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.605351955003244, b_new = -0.6525125196420634, c_new = 5.144844238685699
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7444.460492091246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3757:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.255204192234488, b_new = -1.5734265707952004, c_new = 5.425363919738011
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13042.552310964398
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3758:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.405458744659274, b_new = -1.3033351878687156, c_new = 5.327823254827394
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8064.107286657958
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3759:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4109141066152278, b_new = -1.2238900937295654, c_new = 5.160899297736234
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11395.793878479839
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3760:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1557903972596275, b_new = -1.0847136077692527, c_new = 5.50724661604686
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3959.0258071603066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3761:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.75680679763901, b_new = -1.13832710736789, c_new = 4.602494118959002
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12212.255688338744
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3762:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.31596775224845, b_new = -1.192451198350438, c_new = 6.073702362518793
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6772.525180889457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3763:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6986359246152833, b_new = -1.3051238637303801, c_new = 4.484979091730421
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7554.411113554449
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3764:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.017673296069717, b_new = -1.1420085687742636, c_new = 5.905068566175937
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3023.7752629073666
Acceptance probability: 9.561162661018215e-06
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3765:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7417575061405195, b_new = -2.4827796954838677, c_new = 5.390710134380097
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9578.687862498362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3766:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.191322522214338, b_new = -1.1045423650976347, c_new = 5.270183269221579
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4350.37191926466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3767:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.222417580709751, b_new = -0.5279018819925639, c_new = 5.460604180998181
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6350.714237297305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3768:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.102715160285356, b_new = -0.9213483172327376, c_new = 5.127688734494586
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3539.848916090972
Acceptance probability: 7.121490076894928e-230
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3769:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1233554432135806, b_new = -1.7617844176477389, c_new = 5.7621912522261205
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3085.88183660557
Acceptance probability: 1.0185174163839427e-32
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3770:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.326986019001606, b_new = -0.15970752103483266, c_new = 4.546222343396821
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10623.375617171218
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3771:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1918339010178323, b_new = -1.6079094945992758, c_new = 5.080172760202837
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3574.287843063402
Acceptance probability: 7.869278700668317e-245
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3772:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.233521478358112, b_new = -1.5437042273214627, c_new = 4.539817445281181
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4032.2225734758254
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3773:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.792153857772154, b_new = -1.5581369042753332, c_new = 4.5742974716571965
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11905.96365156908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3774:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.320022281691801, b_new = -0.9530001634522592, c_new = 5.540004830318791
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7325.820493803341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3775:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2139182504050696, b_new = -1.6890028193891313, c_new = 4.894401290566802
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13574.219218974507
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3776:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.139873462707614, b_new = -1.460050536839201, c_new = 4.8175634330593216
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14005.077812897409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3777:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9343434831343176, b_new = -1.1996673913368738, c_new = 5.708328524569376
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3260.263703459174
Acceptance probability: 1.8831544515760416e-108
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3778:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.147971775921778, b_new = -2.146433646127016, c_new = 4.884387209583351
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3066.988003186899
Acceptance probability: 1.634767727049164e-24
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3779:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.833978470268981, b_new = -1.048519877180148, c_new = 4.755507977000924
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4253.787584307086
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3780:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.55250931768726, b_new = -1.7329056430889387, c_new = 6.574596318287006
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9899.267849391528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3781:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.544547175302809, b_new = -0.8236065909458845, c_new = 4.710092609939335
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10893.869626575852
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3782:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.049302447390618, b_new = -2.0007218188399856, c_new = 5.79667128904646
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3184.5064552161725
Acceptance probability: 1.4991352542649306e-75
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3783:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.043084431783369, b_new = -0.751251282278095, c_new = 4.891180297670548
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13436.120196821896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3784:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.269048946052523, b_new = -1.3019469206837682, c_new = 5.960991859833893
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12458.416079896982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3785:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5958477067991703, b_new = -0.6432539375668428, c_new = 5.727258821352886
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11985.453799162477
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3786:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6004310323482236, b_new = -0.5960559267450284, c_new = 5.033586330485351
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11888.030769162651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3787:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.109025015064026, b_new = -1.5644515530776624, c_new = 5.967167154039135
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13712.069138150853
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3788:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.397828172177693, b_new = -0.9415280514616536, c_new = 4.890970821161912
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8691.137140067674
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3789:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.025829853885617, b_new = -1.310409155320667, c_new = 4.58979721412363
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3035.4960231706127
Acceptance probability: 7.766926596111013e-11
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3790:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2047023999706754, b_new = -1.185784613615598, c_new = 5.759849365540834
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4523.597463212638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3791:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.175994853332932, b_new = -1.5883475926642494, c_new = 5.112795838637512
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3458.675849417339
Acceptance probability: 1.2752220366462866e-194
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3792:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3850522303899675, b_new = -1.0830918273112207, c_new = 4.529157424113791
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7942.231294631599
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3793:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4259103168678995, b_new = -1.5676483093334836, c_new = 4.764168998950653
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7572.456213604232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3794:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.719002952864825, b_new = -1.0417000982688394, c_new = 4.992515454762351
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6213.137303473473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3795:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8015828746045974, b_new = -0.960363377251903, c_new = 4.9009860115569355
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4533.515052240546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3796:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.754148069644509, b_new = -1.7435469154791932, c_new = 5.717716034236514
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7108.788617686256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3797:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.03056056238242, b_new = -1.7859093026552353, c_new = 4.9917066381753195
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14502.623518075305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3798:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.64190021749512, b_new = -1.7295518502855936, c_new = 4.550441831843018
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9730.242949688878
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3799:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3183773106695886, b_new = -0.8658653525949821, c_new = 5.90236818285387
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7688.338136313962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3800:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.25321074188333, b_new = -1.7096794313919221, c_new = 5.237310944760018
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4163.194811722069
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3801:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7572449050337067, b_new = -1.3030958822595806, c_new = 4.944114129566431
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6130.423627236214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3802:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6857430663900286, b_new = -1.2590745997384576, c_new = 4.667055221556463
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7622.004891528992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3803:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4649186527370786, b_new = -1.8283370247496542, c_new = 5.776860965341283
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8023.405141431266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3804:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7809766072735504, b_new = -1.8913081466344361, c_new = 4.064350559603394
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7646.6966234724705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3805:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7654316510358408, b_new = -0.8082019605391014, c_new = 6.1202167821607265
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4503.541310278572
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3806:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4713564677542745, b_new = -1.851411077565483, c_new = 5.218363616311259
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7890.809360945579
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3807:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.34489971885235, b_new = -1.3124817151998385, c_new = 4.905073835402531
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12203.1090454839
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3808:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8671641548409466, b_new = -1.3316195532294883, c_new = 5.128479187090102
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4199.062657418377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3809:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0887620913119727, b_new = -0.7346321818116931, c_new = 4.914759978761766
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13163.874975502004
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3810:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.853571843950728, b_new = -0.8941910560872569, c_new = 4.430171382181099
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13094.834881386441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3811:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2684846166299164, b_new = -1.3548263399219853, c_new = 5.434875534803578
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5150.2164573784685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3812:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3246316581658015, b_new = -1.3544575324488346, c_new = 4.922002281701994
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6094.31351601442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3813:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9495202298580634, b_new = 0.013775164045764177, c_new = 6.393582734060832
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3518.393776624456
Acceptance probability: 1.4805379782827169e-220
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3814:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3982607856429814, b_new = -1.2537514919132595, c_new = 4.858643610018033
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7876.697393401637
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3815:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.109663624008432, b_new = -2.4189952129553296, c_new = 5.111127867861335
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3258.0092962285753
Acceptance probability: 1.7945789175900518e-107
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3816:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.999627196259675, b_new = -0.7925916173781566, c_new = 5.322141314583079
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3055.4289088904625
Acceptance probability: 1.7120124720287886e-19
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3817:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2513536089745534, b_new = -1.4467993068146066, c_new = 5.816713810880476
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4763.461993335373
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3818:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1839435585804616, b_new = -1.500973533517347, c_new = 5.455487109385742
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3681.1717831857773
Acceptance probability: 2.9979854961362054e-291
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3819:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2258597738987063, b_new = -1.2589269843854038, c_new = 5.980598563405664
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4777.454338217478
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3820:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.868496552740985, b_new = -1.4910900081396243, c_new = 5.010592477814994
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4504.980215407062
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3821:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.688632110358489, b_new = -0.6916424483598581, c_new = 4.93593640692123
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5951.202346624638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3822:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.49045538979869, b_new = -1.3556363244876373, c_new = 4.619902017656842
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10954.033195778178
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3823:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9946241495191255, b_new = -1.8875478169589106, c_new = 4.422211239664702
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3695.0360992644855
Acceptance probability: 2.8551804359065597e-297
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3824:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.898279742231833, b_new = -0.5409511819885073, c_new = 5.539262526221122
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3082.420402400061
Acceptance probability: 3.2452655132914647e-31
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3825:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2437636797669014, b_new = -2.500045661212771, c_new = 4.745299142668365
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3222.3711947091106
Acceptance probability: 5.387575841685546e-92
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3826:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5203912966365465, b_new = -0.9913229019185436, c_new = 5.140608903390868
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10463.648506177567
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3827:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.758683401718948, b_new = -0.8682838736798115, c_new = 4.5897918560849975
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12571.56535848586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3828:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.758593906598783, b_new = -0.9170982464616111, c_new = 5.411441348487165
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5014.850353677795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3829:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.46266046493916, b_new = -1.47310649324942, c_new = 4.426343763253202
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8383.783647031238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3830:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4139151620247326, b_new = -1.3179048856587705, c_new = 5.936978239424876
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8422.396256986745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3831:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.039360752097747, b_new = -1.726741649412643, c_new = 5.8355164333676655
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3072.921403013222
Acceptance probability: 4.331249999970839e-27
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3832:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.292500427669171, b_new = -1.3585416092902838, c_new = 5.800920657842938
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12411.011516046838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3833:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.977590356377763, b_new = -1.8793484131017126, c_new = 4.378375421184804
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3875.9887695448533
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3834:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.026907555240673, b_new = -1.7269416737374552, c_new = 4.983657075547802
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13253.13247938806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3835:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0043195320840463, b_new = -0.6808986909222071, c_new = 6.368114936271782
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3227.9847226735537
Acceptance probability: 1.965482484208263e-94
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3836:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1845270811461446, b_new = -1.8506201232181434, c_new = 4.875874910178185
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3275.227795382815
Acceptance probability: 5.971224395992857e-115
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3837:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1965369083787705, b_new = -0.7769856959144055, c_new = 5.80148523162889
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12317.015471025432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3838:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7407388710483085, b_new = -0.7989179892603926, c_new = 3.90739882740609
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5540.2266270326245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3839:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5378120403015205, b_new = -1.988314616399408, c_new = 5.658846060466243
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8857.879456002149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3840:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0591067965413585, b_new = -1.2360854012333906, c_new = 5.83494217819547
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3088.5970390916555
Acceptance probability: 6.741724525231904e-34
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3841:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1269412178159586, b_new = -1.4763894772057586, c_new = 5.093819293638675
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3208.821105960543
Acceptance probability: 4.131637110722373e-86
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3842:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9718295666088475, b_new = 0.12834156716098577, c_new = 5.659761218710719
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3711.681227984099
Acceptance probability: 1.6855669438792484e-304
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3843:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0984474060377836, b_new = -2.03509202637649, c_new = 4.884413689166908
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14491.441155124412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3844:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4319507122282302, b_new = -1.529021049786862, c_new = 5.436203592820714
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8033.256898894439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3845:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8123498108172895, b_new = -0.8765340637630152, c_new = 5.65897226023213
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4059.3506771819257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3846:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.833081451176646, b_new = -1.319708174293916, c_new = 5.168343246571993
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4677.586026669653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3847:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.916320349674387, b_new = -0.7264451675879946, c_new = 5.11150689139647
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3107.0784193665504
Acceptance probability: 6.344677202309377e-42
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3848:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4491084042237636, b_new = -1.7916931988776519, c_new = 5.210964223985466
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7611.32170800731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3849:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9476051429706236, b_new = -1.621455829321891, c_new = 5.181659657742263
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3667.131839472865
Acceptance probability: 3.752317753923705e-285
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3850:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.257291120716317, b_new = -1.168690038481755, c_new = 5.402878181516299
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12513.044682435957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3851:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.891498106653345, b_new = -1.4497868440501283, c_new = 5.242641037441538
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4047.873285497241
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3852:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.920552904487974, b_new = -1.4464513255095566, c_new = 5.5302995622825355
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3651.769575296994
Acceptance probability: 1.7621633699389255e-278
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3853:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.159400038000425, b_new = -1.363511843094184, c_new = 6.483763845980013
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3788.693038736519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3854:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8754996028880777, b_new = -1.1292551469430185, c_new = 5.94639803578589
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14297.089785270924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3855:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0061863904098938, b_new = -0.6721010084211279, c_new = 4.2252087598355335
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3060.9967633761835
Acceptance probability: 6.537601506109779e-22
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3856:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.48998464206414, b_new = -2.1893353621636287, c_new = 5.029743102882456
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12299.652764425366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3857:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5872186751222395, b_new = -1.0744979727858999, c_new = 4.940188983780952
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8904.960053870578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3858:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2452275897563108, b_new = -1.602481865104291, c_new = 4.885766364582326
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13288.453417114428
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3859:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4392306659248306, b_new = -0.8788706946482007, c_new = 5.853790872161727
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9874.373367300353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3860:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.225468577183925, b_new = 0.024623100706339107, c_new = 5.430023187192936
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8058.749576238401
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3861:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.42504232798793, b_new = -1.360165679118573, c_new = 5.211217955170803
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11471.189509834041
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3862:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.224635056799813, b_new = -1.4729032459964244, c_new = 5.732559928452383
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14533.33619977624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3863:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9285505604755437, b_new = -1.085019533521711, c_new = 4.9986751327248005
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3280.6892114601633
Acceptance probability: 2.5362994429366988e-117
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3864:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.365301533143983, b_new = -0.33716096434981857, c_new = 4.949580591634853
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9638.061868749519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3865:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4705507859031393, b_new = -1.3001136573824938, c_new = 5.338620528671625
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10838.031667208981
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3866:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3304396432554393, b_new = -0.48641652674672453, c_new = 5.272694116590815
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8754.026555750126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3867:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2806550970280344, b_new = -1.7692185169226557, c_new = 4.720318000357766
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13325.508024016975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3868:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8768502658563007, b_new = -0.784417907684309, c_new = 4.7119438729793535
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3420.653333638839
Acceptance probability: 4.1548428281565416e-178
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3869:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6546198403106285, b_new = -1.3566829630454953, c_new = 5.0613005958054575
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8353.311286795939
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3870:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4732045092685255, b_new = -1.6177157024296966, c_new = 5.717393445240458
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8669.070456313286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3871:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.170234658947621, b_new = -1.090476577661522, c_new = 5.661309511468572
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4171.358125437774
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3872:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.651131216287202, b_new = -0.8692956989643006, c_new = 5.168228155078971
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7089.184971701431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3873:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6987689130698915, b_new = -2.3319925140196487, c_new = 5.560485768614349
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15876.216006199915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3874:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8995282584160544, b_new = -1.0090462275676593, c_new = 5.149600069219317
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3404.2167593831155
Acceptance probability: 5.713050991358825e-171
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3875:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3692119109547396, b_new = -0.9789831769365441, c_new = 5.581550217379097
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8309.263899842585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3876:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.717097743678603, b_new = -0.336707855430312, c_new = 5.462459190147007
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13220.901847514226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3877:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6028371697825183, b_new = -0.5271599863792208, c_new = 5.223534688000614
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7147.177344358393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3878:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.942305220011135, b_new = -0.889914115063362, c_new = 4.962607552041158
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3091.2807733000514
Acceptance probability: 4.605110389459602e-35
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3879:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.122326223858249, b_new = -1.6478742848419254, c_new = 4.5952240509032425
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3085.059019858676
Acceptance probability: 2.319066661058802e-32
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3880:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8416800380320506, b_new = -1.1943184162236413, c_new = 4.215237986816361
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12609.35597473386
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3881:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7421711941447953, b_new = -1.520170808792781, c_new = 5.020757742712611
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11692.567625621326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3882:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6507710651423775, b_new = -1.1670830760390962, c_new = 5.391149294786359
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11552.918757624562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3883:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9573621372660166, b_new = -1.6889775946418941, c_new = 4.980841610058252
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3695.228434681623
Acceptance probability: 2.3556097801235257e-297
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3884:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.05946177451456, b_new = -0.716671536071619, c_new = 4.544454932349106
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3318.899701620208
Acceptance probability: 6.450531479441378e-134
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.978251647485736, b_new = -0.46875049372580657, c_new = 4.420379534879646
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3066.843630745141
Acceptance probability: 1.8886705579055785e-24
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.774238463770186, b_new = -1.4750418735016435, c_new = 4.539681592187606
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11875.910442746628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1393206624624823, b_new = -0.25449515354599517, c_new = 4.434097594415582
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5019.040077671081
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4472711471701087, b_new = -2.4736253959859034, c_new = 5.486670623808256
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12928.269716153634
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.410577521337781, b_new = -1.6014794741348308, c_new = 4.8374881293615415
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7199.951240521448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.860640965061859, b_new = -0.84929390914221, c_new = 5.548268213404881
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3514.5527878164653
Acceptance probability: 6.895087734728129e-219
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.719244866822353, b_new = -1.840530170193475, c_new = 5.361345522933063
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8264.526603440321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8385337549439704, b_new = -0.4692167524707289, c_new = 4.92917981436766
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3394.704756985314
Acceptance probability: 7.724640087039212e-167
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.496781491074096, b_new = -0.6968590769372234, c_new = 4.79471402702908
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10625.565178255749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.740854583225503, b_new = -2.410034853660733, c_new = 4.45987181230038
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9804.883959515226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831971384421952, b_new = -1.1549918064825984, c_new = 5.841492252208357
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4216.540965351209
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.54784088408953, b_new = -1.3765419071570117, c_new = 4.825964324395843
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9972.78732640882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.326977964606261, b_new = -1.0024075958350729, c_new = 4.651084228151779
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11961.239418292818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.495866608015409, b_new = -0.8176810139391596, c_new = 5.178037528082613
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9632.079981658968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.843127930315763, b_new = -1.0432966806688544, c_new = 4.744517777324555
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4121.934626257517
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.482193472180968, b_new = -1.7315919656190186, c_new = 5.804691979812828
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8583.27613215265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.487072420761564, b_new = -1.9539952493282944, c_new = 4.477824575690777
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7686.245623434856
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2702725949901437, b_new = -1.4731901205031448, c_new = 5.428709547169799
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12816.168258871603
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4704076128359573, b_new = -1.4069920040587516, c_new = 5.200703784334304
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8934.743652301247
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083971223197484, b_new = -1.448441743217063, c_new = 5.167729299407981
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3053.9305996461762
Acceptance probability: 7.659745870619359e-19
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1175536201719773, b_new = -0.8267892289380585, c_new = 4.884551083520596
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3768.433566405799
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1156612491975446, b_new = -1.3878455483155494, c_new = 5.370232145826419
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3228.8230082983137
Acceptance probability: 8.499754004690697e-95
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2462102338293017, b_new = -0.9668051584194812, c_new = 4.509403977991682
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5353.255486169351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0284670167896954, b_new = -1.6229048600689955, c_new = 5.468706131766958
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3086.414520645816
Acceptance probability: 5.9789747652103894e-33
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.176264543783402, b_new = -1.0498373920242665, c_new = 4.716775246222184
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4108.456124106913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.202924146236581, b_new = -1.3174292679250115, c_new = 5.094913487624245
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4103.215342012696
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8262183806280414, b_new = -1.058911071060771, c_new = 5.251117779095374
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4264.2685315612825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2084357657628644, b_new = -1.6761179835333666, c_new = 5.337478647351652
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3695.013747057
Acceptance probability: 2.919718619826694e-297
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7829086584635894, b_new = -0.39954798002623726, c_new = 5.596471117858725
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14089.414909555466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.332565761779428, b_new = -1.1091636046010367, c_new = 4.403115354818776
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6730.711221430274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7585570247280238, b_new = -0.7333584782374982, c_new = 4.80489897680348
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12799.624518775747
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.435881258087157, b_new = -1.7738701693271524, c_new = 5.156866106381155
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12068.931977463408
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4289222858587936, b_new = -0.35794588928894056, c_new = 5.2061207523832875
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9590.823878359231
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2201582581783885, b_new = -1.9204470432090726, c_new = 5.172577149152034
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3506.7162691894528
Acceptance probability: 1.7454065188231336e-215
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.458855959701384, b_new = -2.2370427503677566, c_new = 4.964713834413159
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12656.305433134661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4606193576743713, b_new = -0.6569180418487306, c_new = 4.3570207433988255
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10043.511164536358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.537594379335632, b_new = -1.1961650401839012, c_new = 5.831330262853339
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10504.654697089321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.779120479262444, b_new = -0.6166350626915337, c_new = 5.656600783154372
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4081.6146253370575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.647392255413087, b_new = -0.8770935391791006, c_new = 4.997934159931743
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7247.7368209795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8642957277492362, b_new = -0.9056277010481362, c_new = 5.358590193494676
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3570.6769395885653
Acceptance probability: 2.9115910819516154e-243
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.836353609082482, b_new = -0.7989631408917786, c_new = 5.564344978085178
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3687.379654280782
Acceptance probability: 6.0365022456358794e-294
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2484106865439815, b_new = -0.46257075587582597, c_new = 4.765156593526667
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6839.805695466086
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3619777938312176, b_new = -0.20200674510886096, c_new = 5.8581469835314515
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10254.252492019743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.432104673096839, b_new = -1.603745844436074, c_new = 4.451247345064178
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7493.562022125965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8552570317451718, b_new = -1.814427062052681, c_new = 4.905021095655801
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5490.319460051898
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.364201283765851, b_new = -2.010232331365633, c_new = 5.209080906005276
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5361.248338139628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6905613133089408, b_new = -1.1086572960011685, c_new = 5.893365612897652
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12114.41878006604
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0043510151097625, b_new = -1.6412544892482657, c_new = 4.473391371038967
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3325.588930452299
Acceptance probability: 8.026021689273584e-137
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9850453657522777, b_new = -1.3133902679927916, c_new = 4.540510647010028
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3173.3215442743167
Acceptance probability: 1.0799059149979324e-70
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8615038709824003, b_new = -1.5142324855561382, c_new = 6.014751164046249
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4394.277147105933
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4808934572458057, b_new = -1.143573018234979, c_new = 5.282289979051745
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9702.252025657916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2605062432693375, b_new = -1.4167319427371332, c_new = 4.7927847599640705
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4702.971295626721
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.299104303101873, b_new = -1.2518604183420046, c_new = 5.262830445584467
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5947.867458243697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8666091033741763, b_new = -1.458343189702478, c_new = 5.206705473901563
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12691.720250727354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2165548557623853, b_new = -1.4387917404143955, c_new = 3.9199965364126506
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3872.778793790763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5321370835615844, b_new = -1.2531354230110778, c_new = 5.979449194333755
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10382.048391805187
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8063735910951473, b_new = -1.7183053581698449, c_new = 4.84149142094707
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6259.7165927870265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.722792624136828, b_new = -1.734455739277329, c_new = 4.926907102464981
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11196.239788165096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083485996891951, b_new = -1.5949646879741926, c_new = 5.772769624085784
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3033.568021650399
Acceptance probability: 5.340348782285053e-10
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8618049224179187, b_new = -0.9763199084312066, c_new = 4.674956013246829
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3803.5266880258205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3637448095431752, b_new = -0.9329673641014584, c_new = 5.138576904069143
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8148.748889550316
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8293488822127575, b_new = -1.9826236249298268, c_new = 5.371586857214962
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6292.549181372694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9119308125014363, b_new = -2.0372190419648737, c_new = 5.31953124758768
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4846.028579542909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097730085403975, b_new = -0.9260679152576508, c_new = 4.98523700352791
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3468.7519929416676
Acceptance probability: 5.365031516232506e-199
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4674788925951985, b_new = -1.2814861837795057, c_new = 4.602824170566821
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8969.655875042705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3614992749388746, b_new = -1.441619311021843, c_new = 4.696641269730842
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6557.748559144886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3588665682280237, b_new = -0.899481465581973, c_new = 4.895215736246265
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11442.211772218749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1579778619498358, b_new = -1.207131733360446, c_new = 5.111660663458393
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3731.525434188651
Acceptance probability: 4.0599132436e-313
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2473899350479227, b_new = -0.9768511270902227, c_new = 5.904752712236614
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5823.746006279275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.880158610843276, b_new = -0.9658434675334964, c_new = 4.717935638019373
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3590.4396889947743
Acceptance probability: 7.608120213544776e-252
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.26428119931091, b_new = -1.5016460217223426, c_new = 4.5386889839145566
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4536.465261906459
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.113305037467411, b_new = -1.408661526753811, c_new = 4.377193045242948
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13920.549337097931
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0752302600464643, b_new = -0.6598298348774733, c_new = 5.1662262775213765
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3601.935818404777
Acceptance probability: 7.736985806159128e-257
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.782511042654502, b_new = -1.0280672904956225, c_new = 4.2326192361127495
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5193.167480100114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.169935386809472, b_new = -1.003789181449272, c_new = 5.495242556129037
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14687.246142134045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.008241028101059, b_new = -0.6128700841752508, c_new = 5.0325548279524
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14300.486271421336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3788884745888597, b_new = -0.3681192081989063, c_new = 5.06232311580276
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10260.866179417724
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9270743140530198, b_new = -1.8369928605225376, c_new = 5.553635275966979
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12696.726213724512
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.679218538738967, b_new = -0.5956647201905707, c_new = 5.608676890660986
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5686.634987875594
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094149304412317, b_new = -1.3039250266488092, c_new = 5.3150997279205034
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3163.363102580989
Acceptance probability: 2.281824273392574e-66
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0987548463040433, b_new = -0.6630720654766067, c_new = 6.123310791148088
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4061.990744735168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2466957015404585, b_new = -1.6094768932245391, c_new = 5.1967926636551915
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4232.57917149905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.435581981740113, b_new = -0.7072070956925106, c_new = 5.476542951862416
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10059.74961936642
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8649702843892393, b_new = -0.6651704779286602, c_new = 5.670247866569097
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3297.627492674627
Acceptance probability: 1.1168592924200112e-124
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5434795779912958, b_new = -0.8525438912960587, c_new = 6.142852401216746
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11285.448050252247
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.824962247558539, b_new = -1.166047604543857, c_new = 4.743789535824898
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4614.121828322684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2479127640290324, b_new = -1.2136666793296753, c_new = 5.660443412866059
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5166.593762750839
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6059807545674465, b_new = -1.6011957507510217, c_new = 4.8369372346124555
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9875.363901348795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4363674631340144, b_new = -0.5284883874075396, c_new = 5.236180123984379
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10361.34141097462
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6143613301787085, b_new = -1.7334030576964365, c_new = 4.918550631132363
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10132.124391017061
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.131713357383699, b_new = -1.2154324310573743, c_new = 5.412002481338094
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3511.275116390155
Acceptance probability: 1.8281608762944995e-217
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.677750608767677, b_new = -1.0700192243185742, c_new = 5.7990436918866495
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12042.082232290453
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1766761793373903, b_new = -1.8608457178728863, c_new = 5.680539454423355
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13762.456409298538
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1702841448377685, b_new = -1.7264434233150572, c_new = 5.207671244441817
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3302.5782997202455
Acceptance probability: 7.904788984130476e-127
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.979821961522896, b_new = -1.87301096018291, c_new = 5.0922602745926335
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3689.9360133548853
Acceptance probability: 4.683523750197892e-295
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.918031474701099, b_new = -1.4124793363184924, c_new = 4.802043634671261
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3768.721115374031
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5107964774647606, b_new = -1.6271209265852604, c_new = 5.172573255599349
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11047.443882851792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3270558183332186, b_new = -1.2449784646842332, c_new = 4.79241343819449
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6388.754314403486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.05038835610573, b_new = -2.65037591863768, c_new = 5.998673446953459
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12595.775810675772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5149583154214405, b_new = -1.3514435655005947, c_new = 5.131695546958418
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10475.235263689909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3482962348287484, b_new = -1.394323432659198, c_new = 4.352611703492567
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6289.831464092404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.671972213279045, b_new = -1.38565859799804, c_new = 5.35098852948362
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7977.331902589399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031453885663944, b_new = -1.4429077686196732, c_new = 4.5016668884090185
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3068.7403543890478
Acceptance probability: 2.8341288957084067e-25
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.907556376359657, b_new = -2.253261350313907, c_new = 4.6267894404617556
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5687.076090774824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.747958402030139, b_new = -1.6700940992882076, c_new = 4.159820647910244
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11304.778711094857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.2058966279563474, b_new = -2.240579508064845, c_new = 4.339109714930416
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13464.09493091306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.266552045704145, b_new = -1.0049917310938303, c_new = 5.128547440034183
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5869.176739540384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4194517867625285, b_new = -1.5475305892971527, c_new = 4.558541034868326
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7423.058162759757
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6172094080045927, b_new = -0.919147419062241, c_new = 5.143619363708838
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7899.343916162266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8726052428991804, b_new = -1.3745127192266529, c_new = 5.488783432014382
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12903.347846045473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4849150248888803, b_new = -1.3563710473338062, c_new = 5.099768226601775
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10857.293823224927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.414853045890831, b_new = -1.9469607772448763, c_new = 4.477773735555901
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12719.13013382809
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.641969957299801, b_new = -1.799357121285216, c_new = 5.412206039298034
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9561.095043398776
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6639598860621962, b_new = -1.4851404605305216, c_new = 4.66226363806844
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8674.575361620922
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.795084598536865, b_new = -1.8302747478760408, c_new = 4.697243159178178
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6878.741782833669
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4000:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5710450538360545, b_new = -0.7179812306936407, c_new = 5.379392921709646
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11538.857439664334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4001:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5795566814419306, b_new = -0.8201799064587293, c_new = 4.741259346585274
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11260.13377821048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4002:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9873596106389178, b_new = -1.635481663923196, c_new = 5.98245901744696
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3242.6101749427125
Acceptance probability: 8.744117040482449e-101
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4003:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.156685533759901, b_new = -1.400337883665545, c_new = 4.712207084658816
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13602.712468749545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4004:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.874574555147604, b_new = -1.1727975966283009, c_new = 5.043615915031765
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3867.94376535058
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4005:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4469684212538754, b_new = -1.0716046356981388, c_new = 4.958431820875221
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9240.856478547745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4006:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.61158525392703, b_new = -0.36664011200978464, c_new = 5.525338305022195
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6473.745095587023
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4007:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.242692318726578, b_new = -2.1946712166202946, c_new = 4.692717906087601
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3392.8193830948376
Acceptance probability: 5.0896243613952967e-166
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4008:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0107982478720423, b_new = -0.839542441332108, c_new = 4.400133211427006
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3030.4660478153182
Acceptance probability: 1.1877902106282833e-08
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4009:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.94054608586911, b_new = -1.24173084408556, c_new = 5.033099984605454
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3330.0517659017637
Acceptance probability: 9.253702213440512e-139
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4010:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.545937061380007, b_new = -1.3054833720327585, c_new = 5.16561440833088
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9966.71336583581
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4011:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2747852224680334, b_new = -0.23384678798580838, c_new = 4.834890560726692
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8124.727245915248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4012:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2597975578883944, b_new = -0.652078584754745, c_new = 5.247130609202959
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6741.563763468117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4013:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4895501931083603, b_new = -1.7510234556963278, c_new = 4.893675480892384
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11601.91706908885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4014:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.451035010072801, b_new = -1.5381289216160967, c_new = 5.287196123581377
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11492.485412017246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4015:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.05906813732765, b_new = -1.030182322377568, c_new = 4.709302763500145
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3114.604004546619
Acceptance probability: 3.4204985812673965e-45
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4016:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.285494695284883, b_new = -1.3886649983822015, c_new = 5.921720262830982
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5547.287390914926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4017:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.82092316211629, b_new = -1.5976721149785544, c_new = 5.723920712124485
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12351.657102619763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4018:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.93086272299346, b_new = -1.1456876366819517, c_new = 5.619411919426238
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3249.2099230013837
Acceptance probability: 1.1898214612866336e-103
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4019:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4580359139358743, b_new = -0.8103315143032679, c_new = 4.234250177770889
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10418.547883147527
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4020:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8638320596449565, b_new = -0.5975520498828745, c_new = 5.398086877703054
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3277.274216422004
Acceptance probability: 7.714610910131403e-116
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4021:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5428099023903856, b_new = -1.681850513736248, c_new = 5.591856890317374
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9551.360554544344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4022:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5421569187569975, b_new = -1.4401141700330362, c_new = 5.245190432150796
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9910.550953060116
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4023:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.663763431959026, b_new = -2.1326889339410586, c_new = 5.552240178360101
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10167.166046805083
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4024:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0686065839474908, b_new = -0.43189484891262264, c_new = 4.726387971158907
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3753.542686246293
Acceptance probability: 1.14e-322
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4025:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.716576259627438, b_new = -1.018247076952461, c_new = 5.43204409482625
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12306.664387644523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4026:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7500594196278105, b_new = -1.4644870309640428, c_new = 4.475960360705015
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6907.026823136782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4027:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4348026589093372, b_new = -1.4142201778977213, c_new = 4.291395196512584
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7972.373954685957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4028:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.352916474053165, b_new = -1.6495779258892023, c_new = 5.025041603851608
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5954.074869586862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4029:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.6417945337550535, b_new = -1.6362392339066802, c_new = 5.147938120336764
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15524.800344592304
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4030:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.738323689004274, b_new = -1.4252605963802338, c_new = 5.33456446962786
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11880.187977178903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4031:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.482368630991629, b_new = -1.484420839902041, c_new = 5.8577711855304875
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9178.45352348097
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4032:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.423046273735495, b_new = -1.2028756199236517, c_new = 5.1138451649445855
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8576.939966486376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4033:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9651795620551873, b_new = -1.4956991266516604, c_new = 5.269852599399064
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3356.331457448597
Acceptance probability: 3.5742958325969595e-150
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4034:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.393775717158793, b_new = -1.1762207332361876, c_new = 5.8838072956973875
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8385.447413932417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4035:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.507376320279424, b_new = -1.023582382743692, c_new = 4.5900873357836804
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10097.922423393706
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4036:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7743656473697553, b_new = -1.5889310349509587, c_new = 4.282857452769528
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15385.002191293635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4037:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.051052698373308, b_new = -1.868599609198205, c_new = 4.442165256853634
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13106.262905410433
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4038:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.176589189302802, b_new = -0.5248257375371136, c_new = 4.167008746226537
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4990.462879122788
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4039:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3161866628148733, b_new = -0.7806449263709041, c_new = 4.631134598030174
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7370.407950898796
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4040:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.217821423461394, b_new = -1.4736408233237535, c_new = 4.660720593592487
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3964.1802423497898
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4041:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.109225305350101, b_new = -0.6265365625248779, c_new = 5.074881840679709
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4009.5852314124704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4042:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031342064293698, b_new = -1.0322641750762482, c_new = 4.348494221201769
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3026.6527567006706
Acceptance probability: 5.380604005863611e-07
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4043:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.740581092402355, b_new = -1.8842486426522331, c_new = 6.188744457020986
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11471.73740869377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4044:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2867209065620804, b_new = -0.6372678343579101, c_new = 5.334626847471094
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7418.436512867373
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4045:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.198224122918809, b_new = -1.7619119029253552, c_new = 5.308252881152336
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13635.113152459175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4046:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3098939391160402, b_new = -0.6920241646793819, c_new = 4.171136749520828
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7305.302227166114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4047:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.426245527695852, b_new = -2.120495007704066, c_new = 6.518184682514259
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6757.068411389573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4048:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.082795736471552, b_new = -0.7344683659432677, c_new = 6.164531593361301
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3772.491169537818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4049:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8986937191094437, b_new = -0.9468318642590251, c_new = 4.853997396458069
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3388.480626156708
Acceptance probability: 3.899275554590979e-164
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4050:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.158576068621623, b_new = -0.5596672990482953, c_new = 5.389666540990481
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4968.817708108882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4051:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.707503075885306, b_new = -0.8627170792257417, c_new = 5.927695617084712
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12593.10923769781
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4052:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6460653885157686, b_new = -0.5134558489133585, c_new = 4.701590570368161
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6432.363315456717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4053:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.965098532275187, b_new = -1.2488009565955063, c_new = 5.631861216322281
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3134.175738478578
Acceptance probability: 1.0819155597027192e-53
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4054:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4995959314189733, b_new = -1.271277901728575, c_new = 5.839601165764754
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10273.029233916815
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4055:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.647021550738586, b_new = -1.0638041535839082, c_new = 5.414026572359802
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11684.92814222967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4056:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4636971662033074, b_new = -1.9662717566743413, c_new = 5.9989993665806365
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11865.333781531124
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4057:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.710136508076758, b_new = -1.5300887462402706, c_new = 5.454108845019125
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7550.876848149305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4058:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.641323530011034, b_new = -1.501226643407346, c_new = 4.382856988303878
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10653.8277019766
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4059:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.579895063901713, b_new = -0.18274332409307847, c_new = 4.849713620798299
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6857.639510371557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4060:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.128732198929943, b_new = -2.1573922630015927, c_new = 5.112973531957868
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14428.775086656922
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4061:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3917254560254415, b_new = -0.8580709374080191, c_new = 5.472162633225856
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9011.95917164637
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4062:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.569396048750498, b_new = -1.1309183454229952, c_new = 4.407227416246412
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9521.037065096532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4063:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2712272939696536, b_new = -1.6494084503094522, c_new = 6.075769539320127
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4746.085804880923
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4064:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.891874934592231, b_new = -0.10385378685395152, c_new = 6.0635796774139505
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3108.4593973863502
Acceptance probability: 1.594624373082117e-42
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4065:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.321154792750169, b_new = -1.5272740677275458, c_new = 5.2569593159051395
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12585.786015898182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4066:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.52887989307708, b_new = -1.3056182969028947, c_new = 4.6999531758399735
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9831.298744273005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4067:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5389551425057233, b_new = -0.9096351803166809, c_new = 5.094341794070443
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10802.930249374262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4068:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.869728844862147, b_new = -1.4025143684830281, c_new = 4.971970364620274
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4328.399615506665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4069:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.524125330451172, b_new = -1.7690385519691918, c_new = 5.712204174829938
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9141.918824594362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4070:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5494403827478944, b_new = -1.0092955920624176, c_new = 5.51005373536252
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10869.694823169299
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4071:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.864234688050561, b_new = -0.5266313526635404, c_new = 4.905531661407644
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3265.244238870994
Acceptance probability: 1.2937992496677048e-110
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4072:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3883561536275986, b_new = -0.6074878119283634, c_new = 5.4121375311110045
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9545.072597747345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4073:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5136027563254286, b_new = -0.1368520213386828, c_new = 5.279710395871344
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7829.5009263518
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4074:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.103759324756036, b_new = -1.0353126089811853, c_new = 5.00472789034656
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3407.9324668476083
Acceptance probability: 1.3904547246774658e-172
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4075:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9625199169868246, b_new = -1.848938540362553, c_new = 5.481479633454353
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3761.6915892821075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4076:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.956083011454663, b_new = -0.9248572394007313, c_new = 5.347149894596979
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3046.6311342461945
Acceptance probability: 1.1332661197000939e-15
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4077:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1753213173498143, b_new = -1.1313867571475111, c_new = 4.218725728180791
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3874.1466518140337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4078:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6697471652331326, b_new = -0.8291765849790325, c_new = 4.749413795394326
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12027.955663060344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4079:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.57092953900854, b_new = -0.8711127583411984, c_new = 5.517538342841965
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8486.486693151988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4080:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3540397233901276, b_new = -1.8718940622245834, c_new = 5.209983505859275
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5489.57510487616
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4081:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.850063767339883, b_new = -1.1797474426098695, c_new = 5.396028932614088
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4111.0285111933135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4082:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.045150730187396, b_new = -0.4156622057952485, c_new = 4.849312087380107
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3561.3986769306384
Acceptance probability: 3.1162239028088613e-239
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4083:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.064949000690442, b_new = -1.512313254588733, c_new = 5.393519245962682
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13754.78873302537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4084:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9194695185344584, b_new = -1.796525787977312, c_new = 6.461872501861926
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3985.322150047516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4085:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8434453605500103, b_new = -1.1111023629423165, c_new = 4.911297364287192
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4194.414257295652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4086:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.215854022038483, b_new = -1.08690146854799, c_new = 4.525551994850056
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4571.722255120487
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4087:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1554340644818843, b_new = -1.3698240569857032, c_new = 5.22343512982371
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3525.2755798608123
Acceptance probability: 1.5194638816367541e-223
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4088:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0943774832256876, b_new = -1.460749541776226, c_new = 5.734861510869333
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3108.7972590899444
Acceptance probability: 1.1374358812674191e-42
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4089:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.841497974260422, b_new = -0.5065531879142726, c_new = 6.021795939080297
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3304.0367641109888
Acceptance probability: 1.838599950614628e-127
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4090:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7870848944296593, b_new = -1.5903372061483383, c_new = 4.814085378047341
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6328.452674520903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4091:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7273263897184927, b_new = -1.2921470449053651, c_new = 5.3713776274445975
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6567.491244298117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4092:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.272139304778257, b_new = -1.3068180077003773, c_new = 4.524149066890077
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5058.7382031984325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4093:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.158721262679106, b_new = -0.9982531154369052, c_new = 5.8617801340039195
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4222.139060683208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4094:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2332429855425664, b_new = -1.679671394849692, c_new = 4.751050470202906
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3868.1820156643003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4095:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9616548873593382, b_new = -0.8262160432102615, c_new = 5.6301027776474415
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3021.8039737878844
Acceptance probability: 6.864844332384755e-05
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4096:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7463819405282726, b_new = -1.3744020576277747, c_new = 5.485681267527759
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12053.306234386138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4097:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5546430733945673, b_new = -0.5145768999320504, c_new = 5.183163970037657
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11656.203719243262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4098:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.508472404471002, b_new = -1.2734621298542024, c_new = 4.979634340237041
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10453.234712788315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4099:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.965298344914311, b_new = -1.7897380298034222, c_new = 6.015476833530275
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3559.5378632122724
Acceptance probability: 2.003409755474025e-238
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4100:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4633150312742624, b_new = -1.3319174444373825, c_new = 4.683244558852186
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8813.852019678954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4101:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1135236244993907, b_new = -0.6709395001148252, c_new = 4.3104190332994925
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3835.5576534718243
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4102:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8851811251686694, b_new = -1.3592603780374646, c_new = 4.734176425570001
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4097.202545499953
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4103:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.829707867761941, b_new = -2.061539739021754, c_new = 5.218288561471261
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6567.916279033845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4104:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.287851241381052, b_new = -1.0889031851587192, c_new = 4.6079088353953965
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5912.449055685938
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4105:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.466127265404639, b_new = -1.5526500492185047, c_new = 5.833601059606494
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11187.818657282074
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4106:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.658356092223157, b_new = -1.2375376044166313, c_new = 5.073985522934395
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7958.922754749633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4107:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.710625693718686, b_new = -1.5540160608911575, c_new = 4.061880829550545
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8183.178278251746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4108:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.616464388954047, b_new = -0.4109568587725322, c_new = 4.1319450972002985
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14978.079009738605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4109:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.571751590260542, b_new = -0.5644121809640159, c_new = 4.88935426422282
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11642.801485268192
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4110:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5731256128613476, b_new = -1.3489608003844549, c_new = 5.4464314460998065
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9577.321036347883
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4111:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2288016389131373, b_new = -1.6680895103327487, c_new = 5.158399823169864
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13393.211329366535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4112:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.397856139479282, b_new = -1.5686456845891548, c_new = 5.470892508590591
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7253.135724791011
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4113:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0152396368725514, b_new = -0.41959646317481347, c_new = 4.721679305794813
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3299.9910598030538
Acceptance probability: 1.0507860546156205e-125
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4114:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5719511939906736, b_new = -1.044736878169696, c_new = 5.50509247550962
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8884.826276163969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4115:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.868225894930287, b_new = -1.236260809005818, c_new = 5.573607204394816
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13066.414471482878
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4116:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7361154900833813, b_new = -1.326720604365272, c_new = 4.916009365491059
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6648.026993654276
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4117:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.232404728245574, b_new = -1.1904131865165593, c_new = 4.845057260959787
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12859.451543183055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4118:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5933867526304026, b_new = -1.451408005505377, c_new = 6.417067620113506
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9159.006652250424
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4119:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2112045883735383, b_new = -0.4426506252879199, c_new = 4.9001661502925895
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6125.509128858847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4120:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4347974776997834, b_new = -0.9097333296359696, c_new = 5.070325832573201
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10608.682749470698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4121:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3547478957647567, b_new = -1.2023185314077949, c_new = 5.555311198262964
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7379.027443193358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4122:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9429194992945087, b_new = -1.2641558778369413, c_new = 5.4480577311163865
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3284.0159347213603
Acceptance probability: 9.107998934927241e-119
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4123:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9897924939525646, b_new = -0.28959534963817446, c_new = 5.132552910147525
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3299.8979506096503
Acceptance probability: 1.1533234153276217e-125
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4124:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9180860399793556, b_new = -1.7076479947417968, c_new = 4.7880911676570665
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4244.668045598166
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4125:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.447779771552473, b_new = -0.4688784743463106, c_new = 5.033550216412341
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10556.885802103348
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4126:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.181582557329457, b_new = -1.5493325171564778, c_new = 4.509618954520091
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3473.6803425673934
Acceptance probability: 3.883445638620907e-201
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4127:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.174110779655811, b_new = -0.444774887675358, c_new = 5.024498797748274
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5404.824819730484
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4128:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7792268523386188, b_new = -1.2686072427738153, c_new = 4.3111090805947665
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5821.06433548048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4129:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.32451555728798, b_new = -1.4619182521264764, c_new = 6.0768420157241065
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6216.998550384389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4130:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8831642883527238, b_new = -0.1742900324077099, c_new = 5.536615100565705
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3060.763560741825
Acceptance probability: 8.254619560614364e-22
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4131:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3014967533110764, b_new = -0.462463659443597, c_new = 5.0671437270137165
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8137.45735553632
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4132:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1448730923142247, b_new = -1.5537649958938529, c_new = 4.195476910837168
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13969.440400517902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4133:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.348673417344864, b_new = -1.896046060810387, c_new = 5.476983118837927
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5409.874550538047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4134:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5959002600613816, b_new = -1.5959815239532615, c_new = 5.117448331531147
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10224.338436179938
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4135:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3006494899300542, b_new = -1.4460274164526514, c_new = 5.248977996341956
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12622.998789732887
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4136:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.376628751759655, b_new = -1.0515996587183367, c_new = 4.2626854645916055
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7757.381122042902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4137:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1763936456876705, b_new = -0.7967964056049147, c_new = 5.658322256230793
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12513.393807572817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4138:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2819592487085014, b_new = -1.2325446103256437, c_new = 5.126205019252802
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5600.643651599597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4139:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4381772369260175, b_new = -1.053271560048204, c_new = 4.584735953978837
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9010.742360240622
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4140:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5081750333323014, b_new = -1.3923300598896824, c_new = 5.39381068976166
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9602.356986385805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4141:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.124834283023292, b_new = -1.358703833717619, c_new = 3.9823289765718215
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3196.5908577124237
Acceptance probability: 8.465478208476652e-81
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4142:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1914586293063736, b_new = -0.7464995897699183, c_new = 4.630922095020049
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4898.82690591467
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4143:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1040133981493914, b_new = -1.31536078115706, c_new = 4.959654398222753
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13718.418692376246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4144:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.547226969527493, b_new = -1.9299366328151302, c_new = 4.534979650735046
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8773.98510387575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4145:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2857618767866335, b_new = -0.6200350040759933, c_new = 5.408606873828594
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7478.067272482205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4146:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2336154014074348, b_new = -1.9575443855658812, c_new = 5.47684162265065
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3629.368917993003
Acceptance probability: 9.430354688605115e-269
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4147:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.564294696603314, b_new = -0.8410035698406405, c_new = 5.791699892363283
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8433.715293019673
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4148:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2765133085190894, b_new = -0.5063238467384575, c_new = 4.495587290880277
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7230.116938875517
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4149:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5398724250303797, b_new = -1.3931066521694384, c_new = 4.180655609122243
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9645.154264516725
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4150:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4711530851959984, b_new = -1.7086846236685216, c_new = 4.748955014638763
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11761.569449192244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4151:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7098837480910825, b_new = -1.4995201277034276, c_new = 6.516829168480228
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7068.899978875779
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4152:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2666188728509975, b_new = -0.13880550078470022, c_new = 4.406176293368473
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8042.806281509422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4153:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5637042850097194, b_new = -1.692831226807386, c_new = 5.56867425102191
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9797.288403359531
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4154:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6562401016715165, b_new = -1.2632341190398821, c_new = 4.586585107350114
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8261.596382805903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4155:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3251339482202344, b_new = -1.4571898343752592, c_new = 4.585030285868513
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12653.484847090625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4156:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7192915954370753, b_new = -0.7074532439960479, c_new = 4.932676118486167
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5397.098842691272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4157:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.049946221500425, b_new = -1.1215909590213256, c_new = 4.674678367751012
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13906.206805240123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4158:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4395739803190986, b_new = 0.11310923120027949, c_new = 6.0355065698916395
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8256.843010555705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4159:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7275175037185933, b_new = -1.3171699883494532, c_new = 5.185578988005809
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6701.0220962600515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4160:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5456566093903734, b_new = -1.0686849913600907, c_new = 4.816021620845053
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9587.654013234422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4161:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.412300979773419, b_new = -1.0583125091573986, c_new = 4.889735148260336
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8660.796417801104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4162:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3556285992311548, b_new = -1.4191360373417894, c_new = 5.360179178996369
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12141.154618443627
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4163:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9127385518906723, b_new = -0.8479862428073175, c_new = 5.763001189797402
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3145.1210151987384
Acceptance probability: 1.90862269767835e-58
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4164:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.749553873735231, b_new = -1.88490012026638, c_new = 4.792607349382017
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11170.919560306342
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4165:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.682777624754338, b_new = -1.5365480296320562, c_new = 5.1835144807361715
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11210.97744650086
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4166:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2747518975232723, b_new = -2.191464725011099, c_new = 5.044879706233353
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13785.391052281844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4167:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.914279655678281, b_new = -0.7478271517330242, c_new = 5.158332803810833
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3122.566693618367
Acceptance probability: 1.1910705584856229e-48
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4168:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6008077390502313, b_new = -0.8193490438237337, c_new = 5.570152259662533
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11705.808375090077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4169:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.48376331252803, b_new = -0.7628398980724221, c_new = 5.610124144258757
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10617.322672430184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4170:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8894089567079915, b_new = -1.9944294049657696, c_new = 4.939720719549481
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5271.945590729301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4171:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3741330189438896, b_new = -1.2909616611136874, c_new = 4.536312833716904
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12038.69195417882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4172:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.370025729270374, b_new = -1.663887178548891, c_new = 5.698217255798008
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6501.019417383643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4173:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.050935064924376, b_new = -1.8816705811121155, c_new = 5.345487658978556
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3145.69728159568
Acceptance probability: 1.0726320462700507e-58
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4174:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.721973950227815, b_new = -1.2990819213131795, c_new = 5.111225902687806
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6797.058822966845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4175:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.257190165638734, b_new = -0.5205060989482428, c_new = 4.579377977431814
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11841.245187149321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4176:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.799125195903082, b_new = -0.8598403060026419, c_new = 4.345243295407542
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4522.438360339684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4177:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.490194797921404, b_new = -1.2265084484614683, c_new = 5.282877225233902
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10484.348569694164
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4178:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8456557265117493, b_new = -0.9218698830163856, c_new = 4.675628259066506
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3911.965297952768
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4179:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.240161026005307, b_new = -1.40524624567466, c_new = 4.783853727617943
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14444.496293270413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4180:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3137286467855023, b_new = -0.8811664879963512, c_new = 5.145059955377141
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11745.609654374899
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4181:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2996835482241953, b_new = -1.8565420137430164, c_new = 5.612500076606616
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4672.116747577105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4182:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4317373214394475, b_new = -0.9472365376496075, c_new = 5.1653313590645915
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9357.06010649823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4183:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5456663485526634, b_new = -0.6979583206542824, c_new = 5.879956998532786
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11487.613008609596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4184:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.333340623716989, b_new = -0.2031558676395202, c_new = 5.1883097819505375
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9520.943065694668
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4185:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0900622190455422, b_new = -1.1714895264588079, c_new = 4.5262338799252
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3164.881477270031
Acceptance probability: 4.998738831421255e-67
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4186:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8386665049844226, b_new = -1.0690174168085511, c_new = 5.630994099011092
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4030.6665558401837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4187:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6690789858893615, b_new = -0.24716244093695183, c_new = 4.102311465946838
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12642.347083695258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4188:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7687558301400403, b_new = -1.5637614820809742, c_new = 4.711611325394384
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6687.687550965464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4189:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6991644615993344, b_new = -2.2281100542867507, c_new = 5.569573566516792
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9598.708194129633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4190:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.913891255030796, b_new = -1.6476293159619093, c_new = 4.668777434877127
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4225.9428684468785
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4191:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6398240760117497, b_new = -1.7458412350868326, c_new = 4.262445657581107
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9916.195771980292
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4192:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9793846347582322, b_new = -2.09465683848329, c_new = 4.356752158089209
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12431.465666227214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4193:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.135355473261154, b_new = -1.3665074327300346, c_new = 4.975765354664185
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13609.794395928227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4194:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.38806685167994, b_new = -1.6083029259216537, c_new = 5.530129620168955
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6965.114092333517
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4195:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.20776663659002, b_new = -0.5232760829721711, c_new = 4.615260187441502
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15023.163804332537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4196:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.843008313345077, b_new = -0.3572464470109181, c_new = 5.0086359373313325
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3265.0751378017667
Acceptance probability: 1.532168594527233e-110
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4197:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3176196477308117, b_new = -1.171773797477212, c_new = 5.00536896882048
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12184.20560912832
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4198:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5336387188912113, b_new = -1.3936429417788596, c_new = 5.9370525013564555
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10050.210829738187
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4199:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7558748775877278, b_new = -1.0986741074476263, c_new = 4.466941580759249
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5798.350192015122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4200:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.546081179459276, b_new = -1.2385195458861311, c_new = 4.987574546121407
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9885.764906011425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4201:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1705956595709766, b_new = -0.6959444981812072, c_new = 5.626624420447915
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4948.160901780606
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4202:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0070088307326586, b_new = -1.0838440099423374, c_new = 4.85881902182372
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Acceptance probability: 0.3858671963223081
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4203:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8088456061844536, b_new = -2.0890324539136422, c_new = 4.743770349829747
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7312.580127669764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4204:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.795762849146342, b_new = -1.1792011012279022, c_new = 5.290642443267099
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4972.19956268358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4205:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0020122886182783, b_new = -1.747622257888383, c_new = 5.501628772092355
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3297.410305250919
Acceptance probability: 3.5965317789742735e-124
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4206:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1255042397271113, b_new = -1.1817153393341937, c_new = 5.812160764781256
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3555.8859622363143
Acceptance probability: 2.0013929563519505e-236
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4207:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.953382992579098, b_new = -1.5004397088967847, c_new = 4.959377653007667
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3503.0208207118567
Acceptance probability: 1.8212586024667398e-213
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4208:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6890151436081333, b_new = -1.6616074406768666, c_new = 5.250025593959652
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8424.943853123825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4209:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.074638230949446, b_new = -1.3081152146830162, c_new = 4.031795924177456
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3048.641149658424
Acceptance probability: 3.935097013262382e-16
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4210:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.265877911956091, b_new = -0.6443364318293843, c_new = 5.5085470951297895
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7005.433982560424
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4211:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.990373609019155, b_new = -0.7482172125139801, c_new = 4.201230199288747
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3016.725520952885
Acceptance probability: 0.028558597585722663
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4212:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.087891400294603, b_new = -1.4738913665640714, c_new = 5.1851055004436
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -13908.392356427781
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4213:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.398830624364579, b_new = -1.9218556622930407, c_new = 4.458242741610763
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -6023.992085653972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4214:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374794895478019, b_new = -1.5784522894319015, c_new = 5.354829654636669
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -6704.792004122119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4215:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831371431668606, b_new = -0.6229945083959664, c_new = 4.335610897565452
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3717.3689248635847
Acceptance probability: 1.479696943082118e-306
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4216:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7016932901084587, b_new = -2.7606171258586034, c_new = 5.045113858921909
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -9386.330884084951
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4217:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.731580099090941, b_new = -0.6630782351240678, c_new = 4.068088070360005
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -5335.249748121667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4218:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.731231943350891, b_new = -1.3371328291997755, c_new = 4.53516594155424
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -11735.09960676599
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4219:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.557029702059419, b_new = -0.3989468653264763, c_new = 4.624768667587608
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7903.29754679489
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4220:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0454252007070823, b_new = -1.0196322738624952, c_new = 4.555197087741681
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3064.2009709906715
Acceptance probability: 6.877188046439903e-23
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4221:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1916441956970423, b_new = -1.0301025068920888, c_new = 4.372375939790354
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4277.732418934764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4222:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.024337541526463, b_new = -1.3511918230501072, c_new = 4.344071985081771
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3063.6567630644486
Acceptance probability: 1.1851065515296934e-22
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4223:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.371060871530387, b_new = -0.7460586033988996, c_new = 4.613694093168447
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -11153.025757381047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4224:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.841942118612289, b_new = -1.4169763399100792, c_new = 3.9836585283827115
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -5099.350578363816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4225:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0506427006264345, b_new = -0.9544075555291576, c_new = 5.049644496373863
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3142.944722889818
Acceptance probability: 4.3594727313429216e-57
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4226:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.811713279692362, b_new = -0.935778325385746, c_new = 4.403017797959996
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4460.6682499651415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4227:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.292411290219255, b_new = -1.1120704209979462, c_new = 5.331469582440598
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12201.045663825085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4228:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5686260942434855, b_new = -0.6821420702929516, c_new = 3.9615051397093697
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8634.567321533523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4229:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4475963157570835, b_new = -1.8350981526702559, c_new = 4.873132968644903
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12153.222074203492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4230:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4880928742577852, b_new = -1.236211496513279, c_new = 5.1850769082359065
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -10561.13144335368
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4231:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.151132195543839, b_new = -1.535322030944969, c_new = 4.248030781502141
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3246.441683235672
Acceptance probability: 4.912190416894123e-102
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4232:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5956124929317417, b_new = -0.8816041809851771, c_new = 4.573377058184508
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8418.734157233886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4233:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.530439528392688, b_new = -1.9427550834367824, c_new = 4.740564147333435
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8548.425806895684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4234:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.736319845972505, b_new = -1.3390423115603753, c_new = 5.5013690642660285
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -6457.218365193142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4235:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4063672416410413, b_new = -0.9693187401019281, c_new = 5.215693280996643
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -10986.11293592407
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4236:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4660856730852396, b_new = -1.140387390717313, c_new = 5.453736539598869
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -9553.412905136676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.918105531084707, b_new = -1.6832603219747095, c_new = 4.84664403778814
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12651.434164024135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.194433879974139, b_new = -1.5891313364752762, c_new = 5.1088008809205565
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3625.0965089469805
Acceptance probability: 1.7521603205005637e-266
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.780223444524275, b_new = -0.2784971216335852, c_new = 4.886307456163824
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3724.916659739179
Acceptance probability: 7.80248907525433e-310
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7286690593980074, b_new = -1.2573903705463172, c_new = 4.994174266845987
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -6586.434877883167
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.231023855816983, b_new = -1.504204306455039, c_new = 4.96744483702255
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4145.613982813051
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0481903514594566, b_new = -1.4693133719530067, c_new = 3.8401621756411357
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3084.1872801264303
Acceptance probability: 1.4370342804969357e-31
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7995156940627193, b_new = -1.3574126487598124, c_new = 3.5374717831676588
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -5930.886925876578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9652189759906684, b_new = -1.3687696478892715, c_new = 5.597945416370097
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3212.3820476220526
Acceptance probability: 3.0421946352704334e-87
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.395238850135316, b_new = -1.4750526748051291, c_new = 5.924896443314154
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7623.428854660929
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9476506945105725, b_new = -0.5532431864983344, c_new = 5.406985339862318
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3032.9648085625113
Acceptance probability: 2.5299030464963676e-09
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7799347647690893, b_new = -0.7372901613235707, c_new = 4.828822323583561
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4458.519501529232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5080350113602456, b_new = -1.1181197603264095, c_new = 5.790780253658745
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -9878.488990361857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8065940678842813, b_new = -2.3768146600662323, c_new = 4.992877470786202
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8117.477106291545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6018667572680902, b_new = -0.7459170885296942, c_new = 5.821188876897205
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7511.342040328902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.92295038965501, b_new = -1.7912321168629732, c_new = 4.797245295280257
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4326.625781182676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8867871048666123, b_new = -0.34267404241907873, c_new = 4.475107631502361
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3085.7641500530544
Acceptance probability: 2.969212092153506e-32
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.307842753882929, b_new = -0.9491527911972177, c_new = 4.297880743347667
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -6599.098428784418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.136664740371665, b_new = -0.8455614200009594, c_new = 5.573099180674204
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4117.149873923718
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.136483209609947, b_new = -1.3356151694409293, c_new = 5.71378839168209
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3465.9725212556327
Acceptance probability: 2.2399773858679955e-197
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7842052042691452, b_new = -1.4266929604203422, c_new = 5.43864610319055
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -14971.260105188789
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6552068017593293, b_new = -0.9587700658644027, c_new = 5.287196028647473
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -11874.994029351139
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5935372679852913, b_new = -0.677881159414417, c_new = 4.9967405268995915
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -11690.933839570229
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.240133693389172, b_new = -1.1611974893663206, c_new = 4.532699768677525
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4819.056679503159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.367306717232555, b_new = -1.2413285379625145, c_new = 5.571124772268566
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7543.55996404763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.155412879824963, b_new = -1.4419524698254267, c_new = 4.770676517446216
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3394.5360265972868
Acceptance probability: 2.369840245118047e-166
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1599423346171003, b_new = -1.2961461625755295, c_new = 6.010118280045738
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3796.536166986755
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.949191934429879, b_new = -0.26394939602486067, c_new = 5.243244442021854
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3125.0827151410595
Acceptance probability: 2.4934769992437585e-49
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1588018073851867, b_new = -0.8215252518597493, c_new = 4.632628305301251
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4240.061394500497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.62898615444453, b_new = -1.7086964185213311, c_new = 5.419310000112489
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -10476.594226591631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4969025675128003, b_new = -1.1647801252170367, c_new = 4.80317667578777
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -9721.52439819376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8726359750332784, b_new = -1.1420420394073276, c_new = 5.330898811127445
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3790.756866650155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1786113313532, b_new = -1.2447789029362364, c_new = 4.309409099398549
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3770.5163622796354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7835742198480773, b_new = -0.8400182124633001, c_new = 4.451742582043007
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4700.453998910799
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1124719546940067, b_new = -1.7239254697787874, c_new = 5.108769759831743
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3051.0472093977955
Acceptance probability: 3.5482725844456625e-17
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3043076626411847, b_new = -0.8011866054552401, c_new = 4.857555851744657
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -15939.672795962191
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831568515547467, b_new = -0.7158557815489083, c_new = 4.800943343286533
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3756.744895332552
Acceptance probability: 1e-323
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8727708425064886, b_new = -1.1982405865119248, c_new = 4.631540026162328
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12899.031294242206
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.993018067388938, b_new = -0.7941536832979887, c_new = 4.757549188725312
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3021.374456667696
Acceptance probability: 0.00027335671655288505
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.501781961378299, b_new = -1.205776123696746, c_new = 4.483257253126458
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -10572.94521314146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.503122701735601, b_new = -1.5120253385470968, c_new = 4.5007263699317805
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -11147.63686914772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6476185416282676, b_new = -0.9764954174030925, c_new = 4.532076732017906
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -11570.64291586643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4842334772551475, b_new = -0.24067857245687374, c_new = 3.9907676088631323
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -11053.589495179593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.155739225807098, b_new = -0.5309664689928333, c_new = 3.8491362610575117
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4543.100790999546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9116366141453316, b_new = -1.8219442613513486, c_new = 4.960381786030488
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4508.571037216345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5536695090581176, b_new = -1.2133162344091146, c_new = 5.080325276567345
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -10420.248246542884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5375149789037423, b_new = -1.1400797584059261, c_new = 4.869583979199093
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -10303.322071780964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.090649498750514, b_new = -1.8851759370868628, c_new = 5.679083170912714
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -14189.892399969918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.997176624511132, b_new = -1.1740553855686169, c_new = 5.207636581479181
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3028.8338769136344
Acceptance probability: 1.5745073714988163e-07
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0772085142586647, b_new = -1.5949075884249102, c_new = 5.372306563523352
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3021.2095732204707
Acceptance probability: 0.0003223574566103718
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8438043478850106, b_new = -1.3033560339901935, c_new = 5.131782267083774
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4486.159583294839
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.84265938476405, b_new = -1.3565754166221868, c_new = 4.758815094497965
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12551.639371772282
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.812642113015094, b_new = -2.236323795699671, c_new = 4.560024143906245
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7752.749129152262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.938566705600536, b_new = -2.2249712201333405, c_new = 3.933899920000517
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -5279.997738848381
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.251900979798566, b_new = -0.9409767585898278, c_new = 4.754088502208182
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12423.312341846758
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4354434961346123, b_new = -0.7816933414050931, c_new = 4.625945365708371
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -9596.379234782593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4292:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.791969673907788, b_new = -1.3256012247275952, c_new = 6.017959353761447
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12586.375201868157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4293:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.673333379439239, b_new = -1.4839944103900684, c_new = 5.105912477046683
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8311.635908689761
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4294:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.642892306301197, b_new = -1.2010312979743114, c_new = 5.137720030784959
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -11357.339454012526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4295:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.327013125338951, b_new = -1.0213822481070998, c_new = 4.961918363115522
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7058.814348396957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4296:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.767705353400941, b_new = -1.9669933000431357, c_new = 5.012067426465254
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7747.828741645925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4297:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.521059484432966, b_new = -1.0721566942006187, c_new = 4.784238407408682
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -9949.211202266459
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4298:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.970259991887377, b_new = -1.7856457588028491, c_new = 4.96323335244073
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3695.9331328299468
Acceptance probability: 3.017303329749518e-297
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4299:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.691034528362492, b_new = -0.8441927497218339, c_new = 4.434782595917991
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -6471.45530460864
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4300:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1116229808446128, b_new = -0.3852846075846178, c_new = 3.6875045895098193
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4130.239847044205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4301:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.82257853877812, b_new = -0.03422461128140131, c_new = 5.687019277797798
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3161.7892251814155
Acceptance probability: 2.8534522277588684e-65
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4302:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.787108414264014, b_new = 0.1018937802349349, c_new = 5.085040175758442
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3286.5967712193406
Acceptance probability: 1.787072047575139e-119
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4303:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3934473697633014, b_new = -1.7482162594291712, c_new = 4.010104744710684
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12736.552869509564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4304:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0968917747641447, b_new = -0.6134015067181093, c_new = 4.116897127214515
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3697.4304006596017
Acceptance probability: 6.750933277437441e-298
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4305:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8739541734558998, b_new = -1.1957381140761434, c_new = 5.5810097651860895
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3804.9020010508684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4306:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.775782358748966, b_new = -1.0889494086605134, c_new = 4.99428035215627
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -5215.855125748284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4307:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5416294037785576, b_new = -0.43971933316013634, c_new = 5.445150363902139
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7994.951113051915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4308:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.28579610181464, b_new = -0.9346794272747464, c_new = 5.9996976952830305
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -15235.93445057945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4309:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.004892519116875, b_new = -1.0481370811572626, c_new = 4.431246404160457
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3019.4096482678196
Acceptance probability: 0.0019500026219988764
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4310:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5389450898043764, b_new = -0.23838305787027048, c_new = 5.692486919360879
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12117.772318670352
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4311:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3529216725092805, b_new = -0.494121386823118, c_new = 4.519610164369912
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8865.478393217742
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4312:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.989082483969589, b_new = -1.5344481433425405, c_new = 5.932837646570632
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3166.822654533645
Acceptance probability: 1.859430769500446e-67
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4313:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.794179313106167, b_new = -2.4619139642846113, c_new = 5.253334365498566
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8526.357944556992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4314:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5114078826982453, b_new = -1.0971940558107616, c_new = 4.545151357180796
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -10210.934682844285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4315:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7380128628267073, b_new = -1.1842326551587987, c_new = 4.2572714701050165
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -15181.342043727353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4316:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3142138282899016, b_new = -0.4944991850473609, c_new = 5.2264577381678325
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8381.765343051935
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4317:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1678263641792124, b_new = -1.8976384362792733, c_new = 5.3075095593710895
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3181.9305102777616
Acceptance probability: 5.106479940628874e-74
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4318:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3521348045949244, b_new = -1.9087490937466458, c_new = 4.5157423576702795
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -13103.608734962854
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4319:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1464245512406643, b_new = -1.1435534633191704, c_new = 5.049762910245184
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -13275.888756462322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4320:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1593321644076786, b_new = -1.528353640273974, c_new = 4.154166478586016
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3294.425852676275
Acceptance probability: 7.112383843632298e-123
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4321:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0655903698689198, b_new = -0.9816627629254571, c_new = 5.4641889483786805
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3243.128034842187
Acceptance probability: 1.350126326482537e-100
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4322:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0824512683628438, b_new = -0.7271681025246786, c_new = 4.73777260980667
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -13235.57842835629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4323:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2566032102788394, b_new = -1.3966165554503336, c_new = 4.745365801335708
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4667.826710929159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4324:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7481271194287675, b_new = -1.1116826391704553, c_new = 5.249414071310746
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -5715.822297241137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4325:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.081945593118586, b_new = -0.8822138384893028, c_new = 5.029440807244335
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3391.188915105811
Acceptance probability: 6.735209693256293e-165
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4326:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.025509660281514, b_new = -0.539043399371784, c_new = 4.853473776682095
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -13306.374585070766
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4327:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.723881733495785, b_new = -0.3054594184624997, c_new = 4.247876737142122
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12970.067328151763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4328:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.443690094167654, b_new = -0.19409113084630036, c_new = 4.9533317905349605
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -9149.020772411612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4329:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7697880780307313, b_new = -0.05550321942140668, c_new = 4.514457458853681
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3617.3573286441197
Acceptance probability: 4.023992300260367e-263
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4330:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.78477204418224, b_new = -0.7953000390404753, c_new = 4.768536475052008
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4509.514011709412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4331:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.799129344573644, b_new = -0.7966038957668802, c_new = 5.389658887840012
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4160.04815094158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4332:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.994812539335312, b_new = -1.3153766665880664, c_new = 5.32172620769513
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3073.268483677098
Acceptance probability: 7.933049703956786e-27
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4333:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0340404789740933, b_new = -1.244789219688229, c_new = 5.133794683199476
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Acceptance probability: 0.8421286124984237
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4334:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.046939915479889, b_new = -1.0232585927523417, c_new = 3.7563517318163457
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -13785.846040941125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4335:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.070259924520917, b_new = -1.7857047561115875, c_new = 5.410279912805159
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3042.7058755495445
Acceptance probability: 1.7669888715339598e-13
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4336:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9377575970430665, b_new = -1.3727622007284657, c_new = 4.697000236430188
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3538.889372680742
Acceptance probability: 5.721092884647052e-229
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4337:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.046721091100119, b_new = -0.6712814563034701, c_new = 4.81040611081188
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3302.7077225589774
Acceptance probability: 2.1373043687931596e-126
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4338:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0417791933863136, b_new = -1.696365200550178, c_new = 6.12027987574364
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -14114.284824577528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4339:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.587296579150443, b_new = -0.49524052684993125, c_new = 5.832987257148543
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12173.59918707516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4340:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.042609085753067, b_new = -1.8576827879400781, c_new = 4.99635459096722
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -14520.53563303619
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4341:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.054024012594197, b_new = -0.30886389455265284, c_new = 5.97947204177871
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -4049.248233063091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4342:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0344795530408732, b_new = -1.0314935516691317, c_new = 4.9908511059961755
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3048.445992202519
Acceptance probability: 5.679797163148025e-16
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4343:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3829571948723873, b_new = -2.103661960910055, c_new = 4.736531736149257
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -5368.444036383576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4344:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.262534103095084, b_new = -1.1376811965201576, c_new = 5.393846033441541
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12437.497640257981
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4345:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.730882067633915, b_new = -1.7488037353845243, c_new = 5.421657079013658
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -7739.52840887898
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4346:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.539629213823912, b_new = -1.2751245768010677, c_new = 4.878688520845803
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -10088.649965953657
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4347:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.447670550476341, b_new = -1.4932798392303117, c_new = 5.864438369951669
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -11267.053597757546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4348:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1928384912286676, b_new = -1.2018194227579804, c_new = 6.005870668515659
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12821.409372741247
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4349:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.418072111972278, b_new = -2.63382698192785, c_new = 4.888372242267047
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -4913.085671163713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4350:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0165052702790396, b_new = -1.7934604043841538, c_new = 4.80682490272947
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3334.8261434363303
Acceptance probability: 2.404437092122067e-140
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4351:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.106138653464314, b_new = -1.1253453386649406, c_new = 5.054019254386453
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3346.4548679139607
Acceptance probability: 2.1415220320770976e-145
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4352:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.490711786663884, b_new = -1.3191843064098325, c_new = 4.132325542318848
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -15168.223888231001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4353:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.219001001806383, b_new = -1.7052111751005776, c_new = 5.4648712257822245
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3791.497528009569
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4354:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5493440642894942, b_new = -2.0063361471878594, c_new = 4.260475839956798
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8562.600439335441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4355:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.911552211408222, b_new = -1.549440383575237, c_new = 6.322190935191959
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3743.3183457639693
Acceptance probability: 9.44287e-318
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4356:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.340676664671716, b_new = -0.22103852281700398, c_new = 4.362730667286428
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -9279.955461351186
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4357:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7583592575502593, b_new = -1.078802915099675, c_new = 5.385694671056863
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -5393.762778205928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4358:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2234760912232434, b_new = -1.732338224230756, c_new = 5.187961283501375
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3759.0785039190896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4359:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.690275353312975, b_new = -0.5921730059024524, c_new = 5.914873768533152
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -5380.79458258351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4360:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1236578227180454, b_new = -1.4552489783527744, c_new = 6.0747947622865315
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3300.1702734663936
Acceptance probability: 2.703127386104205e-125
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4361:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2782926485075987, b_new = -0.793796359854983, c_new = 4.451438844576759
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12105.733475213237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4362:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.080465779072516, b_new = -2.249423432287518, c_new = 4.275324595155076
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3414.371817813433
Acceptance probability: 6.835432165731261e-175
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4363:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.93865831380932, b_new = -1.8525982462878445, c_new = 5.198829017001991
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -4116.89683507603
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4364:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3728765029498238, b_new = -2.028883623908078, c_new = 4.97528382505321
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12989.064392810447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4365:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6842991804197998, b_new = -1.279472905647201, c_new = 4.929970918411259
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -7603.52627391565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4366:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.075774636892385, b_new = -0.5890726692783022, c_new = 4.929649006587185
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3655.1404554106457
Acceptance probability: 1.86326769333762e-279
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4367:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.618801547794341, b_new = -2.051220839402424, c_new = 5.161579129969645
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -10561.0181640757
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4368:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.053686382519326, b_new = -1.7652311929354896, c_new = 4.647498619962276
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3134.289960587499
Acceptance probability: 2.970099866048886e-53
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4369:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.017691874117392, b_new = -1.8998590671051514, c_new = 4.755835509153814
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3440.1192469995785
Acceptance probability: 4.4957231480760685e-186
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4370:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3784739635933994, b_new = -1.1329222189243568, c_new = 5.785287628260161
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -11370.878791656352
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4371:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2311672442988986, b_new = -0.23946702425568134, c_new = 5.500650706438124
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -7416.179538723943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4372:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8328211305839517, b_new = -1.060824213937389, c_new = 6.616778280693543
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3905.954761215215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4373:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2356434892311454, b_new = -0.706331992688044, c_new = 4.620883861369782
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -5830.821118921445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4374:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1491967750874084, b_new = -1.2485090755140384, c_new = 5.246944866137888
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3611.1735467619674
Acceptance probability: 2.3166534190133855e-260
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4375:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4916830913787935, b_new = -1.9396147048537506, c_new = 4.988899091095272
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -11878.753853531021
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4376:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6579829711146905, b_new = -0.8768414100566877, c_new = 5.861575637871605
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12185.096656651167
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4377:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1356590546595293, b_new = -1.7253127976585345, c_new = 4.921970188539834
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3109.6072139269663
Acceptance probability: 1.5572262826833863e-42
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4378:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.662890398064073, b_new = -1.1783821284552336, c_new = 4.7692593369695935
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -7828.255040186585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4379:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9393840177644304, b_new = -1.3716313210870914, c_new = 3.611293427728505
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3727.9294495991358
Acceptance probability: 4.5542486113177e-311
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4380:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6331226283932394, b_new = -0.4667292377695542, c_new = 5.597652954022077
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -6274.575564741943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4381:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9340295305619213, b_new = -1.1209442009059392, c_new = 5.465929461888738
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3226.3900496854667
Acceptance probability: 2.9799609576620596e-93
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4382:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.780266415100797, b_new = -1.569304292162092, c_new = 4.8099212724806435
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -6417.24606493233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4383:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.218281644756523, b_new = -2.013664057211987, c_new = 5.342221794310882
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3420.3305384727323
Acceptance probability: 1.7657388650445514e-177
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4384:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.034374677220533, b_new = -1.6772389496083642, c_new = 4.441376957300922
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3185.0242471144356
Acceptance probability: 2.748845749500892e-75
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4385:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3096462372814033, b_new = -1.820534936048112, c_new = 4.135975321223123
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -13377.534724049641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4386:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2228915565590937, b_new = -1.7387912320198846, c_new = 5.378923275721072
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3775.179742185316
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4387:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9731154806585325, b_new = -1.1208113166152216, c_new = 5.461099840728703
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3058.407297545877
Acceptance probability: 2.6803584886535298e-20
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4388:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5704892369453094, b_new = -1.1640313115911778, c_new = 4.308980356428673
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -9615.738754569862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4389:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.984207308749451, b_new = -1.1888035421891094, c_new = 5.284136615634448
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -14065.290355060435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4390:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4941671367996294, b_new = -2.0094343015272464, c_new = 5.2338233000130145
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -7931.238455317387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4391:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.099753860082431, b_new = -1.2068122324100916, c_new = 5.290027773503788
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3260.066589104663
Acceptance probability: 7.057897302875264e-108
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4392:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2362477759081254, b_new = -0.5026185637087912, c_new = 5.9410255817536495
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -6934.2238072565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4393:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3097461015709326, b_new = -0.7921149999128543, c_new = 4.644177133358409
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -7203.895076236255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4394:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.82431998081052, b_new = -0.5716217773628296, c_new = 5.10732077767282
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3601.642490724523
Acceptance probability: 3.192611768266107e-256
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4395:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7540871886426266, b_new = -0.6625174215209054, c_new = 4.930706434340495
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -4691.64278853828
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4396:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9972767935589086, b_new = -1.2691983425797668, c_new = 5.490066737024352
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3042.772584556693
Acceptance probability: 1.652960443170127e-13
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4397:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.32353500913089, b_new = -1.4075386461026833, c_new = 6.197139653173349
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -6387.998054326472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4398:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.877429741928502, b_new = -1.2289526636625312, c_new = 4.96279583206343
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12973.496929710938
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4399:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.537963832537562, b_new = -0.8640341768512767, c_new = 5.048171032036779
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -10858.143855899314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4400:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8512842266231515, b_new = -0.5553464329361577, c_new = 5.635063641036716
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3306.72627378587
Acceptance probability: 3.842658148771205e-128
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4401:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.790949879548063, b_new = -1.2833431560074076, c_new = 4.624426384556202
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -5515.00053442436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4402:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3368683763302878, b_new = -1.0580002033067242, c_new = 4.569571640368502
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -7021.406041729462
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4403:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8628014254410032, b_new = -1.546747855977204, c_new = 5.458157617390252
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -14801.550276126676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4404:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.034373722230003, b_new = -1.4411153289800591, c_new = 4.264902047240781
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3076.8027015566277
Acceptance probability: 2.748972713613007e-28
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4405:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.776775881688747, b_new = -0.7869763656421338, c_new = 4.840342571723001
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -4599.316302874269
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4406:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.197817944461872, b_new = -1.6675866684009, c_new = 5.111757093978252
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -13580.750049836734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4407:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9036647354431753, b_new = -1.9384812769805015, c_new = 4.500694655367476
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -5031.610553982677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4408:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9441330121475486, b_new = -0.3380216012263405, c_new = 4.7762025837832045
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -14229.97062952242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4409:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.723780693157668, b_new = -0.9627979003776479, c_new = 4.859997388925897
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -5958.891125056551
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4410:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.994173815187179, b_new = -1.2918963911912937, c_new = 5.094483379992026
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3079.1297896809924
Acceptance probability: 2.68243308938189e-29
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4411:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4755370217543495, b_new = -1.2423939486845477, c_new = 5.379780013197183
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -9445.480621829578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4412:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7121183417992634, b_new = -1.6617871759812288, c_new = 4.304943144360219
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8354.015390167227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4413:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.767265696032943, b_new = -1.524969610600204, c_new = 4.949507085046751
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -6517.827890414649
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4414:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.689967919249614, b_new = -0.9146383703681161, c_new = 5.1319429042246645
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12169.031961542016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4415:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8019103443199205, b_new = -2.4793019516426673, c_new = 4.634291641689298
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8694.763134156432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4416:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.303014968193955, b_new = -1.6456458689411892, c_new = 5.392776738352593
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12832.587451746685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4417:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.856672138112067, b_new = -0.9278830998746396, c_new = 5.388952378700706
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3667.8464205087657
Acceptance probability: 5.6512526612130065e-285
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4418:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.863961396339912, b_new = -0.9789868970207067, c_new = 5.970231063519364
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3570.4226649897537
Acceptance probability: 1.1554313654185644e-242
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4419:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7340261429240695, b_new = -1.8464735440946571, c_new = 4.98417154683228
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8132.719385006413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4420:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5409805817872915, b_new = -1.8723417023774296, c_new = 5.62923644473336
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -9144.466287462921
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4421:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4155497333030946, b_new = -1.1840603756053323, c_new = 5.168797410641381
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -11278.843939571976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4422:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8213093435678678, b_new = -1.2917917791700082, c_new = 4.945970758697456
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -4878.265969852651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4423:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3937701222959396, b_new = -0.950038242537329, c_new = 5.277195560552254
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8740.903284618955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4424:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3972481460260275, b_new = -1.201723741624094, c_new = 4.195938846367811
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -7752.03451478646
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4425:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.551063425943324, b_new = -0.8896117126003269, c_new = 5.3900930007189825
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8905.707801772516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4426:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.728742766843786, b_new = -0.8061479420960184, c_new = 5.257266572608089
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -5350.58726891954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4427:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4934840329580528, b_new = -1.1179457317288926, c_new = 5.372779624384285
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -10201.69313428086
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4428:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8178026312523294, b_new = -2.1252931805994395, c_new = 4.532981769273036
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -11329.421086155455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4429:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.111926270168671, b_new = -1.0314259250676021, c_new = 5.638471943397703
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3578.8048133495754
Acceptance probability: 2.6449859753103914e-246
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4430:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3875510610436352, b_new = -1.6083552567865664, c_new = 4.506483636235051
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12422.06556580104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4431:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9015925726898684, b_new = -1.6359410494741538, c_new = 5.336965677993917
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -4207.137542299761
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4432:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1310803876789506, b_new = -0.9344408212706631, c_new = 5.137324338544058
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3815.913068190016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4433:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2727314982904816, b_new = -1.767627109439438, c_new = 4.468720317586853
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -4180.739628653384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4434:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3188631855633277, b_new = -2.882951241639597, c_new = 5.408065424819389
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3456.530360263694
Acceptance probability: 3.3538499345032917e-193
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4435:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8845925264733, b_new = -0.9283842048216202, c_new = 5.795547238659415
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3366.701809433237
Acceptance probability: 3.4481612703200574e-154
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4436:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.604476806251493, b_new = -1.3041743566625805, c_new = 5.294227464391424
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -9036.002547748894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4437:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.588378243091463, b_new = -1.13045361286059, c_new = 5.269529888955022
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -10990.810589849081
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4438:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.950835496072371, b_new = -1.0650847587917955, c_new = 4.826078885309288
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3156.588739240461
Acceptance probability: 6.145178890571544e-63
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4439:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.592157377904608, b_new = -1.003486774233998, c_new = 5.759052874800551
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8349.554938747555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4440:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.423082531680713, b_new = -0.8936809288727632, c_new = 4.200596754601771
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8999.584342387005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4441:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.97760380472189, b_new = -1.3473067374286798, c_new = 4.177375332815108
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3283.1626703129905
Acceptance probability: 6.579224599046824e-118
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4442:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5375957481884006, b_new = -0.6760632457543383, c_new = 5.853979918662407
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8478.212973234804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4443:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0009450885040345, b_new = -1.000447229849184, c_new = 5.038477395045641
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Acceptance probability: 6.972408840773899
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4444:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3518934908431843, b_new = -1.2121253025740177, c_new = 4.8508047982471
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7024.106147203194
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4445:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.032905778594001, b_new = -1.369554054887504, c_new = 4.863947054267755
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3027.090381107694
Acceptance probability: 1.5331125463304237e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4446:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6368154043518683, b_new = -0.02738101341135113, c_new = 4.982713163212141
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5357.944929676609
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4447:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9968914104664337, b_new = 0.1709834196707547, c_new = 4.633002776326339
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12718.224189118879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4448:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3856879556563326, b_new = -1.0050632136706041, c_new = 5.817686698556727
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8656.47705402456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4449:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.690627873488054, b_new = -0.17153421510800404, c_new = 5.517749933152209
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4608.896544403098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4450:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.727141427830865, b_new = -1.0877796146960383, c_new = 4.9192209690152024
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14994.737799498604
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4451:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.007827259562897, b_new = -1.1295408150262884, c_new = 5.241983603974388
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3011.7361410120175
Acceptance probability: 0.7142262126749528
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4452:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.727879920387082, b_new = -0.4619380067043489, c_new = 4.17475361277465
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4919.506200079918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4453:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.964171675347951, b_new = -1.1996285847760846, c_new = 4.073018393030848
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3258.133039516023
Acceptance probability: 6.998781041794888e-108
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4454:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.508750286910158, b_new = -0.9807638335443447, c_new = 5.466842039327584
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9696.467636046324
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4455:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2503205096943457, b_new = 0.060508890051555575, c_new = 4.737273682487566
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10976.087006588761
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4456:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0154983269360494, b_new = -1.0363188806534338, c_new = 5.069615311554928
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3017.1437489583695
Acceptance probability: 0.0032014114487182847
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4457:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4553017519348592, b_new = -1.3104967054498633, c_new = 4.805107583197424
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11202.179318979373
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4458:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1914119921777218, b_new = -1.9752517110974552, c_new = 5.0254357671000545
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3243.4824693893156
Acceptance probability: 1.6131849791409313e-101
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4459:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5589292787127533, b_new = -1.3856962444813532, c_new = 5.454750997400672
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9856.595403469648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4460:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.326396774823559, b_new = -1.2507235550984357, c_new = 4.759146037556061
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12301.215255374427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4461:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.917683149180072, b_new = -0.2007399844284944, c_new = 4.669617965476331
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14223.638996025917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4462:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1917367357143034, b_new = -0.9357957634621148, c_new = 4.725948470553816
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4539.203092136045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4463:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8258199336947563, b_new = -0.9982607729153846, c_new = 4.455602063176335
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4354.213137114699
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4464:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.490612385264684, b_new = -0.7011124363484615, c_new = 5.499398303176322
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10776.414887618806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4465:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8851853207022007, b_new = -0.8453245843602768, c_new = 4.039276825159025
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3513.1671243898713
Acceptance probability: 1.2165407160368243e-218
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4466:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.775925870538751, b_new = -1.3638777181542583, c_new = 5.435992445602098
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5733.598925977644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4467:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3800712141874545, b_new = -1.3518241606590036, c_new = 4.80942991681442
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7223.024207645906
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4468:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6912657880930677, b_new = -1.1640792898184098, c_new = 4.952677738804475
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7134.47076574201
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4469:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.243087895385826, b_new = -0.9816006356641771, c_new = 5.162459965294099
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5466.972638843457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4470:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3113806532956094, b_new = -1.539275989873845, c_new = 4.929194268076017
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5370.643586432025
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4471:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1072531744029446, b_new = -0.5476446107349042, c_new = 4.565290483397725
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3999.159755675997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4472:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0296669278457045, b_new = -0.5748039406641691, c_new = 5.438430773259133
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3353.9960643418895
Acceptance probability: 1.6301955613243831e-149
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4473:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2001162898433337, b_new = -1.2685365450734092, c_new = 4.273585843032412
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3981.5200442791715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4474:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0619148909280365, b_new = -0.7804699463807223, c_new = 5.271494269357996
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3370.3048009395143
Acceptance probability: 1.3472413229252045e-156
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4475:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0982554670065525, b_new = -0.8537716851258753, c_new = 4.957827232406386
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3550.715146286361
Acceptance probability: 6.001059499633554e-235
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4476:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1884082212711853, b_new = -0.7602674996061856, c_new = 5.324349240448539
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12472.81281548028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4477:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4573785640277737, b_new = -0.82774505734443, c_new = 5.333544512176874
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10099.60365873211
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4478:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0765800423840175, b_new = -0.47146666428443895, c_new = 5.479488005149899
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3944.869832890778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4479:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.602090145986981, b_new = -0.04442734369317969, c_new = 5.094077170129663
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6013.2900074910785
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4480:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3908482057038967, b_new = -1.2042598142443346, c_new = 6.023014986174344
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11298.757809270392
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4481:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.67023856589539, b_new = -1.3795352919336068, c_new = 4.49898881732477
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8335.505053920218
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4482:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2896292045714963, b_new = -1.1945370781157012, c_new = 5.598543018005094
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6019.716533766528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4483:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8050340657832713, b_new = -1.1223436546710739, c_new = 4.830447044310476
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4825.215312717184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4484:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.72691329472678, b_new = -1.2835593183472798, c_new = 5.003857250014977
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6691.126793526342
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4485:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.123061829998276, b_new = -1.256945687036829, c_new = 4.933663685951939
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3337.8374370250585
Acceptance probability: 1.697627434948102e-142
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4486:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.208917138795443, b_new = -0.6703298627322383, c_new = 4.918968084986571
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5486.619016637646
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4487:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.05164722945404, b_new = -0.8998589213493849, c_new = 4.211895466609191
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13720.909952746057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4488:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6079753317231738, b_new = -0.6953238223546451, c_new = 5.095783886625924
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -15023.434581444231
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4489:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9325647745477652, b_new = -0.43924428020225836, c_new = 5.674786304690581
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13476.180622563621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4490:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.684905659083761, b_new = -0.9334950185390688, c_new = 5.722384538344258
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6373.464972019068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4491:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.909659755801239, b_new = -1.097741582573974, c_new = 4.894584561255446
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3446.892385553553
Acceptance probability: 7.377003932567171e-190
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4492:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.686007137589167, b_new = -0.9383549139601268, c_new = 6.506088502136471
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6105.714140996166
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4493:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9828363188680997, b_new = -0.9897707039312085, c_new = 5.383197286891409
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3016.319372094448
Acceptance probability: 0.007300688466634564
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4494:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.465235409578799, b_new = -0.9229626769286535, c_new = 5.754707238478368
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10111.219266334589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4495:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.099576957557236, b_new = -0.9067379888470657, c_new = 4.161482574266595
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3395.297201107123
Acceptance probability: 1.8853149563774752e-167
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4496:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1609887291571415, b_new = -0.8158256355064444, c_new = 4.79412996648152
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4319.887173889048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4497:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.955609023834478, b_new = -0.6170699316824919, c_new = 5.2778703187837515
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3025.628681918144
Acceptance probability: 6.612747347179729e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4498:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9453082980709593, b_new = -1.3499901714578109, c_new = 4.707191061829016
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3446.043801445122
Acceptance probability: 1.7235163620374393e-189
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4499:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.460061370422189, b_new = -1.1267547299191265, c_new = 5.84752610871792
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9632.613126149787
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4500:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2540951057249727, b_new = -1.2017302264100076, c_new = 5.1777139701517205
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12639.393559096496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4501:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.014581535013612, b_new = -1.3189054052792317, c_new = 5.606308671674284
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13985.824988913471
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4502:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4125434497260403, b_new = -0.7246974634844512, c_new = 4.905780358926789
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9471.490648681705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4503:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3477904157680785, b_new = -0.855153069151841, c_new = 4.605562752039693
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7825.428700305632
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4504:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6951084708096205, b_new = -1.2950336058036358, c_new = 5.198762233663039
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7317.194911116892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4505:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.134226505383436, b_new = -0.6628271839923252, c_new = 4.5511914554386355
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4157.640798795365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4506:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.608659581719203, b_new = -1.6138138783027287, c_new = 4.951265829445602
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9821.234312683055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4507:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3756631903330043, b_new = -0.8351757245267535, c_new = 4.925627791179957
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11162.057812744371
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4508:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.420110113585555, b_new = -1.1635241242642342, c_new = 5.115376807363274
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8622.515404640895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4509:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2384130292525493, b_new = -1.4133768306301748, c_new = 4.552037789996474
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4314.009919856918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4510:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6153396943567944, b_new = -0.7102556532703252, c_new = 4.267108050746689
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11620.247398016994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4511:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.029413082038489, b_new = -1.2600369576116375, c_new = 4.646196568457053
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3020.5336089963375
Acceptance probability: 0.00010793044925533452
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4512:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.316552357660523, b_new = -1.678854788617538, c_new = 5.800258310162346
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12671.757618586764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4513:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8856630813380573, b_new = -0.9537683123076937, c_new = 4.736581273543204
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3521.977673897803
Acceptance probability: 1.8144859719288278e-222
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4514:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0767528168397495, b_new = -0.18938417647484318, c_new = 5.3668631734071255
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -15027.177398094409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4515:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4987849241845526, b_new = -1.6963926782309453, c_new = 4.749593488617609
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11454.734377369474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4516:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.239534981110006, b_new = 0.6487962038123622, c_new = 5.5713270128474885
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10233.507267204062
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4517:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4904984079945067, b_new = -1.1089739327585788, c_new = 5.147991698622684
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9861.855086227275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4518:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.150752619792861, b_new = -0.8710790526224658, c_new = 4.650389580332761
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4052.035030240741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4519:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8406346287669753, b_new = -1.4978563426128615, c_new = 5.20860920730874
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14891.427917924902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4520:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6232496681238793, b_new = -0.5091249313975228, c_new = 5.0900661498004744
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12220.81480398532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4521:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.060766845003178, b_new = -0.915929215439041, c_new = 4.165247145510181
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14036.668121937619
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4522:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.98828872081684, b_new = -1.5104439141705686, c_new = 4.908542057826196
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3259.026292608506
Acceptance probability: 2.8647552086868705e-108
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4523:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.008237791924933, b_new = -1.3281212300929854, c_new = 5.126023919128501
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14133.209399651869
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4524:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1983943780303963, b_new = -1.1097434135260702, c_new = 4.56678442680051
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4277.5673796830315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4525:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.558986931064302, b_new = -1.1659952969847134, c_new = 5.2445354900605645
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9454.586711275015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4526:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0046846920284205, b_new = -0.7271398807789818, c_new = 5.106109342954886
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3082.5293908222584
Acceptance probability: 1.284452464952103e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4527:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.797143412302898, b_new = -1.965003741900484, c_new = 4.595505092873897
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7270.79347562142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4528:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.052614382230751, b_new = -1.3838722626393931, c_new = 4.800651853493111
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14072.443057242619
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4529:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.446921878229052, b_new = -1.4494477484366581, c_new = 5.184656874285876
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11413.384381361067
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4530:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.840411809782667, b_new = -0.8594744923564414, c_new = 4.427036076405939
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3932.052614698485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4531:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7882482171764034, b_new = -1.0952212888385686, c_new = 5.087159181017164
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4979.192166813562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4532:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4259483750048854, b_new = -1.1968419064805909, c_new = 4.730914050620928
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11333.681294295533
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4533:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.973276595106741, b_new = -1.2160275495528148, c_new = 5.618902474719825
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3086.6224817387333
Acceptance probability: 2.1434395384744548e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4534:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.096391733167393, b_new = -1.8637021157774667, c_new = 4.412047032021198
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3077.4234975278146
Acceptance probability: 2.119235983703549e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4535:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.571660184522766, b_new = -1.587802879551738, c_new = 5.288549262428655
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10167.485956804283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4536:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.259420620939545, b_new = -0.7159498742564537, c_new = 4.753187125957326
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12055.874099089877
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4537:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.495438073463184, b_new = -0.5699248599305429, c_new = 6.219675516823081
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11311.427938369347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4538:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1691082031980424, b_new = -1.3165834898871336, c_new = 4.357987463292147
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3591.6517137476767
Acceptance probability: 9.993153909459723e-253
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4539:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.907731510472426, b_new = -1.0903042255597448, c_new = 5.099396648385162
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13343.737006944257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4540:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7604001836624694, b_new = -1.119382342984315, c_new = 5.146567002101576
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5529.033861854161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4541:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.748160373496405, b_new = -0.7961669384720228, c_new = 5.938287872438976
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4797.323694506666
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4542:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.528169447377286, b_new = -1.1065965277328185, c_new = 5.562025966414882
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9659.378432267162
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4543:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0506526001744496, b_new = -2.1536868344788753, c_new = 4.561364395328091
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3487.589588989672
Acceptance probability: 1.5606629981152767e-207
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4544:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0386476265362985, b_new = -1.034481152175002, c_new = 4.8620476843983225
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13765.45397856875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4545:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831725504009445, b_new = -1.2521479305262955, c_new = 5.486807322258006
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4480.5817850210915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4546:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2351046351990846, b_new = -0.8219933613086565, c_new = 5.107922284865723
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5690.331477568065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4547:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.970657138884817, b_new = -1.6764109977370945, c_new = 5.158791836575822
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14593.245316005161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4548:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4932006845113652, b_new = -1.3280941108120763, c_new = 5.538978910277727
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9573.810661273134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4549:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.71085446311767, b_new = -1.3661734576610702, c_new = 5.668112529300067
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7003.089213022134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4550:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.738516704052036, b_new = -1.4345329665457855, c_new = 4.967938852835001
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6874.8101924567645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4551:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.213540640480577, b_new = -1.7762948504959999, c_new = 5.488743325279664
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3646.937649344937
Acceptance probability: 9.75721375829753e-277
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4552:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5343104704688173, b_new = -1.429853860297614, c_new = 5.049495589463881
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9768.033667310307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4553:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9488335272682418, b_new = -0.7540526905084118, c_new = 5.165913381334234
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13826.436728572988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4554:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.589305085215588, b_new = -0.6779216798051291, c_new = 4.663882613455777
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7988.3477291938425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4555:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7978735891445865, b_new = -1.8449654900638943, c_new = 5.129034552893624
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6682.58430541085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4556:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9963710030901636, b_new = -1.4048380443846449, c_new = 4.940035632758091
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3139.259611856839
Acceptance probability: 2.958666974654073e-56
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4557:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1964062896396146, b_new = -1.1103631930308386, c_new = 4.591692991159733
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4253.939298301435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4558:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.221214323167125, b_new = -0.9083180877948035, c_new = 4.804919822971528
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5116.435170924312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4559:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9428297028610086, b_new = -1.293140311198384, c_new = 5.122606141277784
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3349.389221722686
Acceptance probability: 1.6329242356550976e-147
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4560:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.479229571642245, b_new = -1.2475344199067098, c_new = 5.785501224391036
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9629.215140712275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4561:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.181780393247052, b_new = -0.6435296261061367, c_new = 5.552338693126677
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5246.7291630087175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4562:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6678508372084977, b_new = -1.0503494778794775, c_new = 5.017451646138684
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7285.917208592824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4563:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.805613080090501, b_new = -0.4240274389202484, c_new = 4.826833766775264
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3652.1855159300567
Acceptance probability: 5.131050863822278e-279
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4564:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.078367875087186, b_new = -1.4959201150431536, c_new = 6.120150269316762
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3061.9806924716704
Acceptance probability: 1.0787090950658025e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4565:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7143195853215167, b_new = -1.9778816016832064, c_new = 4.733008999543752
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9009.72350149595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4566:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.322375905008477, b_new = -0.4541879392924776, c_new = 5.437726002462237
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8750.362535225078
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4567:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.704614676363138, b_new = -1.001821779534894, c_new = 5.506372813249855
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6223.149834294782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4568:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7351321601917835, b_new = -0.11005281249678467, c_new = 4.224683131518958
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4139.837212662176
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4569:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.642484537678371, b_new = -0.5981842504542533, c_new = 3.943564104439096
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7001.039587460131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4570:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1295691165781303, b_new = -1.112700723608318, c_new = 5.775930839795126
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3675.327651690021
Acceptance probability: 4.567772439674999e-289
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4571:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0890438704491774, b_new = -0.6497539167221038, c_new = 5.548338391157409
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3834.708576289254
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4572:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.130066818145528, b_new = -1.6835449252859702, c_new = 4.349219107822842
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3093.073520087456
Acceptance probability: 3.384237863821157e-36
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4573:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6458409407042205, b_new = -2.0522072475732456, c_new = 5.132286511974091
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10194.916583143131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4574:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9118838341330857, b_new = -0.9662026314071278, c_new = 4.516287884043991
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13361.582839979623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4575:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4270724981955483, b_new = -1.438210253534643, c_new = 5.432892561707209
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8172.139554166486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4576:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.639013996780957, b_new = -1.6502733013754227, c_new = 5.0488851035143165
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10572.141618843638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4577:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9165394336847084, b_new = -0.5613796016534607, c_new = 5.414465441382394
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14034.919812175198
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4578:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.134549994691529, b_new = -1.098610107936022, c_new = 5.161486543623333
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14394.109698138003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4579:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.068172516821799, b_new = -1.403490923365561, c_new = 6.199639874225568
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3070.6807798324535
Acceptance probability: 1.7968193158134807e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4580:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.447056383647094, b_new = -1.6564877491167769, c_new = 5.920738054519158
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11534.229986848572
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4581:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9104384492716795, b_new = -1.058503125923894, c_new = 4.366224182904398
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13214.772842268492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4582:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.850346295837954, b_new = -0.7142474413668098, c_new = 5.4920301142760986
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3469.850368288241
Acceptance probability: 7.89504841648744e-200
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4583:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2533391033566685, b_new = -1.837326153452191, c_new = 5.631742824594848
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13326.202743239182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4584:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7914230958603663, b_new = -2.179313405045977, c_new = 5.098262554643882
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7815.3877772542655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4585:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.185695616550912, b_new = -0.688116564006656, c_new = 5.497537127358768
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5195.546349395417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4586:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.055885844915055, b_new = -0.7459188880941661, c_new = 5.873412523267499
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3447.9751465623262
Acceptance probability: 2.498290195801915e-190
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4587:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2546691567862944, b_new = -1.6726503835816058, c_new = 4.703912901391632
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4136.254051901801
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4588:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6192517893235663, b_new = -0.0024059489620421592, c_new = 4.912223218211113
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5644.871341540367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4589:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3062261097961034, b_new = -1.917251347501074, c_new = 4.204882106300426
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4348.4293422952605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4590:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.854284161603758, b_new = -1.2771966048367207, c_new = 5.197432977018165
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4266.555254903384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4591:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.986209852716565, b_new = 0.40066135560865135, c_new = 5.695412520437823
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -15295.246197607335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4592:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.674649940950882, b_new = -1.0138995020194146, c_new = 4.689440460908586
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7172.551255473063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4593:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.617966521675607, b_new = -1.0932582425319481, c_new = 4.7656093256662375
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8473.261534252237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4594:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5422850043027205, b_new = -1.701118385760614, c_new = 5.129186047842396
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9358.342449317748
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4595:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9995055110940907, b_new = -0.8056520543650418, c_new = 5.13887609871455
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13650.386280973953
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4596:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.601570284839385, b_new = -0.2264681786825835, c_new = 5.739568117245161
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12655.456542416794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4597:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7558040558115358, b_new = -2.1610127227769804, c_new = 4.878759510866869
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8626.424024295377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4598:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6647213681716697, b_new = -0.9150421729892408, c_new = 4.203650370482202
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7297.284015067071
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4599:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.330550416812831, b_new = -1.1358659008299399, c_new = 5.727498901992955
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11820.666406920724
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4600:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2372602816880325, b_new = -1.1501741780238794, c_new = 5.485227186496424
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5064.635810172146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4601:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.039409409657748, b_new = -1.3549830014908113, c_new = 5.170059150364107
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3013.7227555902673
Acceptance probability: 0.09796253977349051
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4602:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.503539628373523, b_new = -0.9982424972488171, c_new = 5.522122809609634
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10373.796354822516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4603:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4874797744784027, b_new = -0.6233472036925886, c_new = 4.8073815564387266
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9469.072990729155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4604:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2635606485776933, b_new = -1.0454479204928004, c_new = 5.140478953446432
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5707.060972952719
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4605:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9587265635066995, b_new = -1.1727003567871765, c_new = 4.394207362418691
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3231.2590916699237
Acceptance probability: 3.282688420846062e-96
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4606:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.164490037362535, b_new = -1.4509422145705315, c_new = 3.6160656143370815
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3346.7878332591094
Acceptance probability: 2.2015811080098934e-146
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4607:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3438781388151484, b_new = -0.034845822784536296, c_new = 5.702263225800422
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10306.033005636333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4608:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.213203110215138, b_new = -0.16756534886213825, c_new = 5.054509391185988
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11558.928049382881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4609:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6972223480983737, b_new = -1.0412411541235018, c_new = 5.169506757208259
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6597.696627214872
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4610:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.960250401868114, b_new = -2.1949889498977173, c_new = 5.951036717155195
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4237.541564705207
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4611:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.392426424180307, b_new = -0.5239865984365853, c_new = 4.7417711006188465
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9557.08841529137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4612:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9476934327591033, b_new = -0.5499469773150016, c_new = 5.246952527077135
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3028.175288594125
Acceptance probability: 5.1808939546469885e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4613:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5060353005018228, b_new = -0.6983713977857899, c_new = 3.8067073356994943
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9711.752636138926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4614:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.518793231483836, b_new = -0.8525572121953051, c_new = 4.926840894506508
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10631.81942967246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4615:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8570619119282217, b_new = -1.936097526273846, c_new = 4.2737389535350445
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6009.858072976557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4616:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.417108768775967, b_new = -0.5585296782227904, c_new = 5.505818546504377
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10130.27755640262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4617:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0848753325888323, b_new = -1.0153766936534414, c_new = 5.674491203481525
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3370.987226785184
Acceptance probability: 6.808816282394027e-157
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4618:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5062484958828355, b_new = -0.9805566274517826, c_new = 5.017041236640242
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10276.00587861753
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4619:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981762928965267, b_new = -0.466698016359702, c_new = 5.644522523478288
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3180.6015439305747
Acceptance probability: 3.2849072615524188e-74
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4620:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5443422386601924, b_new = -0.6277137699332979, c_new = 5.7628897618739465
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11555.425786836155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4621:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.570052813572046, b_new = -1.4211773382130164, c_new = 5.112609046512482
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9897.127738071153
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4622:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2535634572563974, b_new = -1.073012508345631, c_new = 5.625165576894747
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12352.578110273187
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4623:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4054064953298617, b_new = -1.2815650563126693, c_new = 5.033811389265379
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11585.431942347988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4624:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.05605004512659, b_new = -0.9554747910715568, c_new = 5.5493611192194825
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3216.113300833764
Acceptance probability: 1.241546664406919e-89
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4625:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4767089947966285, b_new = -0.28362628426901604, c_new = 5.026172251053732
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11228.546096237878
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4626:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.84613296587189, b_new = -0.7914963950423093, c_new = 5.335518905471426
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3614.7943505110256
Acceptance probability: 8.891665844721318e-263
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4627:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.110165768176574, b_new = -1.549036108461991, c_new = 5.806765047029118
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3134.5832758963543
Acceptance probability: 3.1768959222576826e-54
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4628:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0811798114590925, b_new = -2.0358092442049363, c_new = 5.186202792877293
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3127.5919311589587
Acceptance probability: 3.453865551123153e-51
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4629:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.200766305357763, b_new = -1.8013937594932288, c_new = 4.982217418287142
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13751.526853374415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4630:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.892511707434685, b_new = -2.009138797360294, c_new = 4.7619066280168125
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5311.654584477294
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4631:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8936177474924363, b_new = -1.2239366759988313, c_new = 5.831485037747379
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13297.961329090313
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4632:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.120452232082521, b_new = -0.561749079555121, c_new = 5.1167146793785125
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4281.044234148627
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4633:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.805006584064125, b_new = -0.7558775352642813, c_new = 4.352694579300347
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4242.207055163713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4634:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8469745091782444, b_new = -0.40497115412310725, c_new = 4.67091535442802
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3305.69041508811
Acceptance probability: 1.5528039315804332e-128
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4635:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0225431199826165, b_new = -0.9139157067594091, c_new = 4.915101944449439
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13704.776205808641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4636:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.794372899966547, b_new = -0.7711240810399705, c_new = 5.685306163205133
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4121.164794065334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4637:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5686601531685658, b_new = -1.9843420768859068, c_new = 5.824312011021277
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10830.011083418256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4638:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7640472643226177, b_new = -0.8433731285639106, c_new = 4.273282685230399
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5092.274044620418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4639:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.885315994834582, b_new = -0.29408974709633806, c_new = 5.096161127719376
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14086.08470829745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4640:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8840858765287996, b_new = -0.6259640804227109, c_new = 5.165471834612159
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13748.298007513416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4641:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6166726724828364, b_new = -1.2894890311067355, c_new = 4.992443201591802
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8904.422681790968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4642:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0192024459122346, b_new = -0.6236638834356294, c_new = 5.90058522915573
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3301.8307592395345
Acceptance probability: 7.367902311486815e-127
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4643:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9906178970412443, b_new = -0.31513714654306324, c_new = 5.155545841850403
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3286.109351730399
Acceptance probability: 4.955236511639532e-120
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4644:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6886693122590435, b_new = -1.0659223534127187, c_new = 5.569749225392604
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6695.124551679194
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4645:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1955661315632233, b_new = -0.6401068120083249, c_new = 5.0826025838635545
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12331.425311435672
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4646:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9862785133813015, b_new = -0.7791132813639152, c_new = 5.1556865220525845
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3026.4256793322775
Acceptance probability: 2.9802339029271593e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4647:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.313695864312942, b_new = -0.2311429942779244, c_new = 6.0371248856070245
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10459.203985812688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4648:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.3735128986642104, b_new = -0.6247333857280746, c_new = 4.627686953720404
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -15425.278029882202
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4649:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.268480211540946, b_new = -0.45768877919181306, c_new = 5.07085458904238
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11516.126700769155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4650:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0899387732626686, b_new = -1.046920086713337, c_new = 4.597168191446276
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3253.630271359768
Acceptance probability: 6.317565746514654e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4651:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0143097305255573, b_new = -1.2034130297954306, c_new = 4.522783174834847
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3031.9590464968865
Acceptance probability: 1.1779843615670698e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4652:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6012479064023513, b_new = -1.2803878851113497, c_new = 5.73011162595036
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11007.87907045435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4653:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3538350542687, b_new = -1.5817503809720834, c_new = 4.71987612976392
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12578.461569938096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4654:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.373512448805254, b_new = 0.21289056549866925, c_new = 4.543509664234878
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10822.130934678822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4655:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5472461511786006, b_new = -1.0867984980679029, c_new = 5.003466553148747
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9538.124948960125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4656:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4135163974568457, b_new = -0.7019284156005052, c_new = 5.161079843437852
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9631.608832844868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4657:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.44137486567268, b_new = -0.8470277994258825, c_new = 4.697552226138377
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9566.174676151048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4658:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3636617392912314, b_new = -0.6408287849717, c_new = 4.917750367007198
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8839.880812213776
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4659:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.189953227725606, b_new = -1.389112524972014, c_new = 5.386219259188219
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3888.365530111529
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4660:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.73230163031755, b_new = -0.4873336912538312, c_new = 4.60611889316597
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4779.520899670581
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4661:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2311520954961543, b_new = -0.37076618329141375, c_new = 5.1141729733491195
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6860.905309490427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4662:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.547421254118168, b_new = -1.1105690955843384, c_new = 4.512520695382176
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10361.952926367718
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4663:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8701727010458837, b_new = -0.32194372511199754, c_new = 4.633425364687696
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3130.408267851637
Acceptance probability: 2.0662646364817636e-52
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4664:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7811989423492696, b_new = -0.42829077631938806, c_new = 5.17097154424642
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3866.1117949452987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4665:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3282865932813674, b_new = -0.8737634097110616, c_new = 5.45959088489178
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11516.696764172859
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4666:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0386648802566363, b_new = -1.2325661855920793, c_new = 5.496446858800673
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3024.0155021248274
Acceptance probability: 3.318768906309158e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4667:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6677883441909636, b_new = 0.0804694979392282, c_new = 4.277004141438393
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13109.59309822584
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4668:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.434731767540704, b_new = -0.4659950229648814, c_new = 5.896467715432449
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10701.376121604575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4669:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0095145222660693, b_new = -1.3988404921771689, c_new = 6.03570941360023
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3033.489773406126
Acceptance probability: 2.548902803619249e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4670:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8884846666958865, b_new = -1.4799495114245806, c_new = 5.104601102476565
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4170.571054337586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4671:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4252631847343427, b_new = -0.0034077242386245654, c_new = 4.0944062879736185
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10868.581353119931
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4672:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.35340938664549, b_new = -1.467022302922867, c_new = 4.561385407566583
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12464.272532031111
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4673:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.514926117100724, b_new = -1.569973079204133, c_new = 5.461777236210672
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9348.5672620419
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4674:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.024790098353306, b_new = -1.2359643318611535, c_new = 4.752157960082652
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13697.453310058474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4675:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.119139656134596, b_new = -0.883798312857469, c_new = 4.737567045785065
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14433.280542077358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4676:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5243865841202773, b_new = -1.3494571724196427, c_new = 5.479295207517204
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10234.106992752628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4677:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.443420725573691, b_new = -1.5004355802129323, c_new = 6.113514077925174
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11246.048113961351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4678:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.603237581530535, b_new = -1.024462915310167, c_new = 3.7588883317494393
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10876.379115653372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4679:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.313529675294578, b_new = -1.5791256368294637, c_new = 4.700323900422982
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5252.1436049357735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4680:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.226237352996747, b_new = -0.620991701263655, c_new = 4.937362028602581
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5974.372061142869
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4681:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0677679676512195, b_new = -1.3240947555672278, c_new = 5.656646933143399
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3070.056942980485
Acceptance probability: 3.3529981208031014e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4682:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6391453671257845, b_new = -1.169465759774742, c_new = 4.414806056953097
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8411.03461900865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4683:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.224305724095293, b_new = -0.09636671296051569, c_new = 5.652900003801362
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7761.698163647311
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4684:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.871250616349233, b_new = -0.4776351601851466, c_new = 4.138219909637319
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3258.1844463985412
Acceptance probability: 6.6480868030633334e-108
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4685:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.470601485865453, b_new = -1.0494886079238306, c_new = 5.085523641586835
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10445.195020387986
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4686:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6063757590767977, b_new = -1.1566469888315516, c_new = 4.9773888399689605
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8761.09416608889
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4687:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4100425081810766, b_new = -0.4276970599129478, c_new = 4.964345599853794
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10118.095385697196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4688:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.188524944093357, b_new = -0.8846790793033292, c_new = 4.970314136519187
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4654.833827544291
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4689:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.433584695398411, b_new = -2.0915262420038063, c_new = 4.846890864568152
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12673.651083627441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4690:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7316453662043783, b_new = -0.9937431156681107, c_new = 4.5217924295669
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5998.354564750554
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4691:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5554855443576896, b_new = -1.400454812016561, c_new = 5.370203605062556
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10188.631331465747
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4692:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.874047732252081, b_new = -0.411285626882657, c_new = 3.5347507874840676
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3253.787915293998
Acceptance probability: 5.396173185761787e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4693:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5871058965900513, b_new = -1.3845486146463049, c_new = 5.291117911928363
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10549.397131569767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4694:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.821224115571145, b_new = -0.994901111842224, c_new = 5.305549720662483
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4210.42796509618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4695:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4139310321682235, b_new = -0.8730511469783347, c_new = 4.7437194753772625
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10881.467836040865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4696:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.591989403680338, b_new = -1.055843336648886, c_new = 5.006387391576207
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8753.395372678337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4697:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2172735887306523, b_new = 0.10062353373159749, c_new = 4.587651779513034
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11256.147593646643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4698:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3392334375948396, b_new = -1.1056344462544208, c_new = 4.8778347795241075
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11947.682545754284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4699:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.141926809053456, b_new = -0.40533207369023216, c_new = 4.442150111374451
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4736.387776963758
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4700:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.221083398223053, b_new = -1.7779109284955268, c_new = 5.261375207563237
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3687.4323040125482
Acceptance probability: 2.527672192965641e-294
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4701:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.523295476105405, b_new = -1.2097544535154392, c_new = 5.12652617514413
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10080.882322232821
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4702:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2212423728768624, b_new = -0.5489590969955689, c_new = 5.002309827649521
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6087.953001532239
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4703:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2028607974329524, b_new = -1.2470197672404317, c_new = 5.362435539890285
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12980.389179267848
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4704:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4192271690524905, b_new = -1.0398474950883136, c_new = 4.246087504390458
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8598.994070580124
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4705:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.574773533087632, b_new = -0.14893433800174782, c_new = 5.830038549160795
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6561.3532447798425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4706:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8235114260239556, b_new = -0.9926715306079935, c_new = 5.228037810686813
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4192.497588615795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4707:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0482918787281754, b_new = -0.9565919301648542, c_new = 5.331538213688008
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3153.9612944218043
Acceptance probability: 1.2196535140095507e-62
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4708:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.333792667750398, b_new = -1.794557767005705, c_new = 5.185768386128757
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12879.812338791813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4709:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0296662596871604, b_new = -0.3780604396448246, c_new = 5.4850811038100975
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3576.4525210272404
Acceptance probability: 3.986833548485077e-246
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4710:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6644190089285753, b_new = -1.0110071783536543, c_new = 5.485617589777828
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11930.473062715602
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4711:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8953033805011725, b_new = -1.9915262310447557, c_new = 5.225401844216474
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5061.970741203735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4712:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2957016538703074, b_new = -1.6739791346497266, c_new = 5.574447489832463
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12868.436241537587
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4713:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5730173590792704, b_new = -1.1452282723973781, c_new = 5.117384172922865
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10761.198893024244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4714:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.766872555591802, b_new = -0.7304726572130755, c_new = 4.994764424359268
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4605.300385731219
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4715:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.699150746965487, b_new = -1.9569748362563923, c_new = 4.309460570108504
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10479.702660732608
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4716:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.619393323054063, b_new = -1.5303127508789829, c_new = 5.828805759645225
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10799.967757809894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4717:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3028269641196752, b_new = -0.6808431306513045, c_new = 3.9756086123220333
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11877.043988793881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4718:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9369654355927926, b_new = -1.615559778055626, c_new = 4.3135856465142215
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14858.726421098834
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4719:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3555129949003666, b_new = -1.4398576011983524, c_new = 5.984673349027188
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6904.016530424941
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4720:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.27861796769483, b_new = -0.6030802801882174, c_new = 5.354955987769068
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7346.452428612616
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4721:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.514091117177513, b_new = -0.905368540490535, c_new = 5.180804277652052
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9562.129508136793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4722:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.824616329402811, b_new = -0.3442721652922185, c_new = 5.221673879857461
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3358.932841832214
Acceptance probability: 1.1701040536027459e-151
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4723:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.169317441109927, b_new = -1.606985400275793, c_new = 5.008547104206551
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3376.1900973585116
Acceptance probability: 3.745360586871645e-159
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4724:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.294607202674511, b_new = -0.9388377743672965, c_new = 4.677697208462441
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6481.651902047726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4725:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3535287476073554, b_new = -1.0760133153588705, c_new = 4.408633716992553
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7265.4399207732
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4726:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.942412266117133, b_new = -0.9821409925407332, c_new = 5.089132939183765
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3127.363632744248
Acceptance probability: 4.339644655379143e-51
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4727:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7688881168276502, b_new = -1.5009471786077313, c_new = 4.097746075432463
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6756.283521618506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4728:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2371707151616733, b_new = -0.2529799621294966, c_new = 4.506750258700879
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11634.069351741526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4729:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.453010665335047, b_new = -1.1820114589932191, c_new = 5.039792721062996
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9113.59047061233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4730:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3721881332396393, b_new = -1.580864925908534, c_new = 5.2755376864509556
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6615.926372270973
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4731:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5469327612211607, b_new = -1.190996461825045, c_new = 5.303746475758076
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10453.46506261329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4732:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.597617597339762, b_new = -0.32832171108314234, c_new = 5.1036820825769365
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6790.159877262496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4733:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.527694756213063, b_new = -1.092727906950407, c_new = 5.814157750898078
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9553.24472188372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4734:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.979767760132451, b_new = -0.5876117223162229, c_new = 5.378703509020707
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3083.176297234201
Acceptance probability: 6.726205805040833e-32
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4735:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.260349910872919, b_new = -0.8952319217638778, c_new = 5.779173714717797
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6274.957105775583
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4736:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.852580876054094, b_new = -0.8881401874962059, c_new = 5.512866038700085
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13374.335240751718
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4737:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.665287379650355, b_new = -0.8526655500226419, c_new = 4.388767101148297
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7045.372975047129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4738:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7830469175041443, b_new = -1.5621492975025475, c_new = 4.49616817022766
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11813.87651393791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4739:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8879114010893385, b_new = -0.6345406918660907, c_new = 5.666201787782481
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3152.4656020089274
Acceptance probability: 5.442612727578624e-62
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4740:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2859180184160723, b_new = -0.8039654744974238, c_new = 4.783720288774919
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6705.867080041189
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4741:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2599272566501947, b_new = -1.274596047343127, c_new = 5.213681625519211
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5110.3486902602535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4742:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4034132210209407, b_new = 0.18809767895133578, c_new = 5.348577741940243
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8824.605111347353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4743:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0861917807037638, b_new = -0.7575729656059279, c_new = 4.546619992592931
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3488.854044376948
Acceptance probability: 4.407203826811013e-208
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4744:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.687135025385153, b_new = -0.8374124796699767, c_new = 5.194315644854974
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12272.733550641497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4745:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.759940572966378, b_new = -0.8265433286582952, c_new = 5.407865529637234
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4801.863715841089
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4746:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9673761619205066, b_new = -0.8765399982300413, c_new = 5.318040997220777
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13828.769667395967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4747:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9372323799283042, b_new = -0.7623565104905843, c_new = 4.831561290685818
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13961.873046932344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4748:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.291258679134848, b_new = -1.683076603778823, c_new = 5.322765666674347
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4807.569037759487
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4749:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.307806541560156, b_new = -1.1533464796033002, c_new = 3.8713422265491584
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12564.568393211568
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4750:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7419807502956925, b_new = -0.5503588070689022, c_new = 5.417722605823837
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13093.182376380588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4751:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.251040657194397, b_new = -0.4329535850353786, c_new = 4.484806328458849
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6871.923535712801
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4752:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.138046166795719, b_new = -0.4320362245039949, c_new = 5.699472973952505
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4995.657247725423
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4753:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8200932138210595, b_new = -1.1765164047481935, c_new = 5.297454175309618
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12768.383769704338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4754:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.353822113013145, b_new = -1.0907471165314908, c_new = 4.812585192047762
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11818.362009206328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4755:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.814602926964743, b_new = -0.8299616581253428, c_new = 4.861426328606462
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4121.187178131171
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4756:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.885684061137792, b_new = -0.9642765156483974, c_new = 4.463426846581386
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3577.7820155693043
Acceptance probability: 1.0549599212841074e-246
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4757:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.903060682815168, b_new = -0.9271448874207566, c_new = 4.6834012253336486
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3358.4958152533836
Acceptance probability: 1.8114348361471426e-151
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4758:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0118031968246743, b_new = -1.1216062486207634, c_new = 5.021292288724583
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Acceptance probability: 0.707607819374044
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4759:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.240577486534774, b_new = -1.9531448387194703, c_new = 4.246144805176461
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3551.080301551172
Acceptance probability: 5.886408434819767e-235
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4760:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.371992262999102, b_new = -1.8385660443658076, c_new = 4.768468921311383
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5787.860950256738
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4761:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1279033611963687, b_new = -1.5331475325791148, c_new = 4.995390500732695
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3171.933800093359
Acceptance probability: 2.6982600843854493e-70
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4762:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5748233856896316, b_new = -0.7228504536162803, c_new = 5.21699611876953
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8165.364849014311
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4763:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3832288503218146, b_new = -1.328968391630711, c_new = 4.948842474031196
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11892.194727174716
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4764:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9893839219098413, b_new = -1.5497129476812581, c_new = 5.187856349949128
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14401.760060662204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4765:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0194034782960997, b_new = -0.8993941389809401, c_new = 5.690320541359279
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3094.617913625282
Acceptance probability: 1.0208141124198182e-36
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4766:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.002136363238009, b_new = -1.0423193325345455, c_new = 5.368773548272695
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3012.2880407747707
Acceptance probability: 0.5812408646712798
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4767:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.764506763906067, b_new = -1.0553887768124632, c_new = 5.630895956607459
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5151.706153909703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4768:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4794939635469055, b_new = -1.8016766274917337, c_new = 5.683840652004907
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8324.26883690551
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4769:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.915201457894298, b_new = -0.5889352634743195, c_new = 4.48209283270031
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3085.6072506528944
Acceptance probability: 8.360415708697962e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4770:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8055983173556935, b_new = -1.341786904101669, c_new = 5.112663867133146
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12416.76434325045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4771:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2286703042638214, b_new = -1.6260201490061716, c_new = 4.998299143310333
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13386.253190709791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4772:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1123763942112572, b_new = -1.4185993496932947, c_new = 5.1502862713474125
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3172.5807223096826
Acceptance probability: 1.4129573733582034e-70
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4773:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.342266586885791, b_new = -0.597768807019816, c_new = 4.6630350834048535
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8439.954714336629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4774:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.344877128810649, b_new = -1.423725159257901, c_new = 4.918344906016475
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6334.485305936321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4775:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.199422658169846, b_new = -1.0541177582933974, c_new = 5.013569660481579
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4502.787038713554
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4776:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.957570510691115, b_new = -1.7125464595952815, c_new = 5.726052466157345
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14546.312071046468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4777:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.590521177601156, b_new = -1.4499034856709536, c_new = 4.995949775586148
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9705.99327480956
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4778:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0600489833579876, b_new = -0.8128791267202531, c_new = 5.3112453685472625
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3331.367671282106
Acceptance probability: 1.5482223161475522e-139
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4779:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4661249797613842, b_new = -1.2861529472079762, c_new = 4.903845894490463
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9039.463123370715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4780:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5578756844607207, b_new = -1.612683152011062, c_new = 5.381828356062782
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10369.309182530698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4781:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1829645601371075, b_new = -1.2424016202323396, c_new = 5.8481739927778245
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4128.217004181156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4782:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7475370106850292, b_new = -1.3829826634270106, c_new = 4.78097505206606
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15194.427024392287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4783:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9564117523187994, b_new = -1.358120919352469, c_new = 4.650846927460059
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3375.026583469252
Acceptance probability: 1.6943716424445028e-158
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4784:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.388630807477276, b_new = -1.7199855818707048, c_new = 5.777522693959419
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12198.721834108319
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4785:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6959108880061056, b_new = -0.6659029210698568, c_new = 4.55543718060819
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5870.283781595038
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4786:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6706710997894296, b_new = -0.5948361321289826, c_new = 5.373114182328747
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5923.460156798456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4787:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6580076487070965, b_new = -1.4170093826858152, c_new = 5.259964016521976
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11192.889094701268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4788:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.60890456996826, b_new = -1.9297804793268098, c_new = 5.097749501547028
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10458.39438534328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4789:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.992551159993134, b_new = -1.7500126531943376, c_new = 4.442715292392447
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14744.186117497413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4790:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.370516453650801, b_new = -1.487783993695225, c_new = 4.510065903676729
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6560.3734781506455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4791:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.525142549742048, b_new = -0.9325502810622756, c_new = 4.914152124838814
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9554.612485736601
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4792:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.887462954202835, b_new = -0.48650330349267, c_new = 4.824370921939176
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3126.3980680568
Acceptance probability: 1.610649201996258e-50
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4793:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.626940683687688, b_new = -0.8030386401803002, c_new = 4.930272558377344
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11768.642095368057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4794:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9223758654558987, b_new = -0.8644841276803223, c_new = 5.262699900517894
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3140.9856753910844
Acceptance probability: 7.441895928255713e-57
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4795:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6377928542918045, b_new = -1.4598713048096308, c_new = 5.588387316854883
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11029.144171336895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4796:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8469727912120897, b_new = -1.1962701055959961, c_new = 5.2516957836361104
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4213.701582528388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4797:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1549051258205583, b_new = -1.6115688137086706, c_new = 4.83921278734713
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3259.101278502298
Acceptance probability: 3.756028979848576e-108
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4798:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2290010467295827, b_new = -1.762498733085381, c_new = 5.011361535489468
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3752.0716665999535
Acceptance probability: 3e-322
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4799:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5980227575974206, b_new = 0.08241217842114468, c_new = 4.6060425600614465
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12729.414090219216
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4800:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4933868793860055, b_new = -1.663305080901075, c_new = 5.64286547513017
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8873.649283481962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4801:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0068959057309272, b_new = -1.1108356231917669, c_new = 5.684752469279096
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3013.8925036034298
Acceptance probability: 0.11682795837799978
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4802:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.721791153802129, b_new = -1.2123163318594103, c_new = 4.786811849530937
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6687.619042598164
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4803:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5782456028730767, b_new = -1.4037042011137364, c_new = 4.12648310065122
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10104.053174384524
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4804:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2048994918647713, b_new = -1.2182562306109535, c_new = 5.810708363697959
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4477.083417818991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4805:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1427696548956314, b_new = -1.47277191605438, c_new = 5.102012069024515
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3310.2370700489546
Acceptance probability: 2.326680971143927e-130
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4806:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8497464888364514, b_new = -1.201506073551069, c_new = 5.11575493639832
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4216.2009933107765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4807:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.393263719684905, b_new = -1.498732491940906, c_new = 4.8278228132402
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7111.70662830314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4808:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1847545557739068, b_new = 0.2597371497569336, c_new = 6.027472878030175
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8126.849132375458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4809:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.607757081553669, b_new = -0.8278999230470623, c_new = 4.406615126467569
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8120.251887337266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4810:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0820024516505864, b_new = -0.9203230005274383, c_new = 4.616813931866298
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3306.0896499608716
Acceptance probability: 1.4721040121499234e-128
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4811:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4617934335676717, b_new = -1.3291115289289548, c_new = 4.677823926092721
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8793.254879474096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4812:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3103037323435127, b_new = -1.9656494376788831, c_new = 5.398594209464365
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4578.149831205104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4813:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.280216078407948, b_new = -1.2954071679930426, c_new = 4.694162333980779
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5280.520993602743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4814:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.582653784784566, b_new = -0.7284314722980507, c_new = 5.1293087699195405
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11552.982086351203
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4815:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4056063134341157, b_new = -0.8502647727128975, c_new = 5.278180687594815
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9198.663321558026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4816:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5700149937446755, b_new = -1.8404343470267155, c_new = 4.562388484538884
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9287.815278172633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4817:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4837178938898234, b_new = -1.9067828766769055, c_new = 4.595276516128438
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12030.465969462555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4818:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2319441240883524, b_new = -0.4754953633183425, c_new = 4.773346802767943
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6439.6719293847145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4819:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1633809403108915, b_new = -0.25830412060673036, c_new = 4.540342839734922
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5493.349563293039
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4820:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.344654052753372, b_new = -1.7251937185159187, c_new = 4.607706437587097
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14515.307074696693
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4821:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.453036669262692, b_new = -0.4934596136919025, c_new = 4.7588132803604015
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10480.863546359438
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4822:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5542489362184195, b_new = -0.3299694018619944, c_new = 5.040302582390249
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11903.294834955868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4823:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2395995729171543, b_new = -0.8533021648837561, c_new = 5.540516827698374
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5855.448004324445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4824:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.559521975407648, b_new = -1.5889086377741322, c_new = 4.915843353656343
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10463.538995705898
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4825:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1743927844009225, b_new = -1.203845877515597, c_new = 5.685419690923073
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4042.8457585037204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4826:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7654149654849878, b_new = -0.4368926248445405, c_new = 5.537353842091319
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4003.8555578570395
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4827:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.602075366602155, b_new = -0.5132475407655348, c_new = 5.081772659706246
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7175.9402188183685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4828:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.625485474829384, b_new = -1.567526330286795, c_new = 5.1790564257319955
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10608.24041138127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4829:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7703390389386793, b_new = -1.114522227410249, c_new = 4.901994290753758
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5406.8693119049
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4830:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8959083902215284, b_new = -0.24383177234962872, c_new = 4.748906226623226
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3039.485283648802
Acceptance probability: 8.968992007338934e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4831:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.513354322187558, b_new = -1.6668623790987245, c_new = 5.058028018065161
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8985.139415161284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4832:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.97938153252268, b_new = -1.2434189928368378, c_new = 5.6113267593934255
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3077.854392588331
Acceptance probability: 1.9464862894863684e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4833:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.333614123180201, b_new = -0.44945130486395957, c_new = 4.9700096910982605
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8793.354079907409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4834:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6135295200297204, b_new = -0.7669398015179016, c_new = 5.675388196339492
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7390.192823201234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4835:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8665935318198748, b_new = -0.7128734495929496, c_new = 4.56509877623992
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13411.67289663871
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4836:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9862682862211725, b_new = -1.3678015805270736, c_new = 5.167728365809905
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3143.104038497508
Acceptance probability: 8.947262611305289e-58
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4837:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4719552290698332, b_new = -1.970584010231539, c_new = 5.625291175091455
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7745.486563909837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4838:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083682081227887, b_new = -1.1831417813224003, c_new = 5.41790342199365
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3195.469308005732
Acceptance probability: 1.6208491355425002e-80
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4839:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.044997080561133, b_new = -1.081372186303655, c_new = 5.322294374691243
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3076.349567850245
Acceptance probability: 8.765736852642839e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4840:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.952882380320802, b_new = -0.9791812187656419, c_new = 4.28165838099041
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3142.824174783674
Acceptance probability: 1.1836776600996101e-57
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4841:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.700038664882633, b_new = -1.2770060164593984, c_new = 5.224286898483653
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7155.199050954388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4842:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.956739210014994, b_new = -2.7345187501565893, c_new = 4.662443299655513
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5964.776651760601
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4843:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7832857698751945, b_new = -1.5456940079374095, c_new = 4.4426386167812035
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6431.84550685702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4844:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7740149192497365, b_new = -1.1816487664333768, c_new = 4.812586876495334
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5528.854978450719
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4845:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9612862620691394, b_new = -2.2846719966737545, c_new = 4.142760272062796
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15395.145491822892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4846:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0662199506530037, b_new = -1.2706376133545885, c_new = 5.129515649453585
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3060.4894781186526
Acceptance probability: 6.7723264102585405e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4847:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.707327429647638, b_new = -1.5949510941918206, c_new = 5.814140135040551
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7646.586829062144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4848:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6592748197566674, b_new = -1.7219210804267717, c_new = 4.797028474170475
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10589.413606466624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4849:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4406034574008113, b_new = -1.7080018157406731, c_new = 5.252044714766148
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7673.678287242183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4850:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.409509490880021, b_new = -1.10710721934495, c_new = 6.393323269878411
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10836.382292544296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4851:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.415300583663964, b_new = -1.8697616116286053, c_new = 4.7017048038342315
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6560.1832047001135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4852:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.871234714019818, b_new = -2.248636534165854, c_new = 4.847972337528096
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6347.103926729305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4853:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3912991734933935, b_new = -0.7801625144232296, c_new = 4.694471787985537
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8904.808797640995
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4854:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.622871529908601, b_new = -0.06378892994292351, c_new = 4.065607389999109
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5981.526596276952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4855:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.789827680426281, b_new = -2.051071069484851, c_new = 5.049153314671148
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11335.246457229925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4856:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7062085090262262, b_new = -1.109424501245642, c_new = 5.598802712214464
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6437.922461695742
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4857:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9783037884045065, b_new = -1.3286851716723709, c_new = 4.650924225022239
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13349.127764848467
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4858:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.212480700352123, b_new = -0.8501187775476902, c_new = 5.528380094718471
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5320.125802885382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4859:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7263502475150867, b_new = -1.1407495029836283, c_new = 5.431027349939101
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12210.366717047431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4860:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1286478184732065, b_new = -1.6345539032484908, c_new = 4.4042494206200145
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3104.2473659455763
Acceptance probability: 6.713185671359147e-41
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4861:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5022248973495516, b_new = -0.9692094042782667, c_new = 5.281286466856466
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10334.460262690982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4862:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4940381271217724, b_new = -1.624439246293377, c_new = 5.932849413701378
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10980.522612975641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4863:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4777130243218815, b_new = -1.142637614467245, c_new = 4.602512794482004
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9431.167964698336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4864:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.909285986663077, b_new = -0.9174676780638934, c_new = 4.53171839668714
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14289.901181886413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4865:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4671882542338555, b_new = -0.9767694894140275, c_new = 5.164578066604756
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10320.689324506924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4866:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9295059061673068, b_new = -0.6656795718259438, c_new = 5.816075269911829
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3041.2029320875504
Acceptance probability: 1.6098240015995164e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4867:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9470839330828484, b_new = -1.4111462396869352, c_new = 4.5959739660269125
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14574.574517768033
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4868:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.062499049202169, b_new = -1.4296785880597056, c_new = 6.046601854669096
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3040.0452077051523
Acceptance probability: 5.123558615146473e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4869:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8355981007821223, b_new = -1.022743859001818, c_new = 5.49908843691671
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4023.8091958993314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4870:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1910471491003602, b_new = -1.6888048368675963, c_new = 4.645573041843792
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3431.9674805607797
Acceptance probability: 3.1614860719988235e-183
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4871:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.630618570503457, b_new = 0.034826829749139865, c_new = 4.956218415948267
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5340.416030973063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4872:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3222853061618207, b_new = -1.7181940269162217, c_new = 4.3941226416635715
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5021.85488300782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4873:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6782331839360434, b_new = -0.5622519254854126, c_new = 4.478017699152112
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5987.8749993764495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4874:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.955724494913912, b_new = -1.0368109294152101, c_new = 4.105171354278787
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13417.129941457822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4875:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.495315775838158, b_new = -1.7193373154438092, c_new = 5.389043066997962
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11318.976611589114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4876:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.507005966518705, b_new = -1.4321712276621543, c_new = 4.9714292078230065
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10785.84798272939
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4877:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1009337167892883, b_new = -0.5511433139677969, c_new = 5.313857634656312
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4082.397412943131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4878:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.054271328547334, b_new = -1.0362838714575302, c_new = 4.564686420162821
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13764.875150104303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4879:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981407112555944, b_new = -0.6248868208395806, c_new = 5.799440309404337
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3103.708625175777
Acceptance probability: 1.1505375637061616e-40
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4880:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.583018871795662, b_new = -0.7868590112419442, c_new = 4.834144431034071
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8313.255828425217
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4881:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6091016375814395, b_new = -0.9855588269592547, c_new = 4.8643178432029535
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11308.257387137393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4882:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5945416747844163, b_new = -1.3485096548525441, c_new = 3.7588510448147794
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9882.206875395583
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4883:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.664179355549822, b_new = -1.0860155040625585, c_new = 5.330917878172639
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7338.391496390218
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4884:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.060043152279797, b_new = -1.8474977527187448, c_new = 5.095574461631107
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3113.8073264386694
Acceptance probability: 4.732499421846427e-45
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2972227606167883, b_new = -0.3601610511715828, c_new = 4.865494455716916
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11163.802843588066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5837178618410537, b_new = -1.131660356612416, c_new = 4.759251313423801
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9166.816090525184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.776785704566339, b_new = -0.7163160213937937, c_new = 4.60668929071361
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4522.5206465934425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2170309621798543, b_new = -1.3637013984209836, c_new = 4.740613367888598
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4141.314285306608
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0719774609150767, b_new = -0.7588521176017843, c_new = 5.331447856647737
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3482.971595977692
Acceptance probability: 2.234011441041721e-205
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1234797211283762, b_new = -1.000650956621721, c_new = 5.00427581354955
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3622.865544344762
Acceptance probability: 3.925686056897224e-266
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.085756788812821, b_new = -0.43422445352282746, c_new = 5.952684254132137
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4243.215726516423
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.932854112484165, b_new = -1.822519818952977, c_new = 5.490097909486103
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4072.2805475882355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7829841315448736, b_new = -0.3131661477066655, c_new = 5.463618445674904
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3655.8306800901223
Acceptance probability: 1.893821383992346e-280
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8866007727946354, b_new = -1.7072829860807706, c_new = 5.502988555734537
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14844.446030446645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8272770900128474, b_new = -0.7352598093902231, c_new = 4.574485706417816
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3874.407705804535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.536489491290169, b_new = -1.9986633350129046, c_new = 4.169015247294482
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8347.83652059322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.145929340108494, b_new = -2.003357815660573, c_new = 4.950100836994192
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3067.2307276006486
Acceptance probability: 7.999271380340465e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.186690960714003, b_new = -0.8037426074787984, c_new = 5.245235518409987
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4872.900222853699
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.425511506547523, b_new = -0.5291897951620027, c_new = 4.805469401864792
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10061.736254613787
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.589389189954264, b_new = -1.1428511251723807, c_new = 4.9092810908772915
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9044.183251774188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.095859376662707, b_new = -0.9501533956215584, c_new = 4.616627533904418
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3379.8224612238528
Acceptance probability: 1.400185028449431e-160
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.853823931047446, b_new = -1.8495940830059519, c_new = 5.840884911686237
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5284.767976278876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1866089915516476, b_new = -1.645913502944052, c_new = 4.732741484426702
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13716.241312774553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.560135942782203, b_new = -1.2333616764476367, c_new = 4.605566690300518
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10313.899030563949
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5307757169595444, b_new = -1.3163032689291145, c_new = 4.33410445631706
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10482.571636124378
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.814903427712051, b_new = -1.0310695973249413, c_new = 5.5466282826991815
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4307.759314881427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6833207068850147, b_new = -0.4832672371189257, c_new = 4.935016920430652
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12655.273361758842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1193381716685806, b_new = -1.5659147602636327, c_new = 5.2126367794023905
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3128.4986987974908
Acceptance probability: 1.9710998394083345e-51
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1810281740515043, b_new = -1.2270804680836522, c_new = 5.418500668740945
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4032.9177341870786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.487308132371021, b_new = -1.857994354345784, c_new = 5.152129809956659
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8144.768700013325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3942374037765415, b_new = -1.0465683339810545, c_new = 4.527442783584344
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11459.065098758152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6597243852887447, b_new = -0.9685083064240906, c_new = 4.847072383398563
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7296.952344883901
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4760947107007976, b_new = -0.3021335027711377, c_new = 5.594240917676322
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8708.093968226505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0681079330745282, b_new = -0.5057215480304122, c_new = 5.345124722906184
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3767.5803801774737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1147750033639436, b_new = -1.0451529989896668, c_new = 5.285851432605574
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13281.052513084356
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.821053884122462, b_new = -1.120317082087115, c_new = 5.278034748313926
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4445.155033688772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9922081230531, b_new = 0.036467847882297955, c_new = 5.507343683111365
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3758.968459406648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3910129674215166, b_new = -0.7833095006479757, c_new = 5.493748147453768
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9194.071133777596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1847749623678805, b_new = -0.6835290426771083, c_new = 5.924510065730687
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5332.618780897562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.384320018398724, b_new = -2.1362880032337475, c_new = 5.222551739376819
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12983.848770456907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4880720493738724, b_new = -0.6623088894594362, c_new = 6.065508909045874
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11009.635610535586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1421369373948216, b_new = -1.5057280118072942, c_new = 4.341869636397246
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13892.242523656969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7415572434764495, b_new = -0.917506065862466, c_new = 5.098452401820145
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12526.865977892388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.088514353098053, b_new = -1.3270611503185015, c_new = 4.634934047287258
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3089.3062350226555
Acceptance probability: 2.0690899543180683e-34
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.743455563738091, b_new = -1.2748618826891536, c_new = 4.828444170494466
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6385.195674782625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.993091317825396, b_new = -1.8995455136533177, c_new = 4.2254155527691655
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3769.5586970307995
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8966568087906066, b_new = -1.5261071427856852, c_new = 4.675566604639104
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4245.836695357628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6947674245278646, b_new = -1.412598958355745, c_new = 4.47677066210352
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7938.7818323422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7444108700429597, b_new = -1.1701429577655538, c_new = 4.824855536782824
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6088.120576584093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.298762514084024, b_new = -0.3272446241862571, c_new = 4.028825574148121
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8039.459937606927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.891321556455698, b_new = -0.607924072404436, c_new = 5.158042727398839
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3151.3678756594177
Acceptance probability: 2.3054266319188134e-61
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8360474840707726, b_new = -0.6670041763669666, c_new = 5.140654708411832
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3594.8705382923586
Acceptance probability: 5.649268478821656e-254
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.044253371008317, b_new = -1.1774271193814263, c_new = 4.541413812226594
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3025.024268052826
Acceptance probability: 1.7103418127060132e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6092969869895404, b_new = -0.723817301352186, c_new = 5.254267185288984
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7511.0226280147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.520823797847354, b_new = -1.9230447591988358, c_new = 4.87834986572383
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8479.749584738234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3737758448861213, b_new = -1.0529788358166516, c_new = 4.9946837068852
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11521.523395884542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7290181088577836, b_new = -2.2153394230897305, c_new = 5.28960065569877
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10620.951049798474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8306655741724174, b_new = -1.7583734704939125, c_new = 4.690862407301726
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5916.642889533831
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3234869517227175, b_new = -1.4098700325635822, c_new = 5.113337351829359
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5991.925253018956
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3503062122203238, b_new = -1.2032060789301675, c_new = 5.0158810159974845
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11961.829163865275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.13265840426136, b_new = -0.48782859559886615, c_new = 5.188876934764338
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4627.93098349285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.823476246938962, b_new = -0.7971295540833172, c_new = 5.6785123992309146
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3805.2245939729532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.857651514334375, b_new = -0.7166177572287299, c_new = 5.496714800869473
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13595.71872319357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.46978595493891, b_new = -1.589325689952751, c_new = 4.672976990588621
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11592.183491367474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.657307390376821, b_new = -0.6282807104849435, c_new = 4.535229570390263
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12156.767079831558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.351987811642134, b_new = -0.850845885367614, c_new = 4.983618577820839
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8072.093630350597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.618596959310184, b_new = -1.6924234683274917, c_new = 4.242953698684279
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10121.766129036434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8737861410615197, b_new = -1.4401666955121035, c_new = 4.495136608419206
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4466.2021442644245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.474998913320158, b_new = -1.331115448131885, c_new = 5.355083159029568
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9232.843880969473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.509784884028471, b_new = -1.8243305699010302, c_new = 4.90864546441552
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11516.427180465273
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6173765671124096, b_new = -1.316419388771612, c_new = 4.404312499071377
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10721.296432492898
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.279337354625235, b_new = -1.1095653497255216, c_new = 5.000134627695064
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5817.04287521619
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6907318975944448, b_new = -1.1589975133315553, c_new = 4.7704312048615565
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15195.821376613461
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.877559011776, b_new = -0.10897347357265641, c_new = 5.297155514935838
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3058.5543481658437
Acceptance probability: 4.6897980550352756e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9331571897987696, b_new = -1.1951249310569292, c_new = 5.213660703355964
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3318.4522538780657
Acceptance probability: 6.29401586320539e-134
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.048153547293941, b_new = -1.3251053012758884, c_new = 5.306616582886352
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3018.5782040886825
Acceptance probability: 0.001077886227076603
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6022518343147567, b_new = -1.7157231490963727, c_new = 4.503801630106496
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9907.324022516877
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3055002813534506, b_new = -1.5769135812369763, c_new = 5.489210154732801
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5341.030835471837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.138342852242158, b_new = -1.5800754256131628, c_new = 5.496013557431217
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3236.5743530795444
Acceptance probability: 2.2805959029126915e-98
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3861631655930333, b_new = -1.5954603043899742, c_new = 4.623149579555543
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6641.7585489913545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.05973569463944, b_new = -0.30753888464706214, c_new = 4.7396705487966
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14721.2908875693
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.916664218938826, b_new = -0.6521406148835669, c_new = 4.855315774980651
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3087.357643371193
Acceptance probability: 1.4522519686601794e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.118361631716016, b_new = -1.420616555926827, c_new = 5.03906282786487
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13740.12030254964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.551151168995503, b_new = -0.5358551665081226, c_new = 5.08498526991815
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8178.950187844286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.231040696352411, b_new = -0.40354528384480637, c_new = 5.216610827613758
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6804.668505121208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8711607935362644, b_new = -0.741186790060504, c_new = 4.585391728212957
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3440.5375818655452
Acceptance probability: 5.997131431854086e-187
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.16823487562313, b_new = -0.886768786284168, c_new = 4.402028555323182
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4205.330022964852
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.118578475816862, b_new = -0.8382204690347305, c_new = 4.683738412390513
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3727.2892474782348
Acceptance probability: 1.7509652000643e-311
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.440028827819143, b_new = -1.914291654677004, c_new = 4.267119882918189
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14619.597081407599
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.12514834274774, b_new = -0.877807132329578, c_new = 4.84644042957428
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3774.224930205726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.118857786576693, b_new = -1.1618321944289522, c_new = 5.582653989934491
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3482.6845346116306
Acceptance probability: 2.9768336081739603e-205
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9617885274347904, b_new = -1.5853144262716419, c_new = 5.590863847437644
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13204.470733124446
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4867689228473515, b_new = -2.499185738800944, c_new = 4.9940122703464
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6517.056251770939
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1257438376440354, b_new = -1.9768334017142832, c_new = 6.289011350613783
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3046.067656002622
Acceptance probability: 1.241811409974448e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.442136429959877, b_new = -1.8282269137384437, c_new = 4.745843764871827
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7218.900238702525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.92171254915397, b_new = -0.2810263979554213, c_new = 5.568530763150811
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3069.6512842778075
Acceptance probability: 7.109122908296416e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.898371734393742, b_new = -0.43715515146792105, c_new = 4.369332743214372
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3087.8493413219276
Acceptance probability: 8.881785225819006e-34
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5899438352248483, b_new = -1.1682410750071628, c_new = 4.7653673271953885
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9149.271060723404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3982217311877796, b_new = -1.3773040576588413, c_new = 5.0837162143872066
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11793.309058708357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.25934069569597, b_new = -0.9901962433481399, c_new = 5.203850810108936
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5784.975023164052
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9552894632526696, b_new = -0.6982963904359154, c_new = 4.256767947251538
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3028.467382903831
Acceptance probability: 5.467101447033123e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9680064825952788, b_new = -2.0835392020368033, c_new = 5.355689795810515
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4087.775347479819
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0268626478218796, b_new = -1.290794168052273, c_new = 4.520958744711067
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3032.545288860759
Acceptance probability: 9.262859525649417e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.006111853696564, b_new = -1.638307291258127, c_new = 4.407024054385891
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3320.5753835297483
Acceptance probability: 7.531202776416783e-135
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6948619922637063, b_new = -0.784572116119239, c_new = 6.043270846613332
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5703.120416819415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.032419949091974, b_new = -1.0162266239465134, c_new = 5.260643788324446
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3060.280123236954
Acceptance probability: 8.349482365514497e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7420294308893935, b_new = -1.158874080086546, c_new = 5.048854767928806
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6027.308788231335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7693501177216318, b_new = -1.7085783531753829, c_new = 5.058339893083728
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6944.861699286034
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.318524936206672, b_new = -0.5128256961790285, c_new = 4.78654792981559
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11229.936573456996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.22950653010014, b_new = -0.625555429680694, c_new = 4.199147854600755
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5767.738484410596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.237363965687946, b_new = -0.5215648915106221, c_new = 5.8687072719589
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6872.865897941279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.283030193715196, b_new = -0.9499850299616981, c_new = 5.186505977908584
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6390.210289931094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.927794982780234, b_new = -1.487620593954726, c_new = 4.373135944261232
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3857.8263514846562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3224454941959665, b_new = -0.7051961262423297, c_new = 5.121232449409482
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7914.568463710224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.078563537816929, b_new = -2.233042958775588, c_new = 5.785283434305587
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3199.247356408307
Acceptance probability: 3.7064403924059126e-82
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8604507447940155, b_new = -1.0445692775603508, c_new = 5.149426895531655
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3825.12035781242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.437080555661302, b_new = -0.8532057712344734, c_new = 5.5682052593246
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9795.996194725503
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9205219492358916, b_new = -1.3458328586653459, c_new = 4.878508482380062
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3638.7369375930803
Acceptance probability: 5.0240859161604965e-273
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1051267126508093, b_new = -1.4255201490945044, c_new = 5.495700943382427
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3158.216334453732
Acceptance probability: 2.4462646629416464e-64
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5000:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.75077293064955, b_new = -1.3761129486979118, c_new = 5.254706166401047
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6345.272486730778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5001:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.241913999417873, b_new = -1.4881424746383534, c_new = 4.59901180699255
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4244.946168245109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5002:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1061048169097067, b_new = -1.0807993821956565, c_new = 5.1292412603055055
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3397.7871740838473
Acceptance probability: 2.2090714636014587e-168
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5003:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5052405322230027, b_new = -2.0312141792222014, c_new = 4.403691634624338
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7810.606400174614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5004:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.402756822488708, b_new = -1.6478696935774, c_new = 4.6494395870832435
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6854.611047858003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5005:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4958578918142624, b_new = -0.9076060238961754, c_new = 5.975218437211092
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10607.038766911208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5006:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8927687237552338, b_new = -0.9549057106323928, c_new = 5.005881081287239
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3423.513421940296
Acceptance probability: 1.4840286366753071e-179
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5007:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5647845748991838, b_new = -1.4287270321763608, c_new = 5.358894207050194
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10242.30165686017
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5008:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8526473521548987, b_new = -0.9074570623963321, c_new = 5.059859914875334
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13233.916232572097
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5009:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.842044930434358, b_new = -1.8473923082125165, c_new = 5.499516144423031
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5621.846227861286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5010:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.571928845187645, b_new = -1.6318710846190347, c_new = 4.503295303928389
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10539.970854181429
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5011:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.65551394776668, b_new = -0.9339845684617439, c_new = 6.0373413266801474
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6861.484195355529
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5012:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4366609113211917, b_new = 0.15788146519609358, c_new = 4.862181792523941
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11542.778908916835
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5013:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2848314281034443, b_new = -0.8535666397668003, c_new = 5.076832858035482
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6655.6936556745495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5014:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2407754245729476, b_new = -1.5549846590770473, c_new = 4.857009301651506
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4171.084483332348
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5015:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.309399932771815, b_new = -1.9768684654603823, c_new = 5.425892789640325
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4549.5082492201045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5016:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.877469312781949, b_new = -0.707802618447543, c_new = 4.672611384981306
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3348.1686918361875
Acceptance probability: 7.82064920621796e-147
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5017:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.485055145448995, b_new = -1.15075128671393, c_new = 4.305167407551546
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9423.567107631818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5018:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.069003063729254, b_new = -0.8350852380390772, c_new = 4.470165603161837
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13497.071416318637
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5019:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8287317082348584, b_new = -0.2403877640130999, c_new = 5.122516709732151
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13865.836262787048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5020:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.599100752593093, b_new = -1.233306849088825, c_new = 4.678358075674994
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9186.325474639401
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5021:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.962000325453215, b_new = -0.6409822756911608, c_new = 4.686686062739707
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3015.131761423666
Acceptance probability: 0.03383326841990082
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5022:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2921535154211528, b_new = -1.531104077250614, c_new = 5.125334654785707
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12829.226421903653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5023:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.382700952115436, b_new = -1.5764546707926113, c_new = 4.774574712501856
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12331.290118698293
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5024:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5193990168600617, b_new = -1.3602092137280093, c_new = 4.8353164094391605
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9641.122556730297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5025:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3860739775437776, b_new = -0.2698068841225183, c_new = 5.597577008545664
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9838.599557641026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5026:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9827706007294463, b_new = -1.3553477803487268, c_new = 5.816860585059519
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14107.749583780098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5027:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5436441186703775, b_new = -1.4093117081306104, c_new = 4.785815629054897
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10346.176518675291
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5028:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.171461123714548, b_new = -0.842160643744104, c_new = 5.407338728428121
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4587.6543150395355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5029:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6549908185342774, b_new = -0.8086869382676047, c_new = 4.532427465028691
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11879.967165703441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5030:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9286999162850194, b_new = -1.9639746017962927, c_new = 4.396615473026887
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4698.737982957872
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5031:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9098850080920653, b_new = -1.2234791374086857, c_new = 5.0004113972569675
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3569.8206820512205
Acceptance probability: 4.2756933749372956e-243
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5032:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4792578886544314, b_new = -0.326752900234369, c_new = 4.901261659716555
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8933.60353926095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5033:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8990092310355116, b_new = -0.5313879646284129, c_new = 5.3892358839458865
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3081.045128353434
Acceptance probability: 8.00815394119045e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5034:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2608409238837366, b_new = -1.522465920025752, c_new = 4.5424247213212725
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4446.472283753588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5035:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.368798848723819, b_new = -1.1888462205475294, c_new = 5.341408650408572
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11681.179329968427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5036:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.514106900296283, b_new = -0.6331121181335833, c_new = 4.828756207907244
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10941.766763745229
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5037:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0393930851444555, b_new = -1.4034682712196607, c_new = 4.7567092107347095
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3029.455617108778
Acceptance probability: 2.03503775397942e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5038:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.944432442328785, b_new = -0.6416988439520613, c_new = 5.399795596607175
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3024.735600677086
Acceptance probability: 2.2827037981462332e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5039:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.513008829247677, b_new = -0.8338480756331444, c_new = 3.741352914938499
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9926.336392593443
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5040:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7813167448817175, b_new = -1.1020071618398382, c_new = 4.327154955848363
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12358.089292989222
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5041:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.390545543763447, b_new = -1.2509026703218304, c_new = 5.078729750516202
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11661.075226466692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5042:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3009851605746987, b_new = -0.5346591035526487, c_new = 5.457007470604465
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8082.13603714329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5043:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4377934870544395, b_new = -1.8270582828395026, c_new = 4.974105539613754
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12194.582372236642
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5044:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8727170179763153, b_new = -0.3756319505180362, c_new = 5.673669745436589
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14087.589368286643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5045:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6301242950741095, b_new = -1.9209035317938503, c_new = 4.782566565237989
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9944.416353615958
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5046:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5994656196121624, b_new = -0.7793588207615698, c_new = 5.062509197262744
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7909.0710023978545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5047:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3992478693390025, b_new = -0.950350110632127, c_new = 4.3846698104443185
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11289.601221421353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5048:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8874454472592443, b_new = -0.8295599634341435, c_new = 4.454759592710022
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3415.219465168624
Acceptance probability: 5.935563294660927e-176
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5049:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1780014487583395, b_new = -0.7164870662150353, c_new = 5.652490446857241
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5040.5766273390545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5050:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2744050620391127, b_new = -1.0288701811715328, c_new = 4.936946737327495
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5902.894687722562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5051:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2495989496237474, b_new = -1.7979100514859963, c_new = 4.2273484111592134
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3814.269254439494
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5052:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.295903942614561, b_new = -0.742869064007067, c_new = 5.359848264988015
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7326.096006775456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5053:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1765354638369763, b_new = -0.15781744996650604, c_new = 4.630060873061501
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6061.11301990808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5054:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3337367666674935, b_new = -1.5331989734194966, c_new = 4.651705355466611
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5737.26055429647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5055:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.30419145331245, b_new = -1.2707740609310492, c_new = 3.5959519168734273
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5469.771401778506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5056:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3616019770585144, b_new = -1.047821859381361, c_new = 4.960319662476374
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7720.63795001307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5057:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.364724210969266, b_new = -0.8742584950489876, c_new = 4.0220927529781765
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7900.904981884123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5058:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.579218012883431, b_new = -0.935666594602395, c_new = 4.942986018920774
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8705.053136276618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5059:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.873556422572429, b_new = -0.6639818652551148, c_new = 4.816212343535607
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3321.631005104853
Acceptance probability: 2.620678320492097e-135
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5060:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2325478606633244, b_new = -0.054839636200002984, c_new = 4.595184328563511
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7611.141206197752
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5061:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.454296767369123, b_new = -1.360939501324156, c_new = 4.867593336865256
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8656.880490752337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5062:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5276283673884126, b_new = -0.6567354528037317, c_new = 5.849856720900169
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11368.959355591112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5063:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.457535331470982, b_new = -1.1116398989238627, c_new = 5.2213799820973685
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10673.665137479424
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5064:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.505572584142893, b_new = -0.9921016112214938, c_new = 5.09455961663116
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10270.60891267464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5065:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.286676059707618, b_new = -0.308313077716736, c_new = 5.576072974407043
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8483.465467132159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5066:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.759526616249693, b_new = -0.849953555775612, c_new = 6.56691643514788
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13146.07483909537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5067:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.813454920587482, b_new = -1.2335270658282367, c_new = 5.485756906508859
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4733.197665664085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5068:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5175070738030567, b_new = -1.77418593752793, c_new = 4.2424853772444
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11571.901792901348
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5069:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1209030387568575, b_new = -1.6651311782257046, c_new = 5.039482036536756
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3086.1005456030985
Acceptance probability: 5.104962988682418e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5070:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1265395750869747, b_new = -0.5096020068139377, c_new = 5.9977259275817225
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4723.560075098468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5071:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2805283685262516, b_new = -1.5634994194253975, c_new = 4.78545295420202
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4734.363926763701
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5072:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2554816768523995, b_new = -0.5640206868582764, c_new = 4.927161146920443
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6770.421987657074
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5073:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7231770545002165, b_new = -1.490032703656469, c_new = 4.166560456667271
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7689.731303356104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5074:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.794476098449261, b_new = -0.89205514597216, c_new = 4.53916180539634
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4606.4939509822625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5075:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.169423931269405, b_new = -1.5515905988554324, c_new = 5.473998690819088
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3486.8705575288086
Acceptance probability: 4.526764549506202e-207
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5076:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2634273777566767, b_new = -0.49064835333202483, c_new = 4.007650030951982
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6796.199623832386
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5077:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.587331949359412, b_new = -2.108949521660012, c_new = 4.79625201019182
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9065.53601323211
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5078:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8261671152071184, b_new = -0.9137245614763194, c_new = 5.98440164388369
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3883.9952274472193
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5079:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.693605015612229, b_new = -2.3441145780496706, c_new = 5.131925874062969
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10151.24913621221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5080:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3667580143426004, b_new = -1.919568136504291, c_new = 4.823795635310259
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5508.425453301079
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5081:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7560573828400328, b_new = -1.3471696800958965, c_new = 5.029178473483773
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12040.093238000436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5082:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2065161505009803, b_new = -1.182283946818585, c_new = 5.4489813098197395
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12854.2794233585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5083:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9102295899981407, b_new = -1.3805374955236176, c_new = 4.382610885447825
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3898.8207202426715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5084:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9671626336935217, b_new = -1.323854696083991, c_new = 5.529763776807631
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3177.414943011194
Acceptance probability: 1.1237085494992323e-72
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5085:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5752935193635316, b_new = -1.2524904146299582, c_new = 3.750345728566362
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10203.092604157682
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5086:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.166992980900228, b_new = -1.3543929473733467, c_new = 5.569158857881119
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3712.450307781971
Acceptance probability: 4.872447205216278e-305
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5087:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4739475387867427, b_new = -0.567581696951519, c_new = 5.68344334545764
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9260.01045393963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5088:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.523292082884811, b_new = -0.9796913933661777, c_new = 6.775915271925234
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11055.512513032556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5089:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.387413852801572, b_new = -1.104830538454257, c_new = 6.32512572987004
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8627.981289282341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5090:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1701443347528135, b_new = -0.8125277571173103, c_new = 4.985834161103629
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4511.865707894021
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5091:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.043740507305901, b_new = -1.1044079484676175, c_new = 5.3633266683935785
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3065.6463413256424
Acceptance probability: 3.900682906692354e-24
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5092:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2750431003495972, b_new = -1.2511158525970174, c_new = 5.353811912042967
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5492.965357268108
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5093:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.222301011648924, b_new = -1.5175733629471109, c_new = 4.713876136924535
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3963.6058358424793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5094:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3098092857215162, b_new = -2.3661259694514927, c_new = 5.674454117388521
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3964.4136654222807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5095:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6334999969997153, b_new = -1.4323043746743425, c_new = 4.309767366863417
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9235.072056760991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5096:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.584531321286607, b_new = -0.5141157066637918, c_new = 5.219892207148349
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11933.747729196024
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5097:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.681063002464598, b_new = -1.2851506646001583, c_new = 4.809967920712235
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11472.438949734973
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5098:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4193910894761674, b_new = -0.5956577110490687, c_new = 4.778965034030875
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9820.978601202767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5099:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0576554240398055, b_new = -1.101510041965881, c_new = 5.285053013294524
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3110.508836972819
Acceptance probability: 1.2811687686246365e-43
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5100:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.417771891423015, b_new = -1.60922060098593, c_new = 5.741645055713786
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7654.626399817232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5101:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.859244733567606, b_new = -0.37630169954773984, c_new = 5.420692971939483
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3164.4390139827738
Acceptance probability: 4.853198556191542e-67
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5102:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4482221877901305, b_new = -2.073307053192475, c_new = 4.753400772505188
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6725.196267454039
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5103:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.804943442602003, b_new = -1.4793837686104203, c_new = 5.072708046760415
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12225.659607401563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5104:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.985223106775422, b_new = -0.11882084164947448, c_new = 4.443599851638338
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3330.3441767626464
Acceptance probability: 4.308552062937454e-139
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5105:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7162259613574995, b_new = -1.476577447682612, c_new = 5.142264190349374
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11577.41569378256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5106:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.694604902033366, b_new = -0.9783890539612082, c_new = 5.129028350574322
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6500.063590883274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5107:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9018014718043634, b_new = -0.18522552397401804, c_new = 5.340802501835294
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13442.098581014212
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5108:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7031483577383755, b_new = -0.4710712359628123, c_new = 5.279145046600402
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5059.314871172271
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5109:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.674894141339236, b_new = -0.8225650016057182, c_new = 4.932761587575709
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6566.011049249278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5110:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.319966670778591, b_new = -0.989947530108992, c_new = 4.81851408647636
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6939.939946246023
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5111:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.57425250776378, b_new = -0.6558906652817478, c_new = 5.324379303154491
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7974.361818026464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5112:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5286961027215966, b_new = -0.537165206403313, c_new = 5.523222055083946
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8416.945489490365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5113:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4156804345432077, b_new = -1.4930979708480014, c_new = 5.727360699442843
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7915.9557117219
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5114:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7740831285344527, b_new = -1.392699828104262, c_new = 4.993820253895614
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15072.37306667486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5115:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5319682840219704, b_new = -1.107069809859196, c_new = 5.004928989898746
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10341.487962908031
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5116:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0675438285524588, b_new = -0.7523548113717322, c_new = 4.9560182318989
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3397.833787148433
Acceptance probability: 2.108462924955454e-168
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5117:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4237892799605287, b_new = -1.1656178051791712, c_new = 4.938768741206473
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11234.77271736128
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5118:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3160857524498484, b_new = -0.6840611284678394, c_new = 4.7853397618139315
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7702.359536517413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5119:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.499766790777798, b_new = -0.16118022774611063, c_new = 5.0399833767108975
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11678.263012149726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5120:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6265124773826987, b_new = -1.7723118527869635, c_new = 4.802515157520895
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9970.874600678728
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5121:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.878216925409039, b_new = -2.153812165356836, c_new = 5.032960528241119
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5862.635830559779
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5122:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.751517191043622, b_new = -0.9268918337173762, c_new = 4.505199308135236
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5444.250732767699
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5123:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4403189008853547, b_new = -1.8171326250433064, c_new = 4.746587609704733
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7211.193658157841
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5124:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.974094367988383, b_new = -1.7044709215692104, c_new = 4.592306816895039
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12898.256593490238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5125:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3077897146232638, b_new = -0.700536441088917, c_new = 5.308856202147121
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7688.164894339827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5126:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.149534493134566, b_new = -1.1026417130425135, c_new = 5.996172487057244
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3959.307049670205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5127:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5822423412870603, b_new = -1.6731182720188553, c_new = 5.01975287619415
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10300.9194604072
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5128:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.598573818645834, b_new = -2.461498096125762, c_new = 5.221367090453372
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14876.41918271747
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5129:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1941287147665873, b_new = -0.5854907078088559, c_new = 4.797867510215983
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5368.573824308784
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5130:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8040721038738674, b_new = -1.5121850542411064, c_new = 5.14045473687113
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5651.031349383443
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5131:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.780705052062146, b_new = -1.2248202995711335, c_new = 5.05973173605546
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12384.500372004495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5132:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0544024372462273, b_new = -1.3849764523052368, c_new = 5.179700387287838
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13973.941015344739
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5133:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.234901548309389, b_new = 0.03823157082634454, c_new = 5.126458052446294
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8177.5634120788745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5134:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831813957113991, b_new = -1.037147556962097, c_new = 5.10417586913078
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4182.501937107115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5135:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.502745927918236, b_new = -1.1898453190465794, c_new = 4.495575316094185
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10525.001710641713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5136:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.685957821796665, b_new = -1.9622990107841085, c_new = 4.895246756852903
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10495.283409114572
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5137:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9611366306553197, b_new = -0.9752716949608059, c_new = 5.724643643587178
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3039.0257452455157
Acceptance probability: 1.4200990266865668e-12
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5138:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9183588058022734, b_new = -1.0715119602922323, c_new = 4.552642435380813
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3398.3151615175757
Acceptance probability: 1.3028899573757847e-168
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5139:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8360972312024293, b_new = -1.1493027670569176, c_new = 4.9230679410322375
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4364.352908488169
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5140:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.168857178946451, b_new = -0.56491121131178, c_new = 5.467069519283969
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5165.931604038781
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5141:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0009583708265795, b_new = -0.7885605013093199, c_new = 5.2720412196237
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3057.462424584637
Acceptance probability: 1.397560212680677e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5142:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6090450906553095, b_new = -1.003219890680486, c_new = 5.916061243508217
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11593.789288723134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5143:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9301933887343807, b_new = -1.0776726753273145, c_new = 5.043470832089119
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3259.2792198911
Acceptance probability: 3.143764251477523e-108
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5144:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.252126899984713, b_new = -0.2546846694881748, c_new = 5.05746558202795
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7654.824013657814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5145:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0991825944849984, b_new = -1.0715268849760233, c_new = 4.3823977055338865
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13623.155302199171
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5146:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3693095706201124, b_new = -0.6988508675132039, c_new = 5.071576140962017
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10949.73958800377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5147:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8329209929756778, b_new = -1.3008439294167848, c_new = 5.179335058232752
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14759.454525935003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5148:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.698804787295051, b_new = -1.8906819703868867, c_new = 5.06397996476296
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8931.068877562644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5149:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0017587878310827, b_new = -1.4291914020229917, c_new = 5.816863174121371
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3070.1227749301897
Acceptance probability: 4.436599583835898e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5150:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8533694261648743, b_new = -1.826024755531384, c_new = 4.230601219860872
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11913.02787223451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5151:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3936191346094486, b_new = -1.1368790038370216, c_new = 4.7311892753980365
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8045.600737978255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5152:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8123563994824607, b_new = -2.856329314977214, c_new = 4.87094954486674
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9490.027050651517
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5153:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3120758212834684, b_new = -0.8285263211226543, c_new = 4.75145033300493
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7193.715943825868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5154:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.815464108697724, b_new = -1.1520989941320376, c_new = 5.619687298802288
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4504.890896406387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5155:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8073916564255335, b_new = -0.7599391792610813, c_new = 4.25202953409486
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4239.836119426822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5156:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0923861878744363, b_new = -0.19794910892667528, c_new = 4.554272913804862
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4405.604876611265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5157:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.199878446552215, b_new = -0.24312994373595642, c_new = 5.494659879256555
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6685.393285617492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5158:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.017806368406843, b_new = -0.8370383116047617, c_new = 5.52430652693916
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13504.09642572894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5159:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.622671029048068, b_new = -0.5533705952662343, c_new = 5.654363462755748
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6677.822050004772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5160:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.562185348276424, b_new = -1.8292461608111728, c_new = 5.5320793179790515
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10701.907689557227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5161:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5729794573136826, b_new = -0.8730403280466625, c_new = 5.064547253791354
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8617.023497261907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5162:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.174658006553216, b_new = -0.6141135505790217, c_new = 5.962818739439841
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5323.4587632689245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5163:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7169411476258443, b_new = -0.9365479426559716, c_new = 4.460686879341974
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12157.391612633737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5164:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0833048219856547, b_new = -0.4712451372539489, c_new = 4.987998584892001
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3916.9746951962306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5165:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.845568170312468, b_new = -1.1646612490804455, c_new = 4.306214602211119
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4412.508611870404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5166:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.591655244085338, b_new = -0.7220160991954723, c_new = 4.771863961664284
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8016.182277402142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5167:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4107241657085194, b_new = -0.6367764507632441, c_new = 4.854784206047063
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10449.562271129464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5168:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.733648859743484, b_new = -0.9554417602335474, c_new = 4.513581200892357
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5862.51912075528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5169:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.068066304657005, b_new = -0.9649816707434244, c_new = 5.779901232440306
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3310.7480462164253
Acceptance probability: 1.3957984382008123e-130
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5170:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4160900707150734, b_new = -1.626185630601611, c_new = 4.520445497940453
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7137.78228489327
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5171:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2742033413766167, b_new = -0.8766416360086432, c_new = 5.43156966451364
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6495.376382731276
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5172:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1275929576068364, b_new = -1.3295244993492403, c_new = 4.19559069763775
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13810.491330580942
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5173:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.813330716471361, b_new = -0.24833943870866937, c_new = 5.634367301524948
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3326.9882071588536
Acceptance probability: 1.23540804609136e-137
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5174:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.616003212448462, b_new = -1.6322062191061106, c_new = 6.319017461626164
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10740.267992229526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5175:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2531411330002693, b_new = -0.40605399890662286, c_new = 5.674025876859605
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7491.518667987624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5176:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1483572410639, b_new = -0.9594991391353439, c_new = 4.612827301897956
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3878.653849267504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5177:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3129435683515864, b_new = -0.9306734318801402, c_new = 5.063700662886758
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11850.287231628556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5178:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7393645358673835, b_new = -1.1778556621616347, c_new = 4.452148708087187
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11994.436128437928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5179:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.811257529761024, b_new = -0.92170646854389, c_new = 4.960845521280998
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12940.804108022414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5180:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3681513189482573, b_new = -0.934447285015394, c_new = 4.7024880398063615
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8064.985897050347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5181:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9952357541218397, b_new = -1.0390229136958193, c_new = 5.520412247643647
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3012.9858842278813
Acceptance probability: 0.28925879937889587
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5182:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.643990663577652, b_new = -1.281796580097476, c_new = 5.709231885833088
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8112.763902833737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5183:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.985383039260781, b_new = -0.6469559909490772, c_new = 5.16008497528044
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3061.4666209187153
Acceptance probability: 2.549001880224086e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5184:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4763677887027096, b_new = -1.4243131374869202, c_new = 5.906041032511576
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9237.122637525825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5185:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6890068217338987, b_new = -1.3566481605744007, c_new = 4.768085391456358
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11422.618506123827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5186:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0994147883392325, b_new = -0.892747388451529, c_new = 5.149608855718068
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3546.3055244283314
Acceptance probability: 6.974446537894482e-233
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5187:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4481012403416935, b_new = -1.676007922776145, c_new = 5.805084893211643
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11592.625036464866
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5188:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.797395147109231, b_new = -1.12223638019662, c_new = 5.092789419179238
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4878.537273558243
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5189:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8037252695122556, b_new = -0.29881380030120364, c_new = 4.56299414709097
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3563.397669466625
Acceptance probability: 2.633209877695711e-240
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5190:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.550219252650722, b_new = -1.6326803384172455, c_new = 4.7115692714151765
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10745.34879083566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5191:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2324775996452337, b_new = -1.2837280479793696, c_new = 4.147855592155287
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4368.447292019546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5192:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9997250758681782, b_new = -1.0206309683761998, c_new = 5.639972742112448
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13750.695700287266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5193:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.416195657718049, b_new = -0.8648003282762426, c_new = 3.8274639236003516
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8822.07036198875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5194:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.297736628603706, b_new = 0.17009042803646346, c_new = 5.053791590245157
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10223.2301363513
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5195:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.71349909966003, b_new = -0.593995924600132, c_new = 4.954312974003593
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5237.02004022045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5196:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2760033181937533, b_new = -1.1469201590973568, c_new = 4.876246933414446
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5612.919807604527
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5197:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.775442875156395, b_new = -0.934868906017816, c_new = 6.254249562347161
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4555.386505550849
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5198:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.353939644930782, b_new = -1.0536967764545224, c_new = 5.2936006160184625
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7673.172033715996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5199:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5287440477292757, b_new = -1.3045944224431105, c_new = 5.604364732167755
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10044.913718312431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5200:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4280369979453433, b_new = -1.0270005127003285, c_new = 4.953899838008356
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10937.46331665252
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5201:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4207140884229164, b_new = -0.19183063012555213, c_new = 5.0959163610069504
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9408.348045008071
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5202:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5962951006254515, b_new = -1.1461928260381116, c_new = 4.8359066846749705
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10914.948610725578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5203:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0335281111102845, b_new = -0.35518410615677165, c_new = 4.869567044841625
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3530.7629388500745
Acceptance probability: 3.922553726171043e-226
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5204:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8934476195170546, b_new = -2.0694090718719944, c_new = 5.330598172621841
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5243.233301973475
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5205:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.447429252657332, b_new = -0.8166497088681997, c_new = 5.180100138881544
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9887.848533985969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5206:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.447187414319843, b_new = -1.8100065576011344, c_new = 5.486171316233892
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7623.7371460751
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5207:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.702661319581943, b_new = -1.4235195739307955, c_new = 5.273422029140612
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11578.235968661884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5208:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.688751674921118, b_new = -1.8329114043172499, c_new = 4.710760077160521
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9113.270456046326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5209:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8448172390151547, b_new = -2.171725688804723, c_new = 5.711121169302334
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6353.47482075371
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5210:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.561661430097089, b_new = -1.631158932160631, c_new = 4.76529362389138
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10577.129687162382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5211:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.824269401825773, b_new = -0.8772231615548987, c_new = 4.556539657269293
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4138.600103438188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5212:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.052070701068471, b_new = -1.4312638827917925, c_new = 4.7031488253696905
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3024.371442511475
Acceptance probability: 3.285499786460967e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5213:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.213181688749528, b_new = -0.8418894670706227, c_new = 5.34011702840045
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5291.146502993465
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5214:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7582883566342407, b_new = -1.3749019539183895, c_new = 4.700766321109736
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11933.293222243788
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5215:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.600084366253137, b_new = -1.6623278116509725, c_new = 4.841376655297816
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10073.76630979431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5216:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9512121608220356, b_new = -1.2488439223466998, c_new = 4.784061420943221
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3293.7415150434163
Acceptance probability: 3.393636738956599e-123
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5217:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6393301494127632, b_new = -0.3065553193203038, c_new = 5.1414168072422886
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5907.771096676058
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5218:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.818676615147952, b_new = -1.6959618450164524, c_new = 4.015710074592351
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11782.264353334216
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5219:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.512493451940746, b_new = -0.25921287078730737, c_new = 4.765040595705945
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8301.022166794022
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5220:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.693675060942236, b_new = -0.3606560858200182, c_new = 4.271444887361845
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12706.621952609037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5221:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0801092152438976, b_new = -2.187219278706638, c_new = 4.3997771366461125
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3337.3875271536263
Acceptance probability: 3.762210890544541e-142
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5222:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4752456365248054, b_new = -1.68776293327383, c_new = 5.9059101375750345
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11307.901533234919
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5223:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.614688502928754, b_new = -0.7944656949406106, c_new = 4.38198682129448
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7910.59703715452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5224:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.050027568514822, b_new = -1.0731472009101046, c_new = 4.377997373466488
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13870.506469723516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5225:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.800360241796654, b_new = -0.563440550897891, c_new = 5.55095878460584
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13469.996309874175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5226:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8783683063547145, b_new = -0.5769702849605638, c_new = 4.6263134188583335
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3240.979566969566
Acceptance probability: 2.785404389999629e-100
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5227:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.705584783693789, b_new = -0.018712246788398446, c_new = 5.248140986471876
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4187.582622157975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5228:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7916331944347403, b_new = -1.6335137420367882, c_new = 4.7195507517305
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11838.592902291022
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5229:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1570931101304955, b_new = -1.8155844388638713, c_new = 5.139673845174204
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3165.5345867466085
Acceptance probability: 1.6226574717018477e-67
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5230:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.376814970401824, b_new = -1.533334430036843, c_new = 4.6588307181302735
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6622.584667992709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5231:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.895114428056686, b_new = -2.1194886899055607, c_new = 5.095390335378141
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5415.6882798037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5232:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.904078930834609, b_new = -1.1912187195029762, c_new = 5.74536152870005
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3473.6817322396473
Acceptance probability: 2.418922487773564e-201
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5233:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.647412402513413, b_new = -1.6069918305550768, c_new = 5.086179901711943
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9123.74638001337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5234:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.624417247229768, b_new = -0.24201674396208417, c_new = 3.937587038186977
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6439.25725470054
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5235:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1426923229888923, b_new = -1.2046033677658106, c_new = 4.481565512548832
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3490.5877333332705
Acceptance probability: 1.100117228360709e-208
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5236:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4282887362275933, b_new = -1.2450925290304358, c_new = 5.186129268344498
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8593.26329063775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.982708306111873, b_new = -1.6303070905248063, c_new = 5.324937097208199
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3348.191453734329
Acceptance probability: 7.644647055978649e-147
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.61261778276936, b_new = -1.2553413967684413, c_new = 5.169437602458827
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8823.616316279154
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.350142409347794, b_new = -1.0009740018650408, c_new = 5.593456277676801
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7859.590042314907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4884917315470028, b_new = -0.9648422087675043, c_new = 4.948195725087698
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10060.526909965814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2821629763626015, b_new = -1.272622281466614, c_new = 5.36575223236242
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5584.1409242068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1857630728891175, b_new = -0.21272264526258555, c_new = 5.727977271662123
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6552.1647875342
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.132054592604474, b_new = -1.155952950620735, c_new = 5.951296146534518
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13145.68789977249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3626936136123344, b_new = -1.4528291795840205, c_new = 5.627016944568204
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12056.112957241668
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.862632078225713, b_new = -1.5187917607820571, c_new = 5.170109505191837
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4607.800504138455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1889242109492177, b_new = -0.6803453248750343, c_new = 5.614169237858617
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5312.9729396923485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.482518856576464, b_new = -0.7409042221725222, c_new = 4.980427043092889
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9720.195857903931
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7632024782909608, b_new = -0.431856402683228, c_new = 5.2557311148665065
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4076.353897139097
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.245944391217498, b_new = -1.4894629278748321, c_new = 5.2409935136057575
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4445.15071393293
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.969093021303978, b_new = -2.0173376728450814, c_new = 4.850626303400914
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12570.735744217647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1852100161567427, b_new = -2.099548280287576, c_new = 4.740968297463326
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3144.1648601697616
Acceptance probability: 3.097285119146869e-58
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.824381006133025, b_new = -1.2484002736551352, c_new = 4.941017780565949
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4736.472296027308
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.004722213064805, b_new = -0.6491805217196875, c_new = 4.4115043719721525
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3074.2527767336906
Acceptance probability: 7.135316480557187e-28
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981833643589504, b_new = -0.8507683749926301, c_new = 5.532989858268793
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3021.4864875931908
Acceptance probability: 5.8819515767503204e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.550278370554733, b_new = -1.2935726132164107, c_new = 4.560701599806309
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10096.068432653869
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9685482869062363, b_new = -0.9537058871001082, c_new = 5.007493499887929
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3037.4995977569206
Acceptance probability: 6.53305121252751e-12
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.464502066258772, b_new = -1.254450278656902, c_new = 5.675712761796403
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10713.30316589292
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.741021149617795, b_new = -0.4292273486163838, c_new = 4.765719545903642
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4488.6967842781
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.028941843364909, b_new = -0.8741654080981001, c_new = 3.9988141949382667
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13857.842301325341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.825829918076703, b_new = -1.8685542197455751, c_new = 5.087728655813279
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6163.657342452161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2564095720028057, b_new = -0.6771598686968526, c_new = 5.165051762376289
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6562.437796125916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.416036521926972, b_new = -2.0014952407112645, c_new = 5.355381019638479
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6456.098138184537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3827300815883437, b_new = -0.8481710486697793, c_new = 4.625102099116239
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8548.928552862688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0074837767500386, b_new = -1.365264878259845, c_new = 6.032685868980081
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3029.963280603426
Acceptance probability: 1.2248897946496141e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.59978099313121, b_new = -0.588556264141605, c_new = 5.167937621302849
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11933.89108777314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4060687690466316, b_new = -1.1881031026214388, c_new = 5.076676813848511
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11409.411417884356
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.515173771303191, b_new = -1.2831067795492241, c_new = 5.200047912499262
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9856.194089086455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1663492547648877, b_new = -0.6399286417306662, c_new = 4.827770620286445
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4758.056588707658
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2197242005797757, b_new = -0.7549324647175697, c_new = 4.420460302131034
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5326.421591032138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.884329801317259, b_new = -2.3469012502691697, c_new = 6.126585000783922
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5838.392450684392
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7094408355422526, b_new = -0.3368891773484928, c_new = 5.609540747639334
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13213.530341354377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.660436311489952, b_new = -1.4875055919536757, c_new = 5.153980749875997
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8550.544549452696
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1013128172299633, b_new = -0.7173589781732583, c_new = 5.032117348344691
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3770.5230620762213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.594331139813615, b_new = -0.9063298226401426, c_new = 4.7167961906810785
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11253.782606450677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2498026268624502, b_new = -0.6157075134162382, c_new = 4.552003131443225
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6353.958749603367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9091069258323228, b_new = -0.9055364896599363, c_new = 4.314073208242869
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3341.5337701319763
Acceptance probability: 5.953230390719708e-144
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3279211183274557, b_new = -0.4736987032281036, c_new = 5.429715286985307
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8803.866736982322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6712588419626777, b_new = -1.3983759110240894, c_new = 6.00663784653574
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7774.554311396997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2238128785131144, b_new = -0.7581751516623771, c_new = 5.465202761076164
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12187.001007547598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3822630467131476, b_new = -1.1396566959475964, c_new = 4.852710927160953
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11626.612578130897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.151332515113749, b_new = -1.1380673182092413, c_new = 4.866110257152047
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3709.7703395449344
Acceptance probability: 7.1062839865098006e-304
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.877347193363155, b_new = -1.6359382617294278, c_new = 5.301839347329257
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12566.394913666596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1235368814565, b_new = -1.2285884406757384, c_new = 4.63090807150194
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3333.4418938143413
Acceptance probability: 1.9454045313165385e-140
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.771826674795179, b_new = -0.5901776319496609, c_new = 4.627751592609704
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4357.606772783709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2099973320666004, b_new = -1.5338845749079395, c_new = 6.025419395438023
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4043.8441350619432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5792241470299313, b_new = -1.730552887132977, c_new = 4.7943759526216265
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9685.980557215105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3661017542232363, b_new = -1.3490277306540388, c_new = 5.041682072013232
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7023.183774589717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4162936322861435, b_new = -1.3454346217775466, c_new = 4.067603662055798
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7711.831777930805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3270172249327135, b_new = -0.15134169359171845, c_new = 5.273506262959913
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9575.939435757653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.030853397701851, b_new = -2.040378080141808, c_new = 4.938148622723678
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3456.151089523305
Acceptance probability: 9.933066612696194e-194
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5866778332878044, b_new = -1.0777288549637218, c_new = 4.6204833519642445
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9040.99481423116
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5292:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8536161101837645, b_new = -1.6882431796547754, c_new = 5.126819522190273
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5141.868520491583
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5293:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2195323784843684, b_new = -1.3183208491793126, c_new = 4.377318123320066
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4175.107186675341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5294:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9877118709776243, b_new = -0.9798458474626659, c_new = 5.152944657621067
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3013.722479057505
Acceptance probability: 0.13848014491678418
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5295:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.78140852847792, b_new = -0.4529506809868613, c_new = 5.386701955141635
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3861.4266212218295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5296:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4068553483115185, b_new = -1.130227780731088, c_new = 5.531162554650547
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8618.963172451256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5297:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6015925226739354, b_new = -1.249779482874815, c_new = 5.449445693538748
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10977.6463687402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5298:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.548786137421361, b_new = -1.3965500571169804, c_new = 4.694844801142505
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9906.634006809993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5299:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.353126566194559, b_new = -1.4549708122583938, c_new = 5.155825979822122
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12273.333586410088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5300:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1369500311410596, b_new = -0.8054745143667228, c_new = 5.314373612187519
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4128.029488146112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5301:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.217314759395084, b_new = -1.0293062433690872, c_new = 5.564020483064052
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5004.935712293018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5302:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.273402044899919, b_new = -2.250501496775579, c_new = 4.553068891575266
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13996.322300633816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5303:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.161916505442396, b_new = -1.1160397784178668, c_new = 4.2835085984022125
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3755.1257919596787
Acceptance probability: 1.5e-323
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5304:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.17648733166596, b_new = -1.919980293689851, c_new = 5.1434699396898615
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3203.390538865948
Acceptance probability: 5.882957910470455e-84
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5305:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.488568958211134, b_new = -0.8220259522049616, c_new = 4.6405013889444815
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9917.67064513873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5306:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6226444038483656, b_new = -1.5781499943705268, c_new = 4.104093312200117
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10260.023358042057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5307:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8618521786552136, b_new = -0.34087582110989734, c_new = 5.732606503019282
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3128.3982399971346
Acceptance probability: 2.1794019001610886e-51
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5308:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.955028362366289, b_new = -0.9973811044158996, c_new = 5.193994984235622
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3080.062327742399
Acceptance probability: 2.139721720213209e-30
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5309:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4311260425209036, b_new = -0.6104229400126723, c_new = 4.44695956586361
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9843.330586171875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5310:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7705079510922395, b_new = -0.7072625957357466, c_new = 4.414761152230343
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4653.559377631909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5311:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4071623941665417, b_new = -1.3587884577646416, c_new = 4.112634958155949
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7511.157088237411
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5312:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7652969296713568, b_new = -0.8845835668234568, c_new = 4.332792564822215
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14829.965048644615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5313:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.082952923830791, b_new = -1.8254087856179861, c_new = 3.977426607082683
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3129.4133933652083
Acceptance probability: 7.896994202330065e-52
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5314:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.492273061863212, b_new = -1.056805044897921, c_new = 4.935206870191621
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9921.361065259007
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5315:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.63527849021784, b_new = -1.3494175468428597, c_new = 6.0072444761416826
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11308.51579004259
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5316:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.877872220141883, b_new = -0.9476656616549403, c_new = 4.751976274774019
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3584.998715753057
Acceptance probability: 1.0946373687548483e-249
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5317:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2516150983839527, b_new = -1.4963413918067188, c_new = 5.4717789241890085
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4576.506326292616
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5318:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2695672491836207, b_new = -1.4669446698064847, c_new = 4.281916880396732
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13132.628561769357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5319:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.938959377356547, b_new = -1.1866036313718817, c_new = 4.191657438222585
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3405.488981564523
Acceptance probability: 9.985211678824473e-172
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5320:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.330917136257329, b_new = -1.4694719461763917, c_new = 5.157527139880939
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12462.840584721296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5321:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.866795120332369, b_new = -1.2293286879325167, c_new = 5.508877606089478
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3952.47671767028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5322:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4975262814649315, b_new = -1.4441078608113882, c_new = 5.201686410444837
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10842.984926546338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5323:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.982239151987529, b_new = -0.1278461730721041, c_new = 5.720080611770637
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3498.892639928664
Acceptance probability: 2.7205947702738246e-212
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5324:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4446999848445357, b_new = -1.6094135628041304, c_new = 4.704379908017352
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7812.817721414594
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5325:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.776145830755755, b_new = -1.480351002512489, c_new = 4.3087920135045295
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11824.856282298242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5326:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6526756656476245, b_new = -1.730530656990616, c_new = 5.099437160995591
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9336.745790107783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5327:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7054037331102054, b_new = -0.30748983882294123, c_new = 4.905342501893229
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4780.941617309118
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5328:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2735653741016533, b_new = -1.0651840878465133, c_new = 5.358565852503079
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5938.8909114512735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5329:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.016293770599321, b_new = -1.187064855194909, c_new = 4.175822850180632
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3040.443360990186
Acceptance probability: 3.440772308969592e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5330:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9074324410649175, b_new = -0.6603257785470892, c_new = 4.2818281048675635
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13613.125764724973
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5331:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.936592459772904, b_new = -1.1676188861545755, c_new = 4.927579317141834
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3304.943595898363
Acceptance probability: 4.630879193827953e-128
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5332:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7754220920136743, b_new = -1.2196051293262868, c_new = 4.99317867630499
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12337.582086349088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5333:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6245835178672388, b_new = -0.06232993512874718, c_new = 4.17327816425035
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5910.076102221028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5334:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7523249413042192, b_new = -1.6689461845072358, c_new = 4.453576407025476
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7454.038573780234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5335:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.593129919298159, b_new = -0.7977999635456403, c_new = 5.353497015168457
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7968.808231963612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5336:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.636927841633025, b_new = -0.3897580148158206, c_new = 5.31285068721014
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6101.964540886014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5337:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6078831480658744, b_new = -1.23175971282046, c_new = 4.875759127082446
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10900.649061691942
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5338:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7563538312928957, b_new = -1.3479943645508685, c_new = 5.161721027773758
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6188.199550505269
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5339:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.51236417014236, b_new = -1.6997052142127838, c_new = 5.321204942239582
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8984.369504240418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5340:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3079439884490727, b_new = -0.8293196586566726, c_new = 4.895291777424065
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7157.821584290727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5341:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5893837269456204, b_new = -0.772536310294178, c_new = 4.743966581456383
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8195.152851438193
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5342:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9926631197027653, b_new = -2.485717147665409, c_new = 4.805070280149251
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4648.8720065801335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5343:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6062623393950037, b_new = -1.8034122472032286, c_new = 4.954482419762414
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9926.19371585503
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5344:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5725692592112352, b_new = -1.250919167939209, c_new = 5.190753160860701
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10595.393004033334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5345:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4783707951546887, b_new = -1.1977373001449834, c_new = 4.532520216999596
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9299.612885854283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5346:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.866987705696039, b_new = -1.755886272204074, c_new = 4.354140507062799
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12121.52402838767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5347:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.442888316973478, b_new = -1.184713264421371, c_new = 5.597188688136462
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10854.372214184988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5348:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094603817727156, b_new = -1.1575146741867965, c_new = 5.425752433374236
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3281.193701637687
Acceptance probability: 9.552377453135575e-118
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5349:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9821661262287105, b_new = -1.1993562607607635, c_new = 4.90063732103638
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3091.6377022959396
Acceptance probability: 2.0101848735342708e-35
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5350:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4952240473048573, b_new = -1.419775377803585, c_new = 5.062091427887921
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10870.501961928914
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5351:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8633224257423286, b_new = -1.3268885329493412, c_new = 5.598096196242976
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12932.701455895922
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5352:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1992329206019163, b_new = -1.0434102153126839, c_new = 5.174292236629473
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12799.09123796072
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5353:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9098778635213067, b_new = -1.7230717324049751, c_new = 3.262647499563208
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12191.715685627469
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5354:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2787557813864603, b_new = -0.5970147687249147, c_new = 4.776009234862173
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7131.460741798471
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5355:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.597923283682495, b_new = -1.295078714428266, c_new = 5.692552194163461
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8977.983752062237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5356:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.342007407950899, b_new = -0.9204039588776014, c_new = 5.407930764283693
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7838.92617404233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5357:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7552181321390146, b_new = -0.7632918034429006, c_new = 4.67005268840002
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4952.93140018582
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5358:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.628308630267654, b_new = -1.2694978901842269, c_new = 5.197502648786601
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11131.710961698482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5359:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8047671323382195, b_new = -0.9413059385944151, c_new = 5.093492308015465
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12910.687671034253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5360:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8403239340384707, b_new = -1.7292056310623023, c_new = 5.13175674849029
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12163.911783370291
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5361:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7054486299066927, b_new = -1.571669638292305, c_new = 5.553982950416431
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7723.63770573847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5362:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.08388009975458, b_new = -1.5952410686560625, c_new = 5.065316616330674
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13685.209563530028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5363:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.303568560258322, b_new = -1.3277222286395207, c_new = 4.963574787555436
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5742.892945830995
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5364:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.899182801658288, b_new = -0.5225017126624226, c_new = 5.231426092141815
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3082.0898036119734
Acceptance probability: 2.8173169805312166e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5365:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.457077488114041, b_new = -1.677131399584878, c_new = 5.0387437222292775
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7994.0803943897945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5366:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0304408421770668, b_new = -0.9108439950802512, c_new = 4.962158544697416
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3079.289219713239
Acceptance probability: 4.6356842387780935e-30
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5367:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.469853921101223, b_new = -1.0168896095136202, c_new = 4.98297601217927
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9712.246006322006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5368:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.322640114604176, b_new = -1.3721504315043314, c_new = 5.348988622803912
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12333.456361350523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5369:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.482261096173355, b_new = -0.9936500181223489, c_new = 4.9608718162417595
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10234.194429036881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5370:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.717668234466733, b_new = -0.42579880511580626, c_new = 4.9181308818888345
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12957.56139938183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5371:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4623688317069896, b_new = -0.7305020781943244, c_new = 5.998415340826689
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9640.643601417207
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5372:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0070820843410413, b_new = -1.5403577225562946, c_new = 4.706650056939545
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3198.0563166287916
Acceptance probability: 1.219604516755742e-81
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5373:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3883637426902733, b_new = -0.5972964193437996, c_new = 4.950223280639143
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9395.486803277317
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5374:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5229962236325916, b_new = -1.5845459193959013, c_new = 5.19278083873313
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9346.491146827393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5375:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9763049369951022, b_new = -1.014727107809125, c_new = 5.118425701788942
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3033.384924897329
Acceptance probability: 4.000329643037599e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5376:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.403569664663882, b_new = -0.5016385037938235, c_new = 4.073698121621949
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9543.465841595127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5377:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.935934051524081, b_new = -0.7134915966774793, c_new = 5.771969395778177
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13708.848883900962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5378:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0388653373987395, b_new = -1.8356238874744477, c_new = 5.402418225735575
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13296.712909389476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5379:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.074011789477626, b_new = -0.25518545216465427, c_new = 5.087966667932151
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4178.256200122792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5380:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.666357857631867, b_new = -0.8147588710310545, c_new = 5.20322988372335
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6623.857560034294
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5381:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8046842846443867, b_new = -2.3594330370242016, c_new = 5.318981977584051
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11089.914140626279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5382:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8048721065619673, b_new = -1.3969077950172855, c_new = 4.9319569140135675
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5420.984813978683
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5383:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7316463820043055, b_new = -0.9969292502079489, c_new = 5.199980385637502
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12380.100174518928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5384:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1035556629005026, b_new = -1.10756953163316, c_new = 4.963049451583404
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13492.869574940098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5385:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5374279211275845, b_new = -0.8834002753963293, c_new = 4.619974907331645
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10686.649367739246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5386:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6287392537780505, b_new = -1.4998172453991163, c_new = 5.732454032958685
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10916.950022131121
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5387:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6428089683920915, b_new = -1.233209464845961, c_new = 4.820720392439423
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11216.196900123778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5388:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4711626178273507, b_new = -1.1864022142660804, c_new = 5.438580107899238
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9522.93962835299
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5389:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.440238651167873, b_new = -1.2967653001799648, c_new = 3.9938232202185633
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11605.01844050685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5390:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.934265523638148, b_new = -1.301963265402384, c_new = 5.134139835016827
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3422.629901171508
Acceptance probability: 3.590463167869722e-179
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5391:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3877569891630865, b_new = -1.3979011349784503, c_new = 4.518673121786535
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7155.217775029023
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5392:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.243309353337212, b_new = -0.3486622337894437, c_new = 5.459271465923349
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11463.526436208173
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5393:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.933865088761064, b_new = -0.9693812593144493, c_new = 5.172152816744855
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3152.9990228785646
Acceptance probability: 4.5118335497167084e-62
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5394:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9557858357630407, b_new = -0.5178611322503284, c_new = 4.570661648982926
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3020.5865710153776
Acceptance probability: 0.00014466059557189043
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5395:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0744466849966, b_new = -1.7370278174994171, c_new = 5.143208266647143
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14242.657468884967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5396:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8317284165907086, b_new = -1.5252781156675113, c_new = 4.717128389989868
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5295.6535477054495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5397:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5296172281792138, b_new = -0.2800262157879275, c_new = 4.180963271936794
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8259.05980744902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5398:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0940327904960165, b_new = -2.107892106263572, c_new = 4.203567764333225
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3226.3713665362957
Acceptance probability: 6.153881008125304e-94
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5399:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.044333424137371, b_new = -1.8261764892535437, c_new = 5.158120258610332
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13278.110855117786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5400:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8883914331586513, b_new = -1.7293772542307813, c_new = 5.034718048348012
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14961.450303236623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5401:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.004266164249658, b_new = -1.953416394824678, c_new = 5.616250289725864
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3467.1730875604426
Acceptance probability: 1.6228949948393865e-198
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5402:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1624209265198675, b_new = -1.1795114658471249, c_new = 4.830345064445137
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3767.9879864109826
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5403:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3195638798582507, b_new = -1.3075313811578746, c_new = 5.061639696270393
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6159.736533715065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5404:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8011352721833844, b_new = -1.1458655325562126, c_new = 4.420765212717315
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14906.68069239281
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5405:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1206449307043487, b_new = -1.6987575454205404, c_new = 5.304126251374592
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3082.3389426299836
Acceptance probability: 2.1960185893428377e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5406:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9587193921016057, b_new = -1.2421440823348993, c_new = 4.582456914283565
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3264.0139565747727
Acceptance probability: 2.7617219785267154e-110
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5407:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.399328205735399, b_new = -1.1144346523233537, c_new = 5.185734353349834
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8386.144320577738
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5408:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4770319290062703, b_new = -0.8947267697011391, c_new = 5.165437644288919
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10037.988767250707
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5409:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8664218119995213, b_new = -1.736217066040001, c_new = 4.58085928734263
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5202.073465295323
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5410:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3724027708907203, b_new = -1.215568763000757, c_new = 5.1457526275475685
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7557.563276378868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5411:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5743230900030376, b_new = -2.1662217149348244, c_new = 4.886721621729038
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8791.819922003688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5412:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8776652244059404, b_new = -1.327182241346667, c_new = 5.141518213254567
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4048.6248777757355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5413:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7293677138877026, b_new = -1.2529424465444738, c_new = 4.943209445727507
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11945.947490331255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5414:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9010314540980193, b_new = -0.1372369948319091, c_new = 4.938449228502175
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3046.0454396272853
Acceptance probability: 1.2697086992572398e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5415:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7091518871622664, b_new = -1.2183646679710702, c_new = 4.712328772119428
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15198.291411828814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5416:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4518715034876437, b_new = -1.5384354353496854, c_new = 4.622758747531981
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8097.139268588746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5417:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3173844946509283, b_new = -1.3404393834166874, c_new = 4.777290146481254
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5931.299726009088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5418:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6934103518655657, b_new = -1.2515822538153176, c_new = 4.619482038860948
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7460.804054013404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5419:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.311499082804649, b_new = -1.2209625239764257, c_new = 4.734365981572583
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6104.571963555862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5420:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2912912989667893, b_new = -0.5678366298807885, c_new = 4.813995655205644
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11557.347985987746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5421:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.080952374613032, b_new = -1.0905169505239887, c_new = 4.897086071423609
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3197.054611008422
Acceptance probability: 3.32088814254443e-81
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5422:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.097573783562302, b_new = -0.6849419551354056, c_new = 5.686679811068665
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12862.956161408016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5423:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.363008121086274, b_new = -1.7860501235894417, c_new = 5.937892264049274
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12446.58675402535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5424:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4316819541802044, b_new = -0.8424986318376663, c_new = 4.789704971809037
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9461.065102724591
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5425:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2944610955507034, b_new = -1.6377960317671751, c_new = 4.651931302136253
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4780.975581947498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5426:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.018316276736329, b_new = -1.6575727539648288, c_new = 5.513259980305012
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3140.227182259076
Acceptance probability: 1.5888868623147642e-56
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5427:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.140039205347067, b_new = -0.8822785418328825, c_new = 5.571183762823468
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4099.425757442736
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5428:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.99645902549183, b_new = -1.0745866134675377, c_new = 4.770623855429509
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3023.316059460474
Acceptance probability: 9.439488868090687e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5429:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.308219158700874, b_new = -1.9445562301218686, c_new = 5.263196474420952
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4553.837795352663
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5430:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.843842336628837, b_new = -1.106032774454316, c_new = 5.6816204261059475
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4012.729580156303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5431:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4450992129189464, b_new = -1.381883148147295, c_new = 4.80969180398068
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11435.20700510907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5432:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1126909016060686, b_new = -1.8302817322812892, c_new = 4.957003552984843
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14214.3050216532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5433:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2505452977548526, b_new = -1.5346124463372484, c_new = 5.045249966435891
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13126.505242120118
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5434:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.743530611245977, b_new = -1.256873305754753, c_new = 6.193305676911442
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12389.196861130264
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5435:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8540095478382694, b_new = -2.0927103508133262, c_new = 5.901404052218316
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5871.397670178487
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5436:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.635952961950448, b_new = -0.8449302530652831, c_new = 5.043918396972175
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7375.874708316741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5437:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9737016184296756, b_new = -1.200633101902386, c_new = 4.9777792378954056
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3119.2736024527435
Acceptance probability: 2.00040098676976e-47
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5438:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.559734367424894, b_new = -1.6496941966283334, c_new = 4.074207022922576
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9378.551574753723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5439:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0778366368944567, b_new = -1.470637911434852, c_new = 5.167854817873679
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3035.7611822278914
Acceptance probability: 3.716210740200206e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5440:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9056402647514634, b_new = -1.391165337605604, c_new = 4.7353885801858056
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3892.4970107377612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5441:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.075073143727189, b_new = -0.6540706903634044, c_new = 4.945429870286688
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3569.6866297626416
Acceptance probability: 4.889052738841989e-243
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5442:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5374631650867405, b_new = -0.9606693564727914, c_new = 5.347746562866683
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10775.865452969287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5443:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.447953718478016, b_new = -1.1650038789620893, c_new = 5.1182605570415065
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10915.227478539258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5444:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9729886832597114, b_new = -1.303586577461569, c_new = 5.078013004178516
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3175.144437011117
Acceptance probability: 1.0882330515979505e-71
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5445:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5790816007807758, b_new = -1.7973534723209754, c_new = 5.228982811258064
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9687.662841144296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5446:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1866946201943955, b_new = -0.48792353969772695, c_new = 5.848034626568238
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5842.767231509578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5447:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4614727163546544, b_new = -1.6672805069805157, c_new = 5.221328993944996
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11631.648329600077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5448:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7765397849388096, b_new = -1.088571405880505, c_new = 4.942988294288202
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5217.102003357236
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5449:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.164056541769733, b_new = -1.1033184856851412, c_new = 5.231866498237414
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3974.708108487758
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5450:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0649138606237045, b_new = -1.2544034457767745, c_new = 4.456215349372491
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3043.7241020941806
Acceptance probability: 1.2937434867310856e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5451:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7359180761837654, b_new = -1.7420596398415982, c_new = 4.204286088765288
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8128.351340072387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5452:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9779150035187985, b_new = -0.498944075292575, c_new = 5.043461288375759
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14283.391785707741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5453:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5943819426795955, b_new = -1.933770820659305, c_new = 5.125858124946733
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9591.982495312068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5454:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0104271468668196, b_new = -1.8157066925438183, c_new = 5.272951841407216
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3331.6333628279554
Acceptance probability: 1.1869842349185186e-139
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5455:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.109867052762553, b_new = -0.5049719217851527, c_new = 4.849218371556182
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14756.983785239068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5456:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3229308595581224, b_new = -2.0257680163895007, c_new = 5.247435438270513
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13237.980417674089
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5457:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4363658134989428, b_new = -1.8544177881908108, c_new = 5.001250393927078
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7122.951823957614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5458:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4091648484274306, b_new = -1.2994503744318853, c_new = 4.730358312275004
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7926.112145668836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5459:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7952817723784547, b_new = -0.8605347090453126, c_new = 4.423596880958838
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4562.653907426638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5460:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.032518308259175, b_new = -1.2283954860383364, c_new = 4.6362727221342634
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3016.7648348414696
Acceptance probability: 0.0066085956532374425
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5461:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.119315387524899, b_new = -1.5766135391826264, c_new = 5.119909320908874
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3118.581759909486
Acceptance probability: 3.995585781403548e-47
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5462:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.435179161826519, b_new = -1.993882406846574, c_new = 5.205606034045988
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12403.932281888441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5463:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.07025533504407, b_new = -1.561308147943446, c_new = 4.4292225522634725
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14262.429661664492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5464:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.048809014426704, b_new = -1.3513611940844623, c_new = 4.717777555119619
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13686.417921108085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5465:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.945760045437673, b_new = -0.7643114372716671, c_new = 4.492313602511746
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3056.748558600096
Acceptance probability: 2.85363607142765e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5466:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9472089225349016, b_new = -0.7429331945662514, c_new = 5.14967316750127
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13926.910980672244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5467:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7549196417490736, b_new = -1.0506996606740036, c_new = 5.177558352631745
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5458.297936452906
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5468:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6172631176779935, b_new = -1.647110475228129, c_new = 4.393309568411548
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10165.115507304536
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5469:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.146730301734842, b_new = -1.698276498995317, c_new = 5.228576584811723
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3185.2911091806536
Acceptance probability: 4.2665631607582014e-76
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5470:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4159228066728025, b_new = -0.7859752497448782, c_new = 4.946241587307156
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10635.8468982881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5471:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3974435236351277, b_new = -1.2103776201592464, c_new = 4.90877451339624
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11582.33666901058
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5472:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.793685606999272, b_new = -1.8710678926223028, c_new = 5.616699639660391
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6652.714889904064
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5473:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.754581224743876, b_new = -0.8062579976102916, c_new = 4.495560255251516
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5110.116233946375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5474:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8317742852045495, b_new = -0.8394008587443669, c_new = 5.710184024713851
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13364.657122020015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5475:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6954634356675764, b_new = -1.3571459866087874, c_new = 5.321583402846525
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11629.321429788346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5476:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.665403579173879, b_new = -1.3208193856345012, c_new = 5.317468457117986
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11424.607961167208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5477:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7538944969793444, b_new = -1.2419283431445538, c_new = 5.456778907571077
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14917.541611667315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5478:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9468827327161224, b_new = -0.8855284195114673, c_new = 4.579842255832113
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3095.92854172562
Acceptance probability: 2.7526317417027743e-37
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5479:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9263437540488244, b_new = -0.12874289570354536, c_new = 4.250185427129516
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3049.969929732818
Acceptance probability: 2.5079547590530347e-17
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5480:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.672180794782182, b_new = -0.45106002274405477, c_new = 5.328699156097431
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5565.140836262581
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5481:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6413673662305106, b_new = -1.0751984825402459, c_new = 4.9217119409568335
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7921.4570418971625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5482:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1657076896251004, b_new = -0.9755329496597444, c_new = 5.931311464898778
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4381.4289712199225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5483:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9034419523103139, b_new = -1.4879454118899336, c_new = 5.956234600152816
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14500.284853286757
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5484:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.199774496685521, b_new = -0.6455736442186297, c_new = 5.977741492447569
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15193.638729253365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5485:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.945942047505044, b_new = -1.93394081984609, c_new = 5.064803528924302
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4194.374490948363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5486:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6801148441928477, b_new = -1.0822621380629756, c_new = 4.5525936802282505
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7298.270473836497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5487:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7736543680279397, b_new = -0.977592256017677, c_new = 5.092829850465272
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4975.086473624358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5488:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.853025737173182, b_new = -0.7759398868590981, c_new = 5.179805469686594
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3553.883786665578
Acceptance probability: 3.5670753019910683e-236
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5489:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8739117976626294, b_new = -0.9943203227941455, c_new = 5.383227273734051
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3579.112639392899
Acceptance probability: 3.94058548491601e-247
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5490:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.309751583217413, b_new = -1.8545578138107768, c_new = 5.39919765460122
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4785.936929129213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5491:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.027637088158105, b_new = -1.7076004426500326, c_new = 4.850122689337959
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3193.329357078239
Acceptance probability: 1.377563011208435e-79
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5492:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6052584476082146, b_new = -1.6034455404845904, c_new = 4.947584596217263
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10265.61495780039
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5493:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.239586977632374, b_new = -1.1887432202396386, c_new = 3.9214762955052236
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4600.730596897959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5494:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.302777809335503, b_new = -1.4984663606878015, c_new = 5.013264072767544
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5328.341711980573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5495:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.384006934678546, b_new = -0.744292647728006, c_new = 4.168677346261964
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8668.277617442334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5496:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1174119677749905, b_new = -1.5490725388751767, c_new = 5.107992490844673
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3123.055687781448
Acceptance probability: 4.5559428933921785e-49
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5497:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3295405570072445, b_new = -0.7442232465895524, c_new = 6.182731272501622
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8396.800044283542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5498:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.835060107303458, b_new = -0.18927784165391692, c_new = 4.983004525722117
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3204.312836369105
Acceptance probability: 2.339090499216177e-84
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5499:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1524959343462227, b_new = -0.6572134326469878, c_new = 4.1944526452994735
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4340.809957110507
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5500:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.380622719482408, b_new = -1.1169289285149935, c_new = 5.3542824546180965
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8075.836556870896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5501:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4588820320792992, b_new = -0.8387204652637714, c_new = 5.176489510308766
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10152.473155910411
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5502:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5126350341596204, b_new = -1.5511675044520572, c_new = 5.012849625788823
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10935.21998320732
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5503:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5119819170033564, b_new = -1.610335806564195, c_new = 4.335459482820634
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8855.856817539428
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5504:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.413331074453618, b_new = -0.7215580898462481, c_new = 5.624712357945633
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9754.480915324726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5505:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.863060982177695, b_new = -0.9611539489700127, c_new = 5.551236794533466
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3619.1896759945903
Acceptance probability: 1.5499757593964935e-264
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5506:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4512227928283323, b_new = -1.1780838146981738, c_new = 4.256267479571675
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8824.242868215379
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5507:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8755960248279573, b_new = -0.14479570401421915, c_new = 5.229972638995285
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3059.2068202773944
Acceptance probability: 2.4422442993108546e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5508:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.828246083962719, b_new = -0.48644613264157543, c_new = 4.633223290435338
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3536.0209932464704
Acceptance probability: 2.041854966590565e-228
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5509:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7523133753636344, b_new = -1.9661895916672658, c_new = 4.4021383064469575
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8344.427336198352
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5510:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7898721821607193, b_new = -1.4932814112549408, c_new = 5.2291240731577
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5856.467175208448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5511:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3217250812540624, b_new = -0.381995372953873, c_new = 4.5739891919018625
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8581.459154979131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5512:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2342592371002463, b_new = -1.3057941152143007, c_new = 5.715240668155848
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4744.068465880009
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5513:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4797191494029835, b_new = -1.2568065915766349, c_new = 5.9769298556777235
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9683.233009625195
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5514:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.674250823678449, b_new = -1.035405020421169, c_new = 4.960517061715229
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7135.774532089889
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5515:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.288876506108854, b_new = -1.1057681712677467, c_new = 6.106829688058014
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6437.198873814892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5516:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.308370912089523, b_new = -2.433575863914328, c_new = 5.425901728179196
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3819.0594960743433
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5517:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2850942974156077, b_new = -1.6565379486526193, c_new = 4.560762706847464
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4572.983103883753
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5518:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5965846760961098, b_new = -1.4612343465222972, c_new = 4.895471384327783
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10401.944392899784
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5519:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.405578216343528, b_new = -0.7330953815312934, c_new = 5.0268521976477425
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9384.299648830198
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5520:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.518054621855026, b_new = -1.9247158583380681, c_new = 4.952547773087201
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11596.4043310549
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5521:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7504705799979843, b_new = -1.2021150843962023, c_new = 6.2811208960194165
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12537.413039117446
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5522:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.513199990192126, b_new = -0.8968915706133952, c_new = 5.016057377778744
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9612.251900476567
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5523:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.261813034603661, b_new = -0.6081937184712055, c_new = 5.2879874841332715
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15261.335892124678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5524:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8708074184187655, b_new = -1.0658107102275576, c_new = 4.75407803742764
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3813.4957657898185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5525:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4698647166555547, b_new = -1.6877706534952217, c_new = 4.765622673483268
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11732.632674762854
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5526:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4506416420298733, b_new = -1.5228249573233275, c_new = 4.705010915620206
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8141.365835038873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5527:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.759178603080045, b_new = -1.6794308422523632, c_new = 5.643365829834689
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11769.510479636898
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5528:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.24352267833326, b_new = -2.1750909596446997, c_new = 5.650263085234286
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3507.120059105823
Acceptance probability: 7.270112142194623e-216
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5529:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.651195389776562, b_new = -1.6499994622180698, c_new = 4.9961009513992645
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10680.802425260028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5530:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.423814585213016, b_new = -0.42997678073068357, c_new = 4.796083888471746
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10244.265634571278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5531:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3757895709409658, b_new = -1.1051561171309705, c_new = 4.449130105480581
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11755.332862768939
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5532:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2507867572738487, b_new = -1.6997592435146718, c_new = 5.178754280957219
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4134.90485341149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5533:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.994820023952784, b_new = -1.9885465928018349, c_new = 5.51403817935118
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3611.2699715720332
Acceptance probability: 4.263917912058191e-261
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5534:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.605853420353263, b_new = -0.9338566080394471, c_new = 4.561785924238852
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11272.652050232473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5535:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.199014906217771, b_new = -0.9746543001654414, c_new = 5.391126042608195
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14792.939018657376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5536:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.779702160610525, b_new = -1.6683201230707216, c_new = 5.633987374914235
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6384.767466498897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5537:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.852892428150634, b_new = -0.6029639505938339, c_new = 4.597017876222216
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3449.6474102353022
Acceptance probability: 6.63124959584119e-191
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5538:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.839038042860273, b_new = -1.5522703188558578, c_new = 4.720200771154121
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5223.291918485479
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5539:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3444045084912233, b_new = -1.1524420499990689, c_new = 5.065276592335241
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11919.832361042714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5540:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.325754384328373, b_new = -1.153918725990084, c_new = 5.077852134045355
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6710.381639102915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5541:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7921320614908396, b_new = -1.3120697554163563, c_new = 5.579357984685362
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12486.618769145629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5542:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7828449689451604, b_new = -1.336887218036773, c_new = 4.768580128800688
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5759.46468034821
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5543:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.030994775884269, b_new = -0.678276919011352, c_new = 4.471232584849684
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3169.8726625069567
Acceptance probability: 2.1194564101626633e-69
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5544:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1184880762881573, b_new = -0.4599822731382808, c_new = 4.664051816524794
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4324.707548020981
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5545:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1032601622204443, b_new = -0.595541273805443, c_new = 4.128180319002974
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3792.560463607345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5546:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.371388061340625, b_new = -1.4443156385225804, c_new = 4.793543636130139
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12218.779989562077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5547:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1796276745319294, b_new = -1.8103783857358893, c_new = 4.848892413627441
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3271.2507717601266
Acceptance probability: 1.987334878455578e-113
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5548:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.252458280847123, b_new = -0.7011774336849397, c_new = 5.734176704993726
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6633.113057079723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5549:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.070354177316515, b_new = -0.29534620075243334, c_new = 4.91894366524996
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14811.496885045402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5550:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4838369848062, b_new = -1.3032329725310317, c_new = 5.107977508331254
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9344.508117588122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5551:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8324063206742986, b_new = -0.6628787970968135, c_new = 4.502341604468001
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14363.944470557806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5552:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4378313855242113, b_new = -0.6390724215165178, c_new = 5.411375200614293
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9955.252746356786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5553:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1047250903563093, b_new = -1.2277415871959727, c_new = 5.263057933013224
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3272.435249838207
Acceptance probability: 6.0793725946647186e-114
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5554:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.776802751158143, b_new = -0.7771409087950892, c_new = 4.502442053530329
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4668.878429503504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5555:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9137386995544006, b_new = -0.6706354494187353, c_new = 6.108825805733099
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14083.395735502669
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5556:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6130740810025963, b_new = -0.49443239204331524, c_new = 5.315968970540168
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6832.123542458453
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5557:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1074647637934816, b_new = -0.3827690604805286, c_new = 5.029016909387482
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4403.192870203729
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5558:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9493264504838566, b_new = -1.3428704121361106, c_new = 5.225635160990834
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3334.955577750603
Acceptance probability: 4.281789790055968e-141
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5559:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8925820741944808, b_new = -1.4424458500901547, c_new = 4.833372897317867
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4116.279053741686
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5560:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4837818985294633, b_new = -0.4095565812194384, c_new = 4.843410948351469
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11018.966176902906
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5561:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.136175691240515, b_new = -0.5377727333955474, c_new = 4.8894814205308705
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14831.50343317863
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5562:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.092545678282105, b_new = -0.24281234662862228, c_new = 4.6126148430199665
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4338.638134743466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5563:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8228173010538122, b_new = -1.0112012556005399, c_new = 4.231284973670998
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4482.012047277852
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5564:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9548443068992234, b_new = -1.1368598249422917, c_new = 4.656292173186045
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3198.8331351763427
Acceptance probability: 5.60855541751437e-82
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5565:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.464088432176555, b_new = -0.8846801355842739, c_new = 4.220844913325741
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10494.162051719144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5566:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5736011260734943, b_new = -0.7948209988408574, c_new = 5.449516614439924
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11459.151888895227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5567:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4123240504926793, b_new = -1.2759301674884571, c_new = 5.320010489262323
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8266.540483000608
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5568:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1378748289502916, b_new = -1.205914776572344, c_new = 3.996843594430693
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13671.195984422091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5569:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8946091287404787, b_new = -0.25920339731155706, c_new = 5.27254816886711
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13563.408378194286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5570:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.398928781296816, b_new = -0.6293417600497219, c_new = 5.286290815644726
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9616.430162122468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5571:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3143036650907236, b_new = -0.6125166603828587, c_new = 5.0163695967936
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7961.282610559816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5572:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.381033160332414, b_new = -1.0275372143084522, c_new = 5.263664154556841
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8288.985776514048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5573:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4489846692325905, b_new = -0.703186188663995, c_new = 5.415639199626413
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10230.71639173987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5574:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7416334575390655, b_new = -0.49675241564816286, c_new = 5.116575279648371
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4521.4687772130055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5575:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2695671235881814, b_new = -1.6573864441954813, c_new = 4.579599581962848
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4342.9385644722015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5576:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3946547477264666, b_new = -0.6683894295375421, c_new = 4.793166598068374
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9271.754298638663
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5577:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.783308207555626, b_new = -0.9408749441902253, c_new = 5.164279249029112
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4715.7718706456035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5578:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0779520418628388, b_new = -1.1345588762733643, c_new = 4.9554919110989255
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3158.363217860211
Acceptance probability: 2.1120917925472898e-64
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5579:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9054980796366612, b_new = -0.5108975090820196, c_new = 4.930741687734311
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13835.387889511667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5580:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3878549523171837, b_new = -1.6071472486728637, c_new = 4.9705662363537435
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6765.077441127825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5581:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0506519452902205, b_new = -1.228967200089492, c_new = 5.440744310740847
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3045.848828040729
Acceptance probability: 1.5455797613930787e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5582:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1832440932570183, b_new = -0.8233834872556283, c_new = 5.537510988463014
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4858.577037794852
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5583:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.226389100698286, b_new = -0.7674580813009835, c_new = 4.822788184948599
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5556.065455653298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5584:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7054395518552687, b_new = 0.06987064913849816, c_new = 5.5471416373718
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4006.390206013566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5585:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.902039357895802, b_new = -0.7709194784503066, c_new = 5.020408878038726
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13646.599308936253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5586:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.062415234684498, b_new = -1.650851920270591, c_new = 4.954810952481887
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3043.026036989791
Acceptance probability: 2.6002433791129723e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5587:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4320010062978628, b_new = -1.5534998587607958, c_new = 5.94793022963805
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8160.973280555442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5588:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4505538646072407, b_new = -0.7340218296553898, c_new = 4.976581138759664
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10035.558583893464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5589:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8673235555631633, b_new = -1.6512065317900286, c_new = 5.012483242250384
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4854.380000257177
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5590:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1054064751063466, b_new = -1.5571949356437493, c_new = 4.690762256510057
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3066.724587192912
Acceptance probability: 1.3269801209814931e-24
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5591:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3143815810196426, b_new = -1.1305180542711113, c_new = 4.843447150679937
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6444.976882619376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5592:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.076924327159687, b_new = -1.8158844833551275, c_new = 4.808141854295289
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14388.959146803825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5593:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1624794297557637, b_new = -1.2221399615050625, c_new = 5.230903525020503
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3781.55195707675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5594:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.686188113491758, b_new = 0.5165838904796489, c_new = 4.497630284637
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3793.6431393038556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5595:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1429920729590926, b_new = -1.442770535315039, c_new = 5.193657501942228
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13599.128643716685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5596:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.228766854619561, b_new = -0.7119754895613282, c_new = 5.208430323767276
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5883.297381494491
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5597:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3590576369376937, b_new = -1.3670641192759778, c_new = 5.141516361380803
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6862.865263804274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5598:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8062798346611886, b_new = -1.4315389606844378, c_new = 5.201392399610243
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5388.249012811344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5599:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9945756355408613, b_new = -0.9924474168064018, c_new = 5.122493536911602
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13865.990322542457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5600:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.911671414227309, b_new = -1.4687842856232707, c_new = 4.409994970788811
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4013.9397087602492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5601:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2753930163915097, b_new = -1.0391603034206756, c_new = 5.873315121383554
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6238.895303964912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5602:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.382263312068455, b_new = -0.9626864452975793, c_new = 3.8598401186844518
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7959.033645246411
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5603:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4825108156371023, b_new = -0.7842928936472535, c_new = 4.911504237872842
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10328.504491452837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5604:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0307874938408657, b_new = -1.1920691927411566, c_new = 4.955213966132072
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3013.9686082695193
Acceptance probability: 0.10826671275746837
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5605:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8220614507840707, b_new = -1.1911329522123209, c_new = 5.1338212313068485
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4604.180872473743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5606:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0885062767607674, b_new = -1.1998529849154986, c_new = 5.2494752279098975
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3195.194927995211
Acceptance probability: 2.1325750222453992e-80
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5607:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.950851935826297, b_new = -1.5348530796571636, c_new = 5.028481455784948
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3554.4235624263642
Acceptance probability: 2.079173078188387e-236
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5608:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1268389055333805, b_new = -1.7134033368544725, c_new = 5.504635060487293
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3105.8149712243885
Acceptance probability: 1.3999945226762147e-41
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5609:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.694962179694366, b_new = -0.6339749626676681, c_new = 4.618130708525412
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5788.859834787503
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5610:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7243239052104826, b_new = -1.1921631453813595, c_new = 4.363461392927459
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6742.512998297357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5611:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6287274312552937, b_new = -0.47311099735217466, c_new = 5.617816106193053
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12469.882598007984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5612:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.578902269007186, b_new = -0.8240517397233196, c_new = 5.023814496077288
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8409.296587116924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5613:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.300453811448641, b_new = -1.096850906468091, c_new = 5.367963585145781
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6430.882896324307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5614:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8003486163376805, b_new = -1.460052732246725, c_new = 4.831722161373398
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5701.514222805836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5615:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.744167295330621, b_new = -1.2092646305816763, c_new = 5.80930051565127
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5851.221646136749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5616:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3921650578062974, b_new = -0.9134535100985295, c_new = 5.124607435389633
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11066.10401941375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5617:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7392654148307938, b_new = -0.7820688173608978, c_new = 4.501102441526289
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5332.8934077170825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5618:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5976936239040658, b_new = -1.5872811298789147, c_new = 4.459162213005399
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10106.85249846656
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5619:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.319142414969324, b_new = -1.1910029826850757, c_new = 5.664128734391683
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6686.840935465648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5620:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7331067579839017, b_new = -1.6770929476245648, c_new = 6.127582967592891
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11697.457954806965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5621:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.133110104483552, b_new = -1.0309760731027307, c_new = 4.97538293892542
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3677.0491044347095
Acceptance probability: 1.1542354496586435e-289
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5622:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3211784908435695, b_new = -1.2462424783084944, c_new = 4.548846197427878
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6177.1310423227715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5623:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4222227857617766, b_new = -0.8114401295077186, c_new = 4.558829390261165
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9301.834666113635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5624:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.053485741797372, b_new = -1.224731836390732, c_new = 4.199558901648463
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13717.155842511138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5625:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.62300253503222, b_new = -1.3730471369531614, c_new = 4.62664950553485
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10747.54000878134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5626:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.520194878129842, b_new = -0.8482619622429799, c_new = 5.299444730916344
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9315.189244065612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5627:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1595113419526295, b_new = -0.8636842881399204, c_new = 5.14107380618393
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4296.599027795192
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5628:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.21793585190569, b_new = -0.3483273546717096, c_new = 5.307929093498567
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11710.670547045262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5629:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0228126866980998, b_new = -0.9652025294726035, c_new = 4.698347751842344
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13808.817129848303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5630:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.614899471708224, b_new = -0.9390616267629674, c_new = 5.313882537254099
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7931.745629034913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5631:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4527309857983335, b_new = -1.1761497430965673, c_new = 4.901619304156593
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9074.417607095198
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5632:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0705410667342363, b_new = -0.8155900361320523, c_new = 5.031362086799005
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3368.956414751222
Acceptance probability: 7.332455784071525e-156
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5633:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1122369599171846, b_new = -0.9636177081116069, c_new = 6.3144733886115105
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3799.75399404379
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5634:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.321330883509142, b_new = -1.4216927382733147, c_new = 5.918631334095604
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12253.87550000499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5635:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.701768710411055, b_new = -0.4530297694805403, c_new = 5.293039143182862
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5041.082028629382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5636:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.45995713388926, b_new = -1.1351807010777573, c_new = 6.261778065533133
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10360.071542427193
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5637:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.108056932038756, b_new = -1.2466790732717528, c_new = 4.661044306458457
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3222.6151751881903
Acceptance probability: 2.6329479266728907e-92
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5638:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.306700832470192, b_new = -0.8704908534495583, c_new = 5.202395110359193
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7135.086820528482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5639:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8537457738744068, b_new = -2.008488911283762, c_new = 6.129341084921737
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12152.773074533578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5640:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.411299102542182, b_new = -0.583185667800861, c_new = 5.938136820617261
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10152.299928362394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5641:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4998146275101005, b_new = -1.574039380101864, c_new = 5.129771871204184
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9002.81665633287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5642:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8677658671495587, b_new = -1.6042940594472035, c_new = 5.6809015613581195
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12640.826542317991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5643:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2399271524576956, b_new = -0.8513404840558811, c_new = 5.111124016108272
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5714.021961136355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5644:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.941925993062469, b_new = -2.116086279430043, c_new = 5.9111128104483415
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4363.498274506497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5645:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2176028957692497, b_new = -1.5657417222311771, c_new = 4.976558875610568
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3884.291429443064
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5646:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2669406849175324, b_new = -0.8409064250805475, c_new = 5.204346129972157
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12049.480197387013
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5647:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5581451452238744, b_new = -2.0517251007987647, c_new = 4.669266950561328
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11493.953941299776
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5648:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9033244325225875, b_new = -1.471738730501713, c_new = 5.098007582122172
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3966.211489417469
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5649:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.360336884404429, b_new = -0.8448514412102762, c_new = 5.082788132226689
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8297.467425172816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5650:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0970189602585037, b_new = -0.6661129859683196, c_new = 5.313356769529584
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3852.59978244334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5651:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4165654719034233, b_new = -1.2423403211887616, c_new = 5.540650333986603
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11253.007806950252
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5652:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8021309272467967, b_new = -0.9892537306748796, c_new = 5.245725691596398
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4492.627470288364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5653:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.433360979420863, b_new = -1.6034272434486012, c_new = 4.293495153137417
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7465.357797240011
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5654:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0025811145436907, b_new = -1.565482053947699, c_new = 4.390765410193926
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3281.932233799321
Acceptance probability: 4.564266900705885e-118
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5655:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2474329510011906, b_new = -1.7070839334507368, c_new = 4.755798063201896
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3999.808784192762
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5656:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5578891490998603, b_new = -0.8342091641497327, c_new = 4.691674114553925
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8913.652792358927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5657:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2525843295012447, b_new = -0.8989611221245366, c_new = 4.833663723228265
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12339.224526070142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5658:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.487003552449936, b_new = -0.9607214697897182, c_new = 5.5740963318119805
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9908.248437027392
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5659:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.401908263379191, b_new = -0.8918902315553616, c_new = 5.072167873506995
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8956.36544815994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5660:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5895550318867215, b_new = -0.7334810371662885, c_new = 4.793018763591805
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8076.15989413006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5661:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.620517466212312, b_new = -0.9809778210670432, c_new = 5.545071530954725
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11619.768332752565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5662:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9853319937742535, b_new = -2.036506315702856, c_new = 4.999287856415474
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3884.2336246500554
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5663:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.781545129711497, b_new = -1.1216243585920624, c_new = 4.130256272924721
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12285.406439959836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5664:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6465631854133167, b_new = -0.3191885668662586, c_new = 4.8084448674650515
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5902.69994289617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5665:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1642691319328566, b_new = -0.8331820585968497, c_new = 5.858840214451628
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4618.612635476276
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5666:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.445605940220655, b_new = -1.70562757908563, c_new = 3.6922979016263513
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12347.571960936793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5667:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0128996584490384, b_new = -0.8478968311991948, c_new = 5.079606552877199
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3057.702534212799
Acceptance probability: 1.0992392866244645e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5668:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4447672890091496, b_new = -1.3121045356171375, c_new = 5.211148878996862
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8730.340605824262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5669:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.070336355135832, b_new = -0.9199913303094396, c_new = 5.197835802735618
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3293.45679100335
Acceptance probability: 4.511484112045646e-123
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5670:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.529659261097401, b_new = -0.24437444486269566, c_new = 4.540677315774085
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8047.827818421786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5671:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.686402922352727, b_new = -0.8219151911744333, c_new = 5.718154376551064
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6062.24922504098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5672:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.340042320338771, b_new = -0.9453563581990523, c_new = 5.371374872867713
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7712.148408837909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5673:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9587864506881374, b_new = -1.3383787927919526, c_new = 5.331471218969297
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3255.121081497984
Acceptance probability: 2.0105113551383436e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5674:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5902271895530102, b_new = -1.6984142146929497, c_new = 4.882423912353769
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10296.280993545008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5675:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1436683357757076, b_new = -0.7961388239343452, c_new = 6.128019348852902
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4448.70619960692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5676:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3557311904593554, b_new = -1.4708856480055021, c_new = 4.830690445598912
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6407.090542999147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5677:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4453562577442463, b_new = -0.1365518308711332, c_new = 5.079087168191199
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11174.421519315138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5678:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7592592978443125, b_new = -0.3819896834494756, c_new = 5.022848625242937
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13304.002852368412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5679:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9737480070100943, b_new = -1.7607843100688552, c_new = 4.877699526746806
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3644.5506554050294
Acceptance probability: 1.5003462340988212e-275
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5680:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.764627403699126, b_new = -1.2578105967630264, c_new = 4.723567939109222
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5940.082916710862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5681:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.483333428756908, b_new = -0.8068730118835954, c_new = 4.6872552235537395
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10221.420840108876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5682:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9255084761828476, b_new = -0.6067401772589085, c_new = 5.049176940183305
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3043.7042542655836
Acceptance probability: 1.3196780062801124e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5683:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7658436814533816, b_new = 0.19577608437493788, c_new = 5.404705032794538
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14112.619937650561
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5684:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.1717650023498924, b_new = -1.4623050242414735, c_new = 4.9845747170408785
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14172.118071322617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5685:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9636348447724714, b_new = -1.482657410546517, c_new = 4.861501702919433
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3413.4352623633304
Acceptance probability: 3.5345275687508985e-175
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5686:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2168519677752703, b_new = -2.084261231537537, c_new = 5.193967744036769
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3337.309340076874
Acceptance probability: 4.0681724297652055e-142
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5687:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0003112951619206, b_new = -1.2182707427640853, c_new = 5.508192421249728
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3024.701168751505
Acceptance probability: 2.3626704887475764e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5688:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.021560876960674, b_new = -0.9122648402418787, c_new = 5.4885137037992076
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3081.9738199614803
Acceptance probability: 3.163783612902416e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5689:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.223691704437693, b_new = -0.6308355451927139, c_new = 5.081491117148724
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5947.101870745622
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5690:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.07311129158038, b_new = -1.9440469489297962, c_new = 4.475910024906311
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14606.10831222175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5691:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2614318588757603, b_new = -0.6203134675343297, c_new = 4.136410039877568
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12078.366982624202
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5692:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.268274456890538, b_new = -0.5827234309139376, c_new = 5.412087290116003
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11609.942178416477
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5693:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.840973503342487, b_new = -1.2999238011229746, c_new = 4.534722502221389
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4688.772905239095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5694:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.395938615424747, b_new = -0.5542427999586945, c_new = 4.846266283730541
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9580.905458483565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5695:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7888524504502463, b_new = -0.37636632941638837, c_new = 5.247928947883843
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3702.1450507645523
Acceptance probability: 1.4563420833486196e-300
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5696:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9199399662805714, b_new = -0.6865134124551857, c_new = 4.920644212142054
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3086.7778433927483
Acceptance probability: 2.593259067567197e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5697:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.457112904118198, b_new = -1.7886534653751727, c_new = 5.10885263648098
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11914.637581467745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5698:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.165251824718089, b_new = -0.4665248392309217, c_new = 5.11909497050087
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5217.02225082786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5699:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.869635190609631, b_new = -1.7991560418007244, c_new = 5.460766449366665
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5003.135778127913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5700:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.986141671321993, b_new = -1.1164451280661087, c_new = 5.25428041601103
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3034.275971890764
Acceptance probability: 1.641039323656379e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5701:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9708634696787675, b_new = -0.6459990809179339, c_new = 4.856980918803458
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3022.7825920377054
Acceptance probability: 1.609275637465764e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5702:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1018932537371335, b_new = -1.1714210218911596, c_new = 4.529319307214384
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3228.460645874642
Acceptance probability: 7.617046496394497e-95
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5703:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.645845352362276, b_new = -0.6576757779153986, c_new = 4.567789892593614
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6858.6243852039825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5704:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9925443784006713, b_new = -0.5865269959632452, c_new = 4.403329727428067
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14110.913473373414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5705:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.261157783260562, b_new = -0.963183123523548, c_new = 4.683634578730513
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5712.778412078687
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5706:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.744804915190252, b_new = -1.5616100744672783, c_new = 4.81410763828233
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7158.898390503362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5707:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2017591918986477, b_new = -1.2737029467923189, c_new = 5.303837305310495
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13035.635358917862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5708:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8837794300583135, b_new = -1.8356312991406347, c_new = 5.127021303845511
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4942.824588849568
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5709:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4273044189274, b_new = -0.5933191314451441, c_new = 5.578258400805552
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10224.69037026976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5710:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6847002686554005, b_new = -1.6798160405377889, c_new = 4.3299199711566745
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8939.071265254555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5711:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.663529639958494, b_new = -1.4401043162876728, c_new = 4.994170641141864
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8429.468795796693
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5712:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8142940743750597, b_new = -0.6555783243611195, c_new = 5.043646711743841
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3824.0914204219202
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5713:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.634698811412536, b_new = -0.9009122825776984, c_new = 5.136114824128914
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7513.6395276562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5714:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.724496301437199, b_new = -1.052148575300712, c_new = 5.28702505211632
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6025.015102134894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5715:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.465156021374957, b_new = -0.9730258796232254, c_new = 5.169054562265549
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9801.953734702007
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5716:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5627311685870047, b_new = -1.8411786466263973, c_new = 5.155088541514235
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10852.015333623282
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5717:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7102363620230854, b_new = -1.4775747907815673, c_new = 5.0278445618704
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7572.857367969855
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5718:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.884874333372195, b_new = -0.7199036759353421, c_new = 5.194117366273666
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3254.0181371829995
Acceptance probability: 6.057719506775102e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5719:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7912363924036243, b_new = -1.2363966820989294, c_new = 5.162140971627863
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12467.810052944082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5720:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.258933666667439, b_new = -0.8343313536084342, c_new = 5.391537869645433
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12050.483798078141
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5721:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.865984420294739, b_new = -1.8950466688463057, c_new = 4.850494195064895
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5503.727782945123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5722:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.274568763433787, b_new = -1.6778177768917066, c_new = 5.690616688881108
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4641.158303335417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5723:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981567595599041, b_new = -2.237804827338188, c_new = 4.291243630489985
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4472.542073496538
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5724:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.325335168231733, b_new = -0.9363606183260854, c_new = 4.127459160205504
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6945.39002929406
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5725:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.845276823936134, b_new = -2.0600601505994587, c_new = 4.570606045004545
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6489.988014888351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5726:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.087684708119955, b_new = -1.3387963976870587, c_new = 5.20748787013963
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3108.734107749768
Acceptance probability: 7.557209322801139e-43
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5727:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.561721049732632, b_new = -1.3764108016039733, c_new = 4.108673254946506
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9927.73136260956
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5728:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3020836627155195, b_new = -1.1620542929537132, c_new = 4.583768191583694
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6010.1286744520185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5729:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.253353134915586, b_new = -1.424523314377601, c_new = 5.527372775773071
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12838.063470897756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5730:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7146762300429854, b_new = -0.9576199192251611, c_new = 4.06529649969761
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6420.9238445709725
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5731:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.279405324348974, b_new = -0.9379925019634135, c_new = 5.189239523919704
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12094.700497289032
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5732:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4854126562422425, b_new = -1.3347265707747278, c_new = 4.77226843617974
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10920.736442718842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5733:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5496289821522917, b_new = -1.2685869987105591, c_new = 4.266170395273865
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10027.08534120998
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5734:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.255726976291445, b_new = -0.997821112314066, c_new = 5.625744648188565
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5840.244900089431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5735:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9912303326308187, b_new = -0.8992906201572959, c_new = 5.003179749852818
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3012.6904836950425
Acceptance probability: 0.3886667605566255
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5736:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8898083633110216, b_new = -1.287490660286627, c_new = 4.879377090068216
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12957.102101060407
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5737:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8809833353733225, b_new = -1.3311675868599395, c_new = 5.295061026086547
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3979.5171484363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5738:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8839176847835253, b_new = -0.8189984609294002, c_new = 6.035604783037863
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3261.3024095064925
Acceptance probability: 4.1570943876689355e-109
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5739:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.885279059044247, b_new = -1.3375689581259524, c_new = 5.0127083938197154
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3997.0727151636333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5740:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8712265842258966, b_new = -1.3028714392526617, c_new = 4.889109823165089
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4150.896947047935
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5741:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2873754494692373, b_new = -1.2104188512259813, c_new = 5.47153391012737
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5885.211265166857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5742:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.002014785509374, b_new = -0.775589773531985, c_new = 6.029184930194223
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3120.83666311956
Acceptance probability: 4.1907180016381894e-48
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5743:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9935378889310056, b_new = -1.8396207121232253, c_new = 4.900541979725566
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3551.529194343174
Acceptance probability: 3.757497759230142e-235
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5744:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.963639565224928, b_new = -0.8301193678262381, c_new = 4.639793722499782
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3029.9203436059356
Acceptance probability: 1.2786283143201951e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5745:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.873610929244323, b_new = -1.8776533973410063, c_new = 4.281218419656239
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5518.632726990891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5746:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8561660655858283, b_new = -0.9473049978896235, c_new = 5.027202559310448
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3760.3226596668947
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5747:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0327882814079152, b_new = -1.2898088676736477, c_new = 6.161268005979084
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13748.119893638617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5748:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.07571195431832, b_new = -0.8108763463025102, c_new = 5.185488565413206
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3435.9338418796824
Acceptance probability: 5.988560464289458e-185
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5749:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8374084809272047, b_new = -0.9910819366551634, c_new = 5.429803670915514
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3965.99941351632
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5750:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.160822341556223, b_new = -0.5598509248994862, c_new = 5.282715453708406
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4974.293784799333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5751:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8496933549125587, b_new = -1.6945403818477873, c_new = 4.696367555986231
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5373.937284539154
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5752:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7186129027021826, b_new = -0.45324342394748884, c_new = 5.378039837064206
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4736.686017453456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5753:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.451588348611045, b_new = -1.0466986247679473, c_new = 4.841268023009387
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9328.560659990791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5754:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0198691524803527, b_new = -1.0463804617616193, c_new = 4.7578902095987505
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3016.2155722598663
Acceptance probability: 0.011445924811483632
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5755:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.852366800834717, b_new = -0.9903351138259232, c_new = 4.937769383794165
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3881.378582654677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5756:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6842605518831686, b_new = -2.242786770670257, c_new = 5.748135429078777
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10254.745606825125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5757:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.906999438064983, b_new = -0.3563074359184911, c_new = 4.453623958883617
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3040.3665663647334
Acceptance probability: 3.7154157387874007e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5758:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.558423468184091, b_new = -0.6602588856450914, c_new = 4.461947143733098
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8573.137147668991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5759:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.272190500706869, b_new = -1.1921046211280488, c_new = 5.2236319282819395
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12488.604475996908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5760:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.249931014356403, b_new = -1.0598464696178416, c_new = 5.298401557475322
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5453.304183197481
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5761:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.21650935185925, b_new = -1.4350176901202953, c_new = 5.428606799277681
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4162.43145256949
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5762:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2902084981072193, b_new = -1.361593391392185, c_new = 5.212215934684219
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5474.1279442497735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5763:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6093542912240832, b_new = -0.5140845066885972, c_new = 5.477245145223235
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12217.441468700596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5764:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.603759472452623, b_new = -1.0705820650348, c_new = 4.832957578084272
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8647.79491849632
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5765:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.259043257400251, b_new = -1.3380071425694473, c_new = 4.63111545768112
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4796.4701976463675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5766:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.072541644320559, b_new = -1.710403981602377, c_new = 5.679217673266095
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3018.832297208163
Acceptance probability: 0.0008360296556102375
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5767:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5180032248594584, b_new = -1.9263950199278348, c_new = 5.07052945424737
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11559.728297865076
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5768:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4140456017952245, b_new = -0.7192890546231707, c_new = 4.697782098909755
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10613.740163795494
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5769:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.757570766588636, b_new = -0.6778062012903465, c_new = 3.854320279120712
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4966.978161078161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5770:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.287321038063966, b_new = -1.4599251624546228, c_new = 4.798639505168587
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5070.086901922644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5771:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8399049768547995, b_new = -0.6838735435143088, c_new = 5.001410670515903
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3598.106024679886
Acceptance probability: 2.2224824002292636e-255
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5772:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.651963575773536, b_new = -1.395251564429783, c_new = 4.1667759977909995
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8864.927629737125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5773:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.197141915281908, b_new = -1.517389375548735, c_new = 4.3863398236802915
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3634.471541901602
Acceptance probability: 3.5768017516266553e-271
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5774:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.88961919419267, b_new = -2.1091791677320164, c_new = 4.723966141061917
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11924.69615498132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5775:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.539693273101183, b_new = -0.831439833801195, c_new = 4.429972933972607
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9289.8205753468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5776:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4743933743370143, b_new = -1.5944227092377061, c_new = 4.919743659553862
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11471.66969688284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5777:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.870532540536212, b_new = -0.6985726546846436, c_new = 4.675758293442865
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3391.6207367201882
Acceptance probability: 1.0525905958650039e-165
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5778:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.178448646841586, b_new = -1.2392855954679944, c_new = 5.541392360102795
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4006.8475438209043
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5779:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.966393069516838, b_new = -0.87812085902974, c_new = 5.549265827133025
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3020.59972810854
Acceptance probability: 0.0001427697489384693
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5780:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.867868753540989, b_new = -0.9552953409976359, c_new = 4.837628767549848
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3679.807539049912
Acceptance probability: 7.316804926444288e-291
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5781:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.836048997953993, b_new = -0.7373220283223805, c_new = 5.364882203481962
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3645.07296876989
Acceptance probability: 8.899255595978652e-276
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5782:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1252373403602833, b_new = -0.5396041348280152, c_new = 5.264645561294297
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4431.027398282558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5783:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230921290106968, b_new = -1.4376104699207455, c_new = 4.8963100773253645
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4240.646054437213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5784:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3272485928052586, b_new = -1.0650634834205834, c_new = 5.108842779737699
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6998.787390373334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5785:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.566154564166568, b_new = -1.0778364795714201, c_new = 5.455065502422125
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9072.888037558445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5786:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.21706538847055, b_new = -1.8499852755053927, c_new = 4.126020840277555
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3442.3390822712345
Acceptance probability: 9.898328925789158e-188
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5787:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8415363348190916, b_new = -1.5436265551049555, c_new = 5.2240708072046065
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4997.3116959486215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5788:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2818489472046015, b_new = -0.5025737179155604, c_new = 4.33907595326092
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7296.068166058423
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5789:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3486961621724483, b_new = -1.2359993777406943, c_new = 5.1134499399116455
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11996.378366494126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5790:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.678787194541131, b_new = -1.0752653532303753, c_new = 5.892242863587114
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6807.622708054541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5791:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.721378425166815, b_new = -0.2320317690970477, c_new = 4.839291795201366
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13207.349998330112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5792:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2961853066140714, b_new = 0.2984459201632774, c_new = 5.73030712065089
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10366.84364557631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5793:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7129117426389797, b_new = -1.082675028692141, c_new = 4.944943673165106
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6464.429409885719
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5794:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.387758087227607, b_new = -1.613159092320044, c_new = 5.309044877706381
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6866.271161558951
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5795:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.172686347270863, b_new = -1.0922307672846239, c_new = 4.928189399172046
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4037.8387377821764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5796:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3616115085609937, b_new = -1.6294233898141992, c_new = 4.976686663758989
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6167.4991389539155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5797:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9315687521797105, b_new = -1.432383328711396, c_new = 5.053681838128629
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3607.9158601687377
Acceptance probability: 1.2203401759106282e-259
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5798:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6176464276086593, b_new = -0.6726461565014161, c_new = 5.023147742943224
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7298.708747198256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5799:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.164414731569982, b_new = -1.7523109266352193, c_new = 5.699278363442252
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3289.4898376956444
Acceptance probability: 2.3831169948046585e-121
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5800:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.155320949954684, b_new = -1.6935163907682154, c_new = 5.459890936440823
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13993.575971826172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5801:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4109263132795573, b_new = -1.9272019066782502, c_new = 4.657997104777392
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12664.52806203609
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5802:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9993927424964277, b_new = -0.5637795522536442, c_new = 4.697653491163192
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3113.11115864134
Acceptance probability: 9.493632201352972e-45
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5803:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5591980788021065, b_new = -0.7189322751112104, c_new = 5.061732489091452
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11327.233736157988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5804:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.224349527721082, b_new = -1.1999179760632293, c_new = 4.707989530927515
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4531.478132011541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5805:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.430198323806558, b_new = -0.9309859465215125, c_new = 5.3197711452487155
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9425.680475006808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5806:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9829415705864966, b_new = -0.7884836996560078, c_new = 4.857190687629321
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3015.0569113815754
Acceptance probability: 0.036462875495854315
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5807:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2656725657070504, b_new = -1.0733127892558099, c_new = 5.098178292578995
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5664.546735006746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5808:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.790974957389392, b_new = 0.0916575062712146, c_new = 5.399544673141691
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3254.6430271794184
Acceptance probability: 3.2428202989898775e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5809:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1507723422557814, b_new = -1.7864341343617274, c_new = 4.862580348341413
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3139.5469372349357
Acceptance probability: 3.1370369521776563e-56
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5810:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.105279581482796, b_new = -0.9732423713133728, c_new = 5.067037891062502
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14370.807162483261
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5811:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.260117450233082, b_new = -1.1868898206258556, c_new = 6.005236144398296
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5576.809444695767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5812:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0113086012107466, b_new = -1.4195257930096319, c_new = 5.372411634877499
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14150.300740905028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5813:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.292823541266218, b_new = -0.3409839527956984, c_new = 5.347812556648821
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11038.436234549143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5814:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4365331484588895, b_new = -0.4139160333795965, c_new = 4.202991094757569
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9921.323035659447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5815:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.030752188324678, b_new = -0.9721239570774747, c_new = 5.635609481854332
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3096.3945437032676
Acceptance probability: 1.7272930522383044e-37
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5816:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4385986760217726, b_new = -1.3809660164621165, c_new = 4.1172034718482315
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11726.507859758305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5817:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.078823757593013, b_new = -1.0481439919306235, c_new = 5.054041860932737
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3229.32338088939
Acceptance probability: 3.2144416776589756e-95
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5818:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.754327553212446, b_new = -1.3576258778829566, c_new = 4.366989568299011
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6559.13885228176
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5819:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.246550087495497, b_new = -1.3389692388673224, c_new = 5.264516874618067
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4755.27865440982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5820:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.736196027079848, b_new = -1.465668653390599, c_new = 4.826039657233405
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7068.248144423969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5821:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.740610131098823, b_new = -0.48991237752388195, c_new = 5.137202247186131
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4519.47302841619
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5822:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8468337369393533, b_new = -0.7715433423863005, c_new = 5.336506080654314
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3584.462440986599
Acceptance probability: 1.8714207556825836e-249
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5823:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.860527324082665, b_new = -0.42450261315134763, c_new = 5.748106586659274
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3167.7195639458932
Acceptance probability: 1.8251699638484725e-68
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5824:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1617995912075827, b_new = -1.0509396979599959, c_new = 5.016832378859568
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3983.644566979708
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5825:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0065600971561306, b_new = -0.7708225878323105, c_new = 5.338566491773754
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3084.951533252978
Acceptance probability: 1.6106542432221324e-32
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5826:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.652658172290438, b_new = -2.204124662798155, c_new = 4.296352145969472
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9579.715374283398
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5827:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.654067588400709, b_new = -0.910744548270813, c_new = 3.9256906357975367
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11557.058800505678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5828:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3704294640729873, b_new = -1.127233913278589, c_new = 4.841824860273069
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7642.027886978982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5829:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.895368535357791, b_new = -0.7519807335916193, c_new = 4.5860424605929815
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3272.060496757548
Acceptance probability: 8.843251092161778e-114
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5830:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7000200993780563, b_new = -1.0711929738586596, c_new = 5.002510710886438
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11990.425697332936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5831:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1312653402666744, b_new = -1.2437567384031036, c_new = 5.133641741245121
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3438.023700439063
Acceptance probability: 7.408126650901391e-186
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5832:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9542533990165323, b_new = -0.6961868554524776, c_new = 4.582593642329887
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3022.0906318380094
Acceptance probability: 3.214733182608235e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5833:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8662623128336753, b_new = -0.8204974481594841, c_new = 5.374926211860715
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3458.2378377074374
Acceptance probability: 1.232594218791093e-194
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5834:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3457974449492176, b_new = -0.8529474868613182, c_new = 4.2020142294387055
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7635.41204345281
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5835:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8986731788843323, b_new = -0.25489614355155665, c_new = 4.850892906401294
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3038.0158476216125
Acceptance probability: 3.898626182532814e-12
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5836:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0426020474346887, b_new = -0.8060139115557353, c_new = 4.817079376545278
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3176.110784722544
Acceptance probability: 4.1404012726430007e-72
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5837:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.403814683495528, b_new = -0.30035228203410735, c_new = 4.695973652526597
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9952.554896036028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5838:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4180843689634877, b_new = -0.6999531494067464, c_new = 4.727206878203222
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10521.998954174991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5839:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.019597624150207, b_new = -1.0507046012893133, c_new = 4.701511527475968
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13910.432578273754
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5840:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.828873228296504, b_new = -1.5137337507747368, c_new = 4.430331202525709
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5419.700407085225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5841:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.751728712250285, b_new = -0.9321854534657538, c_new = 5.090485988053107
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5266.782326154285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5842:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0549023421035284, b_new = -1.2909370641593656, c_new = 4.949205381045265
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3027.009333669688
Acceptance probability: 2.349523912349273e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5843:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3554729736346323, b_new = -1.924981160797711, c_new = 6.043425256033816
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5649.202188632447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5844:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.650284764097831, b_new = -1.1966276823374984, c_new = 4.974215876881567
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8047.829755702018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5845:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4487383536486536, b_new = -1.3183486420469797, c_new = 5.515654868586553
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11057.100378486557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5846:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0055155178305055, b_new = -0.6443782956936821, c_new = 4.602057925347192
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3089.9526739256626
Acceptance probability: 1.0840130828636612e-34
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5847:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.900354679990938, b_new = -0.9155641968007616, c_new = 4.885424053131224
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3342.7804573362273
Acceptance probability: 1.7112888341223387e-144
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5848:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9788828053617975, b_new = -1.367629859276193, c_new = 5.00079018274551
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14319.451061540418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5849:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.615601141683428, b_new = -0.935716501567693, c_new = 4.78698374869505
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11423.796767962602
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5850:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.560191591952949, b_new = -1.6585459659433535, c_new = 4.617001193458653
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9527.15855657315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5851:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9634661572507333, b_new = -1.3896076543024685, c_new = 5.264239641544846
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3274.493517486807
Acceptance probability: 7.7618363045122965e-115
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5852:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.421751551792134, b_new = -1.2195429613576447, c_new = 4.884801077893333
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11366.690290141274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5853:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3563060766436963, b_new = -1.0018990510790442, c_new = 5.04351580033556
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7768.679255341492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5854:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.340917002227226, b_new = -0.631463775180369, c_new = 4.775913061405203
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11211.126925033894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5855:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8336599718718665, b_new = -1.1221133361400133, c_new = 4.5443249537794275
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12728.237892445595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5856:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7670014123561764, b_new = -1.1190706080604138, c_new = 4.637073656409437
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12317.499625733511
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5857:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0533126393140155, b_new = -1.2767419821588244, c_new = 4.467419527978893
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3024.91761927542
Acceptance probability: 1.9028295561184504e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5858:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9634321725662254, b_new = -1.0336270864605157, c_new = 4.578710901825792
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3104.383662098513
Acceptance probability: 5.857819586391732e-41
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5859:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.784813614090416, b_new = -1.0985015551253963, c_new = 5.797233268803569
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4844.392281843892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5860:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3979230618481937, b_new = -1.2766516895036162, c_new = 4.905759395609709
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7826.6827903326775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5861:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4756921320846197, b_new = -0.748839192706326, c_new = 5.319972795564799
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9716.06998463618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5862:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2362714341300873, b_new = -0.7449293591487943, c_new = 5.587961992380272
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6095.422766195335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5863:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6441165168752665, b_new = -1.2217139437142648, c_new = 4.424869259731233
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8450.047239614058
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5864:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0114795542052604, b_new = -0.48745753499294864, c_new = 4.422424757221709
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3191.5265505088273
Acceptance probability: 8.357192735995051e-79
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5865:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.568419778317261, b_new = 0.39037523862972834, c_new = 5.724769182821973
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13283.385570201543
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5866:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.109973061982599, b_new = -1.1087252320282017, c_new = 5.133327410005789
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13417.32079111821
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5867:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3491985586140713, b_new = -1.7059892687557157, c_new = 4.319641113184117
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5524.397514355262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5868:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2291394955883472, b_new = -1.5974996858076356, c_new = 5.9344582219491535
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4172.840761945079
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5869:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.249333326269135, b_new = -1.8135056026401495, c_new = 4.85037956945818
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3885.9845738554204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5870:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3778757509589292, b_new = -1.18098573052156, c_new = 4.5549137018383155
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7543.568485853054
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5871:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.97816734681089, b_new = -0.8936240495217687, c_new = 4.476109056353609
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3024.51270883657
Acceptance probability: 2.8526616115746907e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5872:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.456082920281651, b_new = -0.4704416024961293, c_new = 4.588024915143441
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10506.257870580615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5873:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6653141361132957, b_new = -1.222179112538777, c_new = 4.645032659372096
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11385.256741005664
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5874:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.517370788860312, b_new = -1.1029751431041304, c_new = 5.8072523314056195
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9718.243031835427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5875:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5152155242690073, b_new = -1.110528303239747, c_new = 4.925824046560361
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10057.268519981384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5876:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.429942233856064, b_new = -1.6002893968539522, c_new = 4.863103460425866
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11934.285421902918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5877:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2846976546410707, b_new = -0.8067797807448497, c_new = 6.165187258442881
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11598.129995364407
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5878:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4421639266747803, b_new = -2.035130289774069, c_new = 5.377301375693761
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6904.712392300573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5879:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.638733582328519, b_new = -0.7265640950127763, c_new = 4.86664548832565
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7074.695101535566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5880:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.71755867062688, b_new = -0.5792655057029664, c_new = 5.657107941532624
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4938.192102135581
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5881:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9736654100802546, b_new = -0.49683955626724396, c_new = 5.105131386126746
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3084.4110256737213
Acceptance probability: 2.765296985204413e-32
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5882:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9342694478558746, b_new = -1.2746588502694742, c_new = 5.25344516864683
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3378.909008609971
Acceptance probability: 3.490541929953419e-160
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5883:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8048040481050944, b_new = -2.440406601055752, c_new = 4.506071894743413
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8573.593942181755
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5884:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1845442612797097, b_new = -1.4125917082012789, c_new = 5.6394645267096974
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3839.406382103987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.830261325170655, b_new = -1.1035261439656912, c_new = 5.017555818526712
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4342.173133049138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7914290390925975, b_new = -1.51748115446118, c_new = 5.598048872254127
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12218.414623374216
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.670903979829354, b_new = -0.9989461209434879, c_new = 4.573507481259291
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11744.078052492032
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6723010690526547, b_new = -1.0530025872956132, c_new = 5.40449832515191
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7057.564206053536
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.3675312684005965, b_new = -1.7860795053881398, c_new = 4.876907056585321
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14598.318114669553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.021218453067164, b_new = -0.9998986771592003, c_new = 5.841497022032149
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3067.6080169816437
Acceptance probability: 5.485241264963481e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0536483024970162, b_new = -1.709526079993774, c_new = 4.883288433660648
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3087.105012884103
Acceptance probability: 1.8696400403994927e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5596519632160235, b_new = -1.3174682991181559, c_new = 5.4889187495278655
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10426.11863772674
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.486674218445607, b_new = -1.581367907586827, c_new = 5.864253068650872
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11005.884133836298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8916271759357666, b_new = -1.7668419221076872, c_new = 3.995249570673849
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5019.2831462655595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.816527599249226, b_new = -1.4182827941935887, c_new = 6.073186094329378
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4906.123177287855
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.576203440172354, b_new = -1.1191464587632602, c_new = 4.748421234954197
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9262.543470599165
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.942276554690331, b_new = -0.6805061940645563, c_new = 5.450311042258088
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3027.4339569331723
Acceptance probability: 1.5366265376286736e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2597650912241094, b_new = -0.366081975917917, c_new = 4.405387743741826
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7227.104981875183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3733194121226044, b_new = -0.7978279885141373, c_new = 5.093385445199338
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11071.175307280457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3840515013838965, b_new = -0.7482009079488834, c_new = 3.5655521504705194
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8440.385361944662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9426334725907417, b_new = -0.9480834830192472, c_new = 4.820412715246421
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14117.961242098962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.431822931036612, b_new = -0.7342597965511664, c_new = 4.420170501258202
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9575.465661508177
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8124207578907248, b_new = -0.8171987709756539, c_new = 5.34140856321139
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13177.33911023139
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.606875085808619, b_new = -2.0300649401998987, c_new = 5.609491316894661
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10511.530473132578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.101731190037777, b_new = -1.3748235092709595, c_new = 5.721234158497458
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3191.301482914945
Acceptance probability: 1.0466609761756997e-78
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.867266249932963, b_new = -0.43125013200627516, c_new = 4.628717560701112
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3204.888841421076
Acceptance probability: 1.3148954099355803e-84
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2400652639893663, b_new = -0.6106282637075926, c_new = 4.518262188452031
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6143.940727651059
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.289858460831751, b_new = -0.21256579712047863, c_new = 5.393152553911299
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8747.478917594444
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8470236057165765, b_new = -0.5372719484965611, c_new = 4.576192084600649
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13505.961742885618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8385997980534277, b_new = -0.19014114172541374, c_new = 5.182196208427227
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3177.231100856731
Acceptance probability: 1.350502269465865e-72
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0932671135668084, b_new = -1.437514300858361, c_new = 5.26001630637791
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3088.7186558713734
Acceptance probability: 3.7235891421324767e-34
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1158461448484935, b_new = -1.413833176923674, c_new = 4.655601783391647
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3159.8760978736373
Acceptance probability: 4.652403216507703e-65
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2460273942897095, b_new = -1.3797842407367187, c_new = 5.389092778222116
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12865.673347403868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9775760924536274, b_new = -1.5974991621806551, c_new = 4.672902398002881
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13056.920275302364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.988170100322984, b_new = -1.3151071794865894, c_new = 5.349404098688559
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3093.9358361156583
Acceptance probability: 2.01915270005633e-36
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0464580295904273, b_new = -1.72399314682661, c_new = 5.439902207759705
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3075.3609896537682
Acceptance probability: 2.3557135752802243e-28
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.487066693992759, b_new = -0.061564496587626305, c_new = 6.105573452779858
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12074.815080179285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.508014719779116, b_new = -0.9135842333705426, c_new = 4.805187511043335
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10356.67515214685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8460860129621586, b_new = -1.7646909313452859, c_new = 4.721704871038953
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5609.872878653353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0553635393598646, b_new = -0.993708204022184, c_new = 5.345414741089678
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13524.007266050758
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7148842537393314, b_new = -0.5820697930826795, c_new = 5.776092304143808
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4958.631919946727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1753477453678514, b_new = -0.8906917224073326, c_new = 4.794124532852718
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4392.638015741388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2217896677920965, b_new = -1.029016865141547, c_new = 5.40455683069807
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5036.3272231280625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.842367931626628, b_new = -1.6587948386028302, c_new = 5.615102681360571
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5121.525734629574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4899624927211876, b_new = -1.1788965075968845, c_new = 4.854640762570737
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10537.972874876476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.32702707999164, b_new = -1.086376649042446, c_new = 5.225027862717453
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11919.510046218722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7434790830192437, b_new = -1.048184543575468, c_new = 4.478245830945889
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5914.558279084144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6264856781288195, b_new = -0.6447816595172953, c_new = 5.1875061646605625
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6993.39029729764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.932769527046136, b_new = -1.4877112373524324, c_new = 5.048636103940729
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3667.5761281601062
Acceptance probability: 1.5009137346317012e-285
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.619908970817926, b_new = -1.6468996135239808, c_new = 6.300106114790424
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9227.93260398955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6369300106363913, b_new = 0.20315923500748645, c_new = 5.979821082206664
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13563.49902671192
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4712829966192245, b_new = -1.165494279339913, c_new = 5.586437259202472
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9621.560902276984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.644680484909943, b_new = -1.807932645743622, c_new = 4.833096687679502
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9762.085367478921
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.263310873578159, b_new = -1.6895623984070602, c_new = 4.962474531875411
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14324.079284684636
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.322602062993587, b_new = -1.5247196838623331, c_new = 4.449389609194615
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5476.417064936357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7822934986974315, b_new = -1.824704180849893, c_new = 5.073139928245625
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6988.19039520684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3281357769348228, b_new = -1.9455008275629595, c_new = 5.30858986815697
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4884.718717984227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3638188017539217, b_new = -0.7645844300421557, c_new = 5.379757845342648
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8699.498922179693
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7814090161476135, b_new = -1.5205070472501343, c_new = 4.5298733667767594
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6367.792645140482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.69613447234869, b_new = -0.813800584584567, c_new = 4.775548617369507
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12256.17823207486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.70833647536267, b_new = -1.3822285461313013, c_new = 4.929439601122714
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11591.534393432132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.072350771442711, b_new = -1.0045115215698932, c_new = 4.7769449936597175
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3197.8616295506095
Acceptance probability: 1.481735028613652e-81
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.39975775505783, b_new = -0.43948505228722234, c_new = 4.801142078877605
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9884.04975478032
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6282579119484444, b_new = -1.2849407660323786, c_new = 4.033541021584426
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10777.765703691273
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.236807226010352, b_new = -0.7202326906054365, c_new = 4.677751627294385
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5838.577909341924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4223449618765254, b_new = -0.9199606213535335, c_new = 4.904080827229212
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9174.731299372497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0434638843322377, b_new = -2.263759774710434, c_new = 5.100871591311719
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3577.784144104849
Acceptance probability: 1.487712205702049e-246
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2095235792244474, b_new = -0.2239805139158536, c_new = 4.350640748896101
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6492.1101364735805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0184281560746404, b_new = -1.900819938469296, c_new = 5.667113173396818
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3301.395955973055
Acceptance probability: 1.608362338187845e-126
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6169604676131932, b_new = -0.9001662148710731, c_new = 5.801055771639496
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7618.406134195795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4541940133795723, b_new = -1.2411596041335944, c_new = 4.451688003976443
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8793.758496265944
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4453895975437385, b_new = -0.4728768501661328, c_new = 4.417697259841512
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9854.101304927879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.629133768680819, b_new = -1.485746138057899, c_new = 4.860071605015914
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10690.01106435896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.371281724150743, b_new = -1.1364785900758065, c_new = 4.724224115784522
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11761.77605849804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1411052674472413, b_new = -1.3525529887655616, c_new = 4.991494170417733
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3392.3153082727176
Acceptance probability: 5.255461912923744e-166
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0925653503554114, b_new = -1.5232093797109365, c_new = 5.152804762430335
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3054.081142275817
Acceptance probability: 4.110009035572762e-19
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.424809471715151, b_new = -0.7293613626854207, c_new = 5.174331405709366
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9746.558717469377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.665932829987658, b_new = 0.20968796004979917, c_new = 5.020410738465878
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13472.675787568081
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.962016799503084, b_new = -0.7244756555502301, c_new = 4.990683283114312
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3015.84015940726
Acceptance probability: 0.016660599285227277
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2761393599183792, b_new = -1.4654521234731788, c_new = 5.050536407164348
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12871.005851276299
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4215548264710036, b_new = -0.8642746948014, c_new = 5.235576477880261
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9411.806751325172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.658063193837393, b_new = -1.0796002925038621, c_new = 4.7212004489229
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15243.483603603472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3836231108237187, b_new = -0.3381611749706559, c_new = 5.460593898932865
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10114.95446615257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7179434245382246, b_new = -0.0708960061221191, c_new = 4.888032540388275
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13401.635219927002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8350952183672007, b_new = -1.0862718307426973, c_new = 5.448361344537148
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4144.095094900519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.409187063337828, b_new = -0.6750685543819575, c_new = 5.7785044660368685
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9854.540875333838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.464956136094871, b_new = -0.09900096132690095, c_new = 4.981031396893663
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8635.894021807957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.024976350250928, b_new = -1.9861090372587054, c_new = 4.166074035897352
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3584.703024188778
Acceptance probability: 1.4712534177460608e-249
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.567189267396953, b_new = -0.8598380587986549, c_new = 4.471847986925456
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15715.585094335704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031889235201415, b_new = -2.083145306783239, c_new = 5.041872732358083
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3477.071646500014
Acceptance probability: 8.154566798140475e-203
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5854551037369875, b_new = -0.104395715309471, c_new = 5.5993517448242995
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6321.193241660703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0625151515783253, b_new = -0.8811273027160691, c_new = 5.502181673662457
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3311.5506122581864
Acceptance probability: 6.255653781661641e-131
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8553159950643776, b_new = -1.331881129626217, c_new = 5.996910825628377
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4162.871180322626
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.792330833237661, b_new = -1.5034356070928245, c_new = 5.367578599430068
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5783.836683908948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.267438961540101, b_new = -0.6128396783278255, c_new = 4.574974775215484
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15128.765897967498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2370526274789118, b_new = -0.6561816496805286, c_new = 4.42431382698872
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5922.993400467136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.731490109094344, b_new = -0.41808707550816526, c_new = 4.631685752748804
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4648.153685775102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.451209582209748, b_new = -1.1722601939106938, c_new = 4.713454600667538
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8993.564283480042
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.09825938800633, b_new = -1.335628005442083, c_new = 5.331706399748397
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3165.7812903686827
Acceptance probability: 1.2678995045538123e-67
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8435084760681675, b_new = -1.130354456578703, c_new = 4.037630048935994
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4450.230926180389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9789232563478945, b_new = -0.6592497961478017, c_new = 4.35212095517435
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3018.3306091715503
Acceptance probability: 0.001380708596767362
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.785815148934642, b_new = -1.7940683203574703, c_new = 5.8770495661146365
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11878.783062474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.642715738415788, b_new = -1.5730128143882447, c_new = 5.598409601382176
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15475.900140744314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2420557093352684, b_new = -1.6083192731766114, c_new = 5.071581318389568
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4144.865852340479
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.384510752326856, b_new = -1.0546876317727238, c_new = 5.254256558390493
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8281.609553574373
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4502951328854303, b_new = -1.7597895662429348, c_new = 4.625104868497089
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12086.215551204266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.791579791785593, b_new = -1.1226788567299022, c_new = 5.209553066840001
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4945.423491528094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.477979380113454, b_new = -0.7778608510186504, c_new = 4.573906768380023
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10173.75171238737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374213584083299, b_new = -1.4360925254444272, c_new = 5.810577878890184
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7245.096156985905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7057096272342256, b_new = -1.1943794895270825, c_new = 5.320296408542489
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6775.582085683845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2762372465823586, b_new = -1.174399468981362, c_new = 4.484331076911368
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12642.734455017346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8337365405397987, b_new = -1.0751985956351724, c_new = 5.032542024296766
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4238.245929472487
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.663480794917694, b_new = -2.0767775409066163, c_new = 4.753369648445445
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10135.447755484789
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1930295550137333, b_new = -1.7719521897426642, c_new = 4.917325458734982
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3399.4462132231665
Acceptance probability: 4.204343799034845e-169
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6544183341581684, b_new = -2.1435924307076943, c_new = 5.301712439236353
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9976.415287096257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6879206119322525, b_new = -1.2120189285984342, c_new = 4.846900861966674
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7376.2816617260005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.086993161318446, b_new = -1.5857682673866353, c_new = 4.648612482393061
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3034.110764351773
Acceptance probability: 1.9358322048302903e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.539414713579224, b_new = -1.3300457484521544, c_new = 4.749708501849983
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9933.131092295233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.799548476716006, b_new = -0.9173464477162185, c_new = 4.878425423344702
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4488.032675793227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6000:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1835224528566384, b_new = -0.5594537729347334, c_new = 5.737469258869843
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12141.986632214153
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6001:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6362293225569964, b_new = -1.540225132273632, c_new = 4.073971560421134
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9552.400835279748
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6002:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.696748177962803, b_new = -0.5658114280217796, c_new = 4.5475866394020175
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5611.067412878594
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6003:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.231373413004099, b_new = -0.35817963675470643, c_new = 5.189512874999194
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6934.09066822509
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6004:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.410456279757343, b_new = -1.16810864004016, c_new = 5.737220396982569
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8667.593439936534
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6005:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4519775125130363, b_new = -1.0500254321039375, c_new = 4.755420760149315
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9297.57492002952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6006:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.238353420415947, b_new = -1.4580754627508374, c_new = 5.2374505082711
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4388.5919259958555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6007:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.601818261275623, b_new = -1.0873858684602744, c_new = 4.753378326836968
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11042.616164554158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6008:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.060700401534236, b_new = -1.3718989755243962, c_new = 5.461189353075353
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3031.3452460358194
Acceptance probability: 3.075509372086244e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6009:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9485833538139574, b_new = -0.6700250975790514, c_new = 5.060646812835689
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3020.9731930079092
Acceptance probability: 9.827486385179365e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6010:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0173337735108268, b_new = -1.7476112318221855, c_new = 5.031483075723659
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14509.59186685233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6011:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3262515460790083, b_new = -0.262855010434381, c_new = 5.05347736373391
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10658.777116504873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6012:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3567210318542156, b_new = -0.7923948102403646, c_new = 4.823845289215072
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11308.732636763987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6013:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.572993809894667, b_new = -0.6817696879389432, c_new = 4.777095980752669
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8254.703267036643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6014:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0439282980374323, b_new = -1.2528256088923322, c_new = 4.798894484790965
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3018.4288763280683
Acceptance probability: 0.0012514835490106857
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6015:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.185947647311751, b_new = -0.4908319039434923, c_new = 4.882554585042957
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5471.5343151688285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6016:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.149904382487179, b_new = -0.12316139748223942, c_new = 5.274917911431887
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5839.156121104792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6017:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1474160664867132, b_new = -1.9912927695828615, c_new = 5.94941256367489
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13977.025778092164
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6018:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2867494051052857, b_new = -0.18556974111976066, c_new = 5.278613264040515
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8710.597783628271
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6019:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8409826813255212, b_new = -1.4287576388918724, c_new = 4.750399698880204
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4898.432234079008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6020:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1057241531733197, b_new = -0.8229736758166284, c_new = 4.611363093838743
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13246.90673125313
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6021:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.510147974874616, b_new = -0.9923140139380308, c_new = 4.8522526184340276
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9907.397262465112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6022:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.57188426530332, b_new = -0.4400491703154441, c_new = 5.6905033714875275
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7365.939988680777
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6023:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.643271420766376, b_new = -0.6071558398335551, c_new = 5.166551121120003
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12257.334413379107
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6024:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.136569238522545, b_new = -1.305797033963395, c_new = 5.4243138512228715
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14270.948862231347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6025:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6966010282515853, b_new = -1.6903262004986166, c_new = 5.487966941769061
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11184.261463561768
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6026:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9447740999903247, b_new = -1.9853758709398088, c_new = 5.528295828817443
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4183.759153060377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6027:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.187781824388055, b_new = -0.6960449143324405, c_new = 5.455897143253339
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12360.887801516237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6028:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.538501854587242, b_new = -1.437392967675297, c_new = 4.151657842153256
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9532.667992852768
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6029:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.968554641932721, b_new = -1.7277005508339192, c_new = 5.725348247228475
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3504.4068273348616
Acceptance probability: 1.0961820752006856e-214
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6030:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.776499554401477, b_new = -1.4053321585853635, c_new = 5.082954812584694
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15941.206098360828
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6031:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2733385330365516, b_new = -0.42598890713494, c_new = 5.1198591071362305
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11412.281786361884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6032:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.636939072194332, b_new = -1.7389909164176012, c_new = 5.0252164710085685
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10396.396925202673
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6033:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5791729608247196, b_new = -0.8857910145751255, c_new = 5.231873510768826
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11296.358169325818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6034:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1291684310599956, b_new = -0.9287220896097873, c_new = 5.399291238020247
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3854.1814486643034
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6035:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5168603375380316, b_new = -1.1976440154519696, c_new = 5.845632408793012
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9904.683118067836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6036:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.982376499788605, b_new = -0.6588975090363991, c_new = 4.27971996804567
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3020.5835585520576
Acceptance probability: 0.00014509703736227415
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6037:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.28163580208468, b_new = -1.2531334277113928, c_new = 4.348558934791584
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12750.243963019144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6038:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.01247939053225, b_new = -1.2217237285371034, c_new = 5.353451051276219
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3014.499584976811
Acceptance probability: 0.06366411359950255
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6039:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.032646984853038, b_new = -1.864313938224078, c_new = 4.845453662765816
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13104.350423925065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6040:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8307076876530286, b_new = -1.3469232979378496, c_new = 5.914377732329813
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4570.204759377824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6041:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7429913248077153, b_new = 0.0431923005420054, c_new = 5.165273626573869
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3680.548554462944
Acceptance probability: 3.4874064910825736e-291
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6042:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8294626145501893, b_new = -1.4852621161908757, c_new = 4.923702149166635
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5174.985438584875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6043:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.354092514916398, b_new = -1.1142048609803972, c_new = 4.5914709983458675
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7241.0094180272645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6044:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.205296191429997, b_new = -0.49381643646084683, c_new = 4.390591694584364
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5679.238893476895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6045:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7237879964355627, b_new = -0.6751189836465982, c_new = 4.283807653665791
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5441.000501675428
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6046:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4028382183673487, b_new = -0.75579654371689, c_new = 4.699094135782459
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9165.255534853832
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6047:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8931970524534312, b_new = -0.36169669526743686, c_new = 5.452212371552102
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13630.236666384519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6048:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.106626206285554, b_new = -0.9459345782356468, c_new = 4.374768318005665
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3439.4190752669606
Acceptance probability: 1.8352904746739646e-186
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6049:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.387477835325461, b_new = -1.9065415708513553, c_new = 4.807202882150249
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5942.068100481873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6050:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.242609155443651, b_new = -1.1449501013394379, c_new = 4.461126193715966
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4875.64013232534
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6051:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0067578876585395, b_new = -1.320314116867206, c_new = 5.153138570275602
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3050.597330681968
Acceptance probability: 1.3391922514780757e-17
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6052:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.479234917614547, b_new = -0.7931219540302672, c_new = 5.038526738432132
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9849.49263278368
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6053:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.537922502202291, b_new = -1.4777362016577136, c_new = 5.481253213744676
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10318.154395395673
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6054:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5677107958047816, b_new = 0.1509068458972993, c_new = 5.416466419668177
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12846.308646563082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6055:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3509031926662805, b_new = -1.640564843655643, c_new = 4.224964616748114
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12830.424346274096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6056:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2726959912467986, b_new = -1.1397503426793048, c_new = 5.123919560199946
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5646.848185279832
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6057:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.877242216249108, b_new = -0.38664623520511754, c_new = 4.991996141026973
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3114.3189702274603
Acceptance probability: 2.837177423916237e-45
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6058:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1816904088473197, b_new = -1.0865244333120723, c_new = 4.751303308154477
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4127.480633243691
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6059:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6057881430605816, b_new = -0.5560881250456229, c_new = 5.12256298504775
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7197.947830123692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6060:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5876299188479357, b_new = -1.0415670100586114, c_new = 5.102638335034282
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11081.972407994363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6061:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.406861189745915, b_new = -0.8328592211585271, c_new = 4.439446608226582
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8954.515474544969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6062:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.746798196143133, b_new = -0.17220965598970817, c_new = 4.349979805038053
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4060.4412395664563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6063:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.971266806177304, b_new = -2.2255671319961294, c_new = 5.428425631020374
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4275.454797258919
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6064:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.868990060352246, b_new = -0.8426471759874543, c_new = 4.894787885805719
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14297.352386496197
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6065:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8462499201137117, b_new = -1.7689091147380505, c_new = 5.247897062038534
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15088.142786115968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6066:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9385268838485765, b_new = -0.25403621011696953, c_new = 4.9331749163484355
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3073.192923172558
Acceptance probability: 2.0592154776097912e-27
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6067:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0414863858429784, b_new = -0.9776429352764413, c_new = 4.4208346769450735
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3062.2270352109754
Acceptance probability: 1.1915888334599244e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6068:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.793103232253255, b_new = -0.5194857927876717, c_new = 4.5414701247770815
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13211.723016083966
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6069:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2930746962483726, b_new = -0.47752759656466237, c_new = 5.151261878722282
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7947.060460833483
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6070:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1769016018461644, b_new = -1.0542440271240676, c_new = 4.426736117031243
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4049.2809348810133
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6071:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.264393361187779, b_new = -0.43201715019801645, c_new = 4.795208757846136
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15297.60012870697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6072:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2127249238259012, b_new = -1.4353766643369983, c_new = 4.602233217214954
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3947.910801262657
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6073:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3897190658366467, b_new = -1.0946160915141294, c_new = 5.282473158482392
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8288.847233268027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6074:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3050882473747687, b_new = -2.075708901509039, c_new = 5.996228601791312
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4434.453467815194
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6075:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.116703861407413, b_new = -1.6133490149989562, c_new = 4.5748199027400505
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3078.9857870607666
Acceptance probability: 6.279035996322078e-30
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6076:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.270400865844797, b_new = -2.0589368604566665, c_new = 5.043759564505719
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13653.35910676891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6077:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.666984196943587, b_new = -0.9011609348480374, c_new = 5.560642022728508
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6710.249953786501
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6078:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2776804590706634, b_new = -0.8125699243613975, c_new = 4.602629984099881
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12094.290128086655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6079:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3372713704440713, b_new = -0.9785930928412142, c_new = 4.752678509380353
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7317.415777004959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6080:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.989432395800943, b_new = -1.4745984366611333, c_new = 5.199709238311993
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3193.116284416393
Acceptance probability: 1.7046991882802666e-79
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6081:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.684911967268736, b_new = -1.2191799984551257, c_new = 5.1646497890303085
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7334.964466082332
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6082:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0272462813317578, b_new = -1.0591842404572651, c_new = 5.3422206024319125
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3037.9317089105625
Acceptance probability: 4.240846693783183e-12
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6083:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2334267111001878, b_new = -0.8997944140378457, c_new = 5.365275430599044
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12333.703253780746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6084:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.172799523596356, b_new = -1.2881705353548596, c_new = 4.8231577052578185
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13353.920770273759
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6085:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1403165301734037, b_new = -0.9351503737890892, c_new = 5.935494643170126
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4100.057532104544
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6086:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8782661997935968, b_new = -0.5397755122127601, c_new = 5.419390538386299
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3160.607432758913
Acceptance probability: 2.239044072809712e-65
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6087:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.540362232777712, b_new = -0.5144783651065161, c_new = 5.141961480547684
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11509.81468909069
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6088:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3844405646235045, b_new = -1.0791121314195788, c_new = 4.865294160797296
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8066.527110016912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6089:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7014987733419, b_new = -0.1904334313380669, c_new = 5.647912723232101
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13363.111699229925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6090:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4370036613177732, b_new = -1.2253414118913233, c_new = 5.767354417235325
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10938.69534766926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6091:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.051181844797018, b_new = -0.873827584930623, c_new = 4.683207323582946
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3164.735616713241
Acceptance probability: 3.6075730221886866e-67
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6092:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.405811033263108, b_new = -1.1281251238515129, c_new = 5.19009751450485
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8475.566113482468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6093:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4117525666742705, b_new = -1.2596244849676939, c_new = 4.6093171834782405
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11621.525852985182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6094:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7766810496121495, b_new = -1.5184176576275625, c_new = 4.765686704939667
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6370.692055464981
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6095:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.153470514742705, b_new = -1.7744952187424947, c_new = 4.857809828656251
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13993.139384535325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6096:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.061985325245662, b_new = -1.5234870177483313, c_new = 4.742736483760609
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3028.2935754621512
Acceptance probability: 6.504901812376216e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6097:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097329243926356, b_new = -0.5668154792417441, c_new = 4.521803916318768
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3841.533367288146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6098:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6462358086401006, b_new = -1.1463837073455396, c_new = 5.152091700842377
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7925.790716146481
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6099:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8053012441600553, b_new = -1.0640850503358388, c_new = 4.712636640805158
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12661.974878712479
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6100:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.257061752879674, b_new = -1.747952771989929, c_new = 6.024238050354459
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4324.542934053144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6101:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.213836498713633, b_new = -1.2367572862466687, c_new = 5.152222266653081
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4410.698845324021
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6102:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.994396659297425, b_new = -1.6170199998239154, c_new = 3.9854748070311397
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3451.5898696580653
Acceptance probability: 9.505959642094168e-192
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6103:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2508100797356088, b_new = -1.9762103612153372, c_new = 5.6510428009546105
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3812.8738001098964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6104:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3999211545233163, b_new = -0.7013706588972967, c_new = 6.110026485443602
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10308.922485149315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6105:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.522082421250957, b_new = -1.778312316112279, c_new = 4.634382134598227
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8742.574248399485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6106:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230325039097021, b_new = -2.2188870497065536, c_new = 5.635433889282033
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3362.0429597752254
Acceptance probability: 7.37436789009985e-153
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6107:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.597438820154661, b_new = -1.2104234625600907, c_new = 4.887065498717064
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10834.222950672494
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6108:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.420091715324162, b_new = -1.760224586352693, c_new = 5.178980432665172
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7098.765591221812
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6109:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.433597454569541, b_new = -1.6620612280194176, c_new = 5.544420002215887
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11787.795691314803
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6110:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9144713466397363, b_new = -0.25643678592621233, c_new = 5.164662030946254
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3045.392098611703
Acceptance probability: 2.440318391420966e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6111:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.172793506202001, b_new = -1.1360180247769958, c_new = 4.21229822063133
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3837.2500658806885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6112:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5851554910369066, b_new = -1.8733769703057794, c_new = 5.258206798830989
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10596.298456257691
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6113:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7807705613947746, b_new = -1.2909824630915487, c_new = 4.676791195543462
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5716.295411971427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6114:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1184076920294617, b_new = -2.068598497616093, c_new = 5.54106959994662
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3039.9831844572454
Acceptance probability: 5.451400169692897e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6115:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.229648347156068, b_new = -0.6672040387660247, c_new = 5.478348320408699
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12017.61971905538
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6116:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.977667969114639, b_new = -1.131332144294268, c_new = 5.553077083260153
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3046.586619701762
Acceptance probability: 7.390478791842351e-16
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6117:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3254941502345474, b_new = -1.2223943531996353, c_new = 4.807736360212212
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12253.11835707287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6118:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.604963505421114, b_new = -0.0028582089430859714, c_new = 4.836474986467047
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5938.244648204301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6119:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.98313351384685, b_new = -1.1368953263578498, c_new = 5.275962977595828
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3045.374039743801
Acceptance probability: 2.484788106705969e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6120:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6477991853972265, b_new = -0.7131653006771808, c_new = 3.8833578734775074
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11782.187783590962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6121:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3182823673154314, b_new = -2.185493123966752, c_new = 5.206706614966256
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4266.228013534865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6122:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.862102694699394, b_new = -1.3917468394242833, c_new = 4.629856600164549
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4512.837806107134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6123:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4685709627236485, b_new = -1.025312725823748, c_new = 4.942971450451553
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10470.197046131423
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6124:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1521306490804575, b_new = -0.7650896227304531, c_new = 5.272955514797065
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4404.763611739573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6125:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5073306261508383, b_new = -1.6968210680915907, c_new = 4.428598260041138
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11473.582774555987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6126:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3232410523664564, b_new = -0.7811264575718937, c_new = 5.050728484532058
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7687.542425148278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6127:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7869061723537967, b_new = -1.2993154349696547, c_new = 5.202403158241098
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5437.761619213674
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6128:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3889131076912906, b_new = -1.2464180638450955, c_new = 4.927047159215797
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7732.653522260687
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6129:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2988790467264875, b_new = -0.12893430976501208, c_new = 4.651541494116199
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8852.230361192538
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6130:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.681871526738556, b_new = -0.1810012785588877, c_new = 4.852773212375953
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4929.550044893598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6131:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2895410105761003, b_new = -0.6275254126973452, c_new = 4.978914816964798
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7363.274187474301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6132:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.489485844073856, b_new = -2.1909231606257134, c_new = 5.681198767277857
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12096.328505446705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6133:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5297747238934276, b_new = -1.5160201953140129, c_new = 4.59014198626168
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10807.79706313313
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6134:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.591510390949107, b_new = -1.1598484174382058, c_new = 5.475881964082251
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8841.288596335778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6135:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6935389839977635, b_new = -1.389989561407509, c_new = 5.417808243079139
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7524.393664753833
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6136:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.102313491232313, b_new = -0.8854348433604454, c_new = 5.119483419033261
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3577.2952114699106
Acceptance probability: 2.425826139601248e-246
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6137:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7822154312135026, b_new = -2.1916332284684117, c_new = 5.497249263835859
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7880.314159139047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6138:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.814635344567682, b_new = -0.939750886018642, c_new = 4.438070624525786
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14681.608796959748
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6139:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.478331604630716, b_new = -1.2065965363072544, c_new = 4.496873416534794
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9268.176019420562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6140:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0087458929048134, b_new = -1.0168314994940664, c_new = 4.979069737012828
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3012.8840238713556
Acceptance probability: 0.3202756859516785
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6141:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6753410082359483, b_new = -0.8278860518245812, c_new = 5.003021224721365
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6545.677921160399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6142:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2467563591358535, b_new = -1.5211032331376662, c_new = 5.061867292392159
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13128.719169978624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6143:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.13626647716628, b_new = -0.6765733791678994, c_new = 4.846473429700528
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4231.047746099661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6144:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7473963928737515, b_new = -0.8800813792966874, c_new = 5.476182329075866
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5112.937574091204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6145:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2571820208129476, b_new = -0.7263277710751119, c_new = 5.020431324398499
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6384.985068629272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6146:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.30872976814216, b_new = -0.8402043279740876, c_new = 4.147927952731346
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6860.8206381748805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6147:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.228042418023452, b_new = -1.0922961189965479, c_new = 4.62888867653544
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4785.422076441842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6148:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2840581749551494, b_new = -1.4595756799613975, c_new = 5.177293007619971
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12775.182833568244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6149:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.533464211795821, b_new = -1.1325088578053515, c_new = 5.035481939159744
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15571.435027620242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6150:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.569346541275668, b_new = -0.4164618849531093, c_new = 4.939289543055572
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11869.221107013764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6151:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7922892157380073, b_new = -1.6434094843937959, c_new = 5.344807742902431
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6160.910924024932
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6152:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3101868021259033, b_new = -1.2133708762827227, c_new = 4.926061111821796
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6163.807636055566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6153:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9199517935317827, b_new = -1.2380363355648303, c_new = 4.551884796663327
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3568.039017313128
Acceptance probability: 2.539649113770816e-242
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6154:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5269122301019893, b_new = -1.328677330124812, c_new = 4.857637737097446
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9810.14804427044
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6155:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.553750682609009, b_new = -0.8880289324063503, c_new = 5.222738574574499
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11036.139557586748
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6156:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.105749210883103, b_new = -0.989500228547372, c_new = 4.72461666577947
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3433.3092738210835
Acceptance probability: 8.263382651648457e-184
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6157:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1089588587876547, b_new = -0.6678563202742287, c_new = 4.259729692234737
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13136.205621750727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6158:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9898308607810713, b_new = -0.6393230508649173, c_new = 6.445807183673001
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14543.300090822904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6159:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.419316813175179, b_new = -0.699787747074085, c_new = 4.242309368627576
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10664.752708563927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6160:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.690599103763802, b_new = -0.7267971782880485, c_new = 5.280762262973574
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12474.370193443097
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6161:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5309571255842274, b_new = -0.2970955175536224, c_new = 5.736178419094352
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11966.764332628149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6162:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.950026261625724, b_new = -1.0376234647507894, c_new = 4.690967725828459
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3155.3673930564582
Acceptance probability: 4.224574467725625e-63
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6163:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0673518387467946, b_new = -0.7625879813941926, c_new = 4.448355449078543
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3322.425344502599
Acceptance probability: 1.184231199763245e-135
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6164:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.439577236225842, b_new = -1.1162718078602956, c_new = 5.217867696496535
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9110.440831533564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6165:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.936895158691638, b_new = -0.45197993988796925, c_new = 3.8904824770074242
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13876.818365215091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6166:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.65328345036865, b_new = -0.5105134667191498, c_new = 4.992337854676967
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12419.264935608222
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6167:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6783641982208284, b_new = -1.2855790327575387, c_new = 5.06282314770581
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7689.785863132194
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6168:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4635458919079474, b_new = -1.9370185924230703, c_new = 5.093035990289845
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12104.970760743588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6169:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.82350649400675, b_new = -1.3956611199400069, c_new = 4.137259289173083
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5335.248147447658
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6170:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.285768152433264, b_new = -0.7303820489487778, c_new = 3.9975692501873596
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6612.587084402078
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6171:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0076353041870956, b_new = -1.2788907431331424, c_new = 5.0326283880597815
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3041.564085619025
Acceptance probability: 1.1218412691759832e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6172:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9198603299578707, b_new = -2.2648917039733876, c_new = 5.534648967980771
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5154.569253036298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6173:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4210383656247543, b_new = -0.8614068392962082, c_new = 5.31866052334995
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10598.504039581112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6174:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1499927915630193, b_new = -1.1302800934561223, c_new = 4.5092149684190455
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3648.1002536447263
Acceptance probability: 4.311422303530057e-277
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6175:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.917385562281174, b_new = -1.1601374431609008, c_new = 4.570426346801086
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3497.67968472177
Acceptance probability: 9.15047443570159e-212
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6176:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5909754491077406, b_new = -0.2222909220150454, c_new = 5.484062699684004
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12503.720893994087
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6177:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6006487004498453, b_new = -1.5677653811451246, c_new = 4.853820734996214
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9872.71299009816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6178:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9830254793028583, b_new = -1.475549716882819, c_new = 5.417694497973761
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3206.64623535706
Acceptance probability: 2.2681131702182158e-85
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6179:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.873166745976144, b_new = -1.6192363136028987, c_new = 4.961863435324646
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4704.244409089175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6180:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.898095020389479, b_new = -0.832090128141383, c_new = 5.045378120959752
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3270.2229616468235
Acceptance probability: 5.554478822598733e-113
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6181:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6157641658380335, b_new = -1.2401764640980422, c_new = 6.268173765423105
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8327.521029593621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6182:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2364836631216924, b_new = -0.9813027956214679, c_new = 5.2670587844568795
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5374.664907997209
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6183:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.29528184292195, b_new = -2.035030380027592, c_new = 5.3906487920667905
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4232.898835905256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6184:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9718170494352893, b_new = -0.7349338470601403, c_new = 4.405208440942733
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3013.959689423852
Acceptance probability: 0.10923664577138369
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6185:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.799454420138725, b_new = -0.5544014115785919, c_new = 5.224930119236125
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3821.757949217952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6186:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.140554976282526, b_new = -0.7688631286894607, c_new = 4.024797735783439
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3956.4850462904014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6187:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.034069028107353, b_new = 0.31358700329140654, c_new = 4.459913579789578
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4501.931468258329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6188:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.52400438209399, b_new = -1.4052306721499637, c_new = 5.366170635196563
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9782.470814698288
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6189:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.105124090337573, b_new = -0.9338933693005886, c_new = 5.966957554239324
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3694.7254780172348
Acceptance probability: 2.4296454415239812e-297
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6190:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7640206351829586, b_new = -0.47976074772784005, c_new = 5.8399360398382285
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13437.483048746155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6191:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9383788586456108, b_new = -0.37768889131609085, c_new = 5.1188162811103695
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3045.431640615302
Acceptance probability: 2.3457062176713507e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6192:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9026306302910485, b_new = -0.8559953333307343, c_new = 4.734277714987212
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3292.727785178875
Acceptance probability: 9.352390651439318e-123
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6193:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9632712436177306, b_new = -1.724665257386134, c_new = 4.413245273329359
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3799.203525716699
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6194:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5870091769399846, b_new = -1.492648455152829, c_new = 5.791421763467403
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10511.024910232263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6195:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8872123471953657, b_new = -1.8144016961467826, c_new = 4.775182865020359
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4947.745217904225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6196:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6881287829131653, b_new = -1.155403182354452, c_new = 4.612386424451688
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7308.520521516589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6197:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.157463758172595, b_new = -0.3697641479065319, c_new = 5.414291106745834
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5404.806541333093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6198:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9283487968527475, b_new = -1.5329066068925785, c_new = 4.560811968239927
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14759.489527960413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6199:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.272723281747015, b_new = -0.955593954380087, c_new = 5.221438025182104
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12161.419425532133
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6200:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8561359515305655, b_new = -1.0653390877332953, c_new = 5.238176391626558
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13112.37568152037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6201:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.132464647548829, b_new = -0.3770245539755831, c_new = 5.089872495062904
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4829.70149455363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6202:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8381508033259997, b_new = -0.7792647757636546, c_new = 4.266036510467787
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3872.078767882398
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6203:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2397997416976754, b_new = -0.28080227883795394, c_new = 4.973714946048633
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11524.327310703064
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6204:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3493533971808427, b_new = -0.9665912022866384, c_new = 5.13463874656196
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7756.189463470024
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6205:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6922890665615915, b_new = -0.6465128429881224, c_new = 5.643006948774509
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12697.89654727764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6206:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.074879830905907, b_new = -0.07939857618232171, c_new = 5.254300821214519
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4569.2847997350245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6207:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.849159797163496, b_new = -1.0692093522928992, c_new = 5.559804928325861
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3915.016228168578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6208:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1539714661454457, b_new = -0.6102807834040977, c_new = 5.050671566820922
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4679.921720676209
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6209:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.168000637197183, b_new = -1.6341092734121185, c_new = 4.157055611942289
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3274.2961362023348
Acceptance probability: 9.455534465997173e-115
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6210:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3038076143596906, b_new = -1.3913525085101974, c_new = 4.667271213988425
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5496.131873650103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6211:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.98146470953181, b_new = -0.300470158563408, c_new = 5.190529069534721
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3247.250435176455
Acceptance probability: 5.266047798274777e-103
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6212:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.016423898964767, b_new = -1.598477572298598, c_new = 4.006712527608809
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3276.8422557128397
Acceptance probability: 7.411744304630843e-116
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6213:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.41422508865025, b_new = -1.213573605556942, c_new = 5.309638102469092
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11298.93750454922
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6214:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2267353400233003, b_new = -1.529112082252786, c_new = 5.734237763296019
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13082.866270362249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6215:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7033945310290597, b_new = -1.8726988785699454, c_new = 4.999923965305786
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15653.061419671492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6216:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.874492967721776, b_new = -2.1478447927098805, c_new = 5.269353663125798
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11901.736016400486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6217:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6530612857550597, b_new = -1.238429005021338, c_new = 4.931815467043334
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11332.159078528275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6218:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.402930997077582, b_new = -1.8328478565507271, c_new = 5.034581295853831
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6512.575748350599
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6219:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.110087839253541, b_new = -1.1684306631711867, c_new = 5.639111155090318
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3410.7394582627203
Acceptance probability: 5.237261012395984e-174
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6220:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1160629300281, b_new = -1.6773505435690284, c_new = 4.589041251754139
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3063.249713471462
Acceptance probability: 4.2853164641767374e-23
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6221:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3705988326271026, b_new = -0.22887880228179402, c_new = 4.328279891410566
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9744.687065246868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6222:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8742385503843428, b_new = -1.2224419890362215, c_new = 4.593440912459091
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14676.889732730446
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6223:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2302620963320487, b_new = -1.2792945647288205, c_new = 4.886598777157088
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12975.314559909686
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6224:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.28600013450381, b_new = -2.0041290227150337, c_new = 5.134603266076992
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13470.839828515149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6225:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.826855039394134, b_new = -1.6163985024467178, c_new = 4.478657518934287
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12053.352912167526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6226:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.898218576484021, b_new = -1.1578565981797861, c_new = 4.635305245384363
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3665.9626633546027
Acceptance probability: 7.534849697040879e-285
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6227:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6636465515632914, b_new = -1.8375023699620097, c_new = 3.589130376614124
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10033.168026073694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6228:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2503866544175986, b_new = -1.1258210086639713, c_new = 4.723067495409075
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5127.7346265080705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6229:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.538899929641377, b_new = -0.6887320668093224, c_new = 4.577939617421283
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11027.073036280004
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6230:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.680957000815507, b_new = -0.39604789529419837, c_new = 5.92293055197951
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13038.43067101661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6231:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4861201168619127, b_new = -0.7095868129538246, c_new = 5.180788753441178
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10603.594433770519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6232:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6059553603654084, b_new = -2.243134292427392, c_new = 5.454926737005405
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9248.419228199491
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6233:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3732633369960885, b_new = -1.2125174767449347, c_new = 4.610581947425767
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7383.375052412617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6234:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9708394864937024, b_new = -1.5432569785498302, c_new = 5.9886170541457915
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3272.0202479157515
Acceptance probability: 9.206441678080965e-114
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6235:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1803672417067004, b_new = 0.02247632916292641, c_new = 5.075944646570524
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6852.583329864287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6236:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6813759705996003, b_new = -1.6352593929768537, c_new = 5.7350281203859765
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8310.46661353163
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.775534907963438, b_new = -0.9633649856751499, c_new = 5.238702049420945
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12733.271226006033
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.346833008260714, b_new = -1.2702811914058025, c_new = 5.183513441114519
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6881.765698277217
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.043633701998907, b_new = -1.0583423356106596, c_new = 5.727766810886795
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14184.740358403325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.373419739523433, b_new = -1.2474762083802828, c_new = 4.997496153555207
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11835.644352062125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0405763004968582, b_new = -1.2876835803262372, c_new = 5.429230851875204
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3016.915351206678
Acceptance probability: 0.005685134627928221
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.810023058522955, b_new = -2.358995853692937, c_new = 4.207756800592043
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10865.734274264962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7176840353904983, b_new = -1.755230424911808, c_new = 4.843817572428326
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15558.36291860381
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.636609245442321, b_new = -1.7558107856999206, c_new = 4.568473894242133
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9869.155296800931
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.615651506945687, b_new = -0.9532764486907664, c_new = 4.913861776777394
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8101.901234426422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5660970224525173, b_new = -1.6938991886780268, c_new = 4.426980511913252
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9479.82340797683
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5879971270319295, b_new = -0.647552115596411, c_new = 4.646844061458407
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7942.438541406205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8348935585603354, b_new = -0.5933592985605896, c_new = 5.4840116226595965
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3479.6577937021366
Acceptance probability: 6.1411744632127844e-204
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7874867637058562, b_new = -0.9019134071834687, c_new = 5.347460407789862
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4525.789155354057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.517923690464073, b_new = -1.0158355952068832, c_new = 5.340475055383248
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9685.806460610394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9539126382033563, b_new = -1.1586761322925823, c_new = 4.350302603461035
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3254.26529058877
Acceptance probability: 4.731205366863248e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8679502690619647, b_new = -0.9069894946566444, c_new = 5.0177249248115645
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3589.321283032809
Acceptance probability: 1.4521221592355324e-251
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.687947672613384, b_new = -0.3728385287185825, c_new = 5.070395794686432
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5172.884587296791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.296980213477168, b_new = -1.8206787605306092, c_new = 4.847090921011802
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14313.764975660008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0951080115293292, b_new = -1.3693579775810791, c_new = 5.196719330578129
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13761.395891777298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.485833799308582, b_new = -1.3115942773604714, c_new = 5.525039600241744
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9497.463712694973
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.444344204416414, b_new = -1.1332429582705958, c_new = 5.132415137985265
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9118.414116717442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1328210476455403, b_new = -0.15371997566761786, c_new = 5.381930643890857
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5456.925607116536
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1703892097392856, b_new = -1.7386720894399272, c_new = 5.160280401813201
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3289.6840639602783
Acceptance probability: 1.962429071034532e-121
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.253897529603504, b_new = -1.5568258998390134, c_new = 5.956073909945809
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4619.524829410475
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3986489052746256, b_new = -0.37271663573969516, c_new = 4.4911407661473
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9904.515976476168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.625108048698471, b_new = -1.2175313389658688, c_new = 5.644816491311241
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8326.540981874869
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0825871541685785, b_new = -0.696741368331993, c_new = 5.494133131358662
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13011.945122695866
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7003853164765208, b_new = -1.2783512542075761, c_new = 4.486122258909404
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15320.518900012463
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1057535984243443, b_new = -0.6033572230851694, c_new = 4.8898714136536725
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3962.5562405399214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.841765237875045, b_new = -0.6340098633898889, c_new = 6.274604196728094
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13810.186067276045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8862711136811579, b_new = -1.3656414595812532, c_new = 5.663396015451036
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14520.65121624987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.185054959219349, b_new = -0.6721920682183304, c_new = 4.23442165198966
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4835.885021953803
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.365062613928907, b_new = -1.3808950141227327, c_new = 4.007456222168515
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6556.063065530247
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.076599969433524, b_new = -0.46053367194654193, c_new = 4.719706031653787
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12962.892310796109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2069243885405108, b_new = -0.8351080373346181, c_new = 5.134635076643954
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12493.657980096086
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.835575222274237, b_new = -1.1505056433141039, c_new = 5.440280664173234
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4249.236533535628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.204110441782172, b_new = -1.5278551607146373, c_new = 5.104869189634013
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3804.466656716143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1353826297555334, b_new = -1.246765228394167, c_new = 4.805716519916546
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3426.847794496877
Acceptance probability: 5.288623853525297e-181
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.396139050382607, b_new = -2.1395436342233696, c_new = 5.357646613477045
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5716.557441686683
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.180994680886701, b_new = -0.8134424923762381, c_new = 5.032597987526078
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4695.565099382413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6054900639300396, b_new = -0.35839412190121045, c_new = 5.086709799076558
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6716.6974532094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.982251568452364, b_new = -1.8388357286779629, c_new = 5.619129771392892
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3527.7191765363896
Acceptance probability: 8.231103786586568e-225
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3860713270529397, b_new = -0.23592288469770661, c_new = 4.656810901522595
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10081.947644361182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8888951462754062, b_new = -0.31169345143781413, c_new = 4.506799546372935
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3068.4881707840054
Acceptance probability: 2.274834441340679e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.455348867490503, b_new = -1.2190734299221413, c_new = 4.265436677056279
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8801.077112073635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.4255794673659, b_new = -0.7922190164019653, c_new = 4.455159907600449
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15413.654847265198
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9145181470242516, b_new = -1.4700364315936487, c_new = 4.985946272048941
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3853.842490515317
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3797708411574066, b_new = -1.0107740286628843, c_new = 5.464710471674135
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11252.797745189653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3772128655149527, b_new = -1.1023550791769443, c_new = 5.614625549611773
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8148.314985544113
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4813251000948036, b_new = -1.6559906939199656, c_new = 4.688453821149697
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11586.576918647694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0638028943398217, b_new = -1.7357654985782363, c_new = 5.38192066909165
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3042.0678601502204
Acceptance probability: 6.778676575656078e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1844567994418203, b_new = -0.07586603371280298, c_new = 4.520815255492565
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6424.529417368996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8145917468995236, b_new = -1.1806337647240803, c_new = 4.8126456128342365
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4793.507063028199
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.813810546627993, b_new = -1.5697653083840706, c_new = 4.733764129892211
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12085.160243116086
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.990226980701012, b_new = -0.8589730007328548, c_new = 4.829267929268023
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Acceptance probability: 0.2604720746157779
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6292:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.975508066046764, b_new = -0.967723661905909, c_new = 4.214796368521247
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3060.867665947972
Acceptance probability: 1.781278497461365e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6293:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9500878747793586, b_new = -1.111964509352971, c_new = 4.422028100586913
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3232.566937333445
Acceptance probability: 4.815991545787401e-96
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6294:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.457497758177742, b_new = -0.692407475127502, c_new = 5.78149675996418
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9695.881183932159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6295:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.1843353925657985, b_new = -0.3732328972814026, c_new = 4.926572558908351
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -15132.260687549364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6296:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.191805689661918, b_new = -1.9474686700856556, c_new = 4.74564462708054
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13757.809662837642
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6297:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9890365646267596, b_new = -1.9396579547447779, c_new = 4.077057480699373
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3907.8501169076053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6298:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.694750649658983, b_new = -1.4876805318869692, c_new = 4.825354064126281
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11292.412608149978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6299:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9713247842605712, b_new = -1.8597943621079125, c_new = 4.628008850311842
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3861.069789191744
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6300:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6526930651209066, b_new = -0.6444906629840472, c_new = 5.167677173350408
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12276.619682357901
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6301:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.787932846651655, b_new = -0.4605622526004959, c_new = 4.838174547041758
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3891.481052472131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6302:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.519114558587535, b_new = -1.1897583734035306, c_new = 4.963541220155683
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10015.0708770766
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6303:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6447281935124733, b_new = -0.7601608736631179, c_new = 4.208040893809498
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7287.588123352576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6304:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7293452929669084, b_new = -0.2971216908884172, c_new = 4.679336959134436
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4442.170238321867
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6305:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7274451221958103, b_new = -1.0345009322650542, c_new = 4.9242809987698495
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6046.315204062383
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6306:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9783024049097766, b_new = -0.4145790620640791, c_new = 4.457254577449229
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3091.95157984384
Acceptance probability: 5.638447544376045e-35
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6307:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8288558798071084, b_new = 0.6257062440022366, c_new = 3.95658799522386
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3088.8270570308578
Acceptance probability: 1.282692515724863e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6308:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0977468504425993, b_new = -0.9405639111386955, c_new = 5.425536517345595
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13222.196137852996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6309:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2829880773146605, b_new = -0.7480890863697933, c_new = 4.172109058309899
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12083.167266945415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6310:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.885331254966987, b_new = -1.1874442133703145, c_new = 5.766446998473563
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3640.8688677943524
Acceptance probability: 2.2877594936959527e-273
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6311:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5991765397578313, b_new = -1.110817025973226, c_new = 4.725262411865916
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10969.948149117881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6312:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.247295432365027, b_new = 0.4221554171913934, c_new = 4.689080107698389
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9375.76494818022
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6313:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3029363324959844, b_new = -0.7924308893005977, c_new = 5.095360459183058
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7231.996183107394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6314:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2765444137609787, b_new = -1.3377330461130326, c_new = 3.9611715543835833
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13009.858243469958
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6315:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.32979663187509, b_new = -1.213583285358296, c_new = 4.672756389041217
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6488.0811996818875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6316:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4948358038136607, b_new = -0.35222905713850305, c_new = 4.787922808886223
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8790.16785413936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6317:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.952518576106031, b_new = -0.39035459857283444, c_new = 4.659579944422708
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3044.376191326238
Acceptance probability: 2.5875470299631316e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6318:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3676545088303496, b_new = -1.4952142418573775, c_new = 5.334388315534306
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -16140.332951842505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6319:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.48971507261038, b_new = -0.740486789610438, c_new = 4.791292595826491
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10460.844637012884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6320:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5636783700100523, b_new = -0.10874091880515857, c_new = 5.594864131996529
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6748.294396796604
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6321:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9978397814018414, b_new = -1.3737189876230391, c_new = 5.8295518156589425
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3060.55507045751
Acceptance probability: 2.4349515376738325e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6322:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8471352520788633, b_new = -0.5527376412184493, c_new = 4.5284278735971855
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3455.6450393652744
Acceptance probability: 6.325530731140461e-193
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6323:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.61738789224665, b_new = -1.309918905265457, c_new = 4.833905609922145
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9003.420942625158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6324:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8438187961537276, b_new = -1.5265025787843656, c_new = 4.514533369824705
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5143.7475014240845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6325:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.817641302602473, b_new = 0.21644605251460558, c_new = 4.17704420382351
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3127.334365293328
Acceptance probability: 2.4244379272656646e-50
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6326:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1133860248007332, b_new = -0.7019687689754535, c_new = 5.1948897247660595
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3967.801753487044
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6327:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.118939826625728, b_new = -1.3430099784559308, c_new = 4.444823486622093
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3203.5362788540688
Acceptance probability: 1.952272781826577e-83
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6328:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801981109594203, b_new = -1.3401416897485108, c_new = 4.474084836286407
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5493.587632449549
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6329:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8858352011567776, b_new = -0.0430871648935125, c_new = 4.946042150322218
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3051.9021831135938
Acceptance probability: 1.3944134011687398e-17
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6330:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.712982998749415, b_new = -0.8856543653572677, c_new = 5.208184287610371
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5861.66726433697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6331:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2138171542496314, b_new = -0.9101966353581731, c_new = 5.100560709901658
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5068.8714347994355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6332:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1673842369273015, b_new = -0.5017901287592575, c_new = 3.968067965580625
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12641.184515837213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6333:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9588504465540792, b_new = -1.2348034572932969, c_new = 4.8119335902854505
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14320.248377526166
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6334:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7684465582817475, b_new = -1.0932345309592397, c_new = 4.977120658837028
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12449.423970114796
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6335:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1013628842297187, b_new = -2.071197301675753, c_new = 4.86767741470245
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3108.2121020699196
Acceptance probability: 4.889950566859372e-42
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6336:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6874166072594936, b_new = -0.38713875312869334, c_new = 4.565867923030483
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5361.334626353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6337:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3362862175526278, b_new = -0.03105463274164899, c_new = 5.0947062607176905
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9956.930274094688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6338:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.698794836670107, b_new = -1.214006004595459, c_new = 4.774792284558935
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7182.691750134874
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6339:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.401989417931637, b_new = -1.1065162809683413, c_new = 4.908122569431572
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11364.300088433167
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6340:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4727749831526338, b_new = -0.5509366469227102, c_new = 4.627052713615387
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10565.238608569825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6341:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5913618442696227, b_new = -1.3907313901997025, c_new = 4.29303402425527
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10293.7708634156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6342:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.774979883062163, b_new = -0.6038667678840561, c_new = 3.949207754301858
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4504.700579719909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6343:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.173220403557214, b_new = -0.23592072629971061, c_new = 4.726252554012114
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5815.448083411036
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6344:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5715300430677543, b_new = -0.5203491411798511, c_new = 5.560413518875551
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7612.197670168327
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6345:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6008304590143148, b_new = -0.7475611305110246, c_new = 5.66693194429255
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7588.560557216495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6346:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6778338532705015, b_new = -0.47968675152184626, c_new = 5.571864776124702
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5453.852775996582
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6347:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.781050698464303, b_new = -0.7761944815348507, c_new = 5.2060094892726765
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12997.39135190584
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6348:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8914264012464597, b_new = 0.056090355154370664, c_new = 5.296493864795378
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3104.953379039078
Acceptance probability: 1.2721839118606598e-40
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6349:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3254111590883135, b_new = -0.14457691543605933, c_new = 4.716736248493109
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10563.229027438087
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6350:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.328935741055745, b_new = -1.1389260077900585, c_new = 5.314687947746192
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11956.313192568245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6351:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5254405449938675, b_new = -1.1233324433542156, c_new = 4.762900089607852
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10157.594800982884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6352:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1033305941708633, b_new = -2.5180766683195968, c_new = 5.502334957218327
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3321.933981192634
Acceptance probability: 7.43141823562527e-135
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6353:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7749128064217916, b_new = -0.17541352016890344, c_new = 4.698102000835485
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3681.133660132701
Acceptance probability: 7.458186492516864e-291
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6354:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3201651137416213, b_new = -0.35739833781967945, c_new = 4.792702833863901
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10957.262182546416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6355:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5195873500250556, b_new = -1.0009208910187402, c_new = 4.7973956124178825
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10328.00762621709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6356:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0647302410993373, b_new = -1.0264698519725013, c_new = 5.169894043726563
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3177.1692414765976
Acceptance probability: 5.515683487880624e-72
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6357:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.740465653424588, b_new = -0.8877607125375222, c_new = 5.704292046190054
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5188.716431049226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6358:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7222413046909084, b_new = -0.4027884400542072, c_new = 5.102644773229709
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4648.006192552244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6359:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.160090684643833, b_new = -0.42987628488869467, c_new = 4.303780197562772
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4952.152633938522
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6360:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9397617215285474, b_new = -0.6695383587164635, c_new = 4.281349429182876
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3051.7094599652237
Acceptance probability: 1.690791858045385e-17
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6361:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3883244991195074, b_new = -1.2367875930063044, c_new = 4.209135586496961
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11929.636659480997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6362:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8379759227145853, b_new = -0.9061845657327832, c_new = 5.014436925873353
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3913.0394431280793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6363:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5680644246174267, b_new = -1.0201840866673382, c_new = 4.546196497053875
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10752.859149930515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6364:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981375220608778, b_new = -0.7320767638939792, c_new = 5.562173391189272
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3046.6946046943985
Acceptance probability: 2.5469130547831883e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6365:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.664979679960123, b_new = -0.4135394846173178, c_new = 5.202425281447887
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5651.663481457559
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6366:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4535497759597393, b_new = -1.077215366772334, c_new = 5.529498683542451
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9531.407766238695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6367:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.503291078171582, b_new = -1.0961575628689721, c_new = 5.186402947030356
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10095.394552366519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6368:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.462379084958935, b_new = -0.6041928500603446, c_new = 5.048374023091854
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9689.778960152435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6369:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.383354880180375, b_new = -1.329613572057033, c_new = 4.713530141425698
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7315.894804820261
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6370:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0263684317402966, b_new = -0.6837170301946827, c_new = 4.383325338473145
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3137.722306822184
Acceptance probability: 7.467674591886986e-55
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6371:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6794782292285735, b_new = -0.8699402811342227, c_new = 4.924450136704065
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6599.46762755864
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6372:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.012104786865992, b_new = -0.6330409415485256, c_new = 5.601807393623222
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3214.327094088088
Acceptance probability: 4.0192867196571887e-88
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6373:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8119912036866954, b_new = -1.2097592289667496, c_new = 4.274663907275924
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5065.0418125207
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6374:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.650279359392021, b_new = -1.1053266577264655, c_new = 4.48593038469293
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7995.491617619116
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6375:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5445326201487495, b_new = -0.33733765351793965, c_new = 4.845982911998061
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11745.428865283757
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6376:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3272563059261624, b_new = -0.44221609425567876, c_new = 5.027618672283944
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8711.241432130588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6377:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9960294187438317, b_new = -0.157584550227425, c_new = 4.398720229910737
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14534.078050017346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6378:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.524344988372047, b_new = -0.7815525559180603, c_new = 5.28531578008434
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9114.96227917047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6379:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9415924287135056, b_new = -0.3262708059473084, c_new = 5.103847880407974
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14309.914837559574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6380:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.048174432471523, b_new = -1.7680301120281987, c_new = 5.3238320063384155
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3097.552266182426
Acceptance probability: 2.0835905197318773e-37
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6381:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8700817391566638, b_new = -0.5758704900383338, c_new = 3.9489356798883595
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3371.7250929645134
Acceptance probability: 1.7663087219353451e-156
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6382:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0607193152982246, b_new = -0.9732295998589355, c_new = 4.379486880220332
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13712.301429849693
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6383:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.065932100976245, b_new = -1.3905385908494368, c_new = 4.433694634802305
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3028.942235845714
Acceptance probability: 1.3054791835322548e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6384:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.587420275905745, b_new = -0.6222053248288687, c_new = 4.79503068129518
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11663.912077707713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6385:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.175080576696568, b_new = -1.0767993586058124, c_new = 4.043107955037233
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3918.8879532570154
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6386:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.493110994138767, b_new = -1.7689937103626496, c_new = 5.449156855356513
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11412.33624812496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6387:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.808397889878696, b_new = -1.3805680203541768, c_new = 5.282778150833055
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5202.058449976279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6388:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0305705259146047, b_new = -1.0306924375915512, c_new = 4.392398083263484
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13914.657406078131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6389:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2440880231805163, b_new = -0.558518489004733, c_new = 4.809189409646824
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6487.161631996978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6390:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.770544494406913, b_new = -0.5343799498900565, c_new = 5.212301012260506
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4151.361549851188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6391:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.627994297024599, b_new = -1.2715340607109502, c_new = 4.7042144239910355
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10983.675215285755
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6392:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.1809169447621946, b_new = -0.8445239931327135, c_new = 4.788045775421723
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14707.746857731416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6393:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3694201201246514, b_new = -0.8766362670723622, c_new = 5.77688254966281
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8667.962949348903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6394:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.233891379985334, b_new = -0.24304210396581727, c_new = 5.265476695072656
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7365.684710517076
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6395:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9397141428435307, b_new = -0.13753400182625586, c_new = 3.815205329311726
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3054.6960170081375
Acceptance probability: 8.531883255045184e-19
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6396:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.798295577764941, b_new = -0.6667623815807517, c_new = 4.7215616805920915
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4100.117432275056
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6397:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.451312206440393, b_new = -0.9020866320431233, c_new = 4.468232564308066
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9515.47662508712
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6398:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.709252862755342, b_new = -1.3184325832908028, c_new = 4.378170571672336
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7411.143797306079
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6399:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.531922409119984, b_new = -1.1469613889838266, c_new = 4.473622776531728
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10102.36467251296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6400:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.562823802829167, b_new = -0.8080529865086878, c_new = 4.8249697650076895
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11142.043883863362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6401:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.771035658604918, b_new = -1.2183835740320341, c_new = 4.817567925267827
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5676.912177337517
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6402:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2945090546311495, b_new = -0.46562365769419295, c_new = 4.931229299268886
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7920.821063041188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6403:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.36117655154075, b_new = -0.6361818736402854, c_new = 5.193031551175554
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8913.518525387706
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6404:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4774456118055275, b_new = -1.3033772688282963, c_new = 4.362225946548142
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11092.689593832318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6405:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.321041273588742, b_new = -0.02256768717334512, c_new = 5.179964957063802
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9759.353617926972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6406:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2824581827055135, b_new = -1.041617043685457, c_new = 4.8683229800426435
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6014.022654509919
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6407:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.169472190155605, b_new = -0.26417400063074237, c_new = 4.794762351322174
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5689.344046890314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6408:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9091745735925296, b_new = -1.348254325968926, c_new = 5.359031462296104
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13120.40303653136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6409:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.378030147993598, b_new = 0.47291623169309494, c_new = 5.80110700345462
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11827.230138297371
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6410:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.260713042406648, b_new = -0.6810089144949659, c_new = 4.533468167890334
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6403.753552014956
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6411:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8706408620704456, b_new = -0.9555390491663692, c_new = 4.707775148472277
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14431.952114208885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6412:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4979647594187586, b_new = -1.3678690021501216, c_new = 5.358713814182389
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10638.7619654263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6413:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7956512447352333, b_new = -1.460120416888782, c_new = 4.772362588562128
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5817.584501281291
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6414:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.378856651241805, b_new = -1.1472189855528898, c_new = 4.48156065239046
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7627.482141167669
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6415:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9496726230408084, b_new = -0.29947285667665524, c_new = 4.450593322585182
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3055.715434531956
Acceptance probability: 3.078346473308963e-19
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6416:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1502912434461514, b_new = -0.6121694341816716, c_new = 3.727441555321757
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4281.0114026670235
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6417:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7244390754904497, b_new = -0.7572133957389073, c_new = 4.799152791442167
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5459.010461384123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6418:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8406446969254344, b_new = -0.7733375112302716, c_new = 5.094196059285362
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3685.562886506065
Acceptance probability: 8.892925737995003e-293
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6419:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.889145596040771, b_new = -0.7779618703226532, c_new = 3.3301002807107887
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3518.5678636841576
Acceptance probability: 2.9789388101214444e-220
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6420:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.545177970047441, b_new = -0.9315627107630126, c_new = 4.601790026138466
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9369.093392166793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6421:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9051352750878023, b_new = 0.020892989212741964, c_new = 4.066275118222806
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3046.1011678799323
Acceptance probability: 4.6104196053839376e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6422:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7633962031386146, b_new = -0.40165935916966594, c_new = 4.196603149711614
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4246.209857236927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6423:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.342326004863444, b_new = -1.6260106016883378, c_new = 4.926522956947636
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5766.892586905965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6424:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8486573234245967, b_new = -0.11890570571094994, c_new = 4.550337494011528
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13960.15054256765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6425:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.266110116743804, b_new = -1.3959778498796007, c_new = 4.880622052616359
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4861.234132799873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6426:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.70764734702482, b_new = -1.5735828091906672, c_new = 4.123988002849684
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8274.11377318589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6427:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9970184737108605, b_new = -0.1407530977946604, c_new = 4.965514086842083
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3476.3837709454438
Acceptance probability: 6.2284543115548675e-202
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6428:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7938790704028689, b_new = -0.2917360476817742, c_new = 4.9048617614582435
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14097.761667643945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6429:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.408484467884421, b_new = -0.7630088598982107, c_new = 4.040096512933956
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10970.174503528131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6430:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2219312990195172, b_new = -0.12422525527388983, c_new = 5.360508488077138
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11342.412615162382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6431:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2793043235034034, b_new = -1.0314967350470232, c_new = 4.821032683067333
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12329.351670659784
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6432:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.027493252756316, b_new = -1.6835362454088743, c_new = 3.9809906978605447
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3284.872382123327
Acceptance probability: 9.262317631699973e-119
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6433:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3374583654112637, b_new = -1.173255105794239, c_new = 4.795272482044783
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6803.296893317292
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6434:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5042741613336545, b_new = -0.4654036504976507, c_new = 5.0293571525111105
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8813.087386478415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6435:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7625757035124217, b_new = -0.06274230804554515, c_new = 6.202848874002376
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3503.8896030762135
Acceptance probability: 7.05909730671034e-214
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6436:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6519942293182255, b_new = -0.944066698183105, c_new = 4.834912960868739
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7393.358184940765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6437:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.810315283879511, b_new = -2.0551430712102037, c_new = 4.799539554136569
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7154.678040402463
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6438:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.622970445246718, b_new = -1.7454329822870287, c_new = 5.160560527901072
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9827.041981850438
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6439:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.157952172822737, b_new = -1.4402249840417412, c_new = 4.847597836439407
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3424.922445551403
Acceptance probability: 1.3923548537695445e-179
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6440:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.522137640095888, b_new = 0.22059269582964436, c_new = 3.7435458832234154
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7337.2032248179175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6441:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.574018111873401, b_new = -0.4562372340380242, c_new = 4.689754326090359
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7708.651200731274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6442:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.953527540624389, b_new = 0.26035590727640023, c_new = 4.981192083269454
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14888.419612745016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6443:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.330998190607873, b_new = -0.24702413375378984, c_new = 6.2886380668996305
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9819.693678013384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6444:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3186773553757147, b_new = -0.6976916604193502, c_new = 5.0460059803475
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11447.42472420766
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6445:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0019630150248915, b_new = -0.35343256765994224, c_new = 4.268236339148249
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3219.8668195447553
Acceptance probability: 1.5786170568577177e-90
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6446:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5866812533168, b_new = -1.4250587442865745, c_new = 5.266774093751391
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9609.174013265274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6447:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.481000297156185, b_new = -1.5557949602520929, c_new = 5.491906893391061
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11142.92178684071
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6448:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4415187074463915, b_new = -0.6960172375532323, c_new = 5.6680421947122
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10234.166617489109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6449:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3069597458381854, b_new = -1.415838047801663, c_new = 4.901953233097371
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5571.875737328467
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6450:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9463605253891387, b_new = -0.2165842413804312, c_new = 4.811098313112523
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3102.8935305672658
Acceptance probability: 9.980004199099598e-40
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6451:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1680135392861972, b_new = -0.6723987695351266, c_new = 6.047372763504999
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5091.158763168136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6452:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1987818220069477, b_new = 0.022475506041538362, c_new = 5.138929924053885
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7306.51800400882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6453:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.920239914990724, b_new = -0.9486959157680175, c_new = 5.113969937907363
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3215.899798002274
Acceptance probability: 8.339352977908752e-89
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6454:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.062585469305318, b_new = -0.5892627127507781, c_new = 4.264941746553682
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3429.2216456583105
Acceptance probability: 1.8907366824290653e-181
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6455:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.027917125478703, b_new = -0.6870734039189784, c_new = 4.83145483494031
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3180.543548846256
Acceptance probability: 1.888670799353364e-73
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6456:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9103309171540936, b_new = -0.10363812879146661, c_new = 5.601831427861883
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3111.217510819457
Acceptance probability: 2.4214306371369962e-43
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6457:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4330794270296945, b_new = -0.29199905588377295, c_new = 3.9572436651299356
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9805.685089722157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6458:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7827178674830035, b_new = -1.5337269107810116, c_new = 5.607692871456816
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5972.547180209158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6459:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.490609488034898, b_new = -0.35279037253584355, c_new = 5.016757966478722
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11248.969130602482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6460:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.845523731128944, b_new = -0.7107608463958714, c_new = 4.461619895933453
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3661.45677660043
Acceptance probability: 2.6193599197047657e-282
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6461:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.288707004662769, b_new = -0.5936219134649396, c_new = 4.937050896057367
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7425.61935772506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6462:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8103704214581398, b_new = -1.1053223344701, c_new = 4.104527963512796
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12490.750995076534
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6463:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7226120311979622, b_new = -1.2784973354591964, c_new = 4.827719854870585
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11827.146989087776
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6464:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.229858015060238, b_new = -0.5299981595792786, c_new = 5.337778985826255
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6461.060109837541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6465:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.600463059119781, b_new = 0.304323398334971, c_new = 4.416818483649939
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5441.770349732153
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6466:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3009037240650403, b_new = 0.5538644439757235, c_new = 4.844248463874844
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10683.554902547974
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6467:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4595381504077016, b_new = -1.1007939622051375, c_new = 5.292258427229578
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10606.974217653755
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6468:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.879785288961409, b_new = -0.5048166307547252, c_new = 4.129065495275805
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3227.6446187301644
Acceptance probability: 6.613350241438955e-94
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6469:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0332934777053437, b_new = -0.3481001017764852, c_new = 5.288996114155121
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3611.695572533996
Acceptance probability: 1.0695756735393596e-260
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6470:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8810489153061716, b_new = -1.2863434699898453, c_new = 4.935243883007591
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14630.853608658235
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6471:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4558451209682737, b_new = -0.9009668085745876, c_new = 4.207946786052721
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9497.576873077707
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6472:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.415135287440836, b_new = -1.0042650094332932, c_new = 5.6085800956879055
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9111.245554058236
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6473:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7343845820111987, b_new = -0.553359414559802, c_new = 5.279676950794364
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4703.767191735927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6474:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0019961980026992, b_new = -0.5486436943122464, c_new = 5.0460686680303395
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3162.6487622765358
Acceptance probability: 1.116254770245769e-65
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6475:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.719465362356167, b_new = -0.20484062612195908, c_new = 4.258100960938236
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4520.953206071831
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6476:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304049516865701, b_new = -0.34111146052265706, c_new = 5.390425797651499
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8674.223314860836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6477:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0765636900384825, b_new = -0.4021164396508959, c_new = 4.5600560182284635
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14660.168630028895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6478:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7487197258777654, b_new = -1.5439610382982587, c_new = 4.093523328922666
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7323.254786392741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6479:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4575349929212056, b_new = -0.4127928705527477, c_new = 4.585603586758476
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10633.388883965792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6480:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0003621257927864, b_new = -0.855191369039527, c_new = 6.150030780082661
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3086.9057147716144
Acceptance probability: 8.760943948033607e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6481:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0737981425004017, b_new = -1.0906173508889052, c_new = 4.022565024533334
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3108.585525023629
Acceptance probability: 3.366114933799621e-42
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6482:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.984277166987843, b_new = -0.5994248926190514, c_new = 4.684654093551513
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3050.0907415290817
Acceptance probability: 8.532781650502699e-17
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6483:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2416802631267494, b_new = -0.4707715595565838, c_new = 5.1540978369549695
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6822.568795164298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6484:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3329792890751007, b_new = -0.20800725088108807, c_new = 4.817244711567739
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9354.28873272759
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6485:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.371581587096386, b_new = -0.34784335647773756, c_new = 5.307804198730076
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10234.509949299518
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6486:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8859156365883982, b_new = -1.7515374027869495, c_new = 5.683134118983198
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4565.836223966235
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6487:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7085472952662886, b_new = -1.554010982087545, c_new = 4.649615185924842
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7977.487027748309
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6488:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.934205526151502, b_new = -1.091772733835466, c_new = 4.224847674562167
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3344.0634105624745
Acceptance probability: 1.821304836330943e-144
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6489:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.280952147994659, b_new = -1.4461871327320455, c_new = 4.983963962929351
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12832.182253428526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6490:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8600771027935585, b_new = -2.094567772315162, c_new = 4.9815434240232666
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6100.714562047104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6491:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.164089002204931, b_new = 0.13105895971661297, c_new = 5.068049986653946
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6799.967884389443
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6492:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1731466708276024, b_new = -1.2561757897702552, c_new = 4.614391526502656
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13369.351539005333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6493:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.501551392967648, b_new = -1.4600508608557354, c_new = 3.713124722275428
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8825.660815861109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6494:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.301316498452194, b_new = -0.025661572194124682, c_new = 3.9744766229077504
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10835.006102035984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6495:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2886934643970713, b_new = -0.8703626430763495, c_new = 4.57907511765884
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6505.374640854892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6496:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.079461177515931, b_new = -2.025611525232826, c_new = 4.920237363464155
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3154.1857402545184
Acceptance probability: 5.286972996387921e-62
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6497:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0685081274943298, b_new = -1.126519963483875, c_new = 4.7738005086282085
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13738.912733456184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6498:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.116627436231913, b_new = -1.1081410069310909, c_new = 5.094319115820244
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3450.9169583838802
Acceptance probability: 7.15280606645116e-191
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6499:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9533297485137293, b_new = -0.22154033464355893, c_new = 4.715174146984676
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3117.0852092018263
Acceptance probability: 6.851142553376165e-46
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6500:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3777711295154704, b_new = -0.32751718047221134, c_new = 4.43652442760975
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10392.138668086349
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6501:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9285611685099506, b_new = -1.415976832657463, c_new = 4.996529279223207
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3626.915776833038
Acceptance probability: 2.625190211523226e-267
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6502:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1120240671176838, b_new = -0.3915009030805219, c_new = 5.762585872696563
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4665.21373679605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6503:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9967197162487156, b_new = -0.4134620617200784, c_new = 4.546509835481416
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3177.280205383687
Acceptance probability: 4.936377045131393e-72
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6504:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3155868603526804, b_new = -1.878536884978102, c_new = 4.918062261250787
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4714.627474532523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6505:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0948431969881347, b_new = -0.8827108135679199, c_new = 5.308264019101103
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13201.50473584969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6506:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8600532121149986, b_new = -0.9437525476800797, c_new = 4.373896999520091
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3836.0165023318236
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6507:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.82479542364742, b_new = -0.9443083369904085, c_new = 4.444265042771183
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4273.973589499407
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6508:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.563489415060012, b_new = -0.7333380342162608, c_new = 4.471099034049345
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11166.893600148866
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6509:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9070587545495776, b_new = -0.7635551403832148, c_new = 4.849707981373317
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3186.9614458464303
Acceptance probability: 3.082471097504407e-76
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6510:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.924058790726465, b_new = -0.757115281883611, c_new = 5.193413807901408
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3088.1165832667907
Acceptance probability: 2.610221700875885e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6511:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2860567296110417, b_new = -1.2731019089531814, c_new = 4.3187304740734085
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5330.339396760932
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6512:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0640508723808666, b_new = -1.4024525655785343, c_new = 5.061941367397471
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3024.731538223456
Acceptance probability: 8.79939257106959e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6513:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2446434572178395, b_new = -1.3371560035286967, c_new = 4.771775513879571
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12988.284342209441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6514:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.952650142806991, b_new = -1.003116669667866, c_new = 5.480174756908278
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3076.2799696368065
Acceptance probability: 3.607890763699134e-28
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6515:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1655921374134603, b_new = -0.4071045365117453, c_new = 5.137871308538309
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12221.863723660614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6516:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.868171874020167, b_new = -0.7137860320882994, c_new = 4.860099136203426
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3401.6943531510724
Acceptance probability: 1.704442237014979e-169
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6517:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.819948704814636, b_new = -1.249937648953197, c_new = 4.98282509050797
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12593.996839764966
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6518:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.214407014331086, b_new = -1.7993878812051218, c_new = 5.15598919192785
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3581.6681800416345
Acceptance probability: 1.174741691577902e-247
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6519:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6271396839388745, b_new = -1.3358634086899444, c_new = 4.525247756085247
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10820.832241367822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6520:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9571297016727174, b_new = -0.9818159210924154, c_new = 4.184083096623314
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3133.993252286387
Acceptance probability: 3.1095188414952066e-53
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6521:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.361896595149384, b_new = -1.1613616335389405, c_new = 4.8993655188176986
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7391.928605544105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6522:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2228241843504426, b_new = -1.2918099930021634, c_new = 5.305283942943702
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4481.063906274275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6523:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.949508973405246, b_new = -0.9714248570321914, c_new = 5.280309005476459
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3083.6090049012832
Acceptance probability: 2.3675208199641226e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6524:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.175440265296826, b_new = -0.8508399493935679, c_new = 4.689259814664634
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4442.768876102849
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6525:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3768169584535963, b_new = -0.828711331690262, c_new = 5.056057488645072
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8652.026998917105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6526:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3862999631339905, b_new = -1.1309549072535716, c_new = 4.329133049295074
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11737.948787841848
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6527:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5872264377215264, b_new = -0.9150372332932842, c_new = 5.470959910475234
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8323.510686876129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6528:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3444571909067573, b_new = -1.7555971097454015, c_new = 4.456571067225012
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12965.687243854298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6529:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0623268049403114, b_new = -0.38847000803126663, c_new = 4.1851458793097205
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3646.7207185577577
Acceptance probability: 6.576334131259057e-276
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6530:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.124273918812325, b_new = -0.5937053449524039, c_new = 5.326765352166148
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14839.155859090484
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6531:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8192309964281863, b_new = -0.5258594708698091, c_new = 5.076345573377725
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3602.0592939032817
Acceptance probability: 1.6375484269053667e-256
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6532:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.952591225139535, b_new = -1.3083624728295273, c_new = 5.1592302641320344
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3290.0446843417094
Acceptance probability: 5.253120437841397e-121
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6533:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3902105600448955, b_new = -0.004277623313990397, c_new = 4.908824129455848
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10722.156518511712
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6534:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.101923876956604, b_new = 0.11681457148226804, c_new = 3.783921254342217
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -15017.318412025994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6535:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.475216634961369, b_new = -0.9268201816054158, c_new = 4.645109752766794
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9861.33298448826
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6536:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.568826960383257, b_new = -0.3063825756030508, c_new = 4.693230865049796
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11961.239622788387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6537:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4493557713373866, b_new = -1.7895261130101505, c_new = 4.301864466776064
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12248.890434411094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6538:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5212311992790566, b_new = -1.0755499484874367, c_new = 4.275958726689171
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10131.626285967119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6539:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2109845527935, b_new = -1.1527733071451507, c_new = 5.475860980679063
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4611.806415717877
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6540:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.191327713470472, b_new = -1.0031563121690334, c_new = 4.6067454322414125
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4375.852343713819
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6541:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2609029413126778, b_new = -0.8922786418889163, c_new = 4.504964042420923
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5829.017897401312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6542:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.677166318566173, b_new = -0.40105249412212784, c_new = 4.38281296550395
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5644.4204300887595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6543:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.896939225257133, b_new = -0.7686580758267552, c_new = 5.478091177397497
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3195.1172948776775
Acceptance probability: 8.848278500888543e-80
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6544:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.652218543889958, b_new = -0.8583107830381475, c_new = 5.5413084012842955
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12072.534577719653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6545:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8534462357792107, b_new = 0.33186301920682004, c_new = 4.0484816393511265
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3056.2882666612013
Acceptance probability: 1.7359598086385558e-19
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6546:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.439643573138613, b_new = -1.4279288522294364, c_new = 4.475919397063535
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -15015.967599514861
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6547:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5710219801071506, b_new = -1.070839493639005, c_new = 4.0556727366832845
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10554.924279962997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6548:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0094554391595882, b_new = -0.9800837786992993, c_new = 5.333556898680825
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3024.975868243004
Acceptance probability: 6.89194041804566e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6549:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7211520717150017, b_new = -0.8837461750371065, c_new = 5.535579696131569
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14721.149078452445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6550:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1016273393403795, b_new = -1.4451072866222523, c_new = 5.057396506777066
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3105.9081136924515
Acceptance probability: 4.896817375485143e-41
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6551:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4351796454076706, b_new = -1.3755754349017555, c_new = 4.472292230980227
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8138.987534762983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6552:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5584521016120183, b_new = -0.957298166090802, c_new = 4.160257175418691
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10646.077405354881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6553:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9775252295665888, b_new = -0.5489523749030248, c_new = 5.658324146785042
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13374.091819252673
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6554:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0289630365356905, b_new = -1.4493672094895338, c_new = 4.492308195219754
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3078.646907159359
Acceptance probability: 3.383027085246178e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6555:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3445092219523027, b_new = -1.2566571545554175, c_new = 5.066870664170683
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6826.368224540574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6556:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.001460346500102, b_new = -1.082210634967291, c_new = 5.038844958183824
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13809.188529616285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6557:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.913337767943101, b_new = -0.4611604022407432, c_new = 4.889387954065602
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3041.1908459925703
Acceptance probability: 6.255559415994923e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6558:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.551447795471505, b_new = -0.3726506857120449, c_new = 5.069881980002894
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11819.975175447411
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6559:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5470635040855236, b_new = -1.6359899804268805, c_new = 5.194853221938301
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10620.466731158578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6560:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2952465601788536, b_new = -1.3382951884294014, c_new = 4.519904354776083
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5412.294624979436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6561:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.05128800671311, b_new = -1.5787022874442775, c_new = 4.792643976443649
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13486.734219485443
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6562:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.754374749693495, b_new = -0.5614615861373995, c_new = 4.240605743733216
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4667.709883803446
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6563:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5760312268356538, b_new = -0.8746399232070158, c_new = 5.202028064735314
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11275.33698570688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6564:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3185269065924157, b_new = -1.042279630614903, c_new = 5.346305417195147
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6965.1734201752815
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6565:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5967867679559675, b_new = -2.074736116436632, c_new = 5.545841911732028
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10758.950001550727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6566:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0271287657897004, b_new = -0.0010234297595818065, c_new = 5.449566340512212
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4092.4090216629274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6567:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.641690706218204, b_new = -0.7434654944210847, c_new = 4.309160650083428
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11804.737703873163
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6568:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.810327396307466, b_new = -1.026136956316425, c_new = 4.5276141761155575
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4625.6016112082225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6569:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6223557057608624, b_new = -0.6774005778954917, c_new = 4.165701197501296
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11701.27209993976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6570:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8867153356750435, b_new = -0.7536081865989446, c_new = 5.499018753411237
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3240.970925228545
Acceptance probability: 1.0786490046325437e-99
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6571:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2660391490009246, b_new = -1.776107944414541, c_new = 4.306317667594313
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4051.0450667144996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6572:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.850971128669699, b_new = -0.7891162071628114, c_new = 5.073238945396975
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3604.5707209256902
Acceptance probability: 1.3289090365545342e-257
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6573:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.899774057156276, b_new = -0.5028590941460183, c_new = 5.146741585668584
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13950.394006205854
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6574:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1669648004448825, b_new = -1.1915539470987344, c_new = 4.006744229008119
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3669.146531931169
Acceptance probability: 1.1983312101373417e-285
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6575:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6334216130498573, b_new = -1.3440868170251192, c_new = 4.313704397452275
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9011.156945669503
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6576:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.241830892499124, b_new = -0.16207880280734877, c_new = 5.120791760977224
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -15497.204219665047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6577:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9167079681331747, b_new = -1.084668368878799, c_new = 4.975576806424247
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3366.7512191132155
Acceptance probability: 2.5538335071938617e-154
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6578:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6894133200199712, b_new = -0.9368718523857265, c_new = 4.681644880500847
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -15045.47123076389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6579:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.026127539562327, b_new = -0.7261567963884447, c_new = 5.498349466313416
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3211.343720729157
Acceptance probability: 7.939836792154002e-87
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6580:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8720585036909485, b_new = -1.3607869955727452, c_new = 4.848815777946046
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4250.499119799063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6581:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.961856355451015, b_new = -0.9974703921622833, c_new = 3.8553428833678063
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3152.055747603269
Acceptance probability: 4.4488846661639105e-61
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6582:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3111301389937577, b_new = -0.4267908991111818, c_new = 4.499046643168504
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8209.154935347915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6583:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7646264780502405, b_new = -1.1835932636452182, c_new = 4.42624536051944
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12162.927910988748
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6584:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.297292402483551, b_new = -1.2931460780985247, c_new = 5.260702013993114
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14837.07149092048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6585:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6827030437411152, b_new = 0.020435100700044395, c_new = 4.1762103222725955
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13101.051957604335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6586:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.863688629397135, b_new = -0.6149561060326943, c_new = 4.6672281317545385
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3366.888980126472
Acceptance probability: 2.225172750302998e-154
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6587:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9967046420191195, b_new = -1.4357713034731936, c_new = 4.960020371692876
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3154.524863761432
Acceptance probability: 3.7664102623011357e-62
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6588:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.899249055259917, b_new = -0.9563309122471624, c_new = 4.055765421000192
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3510.985236969607
Acceptance probability: 5.849981908528618e-217
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6589:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.214199853834887, b_new = -0.7568029119540787, c_new = 5.196970686907573
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12324.427926455224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6590:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8269389689903632, b_new = -1.0619447046825505, c_new = 5.396569348617513
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4225.983315951074
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6591:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6576052194075546, b_new = -1.3334918142058876, c_new = 5.0723607380060995
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11265.932429578466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6592:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.213000673951181, b_new = -1.4402194740387713, c_new = 4.448714584823479
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3916.923729222582
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6593:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.522787142845665, b_new = -1.2021246852149483, c_new = 4.761729886589091
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9973.717668463729
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6594:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4349079654124353, b_new = -1.3909048990997217, c_new = 4.113690651640457
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11780.741891595455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6595:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.58320524962181, b_new = 0.12481414422365855, c_new = 4.972455016073624
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12788.896375013184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6596:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.57812227327038, b_new = -1.9320729730703632, c_new = 5.079577852086415
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10871.25187325637
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6597:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.696871060288482, b_new = -0.6370692328636509, c_new = 4.7710116107741944
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12499.022283633132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6598:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7570184144767937, b_new = -1.464505305285448, c_new = 5.558190540766151
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6339.666968129977
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6599:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.184356320666706, b_new = -1.9100549401217526, c_new = 5.350610484444495
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3268.081892193141
Acceptance probability: 1.8144157004803908e-111
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6600:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2083079048101744, b_new = -0.7141087947323905, c_new = 4.552514021874543
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12481.87872038081
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6601:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3095855044064737, b_new = -0.8920675108127039, c_new = 5.40169430401047
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7216.053961467349
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6602:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5306341180341105, b_new = -0.5594851785503081, c_new = 5.304991350298416
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11390.887159705755
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6603:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.41817264379633, b_new = -0.9455342804073491, c_new = 5.76906952814356
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9363.534388072983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6604:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6607153397749963, b_new = -0.2274173363054437, c_new = 4.877927784834437
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5398.204474853927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6605:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7000276970706243, b_new = -0.0705403238065978, c_new = 5.321378079687458
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4333.834471725168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6606:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.934497956005597, b_new = -1.703941858645535, c_new = 5.029159490324972
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3965.0818600605053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6607:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5365413142059237, b_new = -1.0393758687069212, c_new = 5.162300333102335
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10566.596609876367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6608:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.717233935866384, b_new = -0.5668607193689184, c_new = 3.873984857608154
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5440.279366580515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6609:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6188384230246933, b_new = -1.7507277903291385, c_new = 5.069683561322962
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9934.966080600894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6610:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.435720411976064, b_new = -0.7006162039602568, c_new = 3.5416434137528165
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9411.557058569842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6611:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9516413035487026, b_new = -2.196094095286654, c_new = 4.966541776711955
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4642.707125687669
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6612:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3846466639628776, b_new = -1.0011928885368673, c_new = 5.256281117835873
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11251.515693471274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6613:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.679522811670079, b_new = -0.13768447618826696, c_new = 4.330913594759677
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12918.566770706042
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6614:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.08837992870457, b_new = -1.866349525462594, c_new = 5.707740219896967
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3026.1685856297736
Acceptance probability: 2.0909850835343454e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6615:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.967928879936165, b_new = -0.9035728720111743, c_new = 5.4000507094227785
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3021.7795101319807
Acceptance probability: 0.0001684620976222353
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6616:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4457519071858544, b_new = 0.008833545539649212, c_new = 4.463327191137758
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11238.973388031849
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6617:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.855914011358178, b_new = -0.8791808336884087, c_new = 4.076697790319276
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3850.011066376671
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6618:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2734071216177707, b_new = -1.491897402267806, c_new = 5.1807183372323795
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12887.485151006886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6619:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.006194800945444, b_new = -1.5099075722496709, c_new = 4.998846704542073
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13380.87129473106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6620:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4017519160224134, b_new = -0.915622790821012, c_new = 4.237225589909612
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11250.715978263359
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6621:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.852014261303571, b_new = -0.6958685776900984, c_new = 5.001962118061217
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3499.7609238042487
Acceptance probability: 4.383406970059474e-212
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6622:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6135089451411897, b_new = -0.8563405598921658, c_new = 4.092063001364457
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11330.951508264121
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6623:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5938164089156834, b_new = -1.3898859787844824, c_new = 4.924190593524595
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9546.569544127751
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6624:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.622250116290976, b_new = -0.6809931776656417, c_new = 4.124285247665808
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11683.433859667279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6625:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.595152291387167, b_new = -1.204830071096501, c_new = 4.933961799476483
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10834.13090700637
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6626:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.006589469252976, b_new = -1.57920545895272, c_new = 4.956681308453103
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13299.116036671432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6627:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5594455086486727, b_new = -0.6563392951801937, c_new = 4.838605266556344
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11364.959161295084
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6628:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5641200932012844, b_new = -1.0256443209955768, c_new = 4.561465839451238
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10706.71901248844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6629:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.483385371710746, b_new = -0.9331258421782314, c_new = 5.023500995407448
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10079.669523996856
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6630:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1676988767619667, b_new = -0.5829437414509484, c_new = 4.576645488751747
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4829.67192811106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6631:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.568432416730175, b_new = -0.505830836774046, c_new = 3.963412822007501
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8199.438522043638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6632:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.324297146420447, b_new = -0.807503776000532, c_new = 4.966895676431093
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7602.01628983576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6633:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.475931055598055, b_new = -0.4934373194143568, c_new = 5.018413286841395
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10836.498364114083
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6634:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3766804872476412, b_new = -0.6783710541662012, c_new = 5.371970889500653
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9157.59339802905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6635:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1433423445295063, b_new = -1.0875057626279465, c_new = 5.68375140347842
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13066.342462388555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6636:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.975612585401865, b_new = -0.6923911729470016, c_new = 5.224467972852432
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3031.83737311041
Acceptance probability: 7.2181817435469404e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6637:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8892301004496526, b_new = -1.77742154933991, c_new = 4.575724567459509
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4894.477104746478
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6638:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.479409910888557, b_new = -1.551668484949834, c_new = 5.045407406159105
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11299.879122007742
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6639:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.493425850320431, b_new = -0.5126444265647613, c_new = 4.27307850260087
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10758.160975263103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6640:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2528458101941866, b_new = -0.760213531199713, c_new = 4.44822044705444
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12253.442824959975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6641:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7879060368846575, b_new = -1.4916151680705416, c_new = 4.939423567783055
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12055.598921386456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6642:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6322531828946665, b_new = -1.6292628333879158, c_new = 4.306481998151709
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9740.817820105847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6643:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8748212779138083, b_new = -1.2691280406712309, c_new = 4.790618862054096
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4069.5507405764065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6644:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8371491166600817, b_new = 0.20427839362652922, c_new = 4.933661999070269
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3080.473755016297
Acceptance probability: 5.4439675936718126e-30
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6645:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.262197008384967, b_new = -0.5473606239674114, c_new = 5.270063937759007
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7107.253001891477
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6646:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8397891339781447, b_new = -0.612767394612796, c_new = 5.073244056670984
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13507.606683896329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6647:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.773149076127911, b_new = -0.1310860557474104, c_new = 3.2104916556764174
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13218.317631346563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6648:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.732020551258413, b_new = -0.3729070646613669, c_new = 4.5149365547789335
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4581.901216918754
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6649:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.944345102630371, b_new = -0.3959687719866185, c_new = 4.546169537548561
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3027.3662922307894
Acceptance probability: 6.31238627594662e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6650:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5291163603887004, b_new = -0.5350406698727396, c_new = 4.277743141125184
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8834.89386386391
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6651:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8410526238218576, b_new = -0.6926085252699123, c_new = 5.346404477937706
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3547.8119444517397
Acceptance probability: 5.936338768796277e-233
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6652:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.075573867868102, b_new = -0.6043815949183402, c_new = 4.751674930173281
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3602.531840718327
Acceptance probability: 1.0208682051101373e-256
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6653:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8423010931197528, b_new = -0.3292285593518185, c_new = 4.646873839485407
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3279.9303328941537
Acceptance probability: 1.2972520917765388e-116
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6654:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.223185049245669, b_new = -0.9199656619624185, c_new = 5.221861914536523
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5255.252604612218
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6655:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5208984652412054, b_new = -0.8307126693760257, c_new = 4.7102673889770434
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9467.697092043465
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6656:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5573434666813393, b_new = -1.5985297426081333, c_new = 4.686017288763591
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9626.666561626262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6657:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1658875608130135, b_new = -0.40693713322279207, c_new = 5.130717582376972
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5376.456369618429
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6658:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.185488059817734, b_new = -1.061243845053974, c_new = 3.6942489484364502
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4006.229645298659
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6659:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7137582119349433, b_new = -1.5343676034245433, c_new = 5.002075779738152
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7668.130184354443
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6660:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9604610016731077, b_new = -0.49541256670321293, c_new = 4.6950604721755225
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13623.306582860085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6661:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.915482370239014, b_new = -0.9870178684186173, c_new = 5.207144866520213
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3264.0949212095584
Acceptance probability: 9.778140943150242e-110
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6662:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6904489781609415, b_new = -0.5627633571060584, c_new = 4.92458333580739
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12595.637570154691
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6663:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.827094861081915, b_new = -0.8173100325084609, c_new = 4.031590325676164
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12928.26630353948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6664:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7152573371109523, b_new = -0.12731974558884018, c_new = 4.210647187164752
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13129.958045434618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6665:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9424163444053235, b_new = -1.5196572786760714, c_new = 5.569488785369733
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3524.73906808443
Acceptance probability: 6.222165590438271e-223
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6666:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3628601156703075, b_new = -0.591848562421754, c_new = 4.157353360505079
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8660.22834689431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6667:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.412314049356354, b_new = -2.114395030180406, c_new = 4.005095036291033
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5700.382839781361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6668:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.581540912274631, b_new = -1.7125226421358475, c_new = 4.0599618823969505
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10748.724950865644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6669:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6030036294914396, b_new = -1.0872195091950958, c_new = 5.32956125294102
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8517.51146813752
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6670:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3730051449665233, b_new = -0.582075376124586, c_new = 4.64419157933895
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9054.72143185196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6671:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8251041171690328, b_new = -0.8177138305806402, c_new = 4.3313779134971835
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4079.6552810212806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6672:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2914936029127233, b_new = -0.39053305936852584, c_new = 4.669787939378683
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7963.805373402124
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6673:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1626128996759397, b_new = -1.4534701905145806, c_new = 4.989540518726085
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3467.4790278833507
Acceptance probability: 4.588397745371273e-198
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6674:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0160444916251534, b_new = 0.815215711550935, c_new = 5.351355110941895
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5655.727014305728
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6675:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9064384642640895, b_new = -0.1754106931190451, c_new = 5.470630391071259
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3069.498521587595
Acceptance probability: 3.1797929856945787e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6676:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.822563593785315, b_new = -0.7860844290871954, c_new = 5.024806550961472
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3917.945799685091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6677:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.803281898951613, b_new = -0.09511841776271779, c_new = 4.714619619185473
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3353.1864449391355
Acceptance probability: 1.9874634601793478e-148
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6678:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1041708947178805, b_new = -0.64666894137814, c_new = 4.326645549377978
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3767.7988844826914
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6679:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.187978631676915, b_new = -0.5420608107109899, c_new = 4.30868391665142
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12461.838453438422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6680:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.204697005910603, b_new = -1.361789480051985, c_new = 4.6238661433172314
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13308.526395820812
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6681:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6813571719500784, b_new = -0.3260438685855942, c_new = 4.81452452952341
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5260.768321877651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6682:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.965815741260504, b_new = -0.5310275350634593, c_new = 5.1855688132255375
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3055.767709760541
Acceptance probability: 2.921558962051372e-19
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6683:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.502289919035617, b_new = -1.0873506511255973, c_new = 4.730694551012955
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9925.633391694497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6684:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3242009134799755, b_new = -2.019575452151591, c_new = 4.838923417742075
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13338.45323353166
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6685:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.362853853437546, b_new = -2.0046441851713555, c_new = 4.654202438590094
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13119.579072682991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6686:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0789881300618216, b_new = 0.09548357449760703, c_new = 5.311377805197165
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12132.794699824777
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6687:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.293232623409144, b_new = -1.1208047816147269, c_new = 5.223182258191726
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6157.739051942951
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6688:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3896339226114853, b_new = -0.763976383312391, c_new = 4.666306425206597
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8904.950652943447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6689:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5603798899311334, b_new = 0.5185680530008644, c_new = 4.588232687805841
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13060.47230706867
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6690:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6252741894491214, b_new = -1.027795064778409, c_new = 4.535917385583579
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11296.016821412226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6691:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.715820473023189, b_new = -0.3308308138381696, c_new = 4.215061306618482
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4837.6279099810135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6692:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.613222147718955, b_new = 0.04092333818256755, c_new = 4.77116768324443
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5699.3261584355405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6693:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.849235516152827, b_new = -1.831148329867059, c_new = 5.08133966267912
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5587.21914747385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6694:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.535828840777258, b_new = -0.943338741385891, c_new = 3.729102650667354
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9846.958007574816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6695:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8655702900446505, b_new = -0.9925098702081792, c_new = 5.617533963605658
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3622.150705368387
Acceptance probability: 3.0803851368921734e-265
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6696:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.092364568659357, b_new = -0.45731638384939577, c_new = 4.461365300559917
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3935.1395801276076
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6697:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8090550647994483, b_new = -0.9955168914971276, c_new = 4.37373408290244
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4626.856195445372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6698:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2584454081200294, b_new = -1.5344201320664363, c_new = 5.389944397436025
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4589.298979871504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6699:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6772409011488985, b_new = -1.172721453621735, c_new = 4.334951565066898
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7692.8545469762075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6700:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.931403009697835, b_new = -0.6666903395858732, c_new = 4.864828401014354
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3049.682511222305
Acceptance probability: 1.283461370888424e-16
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6701:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4184637047362956, b_new = -0.5272043186045787, c_new = 4.733119897569623
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9940.688798202786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6702:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0418983350726485, b_new = -1.2669440840404824, c_new = 5.510361067318027
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13833.518249864512
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6703:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6799741336197553, b_new = -0.9475707729959766, c_new = 5.408869383371507
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6619.799019751015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6704:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1168620908937923, b_new = -1.5678039464531417, c_new = 4.469618155363566
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3090.6697215868203
Acceptance probability: 2.031718392117648e-34
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6705:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.449783728950375, b_new = -0.08510611468542706, c_new = 4.863373858266775
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11244.490507975435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6706:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5396291294546756, b_new = -0.5989408643790008, c_new = 4.607502507417882
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8693.536763984934
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6707:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3223579714965177, b_new = -1.6362944625473992, c_new = 5.06040051077857
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5391.622079690531
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6708:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.711367451146158, b_new = -0.14466388952974052, c_new = 4.482265559437723
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4479.327299685011
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6709:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.526816807607678, b_new = -1.1623894099324357, c_new = 4.731884328528961
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10090.741616961366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6710:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7634980128829123, b_new = -0.8679407994658457, c_new = 4.6416945808903005
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5045.159045372268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6711:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.491106768997327, b_new = -1.5775294186805393, c_new = 5.27537104895913
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11142.687893847431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6712:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3091597551362515, b_new = -1.0674734272863762, c_new = 5.002186385239806
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6562.656618819585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6713:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5847556315829197, b_new = 0.09281077460626475, c_new = 4.791246284279744
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6111.523874145676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6714:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.664050645156307, b_new = -0.8383802851545484, c_new = 5.116535631195793
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6763.647459866407
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6715:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.966138184952795, b_new = -0.2586798561286586, c_new = 4.693516128735599
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3145.71189856282
Acceptance probability: 2.531335905857682e-58
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6716:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3892552871923636, b_new = -0.9572972167914517, c_new = 4.756151330096398
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8439.653165018695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6717:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.857680808010311, b_new = -0.5851653102524805, c_new = 4.477707366436625
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3408.488257822127
Acceptance probability: 1.9099719029018573e-172
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6718:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8184785004002646, b_new = -0.7649350950632597, c_new = 5.1022162267101
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3920.97765166817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6719:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0162008594060867, b_new = -0.7885642583375065, c_new = 4.56973014945274
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3063.0865984152574
Acceptance probability: 1.9366970861183862e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6720:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.711816642472933, b_new = -0.03404626418786816, c_new = 4.975810882227506
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4179.952815153418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6721:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5603742067355184, b_new = 0.03507232115484271, c_new = 4.29686275976028
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12287.79770683856
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6722:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.942324097971462, b_new = -1.4105507056843414, c_new = 3.9165104968366253
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3687.456031927484
Acceptance probability: 1.33925123555368e-293
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6723:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9192667913423813, b_new = -0.2925962351731195, c_new = 4.72280253541716
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3029.1173541038984
Acceptance probability: 1.0957640753518178e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6724:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9391556622183406, b_new = -0.9546179115670429, c_new = 4.152122048559597
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3208.46699374312
Acceptance probability: 1.4098023537970045e-85
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6725:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.638416158959986, b_new = -0.37060845279182436, c_new = 5.225671393110774
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6053.848029166403
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6726:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.764580315746527, b_new = -1.1408445450849554, c_new = 5.663272154184904
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5336.318467552551
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6727:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2405268971620482, b_new = -1.813655253931422, c_new = 4.448622657345176
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13693.666018557324
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6728:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.803062798874691, b_new = -0.692179047673817, c_new = 4.762070366365042
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4070.1634042409564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6729:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.159892314647944, b_new = -0.25941279604754275, c_new = 4.257469315247501
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5328.349544529656
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6730:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.622402732959936, b_new = -0.8842590064860762, c_new = 4.377975798405755
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7997.588725149588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6731:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2723605653063936, b_new = -0.6567840589630036, c_new = 5.4144446308907925
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7075.406662909609
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6732:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5858779437440886, b_new = -0.3857798708237964, c_new = 4.802004656043874
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7265.906292596812
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6733:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.66912949560623, b_new = -0.03513852606541057, c_new = 5.463530045797867
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4702.13520905527
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6734:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2262833102163593, b_new = -0.39115306979570535, c_new = 5.006696448831949
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11785.22752903737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6735:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.906160474673312, b_new = -2.036598513291312, c_new = 4.839695520377851
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5100.435034108932
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6736:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4252340464692534, b_new = -0.4274789441703083, c_new = 4.940850479486007
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9853.7365755396
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6737:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.056506980322682, b_new = -0.10597766300908984, c_new = 4.352189102253783
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4025.9265106697603
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6738:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1219281805008148, b_new = -0.95729200518494, c_new = 4.696338636276548
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3611.047673399443
Acceptance probability: 2.0445161041098328e-260
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6739:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.858536991082914, b_new = -0.001358026584454719, c_new = 5.546799105358155
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3079.4314267169266
Acceptance probability: 1.543806837421695e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6740:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4577395989992925, b_new = -0.5519051301508728, c_new = 4.874051668890932
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10463.10919298687
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6741:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.251318960235226, b_new = -0.7055853421383639, c_new = 4.91383129930255
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6274.16235687749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6742:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.362909607311069, b_new = -0.8807789967313435, c_new = 4.871248205489697
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11380.355856938157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6743:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1877597903656385, b_new = 0.03578839153590807, c_new = 5.154770821015734
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7098.397257042237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6744:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9483156277699814, b_new = -0.7537246208288794, c_new = 4.967255865017695
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3032.6985466515566
Acceptance probability: 3.050878384175686e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6745:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7613678056705755, b_new = -1.0414269966596084, c_new = 5.201686190211489
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12528.051119945449
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6746:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8387734835530676, b_new = -1.1348759704044387, c_new = 4.813649548423865
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4326.204252627026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6747:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.057701786243862, b_new = -1.2315129426707725, c_new = 4.878022406507893
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13875.19029323306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6748:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1565506176398745, b_new = -0.7863857072824066, c_new = 5.010102649737833
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4362.809484694296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6749:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1149279836178994, b_new = -0.7535607038030204, c_new = 5.3983091538662835
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3950.2479702812957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6750:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.509200274310171, b_new = -0.779976290820639, c_new = 5.327131734451011
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9319.12585322244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6751:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5900070779905326, b_new = -0.26182838879527137, c_new = 5.251458068395323
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6724.719883837497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6752:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9223079115861443, b_new = -1.2500490589487963, c_new = 4.452116849998707
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3577.725212541652
Acceptance probability: 6.058308849902877e-246
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6753:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2309426255703286, b_new = -1.4968600899298168, c_new = 4.567332754582348
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4076.7578416863103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6754:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.447113561920276, b_new = -0.9538133950826784, c_new = 5.031403869813716
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10560.425784500014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6755:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2879864012708206, b_new = -0.3566376378128949, c_new = 4.690717374487222
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7994.307167939924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6756:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.632936557796169, b_new = -0.3417196370864406, c_new = 5.809782298569276
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12744.076792667756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6757:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.374982292308777, b_new = -1.7554520718236044, c_new = 3.78056364967947
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12954.905394462236
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6758:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5225242898496134, b_new = -0.4593808283083206, c_new = 5.019248151066258
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11390.216717198418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6759:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1307056519767493, b_new = -0.6015807367188013, c_new = 5.382688152464395
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4425.657276263308
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6760:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9094981075010047, b_new = -0.6296403707341006, c_new = 4.167006445620895
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3148.9607092190427
Acceptance probability: 9.826734869136376e-60
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6761:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.335459463744919, b_new = -0.19705355227720056, c_new = 5.017776908019821
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10456.651072889434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6762:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3406554886910835, b_new = -1.6417857076360143, c_new = 4.273783606103306
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5497.094415926809
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6763:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2817719372294993, b_new = -1.1283171719712233, c_new = 4.6643522487931905
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5705.714898186654
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6764:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0675566149756506, b_new = -1.365389718429662, c_new = 4.914508737586069
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13957.953014496536
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6765:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3009696655764915, b_new = -0.7827927966898307, c_new = 5.343957352330697
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7316.2874146331105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6766:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7057282987123834, b_new = -0.9553155208370899, c_new = 5.311118620949937
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6148.379620273676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6767:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.927922813644482, b_new = -0.5067468794762853, c_new = 4.222261860660299
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3037.4743233696327
Acceptance probability: 2.5723580614807643e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6768:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1045832977912298, b_new = -0.38761811783579414, c_new = 5.110707783208507
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4373.324322117688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6769:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3007738214439684, b_new = -1.435130437346322, c_new = 5.404446481845696
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5563.57111100035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6770:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7804397819490014, b_new = 0.24497452465012814, c_new = 4.499469659640622
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3270.8205863521025
Acceptance probability: 1.1731054012930204e-112
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6771:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.059099283764982, b_new = -0.6376640610846358, c_new = 4.962046352114566
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3449.3978758062485
Acceptance probability: 3.2674250270355664e-190
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6772:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.23962657639317, b_new = -0.9415596924053055, c_new = 5.080611376127437
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5470.76144366104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6773:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.103777379237002, b_new = -1.1605918289058226, c_new = 5.319095498585568
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14247.292955140156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6774:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1091047062156028, b_new = -0.6106525418371499, c_new = 5.951123368916665
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4247.667993216575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6775:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4698432326807622, b_new = -0.9801837636634061, c_new = 5.449084996159158
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9948.415394082138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6776:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.84118051061188, b_new = -1.0522914183047691, c_new = 4.870015530750844
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4134.488401017798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6777:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.136619767054888, b_new = -1.16207836726712, c_new = 4.864437743018776
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3535.177565126429
Acceptance probability: 1.8220483619158194e-227
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6778:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.253091000568038, b_new = -1.0788894777857916, c_new = 5.908675969433865
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5676.470196553447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6779:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9784348729763623, b_new = -1.3491891707637087, c_new = 4.540721321188144
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3234.3934351635635
Acceptance probability: 7.752607322051556e-97
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6780:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5990647552219333, b_new = -0.6912573025389669, c_new = 4.358732866843112
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7951.778836544872
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6781:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6363428215987064, b_new = -0.43617181392409876, c_new = 4.833170120186623
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12351.871082394597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6782:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5231359452941238, b_new = -0.5302399999273659, c_new = 4.40224704862341
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8876.24958001142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6783:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6939199428295577, b_new = -0.5534319245610255, c_new = 5.1862084014629515
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12705.001089165182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6784:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.201447584021296, b_new = -0.7293974142124553, c_new = 5.082232564348943
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5254.928454532848
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6785:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.155298219964469, b_new = -0.7520657173869323, c_new = 5.939797768358081
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4664.977395035693
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6786:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.658610047343953, b_new = -1.3728377372498897, c_new = 4.841692468011628
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11149.39888277061
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6787:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.305578099897004, b_new = -0.6601514515423452, c_new = 5.290913774384924
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7749.000885230485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6788:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7551095549470697, b_new = -0.21312736051317827, c_new = 4.660654060822427
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3959.10966730243
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6789:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5158773542421855, b_new = -1.1288981252892487, c_new = 5.342749179335964
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9944.927858207224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6790:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2566262589861026, b_new = -0.9466215456571039, c_new = 5.605817372544747
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5988.182153110794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6791:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.41750650463292, b_new = -0.6770673346393126, c_new = 4.87415304146719
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9645.675304572806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6792:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0365406345143633, b_new = -0.599579886337754, c_new = 4.857180463002703
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3302.166282137711
Acceptance probability: 2.85807962101629e-126
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6793:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9389349372702926, b_new = -1.1749556435229258, c_new = 5.518825878907571
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3231.868150204586
Acceptance probability: 9.686460458587932e-96
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6794:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9214990303581203, b_new = -0.9228741475636573, c_new = 5.006541428357164
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14138.775249590157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6795:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.508987268594308, b_new = -0.711939984455235, c_new = 4.834210176176921
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10747.473130026827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6796:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5056951586435114, b_new = -0.9669039612546513, c_new = 4.503991326289753
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10033.802752664942
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6797:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5507007030158424, b_new = -0.9441627227139177, c_new = 4.014608413674274
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9526.774834417112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6798:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6643198252095746, b_new = -0.38263826393992245, c_new = 4.508539359773857
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14720.347866586852
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6799:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.190995856352757, b_new = -0.537058049799668, c_new = 4.556027839903959
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14946.075199326773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6800:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7794773671070603, b_new = -1.0146495603573755, c_new = 4.448352492966728
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5148.869011959611
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6801:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3827768692095868, b_new = -0.7709288532959367, c_new = 5.169734094328898
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10903.298171791064
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6802:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6024200931518884, b_new = -0.782352321556158, c_new = 4.864507382914655
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7933.294263467702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6803:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9941302189836119, b_new = -1.371216085703389, c_new = 5.406509993793368
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14168.249736704303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6804:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7321958160340456, b_new = -0.8742825079526436, c_new = 5.774371451317416
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5288.774529598493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6805:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8195325910709985, b_new = -1.9548355409112839, c_new = 5.277052613312685
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6463.495347784331
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6806:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8009925538346219, b_new = -0.6578386779676628, c_new = 5.51472348254172
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14259.573131330115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6807:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8849514254741226, b_new = -1.3090387258894052, c_new = 5.1837371793020335
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3920.103676763669
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6808:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097290912119268, b_new = -1.753951916200965, c_new = 4.170697116977894
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3063.841027417295
Acceptance probability: 9.107880976933116e-23
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6809:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.436699364591493, b_new = -1.390718165615823, c_new = 5.114560557162183
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8357.424081503295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6810:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.637497417554563, b_new = -1.3510075777938644, c_new = 4.699007252221548
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8801.922563539349
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6811:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.420308031826656, b_new = -0.9856210655415681, c_new = 4.401532896378248
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8804.767182195721
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6812:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.490272931140277, b_new = -0.33984152436623205, c_new = 4.389980422063889
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11067.91693308846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6813:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.135032550319618, b_new = -0.6005120590390904, c_new = 4.687337951870514
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12783.041319695114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6814:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8555758496445676, b_new = -1.034719627002805, c_new = 4.402639445595936
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4022.9564447953007
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6815:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7893237145574337, b_new = -0.8885565237823729, c_new = 4.053073190602804
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4819.967814495112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6816:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3567696190627734, b_new = -0.45426999693358877, c_new = 4.708682204527409
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9111.335039087393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6817:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5706433873290875, b_new = -0.3822151219227982, c_new = 4.387663871463671
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11769.467079538248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6818:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.257551419703811, b_new = -0.8597108255476142, c_new = 5.616314158746929
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6249.981814519467
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6819:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.67649868412186, b_new = -0.24313479040515862, c_new = 5.629708938049152
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4949.906301014569
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6820:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.236322922549485, b_new = -0.8335240330609901, c_new = 4.113089221518744
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14766.59965392698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6821:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8748853711633546, b_new = -1.0703650431730036, c_new = 4.05787544516444
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3916.7171310143685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6822:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.204642310593323, b_new = -1.5270365196755746, c_new = 4.951007466789446
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3785.5871719401785
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6823:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.940283309416014, b_new = -0.9843267874913492, c_new = 5.3712264710730855
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3118.9772222374477
Acceptance probability: 1.0329330727755338e-46
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6824:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0223551394726758, b_new = -0.4197722186449384, c_new = 4.5345167843688765
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3324.74699804592
Acceptance probability: 4.460607465789073e-136
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6825:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.583769119111902, b_new = -0.7004810184700337, c_new = 5.065918068908254
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11588.58101495751
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6826:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1364377192967363, b_new = -0.48866563766597076, c_new = 4.132081774355763
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4401.119737983672
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6827:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.855993191915186, b_new = -0.6057006441919814, c_new = 5.143391361067621
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13620.499609406977
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6828:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4126292560940854, b_new = -1.229049580001032, c_new = 4.771146327096802
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11510.032439427498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6829:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3544129776286327, b_new = -0.1760371136451473, c_new = 4.748546271670841
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9768.825932789527
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6830:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.665872722773816, b_new = -1.5578453530814662, c_new = 5.43156872740495
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11093.43583927737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6831:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.087553950334426, b_new = -0.5053281930320361, c_new = 4.7606862797004075
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3867.379943389076
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6832:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.498881303977758, b_new = -0.6925971107905774, c_new = 5.705870351152023
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10953.037304939156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6833:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6033496933520175, b_new = -0.44245690028458873, c_new = 5.276540246441335
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14808.099487770365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6834:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230961120426736, b_new = -0.3724995873304142, c_new = 4.888120533626372
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6759.096761344428
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6835:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.163348672623351, b_new = -0.46790070388894034, c_new = 4.635161328952731
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12446.293564723026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6836:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6614234758982196, b_new = -1.1997153812686383, c_new = 4.836672165668296
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7888.8955838384745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6837:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8992436445575236, b_new = -0.17993154283793333, c_new = 5.101391007237073
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3045.498463136897
Acceptance probability: 8.423484818745723e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6838:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.296784912945397, b_new = -0.3327769187845444, c_new = 4.377572201267581
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8122.806043845208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6839:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3769222116474955, b_new = -1.363012513875312, c_new = 4.866689951563575
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7148.225898180637
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6840:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3997823780873264, b_new = -1.017503090095497, c_new = 4.117221344964382
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8250.189517456223
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6841:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8676720389760617, b_new = -0.9057710906734794, c_new = 5.083309482308749
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13328.031654808068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6842:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9206135248474183, b_new = -0.3100417008672247, c_new = 4.905655920055004
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3032.5561420267995
Acceptance probability: 3.5177942818540932e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6843:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2648166079748604, b_new = -1.2433208223806114, c_new = 4.764586162542928
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5136.795669190419
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6844:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9133553633253237, b_new = -0.6885648582021686, c_new = 4.916685229921191
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3111.909912887292
Acceptance probability: 1.2116177741321606e-43
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6845:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3090793027667775, b_new = -0.5066530463553054, c_new = 5.18278424546125
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8220.847927354167
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6846:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.03144737300555, b_new = -1.0639414882586893, c_new = 5.450214905582458
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14059.49531453774
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6847:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7766062635723565, b_new = -0.5205342403413633, c_new = 5.777028508461396
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3947.187385022233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6848:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.017041336119447, b_new = -1.2238869573148046, c_new = 5.782875408468496
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Acceptance probability: 1.960316192997892
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6849:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.549740828345912, b_new = -0.3927488729736581, c_new = 6.778591645855356
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -16385.729216049356
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6850:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.743600225090015, b_new = -0.9588557590246569, c_new = 5.554721338558002
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5337.410238379552
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6851:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9958954556570996, b_new = -0.5056021485312664, c_new = 5.620521367137978
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3222.5433979463423
Acceptance probability: 5.540225392504347e-92
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6852:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3504313237564856, b_new = -0.8237084021458005, c_new = 5.742306444893705
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8420.510352273182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6853:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.565930926975744, b_new = -0.8059737335988825, c_new = 5.600166553904164
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8388.437726944214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6854:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.605637723354068, b_new = -2.050531283654447, c_new = 5.10780473427884
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10754.013751267388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6855:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3050515347286016, b_new = -1.7350883031604225, c_new = 5.551822727990629
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4995.638261479149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6856:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.784632615489026, b_new = -1.6786789786871492, c_new = 6.341554341878849
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6052.218544308315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6857:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7893439568434455, b_new = -0.34293479843737296, c_new = 5.582582177114539
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3612.4837440906476
Acceptance probability: 2.480771886204272e-261
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6858:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9863980415034048, b_new = -1.7472416220643305, c_new = 5.373363177222092
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -14548.486064964689
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6859:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.770569667078166, b_new = -1.7640175731125367, c_new = 6.078168153189815
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -15146.0514698828
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6860:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2248276055049336, b_new = -0.5310565084494888, c_new = 5.757974170105629
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11794.198028304883
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6861:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1429708895983683, b_new = -0.7104735121133412, c_new = 5.879437575889069
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4536.862577387471
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6862:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.790060110783755, b_new = -0.6312537901305545, c_new = 5.692626682426652
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3959.529261443454
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6863:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.306473812405151, b_new = -0.7242320549362711, c_new = 6.2382116515943205
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7983.294370585874
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6864:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.226617951986766, b_new = -0.978156602445655, c_new = 5.8443622473678065
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5384.919899473409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6865:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9644921271331754, b_new = -2.2846376616913826, c_new = 5.442005986414231
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -15079.139836355544
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6866:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9543498665731787, b_new = -1.1983227629657862, c_new = 5.830123126335474
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3140.8583392772316
Acceptance probability: 1.6553798611139298e-56
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6867:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.114231100027649, b_new = -1.1111591774731289, c_new = 6.068718992312833
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -14511.266146464473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6868:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1267800008397915, b_new = -1.77172647775364, c_new = 5.358100805809336
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3078.500685011976
Acceptance probability: 1.9974817460937207e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6869:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5904469987921233, b_new = -0.7533049950856711, c_new = 6.33489723319365
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7571.527530226753
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6870:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.043505286832216, b_new = -0.8724334844478503, c_new = 5.464032995758004
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3197.5179046873586
Acceptance probability: 4.092239685521654e-81
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6871:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7378764431565807, b_new = -1.1467357504737734, c_new = 5.709350859903544
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5853.008971339983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6872:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.468396307362833, b_new = 0.15549880234655133, c_new = 5.612944107829095
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7831.615166096146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6873:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9736206528580142, b_new = -1.4618871543132959, c_new = 5.477080166033717
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13377.856505585843
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6874:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1677816823835974, b_new = -1.1864677029859485, c_new = 5.4601910032110945
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3939.5420376521106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6875:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7817956481193264, b_new = -1.3475836523658182, c_new = 5.950965219934884
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5410.012628940709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6876:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.248319065528845, b_new = -0.9509756120491148, c_new = 6.2824775720822545
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -15170.969234960787
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6877:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1927470243349583, b_new = -1.9191751333327196, c_new = 4.696768818871809
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3266.6073938585187
Acceptance probability: 4.04368352106451e-111
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6878:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8074354235721835, b_new = -2.1938136924574456, c_new = 5.57359694164795
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7297.214380666142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6879:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.078166867672511, b_new = -1.2738769261343694, c_new = 6.478617499974312
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3208.2788345857734
Acceptance probability: 8.68057687835474e-86
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6880:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3446327625933137, b_new = -1.0420471311498567, c_new = 5.648192456184127
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7648.827845608947
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6881:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.07904711491315, b_new = -1.8285714476118886, c_new = 5.952931611574302
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3021.7265545305345
Acceptance probability: 9.060963942593553e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6882:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4234302253701494, b_new = -1.1009065599092236, c_new = 5.9390229352665616
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10811.909264711227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6883:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.422731884331801, b_new = -0.8751125288580694, c_new = 5.670055021810867
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9564.813495412303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6884:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.267041929379741, b_new = -0.7182022718739138, c_new = 5.815669924320952
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6943.224977886901
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5827325186674503, b_new = -0.9358252975999354, c_new = 5.875361226448079
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11446.160238476321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9041554989563427, b_new = -1.3198807872048448, c_new = 5.288136131198175
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3698.780533496419
Acceptance probability: 8.248355805569398e-299
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.116155268324726, b_new = -0.5963712150092556, c_new = 5.5571622376796395
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -14860.214007108525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6028432889277635, b_new = -1.0742073378638748, c_new = 5.705699752123074
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11357.791009243629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.461047852868744, b_new = -0.9559809407574886, c_new = 6.222975730622676
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10150.897083537748
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6206708902438893, b_new = -1.27772699598032, c_new = 5.145320872104846
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8746.207031524225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2354191911943175, b_new = -2.1140160953070253, c_new = 5.664803540595029
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3500.468536976532
Acceptance probability: 1.101978624563679e-212
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.986592997385814, b_new = -1.765097081524066, c_new = 5.968036100801494
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3361.625541767226
Acceptance probability: 2.192400239121697e-152
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.397986329931712, b_new = -0.37605778631999653, c_new = 6.000527031304383
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10441.748909344225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.037928339326816, b_new = -0.5197068707009722, c_new = 6.580266079358648
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3689.4010142451516
Acceptance probability: 9.768791500605591e-295
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831351160348999, b_new = -1.0673800731478869, c_new = 4.985037632156475
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4269.327303724673
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.465506374660224, b_new = -0.9402560295579901, c_new = 5.669123913065953
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10109.111596011551
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6098988953709195, b_new = -0.7151862681381007, c_new = 6.635215710695038
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12274.898305818266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6924299420691566, b_new = -1.9470480300810025, c_new = 6.346602993838024
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8684.646874993563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6789492795248644, b_new = -1.6425138064873332, c_new = 5.675382858491697
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8400.388831464266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3904605135812633, b_new = -1.6598311134450006, c_new = 5.189603029071321
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12268.226391879027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.026431144263672, b_new = -1.1158688546991382, c_new = 4.850806784815759
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3015.874472782988
Acceptance probability: 0.03152834780275683
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6072902872584964, b_new = -1.0463603737381937, c_new = 5.957755861076138
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8111.776739136253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.788630673956191, b_new = -0.5630150795303683, c_new = 5.41816251452545
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3926.373084447249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.060219907973166, b_new = -1.6628606980150962, c_new = 4.682127457446899
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3066.1869262977134
Acceptance probability: 4.4491831144160366e-24
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.635480299403824, b_new = -0.9300979641424145, c_new = 5.591695472910992
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11842.062018554327
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3451233870532118, b_new = -1.9385717669705795, c_new = 6.110503535884571
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5435.269202436937
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.864625438011518, b_new = -0.43466419179719495, c_new = 5.764893479711137
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3154.1748168910003
Acceptance probability: 2.726621917180337e-62
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0892990343190267, b_new = -1.4506830193918703, c_new = 6.507304683741081
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3151.377810791846
Acceptance probability: 4.470429353187693e-61
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8402932584722125, b_new = -0.8752233231182754, c_new = 6.849096058250322
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13681.805558012607
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.603144502831351, b_new = -0.56510094709682, c_new = 6.130755086014487
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6932.5488505682515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.488600366677044, b_new = -0.6998162331717255, c_new = 5.849535274818307
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9274.474676774984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.913052401915101, b_new = -1.6955043137995005, c_new = 4.70725882145866
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12572.512340338988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.590346653743899, b_new = -1.1223643887407753, c_new = 5.1300410850101
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8897.258516905893
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.119846918832476, b_new = -1.2282495351749472, c_new = 6.049336476410289
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3489.495472497759
Acceptance probability: 6.422653951675697e-208
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8106920872393437, b_new = -0.5310001407813387, c_new = 4.81328194873922
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13372.068079726614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9052752999377311, b_new = -0.6804555321100662, c_new = 6.162888527385949
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13728.324203367152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6856889425203225, b_new = -2.2100219606699816, c_new = 6.662149422405538
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9354.881361066447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7417581100928943, b_new = -1.3878987057751566, c_new = 5.647417830063905
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6420.8801762191915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.498778538194504, b_new = -1.2080616444511965, c_new = 6.152270359087521
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10109.973009974408
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.294577794734515, b_new = -1.4188122283769817, c_new = 5.1173481961610445
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12665.564543682105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4163892932528293, b_new = -1.1322205607734368, c_new = 6.223522336186292
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9052.582369111029
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8928350645894945, b_new = -0.2652834903133592, c_new = 6.053748618153677
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3072.232420861519
Acceptance probability: 1.0537931007121189e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2490219721828413, b_new = -1.600446216104313, c_new = 5.532881043761879
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13086.456466093248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.410869185803413, b_new = -2.07996788845808, c_new = 7.021378897719579
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6728.704177792501
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.16843065510197, b_new = -1.0259995481876645, c_new = 4.818751153223779
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4066.2862106971934
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.145956821097821, b_new = -1.5535935721731833, c_new = 5.51319870821723
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3307.372581601647
Acceptance probability: 7.992470971469675e-129
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.40126760466361, b_new = -0.8821100286888182, c_new = 5.788395597820866
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9240.576148182037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.036742980724819, b_new = -1.6670878647288996, c_new = 5.083471947345905
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3107.303215527572
Acceptance probability: 6.190172498334069e-42
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3568886270686815, b_new = -1.4327704567677164, c_new = 5.845902208421406
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12010.930506213326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2823135148028495, b_new = -0.5956273955576359, c_new = 5.70796838358876
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7599.068827632338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.596280872405563, b_new = -1.6221472539124433, c_new = 5.288928022302963
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10233.020165962302
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.109299876035903, b_new = -0.9202814036003983, c_new = 5.430007560584184
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3655.7539001245495
Acceptance probability: 4.0049475694953685e-280
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.300242936835078, b_new = -1.654988544599569, c_new = 5.942751401064253
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5200.762107680157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.734000462069142, b_new = -1.3765829900011604, c_new = 6.576472048056732
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12263.255965558617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8376890531087677, b_new = -1.3648310664517262, c_new = 5.688614994903291
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4554.466335810677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6181054911742025, b_new = -1.1062374141183526, c_new = 6.205093947306807
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7973.955515186843
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0379963147696736, b_new = -0.7295178341470989, c_new = 6.6088264886302275
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3442.807599058945
Acceptance probability: 1.213389770844227e-187
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.664971340494171, b_new = -1.0251282997679207, c_new = 6.322052970594709
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6808.212885309539
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3549782659399976, b_new = -1.5912285951828595, c_new = 5.622715421499848
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6351.267878917131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.618233632252716, b_new = -1.5155942714186508, c_new = 5.876872576655446
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9098.269405261479
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.538693757155615, b_new = -1.2651174743130476, c_new = 5.5384345716877785
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9853.056850468885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1312336339221654, b_new = -0.17361207243878973, c_new = 5.232768225836506
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5324.563167777982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1077549672627085, b_new = -1.2671569175136523, c_new = 5.726526733211009
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13458.178694373742
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1907175276203787, b_new = -2.4460520606502523, c_new = 5.592835552082052
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -14330.419662544868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5196491261920557, b_new = -0.07015788268412493, c_new = 5.9283895974484375
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12293.413172557126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5801550461702463, b_new = -0.9802593669922453, c_new = 5.7363241840485975
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8511.729757422214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.119055944605699, b_new = -1.8308262250149476, c_new = 5.6721886358518345
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -14011.31297678853
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.660420247284459, b_new = -0.731965086092861, c_new = 5.419457103895921
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6455.478781176854
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.401385410708003, b_new = -0.5145052294591179, c_new = 5.442893280882776
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9975.378400361576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094497455355686, b_new = -1.0415586184707941, c_new = 5.928863353075267
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3458.100975219863
Acceptance probability: 2.768034208860036e-194
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9036613338219124, b_new = -1.1602054425920412, c_new = 6.186581428655081
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13520.257501301376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.724835036578601, b_new = -1.4398397024596454, c_new = 6.1005479792839825
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6748.87811117437
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4959576919981035, b_new = -1.0645161417529034, c_new = 4.714313578161478
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9882.764857602233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.405782788133437, b_new = -0.9081686921386023, c_new = 5.705798975656637
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9222.384567281666
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.19937670194486, b_new = -1.7079401516695776, c_new = 4.831854908838971
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13692.444226426713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9441010033439827, b_new = -1.054169233402282, c_new = 6.352650598711797
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13886.940221084122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3037632360536113, b_new = -1.0989214586659033, c_new = 6.304075213514581
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6861.501463743127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7459394094640643, b_new = -1.467096323957803, c_new = 5.868275590451133
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6464.867995718793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6595291013937294, b_new = -0.6692766372062717, c_new = 5.7319397517280475
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12456.077985661555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9054913877767867, b_new = -1.1346180195449362, c_new = 6.111295920686445
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3362.1058497046506
Acceptance probability: 1.3562031661421527e-152
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.685034141307144, b_new = -1.6579342253385696, c_new = 6.120371313143013
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8149.4383789007225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831471212128265, b_new = -0.574161086194714, c_new = 6.082971201274972
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3424.659813832777
Acceptance probability: 9.235986977693077e-180
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0657097483584046, b_new = -1.2998171215919714, c_new = 6.218575619874991
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3109.7854967909843
Acceptance probability: 5.17203787076048e-43
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.588104349920097, b_new = -1.4509097870855667, c_new = 5.559103036502691
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10525.371566117756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6671740912310065, b_new = -1.275639131020337, c_new = 5.471774630067115
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7731.514467008682
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.759615828945508, b_new = -1.6319110264602676, c_new = 6.087040115937541
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6541.312968282822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7533984679466594, b_new = -1.5405576534007, c_new = 6.166042512901156
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6397.32103327093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.387500971011703, b_new = -1.0790535824277212, c_new = 6.061749575901282
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11113.0976492223
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2322440997629758, b_new = -0.9319644219673522, c_new = 6.067843800087672
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5689.727499893952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5445949093264932, b_new = -1.1009580354159665, c_new = 5.674854798744245
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9376.434495900041
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.718808954691334, b_new = -1.4959721943711677, c_new = 5.571176817484192
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11688.53933076329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4065511386987675, b_new = -1.0945234374319694, c_new = 5.803185896867326
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8808.970726620077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2568692175354377, b_new = -1.4925897231412517, c_new = 5.728887541321746
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4736.2501944625255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3235583946690643, b_new = -1.5784742957144695, c_new = 5.273185309447045
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12634.061268647813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.151158309411585, b_new = -1.7924053935937148, c_new = 5.427302852813863
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3166.2290418208067
Acceptance probability: 1.5868707340204904e-67
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4430948436444595, b_new = -0.6154627073416005, c_new = 5.917400510111066
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10511.618921572695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3185177962442367, b_new = -0.932768777696815, c_new = 6.330945494913383
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7677.627762339585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4597090014598253, b_new = -1.45604153863611, c_new = 6.219384536060203
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10963.334137861722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.306909059965166, b_new = 0.07094968638473143, c_new = 6.047878825282676
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10020.325170567445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1269143490286684, b_new = -1.2552030414749642, c_new = 5.935471542828961
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3503.8286281978017
Acceptance probability: 3.8274021311718944e-214
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9724697123143446, b_new = -1.758163924181999, c_new = 5.569182674874679
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3529.839760776438
Acceptance probability: 1.933805305472813e-225
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6255692014882945, b_new = -0.6528690225352121, c_new = 6.653195315067942
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6546.755784297137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.707001156745035, b_new = -0.30154108482882613, c_new = 6.105738651083589
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13387.497707713263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6768290489619284, b_new = -1.1497516929315161, c_new = 5.1804252506079225
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7307.531376512972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.609668933972192, b_new = -1.2435907224862832, c_new = 6.401271056755315
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11359.783842419336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.602385735004991, b_new = -2.3326654357886323, c_new = 5.554534167307902
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11208.929898929457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2417988115557645, b_new = -1.1597612212606137, c_new = 5.19316909304627
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5036.653766320967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6589354885484338, b_new = -0.2907528296040669, c_new = 6.444913146775811
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5147.772971244598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.341649281491175, b_new = -1.351549454173085, c_new = 4.780373256770043
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6409.052592676289
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2255550137252085, b_new = -1.6037271646099662, c_new = 6.080909186342334
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4146.548367882924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7132898029582346, b_new = -1.8450777404064742, c_new = 5.450421622307634
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8361.5248186557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.836332142120798, b_new = -1.2510103858006867, c_new = 6.021404273494872
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4281.81086454284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4311045505573468, b_new = -0.6366542336029517, c_new = 5.532897533032647
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9995.725857583522
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6200366589187234, b_new = -1.999989373041175, c_new = 5.272040241111725
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10392.903752089389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5804445023737226, b_new = -0.8715866088607089, c_new = 5.8102092297629415
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11509.69968560933
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3667657111852678, b_new = -1.5743613374834038, c_new = 5.4653117398676665
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -16165.68339716499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.279836632320065, b_new = -1.5948944364755024, c_new = 5.290474820052158
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4789.399705516729
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.035343782063187, b_new = -0.6121820544551148, c_new = 5.666423045912295
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3392.8729666215086
Acceptance probability: 5.892989304430065e-166
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9091980499044023, b_new = -1.4467825603331885, c_new = 6.007499361414673
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3686.603574549641
Acceptance probability: 1.6023355329538276e-293
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7000:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.340090951515912, b_new = -0.8271514579708947, c_new = 5.42315319801049
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8066.740982841451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7001:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9714557125906995, b_new = -0.8722695674972634, c_new = 6.028169905394263
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3027.0614675769402
Acceptance probability: 4.3676829426017863e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7002:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.536299511057564, b_new = -0.7113709957855965, c_new = 6.218494342669807
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11482.458641669558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7003:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7140069100737847, b_new = -1.852012075004726, c_new = 5.332029613589883
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8415.158016089561
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7004:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2076033571799747, b_new = -0.9306396419377778, c_new = 6.488482196052912
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5358.414312598816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7005:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.527075391408062, b_new = -1.6329614540190838, c_new = 5.342726903643174
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10809.039492824548
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7006:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5259801397490995, b_new = -1.811659060556138, c_new = 6.135910277441507
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9219.300052595958
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7007:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.698864272182618, b_new = -1.1482787915862416, c_new = 5.563447800502229
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6705.132153180584
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7008:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4254438807547785, b_new = -0.6789006952201516, c_new = 5.762579808030578
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10073.317971289614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7009:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2661072848822523, b_new = -1.7427315442519051, c_new = 5.846683659345694
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13073.429223397876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7010:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1905334446835156, b_new = -1.8659127981566643, c_new = 5.123792730958482
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3322.145923382426
Acceptance probability: 3.066904501324149e-135
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7011:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0288915199382336, b_new = -1.3026425788711045, c_new = 5.425313879282378
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Acceptance probability: 2.48759008950502
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7012:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1684202551083573, b_new = -2.017500023266221, c_new = 5.6771630973683385
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3143.145324243491
Acceptance probability: 6.759178231459065e-58
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7013:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1658041862353232, b_new = -0.5291279842177765, c_new = 4.746095932346409
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4964.949645353263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7014:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8051710133047556, b_new = -0.92879137842123, c_new = 5.906193074110844
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13148.007755884688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7015:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3853931836791618, b_new = -1.3149544488388094, c_new = 5.860516172029755
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7832.06180354647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7016:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.866740890373633, b_new = -0.7831779143881372, c_new = 5.083667532545939
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3453.7001483857325
Acceptance probability: 9.07083871536705e-193
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7017:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8796337698825085, b_new = -0.28879940729657894, c_new = 5.442799682360981
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3070.2430216483963
Acceptance probability: 3.0971456787677907e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7018:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4275015487751763, b_new = -1.7431861329851162, c_new = 5.233533761296584
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7313.0845814427885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7019:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.292651761591609, b_new = -1.0749844156028685, c_new = 5.073934900371717
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6214.633187822735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7020:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7571986295278539, b_new = -1.4379912974745699, c_new = 4.303496871081673
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15313.300048989993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7021:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.274659529288153, b_new = -1.8236879251954194, c_new = 5.457354093010107
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4315.835399853978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7022:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.628419438467445, b_new = -1.4125490388269175, c_new = 6.074051752511763
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8597.63248826546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7023:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7078810871297936, b_new = -0.796783311742064, c_new = 3.7731845072217367
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6242.321665519258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7024:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0691775327720316, b_new = -1.2373663694007453, c_new = 4.717736199806914
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13866.296758613222
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7025:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.448832306695355, b_new = -1.0933824506879175, c_new = 5.915564806833274
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10519.803896856904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7026:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1600592135684624, b_new = -2.092668936880045, c_new = 6.287921216452721
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3106.5530009337754
Acceptance probability: 5.2691188165281366e-42
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7027:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1650803369197265, b_new = -1.3538075297609615, c_new = 5.815570242802427
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3736.7721490604204
Acceptance probability: 1.04963806e-315
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7028:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.354551029112115, b_new = -1.6631404871275226, c_new = 5.846820831645324
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6231.972957011289
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7029:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8246094591643307, b_new = -1.9334058629194701, c_new = 5.650178651400705
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6150.802367901837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7030:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2737228235231774, b_new = -1.4203500632535575, c_new = 4.10053142879658
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4738.797701563199
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7031:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3309739956785673, b_new = -0.4145788755911327, c_new = 5.662570842709406
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9120.546270132772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7032:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.400878287266081, b_new = -1.9624466310644966, c_new = 5.854237890012573
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6414.702166124298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7033:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3855461062686625, b_new = -1.6549380057665128, c_new = 5.45656459824118
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6762.384617791618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7034:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.617383967515774, b_new = -1.6465840826399674, c_new = 5.2919862695998265
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10422.392678386988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7035:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3268619773510393, b_new = -0.17587028170117947, c_new = 5.513819259588692
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10370.371013502598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7036:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.409432717162518, b_new = -2.083796681743035, c_new = 5.176365777203713
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6059.713551923148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7037:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.623355193349113, b_new = -1.3174138993926445, c_new = 5.053845499138612
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10964.641836398996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7038:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1058743300413796, b_new = -1.780843741566136, c_new = 5.811328152163748
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3037.9995073548016
Acceptance probability: 3.1199092979689232e-12
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7039:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7452915801496967, b_new = -1.0621190676070187, c_new = 5.363223682553057
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12433.648007554479
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7040:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.932264112431444, b_new = -1.3240609667463679, c_new = 4.360758418501687
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3590.241243548045
Acceptance probability: 4.556205070072872e-252
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7041:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.446025513754898, b_new = -1.5026600046759486, c_new = 5.261126692823709
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8302.425299032075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7042:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1201101990628093, b_new = -1.7098682679986645, c_new = 5.187626569346904
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3073.769126160919
Acceptance probability: 9.111584373596064e-28
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7043:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2125175793940106, b_new = -0.6541763355287611, c_new = 5.1277224512284985
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5671.0813316531585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7044:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.502829014427416, b_new = -0.840887989196903, c_new = 4.471841586632268
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9823.351075079312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7045:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.463183927563188, b_new = -1.1749658791446738, c_new = 4.733772891589426
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10887.919520678519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7046:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5306174563509227, b_new = -2.5936805856038836, c_new = 5.144686903154503
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7174.568186228635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7047:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8469922385381614, b_new = -1.4184625517851273, c_new = 6.030142085109974
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12831.622242818183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7048:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9289372007250054, b_new = -1.147766095455149, c_new = 4.475738205533629
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3402.7273499896883
Acceptance probability: 1.2440920520542988e-170
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7049:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.104406977854676, b_new = -2.186391911354189, c_new = 5.341893973878228
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3111.347786398806
Acceptance probability: 4.359022617967521e-44
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7050:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.101974899536858, b_new = -1.7009730182783698, c_new = 5.408538335143598
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3039.4488428994164
Acceptance probability: 7.323244581558707e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7051:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6691272263976744, b_new = -1.0484719709430106, c_new = 6.322139702604708
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6784.501008982238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7052:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.711391494548589, b_new = -1.8155469139242029, c_new = 5.24593814175133
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8402.535532245687
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7053:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3901475771212572, b_new = -0.7241525376783211, c_new = 4.8017922435950275
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10855.871815039487
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7054:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.326735987980189, b_new = -0.7149143945680722, c_new = 5.169505025291007
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15342.838273182871
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7055:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9379989432092692, b_new = -1.7298397661223446, c_new = 5.71514997946437
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3816.7068900229015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7056:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1747565171320073, b_new = -0.36070795693935476, c_new = 4.636441273290168
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5492.93340678435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7057:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3837592066057605, b_new = -1.0155442235127807, c_new = 5.590222716566007
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8501.83527228363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7058:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6173043224009724, b_new = -1.707576224694883, c_new = 5.136464919663331
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9835.150433182209
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7059:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.011158315111797, b_new = -1.5787166137521675, c_new = 4.321634471297294
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3250.11259027328
Acceptance probability: 2.3691934178692728e-104
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7060:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.949254366532802, b_new = -1.603808762927708, c_new = 5.49050832028748
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3573.7918836224962
Acceptance probability: 6.345553492060333e-245
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7061:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.616817359839792, b_new = -1.633281379370973, c_new = 5.250904141250534
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10427.131314221286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7062:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6337739050109716, b_new = -1.10530768014044, c_new = 6.118915693453341
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7704.884927503452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7063:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.962833140127905, b_new = -1.863608843723545, c_new = 5.0192998941109925
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3877.0851666985645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7064:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.933673067675363, b_new = -0.3795778599999967, c_new = 5.489527570361543
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3056.8546890949137
Acceptance probability: 2.0204149964008805e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7065:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6796926032972395, b_new = -0.7815189396857104, c_new = 5.402955628326789
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6199.289117623248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7066:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.339699940102669, b_new = -1.1589933809427055, c_new = 5.3795978885733
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7109.406826592075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7067:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7291466780650255, b_new = -1.0887474192111186, c_new = 5.672209577862067
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5893.874223517341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7068:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4949312472441427, b_new = -1.0504040832770503, c_new = 6.166365395822348
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9794.390794879027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7069:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9695050870588877, b_new = -0.5536932888415868, c_new = 5.8217956933552095
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13381.773531849027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7070:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.414595519959204, b_new = -1.2392935842098418, c_new = 4.850213259371882
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8230.527551720945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7071:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8886182805408236, b_new = -1.0823751153008652, c_new = 5.532504767988358
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3521.332227746413
Acceptance probability: 3.8495377161890206e-222
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7072:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6745899690998103, b_new = -0.9767580089836674, c_new = 5.309735039956699
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12011.78522641162
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7073:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7664614102890637, b_new = -0.8532064126538585, c_new = 5.483475264772284
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4728.980865132204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7074:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5216787540425045, b_new = -0.9769047224767492, c_new = 5.30099387810847
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10556.187268255615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7075:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8566932506147018, b_new = -1.0093033584842894, c_new = 5.055777613275085
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14453.701463758734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7076:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4933134614918613, b_new = -1.711166165434682, c_new = 6.5329632258865455
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9075.141326429646
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7077:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304429638674029, b_new = -0.5468710704944896, c_new = 5.329945377453958
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8067.566517974525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7078:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8399169686382884, b_new = -1.0517002678120417, c_new = 5.287214725997266
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4058.4846329105644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7079:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.085781622854801, b_new = -0.9390308439553932, c_new = 5.252403216340081
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14365.915180525275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7080:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1657738578961707, b_new = -1.0212895254638064, c_new = 5.132830247509895
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12992.412631755002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7081:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8548339121426056, b_new = -2.1738313435186942, c_new = 4.99813818865496
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6429.440657394366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7082:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4934518068407776, b_new = -1.7141698253489677, c_new = 5.6371100126357145
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8756.042284579124
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7083:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.599150478497037, b_new = -1.3163857733017232, c_new = 4.857140455093672
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9316.303858390811
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7084:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6652320934167872, b_new = -1.5608230234489724, c_new = 4.619865929490965
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8868.446360952661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7085:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.145999636973074, b_new = -2.0123751804650363, c_new = 5.530734331764528
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3067.5261407503604
Acceptance probability: 4.686925124171479e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7086:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.070229960402384, b_new = -1.218028678050223, c_new = 5.66760145372685
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14130.332689107567
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7087:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7686351249498435, b_new = -1.0649234472619882, c_new = 5.577284209203537
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5114.649670202908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7088:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5228873293154708, b_new = -1.4936057161933607, c_new = 5.645767990356246
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10483.919473920723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7089:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4982462473315348, b_new = -1.52446410745435, c_new = 4.860234820859089
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11103.064064622087
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7090:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.479208365786839, b_new = -1.0387875275740721, c_new = 4.189721067294999
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10622.135591216022
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7091:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6321775162367542, b_new = -1.6305097916173532, c_new = 5.566593157207051
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10684.330418945548
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7092:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7369468098001204, b_new = -1.4664176834482054, c_new = 5.859448861750472
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11955.903323361295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7093:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4520227662442693, b_new = -0.5952156548402476, c_new = 6.577222877296336
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9339.915137661888
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7094:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.781301302281518, b_new = -1.0353738509701038, c_new = 5.203791348493011
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4935.818287927584
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7095:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8821667305035443, b_new = -1.8274856579714827, c_new = 6.1791627878635165
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14813.737555980864
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7096:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6692727068039805, b_new = -1.493093273979649, c_new = 5.123278371177085
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11138.934045521633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7097:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.997711650631883, b_new = -1.3478312924429288, c_new = 4.940926858894002
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3102.9833924447084
Acceptance probability: 1.870678958089524e-40
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7098:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3893694735274815, b_new = -0.8954247471314023, c_new = 5.156289456329151
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8753.151516392283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7099:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7313537784054116, b_new = -1.6057961221000314, c_new = 6.268516478774869
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11827.18633872942
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7100:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8797103663112624, b_new = -1.0530942742248979, c_new = 5.751699587564355
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3538.4604823448026
Acceptance probability: 1.4018518603510234e-229
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7101:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0697446986405024, b_new = -1.9249618465296927, c_new = 5.149521376184251
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3114.245649485083
Acceptance probability: 2.403605420795775e-45
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7102:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5210856598091413, b_new = -2.026421748262263, c_new = 4.2013410379679765
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12008.361747090705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7103:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.428069759624016, b_new = -1.5510271049424178, c_new = 5.799643473436686
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8035.436687236272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7104:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.323770118626149, b_new = -1.5852784648934528, c_new = 5.210439709783537
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5587.429000945711
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7105:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.208223845129512, b_new = -1.2710047183676079, c_new = 6.366190082596323
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4575.308031289738
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7106:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.164115302160735, b_new = -1.6819392789224836, c_new = 4.618334787117377
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13902.621110406548
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7107:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.133927304233186, b_new = -1.0628596413320675, c_new = 5.9265020774319135
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3820.044511614176
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7108:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.571145920545039, b_new = -0.9240753656181183, c_new = 5.252330009548689
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11160.268267981633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7109:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8169262163048527, b_new = -2.009788487520275, c_new = 5.056485903312671
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11608.299613926129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7110:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6221357026114296, b_new = -1.0838297387908844, c_new = 6.358959580714583
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7788.242583778752
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7111:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2891117683694486, b_new = -0.9189253266611193, c_new = 5.5689243868051825
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6757.140116272109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7112:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7408798665359333, b_new = -1.4922919973319628, c_new = 5.804214822546568
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11934.541387086896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7113:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.378327926721332, b_new = -1.041656400286044, c_new = 4.993518483072435
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15217.245958804571
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7114:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.689685038383792, b_new = -0.8054640557391066, c_new = 4.999548492235545
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12281.64101622614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7115:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2701787119884145, b_new = -1.7338958433316871, c_new = 6.136423955334909
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12959.728670519857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7116:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9483726482105217, b_new = -0.9379943798805939, c_new = 5.234022998603906
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3076.3932490065854
Acceptance probability: 6.60620169999073e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7117:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.341552414371053, b_new = -0.8703869281970362, c_new = 5.5912665879632275
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8044.484201704314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7118:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3203463186857975, b_new = -1.3817106679798434, c_new = 5.532510698488079
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6146.246867288472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7119:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8820172984182357, b_new = -1.2900445782168175, c_new = 5.226086529130591
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3917.8200641099374
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7120:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2312421787025625, b_new = -1.2101683914731851, c_new = 4.515051549942065
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12983.056379331134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7121:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.572220587546592, b_new = -1.2166737548837376, c_new = 4.989435795518807
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10590.635302324523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7122:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.144944420389832, b_new = -0.0946408506785461, c_new = 5.326434362267543
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15313.70253682787
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7123:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.255737508600206, b_new = -1.3139627479165135, c_new = 6.265648856961114
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5270.0085441054
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7124:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.274690812951725, b_new = -1.3662469110530644, c_new = 5.15270831545209
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5153.043284040741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7125:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9115461358631687, b_new = -1.5027360676494752, c_new = 5.623704927101687
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13019.377977629689
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7126:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.084620354121268, b_new = -1.019699604835349, c_new = 4.040396460222933
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13728.950857780132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7127:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.692291626236919, b_new = -1.492816899127218, c_new = 6.222006676500131
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11657.238609280119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7128:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.522102708970168, b_new = -1.7728737780265817, c_new = 6.130488028093054
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10872.497667752312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7129:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2461722255643335, b_new = -1.8350411709336727, c_new = 6.129476821734828
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4052.410200540914
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7130:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.307626460928431, b_new = -1.8967247962000147, c_new = 5.860801700953454
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4785.076882346857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7131:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8516093528151343, b_new = -1.2085456789161546, c_new = 5.740730062097011
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14495.41209700653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7132:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7120161583977103, b_new = -0.8590843243672244, c_new = 5.564476531066305
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5699.503643547299
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7133:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.353096373235425, b_new = -1.275253271150855, c_new = 5.477071125381857
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11912.377635093633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7134:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9705736821851065, b_new = -1.8005452958932868, c_new = 4.9518522533081395
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3715.1933914674214
Acceptance probability: 2.4693060453478366e-306
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7135:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2787263877574557, b_new = -2.12272744396313, c_new = 5.377077259124787
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3887.30792901761
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7136:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1663315074713703, b_new = -1.584216596741547, c_new = 5.311307935101588
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3407.8667094529046
Acceptance probability: 7.292174626217724e-173
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7137:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.767338130173498, b_new = -0.5450607441436811, c_new = 5.691973030211586
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4116.195620502314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7138:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7270151310541872, b_new = -1.0782912131564755, c_new = 5.7272416821080965
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5891.841296190993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7139:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9548804375361577, b_new = -0.8714970088427518, c_new = 5.22068760763911
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3039.442626443653
Acceptance probability: 7.368911002124536e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7140:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1431049427252646, b_new = -0.881339032259127, c_new = 5.3596472051802095
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4092.4043936230764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7141:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1270531386776477, b_new = -1.2928957778174817, c_new = 5.144175478584942
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3358.727192216084
Acceptance probability: 1.599109633234103e-151
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7142:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7096468879902362, b_new = -0.8070530944446707, c_new = 5.944204112312326
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5504.2045614127765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7143:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.819328463769966, b_new = -2.015217058790512, c_new = 5.192465719927379
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11653.509658598714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7144:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.52515261673808, b_new = -1.4561325262951839, c_new = 5.022080295682884
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15329.399312750767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7145:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.729299295767402, b_new = -1.3148422744441, c_new = 5.128952753143601
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11909.245061540612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7146:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0105877516291346, b_new = -2.020678564138274, c_new = 4.973857037630598
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3603.090818826202
Acceptance probability: 1.1970261137974875e-257
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7147:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.041628034002664, b_new = -1.8451601104572453, c_new = 5.703993542426446
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3131.69676125724
Acceptance probability: 6.337845223391548e-53
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7148:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.010352764310297, b_new = -1.4987331487222326, c_new = 5.065353853799457
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3122.185196462633
Acceptance probability: 8.565677787319403e-49
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7149:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.27904467992452, b_new = -1.315402453722931, c_new = 5.714436521290407
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5532.22802055371
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7150:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3423810126591067, b_new = -1.3534509568709898, c_new = 5.079983472031749
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6525.206162890544
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7151:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0256598702191275, b_new = -1.0329639967984265, c_new = 5.830262931379817
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3066.806322829225
Acceptance probability: 9.627221557735387e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7152:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9792477965644726, b_new = -2.152387121724597, c_new = 5.24167300174372
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4087.3506310737134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7153:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4408814685880773, b_new = -1.787768764524984, c_new = 5.323656554982805
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7498.186083194346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7154:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6171850939086947, b_new = -1.0339522329963975, c_new = 5.235938587259893
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11414.729696206436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7155:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8220846514613847, b_new = -0.555606015993204, c_new = 5.8825023101584994
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3504.969920198917
Acceptance probability: 4.914376868186722e-215
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7156:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.796959259625803, b_new = -1.4590288885777412, c_new = 5.172442302628433
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12222.303622600573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7157:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.3992039706362505, b_new = -1.519711682456933, c_new = 5.863265314795927
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15103.207904220633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7158:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.928637489225303, b_new = -1.055024949501717, c_new = 5.223002233676288
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3233.2143375973774
Acceptance probability: 5.169141353092529e-97
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7159:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1775070522061566, b_new = -1.1353862593562016, c_new = 5.922319937390066
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12856.860104057736
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7160:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9802436935208387, b_new = -0.4038560533059459, c_new = 5.019117911451395
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3150.3017736502243
Acceptance probability: 5.270931971055027e-61
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7161:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3692696412950793, b_new = -1.6334309024808578, c_new = 4.9328961687724275
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6300.245409511007
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7162:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.741382585383084, b_new = -1.766335932007541, c_new = 5.979902263065459
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7342.4235786820955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7163:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4407024274228037, b_new = -2.2557426426907394, c_new = 5.469148194865613
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12669.496640311558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7164:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6788963566753177, b_new = -1.208984895373612, c_new = 4.9543818757633815
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7512.59152568536
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7165:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7418036329751727, b_new = -1.002203448065208, c_new = 5.636966068488425
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5447.445754953029
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7166:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5908496207105287, b_new = -1.4077414377843027, c_new = 4.674224020713836
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10367.969771431082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7167:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801557354066256, b_new = -1.0774438437877065, c_new = 5.4836707177921555
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4611.544529315882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7168:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3783714828332183, b_new = -1.1101974078001173, c_new = 5.084705761532604
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11544.176650987172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7169:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.85748065214631, b_new = -2.1862442106145994, c_new = 5.184995753688677
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6330.871963873953
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7170:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.858552232233644, b_new = -0.5410474040969125, c_new = 5.371692223556119
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3271.2336279454717
Acceptance probability: 1.5916603743416712e-113
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7171:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.240980580926969, b_new = -1.9924085745835822, c_new = 5.435051098890412
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3655.400983872042
Acceptance probability: 2.291329771777314e-280
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7172:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0546644573095185, b_new = -0.6714778065605305, c_new = 4.769599011424102
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3353.647999313607
Acceptance probability: 2.568879243103518e-149
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7173:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.328001843208374, b_new = -1.7570614365840675, c_new = 4.938979147697162
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5185.899985701484
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7174:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.51790442628423, b_new = -2.480585211244971, c_new = 4.912822472497572
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7133.368280497698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7175:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8023228701851535, b_new = -1.1214838864438819, c_new = 4.661396599093706
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4918.9975483712615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7176:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7226178036765654, b_new = -0.5852093590719204, c_new = 5.273083831786031
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4966.160326704963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7177:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8921807240784254, b_new = -0.41416505798961356, c_new = 5.345461006692268
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3068.62137916558
Acceptance probability: 1.5675883073713818e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7178:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.849286236836133, b_new = -1.045492304066262, c_new = 5.242412004531707
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3940.221978565241
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7179:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0586412210019036, b_new = -1.140178966528485, c_new = 4.586936482079712
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3062.294535680979
Acceptance probability: 8.768902245440637e-23
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7180:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2691228913344865, b_new = -2.3453314289431746, c_new = 5.409791855322645
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3532.0642439148346
Acceptance probability: 8.405299198625116e-227
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7181:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.911307368659529, b_new = -0.9876267141986563, c_new = 5.423981698957733
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3269.489532040784
Acceptance probability: 9.10545456455546e-113
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7182:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.251132412152375, b_new = -0.8780782670087737, c_new = 6.891518286790462
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6568.662310198447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7183:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9676677453181504, b_new = -1.8754752235319616, c_new = 5.5573840544308215
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3728.3556909882946
Acceptance probability: 4.745269347574e-312
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7184:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.268467039709209, b_new = -1.1818014777746713, c_new = 5.550287640477604
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5600.196056152844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7185:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.829049186615138, b_new = -1.589122197971632, c_new = 5.762908843254676
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12427.79075867439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7186:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.347114149072347, b_new = -0.6771397468595969, c_new = 5.327440846982137
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8586.803011958564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7187:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.465811899753184, b_new = -0.6858236447392497, c_new = 5.141441379065758
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10389.916450808038
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7188:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.766463568993849, b_new = -1.916422930271507, c_new = 4.734290329566923
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7746.759329112601
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7189:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.542382103916858, b_new = -1.7886022397576165, c_new = 5.157423855136602
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9189.311729484842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7190:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.471192252110111, b_new = -1.0715489970403143, c_new = 5.094859693781743
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10477.419687475645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7191:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3051679268294363, b_new = -1.8625856440912822, c_new = 4.921050268577914
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13233.541796260743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7192:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031546928122617, b_new = -0.684124938920775, c_new = 6.059514202453307
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3353.1697256923762
Acceptance probability: 4.144339108639726e-149
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7193:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5962407121950712, b_new = -0.8742340730867537, c_new = 5.367707737830556
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8096.757958201649
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7194:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8581133134709784, b_new = -1.918721210468306, c_new = 5.889016577458845
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12236.031708875933
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7195:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5995637622620107, b_new = -1.7224670247777063, c_new = 5.980797295542701
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9821.844857273469
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7196:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.75531644302412, b_new = -0.6073670215897614, c_new = 6.601770799487826
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4204.513096822409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7197:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4708487097524667, b_new = -1.5052995761195798, c_new = 6.621581136034103
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10804.605902675552
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7198:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6373230098722313, b_new = -0.7946357467424157, c_new = 5.917022128705218
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6909.239473543969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7199:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9117869646472747, b_new = -1.7803019873220456, c_new = 5.1321487728239905
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4378.242603593897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7200:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1765203336717827, b_new = -1.915743820621909, c_new = 4.97206385881028
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3196.6086907380495
Acceptance probability: 4.0836531331414114e-81
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7201:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.436158989686481, b_new = -1.1636066135415095, c_new = 5.099375596729819
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8898.855721160233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7202:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.68430009078371, b_new = -1.207590918875486, c_new = 5.481876636280596
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7195.866833230101
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7203:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.442328396432057, b_new = -0.7295494451933796, c_new = 4.448022905976338
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9749.230426549273
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7204:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.939734042114747, b_new = -2.203061448570749, c_new = 6.4207909301275405
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4426.665631736731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7205:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1361211921390133, b_new = -1.0611945365691176, c_new = 5.674213114104223
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3796.7354671537355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7206:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6286012347568675, b_new = -1.2236240629713395, c_new = 5.7222573271635895
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8248.709101011633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7207:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3426217868681634, b_new = -0.7373559294880281, c_new = 5.590016469487589
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8438.107430115053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7208:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.590698999405638, b_new = -1.1850991619411777, c_new = 4.833146144224862
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9151.68492579629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7209:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7363979598280939, b_new = -1.485099807050108, c_new = 5.9477314046965475
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15062.370171751418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7210:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6120768335860225, b_new = -1.7448025729187457, c_new = 5.006600542559292
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10044.260464324652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7211:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1303355200208367, b_new = -0.9683218754635368, c_new = 5.919380760506263
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3917.569753715034
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7212:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.240737312210969, b_new = -0.39767939708461475, c_new = 4.718114215613413
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6836.768434296172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7213:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9039756436596402, b_new = -2.1324801593983462, c_new = 5.269108246940644
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5220.668654798969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7214:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8532589630371508, b_new = -1.604992815727384, c_new = 5.549152310607992
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12512.348194826363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7215:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.719317008509104, b_new = -1.4181730719843018, c_new = 5.807549878036788
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11871.499768959473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7216:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2548030738046925, b_new = -1.017104900289946, c_new = 4.931699341878605
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5532.921214912094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7217:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.029150165200768, b_new = -1.7934213007884703, c_new = 5.235593963651039
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13252.292792288263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7218:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6242582232867067, b_new = -1.7792082424699687, c_new = 5.226482544267463
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10250.110085126516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7219:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5839517352049155, b_new = -1.5594889122284532, c_new = 5.518549618093711
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9854.736151702908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7220:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.10117895918841, b_new = -1.2695864982221765, c_new = 5.32870091279382
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3225.222987663438
Acceptance probability: 1.5276279213418832e-93
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7221:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2709233577510917, b_new = -1.257616341504588, c_new = 5.960864004637519
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5598.743634463808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7222:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.517569307582279, b_new = -1.4917503952583429, c_new = 5.282922132754414
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10668.300530040204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7223:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7278935494506324, b_new = -1.2386917761915548, c_new = 5.39065590941386
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6405.444061210137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7224:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.273797381791355, b_new = -1.5535978316834338, c_new = 6.07104944362152
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4991.4217512151245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7225:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3893197191497446, b_new = -1.7341416748000666, c_new = 5.089319172149137
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12417.787628774702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7226:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9801779857117547, b_new = -1.439032404238291, c_new = 5.583355539340571
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3180.8916719549143
Acceptance probability: 2.734408373768255e-74
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7227:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.625688031479353, b_new = -1.1873747777247927, c_new = 5.05824612173178
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8459.4569614114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7228:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.427448122571493, b_new = -0.9958190754603846, c_new = 6.208549247004438
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9560.287009594798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7229:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1131306219022985, b_new = -1.7029822946885105, c_new = 5.6918841840925385
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3072.094592057493
Acceptance probability: 4.862222424863231e-27
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7230:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8660357540921506, b_new = -1.1825029093511341, c_new = 5.251392769106863
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3942.6040660627655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7231:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.285351161032688, b_new = -1.9522524886173431, c_new = 5.064141024910931
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4168.079217427003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7232:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6571418988726467, b_new = -1.383991827199991, c_new = 5.737019711537607
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11374.268636892317
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7233:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.289115206758088, b_new = -1.812783081771876, c_new = 4.826542210190132
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4407.863134330506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7234:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6432442865628816, b_new = -1.1096481204134416, c_new = 5.756454569397999
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11682.710973545147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7235:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.208433065365537, b_new = -1.6187155533482203, c_new = 5.862772033909491
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3863.0359695918596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7236:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.350114716961484, b_new = -0.9171522718093761, c_new = 5.126240076146925
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11483.500883853427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8133691864360246, b_new = -1.8926188428514967, c_new = 5.570613156234694
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6307.927077385661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.79240036038589, b_new = -0.2099674401988374, c_new = 5.266088704898884
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3484.0960899942033
Acceptance probability: 5.712914602347582e-206
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.98430585622152, b_new = -2.2263772658664345, c_new = 5.197936947546702
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15016.717204224045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.896785985666214, b_new = -1.0645018680472358, c_new = 5.625186932428733
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3420.2083814599428
Acceptance probability: 3.1837357202571503e-178
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.997862017901103, b_new = -0.7506578159757394, c_new = 4.549624302566359
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14007.913200481922
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.588931432951666, b_new = -1.9092875151711088, c_new = 5.0825696035858705
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9556.30404425584
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.586386242189806, b_new = -1.471107313163626, c_new = 5.279141652842995
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10386.698719423352
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.214916308785674, b_new = -1.7867688558893702, c_new = 4.69764481687163
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3542.7005201214624
Acceptance probability: 2.019654645596855e-231
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8452079181360064, b_new = -0.7355141623330567, c_new = 6.374570564815773
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13982.583996266972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.223327366489457, b_new = -1.193383136147381, c_new = 4.904077911008053
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4577.365179503107
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6133422596073057, b_new = -1.3597061421676502, c_new = 5.397056518648645
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10896.136973507462
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.289547292640445, b_new = -1.3914872258871616, c_new = 4.892032284951949
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5291.833774142125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7505587429106777, b_new = -1.6898348486324537, c_new = 5.656016448752854
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7059.43226853208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.37316917029759, b_new = -0.9164798518498978, c_new = 5.294793325792275
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11211.802083103477
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5164783373158808, b_new = -1.0813409496968234, c_new = 5.394798321029889
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9822.361011979505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8843201477350706, b_new = -1.747576639624645, c_new = 6.188210312286767
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4448.769692406628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8733696013521826, b_new = -2.3827207247852593, c_new = 5.269197050685935
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11589.767677937321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.116904643254702, b_new = -1.5603926015086405, c_new = 6.159864549200688
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14116.739973604033
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.093727465124676, b_new = -2.145045798595628, c_new = 5.728971633400503
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14412.829121100242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.425428136137419, b_new = -1.2980407349072773, c_new = 5.07706604152408
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8367.966524628455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.019930171628225, b_new = -2.1100557548632892, c_new = 5.782755180815616
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12983.51917134268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3766968576011207, b_new = -1.7611992808791648, c_new = 7.014222046263706
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6868.455675850855
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.867484225376978, b_new = -1.6454569641170307, c_new = 6.340585961139139
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4470.612387761363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.903722236192086, b_new = -0.7268154819840487, c_new = 5.516031683946603
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3136.931182010915
Acceptance probability: 3.378015047266499e-55
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5869012620670153, b_new = -1.3551933707936608, c_new = 5.498363824701615
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10660.64909453701
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5964066215127577, b_new = -0.9336784536381808, c_new = 5.401736429506183
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8229.201540274236
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0971592106978947, b_new = -0.30359856344710057, c_new = 5.184256473296233
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12533.5227293071
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.260373061109786, b_new = -1.8609335697545575, c_new = 4.849562930993966
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13525.992548833005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.44087840991474, b_new = -1.9228868224661566, c_new = 5.528970876335597
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7219.831378588968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3791033218821003, b_new = -1.8099834149090748, c_new = 5.237243675229694
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12561.98659099402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.497838255115748, b_new = -1.7872194783631505, c_new = 5.233288633833199
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8523.123221004758
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4661701762276853, b_new = -2.0971863465815708, c_new = 4.921840806902376
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12394.498918637697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5842854190238214, b_new = -0.5325304885149414, c_new = 5.01497977070526
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11841.4715984127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6949876417909553, b_new = -0.9085792879643722, c_new = 5.210897495583783
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6280.909787050588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5230836271004327, b_new = -1.455185786911183, c_new = 5.653417674858539
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9763.27325084771
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.395769320567868, b_new = -0.9983861724968239, c_new = 4.768230881216273
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11286.122872681715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8276352419929416, b_new = -0.9386168297483124, c_new = 4.943127724588792
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13016.62295830516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.806164789324828, b_new = -1.6961273860970572, c_new = 6.00195977125532
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5777.354803941221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1800239959524936, b_new = -1.5494723374390638, c_new = 5.064963056922556
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3528.2356577898017
Acceptance probability: 3.866223933635014e-225
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2720481029627746, b_new = -1.4475140017880095, c_new = 4.886158505400704
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4855.749046383168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4829778209839755, b_new = -2.2492410263820224, c_new = 6.119832568478626
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12111.48848346493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.210519526201263, b_new = -1.2948962469966818, c_new = 6.018747291436853
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4470.214624816149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.947318903367884, b_new = -1.6035652880192877, c_new = 5.344220825265771
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3617.4061554520013
Acceptance probability: 7.2615932997581165e-264
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.706328250716341, b_new = -1.5347813092188733, c_new = 5.829463894943746
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7496.366013806886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.469641587876852, b_new = -1.8794058719271178, c_new = 5.9263213670109485
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8037.418383910174
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7090590142589925, b_new = -0.920975685192152, c_new = 6.679670186835324
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5564.276372983239
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.544177452208793, b_new = -1.854703135936992, c_new = 5.516790659745195
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9191.822546191179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8842088802799792, b_new = -1.2968493569834183, c_new = 5.487827260913652
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13067.136421939045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.037151796431006, b_new = -0.6019468844385647, c_new = 6.190744009617339
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14709.329257441324
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1011574843425382, b_new = -0.789072464946474, c_new = 6.0480466620329105
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3873.85933763888
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.673993395655272, b_new = -1.890776023655137, c_new = 5.626694668391792
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9160.08989455986
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3510385808473657, b_new = -1.9943433038456164, c_new = 5.704942742501854
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5294.7730112496165
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7472287542202998, b_new = -1.3910902251212227, c_new = 5.480056308298123
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12035.156762543731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.756063382948596, b_new = -1.1833197369090076, c_new = 5.483767052858334
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12380.984035050093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7985579665867113, b_new = -0.7292300003951889, c_new = 5.144024482938274
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4108.912902188452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7292:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.231054512556233, b_new = -0.9478092433671138, c_new = 5.927082935063895
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5575.145695571223
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7293:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.744895381003029, b_new = -1.562624172819992, c_new = 5.056452150983454
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7061.789784265401
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7294:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.009737984439437, b_new = -1.50413492685229, c_new = 4.953936898698909
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14333.382814457125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7295:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9907409077468925, b_new = 0.013580497829420501, c_new = 5.496113989350365
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3709.7838948566177
Acceptance probability: 5.5193692236420205e-304
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7296:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9007930019601607, b_new = -1.5682846508503223, c_new = 5.914528779627012
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3974.0007818366485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7297:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6661613513575437, b_new = -1.4954246413013517, c_new = 4.308438107202364
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10883.32822761155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7298:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.146356635033762, b_new = -0.7798643690249389, c_new = 5.569904464115978
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12706.86434895588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7299:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5993300383782834, b_new = -1.3040718654308647, c_new = 5.072768687780301
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10750.697139208029
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7300:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9835668043713217, b_new = -1.1019209719640601, c_new = 5.395326881506464
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13959.177219984147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7301:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4646607380348446, b_new = -1.8161258708576282, c_new = 5.020323384961925
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7784.150983289208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7302:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.469639677658751, b_new = -1.9767525084558892, c_new = 4.996847462899055
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7469.593985169831
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7303:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.521935358097891, b_new = -1.6737099330134715, c_new = 5.478303787706246
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10902.972842312438
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7304:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.361867388682714, b_new = -2.1356289266359356, c_new = 5.257560886111177
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5055.649439538791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7305:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1653058574149284, b_new = -1.3770092065242665, c_new = 4.930587104744294
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13472.094058720057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7306:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2362386492676016, b_new = -0.573219770210026, c_new = 4.989738872873951
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6342.626071287068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7307:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.125043610636732, b_new = -1.743819572403906, c_new = 5.370310638334574
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3082.795847313658
Acceptance probability: 1.0948098971252878e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7308:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6662677718762096, b_new = -1.0295773136269606, c_new = 4.993096724278418
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7271.769640868593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7309:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.522139322693042, b_new = -1.2741998768719005, c_new = 5.520188414230645
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10097.86400802752
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7310:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6179856076985564, b_new = -1.3338353450769385, c_new = 5.414337132915958
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10990.618757709797
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7311:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.054282711831861, b_new = -1.0947371655214169, c_new = 5.24128703108809
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14080.81097315846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7312:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0678884745575674, b_new = -2.021859589781858, c_new = 4.944017759155812
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3200.4472656163784
Acceptance probability: 8.78975880165124e-83
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7313:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2695993412805837, b_new = -1.6246677324759506, c_new = 5.475263867242698
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13002.215142831617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7314:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.358781615571754, b_new = -1.3799020882426052, c_new = 5.226567058933177
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6853.508320776618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7315:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.202626848379901, b_new = -1.5762802427387104, c_new = 6.023685367873417
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3887.4577757614957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7316:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6536273011734344, b_new = -1.5906416567686967, c_new = 5.689024633771402
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8736.065215025059
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7317:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6565815307762244, b_new = -1.5937268368748512, c_new = 5.326391590740305
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8831.039451285207
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7318:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.894716352278511, b_new = -1.098902963676859, c_new = 5.759933399746057
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3454.8051932383487
Acceptance probability: 3.0042257431853463e-193
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7319:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2493816377969034, b_new = -0.933135718767943, c_new = 4.781464977553044
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5584.525348783271
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7320:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8102022359739305, b_new = -1.5019200653046467, c_new = 6.070919328788578
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12494.987440766574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7321:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3785473577547616, b_new = -1.8462707881407407, c_new = 5.293806513024734
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12601.112571913014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7322:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8932602622221193, b_new = -1.9583279486223777, c_new = 6.421133289328632
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4664.180309623707
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7323:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7988061402174007, b_new = -2.0743391178366957, c_new = 4.972688229793569
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7394.206720409695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7324:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2986521019607733, b_new = -1.5727878484948314, c_new = 4.341639162991647
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13063.768145747728
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7325:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.283640507541798, b_new = -0.6992050258352763, c_new = 4.766112391838229
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6943.953723258792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7326:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8921589231569347, b_new = -1.8686202085321968, c_new = 5.231051049642381
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4839.81747382342
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7327:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.582944915748222, b_new = -0.7832440839556933, c_new = 4.890726840759386
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11396.341516374125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7328:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0146234190871013, b_new = -1.6177811391901749, c_new = 5.123936993611334
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3168.8325603313115
Acceptance probability: 4.721380588470734e-69
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7329:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7082426904419457, b_new = -0.675505845255218, c_new = 5.419820284577481
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12706.333954786807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7330:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6769781615207693, b_new = -0.7825327222349137, c_new = 5.065135358533968
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12237.062084203913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7331:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.217295663318546, b_new = -0.8517673381597146, c_new = 4.514591205117408
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5086.594763904869
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7332:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.351606980401286, b_new = -1.6417395386863132, c_new = 5.407914329176955
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6074.716408062409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7333:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3273112370382987, b_new = -1.0263103130983806, c_new = 4.93518238602179
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7041.3902562956355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7334:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7426715483545965, b_new = -0.8995566132195609, c_new = 5.328384863458702
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5286.27597692965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7335:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.14087165299392, b_new = -1.4264469057267004, c_new = 4.915316832401917
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3316.814707039307
Acceptance probability: 2.5482338159697945e-133
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7336:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3337669324312698, b_new = -1.842922155866924, c_new = 5.733240842877059
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12790.428485961387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7337:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.786410320608612, b_new = -1.579478176525747, c_new = 6.35341733233162
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5757.660048853775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7338:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6820235143400244, b_new = -0.22322121397930106, c_new = 5.417928745451702
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4869.570513593413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7339:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8433082443685307, b_new = -1.0904034750745608, c_new = 5.1563660858903555
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4105.526129082312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7340:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3438642382334693, b_new = -1.071200080901523, c_new = 5.191622581943255
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11762.59637057194
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7341:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5439729632733465, b_new = -1.575144663841185, c_new = 4.96088363346902
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9581.155570193665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7342:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.682736570391775, b_new = -1.1452852848394286, c_new = 5.1281937042121095
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11781.280008712205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7343:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.51648696722853, b_new = -0.7622022091398928, c_new = 4.840986125576521
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15390.899306205163
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7344:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8083135932643097, b_new = -1.8846219864540743, c_new = 4.916240131959224
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6654.104370635781
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7345:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.506485207831642, b_new = -0.9618839020913398, c_new = 5.43764113418263
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9698.057038275121
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7346:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.259771310685563, b_new = -1.1539467594200132, c_new = 5.481310907892
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14871.70350209817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7347:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.189833281684485, b_new = -0.1406176645513877, c_new = 5.678598806652283
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6840.073221578172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7348:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.571201273771985, b_new = -1.2698157596399509, c_new = 5.548769246695397
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10656.97560597697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7349:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7410837512345725, b_new = -1.2538101772771255, c_new = 4.73529047245777
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11978.139842773306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7350:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.398830809889561, b_new = -1.6332724934038008, c_new = 4.5681039156144845
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12349.49297627266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7351:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2436625749034396, b_new = -0.7361589904271488, c_new = 5.667071377521028
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6311.534729922161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7352:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5272708438765674, b_new = -0.8698140572155391, c_new = 5.20744968553847
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10782.714846113511
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7353:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3942894016382366, b_new = -2.051781389916634, c_new = 5.845299251644119
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6049.283499832364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7354:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.797300234602301, b_new = -2.017909838441095, c_new = 5.203666926239856
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7162.923471081116
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7355:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0805052561635464, b_new = -1.0158819003851884, c_new = 5.217938560768407
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3282.4838341855448
Acceptance probability: 2.069893086398764e-118
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7356:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2654274763073587, b_new = -2.2243232161424578, c_new = 5.5690775158854215
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3645.7354895165527
Acceptance probability: 3.6120891573868356e-276
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7357:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7937319583685087, b_new = -1.6849111891949882, c_new = 5.173858081628489
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6307.835245515361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7358:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5020335890565755, b_new = -0.4606523650505938, c_new = 6.507109565922456
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11672.354186058348
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7359:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.666124612632445, b_new = -1.5935751867517234, c_new = 6.9360808969810925
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8043.217667171011
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7360:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5007275315322812, b_new = -0.5263498699059361, c_new = 5.620669307754837
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8807.394213173144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7361:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.306744570593237, b_new = -1.0814543632063502, c_new = 5.591907677125007
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6694.838130769314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7362:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2869022515269184, b_new = -1.6874016083411465, c_new = 5.554614141128704
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12949.045299432793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7363:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6897123128755887, b_new = -0.6252962970871094, c_new = 6.145500875463053
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12854.285815825382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7364:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.695135150412512, b_new = -0.9237048727695175, c_new = 5.510514348390704
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6213.498546953569
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7365:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.485206912719845, b_new = -1.696735256384567, c_new = 6.088366139840566
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8817.287611854714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7366:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6042466563935918, b_new = -0.8404466505855512, c_new = 5.163968858096125
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7936.89417431871
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7367:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.381974747544747, b_new = -1.2365812904584021, c_new = 6.433400834575808
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11317.38881054382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7368:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3375807418911827, b_new = -1.091457418888667, c_new = 5.1915938912645885
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7179.1311846031695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7369:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7030902325381154, b_new = -1.9265659010124643, c_new = 5.223677883542528
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10806.564994560806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7370:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.39894170849143, b_new = -1.3899007400451606, c_new = 4.770737558838933
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7496.836522875021
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7371:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.766510248444634, b_new = -0.8071580952776329, c_new = 5.851769879386652
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4547.348556740126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7372:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.611804319741955, b_new = -1.7566698529147176, c_new = 5.3676288422915865
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10192.875406030074
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7373:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.49832639191031, b_new = -1.3366696766980821, c_new = 5.553519558779518
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10509.403577959343
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7374:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4383905662627403, b_new = -2.2251544649463453, c_new = 6.184136664951583
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6617.739950242119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7375:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3943872496165355, b_new = -1.0792018926498468, c_new = 6.265428793100056
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8804.773044544136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7376:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5583444763828838, b_new = -1.8549806018925583, c_new = 5.129312055331671
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9270.15515890921
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7377:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7315822973497617, b_new = -0.6367651531583722, c_new = 5.743554465240132
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13005.564023694968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7378:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9427908210127365, b_new = -1.8072289448242858, c_new = 5.202960416927657
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3987.9758401407457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7379:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.955316013435968, b_new = -1.406521968152696, c_new = 5.068756049585952
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3371.6621410778494
Acceptance probability: 3.8574590569773235e-157
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7380:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8878265680788484, b_new = -0.5240541345237563, c_new = 4.717219450519424
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3150.2512972974696
Acceptance probability: 5.543818616524437e-61
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7381:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3110362525527997, b_new = -1.1453893048021881, c_new = 4.640668534733006
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6261.833499232098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7382:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4099120422326705, b_new = -1.4238723030374336, c_new = 4.878956274030032
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7668.8562232189315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7383:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5612770979521184, b_new = -1.309402523062937, c_new = 6.089615541228422
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9442.647232916357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7384:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.573834109877252, b_new = -1.3150719152207284, c_new = 5.893208840599484
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9335.856118722782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7385:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9702682669634526, b_new = -1.3831572546487436, c_new = 4.809616793725912
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14411.525756091723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7386:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.401677129864806, b_new = -1.3972628497728303, c_new = 5.416508734299941
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7771.97501181146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7387:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8452446503457822, b_new = -0.9189555313382141, c_new = 5.622915575429833
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3738.117064376099
Acceptance probability: 2.7349555e-316
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7388:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6433133991277873, b_new = -0.023645552531062375, c_new = 5.59354462503573
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13187.902552283002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7389:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2481345498010437, b_new = -0.9235497074311574, c_new = 4.925091836628376
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5631.856529656623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7390:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9207338647402232, b_new = -0.9158212511558579, c_new = 5.179567397595888
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3185.4259428022397
Acceptance probability: 2.9353140064297186e-76
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7391:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.839533730430013, b_new = -1.7056094818902, c_new = 5.278270170577492
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5394.482073382366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7392:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2429385638682557, b_new = -1.4460483580030035, c_new = 5.5365583089737775
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12930.041137117525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7393:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1408710016945736, b_new = -1.5798309893184088, c_new = 5.782917189368302
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3280.0674578329035
Acceptance probability: 2.3193528817920405e-117
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7394:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8625468376120595, b_new = -2.340291206193201, c_new = 6.197232011937792
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15287.7868161736
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7395:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3819294362331815, b_new = -1.4183386056549534, c_new = 4.518102116367153
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6980.716603882468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7396:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8810134482132432, b_new = -0.5218227397498615, c_new = 6.249232423779702
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3115.218463821717
Acceptance probability: 9.086053223946455e-46
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7397:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.911423845675248, b_new = -1.716805812965607, c_new = 5.491076090656435
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4176.543603906179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7398:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6330880423216283, b_new = -1.5599559829021399, c_new = 5.372639527645627
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9143.844380007162
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7399:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4372648353389925, b_new = -1.0961221665015808, c_new = 5.42561925546878
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9194.515980762879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7400:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.419691005956481, b_new = -1.5176805364773207, c_new = 4.9874909281460225
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7658.088138809078
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7401:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2684886112079097, b_new = -1.277927687138421, c_new = 4.916785736124308
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5170.129521795982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7402:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5194072430340873, b_new = -0.7258682296245228, c_new = 5.070728362567129
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9139.961499333707
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7403:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2443629388424933, b_new = -1.5872762703410925, c_new = 4.998220858795786
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4195.658266530358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7404:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9320909189884037, b_new = -0.8072354475477994, c_new = 4.994497312915377
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13751.114211490865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7405:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.408729796610131, b_new = -2.639178915182026, c_new = 5.223389226989243
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13494.385825167767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7406:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5382493570903417, b_new = -1.4122347596334421, c_new = 6.529578773353168
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9832.832822216442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7407:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.35156687670763, b_new = -1.0400255671506615, c_new = 5.647111173462405
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7801.780020570141
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7408:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6123591325221014, b_new = -2.107545801559424, c_new = 5.943737578255395
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10481.358579945565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7409:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3802787496013846, b_new = -1.3648609703013987, c_new = 4.5126524110359
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7086.012057493688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7410:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.169314165513344, b_new = -1.6874247724827138, c_new = 5.548005670885477
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3362.553877720863
Acceptance probability: 3.4831312591545653e-153
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7411:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5509355622314267, b_new = -1.2061413142718875, c_new = 5.490144077896436
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9573.959664678629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7412:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3053621235937425, b_new = -1.0762655594846717, c_new = 5.873945065473258
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11899.348939158488
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7413:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.830624122054338, b_new = -0.8739448388074103, c_new = 5.580754676627383
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3846.9863292938694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7414:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.654527092979749, b_new = -1.6876621392890612, c_new = 4.3044810072917885
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9516.771584046837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7415:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6249266024090394, b_new = -1.3006544751799989, c_new = 4.965873802265115
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8796.552293949837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7416:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1370687693711856, b_new = -0.9728424701960122, c_new = 5.621385005160119
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3927.5762912765845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7417:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6369884585464725, b_new = -0.8181250246506284, c_new = 5.4023493304009
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7155.548775466963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7418:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8905586706082826, b_new = -0.6511268303643315, c_new = 4.655176760316871
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3219.434785343099
Acceptance probability: 4.986569949154789e-91
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7419:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7878218137825812, b_new = -1.2896617538760695, c_new = 4.724008915837461
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15003.152601851152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7420:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.745020981369321, b_new = -1.9488173264119943, c_new = 5.839114833730295
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7835.436667721822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7421:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094187384892397, b_new = -0.3834477143117706, c_new = 5.678757537113219
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4383.1421229107145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7422:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.912448761755022, b_new = -1.8555948239431246, c_new = 5.517816039705996
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4408.356740352496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7423:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.135247121193537, b_new = -0.907158826284225, c_new = 4.9701445580661
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3870.931015075836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7424:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.492287186543165, b_new = -0.788907156986628, c_new = 5.4206271803903485
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9542.56487966081
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7425:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9174796397548506, b_new = -1.314493894861331, c_new = 4.5336193454030544
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3692.8344443442948
Acceptance probability: 1.2674833889733296e-296
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7426:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7268070887526425, b_new = -1.7629580558831683, c_new = 4.981737536481202
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8047.560685609969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7427:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0819511673978153, b_new = -1.2737080735622757, c_new = 5.763401837786569
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3158.5889667006427
Acceptance probability: 1.3267991932972833e-64
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7428:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9526309050010124, b_new = -1.5451282180150192, c_new = 5.043026996801799
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3547.789590205238
Acceptance probability: 1.2448644288318499e-233
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7429:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.2806311435921485, b_new = -0.7826141662027081, c_new = 4.682998201572245
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15062.627599853604
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7430:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.266095900690513, b_new = -1.6403457414326983, c_new = 5.966023618398437
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4651.380306594321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7431:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5931530966273386, b_new = -0.8749292655089072, c_new = 5.696808910413702
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11587.029778102498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7432:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.720900301527489, b_new = -1.0407856155607176, c_new = 5.923911116352523
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12444.955791759816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7433:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.461336930973499, b_new = -1.3526507559474545, c_new = 6.003122498327081
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9196.892588830733
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7434:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.779099976189498, b_new = -2.004280734774622, c_new = 5.073579345028492
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7581.063503751703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7435:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0516738329344757, b_new = -1.6202772971348927, c_new = 4.669065202919397
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3072.0944052352124
Acceptance probability: 4.863130881203404e-27
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7436:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.580797448672258, b_new = -1.225963911874098, c_new = 5.365034977444809
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9212.702319370987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7437:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0701098328678262, b_new = -0.867435676591656, c_new = 5.127522474006803
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3329.6746518502496
Acceptance probability: 6.625767704152748e-139
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7438:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.863040080903512, b_new = -0.9102318308118813, c_new = 5.695333801814561
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3539.6593676361285
Acceptance probability: 4.227005917911457e-230
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7439:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2394807436991746, b_new = -1.672677789689426, c_new = 5.174742630746444
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4029.750187281964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7440:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.671008869128869, b_new = -0.5137201239644319, c_new = 5.213425628735057
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12605.86935679771
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7441:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2390279073126007, b_new = -1.7972078742143371, c_new = 4.867637170350137
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3794.005091659846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7442:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.671658018539217, b_new = -0.9541641615790475, c_new = 5.6032207463354915
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12105.265185737067
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7443:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.055831791888872, b_new = -1.8124550721728685, c_new = 4.400519673137829
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3179.106459745015
Acceptance probability: 1.6299383836434787e-73
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7444:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.652110493123702, b_new = -0.787060789607516, c_new = 5.393150012048157
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6774.339103338322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7445:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6310550797335552, b_new = -1.6962799062500036, c_new = 5.07722029280152
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10421.053937425952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7446:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3391702638555243, b_new = -1.160441466953901, c_new = 5.398246475587435
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11879.10780708984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7447:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5206210118188324, b_new = -1.2979175178818014, c_new = 6.864770406684903
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9730.349512011015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7448:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3596517601554337, b_new = -1.4197424527526399, c_new = 5.641002232012329
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6917.2931318408555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7449:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4151777288182736, b_new = -1.1359452298105557, c_new = 5.389743126598884
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8704.053155517106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7450:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.996925756994147, b_new = -1.810179796499812, c_new = 5.278787123618672
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3426.143753512969
Acceptance probability: 8.418557439164149e-181
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7451:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5821186451184492, b_new = -2.014413893234061, c_new = 5.075677544694815
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10989.99189141402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7452:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.595717310779176, b_new = -1.6744227772272362, c_new = 5.715347020265289
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9866.499153095083
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7453:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6426834563248507, b_new = -1.6879782591149124, c_new = 4.7013511387065
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10450.34289196641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7454:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.376919853694726, b_new = -1.836493074727799, c_new = 5.448698573539677
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6109.538032809638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7455:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.539504418919329, b_new = -1.8374669319784203, c_new = 5.432998486897957
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11027.549235711473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7456:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.921163728399683, b_new = -1.5823605723721001, c_new = 6.4015301465742365
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3671.7983691659265
Acceptance probability: 1.7329803855650765e-287
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7457:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1357857528821333, b_new = -1.0967256892433976, c_new = 6.078962049488096
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13023.784773669558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7458:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.35470440632947, b_new = -1.656123428200271, c_new = 5.321407938678555
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6072.320544898061
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7459:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.924790577797612, b_new = -0.42119268128795884, c_new = 4.971633377397725
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3027.1364061189797
Acceptance probability: 1.6290217822649825e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7460:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.64946373278514, b_new = -1.5658029812890386, c_new = 4.996424363675638
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10800.49520535222
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7461:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.444237542613861, b_new = -1.6869703579699638, c_new = 5.151218170193758
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7763.187039400358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7462:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0011959169507385, b_new = -0.6207298799434167, c_new = 5.203512265477527
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13435.415669909555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7463:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.310599441310658, b_new = -1.5990241058704475, c_new = 6.1866612156140635
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12501.71866593375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7464:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.870768073657504, b_new = -1.3209822610868882, c_new = 5.367551537272842
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4077.716416556094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7465:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6787879367526988, b_new = -1.5593786983278393, c_new = 6.299731651183838
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7942.18147133797
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7466:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.717824427207368, b_new = -0.6335368801887193, c_new = 5.289056512644773
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12790.544339239957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7467:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8780923258903726, b_new = -0.8053522622064972, c_new = 5.219173330391246
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3368.2352714913336
Acceptance probability: 1.18733119097296e-155
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7468:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2817536602888895, b_new = -1.550521064695202, c_new = 5.023030256290329
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12952.346500639092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7469:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6533557000985057, b_new = -0.8555036603132227, c_new = 5.0901794304796635
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7036.208793397347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7470:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0299456583224944, b_new = -2.0684349207691826, c_new = 5.577679770830783
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3390.3165196166283
Acceptance probability: 3.053568468837113e-165
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7471:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0352040553746056, b_new = -1.455844027129397, c_new = 5.881616219696806
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3013.85933335309
Acceptance probability: 0.09507937746653575
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7472:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.728854213699599, b_new = -0.5085238048314012, c_new = 4.8139991181753565
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4824.435667880591
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7473:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.715183749519625, b_new = -1.683356949344049, c_new = 5.771354048241356
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11437.296994508326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7474:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.179860261605523, b_new = -1.3018355505925991, c_new = 4.263572503489504
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14194.91290036251
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7475:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.099734561631266, b_new = -0.6984528731974826, c_new = 5.485359326893962
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3872.1035939708345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7476:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1372876064971216, b_new = -1.9340751306502888, c_new = 4.742335840293417
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3063.7937548506766
Acceptance probability: 1.9581349366680306e-23
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7477:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3329064184923354, b_new = -1.8083828962614983, c_new = 5.011163324238077
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5181.335182055287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7478:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.175813932697975, b_new = -1.938396731674218, c_new = 6.104158299407545
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3258.8831712662254
Acceptance probability: 3.677778664831361e-108
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7479:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2967187304249235, b_new = -0.6203885146856906, c_new = 5.588938581046167
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11371.569411294602
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7480:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.792553161810857, b_new = -1.984703175716364, c_new = 5.421208416491735
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7080.499015174058
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7481:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.080552427637966, b_new = -1.6964206749827873, c_new = 5.687287716361444
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3018.390646722737
Acceptance probability: 0.0010236746232107922
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7482:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0439380498423936, b_new = -1.4317581243551099, c_new = 6.1131597604264165
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3015.5633741472557
Acceptance probability: 0.01729939103914084
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7483:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.122295116151605, b_new = -0.7356119172970027, c_new = 5.748132300336295
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12758.446383682749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7484:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8223622833814406, b_new = -2.1939125120114547, c_new = 4.831346188370825
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7283.191525774885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7485:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.47346916805545, b_new = -1.1667726301478525, c_new = 6.065223715498625
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9818.600543493563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7486:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0315437213685104, b_new = -1.0769002762457296, c_new = 5.689622655940243
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3058.7171822865485
Acceptance probability: 3.137401267492839e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7487:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.588151411942092, b_new = -1.208200040306197, c_new = 5.478465898186117
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10920.188537787306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7488:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5745719779249208, b_new = -1.0674023682769584, c_new = 4.860080918014127
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9127.139712344166
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7489:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.104211023188654, b_new = -2.1477541368822624, c_new = 6.059117803615065
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14295.832013587158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7490:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2393248872780833, b_new = -1.977713634220835, c_new = 5.668932792708879
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3690.386217473455
Acceptance probability: 1.4662016261475376e-295
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7491:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.707738263515781, b_new = -0.40669893879529284, c_new = 5.921574664544168
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4691.062807836775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7492:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2825587904000173, b_new = -0.988528342215476, c_new = 5.271958795440499
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6306.040198685372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7493:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.962481324523481, b_new = -1.0735380350231818, c_new = 5.658619811339841
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3064.429266437688
Acceptance probability: 1.0371544633566741e-23
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7494:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2828719355656566, b_new = -2.275202703787591, c_new = 5.077308667700376
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13830.025219695606
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7495:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3958976095373163, b_new = -2.1554609507110163, c_new = 5.637326861917408
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5758.9407340131565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7496:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8558481574453554, b_new = -1.7687626242376715, c_new = 4.981722649541647
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5339.951844808111
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7497:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4809251013584186, b_new = -1.1366663300686601, c_new = 6.110255271763828
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10157.081872526463
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7498:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7847110742836234, b_new = -1.9230697602302216, c_new = 5.327738814393278
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7113.576506194667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7499:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9078973846898366, b_new = -1.4481090592810157, c_new = 5.477842681038701
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14553.31345721028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7500:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7218774609473373, b_new = -2.169703861815286, c_new = 5.070861452423682
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9243.700585867435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7501:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2695607137654434, b_new = -2.437665409176543, c_new = 5.8074356482917056
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3488.5317404052657
Acceptance probability: 6.768294308140658e-208
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7502:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9708909695576358, b_new = -0.9811286968890129, c_new = 5.359538429044266
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3029.8719150502266
Acceptance probability: 1.0565996376769128e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7503:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.34990766594496, b_new = -2.15626222852666, c_new = 5.971588635191578
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4993.029835658839
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7504:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.123939912996168, b_new = -1.380629549591121, c_new = 5.285430162028547
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14116.461115974409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7505:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.257090675391774, b_new = -1.274890091135471, c_new = 5.630108687306142
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5184.381746119849
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7506:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3368330694674992, b_new = -1.177204437231238, c_new = 5.6179515261539885
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7089.288594183899
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7507:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9500661815511826, b_new = -0.7542334268554239, c_new = 5.497972888897624
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3025.6590495390224
Acceptance probability: 7.13731232948411e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7508:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9859417796493353, b_new = -0.8958877378537993, c_new = 4.965477660781268
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Acceptance probability: 0.5642082844038468
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7509:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.057394603518002, b_new = -0.9112695613969515, c_new = 5.532728324944966
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3256.2617416400317
Acceptance probability: 8.966409134869069e-107
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7510:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.394291813493339, b_new = -0.7708166021171475, c_new = 4.00615293032745
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11148.423059998806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7511:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3958298264292064, b_new = -1.5566251006931417, c_new = 5.75746624561557
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11895.056506435496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7512:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4749874993283876, b_new = -0.5817362526238548, c_new = 5.242797641924171
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10735.238326151177
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7513:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.416338753644696, b_new = -0.9190731286400832, c_new = 3.9842439548242132
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8749.257155529596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7514:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.035954448369953, b_new = -0.35685278161758305, c_new = 4.811531534471528
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3540.888369138049
Acceptance probability: 2.192021586206913e-230
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7515:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8810742391162116, b_new = -1.2052097815116856, c_new = 4.98097608962229
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3852.3061045681197
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7516:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.903609038807612, b_new = -1.5811847518588524, c_new = 4.959272278735812
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4176.318713182366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7517:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5359403531039146, b_new = -1.1728508216807734, c_new = 5.219068315319497
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10333.339217092329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7518:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1932956335916933, b_new = -0.07156677557955815, c_new = 4.854764983983494
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6774.7941196977545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7519:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6759218008462144, b_new = -1.0691542575677404, c_new = 5.608268878929245
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6951.899704577754
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7520:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4802969515260265, b_new = -1.4473759265906723, c_new = 4.118070554386921
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8642.31647468801
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7521:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4027245318869728, b_new = -0.5829570294978806, c_new = 5.838312223593889
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10142.79459734662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7522:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6469659490134654, b_new = -1.170185690132282, c_new = 5.212631908438393
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7951.175856643111
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7523:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3233103336336693, b_new = -0.17811772876569476, c_new = 4.9089928787256945
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9293.489193205196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7524:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.117248640242666, b_new = -0.5637169805534694, c_new = 6.161029789268869
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12485.043432521188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7525:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.169215289534997, b_new = -1.3403708319420697, c_new = 5.0799269661542645
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13368.608894831577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7526:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.343699361032119, b_new = -0.22646121015040577, c_new = 4.84123063706339
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9504.548695824813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7527:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9990122960996963, b_new = -0.873914547995994, c_new = 4.328230340129363
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3014.0962811611716
Acceptance probability: 0.13296634937466495
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7528:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4355691957995385, b_new = -1.159240300318542, c_new = 4.456925044784882
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8671.636304515387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7529:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5468902214410667, b_new = -2.3123040894907407, c_new = 4.81749075034839
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12042.888702626675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7530:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4402929948700987, b_new = -0.5198411190553697, c_new = 5.271838094013347
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9738.72464006586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7531:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2271603214851505, b_new = -0.40648040364669363, c_new = 4.795133526356616
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6538.625826913221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7532:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.594168335765192, b_new = -0.8287626906924614, c_new = 4.6284270358697714
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11350.529006523344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7533:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.219567274585921, b_new = -1.3627880899562341, c_new = 5.673915208769228
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4390.511647728612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7534:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6359647316453776, b_new = -0.6763096282965223, c_new = 5.653469003251775
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14810.58034850431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7535:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7254663134977886, b_new = -0.8828419997662181, c_new = 4.507080014977587
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12302.775437850876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7536:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8992177466864706, b_new = -1.3979933097811466, c_new = 5.4562255826852875
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3829.461344273952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7537:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.730368078775649, b_new = -0.44373096637273896, c_new = 4.333891821848077
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4795.621776676493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7538:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.736832592664858, b_new = -1.4137026052831416, c_new = 5.172143048580438
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6773.465123933335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7539:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2990590604363943, b_new = -1.5036178881563913, c_new = 5.223641732779574
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5309.802032407333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7540:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.935060706207132, b_new = -0.40312875525255143, c_new = 4.303863465366088
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14012.661366683184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7541:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7360623787124734, b_new = -0.7849867275416803, c_new = 5.08539059342556
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5218.951234538154
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7542:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0936772311178977, b_new = -1.4792990180239596, c_new = 5.124839893817411
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3069.160994709308
Acceptance probability: 1.6197220844534365e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7543:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.285789521728842, b_new = -1.757619507008684, c_new = 4.568727729518827
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13321.73629407727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7544:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5745566120159356, b_new = -0.8790229699971124, c_new = 5.181182987739191
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11247.40397141704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7545:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7176117660948886, b_new = -0.11876517485953142, c_new = 5.522694816336401
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4134.6516269183685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7546:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6547049064852244, b_new = -1.2946418074978023, c_new = 5.263530179951633
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8109.087654035647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7547:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8636272450156257, b_new = -0.911256202744127, c_new = 5.219391492907705
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3604.798677499528
Acceptance probability: 3.8454801018909345e-258
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7548:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.466810893099564, b_new = -0.6520975630090611, c_new = 4.902143276489642
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9774.500134162328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7549:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9968087940459083, b_new = -1.5776043556398507, c_new = 5.379265990392267
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3207.6428164406734
Acceptance probability: 1.1682868324654028e-85
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7550:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.978618376782769, b_new = -0.7984827431177818, c_new = 5.486748725324992
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3024.8162055877992
Acceptance probability: 2.9385813660527825e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7551:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.418052613188854, b_new = -0.15272926101154727, c_new = 5.262686387184711
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9316.786661343915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7552:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1353154603707734, b_new = -1.6020944170566234, c_new = 5.503914690006958
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13734.780951999102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7553:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4491658529525453, b_new = 0.2673583568359621, c_new = 4.2907278516426794
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11672.623159423445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7554:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8592537788133805, b_new = -1.52941603345498, c_new = 5.072215506553499
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14884.338295003372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7555:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.810839139000312, b_new = -1.5715492137354503, c_new = 5.212871861522578
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5641.7199928970485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7556:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0315991255691217, b_new = -1.5808221181884607, c_new = 5.048464959038274
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3086.750388124128
Acceptance probability: 3.719323923795527e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7557:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.953403426838026, b_new = -0.8590133340929829, c_new = 4.7355068098760755
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3056.3857443358975
Acceptance probability: 5.723494183695006e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7558:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.033153405016803, b_new = -1.1296023182126118, c_new = 4.93306102915276
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13872.118817921297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7559:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.843019766916733, b_new = -0.7831692894074225, c_new = 4.782980595586585
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13253.46906613464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7560:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.21816102999408, b_new = -1.3493265155420104, c_new = 4.0602921317192715
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4046.164116887103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7561:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.884521818268554, b_new = -1.3872331948739636, c_new = 4.571075018451548
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4193.498291114147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7562:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.43394324910859, b_new = -1.233910930006036, c_new = 5.5857461688637455
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11043.593422676317
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7563:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4111445048226785, b_new = 0.007739617722707148, c_new = 4.58167630127931
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9301.579555663773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7564:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0488956141970363, b_new = -0.9403383295138583, c_new = 6.02818213015415
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3239.861010760218
Acceptance probability: 1.1895028091375837e-99
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7565:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4075399279532066, b_new = -1.4681667352089183, c_new = 4.806589556933936
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7477.856289534639
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7566:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7113433505927107, b_new = -0.5656226385461185, c_new = 5.328888950381197
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5105.519643850081
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7567:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2517660447359162, b_new = -1.1893497038742225, c_new = 4.435375775052598
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4931.473365423166
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7568:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.950088177094164, b_new = -0.49793037144557734, c_new = 4.5402232668796225
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3018.8037377936016
Acceptance probability: 0.001200381534357806
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7569:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5127416742952624, b_new = 0.3493102884726227, c_new = 4.542611218315807
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6941.144304821213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7570:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8939765828486665, b_new = -1.1967731375485022, c_new = 5.481231366685559
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3612.34407454932
Acceptance probability: 2.032479930917494e-261
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7571:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7511724665948263, b_new = 0.43137442321590336, c_new = 4.83388750674888
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14146.229972349665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7572:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9477749731846252, b_new = -1.1701879769875694, c_new = 3.821551123734225
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3377.544918597668
Acceptance probability: 1.9054784931831628e-159
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7573:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.802380487605222, b_new = -1.004482885926968, c_new = 4.316645478471964
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4769.797327447386
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7574:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3635565184086724, b_new = -1.1840632557927802, c_new = 4.049283707378194
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7055.194458949219
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7575:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5095336079148582, b_new = -0.36606708923014675, c_new = 4.159687693330145
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11151.139346638553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7576:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.118313479967574, b_new = -0.7876145284801448, c_new = 3.685514939854146
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13377.525602143489
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7577:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1793249568528634, b_new = -1.0219867055521945, c_new = 3.965968607869211
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4039.964236061714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7578:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7062327742469714, b_new = -0.5634824970869348, c_new = 4.370494390196161
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5480.837981848008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7579:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5989987781964623, b_new = -1.0247945551340578, c_new = 4.808537411413992
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8627.62371344648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7580:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.788894631664037, b_new = -0.6066524132470495, c_new = 5.1556672807446855
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4037.582424097825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7581:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.524143862315674, b_new = -0.32224980679333737, c_new = 4.829819201282139
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8228.296901440935
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7582:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.852029587385737, b_new = -0.18495187044582984, c_new = 5.318779712818927
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14099.407449809114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7583:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3764684144225683, b_new = -0.8371486011814959, c_new = 4.829797449511958
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11186.723089146566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7584:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5116899797747783, b_new = -1.1583614858289684, c_new = 5.050104268281596
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10157.998029907503
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7585:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1618588597041075, b_new = -0.8233322232715815, c_new = 5.453167786637441
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4487.712892337095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7586:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6510789891921602, b_new = -0.5510850230868676, c_new = 4.613346375357637
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6458.460643308448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7587:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.210102319235977, b_new = -1.7098332115932422, c_new = 4.33832060273361
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13769.524105790933
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7588:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2897738489805133, b_new = -0.5880279157990924, c_new = 4.885960416130734
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7444.4700581817215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7589:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4124313804338477, b_new = -0.9468804737799007, c_new = 4.533288241122166
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11098.014533705184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7590:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5252291808173022, b_new = -0.9557460274657846, c_new = 4.3437788502569825
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15609.293898753296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7591:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6308404330692676, b_new = -1.2543687407240993, c_new = 4.694078750670252
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11035.510851407016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7592:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8312192270549046, b_new = -1.1478781034571965, c_new = 4.812202444211589
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12749.062681618558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7593:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.389107295360533, b_new = -0.7862324100258427, c_new = 4.984376252391174
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8959.360431672803
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7594:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9861347561426337, b_new = -0.4488607068255209, c_new = 4.521035577873311
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14244.150822016254
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7595:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.958651266726545, b_new = -0.734094961541865, c_new = 5.391182969245044
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3020.077840934833
Acceptance probability: 0.0003357247370742471
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7596:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.681858281161467, b_new = -0.7555697785878024, c_new = 5.508694110257896
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14754.027018545103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7597:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.020393023174597, b_new = -0.6630623370491807, c_new = 5.91490416739395
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3277.4655653110135
Acceptance probability: 5.545170908800469e-116
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7598:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7189506659517932, b_new = 0.5491625724047258, c_new = 3.623337339350709
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3550.0802643706857
Acceptance probability: 2.2328289213303618e-234
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7599:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.832408264107738, b_new = -0.5747406283931771, c_new = 4.611915141198312
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3601.025609347824
Acceptance probability: 1.6732978252322053e-256
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7600:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.025782511763091, b_new = -0.8521259756012002, c_new = 5.25303631844743
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3108.9893990188466
Acceptance probability: 8.169289544841864e-43
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7601:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9693903887020197, b_new = -0.5371203901833048, c_new = 4.764577971644115
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3040.585488154106
Acceptance probability: 4.1650989006637293e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7602:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5580196521639467, b_new = -0.8085164073209192, c_new = 4.822769284569971
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8803.668414386031
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7603:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6760835359525195, b_new = -0.922451699683979, c_new = 6.1020003408730865
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6395.3862705911215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7604:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2652885185019684, b_new = -0.9142731178940114, c_new = 5.3967067013426195
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6183.598453384157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7605:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.813655344919051, b_new = -0.4370478983440113, c_new = 5.3934516381808475
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3514.403158281048
Acceptance probability: 6.969887268502764e-219
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7606:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.889759751171677, b_new = -1.7616308513815349, c_new = 5.920642457961108
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4462.573833420232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7607:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2351903259071464, b_new = -0.3111833003804728, c_new = 4.4649256112062
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6861.107475565288
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7608:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.665341821806738, b_new = -0.6968406977273731, c_new = 4.464726434666762
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12102.439264349134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7609:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.285449162414606, b_new = -0.8257747721115921, c_new = 5.904818032279124
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7078.436024045643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7610:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1484513261793357, b_new = -1.1102075016096031, c_new = 5.341461811554535
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13149.799173941661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7611:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.92916318351508, b_new = -0.907642584200158, c_new = 5.7803963634287445
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3105.355785085669
Acceptance probability: 3.092023383459824e-41
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7612:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.58216874531413, b_new = -0.8537818115965862, c_new = 5.779874767151326
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11545.452061976315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7613:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2511134555480767, b_new = -1.618892518337435, c_new = 5.017459253586774
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13236.51338543251
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7614:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2218480851042606, b_new = -0.2711470405136348, c_new = 5.398728191475903
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7063.707922308227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7615:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.864076232893775, b_new = -1.3491959706788863, c_new = 5.19869197042349
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12806.955300283971
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7616:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5862651601136237, b_new = -1.1784908197872137, c_new = 4.977732455547034
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10800.395754613968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7617:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1967793196842775, b_new = -1.2736040793400174, c_new = 5.167873621869505
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4109.1527842962405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7618:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5881585915980834, b_new = -1.7457156604072601, c_new = 5.831686999899671
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10079.884731597425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7619:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.099175613022348, b_new = -1.1030866869891855, c_new = 4.419493058928233
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3252.1396803368307
Acceptance probability: 5.531042935711695e-105
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7620:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.639311280378158, b_new = -1.5400930096581789, c_new = 4.362295984438214
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9383.9481354013
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7621:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0897468487287165, b_new = -0.6747793985726998, c_new = 5.295304289473539
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12993.46049392402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7622:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4391597393658886, b_new = -0.30916926111776055, c_new = 4.458106122857877
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9597.395913890292
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7623:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8066940995660015, b_new = 0.10638564471674772, c_new = 4.80309086582
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3195.2127730115576
Acceptance probability: 2.923134192207051e-80
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7624:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.251408564107914, b_new = -1.507265981623505, c_new = 5.0239555554543625
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4443.123182833286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7625:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2710210400925894, b_new = -0.22682609300219525, c_new = 4.620407379006402
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11266.796447996647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7626:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9860586858283775, b_new = -0.3284743715186065, c_new = 5.7565585866976
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3328.046491093444
Acceptance probability: 5.982710378980324e-138
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7627:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2382173802986416, b_new = -0.9928731170156131, c_new = 6.128713103516789
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12223.642584887577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7628:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3384843690286434, b_new = -0.8951771736547927, c_new = 4.693644570034112
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7552.374420459645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7629:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.170476558401994, b_new = -1.4760733178209795, c_new = 4.871376851003969
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3496.7420592366507
Acceptance probability: 3.2609460454517916e-211
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7630:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.808066223994832, b_new = -1.109607324536092, c_new = 5.071523301098076
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4681.218217437385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7631:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6594889077925696, b_new = -1.051436003366104, c_new = 4.9303088239365485
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7492.430821015254
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7632:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.287836560449923, b_new = -1.0641145027605703, c_new = 5.374027088006112
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6251.035861746746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7633:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.24019313087808, b_new = -0.3015261729545623, c_new = 5.296964135375298
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15427.99083839731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7634:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2787256813794556, b_new = -1.1635000348878815, c_new = 4.787632211699598
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12524.56187538772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7635:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5062444070369, b_new = -1.7581358871089283, c_new = 5.132886476061951
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11357.136375888469
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7636:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.021624302774844, b_new = -0.9999059093209969, c_new = 5.216097167654725
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14023.746427526654
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7637:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.808690295518786, b_new = -1.0530010135168693, c_new = 5.103279496939381
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4550.381238400807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7638:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.180551118694227, b_new = -1.4196640207519269, c_new = 4.229178302711049
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3566.4736685232324
Acceptance probability: 1.695471468241906e-241
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7639:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.133948488757865, b_new = -1.205976107855015, c_new = 5.298172084207297
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3525.044776465822
Acceptance probability: 1.6658262357383494e-223
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7640:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.41761618834326, b_new = -1.5375630769891835, c_new = 5.18668460693096
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11843.357531624817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7641:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.812272094970119, b_new = -1.2560862227209395, c_new = 5.083467000574759
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4915.010291824865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7642:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4744923529795217, b_new = -1.4937747825842744, c_new = 4.290794757127409
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11501.404588177284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7643:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5186499437344554, b_new = -1.1838806232979895, c_new = 5.162773389035876
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10084.379857371077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7644:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.009682122645985, b_new = -1.251452330675341, c_new = 4.655030345207018
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3047.0436144478613
Acceptance probability: 6.529752275650344e-16
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7645:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3105662250071135, b_new = -0.6478687591022116, c_new = 5.167455712749209
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7841.774352562534
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7646:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.829586032504082, b_new = -1.143920712114171, c_new = 5.7999464859457115
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13002.674230823577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7647:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3796739691897444, b_new = -1.3101578258245468, c_new = 4.4724437991861405
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7204.579329158897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7648:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.697779452093508, b_new = -0.6774415988635725, c_new = 5.208931521483843
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5649.0963419947975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7649:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.746615966759642, b_new = -1.473781169197946, c_new = 5.248421902593869
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11853.325506869553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7650:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.795527566113877, b_new = -1.1110707207404118, c_new = 5.035150232245241
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4903.109671515582
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7651:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1681259758950255, b_new = -1.034903669308425, c_new = 4.857377281829345
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4056.139224922297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7652:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3568860623002936, b_new = -0.6539962870498162, c_new = 4.332928698164028
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8449.520515702892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7653:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9709779957617632, b_new = -1.7484499819270158, c_new = 5.272857337599372
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12992.494636929036
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7654:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.123739030198238, b_new = -0.745210792796046, c_new = 4.850163302553418
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3953.5912331443906
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7655:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.111034582420044, b_new = -0.5173185728977356, c_new = 5.338410720175818
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4285.058858696792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7656:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.802620971854982, b_new = -0.09667365666853078, c_new = 4.9632229595928266
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13861.116086547272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7657:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3934604567520803, b_new = -1.7079306340838687, c_new = 5.6870461043219755
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12167.878018736155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7658:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4442952710931336, b_new = -1.5164758156006202, c_new = 4.257883001923082
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11856.227200521807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7659:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.66517353118659, b_new = -0.6225495397641759, c_new = 5.695142346250635
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5996.566043024077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7660:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3621019634633447, b_new = -0.7396594106251353, c_new = 4.689824030019056
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8461.465124778753
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7661:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3408599156287284, b_new = -1.7105054337603467, c_new = 5.680043068031485
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12576.41586868318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7662:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4798645534813413, b_new = -0.6873145713974258, c_new = 4.6094782336596625
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10384.87370772206
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7663:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3924591545221596, b_new = -0.9869373392742992, c_new = 5.108791692505344
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8557.122757467445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7664:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1659234452958955, b_new = -0.6146490253394635, c_new = 5.643215312179421
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12357.56840395026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7665:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.071880336754207, b_new = -0.9522254399358836, c_new = 4.759307714957377
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14182.480929700283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7666:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.438674738939206, b_new = -0.9223967646566491, c_new = 5.183981609706139
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9528.35471379846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7667:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.899249787824254, b_new = -1.369970565522418, c_new = 4.838620915098092
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3914.1338727785114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7668:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.873854558742676, b_new = -1.6101291760181695, c_new = 5.320876598718846
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4572.268569437234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7669:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.755642209789347, b_new = -0.6698471725989389, c_new = 5.251877551065334
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12982.385454583578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7670:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.167236148966779, b_new = -1.6270117764731915, c_new = 5.339704366930854
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13639.74093949792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7671:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8758932600990494, b_new = -0.9621081028757106, c_new = 4.684808036543965
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3633.208155767202
Acceptance probability: 1.765513013516593e-270
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7672:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.969777246987072, b_new = -1.4798234143980404, c_new = 4.738586023117545
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3381.2569845124935
Acceptance probability: 4.654513647717345e-161
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7673:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7649350481689514, b_new = -0.5722503694880666, c_new = 5.344380889716637
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4263.674522934875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7674:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7707975597739685, b_new = -0.7482975982566417, c_new = 5.387657430806098
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4481.83687586761
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7675:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.994060803216818, b_new = -0.16803137645270527, c_new = 5.783407209990178
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3565.014231399507
Acceptance probability: 7.296523327750609e-241
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7676:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.282693661795607, b_new = -1.3473980706507998, c_new = 5.185102443059967
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12633.70067406023
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7677:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.396680733410301, b_new = -1.2455559763662907, c_new = 4.20606605448618
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7629.204057758336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7678:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.919191149965803, b_new = -0.6845110443990141, c_new = 4.698985109116267
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3100.0886557122285
Acceptance probability: 5.99415531747643e-39
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7679:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5095986350237474, b_new = -1.157186486106043, c_new = 5.172967825241105
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10141.102090623468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7680:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2713949558956683, b_new = -0.4321456138699704, c_new = 5.461057743899055
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7732.953778463992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7681:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.190785855920513, b_new = -1.2660069172818975, c_new = 3.9869391075534204
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13449.197106054773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7682:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.295872208074648, b_new = -1.9447790557773827, c_new = 4.527748209583562
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13508.369364250997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7683:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.790593316007768, b_new = -0.9276953810843764, c_new = 4.67402107392201
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4703.662969728483
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7684:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5629500802214142, b_new = -0.8181628595840282, c_new = 5.06331349726255
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8657.467388306643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7685:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7129722666670912, b_new = -0.7158148999312806, c_new = 5.20669453281803
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5451.164676930326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7686:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.447775595247425, b_new = -1.5816674028751105, c_new = 4.699189930177043
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7939.4301728544815
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7687:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.669162796109563, b_new = -1.2883104225119826, c_new = 5.664551695223126
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7652.192320401726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7688:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.90907578446171, b_new = 0.2222322195905435, c_new = 4.328049146695923
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3157.2924629949794
Acceptance probability: 8.59864749456127e-64
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7689:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.286629023017467, b_new = -0.5052244006685052, c_new = 4.627074265871138
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7508.911579191181
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7690:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.218082505106307, b_new = -0.6269849839098957, c_new = 4.868162647377326
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12210.78278473909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7691:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.466713737606905, b_new = -0.858081850873905, c_new = 4.669532430570766
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9895.021922247048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7692:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7622013895103144, b_new = -0.9289315587297092, c_new = 4.960471729892969
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5108.596679297274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7693:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6599024467416643, b_new = -1.2297180405156967, c_new = 4.928643862998448
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7963.959672044749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7694:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.511976667543163, b_new = -0.8154001702579958, c_new = 5.173226500085973
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10701.114549487955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7695:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.705962680144201, b_new = -0.7955775826373737, c_new = 4.022181121913727
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15023.129392157254
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7696:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.09218645024641, b_new = -0.705744647786338, c_new = 5.530517575348719
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3785.115231216505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7697:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0469394601443915, b_new = -0.8272860273813534, c_new = 5.145832193675584
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3216.2957896938233
Acceptance probability: 2.039909713573478e-89
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7698:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6267231075820483, b_new = -1.427370811793513, c_new = 5.090870910863668
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10828.256686916213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7699:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4191633599774773, b_new = -0.6699543926130052, c_new = 4.475560923066834
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9545.76729431277
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7700:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.513525486274449, b_new = -1.3690955717660245, c_new = 5.273185724280829
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10479.950688357832
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7701:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7469960442444474, b_new = -0.9692291277826501, c_new = 5.469275542609634
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5324.230714024001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7702:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3763263718194194, b_new = -0.3367204540602632, c_new = 5.013644482728545
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9839.059393042706
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7703:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9183237907301596, b_new = -0.10100274970788525, c_new = 4.196287018411637
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3041.7795105103396
Acceptance probability: 1.2620251148596926e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7704:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9596816339641143, b_new = -0.6747289307754833, c_new = 5.661644557184439
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13586.34394065715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7705:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8460885256092237, b_new = -0.9003617377124811, c_new = 4.863708755512746
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3838.3168468087742
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7706:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5032787681448974, b_new = -0.2610837615544852, c_new = 5.880756280546271
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11817.111459867287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7707:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4869565218794225, b_new = -0.71263095144974, c_new = 4.759838867370657
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10470.569576756609
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7708:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7273834018806307, b_new = -0.7432070293362095, c_new = 4.551039678045264
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12511.368516768141
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7709:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7368390836031438, b_new = -1.5492541715962689, c_new = 4.863995190835379
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11566.935159224879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7710:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5154803111029786, b_new = -1.6393534794227227, c_new = 5.096187244506462
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11042.747346823271
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7711:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.10940648218453, b_new = -0.5888392160088953, c_new = 4.948420810579829
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4044.677208024941
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7712:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.833654624540201, b_new = -0.7584777659620607, c_new = 5.103556894168053
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3738.6313955027576
Acceptance probability: 2.89827534e-316
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7713:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.923604788819563, b_new = -1.4722998785508161, c_new = 4.76954895077521
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14675.59543670897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7714:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.569705573444674, b_new = -0.8367122309889392, c_new = 4.328159743131073
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11014.652664268826
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7715:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1475728315206046, b_new = -1.3058811912604336, c_new = 4.402193310820322
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13625.590096652317
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7716:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.036078825444274, b_new = -1.0130322306307369, c_new = 4.636279369907382
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3045.073117150656
Acceptance probability: 4.684603172673737e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7717:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.229372084825763, b_new = -0.5906598239824988, c_new = 5.109601144836128
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6189.650304559676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7718:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.925362913935367, b_new = -1.0773608141796598, c_new = 5.471111606915102
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3245.6762963010583
Acceptance probability: 3.546655868028921e-102
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7719:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.811569474464689, b_new = -1.8082656913300834, c_new = 4.468943007794222
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11692.204581265452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7720:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.971298904326104, b_new = -0.7473975848072034, c_new = 5.587484759245566
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3029.334295848221
Acceptance probability: 3.2059448820302804e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7721:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7625503919174834, b_new = -0.2564847118564323, c_new = 5.300426098139114
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13551.72064046972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7722:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.028637460931529, b_new = -0.5273574115013114, c_new = 4.346043600220248
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3252.544342648028
Acceptance probability: 3.690323348468895e-105
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7723:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.78652645553243, b_new = -0.9189185418614985, c_new = 6.077906518124573
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4399.3286658049665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7724:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1736470285423843, b_new = -1.0013056729205982, c_new = 5.302119383692352
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4289.927281567598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7725:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.65306066897031, b_new = -0.7742888134065947, c_new = 5.048658576456868
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6843.958683800322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7726:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2925309117902413, b_new = -1.6317643407089588, c_new = 5.3470847767392895
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4942.631025034678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7727:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.969272801856688, b_new = -0.2712481774282295, c_new = 5.286766317992755
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3213.858653542935
Acceptance probability: 2.333703770842435e-88
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7728:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4810283036125136, b_new = -0.7003575173607719, c_new = 5.216888435601253
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9580.839356600034
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7729:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0039389676259276, b_new = -0.852454837272749, c_new = 5.238707389934065
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3042.3824541241675
Acceptance probability: 6.905782774903929e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7730:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.747903102974838, b_new = -1.3150064992722772, c_new = 4.699262645566527
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11936.47968079576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7731:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0227419148967014, b_new = -0.4213081642857002, c_new = 5.01606375677862
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13152.467925665407
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7732:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2196380650144443, b_new = -0.9760012053355916, c_new = 4.625304517732985
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12727.284040295419
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7733:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6838318292140266, b_new = -0.9096049106545295, c_new = 4.6600669577652205
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15046.110039981062
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7734:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1580395695848247, b_new = -1.0643465062559674, c_new = 4.976273823195442
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3908.965594406757
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7735:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094124075201241, b_new = -1.0474670289773562, c_new = 5.624796874819189
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3403.8471881490796
Acceptance probability: 7.195707869857941e-171
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7736:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.784156083388436, b_new = -0.42386198923930357, c_new = 5.316862071338254
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3802.4943892687897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7737:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7948003273538613, b_new = -1.483461524005858, c_new = 5.711018012189016
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5566.911372215244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7738:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9435518465698003, b_new = -0.3612135025894677, c_new = 5.484637063151833
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3082.712686545963
Acceptance probability: 2.1087034986781047e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7739:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1380058337212264, b_new = -0.49261493348245944, c_new = 6.512303527803207
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5127.096680260354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7740:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7839617327855337, b_new = -1.7953196064927155, c_new = 4.623525812931887
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7053.739333374702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7741:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4658660987233274, b_new = -1.2709767081930976, c_new = 4.284851628856024
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8861.231589708654
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7742:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.231695427310164, b_new = -1.4306740729998104, c_new = 4.935746188949561
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4272.100774957179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7743:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.480518981252075, b_new = -0.7402804732870744, c_new = 4.237722528080315
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9994.080077046156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7744:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5089339574739187, b_new = -0.7062558126952998, c_new = 4.421716636956159
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10628.23379082942
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7745:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.242706692022418, b_new = -0.8109555198453315, c_new = 4.637358002235518
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5710.653606864451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7746:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4180442017137844, b_new = -0.5412130406626401, c_new = 4.777031243956969
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10209.402372073786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7747:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.978977953866832, b_new = -0.8845351952950639, c_new = 5.489810939989673
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3016.3753226333893
Acceptance probability: 0.013613400136060114
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7748:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4083522220727933, b_new = -1.31868069482977, c_new = 4.688327783728298
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11727.226018377969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7749:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.939937109456782, b_new = -1.167921674693922, c_new = 4.943315055418664
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3280.914174227715
Acceptance probability: 1.762800290474496e-117
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7750:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6769499664081726, b_new = -1.3850452016550876, c_new = 4.637204362519025
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11239.340789727717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7751:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1174633373685463, b_new = -0.7428618753671001, c_new = 4.922502253978291
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3896.3968729056305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7752:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1825498954883082, b_new = -1.7426396603092695, c_new = 5.64869588078455
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3425.2829382467403
Acceptance probability: 3.5289502897004075e-180
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7753:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9567037732590915, b_new = -1.6992878110352212, c_new = 5.334055125730986
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12981.624594318528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7754:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3949057303847012, b_new = -1.6669528124650705, c_new = 5.274278427592253
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6859.972422609065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7755:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6303210773196164, b_new = -1.1691183004318457, c_new = 4.455631007407773
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8560.264373692824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7756:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.730317042113269, b_new = -1.3064537887828052, c_new = 5.220510127139475
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11953.602442409989
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7757:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2865257716956817, b_new = -0.7231631754540325, c_new = 4.974965426486131
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7021.439176577524
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7758:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.588019826576685, b_new = -0.26729537680774007, c_new = 6.072943834034546
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12595.350243939829
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7759:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2732071126477287, b_new = -0.5636224455813872, c_new = 5.082419902138873
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7228.591665265042
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7760:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.147648116194757, b_new = -1.5811624742747405, c_new = 5.211572814510788
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3267.4696680300744
Acceptance probability: 1.2164043566919033e-111
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7761:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.411131621023147, b_new = -0.33106222624746573, c_new = 5.662776360312219
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15917.78400637184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7762:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.542946935234134, b_new = -0.008872852455282354, c_new = 5.197754507562421
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7024.293209006455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7763:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.987853227503155, b_new = -1.5836465206449208, c_new = 5.358735397871663
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3267.6836056405105
Acceptance probability: 9.821233652469116e-112
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7764:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.640119489844738, b_new = -0.5412695635427988, c_new = 5.370412232092759
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12386.215977724429
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7765:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5243541855342144, b_new = -0.606733456526836, c_new = 5.569454242647746
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8631.321310885452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7766:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.064816154280645, b_new = -1.4599048230009493, c_new = 4.668422143415617
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3024.7151630899334
Acceptance probability: 3.251022083749994e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7767:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.979619014759576, b_new = -1.6697068862785454, c_new = 4.452517702007474
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14717.902366850152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7768:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.506251086174572, b_new = -1.2947852278510599, c_new = 5.603250116779647
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10313.612801870813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7769:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2410332939642057, b_new = -1.027049866940101, c_new = 5.08013636145198
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5291.834085989011
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7770:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7209781802845643, b_new = -1.1079427739245096, c_new = 4.613937046323222
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11994.583487363956
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7771:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1805079751997516, b_new = -1.34723739646218, c_new = 3.809576543782165
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3593.543802451566
Acceptance probability: 2.9708498067475214e-253
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7772:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5140862908408215, b_new = -1.7656172584346956, c_new = 5.034021656014406
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11318.383723561134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7773:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.583026869562502, b_new = 0.00574429700816792, c_new = 4.83951613549276
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6338.3487758685515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7774:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.500149450372137, b_new = -0.7401758414788217, c_new = 4.719748108075439
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10560.477654476903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7775:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.874544304910185, b_new = -0.8835563988603531, c_new = 4.768960701821404
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3538.538648008127
Acceptance probability: 2.297818635808152e-229
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7776:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0830901870706646, b_new = -1.2536659108277628, c_new = 5.4262623028845
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13642.012641949283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7777:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4564481300097096, b_new = -0.663879397895266, c_new = 5.851263212464408
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10560.281361222455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7778:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7825154028988317, b_new = -1.020327048844046, c_new = 4.215742713179701
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12441.448048368211
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7779:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6127277209044717, b_new = -0.9760535285714158, c_new = 5.068225259156741
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8157.338641583407
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7780:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.707546212066047, b_new = -1.0479798382728536, c_new = 5.316146424361022
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6349.6000221305085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7781:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.539677604799693, b_new = -0.8960634464353247, c_new = 5.167444014283686
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9175.19956654925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7782:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.656589844958449, b_new = -1.2546849278163414, c_new = 5.034328240148191
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11367.581746412507
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7783:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2379244448074527, b_new = -1.4237216479206418, c_new = 4.292745318727918
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13274.622657310734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7784:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.218026727686378, b_new = -0.1530328307594263, c_new = 5.433191060014679
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11398.31255775985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7785:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2360586777529585, b_new = -0.909250579468661, c_new = 5.019441018094947
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5460.370916282153
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7786:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831111390535377, b_new = -0.6893617701762581, c_new = 5.0753315984708705
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3681.110517391414
Acceptance probability: 2.7742117034981106e-291
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7787:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.302998728258299, b_new = -1.4545747895723504, c_new = 4.667317722592496
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5331.42551990733
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7788:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7571204857851974, b_new = -1.6337351038197294, c_new = 5.260341571729164
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6917.055732392875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7789:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.711592971999358, b_new = -1.4456518357970687, c_new = 4.520946061065067
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11417.034298923845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7790:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.355043613410932, b_new = -0.7581118007288882, c_new = 5.603945404166343
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11036.829915501507
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7791:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.383139290659136, b_new = -1.7566302192734442, c_new = 5.767148227884257
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12299.483529948617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7792:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5325166284989145, b_new = -1.2179388757492364, c_new = 5.831431948291364
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9741.075112256454
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7793:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4241834539111333, b_new = -0.5426955042443946, c_new = 5.159104677039626
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10018.107633193053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7794:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4830418441522024, b_new = -1.3956088942043738, c_new = 4.623752434541835
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8968.032598658056
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7795:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.082456617247426, b_new = -0.9540532583057313, c_new = 5.114690209582978
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3337.722835416303
Acceptance probability: 3.754179508802331e-142
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7796:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8556680149139932, b_new = -0.853927565026426, c_new = 4.47939547678972
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3738.973296298057
Acceptance probability: 2.05898894e-316
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7797:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0195152713705014, b_new = -0.99597618547698, c_new = 4.249657750996714
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3018.5107433205812
Acceptance probability: 0.0016090338803751863
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7798:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.397610121487761, b_new = -1.41921460512634, c_new = 5.921441038490992
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7822.946292365108
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7799:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7701185833127706, b_new = -0.7685631033940572, c_new = 4.6128114285038775
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4729.835733824257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7800:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0295642383826986, b_new = -0.7005687018915641, c_new = 4.943540723772425
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3190.671854883149
Acceptance probability: 2.7412234533542953e-78
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7801:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5864828089871907, b_new = -1.0346871633155794, c_new = 4.919999618228311
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11027.41161604385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7802:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6422587714723265, b_new = 0.15630529249230207, c_new = 5.384679278681952
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4784.890960052318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7803:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.839513497986772, b_new = -0.7414358672715207, c_new = 3.4377762651023724
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12947.93296824822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7804:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.672452346868179, b_new = -1.1586693206933973, c_new = 4.557745671624042
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11517.840250056153
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7805:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6429916186408313, b_new = -1.56260232131382, c_new = 5.388007857440967
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8972.252055798135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7806:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.628411953545286, b_new = -0.10253948644452193, c_new = 4.910883872138077
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5704.452176706962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7807:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.358066421150308, b_new = -1.460651964112421, c_new = 5.013837671405586
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6546.450481953214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7808:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.228433094634527, b_new = -1.9335893802993736, c_new = 5.198876829950885
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13697.16126599152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7809:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1959708873967143, b_new = -1.5480923938252702, c_new = 5.266731266853615
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3715.934168432865
Acceptance probability: 2.086508280168744e-306
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7810:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.232677302329351, b_new = -0.5693788429659591, c_new = 5.5679431836599065
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11836.143185947582
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7811:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5574248107312547, b_new = -0.8308397319701359, c_new = 6.085045566746534
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11443.728854480574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7812:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9034356563102763, b_new = -1.0038880142657143, c_new = 5.142290384051673
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3369.878258811743
Acceptance probability: 4.069978274607495e-156
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7813:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.959704766480182, b_new = -0.9064450231309404, c_new = 5.003280989571244
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13783.276502211407
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7814:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.704769444913036, b_new = -1.1300521778731045, c_new = 5.443579591496948
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6577.69708056126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7815:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.454061050229721, b_new = -0.7296547663635298, c_new = 4.124505426333927
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10346.906817911735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7816:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3834027798809663, b_new = -0.9330196892563148, c_new = 4.770917478108947
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11297.984666460989
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7817:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.197112422792449, b_new = -1.2417422994988216, c_new = 4.755464847688165
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14419.153764014645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7818:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.207415477404473, b_new = -0.7394868955471956, c_new = 5.469361049278794
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5473.202699905734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7819:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4125999366147397, b_new = -0.9543461913836878, c_new = 3.951584480474723
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11299.396088348114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7820:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.157340420155237, b_new = -0.5886411924852379, c_new = 5.570495313029577
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12400.220202806478
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7821:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4373544210162184, b_new = -1.001926717120563, c_new = 4.449177982694072
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10952.836776357031
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7822:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.093259554423028, b_new = 0.246869151539306, c_new = 5.3001219713916985
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5676.776741915233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7823:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2814738048442336, b_new = -0.7973184743541363, c_new = 5.484166308460684
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6901.153228257648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7824:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2514966867644617, b_new = -0.7851587138845526, c_new = 5.063973623010341
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6115.458055936318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7825:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.236588355607772, b_new = 0.3363807790391078, c_new = 4.6314073602618615
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8884.571227213457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7826:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.016804026082924, b_new = -0.7607218560265643, c_new = 4.75121180170413
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3085.9109284474534
Acceptance probability: 8.610665312552529e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7827:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8923200821417616, b_new = -0.4843178484847681, c_new = 4.915948341571749
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3102.316528825311
Acceptance probability: 6.459144383376629e-40
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7828:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4127398236014996, b_new = -1.0831780982481056, c_new = 5.916830428985892
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10902.728210375351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7829:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7405029890964756, b_new = -1.0871688041927394, c_new = 4.980784441593007
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5897.713695846764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7830:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1213218020806215, b_new = -0.5275541029441815, c_new = 4.35206447879275
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4168.684187567605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7831:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.532964666979564, b_new = -0.5149132048916438, c_new = 5.041438995539716
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8456.900321389207
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7832:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.046370248310889, b_new = -1.3543917295874102, c_new = 4.046013150719542
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3042.159836825642
Acceptance probability: 8.627686929430195e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7833:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1890234692924273, b_new = -0.46996783051937563, c_new = 5.505450010779133
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5809.717420365621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7834:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6510132398454407, b_new = -1.2364287723443377, c_new = 4.544230753203791
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11208.588497970726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7835:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3280398348607934, b_new = -1.1555332476526063, c_new = 5.474911892080134
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6904.8841331599615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7836:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0309090399741176, b_new = -1.4903220190992106, c_new = 4.779364633653791
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3069.78021269073
Acceptance probability: 8.72002141087046e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7837:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.045380226315267, b_new = -0.1407546850108068, c_new = 4.912889519961487
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3960.4968419062293
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7838:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8306277224070637, b_new = -0.49570749078265186, c_new = 4.946830504854205
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13558.538261774804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7839:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9125652131030875, b_new = -0.9716428482652837, c_new = 4.26464509699995
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13298.813600395968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7840:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.084179598528815, b_new = -0.5845854731285794, c_new = 4.095128524197573
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14424.428893953238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7841:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8980996396230374, b_new = -1.5547314045229585, c_new = 4.636865559443157
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4287.39915454376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7842:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8526502621878933, b_new = -0.4987540792025755, c_new = 5.244551208687481
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3288.126067221893
Acceptance probability: 1.3005222357013547e-120
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7843:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4720591325376864, b_new = -0.9421431414043445, c_new = 4.924333372669252
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9879.584111567205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7844:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5751081624942005, b_new = -1.3882997413835976, c_new = 4.708084436712739
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10237.534429344596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7845:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0427613507164417, b_new = -1.4473173992042647, c_new = 4.492773401373245
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3046.4071815260922
Acceptance probability: 1.233945593538394e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7846:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.305935403031862, b_new = -1.0914821566709085, c_new = 4.887548002323185
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6386.165520409149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7847:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.726873316929189, b_new = -1.07575949072167, c_new = 4.95727956438325
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12174.009168683575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7848:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3721795152542353, b_new = -0.3121782447145991, c_new = 4.257528765055461
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9550.03604758246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7849:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.19764283881355, b_new = -1.515289780228529, c_new = 4.1608615235560915
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3612.1607562428135
Acceptance probability: 2.4414081776211574e-261
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7850:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6010004031652625, b_new = -1.4348088178375775, c_new = 4.756617443684485
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9601.45243641808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7851:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7776756758231023, b_new = -0.2631728420744903, c_new = 4.86559774316333
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3735.7159501471133
Acceptance probability: 5.34935564e-315
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7852:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.666928605538321, b_new = -1.4509731881179322, c_new = 5.012782681184226
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8385.279989754245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7853:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8624035542223605, b_new = -1.4798614906930225, c_new = 5.058987863792559
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12601.54215379279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7854:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7577825802330995, b_new = -1.2317312630326136, c_new = 5.304483839412364
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5806.764361072954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7855:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8832808382156707, b_new = -0.2141352973031988, c_new = 4.462892688862565
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3058.277211361563
Acceptance probability: 8.633910727979573e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7856:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3763037697469436, b_new = -1.5354853091116676, c_new = 4.528437750661102
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6562.257060579361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7857:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.171877116823021, b_new = -0.5571895048000882, c_new = 5.510558286747378
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5254.442989457798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7858:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.927790178004994, b_new = -1.3812844135119569, c_new = 4.94945824233743
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3599.3306503324866
Acceptance probability: 9.113487327540938e-256
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7859:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.720734589320589, b_new = -0.8222659894435931, c_new = 4.763576863271107
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5699.5646233141415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7860:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.262286334934256, b_new = -0.9441032247706125, c_new = 5.021863744412781
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5902.5566768272665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7861:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3301088092440967, b_new = 0.2366788790060479, c_new = 4.672629719251521
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9850.727774752342
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7862:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6322857960742687, b_new = -0.24410331260243945, c_new = 5.185980758315956
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12691.581426126926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7863:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801154534335034, b_new = -0.5612706143722366, c_new = 6.50851787392275
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3628.783072775634
Acceptance probability: 1.4745518497499156e-268
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7864:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9138397064334285, b_new = -1.0543975309199702, c_new = 4.276276374868339
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3458.143897173625
Acceptance probability: 1.8893499599876993e-194
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7865:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5560267719348775, b_new = -0.3340875127728583, c_new = 4.615850095352979
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7765.915140498786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7866:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0091688992964194, b_new = -1.7017252841317918, c_new = 4.31072273215275
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3373.419463245187
Acceptance probability: 1.1794147266363058e-157
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7867:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.086524883706892, b_new = -0.6205777771630345, c_new = 4.478893469260253
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3643.7699751213645
Acceptance probability: 4.570156357317082e-275
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7868:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.613029432409448, b_new = -0.6659979491112761, c_new = 5.144231912548323
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7329.237156202971
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7869:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7661156447511814, b_new = -0.004722675544333588, c_new = 5.118599239135776
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13815.33870537007
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7870:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2116333751576938, b_new = -0.4661332311513456, c_new = 5.5026890877166
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6304.556704495051
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7871:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3317531514481598, b_new = -0.7914596168655739, c_new = 4.8332576301387995
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7753.762308793836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7872:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.556776362983098, b_new = -1.4791548419718683, c_new = 5.488380820970533
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10093.762748990886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7873:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.764243803441669, b_new = -1.6714407678073477, c_new = 4.816894316662075
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11601.921641336392
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7874:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5901249485124183, b_new = -0.713420851081255, c_new = 4.927126164512616
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7966.5690291770825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7875:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3139556315316616, b_new = -0.871646107833879, c_new = 4.67943239795774
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7085.97743687575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7876:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.861870985244886, b_new = -1.0696349116888244, c_new = 5.072468802094415
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3859.589217080092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7877:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1793720600050346, b_new = 0.5206176916568064, c_new = 5.430269085178216
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8541.978977589179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7878:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3712069648957712, b_new = -0.9301130745855761, c_new = 4.2933127143801375
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15979.282903141602
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7879:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.657034355470763, b_new = -1.0315201976745512, c_new = 5.4224358685074
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7304.53040695113
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7880:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0340338456701765, b_new = -1.4412012652413717, c_new = 4.945511075343271
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3037.9268953858846
Acceptance probability: 5.946172267901272e-12
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7881:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8431823612731186, b_new = -0.5639419589162336, c_new = 4.909954717928649
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3450.6678849042505
Acceptance probability: 3.33505717713861e-191
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7882:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9901955865187224, b_new = -1.4169120862269367, c_new = 4.909656386889662
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3178.9710648392975
Acceptance probability: 3.307752366713137e-73
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7883:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4084144830863, b_new = -0.8925019685654658, c_new = 4.638801244424688
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11010.165519569091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7884:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8866003200460835, b_new = -0.613070439078363, c_new = 4.693699939227034
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3212.4165215321773
Acceptance probability: 9.87087613987076e-88
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7885:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.612132543568029, b_new = -0.8763761975695501, c_new = 4.334284881075399
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15306.818857499338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7886:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9343817804041443, b_new = -1.2564972155763707, c_new = 4.264736680339875
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14560.893280385386
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7887:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3768820649185454, b_new = -0.11171936627519563, c_new = 4.183076308775379
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10083.363113812273
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7888:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.025025555752716, b_new = -0.9993819511744771, c_new = 5.477297542408581
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3057.323932761779
Acceptance probability: 2.2398100524986348e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7889:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6624583405031284, b_new = -0.8771714425020074, c_new = 4.36616359136814
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7178.469438672361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7890:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.148973993768304, b_new = -1.3876211572498602, c_new = 4.595214653363076
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14062.178145374754
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7891:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8181355865862217, b_new = -1.521042823942144, c_new = 5.018391925863924
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5440.778516786526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7892:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.772060501134605, b_new = -0.7501846411050828, c_new = 4.665912486317946
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12828.965943798336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7893:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7865082857730363, b_new = -1.0168395355432698, c_new = 4.229732096305552
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5096.197005770692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7894:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6702658233198244, b_new = -0.7591778407639193, c_new = 4.645203566475229
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12102.19391316231
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7895:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3994661974820284, b_new = -1.5498194227013666, c_new = 5.27695062899691
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7265.757245686206
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7896:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.265452243990216, b_new = -1.7366331556509849, c_new = 5.553988576413375
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4357.840689191562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7897:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6997423223746293, b_new = -1.6005554930429868, c_new = 5.028754954789469
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8132.507299390651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7898:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.137315903244217, b_new = -0.6615297544651633, c_new = 5.044867269608681
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4322.022027142819
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7899:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1509500781219155, b_new = 0.07452380127530156, c_new = 4.2332028767102114
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6000.911956284306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7900:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2788719358850864, b_new = -0.9509183596976868, c_new = 4.896062442690087
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6190.641664387232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7901:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.922067115136328, b_new = -0.4704353280723684, c_new = 5.177797944347099
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3031.2717655741762
Acceptance probability: 4.618741331692864e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7902:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3795964490470514, b_new = -1.0404378957390579, c_new = 4.981186742338126
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11449.824032063454
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7903:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.678451681208742, b_new = -0.7415462634108376, c_new = 5.198242833596664
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6191.97378557736
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7904:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3672786899401075, b_new = -1.4189365157298528, c_new = 4.010836041661722
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -16348.727704096125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7905:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6049589613466857, b_new = -0.5288987270217117, c_new = 5.350036855978442
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7066.685800398309
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7906:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.74395022940044, b_new = -0.5167733674302872, c_new = 4.989988268696799
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4553.821268442843
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7907:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0272093996929983, b_new = -0.7273695449467124, c_new = 4.94195653842203
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3160.9383904537463
Acceptance probability: 2.2440057657050473e-65
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7908:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1666856311255502, b_new = 0.38781520387888646, c_new = 4.82922467342563
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7545.430501759364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7909:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4710031852403658, b_new = -0.549483682800018, c_new = 5.408138805209651
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10805.105591419297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7910:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.990484581271969, b_new = -1.0317840393927877, c_new = 5.01368228131962
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3018.1506796966673
Acceptance probability: 0.00230642232871348
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7911:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4853134639115426, b_new = -1.1947996321015486, c_new = 4.101572552874337
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9269.11124216053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7912:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2986268189151784, b_new = -1.0311652425262705, c_new = 4.8659491024443975
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6385.380943745967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7913:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9270367534986423, b_new = -0.45263772099560046, c_new = 5.012218805689267
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14095.50291939982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7914:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.098368456191384, b_new = -0.33404434750938283, c_new = 5.395524493711461
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12511.146216711413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7915:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0561995576314382, b_new = -0.7414065871435424, c_new = 4.605007048271681
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3282.431920185426
Acceptance probability: 3.864153935934656e-118
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7916:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.393301786123664, b_new = -0.45581094068367317, c_new = 5.901527667507743
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10159.893890107864
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7917:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8120450403487545, b_new = -1.3456203304950949, c_new = 4.920191540053408
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5169.5657144335555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7918:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.416094917981353, b_new = -1.3113297193016111, c_new = 5.223638797721469
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8211.370987866661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7919:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.460243349883382, b_new = -1.3296733346631684, c_new = 4.848000080026354
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8824.450016133713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7920:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.44229891705896, b_new = -0.9953154174931247, c_new = 4.590742934880532
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9212.42439318809
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7921:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.886561406336534, b_new = -1.84865912351485, c_new = 6.068587584999727
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4645.3761400055955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7922:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.007648522586066, b_new = -0.10878966579595595, c_new = 5.365047831241503
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14849.186381474654
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7923:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.176640113323263, b_new = -1.0259395843185037, c_new = 5.67351141672828
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4381.276655617887
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7924:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.302669791341205, b_new = -1.4598746792640438, c_new = 5.422551846962173
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12579.204246864505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7925:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4947148126131933, b_new = -0.4093712585465704, c_new = 5.656213276319785
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8634.545831930278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7926:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8137573820198374, b_new = -0.7486059821100917, c_new = 5.6038189062477555
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3861.7633597393187
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7927:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.395358721536938, b_new = -0.9389045760295814, c_new = 4.392185508325056
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8467.1241848073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7928:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6669403217658627, b_new = -0.8695457622383614, c_new = 5.335550667511516
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12113.333591871047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7929:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4589818316964074, b_new = -0.511267506403049, c_new = 5.4139815331664485
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9433.83989145396
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7930:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8571424202064801, b_new = -0.2112924489455854, c_new = 4.857164255718842
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13776.098570052465
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7931:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5113624757986828, b_new = -0.9726692435515626, c_new = 4.944514194994697
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9819.222530395893
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7932:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.174950322982961, b_new = -0.5958285514671808, c_new = 4.33597223500173
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4856.078898424343
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7933:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8084851327437277, b_new = -0.2609747064029063, c_new = 4.386442656676722
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3503.483907693241
Acceptance probability: 3.849426490367842e-214
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7934:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.058662754259325, b_new = -1.8373563301670028, c_new = 4.034779096315194
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14671.37178851003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7935:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.35271926252603, b_new = -1.255907502565149, c_new = 5.037089938616217
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12015.415616059367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7936:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.259130909094252, b_new = -0.5464377878753166, c_new = 5.179015510445597
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7003.990667832724
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7937:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.577062406350243, b_new = -1.4477318944240063, c_new = 5.775499044226519
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10476.196561317132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7938:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.518592781502001, b_new = -1.7462078084389137, c_new = 4.98507274973594
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11248.360465336591
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7939:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1520127430103972, b_new = -0.7885469621451611, c_new = 4.828451630594999
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4249.069038866159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7940:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.056516169465749, b_new = -0.6640856721815765, c_new = 5.1200179161556205
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14473.162742243532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7941:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7348704597845637, b_new = -1.2704996613020225, c_new = 5.3383824836006735
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6364.005665307896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7942:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.420772384670043, b_new = -0.9749578412962917, c_new = 4.8755306449329225
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9007.867326850417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7943:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.159964735360641, b_new = -0.8954536922755458, c_new = 4.677215995209236
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14564.471218006154
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7944:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.771325584051162, b_new = -0.9852283724737683, c_new = 5.5665267797356695
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4897.784815226623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7945:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.238388178318508, b_new = -0.44053757159943946, c_new = 5.3734419626792125
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11660.393475783101
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7946:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2506528933975387, b_new = -0.1491257518033703, c_new = 4.95492024922344
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7892.467541509799
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7947:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.599607133241426, b_new = -0.4730136335752333, c_new = 4.780974554112757
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7227.336865709585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7948:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4446507158973168, b_new = -1.3099222495167604, c_new = 5.131409771916109
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8705.070859313237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7949:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4454231819658547, b_new = -0.9135273155921034, c_new = 4.681711896882854
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9475.12775982749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7950:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.322020876017601, b_new = -0.8263573123028821, c_new = 4.30147638925295
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15077.422944328768
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7951:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9428306954074173, b_new = -1.131435547230498, c_new = 5.402239337173692
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3190.015362152038
Acceptance probability: 5.285129211125193e-78
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7952:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.034150995438155, b_new = 0.447708108710672, c_new = 4.479905858848392
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4788.39329300481
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7953:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9879971239806205, b_new = -0.5905450348338925, c_new = 5.412590175968959
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3112.0193243538006
Acceptance probability: 3.9473390912086843e-44
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7954:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2130814709566744, b_new = -1.4062967830609763, c_new = 4.289237545360509
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3939.12562008462
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7955:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.728236045257223, b_new = -0.9618869615443028, c_new = 5.417401917995394
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5681.2164342550195
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7956:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.792311894851479, b_new = -1.7268601223900193, c_new = 5.4340581310573715
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6353.163690979196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7957:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.032729663041209, b_new = -0.6186414658815531, c_new = 5.219311785462471
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14442.242142574623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7958:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0221269814414935, b_new = -1.5979516315575073, c_new = 5.1650107134705605
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3120.2050365993814
Acceptance probability: 1.099752041434564e-47
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7959:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4563852674513824, b_new = -1.3661478557548143, c_new = 5.510740041156014
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11061.653814151712
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7960:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6386765896884836, b_new = 0.03560730472327134, c_new = 4.957792198675332
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5194.518112369986
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7961:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5068265555634204, b_new = -0.9038514406659295, c_new = 4.031623857795847
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10119.031630405067
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7962:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.850306416756541, b_new = -0.3191370662925874, c_new = 4.9740040225009325
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13861.606696874162
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7963:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.699221724074452, b_new = -1.4462108346002833, c_new = 4.847125601486726
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7788.456003229431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7964:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.380270096094794, b_new = -1.4287528875482696, c_new = 5.1850726900320305
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7157.7728791960835
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7965:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.946913761021391, b_new = -1.6558680358632651, c_new = 4.508055352384573
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3860.5339791086553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7966:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5282699257836097, b_new = -1.3434545509634161, c_new = 5.369598809820702
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9961.576308821552
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7967:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9057390294415923, b_new = -1.1202602071593766, c_new = 4.616019337993417
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3549.560526803913
Acceptance probability: 3.754694496823911e-234
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7968:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4653548075103493, b_new = -1.1319837544436187, c_new = 4.64852976040244
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10810.315276584053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7969:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9612777499991467, b_new = -1.033184069112005, c_new = 4.970319391890073
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3086.2703099116434
Acceptance probability: 6.011174317204467e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7970:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6072606284703603, b_new = -0.3026170165895904, c_new = 5.295806112425626
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6474.52305811577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7971:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.992678217443505, b_new = -0.03077304464588637, c_new = 5.160184363260739
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3603.1534909105094
Acceptance probability: 1.992718835252132e-257
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7972:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.126101846497897, b_new = -0.7697844749112421, c_new = 5.078590205181835
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12943.593708229286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7973:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.258173605745093, b_new = -0.5320826113565557, c_new = 5.577621080214303
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7189.767973156775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7974:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2169030990583827, b_new = -1.613214697638658, c_new = 6.384126569638372
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13077.645636967221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7975:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.949983305196552, b_new = -1.5276433076562932, c_new = 5.555996257567081
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13195.482362669161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7976:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7207172954550374, b_new = -0.9978250374992038, c_new = 5.084648730036467
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6032.304260628961
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7977:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.259116306232123, b_new = -2.0715682431577824, c_new = 5.27680250460744
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3722.5866578562204
Acceptance probability: 2.69327478427647e-309
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7978:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304276964785901, b_new = -0.8285880091082785, c_new = 5.530967980393491
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7333.422398405068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7979:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.920965022786337, b_new = -0.8371229632189603, c_new = 5.1209577846791925
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13695.573836545416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7980:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7735852322812136, b_new = -1.1768574798669293, c_new = 5.142735915216826
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5416.37159318804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7981:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2408399613695904, b_new = -1.098551704097326, c_new = 4.305582158915948
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4901.28153061877
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7982:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7367528384214372, b_new = -1.535209697842669, c_new = 4.71478581274617
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11546.94241189311
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7983:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.525020532697094, b_new = -0.5588011752838197, c_new = 4.921248033984401
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8730.698269863631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7984:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7438823667959809, b_new = -0.629873154924347, c_new = 4.515797032851169
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14651.11242831734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7985:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8998425775222296, b_new = -1.2601181910735617, c_new = 5.353813087286606
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3654.0943695015626
Acceptance probability: 1.5000424533692895e-279
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7986:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9806131500754613, b_new = -0.9095812160319675, c_new = 5.6719288638767145
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3018.397463738582
Acceptance probability: 0.0018020294582409971
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7987:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0540061138422367, b_new = -1.8052234774549116, c_new = 5.09414422918685
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14403.703135355312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7988:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2226671329993275, b_new = -1.6138011537723411, c_new = 5.644489455213234
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13234.644725743987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7989:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.583651099175615, b_new = -0.7663102981922134, c_new = 4.544091994735214
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11327.765327741628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7990:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.68258637986566, b_new = -0.9895610798015517, c_new = 5.134586538034622
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12007.04353413224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7991:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.080356870265496, b_new = -0.2640433321856882, c_new = 4.417981420977957
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4085.613508957368
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7992:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.876533269643749, b_new = -1.534609377089586, c_new = 5.0895697197517995
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4445.706122802794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7993:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9548707594293093, b_new = -0.6623148564516824, c_new = 4.322672473062269
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13848.667919260659
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7994:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2653607716507445, b_new = -0.003838352462082084, c_new = 4.3518467209074
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8385.627803528023
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7995:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5413448255386806, b_new = -0.13506450706607553, c_new = 4.437561349526765
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11912.9065969624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7996:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0828360657244684, b_new = -0.7971878285124001, c_new = 5.593799979960746
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3580.0814889370236
Acceptance probability: 2.0868400805452868e-247
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7997:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7343379733754998, b_new = -0.6725528102943812, c_new = 6.128126352063815
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13086.798635571822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7998:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.354877537005632, b_new = -0.06716701816324244, c_new = 5.171437359640842
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10191.404329482875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7999:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.516066519254225, b_new = -1.3203192899987952, c_new = 3.4965243820085083
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10978.617765208426
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8000:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3098314910359834, b_new = -0.6234755608426568, c_new = 5.464782171010338
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8019.698902923721
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8001:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.710805159200056, b_new = -1.7925680724864197, c_new = 4.698852280013585
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8580.25539960279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8002:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.472804320282489, b_new = -0.9990406939471552, c_new = 4.555157926025114
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15414.527884230949
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8003:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.122829742144136, b_new = -0.23377757585037873, c_new = 5.856268035113326
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5238.610858997369
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8004:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.284479722621222, b_new = -0.4537833535734114, c_new = 4.521219143304554
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11526.254896873612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8005:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.340367384621537, b_new = -0.785808528253541, c_new = 5.211694920908179
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8102.549292209456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8006:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.2559970605369095, b_new = -0.6345903313075746, c_new = 4.114305278099031
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14985.825101192037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8007:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1772199887453874, b_new = -0.6726395816556726, c_new = 5.89664625254915
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5208.188204985257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8008:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8857539331007467, b_new = -0.3379453973690145, c_new = 5.238152989116544
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3067.8489852151843
Acceptance probability: 6.015046474583509e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8009:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5694542641793015, b_new = -1.41968667445372, c_new = 4.498115821613145
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10054.311556899092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8010:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.740823528823711, b_new = -0.9439347275534147, c_new = 5.249541126424265
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5449.016903154074
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8011:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1224125833411964, b_new = -0.8321563391031791, c_new = 4.26556407948949
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3703.7338746704245
Acceptance probability: 4.1489707314401336e-301
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8012:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.095946822822383, b_new = -0.8376410866347845, c_new = 5.696663720975225
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14603.340697143394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8013:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.167273251768504, b_new = -0.6833545771822334, c_new = 4.300228509986127
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4540.85022334666
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8014:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6998293863783065, b_new = -1.1259248885580981, c_new = 4.765339248953377
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11846.673169951198
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8015:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2814269606364546, b_new = -0.8379794740444824, c_new = 5.3077711608295
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6714.546412364569
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8016:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2009919391517005, b_new = -1.189700991876252, c_new = 4.416407542453784
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4144.931457201587
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8017:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6398361637489667, b_new = -0.8118948036014324, c_new = 5.595722047717452
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12057.045213424937
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8018:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5920806835750687, b_new = -1.2654024322860233, c_new = 6.146639258575605
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8843.244985695916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8019:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1839421537063473, b_new = -0.6536174071234422, c_new = 4.816035030439704
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5027.617655303986
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8020:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.696935636664764, b_new = -1.0743847748460427, c_new = 5.204311267853647
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6679.226768895032
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8021:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.948323211832197, b_new = -0.9236395235219509, c_new = 5.51600651213725
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3060.321553833778
Acceptance probability: 1.1177917477837446e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8022:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4489465370102623, b_new = -1.1088538634574905, c_new = 5.055435153312569
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10820.960212629101
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8023:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4243684223630018, b_new = -1.0050837366859648, c_new = 5.370850948167611
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10805.909329530943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8024:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.854200037901653, b_new = -1.0427529368232185, c_new = 5.45441652309767
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3837.1728646059405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8025:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3264051115559536, b_new = -0.8984543688875325, c_new = 4.524175640951963
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7220.072525569664
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8026:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1345237780939255, b_new = -1.2619126762256605, c_new = 5.780275891659909
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13295.24645201675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8027:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.583002167270615, b_new = -0.1937097988062172, c_new = 5.713955099707883
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12553.922551932126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8028:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0429196909059804, b_new = -0.9908582631825439, c_new = 5.644624248131369
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3135.8937539827593
Acceptance probability: 1.6895513242832222e-54
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8029:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.977200517796129, b_new = -1.1108186465402519, c_new = 5.1449239880849
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3057.766488407018
Acceptance probability: 1.4388373894319477e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8030:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5469330042448415, b_new = -0.7712152355119584, c_new = 4.775647352539915
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11028.755085168319
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8031:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1137356824313893, b_new = -1.42489483459745, c_new = 4.7481331872577845
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3149.557069056201
Acceptance probability: 1.9672930068895763e-60
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8032:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4239181104595873, b_new = -0.7730708177338593, c_new = 4.302549853592835
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10728.813428104719
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8033:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.622713881546396, b_new = -0.6598713823882808, c_new = 5.638253062261519
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12156.714724832838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8034:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.182612315554749, b_new = -0.23984255295804913, c_new = 5.665199492484874
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6375.187690583473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8035:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5090867773547925, b_new = -0.7437732010444142, c_new = 4.586055849083361
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10613.291959841914
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8036:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9562985310232484, b_new = -0.7609163691190755, c_new = 5.501053880850745
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3021.89550251504
Acceptance probability: 5.4523402278119744e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8037:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.889814549993118, b_new = -0.6931887119586385, c_new = 5.1270516977280485
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3212.0416364059092
Acceptance probability: 1.436039031189099e-87
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8038:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9462439518099584, b_new = -0.6419763994518399, c_new = 3.7398123317169647
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3052.7801943752474
Acceptance probability: 2.1063556304638483e-18
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8039:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.676950880414219, b_new = -0.4026802002341556, c_new = 4.516690466489381
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14692.514825134145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8040:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5422034346657263, b_new = 0.09803130519524206, c_new = 5.011248193751565
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6841.319845904918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8041:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.793333743599993, b_new = -0.34349863794854574, c_new = 4.451498198797079
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3738.1445407115143
Acceptance probability: 4.71604557e-316
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8042:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6227437168373235, b_new = -1.1435705977976252, c_new = 4.9070271842622155
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8459.594234054392
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8043:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9308003030401277, b_new = -0.22278457455141976, c_new = 4.20385385898899
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3032.8423181735566
Acceptance probability: 9.60376032751219e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8044:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.051167393209742, b_new = -1.0485473774591203, c_new = 4.8092258696268635
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3082.556661847406
Acceptance probability: 2.4647687792834146e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8045:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3679462409513152, b_new = 0.050415242703713226, c_new = 5.130011825619566
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9605.393415636116
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8046:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.827904031829941, b_new = -0.9719799861914401, c_new = 4.3711903021472285
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4297.330629934169
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8047:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.984051310969638, b_new = -0.4545850948265664, c_new = 5.831703753418293
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3222.05168477555
Acceptance probability: 6.454423734823941e-92
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8048:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3751629299704726, b_new = -0.3460527891414783, c_new = 4.3402710216157425
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9548.985051406196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8049:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2332869035995393, b_new = -0.6441370913887512, c_new = 4.79244737086069
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6008.45234887444
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8050:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.534096743909014, b_new = -0.4323497244353467, c_new = 4.726159691021237
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11457.053012133045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8051:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3790323992888096, b_new = -0.47747847423653794, c_new = 4.379873935792439
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9315.542023542106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8052:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.658425308932496, b_new = -0.7918201501004326, c_new = 5.2635854444386965
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14907.798040253156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8053:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.737572465198236, b_new = -1.443850352596471, c_new = 4.9088341585297774
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11733.928783950667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8054:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7292232220443635, b_new = -0.03866498220243486, c_new = 4.896277523792748
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13510.815848453058
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8055:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4780266034791074, b_new = -1.2842983491421076, c_new = 4.9387619607008455
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10854.523843672965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8056:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.316748862440389, b_new = -0.7806068853730312, c_new = 5.20729721644681
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7611.893140390366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8057:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6907236087181245, b_new = -0.9549745918892347, c_new = 4.728113539134922
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6664.812718060351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8058:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8978521785164095, b_new = -0.9535159306406048, c_new = 5.112629409963114
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3368.6312892243673
Acceptance probability: 1.41626362797006e-155
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8059:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1907430105798666, b_new = -0.6337123104143458, c_new = 4.7586664612076115
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5178.114507822447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8060:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.724755556900191, b_new = -0.20087977513693678, c_new = 4.743255063496853
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4324.7386674452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8061:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5868935108641695, b_new = -1.573680427686372, c_new = 4.726404883351094
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10130.545375879949
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8062:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6001117418344046, b_new = -0.7416934849809655, c_new = 4.546056582867368
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7991.0529775354225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8063:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6766543594742487, b_new = -0.8990008564282908, c_new = 5.388703923534773
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6567.897714834553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8064:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0987080429416443, b_new = -0.6886460694019424, c_new = 5.381115732246898
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3852.8273093161774
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8065:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4101052541133186, b_new = -1.089685161784427, c_new = 4.54720602232334
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8416.399913992707
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8066:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.996211250594284, b_new = -1.4037561368269933, c_new = 5.375356122286088
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3104.787181029757
Acceptance probability: 5.459896039421696e-41
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8067:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.995639607899884, b_new = -2.0630159481157797, c_new = 4.672459014850124
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12635.204491915076
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8068:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2048786770966315, b_new = -0.561262755083572, c_new = 5.411204814141652
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5860.680315754082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8069:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6689170014888957, b_new = -1.1495107116645045, c_new = 4.869256830599671
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11587.501385975022
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8070:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.482537745623845, b_new = -1.06516491636996, c_new = 4.646728015896196
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10476.72521941795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8071:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.107584411486322, b_new = -1.2885342653240826, c_new = 4.614015563993939
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13758.736623902487
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8072:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.235710936459185, b_new = -0.7599853466767408, c_new = 4.854742069824583
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5774.370904689267
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8073:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4789444330892336, b_new = -1.4267689800499823, c_new = 3.869563794828416
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8586.72928300565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8074:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4577417633164567, b_new = -0.5884971398085206, c_new = 4.253433190131833
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10185.023173093932
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8075:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9493819380013586, b_new = -0.7303523311530602, c_new = 4.781771883875707
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3030.493887300392
Acceptance probability: 1.0054300995744886e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8076:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6599994030859326, b_new = -0.7365919878266638, c_new = 4.869521519297521
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14941.077603347192
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8077:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.92206473930763, b_new = -1.153851313424677, c_new = 4.790095658741059
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3418.326888256435
Acceptance probability: 3.703562409010854e-177
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8078:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7155507667330634, b_new = -0.3690766867085239, c_new = 4.87856836340635
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14456.554445958964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8079:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.457722258356147, b_new = -0.611210522231316, c_new = 5.269903045496321
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10479.91388544366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8080:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.204114233070772, b_new = -0.7562132584342383, c_new = 5.759106765331322
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15071.142058333555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8081:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1445990881455876, b_new = -0.26265937491487734, c_new = 5.637063890743019
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5503.258158322298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8082:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7040840112712345, b_new = -1.6795035747916391, c_new = 5.410792351881362
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8106.753600212294
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8083:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.2040543415758735, b_new = -1.5052816378527596, c_new = 6.204495619356846
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14533.61694173589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8084:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9504264357378986, b_new = -1.7909261325888832, c_new = 4.39771490089815
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14944.657477552631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8085:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.99199668360245, b_new = -0.27364305676302625, c_new = 4.834121767622376
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13199.247638311968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8086:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.681061051977373, b_new = -1.3144654712914883, c_new = 6.342836078080841
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7230.410995361573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8087:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.115817981205633, b_new = 0.18139530139435278, c_new = 5.2965510358492445
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11770.164213209111
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8088:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8524086657540737, b_new = -1.2278428888090147, c_new = 5.509803286681067
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4134.710930636923
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8089:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.864109795135487, b_new = -1.1136598648863358, c_new = 4.644062164525657
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3987.883993223357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8090:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0868714182440984, b_new = -0.7839037636637055, c_new = 5.051856032161769
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3542.531768770621
Acceptance probability: 4.2376534192384795e-231
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8091:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4798080278855794, b_new = -0.6854123944585473, c_new = 5.376776475742442
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9515.517669443743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8092:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1457295895972326, b_new = -0.585526844413113, c_new = 4.965689097654014
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4574.466919600457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8093:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6876595660549576, b_new = -0.5136971312197531, c_new = 5.670404189888461
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5321.502815069918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8094:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4007551151900968, b_new = -0.5460153784636432, c_new = 3.5907190871296977
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10806.23492181609
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8095:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1320997866698614, b_new = -1.4756034458782614, c_new = 4.088606002873201
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3173.7669230772044
Acceptance probability: 6.020922528702219e-71
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8096:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7099985053731896, b_new = 0.2887224878799268, c_new = 5.238091008331546
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3721.0021799127126
Acceptance probability: 1.3134413738765522e-308
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8097:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.788177329289471, b_new = -0.7402765791633024, c_new = 4.818917932884712
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4344.30652064093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8098:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6425374310278666, b_new = -1.205773689161629, c_new = 4.658406722471756
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11210.79661617028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8099:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.03305620370069, b_new = -1.132567466031277, c_new = 5.387891058274052
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3032.457280530702
Acceptance probability: 1.4114355011612675e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8100:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6802371140780443, b_new = -0.8864869257446992, c_new = 4.609160765740549
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6743.480515494389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8101:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5903186724432445, b_new = -0.9143477026154224, c_new = 4.661381770739296
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8562.67836295348
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8102:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.453904221129126, b_new = -1.055447387913354, c_new = 5.384316027934374
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9533.849038950071
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8103:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.390120965949354, b_new = -1.856969688433632, c_new = 5.156549264443878
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12570.156566239937
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8104:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3327146684867164, b_new = -0.8337119093975899, c_new = 4.611071342919795
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7568.75650712481
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8105:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3591064769417303, b_new = -0.8478219454069861, c_new = 4.9448582357757385
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8210.413264003375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8106:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6380190778583907, b_new = -0.3823100382465908, c_new = 5.0754675306850645
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6138.2759317976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8107:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0527328149531447, b_new = -1.3905188676004314, c_new = 4.996377753696961
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3016.9712082376086
Acceptance probability: 0.007501995167899896
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8108:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0978332625981917, b_new = -1.5838453684237677, c_new = 5.4233056841795
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3057.9305214593705
Acceptance probability: 1.2211613921396573e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8109:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.807199573932315, b_new = -0.7809911502868163, c_new = 5.060439819173496
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4096.365185730466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8110:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3164851568419675, b_new = -0.4649230990088081, c_new = 4.984045086660499
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8411.793080772804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8111:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.140746132916292, b_new = -1.37231321417535, c_new = 5.291299179278235
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13507.812818834034
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8112:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0910488421946956, b_new = -1.3245535808539923, c_new = 5.6264098506489795
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3160.434389957141
Acceptance probability: 3.714570479740543e-65
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8113:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7673929166360614, b_new = -0.7629162352063817, c_new = 4.581163812829624
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12760.544220872405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8114:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.575137507250215, b_new = -0.9666414635100442, c_new = 5.139960618425941
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11094.20393576726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8115:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9665771747330916, b_new = -1.2952122704911886, c_new = 4.952170723011236
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3216.4056176088798
Acceptance probability: 1.8277352529988405e-89
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8116:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.154219120555096, b_new = -1.0291307175547237, c_new = 5.142408557046268
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3949.5115031899873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8117:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.369748327826292, b_new = -0.5199841379975629, c_new = 5.460788075761237
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10516.016375645328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8118:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3950566846102577, b_new = -0.5791345245068962, c_new = 5.07650494619719
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9593.95698263735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8119:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5061257322121535, b_new = -0.5015163009392167, c_new = 4.766396883255371
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8952.452893332224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8120:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9164220220758192, b_new = -0.5892614317209334, c_new = 5.008426762844622
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3060.953477700835
Acceptance probability: 5.94182491662647e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8121:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.448199325913797, b_new = -0.6657842843967252, c_new = 5.291981572636827
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10254.431114303166
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8122:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0090243891746535, b_new = -1.3514357988869212, c_new = 5.217914702290815
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3052.0035496698806
Acceptance probability: 4.57956479273106e-18
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8123:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3221610501648002, b_new = -0.5162608044242935, c_new = 5.522285875202116
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8608.551730781704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8124:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2306583884660816, b_new = -0.9977602498757281, c_new = 4.6378451741809705
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5035.449778738288
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8125:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8201658824933373, b_new = -1.772270500110598, c_new = 5.52310655095501
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12067.339190314191
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8126:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5482833926975035, b_new = -0.44802636544837154, c_new = 4.790492500658965
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11584.750782028397
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8127:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3527138939265013, b_new = -0.8392747609272342, c_new = 5.072080084300554
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8153.799112177939
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8128:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.951922614804249, b_new = -1.1828565579945565, c_new = 3.9194703111463203
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3345.062091004679
Acceptance probability: 2.4384667134030267e-145
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8129:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7543153606913995, b_new = -1.223331744452126, c_new = 4.649782316542554
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12094.255956014309
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8130:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0625042070908877, b_new = -1.025614282927283, c_new = 5.6844601720989925
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3215.5640528310455
Acceptance probability: 4.240335576878636e-89
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8131:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.310501231051993, b_new = -0.8550180496502954, c_new = 4.499720490738896
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11921.148944643519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8132:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.986264732049542, b_new = -1.0104487062501326, c_new = 4.9592836577774095
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3021.0654942743795
Acceptance probability: 0.0001250405706400069
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8133:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.732353926653879, b_new = -1.0655572993753823, c_new = 5.469981000868325
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5839.375069296204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8134:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.012420730822456, b_new = -1.5267853920266246, c_new = 4.77801024759901
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3155.5276036383425
Acceptance probability: 5.022255755501623e-63
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8135:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7966700320177833, b_new = -0.26557087285526626, c_new = 6.107076257130082
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13945.477682894263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8136:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.16244828491072, b_new = -1.8417933377716094, c_new = 4.378798907903352
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3147.345347839839
Acceptance probability: 1.7964178756266177e-59
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8137:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.037478562337467, b_new = -0.82538084855647, c_new = 5.968075035004116
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3255.5143868824202
Acceptance probability: 1.8931742944494666e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8138:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2613018913292677, b_new = -1.7986047084488848, c_new = 4.254740085941517
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3951.695456413474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8139:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.143824028606034, b_new = -0.4738278336141499, c_new = 5.1078632522421605
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4817.3378616931
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8140:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9799916832722646, b_new = -1.3043119175809639, c_new = 4.544632974217595
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3192.5258932461857
Acceptance probability: 4.292850937947678e-79
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8141:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7100927393908125, b_new = -1.635634941528319, c_new = 5.035868015183542
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8014.484056726913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8142:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031233673191996, b_new = -1.3861126833620008, c_new = 5.499037182668015
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3014.9362938953836
Acceptance probability: 0.057402241310026414
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8143:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.021505368281766, b_new = -1.867212435511203, c_new = 4.797698972386735
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3371.210903679158
Acceptance probability: 1.0735734897673946e-156
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8144:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2328547867820236, b_new = -1.6409161574617936, c_new = 4.3129127100293445
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3846.342003446393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8145:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.934243403284336, b_new = -1.0793984582040754, c_new = 4.305890904389942
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13306.332685819649
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8146:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9791490492714616, b_new = -0.41838116192394437, c_new = 5.002848974813233
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3135.567791146692
Acceptance probability: 2.3406433820321423e-54
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8147:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4477153332940023, b_new = -1.3783990244256243, c_new = 4.778780260587616
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8468.349577257319
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8148:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.217064895430055, b_new = -1.2660755422025372, c_new = 4.800517845891335
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14482.079787971488
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8149:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2830728306778307, b_new = -1.8012537157312418, c_new = 4.112957727119531
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4200.259797582419
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8150:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5904618649756057, b_new = -1.2356811625365192, c_new = 4.915812698001538
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9244.554752266306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8151:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.479280178609739, b_new = -0.9337767557652717, c_new = 4.946455193841488
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10001.474892299346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8152:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.271002512182178, b_new = -0.6852602471961584, c_new = 4.750931121493964
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6699.831340939733
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8153:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.443843527742445, b_new = -0.8301495773585298, c_new = 4.773661104364773
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10449.009572143705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8154:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.209136764552935, b_new = -0.5848727314955985, c_new = 3.807689607758877
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5338.2375957615495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8155:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4831451639613897, b_new = -0.04253005720170999, c_new = 5.05400823828334
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8200.160308955732
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8156:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0314081136395714, b_new = -1.090738980691876, c_new = 5.637086676863234
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3050.932538536801
Acceptance probability: 1.3364675951842606e-17
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8157:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6839496122531488, b_new = -0.7996968573019597, c_new = 4.955977283280493
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12234.997339201338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8158:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.677095611895252, b_new = -1.109451856747434, c_new = 4.189760439591398
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7579.683532888468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8159:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.786101224505039, b_new = -0.494443738019681, c_new = 5.883507799398308
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3785.774028639954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8160:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8170793299006536, b_new = -0.7730737908080927, c_new = 4.592855251525024
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4054.2814206845724
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8161:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9045291087603986, b_new = -1.2962072992680334, c_new = 4.980729517695542
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3719.6480091952594
Acceptance probability: 5.087677365122504e-308
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8162:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8971954440754297, b_new = -1.4985085790865962, c_new = 5.117350610306776
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4083.011794962251
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8163:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.278410838466126, b_new = -0.4840863496337391, c_new = 5.120551835672397
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7591.909450822345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8164:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3901636805673987, b_new = -0.7843125190460247, c_new = 4.650607417639557
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8857.862604539714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8165:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5953084387054566, b_new = -0.9344363034684133, c_new = 4.961987584933036
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8411.478209161147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8166:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9825595152472693, b_new = -0.8593723568566669, c_new = 5.274143648766227
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13752.796016959961
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8167:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.565995138368591, b_new = -1.2950685337226078, c_new = 5.01649842120109
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10392.90198634706
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8168:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.573478929072727, b_new = -0.9311064091578979, c_new = 5.00461041706177
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11096.265375665214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8169:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9234176421025815, b_new = -0.7509474620240977, c_new = 5.902517381627228
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13992.687576283963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8170:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1387166282406445, b_new = -0.4238413773730453, c_new = 4.39531535720934
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4632.547819769028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8171:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.944263943044759, b_new = -0.3485800403473902, c_new = 4.126948498578149
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3024.053051283887
Acceptance probability: 6.303350013569568e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8172:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.092472948445238, b_new = -1.2199861953329592, c_new = 5.415854234527315
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14165.417567116881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8173:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.061743984435927, b_new = -0.9167345614203911, c_new = 5.365068347374738
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3259.758855105368
Acceptance probability: 2.7154478783071373e-108
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8174:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4841524941572524, b_new = -0.9298886253728779, c_new = 3.5061667007482487
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10585.296417260943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8175:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.203252373870454, b_new = -1.1681568898354786, c_new = 5.561714268339888
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4483.291185399588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8176:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9852995256454706, b_new = -1.0924552609499576, c_new = 5.133431797408328
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3034.03130534816
Acceptance probability: 2.9246287453401264e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8177:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3819854213245755, b_new = -0.13012195241158409, c_new = 4.7794743650946545
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9872.992642063731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8178:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.716936277182142, b_new = -0.8305529003964051, c_new = 4.60149031673957
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5849.880755879161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8179:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8016827326583686, b_new = -1.4322969925355449, c_new = 6.48937538961915
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5077.255467671976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8180:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1078140709590065, b_new = -1.7081156398137458, c_new = 4.591178189916551
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3047.2555857002594
Acceptance probability: 5.282490931618988e-16
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8181:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.849458778237678, b_new = -0.0898714463849517, c_new = 5.04779751549451
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3102.19269291742
Acceptance probability: 7.310654235953908e-40
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8182:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9549208520553227, b_new = -1.075161005659217, c_new = 4.49221646605373
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3172.9816360143386
Acceptance probability: 1.3204102204972333e-70
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8183:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2700592216233773, b_new = -0.20341600733575838, c_new = 4.664027780619678
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11226.680575126738
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8184:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6905086386217647, b_new = -0.41424877977200675, c_new = 4.735914187138201
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12741.26091632514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8185:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9434243661524944, b_new = -0.2656454628736319, c_new = 4.885587894139241
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3078.18570070963
Acceptance probability: 1.95011618601987e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8186:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6389398601847356, b_new = -0.9997505259765804, c_new = 4.853787184273261
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11551.140962711874
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8187:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.672730521538862, b_new = -0.8463188835403126, c_new = 5.010669144450478
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6644.805568724703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8188:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4102583087064153, b_new = -0.9371435828544769, c_new = 4.891904477345171
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10989.269163189172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8189:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6497708171090686, b_new = -1.185329731648275, c_new = 3.840044650589168
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11084.603263898967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8190:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7385730326549433, b_new = -0.8787873895491154, c_new = 4.613584383818822
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12427.798135936586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8191:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7996952311287657, b_new = -0.27776191153358354, c_new = 5.3520106956560305
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13745.504330712061
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8192:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.585396311125415, b_new = 0.3127978513817782, c_new = 4.93622940267447
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5553.61367954126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8193:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3640372873869717, b_new = -1.6344807879092431, c_new = 4.720574013356335
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12577.186710501652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8194:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6513076981160983, b_new = -0.39391891787508704, c_new = 4.258367543845088
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6175.669502209917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8195:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6279825312594705, b_new = -1.0210504974221948, c_new = 5.020305907652961
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8002.03178811874
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8196:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0307906210908304, b_new = -0.3310177743154239, c_new = 4.580897225705881
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13112.312939819889
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8197:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1606204727026377, b_new = -0.8464230217234916, c_new = 4.529609859681358
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4198.358017118255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8198:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9599324366104922, b_new = -0.8216843334402262, c_new = 4.781897468120805
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13931.925585067049
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8199:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0990678724006573, b_new = -1.4909315864528758, c_new = 5.040670903618257
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3078.3588846174357
Acceptance probability: 1.6400144381860337e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8200:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8138101567324347, b_new = -0.8965333731309981, c_new = 3.9041058112709806
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4486.119867755868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8201:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6012679720470744, b_new = -0.7150865765053301, c_new = 5.314952206981957
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7621.907399529651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8202:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.061759690855159, b_new = -0.6237063905476312, c_new = 5.280548018835837
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13099.379193904186
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8203:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4450188052291213, b_new = -0.37413865637814037, c_new = 5.39565291188307
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10831.644964975749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8204:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.564721631187235, b_new = -1.4265128050687048, c_new = 5.022548492313908
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10015.124752274814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8205:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3667304478803524, b_new = -1.0364850420316485, c_new = 4.3883905271418895
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7641.357448872024
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8206:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.462628883162059, b_new = -0.5417942371600595, c_new = 4.7060466788993836
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9672.52482836309
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8207:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9129580093755663, b_new = -0.7957386690587659, c_new = 4.221075161355049
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3235.5641538879327
Acceptance probability: 8.739099843786185e-98
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8208:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8782639884728214, b_new = -0.5735605350573587, c_new = 5.087624345492179
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3200.9973970438436
Acceptance probability: 8.987076858623053e-83
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8209:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.114147026781898, b_new = -0.6950512403610564, c_new = 4.892931222449148
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3923.229122665967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8210:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6887975044708137, b_new = -0.39307635423615395, c_new = 5.197436033427865
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12886.381508938555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8211:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.734391409692725, b_new = -0.09348464261469236, c_new = 5.36697787801701
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3916.556611902173
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8212:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4124527383761794, b_new = -0.49901687694338215, c_new = 5.108663308259266
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10093.486799805609
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8213:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1946119270766045, b_new = -1.1899586920485032, c_new = 4.907728005365471
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4162.768507456759
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8214:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.622318135343949, b_new = -0.6981468757911149, c_new = 4.8620887921723
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11867.964309215107
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8215:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5768574811005247, b_new = -2.0666278885571607, c_new = 5.96940529041316
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9360.786157634713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8216:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5037480168934754, b_new = -1.1698811038703845, c_new = 4.64344988478901
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10421.455025814797
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8217:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.163515936940845, b_new = -0.030146796608369164, c_new = 5.079212489098114
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15364.838000245358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8218:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.150029285307824, b_new = -0.38318919151346353, c_new = 5.299303127962192
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5193.263023877047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8219:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.261228968014597, b_new = -0.223148360889862, c_new = 4.656019021855899
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7781.33606428087
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8220:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2197389980238755, b_new = -0.6946900593930185, c_new = 5.373642257667591
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5801.4641210149575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8221:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6519024599717267, b_new = -0.886607701078143, c_new = 5.434098305676811
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11997.176726375183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8222:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.729622629707879, b_new = -1.6540523144299795, c_new = 5.184209708067754
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7595.733088360089
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8223:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5628657760153617, b_new = -0.9486397896747263, c_new = 5.056911195772133
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8968.610562357106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8224:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7990820008938533, b_new = -0.817328977596965, c_new = 5.45490866931351
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4181.2965714566635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8225:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6348405437266877, b_new = -0.7701046753918518, c_new = 5.477702991698125
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12043.6470382863
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8226:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1292170710224236, b_new = -0.9337848561434006, c_new = 5.754233119917338
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12950.81665584402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8227:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.274652452905041, b_new = 0.08542110667583858, c_new = 4.030514120011634
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8701.320793561936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8228:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8921897226532516, b_new = -1.1670753820356499, c_new = 4.761809391514304
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3717.6490566110597
Acceptance probability: 3.755377843631525e-307
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8229:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.764863072098093, b_new = -1.1866669045345706, c_new = 4.482086216856443
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5837.833871807309
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8230:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.574918607141052, b_new = -0.989962646236602, c_new = 5.132139953043281
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11050.318165720772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8231:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0020297562143172, b_new = -1.2247014596516217, c_new = 4.042726708415419
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3098.2207060298133
Acceptance probability: 3.8812197397136056e-38
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8232:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8648053996572647, b_new = -0.5601214447612557, c_new = 5.067607999252839
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13697.367110587362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8233:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.664467745388562, b_new = -0.0794889167149907, c_new = 5.665386620723706
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4815.404397523862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8234:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.744427464979463, b_new = -0.3089383413282143, c_new = 5.621800841355427
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4061.163903799286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8235:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.011600689910316, b_new = -1.513892118455026, c_new = 5.192810506463048
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3114.9333039836683
Acceptance probability: 2.1418012213763338e-45
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8236:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031980364671048, b_new = -1.3420051241572415, c_new = 5.777313505938329
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Acceptance probability: 1.437013321367425
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.397148268672641, b_new = -0.7850981518686987, c_new = 5.536124108365531
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10661.167794972756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1799571338415036, b_new = -0.5270542247520629, c_new = 6.150959026182028
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5715.285085070062
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.23755177261369, b_new = -1.6351173150314662, c_new = 5.701892964664512
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4172.817964814925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4556507761598807, b_new = -2.0565375831532533, c_new = 5.550950552513077
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7179.594696268727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.800700122275321, b_new = -1.3052314648961278, c_new = 6.075833969479595
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4934.736917754932
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0546811141872623, b_new = -1.5709224666224648, c_new = 5.034468881490371
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14191.591927226442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1557081637296864, b_new = -0.8143491793087768, c_new = 6.762256342416006
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4790.436023493875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2459198838675736, b_new = -2.100119256368555, c_new = 5.487040516452603
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13717.675632400293
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.587783787192773, b_new = -1.013847306130409, c_new = 6.103956213213093
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8331.128792531747
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6631263420766413, b_new = -1.919193922496293, c_new = 5.109876957711425
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9622.57388142566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.361601732523405, b_new = -0.7614708945872963, c_new = 5.844970915230925
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10906.230539956894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9813142307458262, b_new = -1.5900909942053447, c_new = 5.161098719471757
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3342.7163789222477
Acceptance probability: 1.77168231875565e-144
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.098087278062897, b_new = -0.9436440783562674, c_new = 6.757682954925001
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3766.9363196403256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.294891409601396, b_new = -1.2359270175462052, c_new = 6.327967203320169
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -15102.034911838537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9260069436897647, b_new = -0.829682351889956, c_new = 5.235264555410031
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3109.9538150479993
Acceptance probability: 2.167119875366233e-43
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9468239431811067, b_new = -0.13931442397178628, c_new = 5.513972340446989
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3221.251423363282
Acceptance probability: 9.998751958260845e-92
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0304094071882526, b_new = -1.3929039999653994, c_new = 5.182955076945401
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3023.9465104571946
Acceptance probability: 4.879560672233767e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0262657436761793, b_new = -1.2462441375710513, c_new = 6.086848558534413
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3022.0719846140673
Acceptance probability: 3.1803649035854616e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5460681544500234, b_new = -2.3391867738371848, c_new = 5.6672369843447985
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11808.10048430087
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.002138942964124, b_new = -0.6533916665897374, c_new = 6.324575056266033
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3231.4155106437993
Acceptance probability: 3.852465652334542e-96
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.937823045263822, b_new = -1.741761933234668, c_new = 5.471245664067656
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3886.655464101316
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2803746657661326, b_new = -1.4741410953704386, c_new = 6.387805159476573
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5393.721522609037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.556534952081473, b_new = -0.7216262800074755, c_new = 6.109413896086736
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8178.640100068804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.335509340616866, b_new = -0.8409524967086759, c_new = 5.275584743067047
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7871.349139884704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.412398272573368, b_new = -1.7592588612295748, c_new = 4.982241005794016
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6876.577252571566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1050436098048575, b_new = -0.9851891000473668, c_new = 5.361230565313262
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3524.193385616518
Acceptance probability: 2.7159592611720303e-223
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.181763467813709, b_new = -2.3299964688340347, c_new = 5.87474004826454
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3085.1351153695377
Acceptance probability: 1.3016890561888514e-32
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.337437636918915, b_new = -2.682777984338596, c_new = 6.440383481330181
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3977.794917249934
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.223170249128172, b_new = -1.896164075004814, c_new = 6.069633390053198
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3687.6300279778516
Acceptance probability: 2.846369866260792e-294
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.186188706500016, b_new = -1.5333467021665048, c_new = 5.108071255826705
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13490.753904858155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.16179875990391, b_new = -1.9925599812116834, c_new = 5.817888362855416
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13817.71295059952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3736869468863064, b_new = -0.9964793364233115, c_new = 5.66404437730759
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8384.189161884331
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.478096501972522, b_new = -1.676948025968842, c_new = 6.134967556623607
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8760.728269292707
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.772708644066161, b_new = -1.9044436020778979, c_new = 4.947183247057863
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11376.286444619438
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.354831389424022, b_new = -0.3100647062464317, c_new = 6.435625602346701
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10119.202385245255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.316942607327898, b_new = -1.0009097177090036, c_new = 6.193635132996739
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11604.616000340688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.98910003022468, b_new = -2.2148269971507855, c_new = 5.271051465225187
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4059.308348816692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.051200352743631, b_new = -2.326483685761506, c_new = 5.4544736739745225
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3519.3524896287045
Acceptance probability: 3.4379350391915655e-221
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8047048576823244, b_new = -1.491789754389596, c_new = 5.65368069376212
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12359.19589616734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0940617791935208, b_new = -1.8539123160260988, c_new = 6.591182430869085
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13932.031391613375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4058755597468164, b_new = -0.8918540943760669, c_new = 5.344506380994201
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10814.323293171252
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.316520015785314, b_new = -1.5905930810356854, c_new = 5.60609618347067
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5557.912399996834
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3067798412025193, b_new = -1.2130881739517723, c_new = 6.39955549084761
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11941.717454754253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.009082918902389, b_new = -0.842134185133319, c_new = 6.277294109930347
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3134.9267449772124
Acceptance probability: 3.0922690237483e-54
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9748944418718204, b_new = -1.5173337360624832, c_new = 5.4133971052241625
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3289.486976500637
Acceptance probability: 2.320713869002134e-121
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1246625268608272, b_new = -1.9437287365338034, c_new = 5.7686184197371055
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3041.700285939489
Acceptance probability: 9.506354324664757e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.363630444291071, b_new = -1.6765374278971727, c_new = 5.631461948012962
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6310.629036067805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.537429357359895, b_new = -2.023344150386247, c_new = 5.427003858579659
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11406.210467482057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3087159991293205, b_new = -2.2675758052139114, c_new = 5.3760322180207245
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4042.8371629243557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.002528041271667, b_new = -2.837960095745599, c_new = 5.90926610165053
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4895.514057269796
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0950826846942805, b_new = -1.6349855622812584, c_new = 5.2246220040662354
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3036.9537469909583
Acceptance probability: 1.0949887845953804e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.19204818166302, b_new = -2.0362250577703342, c_new = 5.724394074085758
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3255.877450257487
Acceptance probability: 9.163331209529346e-107
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9691582246428907, b_new = -0.9581675561112124, c_new = 5.744036824461771
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3024.3920254590303
Acceptance probability: 3.1253309694214844e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.119816079409849, b_new = -1.7802501061469487, c_new = 5.200127246442473
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3055.695773710627
Acceptance probability: 7.940555524511262e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5090990823000885, b_new = -1.4555263495365836, c_new = 6.357239234798733
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10346.282189835612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8292:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.220938031452843, b_new = -1.7197843590358133, c_new = 5.304553237560429
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13461.561202696354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8293:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9081184202547186, b_new = -0.898055658219425, c_new = 6.227425446337488
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3167.3204082210514
Acceptance probability: 2.641727849193147e-68
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8294:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4947301038351997, b_new = -1.1212126259376431, c_new = 5.018670303036076
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9851.198930811068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8295:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.28767542657022, b_new = -1.9613989973705177, c_new = 5.970007477142884
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13179.178969733293
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8296:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.530585958587006, b_new = -1.0336575365404093, c_new = 5.975369610360107
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10770.370806096436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8297:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9897347317880927, b_new = -1.737783872455326, c_new = 6.479932482458849
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3256.4750168869004
Acceptance probability: 5.041194975652109e-107
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8298:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.657126974792873, b_new = -1.4048884752855748, c_new = 5.086614829435721
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11154.60141866229
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8299:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.676160984237525, b_new = -1.0671099605217838, c_new = 5.8498877417919815
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12048.421890154557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8300:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2162443996199794, b_new = -1.012439459971744, c_new = 6.002099762753227
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5161.564816144416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8301:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.541546869233043, b_new = -1.1794483044491915, c_new = 5.896215496888327
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9513.470696602493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8302:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6000749761394215, b_new = -0.5263945662686083, c_new = 5.651532454986917
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12176.278466065494
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8303:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8317265466001267, b_new = -1.2397522817824411, c_new = 5.332572089634946
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12772.957995822639
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8304:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1125214068985976, b_new = -1.3791090977616858, c_new = 5.817022664002625
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3260.6542472256324
Acceptance probability: 7.718214073000292e-109
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8305:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1964044039952166, b_new = -1.1671743722749106, c_new = 5.961412246050067
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4485.46392214644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8306:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1613961763518525, b_new = -1.7867302768234123, c_new = 6.142734437719355
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13645.098882109853
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8307:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6007629874990967, b_new = -1.713976187909957, c_new = 6.102923717384335
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10366.157927026812
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8308:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6723298993162254, b_new = -1.3050416813003034, c_new = 6.023444924921341
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7498.813138130797
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8309:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5904643086788064, b_new = -1.5153883042231435, c_new = 6.517535256532877
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10735.251746636448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8310:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1797920486716458, b_new = -1.1289033403705127, c_new = 5.412292632031854
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4177.740611873214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8311:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5380652440314564, b_new = -0.6273565594468135, c_new = 5.7417919642886455
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8395.548674265947
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8312:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4842878053354873, b_new = -2.0683473212782717, c_new = 5.9777054305554875
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7858.295772597702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8313:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6082447348212923, b_new = -1.3727061990776455, c_new = 5.764024823793043
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10933.123634320425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8314:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4656496531540366, b_new = -1.2821173226986107, c_new = 6.089545967625255
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9457.214917511981
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8315:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.478779354470541, b_new = -1.5368186809589948, c_new = 5.735441272750635
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11053.570613965678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8316:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.787041138393784, b_new = -1.7284200065415027, c_new = 5.832876088074611
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6318.42507819342
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8317:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7633865240709317, b_new = -1.9388751865824636, c_new = 4.705440740908102
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7892.175306332794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8318:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8589567728204366, b_new = -1.3985536971489712, c_new = 5.97933698574806
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4230.969841343442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8319:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5392654825481595, b_new = -1.2523772025709905, c_new = 5.522481605604326
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10320.463892117868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8320:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3976691032365736, b_new = 0.044151687036368736, c_new = 6.188648723778213
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11370.252462585482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8321:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1622467707670774, b_new = -1.2735476203901472, c_new = 5.647390012974947
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3784.609695232188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8322:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9948223851218603, b_new = -1.5694938465448904, c_new = 5.773114851605058
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3174.352392847508
Acceptance probability: 2.333113971913005e-71
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8323:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.018261595003954, b_new = -0.8224707295305488, c_new = 5.655089430581787
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13456.41677307199
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8324:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8500753503109135, b_new = -1.9934455345269975, c_new = 6.077060553068247
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5630.819851741144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8325:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.864519610193379, b_new = -1.4591537115703097, c_new = 4.803057479328302
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12576.45892347927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8326:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1842144353255897, b_new = -1.844537817733206, c_new = 5.804715336852511
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3361.6751398217634
Acceptance probability: 1.0344288122862825e-152
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8327:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.30924927068057, b_new = -0.7463368217518943, c_new = 5.784267653664434
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -15397.633251439409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8328:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.991813987678114, b_new = -0.963096543541422, c_new = 5.9594612946879
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3027.10323319891
Acceptance probability: 2.076985452775214e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8329:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.355384892602081, b_new = -0.4748851970351933, c_new = 5.604142626528224
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9386.581382471297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8330:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.130059150595524, b_new = -1.583009174243809, c_new = 5.457452161586674
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3185.2839279255354
Acceptance probability: 4.172829032620139e-76
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8331:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.593722206929858, b_new = -1.423754628702074, c_new = 5.786371862297295
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9312.324604181935
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8332:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.476353682314496, b_new = -1.4135889475737216, c_new = 6.238250893094221
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10693.705136653556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8333:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9367541831770674, b_new = -1.0460606216298005, c_new = 5.442033644915694
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3164.053014866791
Acceptance probability: 6.932645266261025e-67
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8334:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.15723372363741, b_new = -0.9620779982684169, c_new = 5.266474106189559
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4122.957887689685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8335:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097995241239125, b_new = -1.5017306066051532, c_new = 4.98064135712526
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3069.6610696721473
Acceptance probability: 6.835966293856898e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8336:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.435889283952828, b_new = -1.8629538443310039, c_new = 5.2685068301501365
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12175.569340284377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8337:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.344741794068633, b_new = -1.0155176892046327, c_new = 5.631158570904194
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7719.150341395683
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8338:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3916926207728904, b_new = -1.2341855281193743, c_new = 5.567560339147858
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8065.593566987771
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8339:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1232323781711773, b_new = -1.1078160948215008, c_new = 5.33370378836976
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3544.7460260320368
Acceptance probability: 3.2212536994742226e-232
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8340:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.239039375724319, b_new = -0.46429697567805983, c_new = 5.330912817707518
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11700.502248904932
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8341:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8490389065960384, b_new = -1.5112947102931213, c_new = 6.168206021121265
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12765.236420169607
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8342:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.118730188572456, b_new = -1.3695662168579255, c_new = 5.8005467565583695
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3307.6716467402434
Acceptance probability: 2.938459148607652e-129
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8343:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.173374563841215, b_new = -0.697365927408549, c_new = 6.071358730646833
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5137.935868018723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8344:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5916667789181265, b_new = -0.9380397855302107, c_new = 5.461233191834776
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8304.077597695014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8345:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2036259595808603, b_new = -1.0296278561153338, c_new = 5.995485936207654
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4896.899361607726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8346:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4563598565874636, b_new = -1.4024454869575644, c_new = 5.719673451624114
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11060.609031203248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8347:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.244041867606225, b_new = -1.3012600034068116, c_new = 5.659851958605345
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4902.906410181917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8348:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.422784363681225, b_new = -0.7599865500681229, c_new = 4.922225805525717
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9556.837506806794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8349:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.261412316390166, b_new = -1.630205296665383, c_new = 6.045029652161754
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4617.423124177863
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8350:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.426178706364519, b_new = -0.836044257674617, c_new = 6.021331081443001
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9837.482850432767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8351:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9870359778941435, b_new = -1.3142361442497388, c_new = 5.654853877768605
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3079.3874129871574
Acceptance probability: 4.080399464238942e-30
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8352:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3304407929191577, b_new = -1.2477364997059521, c_new = 4.609407238266401
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6388.499996113496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8353:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9856805143762517, b_new = -0.7192910973320199, c_new = 5.6920626562167245
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3068.2450767306777
Acceptance probability: 2.816811814179276e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8354:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.710931934387113, b_new = -0.8869103574692697, c_new = 5.779424510005771
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5720.014570701564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8355:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.794562721449275, b_new = -0.7910033764922021, c_new = 5.270431156260062
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4239.08913840891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8356:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1836256413451687, b_new = -0.7165397862374594, c_new = 5.748390648385057
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5173.131649840141
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8357:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0100513145423595, b_new = -1.8532307606168361, c_new = 6.2031563248091155
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3251.3669796943686
Acceptance probability: 8.335388775675648e-105
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8358:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.727568980462586, b_new = -0.6947824877828829, c_new = 5.378802049267614
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5085.812336007128
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8359:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0511920551045275, b_new = -0.986555938428564, c_new = 5.398765478624029
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3155.238275531713
Acceptance probability: 4.667578504926073e-63
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8360:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2575120683075265, b_new = -1.3720230432416136, c_new = 5.566359502097249
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4955.77076027684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8361:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0507055865962314, b_new = -1.8417716290815855, c_new = 5.849115106064648
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3085.378076332436
Acceptance probability: 1.0209174994393225e-32
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8362:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.496475217320191, b_new = -1.604125576204534, c_new = 5.809250856395877
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9113.598375789983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8363:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7300659037439687, b_new = -1.320914528592888, c_new = 6.070990876491792
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6334.5562913286385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8364:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3875648131462777, b_new = -0.7374373312744196, c_new = 6.452508196568326
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10412.349462061036
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8365:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.474157006063301, b_new = -2.566257840193674, c_new = 4.625199019923022
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6012.595332722792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8366:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1269844898017167, b_new = -1.2179874593456803, c_new = 6.0339984461023475
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3563.4240229454035
Acceptance probability: 2.4904276980922497e-240
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8367:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7646588492278275, b_new = -1.3720323725022194, c_new = 5.497424305306699
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12194.009454744111
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8368:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3265625948743547, b_new = -0.5885745304364679, c_new = 6.690910744444515
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8996.102179635725
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8369:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.007123491732493, b_new = -0.9451392197265447, c_new = 6.137441451149343
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13527.138192432416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8370:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.385960658427235, b_new = -1.9461842037779662, c_new = 6.1325653025554026
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6245.423541932664
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8371:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.879486764256616, b_new = -1.585532837130261, c_new = 6.590150238383203
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4133.601331899945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8372:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.319668012722038, b_new = -1.7472781920609242, c_new = 5.6600200664619456
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5263.216150254857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8373:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.782076365875732, b_new = -1.58353810324029, c_new = 5.595213411607362
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6121.416836477766
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8374:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.99112010951466, b_new = -1.1536476504552522, c_new = 6.708884959174453
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3029.0034086546575
Acceptance probability: 3.1059734544654774e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8375:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9048350184920073, b_new = -1.5791930706089294, c_new = 6.258630166244163
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3872.6571341234994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8376:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3484488848550287, b_new = -0.057311537900281984, c_new = 5.478358201549682
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10235.431403200057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8377:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.140206924586569, b_new = -2.198287355738234, c_new = 5.431735857220469
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3051.62620573789
Acceptance probability: 4.647739743988096e-18
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8378:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1334401275718906, b_new = -0.4635503619701008, c_new = 4.980200501632876
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4630.623678183696
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8379:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0492943675780007, b_new = -0.7676155819579759, c_new = 6.01087421072251
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3394.7078988108415
Acceptance probability: 4.663969026372076e-167
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8380:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.903866524611125, b_new = -1.05867134425487, c_new = 5.166544873120098
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3416.585270523107
Acceptance probability: 1.4707330246189907e-176
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8381:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3358839964240383, b_new = -1.4264216760241317, c_new = 5.479846429477851
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6336.259396025662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8382:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8235491758493523, b_new = -1.0565783591212812, c_new = 4.722763642033061
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4428.415329725413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8383:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5392946116123545, b_new = -1.7957790371538218, c_new = 5.3050028822708315
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10993.408843637806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8384:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.95726048657786, b_new = -0.688056864253807, c_new = 5.229562331047317
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14048.050329857528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8385:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6515098816251483, b_new = -1.1185341512924172, c_new = 6.180803538472418
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11866.88784571046
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8386:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.880768652391593, b_new = -1.570760374360947, c_new = 6.044271581364804
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4212.520668414559
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8387:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8504679663108794, b_new = -1.6572872097501066, c_new = 6.457142869502551
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12667.641282672126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8388:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2973608813540816, b_new = -2.0604378595935655, c_new = 5.9681496853610385
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4341.785244318525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8389:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.321523936489905, b_new = -1.7642888526197136, c_new = 6.139080513261628
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5405.947950870203
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8390:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1014346560711195, b_new = -1.1055138615003361, c_new = 5.226025609853516
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3350.8841339119394
Acceptance probability: 5.0254496877490736e-148
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8391:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6739793187476675, b_new = -1.6112105916020778, c_new = 5.589344939495644
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8446.967933476459
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8392:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9068005012985663, b_new = -1.330539660602938, c_new = 5.535415092774282
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13172.306740988133
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8393:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.726222277635963, b_new = -1.210173230924491, c_new = 6.383317651068954
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6022.184791137693
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8394:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7312508580946355, b_new = -1.031126978752092, c_new = 5.456840849417135
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5779.7545194238555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8395:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9120247636092453, b_new = -1.5161266249418015, c_new = 6.716250135084372
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3631.235445603053
Acceptance probability: 8.833794002586799e-270
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8396:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8485218787105286, b_new = -0.8073228958894552, c_new = 6.2729964413267245
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3487.2561579493185
Acceptance probability: 2.989216728315606e-207
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8397:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.938230066502194, b_new = -1.7968136136997546, c_new = 6.04009395730579
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12935.211276920472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8398:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5725835990093846, b_new = -1.44557295813629, c_new = 5.360774414090412
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10302.084124394461
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8399:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5081847389454985, b_new = -1.1637634743811587, c_new = 6.1298384843296585
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10312.040264089195
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8400:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.447710298217811, b_new = -1.4448865848853476, c_new = 6.487618409805202
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8928.518869329782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8401:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5159154728616357, b_new = -1.1595856924999481, c_new = 5.911967589349455
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10342.735211403431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8402:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8196957904255084, b_new = -0.9059560896797753, c_new = 5.865479751600692
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13254.159414171714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8403:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.335590043585433, b_new = -1.1268126050790561, c_new = 6.295249607881068
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7475.868282591335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8404:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5155599819066796, b_new = -1.3161616603511, c_new = 4.916645968110306
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10471.149079345887
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8405:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.709809720044082, b_new = -1.280226205764459, c_new = 6.4177442178397435
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6524.070474724014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8406:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3651203476676503, b_new = -1.937168058222019, c_new = 5.440173325272956
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12782.51309057363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8407:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.488707182856328, b_new = -0.664842306680146, c_new = 6.218163436702673
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11064.023454741073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8408:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.794986644378183, b_new = -2.220516397103454, c_new = 4.885927702776718
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7953.423751149262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8409:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7421583519004793, b_new = -1.3581476668892498, c_new = 5.46922487271618
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6398.1506002094875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8410:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.360465053522536, b_new = -2.3099524440002286, c_new = 6.10561992728095
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13122.97048677645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8411:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.233524034596622, b_new = -1.1255831206482085, c_new = 5.085254062294132
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4935.108056449804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8412:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2080410272608537, b_new = -0.6865903414028215, c_new = 5.6370439575868945
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5678.848529921955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8413:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.136538295480765, b_new = -1.9986868742922874, c_new = 6.205968488186514
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3063.078940782356
Acceptance probability: 4.936079760309667e-23
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8414:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7679937429470884, b_new = -1.00002603292097, c_new = 6.405368111396265
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12959.197581141238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8415:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1188040317007832, b_new = -1.0317590916660384, c_new = 5.142738436563439
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3562.461605589967
Acceptance probability: 6.519983318775088e-240
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8416:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.324752587859588, b_new = -1.050592940829944, c_new = 5.5624834030076356
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11788.399507557493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8417:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3475711011924845, b_new = -2.201103523441014, c_new = 5.447028811599729
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4729.592579086057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8418:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5489923663830165, b_new = -1.2833904049777332, c_new = 5.409881811652463
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9793.614804611434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8419:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.11624056414956, b_new = -1.0318773710025528, c_new = 5.1355360963688454
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3537.3843397107185
Acceptance probability: 5.071829870952882e-229
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8420:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.752819172520723, b_new = -0.8274473102217509, c_new = 5.418597872618477
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4920.697390018154
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8421:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0216781973026916, b_new = -1.161994997857423, c_new = 6.330263893944638
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3042.8592767702567
Acceptance probability: 2.9831196654109026e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8422:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8253074019397695, b_new = -1.2684840991435533, c_new = 5.407648001585274
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4633.4967727717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8423:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6745550578770616, b_new = -1.5896495309383363, c_new = 5.29653069749896
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8494.540746580695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8424:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7932327141045592, b_new = -1.9207413391317538, c_new = 5.219601316970159
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -15381.198008653802
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8425:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1215456509712616, b_new = -1.5574113743138307, c_new = 6.0553675161677285
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3206.4925102261727
Acceptance probability: 2.5683862083571065e-85
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8426:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.654273975472288, b_new = -1.4496719699974316, c_new = 6.1391581601243
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11363.643931532992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8427:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6298891919322094, b_new = -1.8650677737124144, c_new = 6.243655960299044
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -15591.255832317289
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8428:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6520609657394965, b_new = -2.1779837077532456, c_new = 6.5116561175947725
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9871.986959021517
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8429:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1002252394972047, b_new = -1.027103438595315, c_new = 5.352226286754019
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3435.298919559683
Acceptance probability: 1.0972341892861609e-184
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8430:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3894661354810456, b_new = -0.6859041495504025, c_new = 5.903385680176679
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10459.950281334057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8431:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1671073461017265, b_new = -2.0827637457972785, c_new = 5.05929631976027
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3097.6877201140037
Acceptance probability: 4.6023567471436704e-38
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8432:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4230854599132092, b_new = -1.3085160457161227, c_new = 5.498633558048876
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8453.44019554941
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8433:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3344801383446803, b_new = -0.7353620689334642, c_new = 4.677301754889987
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11470.652548778344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8434:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2612748246320624, b_new = -1.4488815112807731, c_new = 5.264861587472105
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4773.587568351865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8435:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5717527403645457, b_new = -1.3950635471196051, c_new = 6.34948027036884
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10692.669517521459
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8436:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.844123466690455, b_new = -1.4603166431011372, c_new = 5.638352740577352
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12657.180487664056
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8437:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.215290807374601, b_new = -1.3984595034870164, c_new = 6.146548919558895
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4379.3340124848955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8438:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7916158821119668, b_new = -1.4945032170537134, c_new = 6.399621878168387
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5432.616680420868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8439:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2212052947036782, b_new = -1.8230452070963876, c_new = 6.348770452575337
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3811.437843446578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8440:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.403596539821313, b_new = -0.9321218566095002, c_new = 5.903259849869897
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10740.04643314145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8441:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.161529331452882, b_new = -0.8022279108379012, c_new = 5.979203888219612
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4673.256707330621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8442:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.767353953284491, b_new = -0.8725469171980369, c_new = 5.311577767680143
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4799.015811706024
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8443:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4947092677377674, b_new = -1.0884611867932543, c_new = 5.699319815796279
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10144.176771207975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8444:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.186767061460097, b_new = -2.4408305199615175, c_new = 4.936576802968348
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14506.071778493766
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8445:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2883881831226907, b_new = -1.7314288361357741, c_new = 6.18372914654657
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4892.998222822451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8446:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7177397813825053, b_new = -1.6774598714559117, c_new = 5.709502412094631
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7699.501620310927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8447:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3971826117711177, b_new = -1.719436658866746, c_new = 5.8296369872112965
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6967.290502366434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8448:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.683082786923425, b_new = -1.7957709514306448, c_new = 6.069472852122025
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8572.187165631782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8449:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6375579023686635, b_new = -0.4908448694652514, c_new = 4.9074406212225075
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12304.959574849972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8450:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.938508597352221, b_new = -1.452814528547211, c_new = 5.688375775044286
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13249.94369376439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8451:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6446575347460985, b_new = -0.5901050244109773, c_new = 5.831434813720448
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12486.286450304051
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8452:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.81516529672797, b_new = -1.7592435604692283, c_new = 6.222489869878385
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5681.860290383458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8453:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.99699324081971, b_new = -1.2983576629539062, c_new = 5.311803346578401
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3060.8144232064224
Acceptance probability: 4.751707030399263e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8454:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.178422597516613, b_new = -1.2731582774168675, c_new = 5.514127022579495
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13122.18970502627
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8455:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0866623088587026, b_new = -2.2064804258667055, c_new = 5.558934211452563
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3167.8741588365224
Acceptance probability: 1.5184386089392686e-68
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8456:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8878402355486044, b_new = -1.0793601259580292, c_new = 5.781696927351618
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3490.3520080626095
Acceptance probability: 1.352218218771384e-208
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8457:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.106506020065986, b_new = -0.972116057982598, c_new = 6.149248815577423
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3693.1010661198407
Acceptance probability: 1.1974286849573105e-296
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8458:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3997931626493787, b_new = -0.05944535577343357, c_new = 4.556222368457018
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10607.738997870903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8459:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8937729579106506, b_new = -1.5832614067257575, c_new = 5.874051911193607
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12879.56070219802
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8460:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2564895824570748, b_new = -1.9445339839461824, c_new = 5.685871681669394
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3929.042767270382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8461:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.493571882900742, b_new = -1.3959621950323626, c_new = 6.118135011967849
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9633.123260981867
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8462:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6304646462509043, b_new = -1.6266506213623448, c_new = 6.361489912687737
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10911.99520376455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8463:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.931028378694106, b_new = -1.7502605695208047, c_new = 5.487603860202412
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3978.3251465329236
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8464:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.593262385436801, b_new = -1.146037247760704, c_new = 5.552284903138429
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11099.514157812619
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8465:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.162100956714503, b_new = -1.1478409390619146, c_new = 6.268217971870348
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4108.212750839169
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8466:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.407751806022504, b_new = -1.6381273843512714, c_new = 5.639339317574851
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11953.48579743638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8467:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.494705613520206, b_new = -1.1847385846843774, c_new = 5.842332789794137
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10164.29608631289
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8468:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.571787603680433, b_new = -1.3012041648321793, c_new = 5.658847315686019
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9417.353637538981
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8469:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.213128439556651, b_new = -1.30583717563589, c_new = 5.513209213813656
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4360.809071416941
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8470:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.830808881671276, b_new = -2.234889966050197, c_new = 5.362579099889807
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6985.59369654161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8471:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.364830839590942, b_new = -1.7177441095151074, c_new = 5.9557319812959255
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6341.573261454678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8472:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8426323819261983, b_new = -0.1183997151231897, c_new = 6.52142966271156
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14441.140801692152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8473:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097605537184561, b_new = -1.8870944805749514, c_new = 6.042848667072668
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3020.5999601095414
Acceptance probability: 0.00013860186425575165
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8474:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.924316102960023, b_new = -1.3844381212931332, c_new = 5.278161359438306
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13145.224914185967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8475:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2681360099589902, b_new = -1.9104501668103082, c_new = 7.0566004183831925
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12954.5906136186
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8476:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0620118106768466, b_new = -1.0612780470604324, c_new = 5.331518204725706
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3155.581118719482
Acceptance probability: 3.3128115111869645e-63
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8477:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4344402866857378, b_new = -1.4828660215106744, c_new = 5.510127988679394
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8226.430138637847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8478:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.103265238755289, b_new = -2.6149306014632963, c_new = 5.164664907989108
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3472.466563497841
Acceptance probability: 7.917656636560976e-201
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8479:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6809660100691266, b_new = -0.9835552865639345, c_new = 5.754059699255639
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6572.049683969091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8480:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.654081516623095, b_new = -0.614527706129837, c_new = 5.751266432451889
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6177.110287528911
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8481:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.864315394061283, b_new = -1.1671252055619705, c_new = 6.488026015115484
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13371.621347447533
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8482:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5263291405675163, b_new = -0.6754120748902002, c_new = 6.325726613152666
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11480.285757663773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8483:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5797083272432877, b_new = -2.1741134768275803, c_new = 5.685084010927051
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9095.037069376278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8484:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.261571372229807, b_new = -0.7620891738949888, c_new = 6.379345679529751
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11667.38926628195
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8485:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1932068368822075, b_new = -1.8777333341354763, c_new = 5.403288945697024
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3357.031249779907
Acceptance probability: 1.0752672744380177e-150
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8486:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.049629399073462, b_new = -1.0522689058237344, c_new = 6.1808254527024795
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3179.8214149148944
Acceptance probability: 9.83489775277467e-74
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8487:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6395358645169704, b_new = -0.28969990725929673, c_new = 6.005580836508637
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12922.231694242244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8488:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5389394912479872, b_new = -0.8590681720641551, c_new = 5.007381700131843
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9159.664537296452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8489:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.10678039181679, b_new = -1.5680060661793274, c_new = 5.821116411158117
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13985.990689177244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8490:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9187244934576584, b_new = -1.782640643797191, c_new = 5.749772695876135
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4129.894399045148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8491:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.491121182737876, b_new = -1.58436334432387, c_new = 5.089168230360659
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8828.444785303464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8492:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2396965031254292, b_new = -1.6384425255861161, c_new = 4.981628024366907
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4048.31307333367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8493:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.645888476759862, b_new = -1.6545293796802882, c_new = 5.928375730312559
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8944.785024374505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8494:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.555265885581943, b_new = -1.6720282013238212, c_new = 4.9071978877607165
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10691.71669444537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8495:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1979281701175455, b_new = -1.748282170252191, c_new = 5.898984577401454
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13469.585182605453
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8496:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8382974818184437, b_new = -1.596551883331099, c_new = 6.105823404854336
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4907.145062678699
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8497:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4609616571242414, b_new = -1.8168955934509423, c_new = 5.454770651875385
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11814.966672393792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8498:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.641642985399326, b_new = -1.3243614512048927, c_new = 5.535998527024065
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8332.36411950096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8499:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0726279555575045, b_new = -1.6556561298077097, c_new = 5.932445292160388
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3015.9178085421263
Acceptance probability: 0.01496930581655882
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8500:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5430083385093867, b_new = -1.8277367848811628, c_new = 5.2755174937608675
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9154.4045970622
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8501:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.090236571689973, b_new = -1.188636108284688, c_new = 5.512029731637036
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3238.2800844150247
Acceptance probability: 4.0224649254113095e-99
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8502:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6312058373154645, b_new = -1.586960144287858, c_new = 6.159777238290257
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10924.750402885473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8503:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4182072208876266, b_new = -1.1290033744708363, c_new = 5.722625177575371
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8901.097044220132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8504:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.017621121335761, b_new = -0.5821633868539261, c_new = 5.761789909358905
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3309.0932989847506
Acceptance probability: 7.0909419888698314e-130
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8505:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8436041372269973, b_new = -0.5167082967880754, c_new = 6.473527018655428
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3269.945101595029
Acceptance probability: 7.121148382957603e-113
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8506:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0007655184988753, b_new = -0.7982025354565783, c_new = 5.754839872704058
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3083.633119324914
Acceptance probability: 5.845421701758703e-32
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8507:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.078442113595788, b_new = -0.7467162129351648, c_new = 7.083196849198805
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3911.7100767619595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8508:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9135468670920908, b_new = 0.20820619826539621, c_new = 5.291249262690737
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14760.487260913618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8509:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.890660682925795, b_new = -1.947882044166053, c_new = 6.196942277087644
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4747.97975333926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8510:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9115110957513792, b_new = -0.5784577301947132, c_new = 6.343599629883269
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14229.773181824621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8511:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.851050832663332, b_new = -2.3979719415008374, c_new = 5.753673041756676
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6847.166412382705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8512:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1769217252068653, b_new = -1.5283880211923935, c_new = 6.089395636700421
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3680.5096482689005
Acceptance probability: 3.5207318545657156e-291
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8513:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4977448875045676, b_new = -1.2382668779774058, c_new = 5.676156885208361
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10284.856442349523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8514:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6397959385170826, b_new = -1.0717585813736763, c_new = 5.873579714057002
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7589.081811265394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8515:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3210641127501805, b_new = -1.6446687739029051, c_new = 6.202408584302923
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5711.741554470347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8516:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3379565046664963, b_new = -0.7982495459322643, c_new = 5.86414437397579
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8285.124981373752
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8517:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.908436292424514, b_new = -1.6748960087315665, c_new = 6.510021790060837
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3923.489034992668
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8518:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.708189420246642, b_new = -1.4823044750351955, c_new = 6.666298889241633
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7003.751523516514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8519:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6889756561756655, b_new = -1.1098145028522, c_new = 5.353879251816288
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11946.485675901351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8520:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.927551452255868, b_new = -1.5405192541348351, c_new = 5.09387550657179
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3786.515974567993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8521:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9576574609753776, b_new = -2.2124638454402623, c_new = 6.051397880442324
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4279.8651074649715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8522:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031270724434342, b_new = -0.5366418672981793, c_new = 5.928748384679334
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3483.1293144934193
Acceptance probability: 1.852775266812997e-205
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8523:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4435646780186873, b_new = -0.29691552220075135, c_new = 5.740426593046525
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11081.200447610527
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8524:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.789795772910019, b_new = -1.5765250857939757, c_new = 5.482976552616365
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5984.105618748296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8525:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.198386389807771, b_new = -0.18461973064081572, c_new = 6.282402870045544
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7172.59839379644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8526:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.737367184629516, b_new = -1.154031851269738, c_new = 7.255719914954288
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5405.49758325297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8527:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0980761037110165, b_new = -1.5680647883306418, c_new = 5.653114750231228
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3072.2653633449654
Acceptance probability: 5.0555631698057035e-27
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8528:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0491493795741405, b_new = -0.4489465218510654, c_new = 5.863765875250238
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3751.3206857078576
Acceptance probability: 6.23e-322
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8529:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.038809314550397, b_new = -0.8978163077787612, c_new = 5.264129308104205
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3139.5056585066714
Acceptance probability: 3.174536983864151e-56
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8530:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.433118598701258, b_new = -1.4527965941306018, c_new = 6.093637860915562
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11275.270590946135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8531:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2880368592687157, b_new = -1.365787341318262, c_new = 5.8714709980725415
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12433.605843927191
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8532:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6754280257602296, b_new = -1.3521475947143151, c_new = 5.6625572357950364
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7697.58703985813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8533:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9977320707837536, b_new = -1.355403965338141, c_new = 5.4499423782257415
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3073.0167012699294
Acceptance probability: 2.3848860126761558e-27
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8534:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4216504998179245, b_new = -1.6908739357010554, c_new = 5.544840214331859
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11942.718405256608
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8535:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8487688755476706, b_new = -1.4033611080488642, c_new = 5.8196294749235875
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4425.355008708648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8536:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8950905964890157, b_new = -1.9431895838497584, c_new = 4.469642272654373
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12105.671323314367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8537:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.552295810655371, b_new = -1.2501192882070058, c_new = 5.6192654469014
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10505.786411325616
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8538:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2818331799063496, b_new = -0.8194455903555449, c_new = 6.130046606794396
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7109.6889394653845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8539:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0426393537384655, b_new = -0.41835972910007957, c_new = 5.421772442046746
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3637.5230854581123
Acceptance probability: 1.6423282917646033e-272
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8540:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8163978425370186, b_new = -1.745969623883536, c_new = 5.7449293967955475
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5788.947340344595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8541:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.281995491156346, b_new = -1.6262264969244036, c_new = 4.871675462400314
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4655.803507048133
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8542:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4282167592384303, b_new = -1.411648823853565, c_new = 6.384678217694554
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8622.298746615405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8543:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0906480845087834, b_new = -0.960992422724515, c_new = 5.707556090410141
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3478.8771098274847
Acceptance probability: 1.3017625308449276e-203
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8544:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.241660467678342, b_new = -1.2855808102715176, c_new = 4.93793422493314
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4696.895553963055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8545:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1741140594703334, b_new = -1.83639157315806, c_new = 6.732126469400804
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3405.02678538973
Acceptance probability: 1.5392889686140508e-171
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8546:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2884756817322245, b_new = -0.22299192297714754, c_new = 5.861388147505655
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8893.306841262389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8547:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.656770093774105, b_new = -1.6979049370717065, c_new = 6.002277444573151
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10947.46634644308
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8548:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3351565712047773, b_new = -0.9319982707589556, c_new = 5.605369038043673
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7739.853870990544
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8549:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3099219524405084, b_new = -0.8663508160449884, c_new = 5.910729940503307
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7504.987701443519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8550:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.229835085923881, b_new = -1.5349787836241306, c_new = 6.327165859341557
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14631.6750995511
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8551:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3539653597496866, b_new = 0.09099452680491016, c_new = 5.479737364002272
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10651.428415494556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8552:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1910561434456444, b_new = -1.5497199212030217, c_new = 5.762058618914199
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13313.110941871884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8553:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0001935338477113, b_new = -2.4925978768174675, c_new = 5.8697185939992185
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -15036.105356531001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8554:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.39539271637409, b_new = -1.5595279288022335, c_new = 5.988794046238437
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7420.862894025002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8555:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0320201172729604, b_new = -2.0162223876384044, c_new = 5.604798599947603
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3321.5793623033287
Acceptance probability: 2.679634326101181e-135
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8556:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.518883833886804, b_new = -1.2974564522988916, c_new = 6.228735582633705
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10216.256451467743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8557:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1577499740707786, b_new = -0.4565218903307935, c_new = 5.3490482659414065
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12285.853385886365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8558:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3288844886502025, b_new = -0.9207276962465605, c_new = 5.635877395108471
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7649.16584435764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8559:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.18963253739918, b_new = -0.9290712767904115, c_new = 6.293169864980827
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4969.303144858736
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8560:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.236158636072538, b_new = -1.7434772876487694, c_new = 5.595706555974661
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3961.3287098025844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8561:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.948602600129659, b_new = -0.7909266747022088, c_new = 5.579992862114427
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3030.535261846948
Acceptance probability: 6.71308816847053e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8562:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.195381753000943, b_new = -1.3554419483805036, c_new = 5.678894092475744
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4067.4764044464537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8563:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.040482377573697, b_new = -1.2029016147582559, c_new = 5.388892409476663
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3029.8792624948574
Acceptance probability: 1.2936573189723358e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8564:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3960981928177865, b_new = -0.2760477927421645, c_new = 5.1006760694304925
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10298.78305497112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8565:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.660804823549413, b_new = -0.9285168570812878, c_new = 5.745634579938913
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6841.955187130773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8566:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.870773051204776, b_new = -1.631609656219592, c_new = 6.5315932455229335
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4349.075747161938
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8567:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.869700686837024, b_new = -1.3799211080223164, c_new = 4.975747577646639
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12748.130098230948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8568:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3350505364435263, b_new = -0.7110630278021426, c_new = 6.302892401830914
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8656.078725589141
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8569:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.688344638966953, b_new = -0.8719959753790849, c_new = 6.212319730298703
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12524.941463693216
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8570:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7933840307252766, b_new = -0.7010472976010995, c_new = 5.6191120957306815
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13279.887101634473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8571:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.461009361295603, b_new = -1.217645687789032, c_new = 5.384819029115332
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10778.547239663985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8572:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0944350471009856, b_new = -1.065617564238592, c_new = 6.117849660536237
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3461.070007500175
Acceptance probability: 7.047872621837695e-196
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8573:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3296081621598037, b_new = -2.536452841873853, c_new = 6.58165458172484
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13469.921023932759
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8574:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.392873182145125, b_new = -1.1721601068574556, c_new = 6.095379098820976
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8462.296567626521
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8575:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.36841567896695, b_new = -1.859757275797873, c_new = 5.596725034983588
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5926.325894901984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8576:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.713404199290256, b_new = -1.2088600488433734, c_new = 4.651215994362795
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6908.135686620178
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8577:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.383247173281709, b_new = -1.1874205000258284, c_new = 5.619506700359543
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11463.140546772323
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8578:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8623672032894625, b_new = -1.0346390534498489, c_new = 5.706792941721169
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3692.946231660115
Acceptance probability: 1.3979556997207257e-296
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8579:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.529557030145887, b_new = -1.1484458113474283, c_new = 5.803332535968609
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9646.973581306636
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8580:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.906621984005507, b_new = -1.672333871804069, c_new = 6.104641667908064
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4025.352895351683
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8581:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3593752312539955, b_new = -1.901715164906347, c_new = 5.959837615121816
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5757.607163865921
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8582:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3944612857423904, b_new = -1.865311160699108, c_new = 5.530519355224427
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6422.92319762013
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8583:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0420120478906765, b_new = -2.225384172117696, c_new = 5.866936703752044
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14653.548330477686
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8584:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9323404157596924, b_new = -0.8957825686908191, c_new = 6.64420424616269
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3071.468453310284
Acceptance probability: 1.1216650088374583e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8585:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8949499880444907, b_new = -1.4213049949910057, c_new = 5.714365190489202
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3862.202686654929
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8586:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0777114688240133, b_new = -1.8285756617810716, c_new = 5.159359932254944
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3054.185028661539
Acceptance probability: 3.5971547804252966e-19
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8587:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6428560507947187, b_new = -1.886668429381745, c_new = 6.869196973646076
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10753.206393565542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8588:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.429028901533101, b_new = -1.9425991456674372, c_new = 6.507315643137769
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11984.468346989746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8589:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.377800057444062, b_new = -1.1634061978189731, c_new = 6.391532171455908
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8305.47854439827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8590:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5251135874497446, b_new = -1.9058959991494504, c_new = 5.688163816072782
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8850.403207004418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8591:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.760851148952799, b_new = -0.6512503781149698, c_new = 6.578688672554876
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4204.301351519594
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8592:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4524078843525063, b_new = -1.6562358086090625, c_new = 4.60617390253518
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11900.488184209335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8593:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1516045539155524, b_new = -1.3818342060673992, c_new = 5.5791529159822435
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3528.9220579448897
Acceptance probability: 2.4004184291380678e-225
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8594:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2991495903041548, b_new = -1.153468053872983, c_new = 6.327951849518165
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11936.324521315455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8595:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5469139765842126, b_new = -0.595297105316169, c_new = 5.674691535449832
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8192.791948884274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8596:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.49107643672206, b_new = -0.9340234798750413, c_new = 6.032951318067994
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9655.88703166018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8597:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2287517677999524, b_new = -1.6973967380395738, c_new = 6.364382345036261
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4097.067590342029
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8598:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.266354789122798, b_new = -0.8586222822180908, c_new = 6.187164010541434
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11815.441194858666
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8599:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.564735520988806, b_new = -1.6166934679213023, c_new = 5.660691611366401
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9984.965885086858
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8600:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7186665827620837, b_new = -1.8504449253902537, c_new = 6.032700241148231
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8030.705107577033
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8601:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7640761633318203, b_new = -1.4281918481374436, c_new = 5.476974494222674
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6126.001107954753
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8602:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.212765713808787, b_new = -1.4413972146690268, c_new = 5.844038819586455
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4193.625361999078
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8603:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.100956607662225, b_new = -1.9835922576701561, c_new = 5.772528279298082
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3031.4445405040797
Acceptance probability: 2.704130507780892e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8604:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.04819430497084, b_new = -1.9544743947562413, c_new = 5.2146569892267784
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3221.493461605619
Acceptance probability: 7.849281812021074e-92
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8605:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.43906126780033, b_new = -2.0694874525357383, c_new = 6.167336945537857
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7027.1449842614675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8606:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.03054146493663, b_new = -0.7631895330314331, c_new = 5.846732441526966
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14445.302158071807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8607:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.113969625800419, b_new = -0.5076375374720382, c_new = 5.253930794779289
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12657.742477347307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8608:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8946687896452716, b_new = -0.9831534014243053, c_new = 6.803211392972582
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3255.4719020142556
Acceptance probability: 1.3746139553797613e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8609:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.988343197374438, b_new = -1.2630907991763076, c_new = 5.7412327517763355
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3052.930910437978
Acceptance probability: 1.260711601671289e-18
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8610:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.814262453922293, b_new = -1.1044095955438118, c_new = 6.033462917716386
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4336.148410749891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8611:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3667049642770803, b_new = -2.17298686361512, c_new = 5.908807166239759
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5239.418258931977
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8612:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4764335616308766, b_new = -1.2446557431198555, c_new = 5.449670964404959
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10629.111042334624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8613:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.813663193699039, b_new = -1.2459336087612256, c_new = 5.540386230676095
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12703.72691015498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8614:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0242155125976664, b_new = -1.0631959078755904, c_new = 5.3264841606880005
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3030.61486448351
Acceptance probability: 6.199424358254136e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8615:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1899612238615265, b_new = -1.2619895827839034, c_new = 5.373303147444927
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4082.546512149421
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8616:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4364153167272677, b_new = -0.7354013630668563, c_new = 5.776047515356659
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10118.534263978197
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8617:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2334025778481705, b_new = -1.5700241769892291, c_new = 5.550724287894234
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4192.531645611722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8618:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.576315528323114, b_new = -1.348005390721207, c_new = 5.665312182200659
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9450.949260939145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8619:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7754790599984065, b_new = -0.6461292147134765, c_new = 5.551690113245714
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4198.3718860491535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8620:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1585945948838936, b_new = -2.020195814985765, c_new = 5.8537394922518775
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3111.3246946436475
Acceptance probability: 5.5019607953596e-44
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8621:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6028717713556118, b_new = -2.0269610553423756, c_new = 6.271490616478374
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10323.045382125223
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8622:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5498715223747466, b_new = -1.7076992718273722, c_new = 5.977632092905243
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10459.51498095094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8623:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.14019600097961, b_new = -1.962627401074379, c_new = 5.954416825803866
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3075.7390124024187
Acceptance probability: 1.567411120176812e-28
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8624:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0312029941725602, b_new = -2.328919666898436, c_new = 5.580325751043266
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3684.3334127864327
Acceptance probability: 7.691182552734255e-293
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8625:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.775674883608304, b_new = -0.22087763739766997, c_new = 5.821175282764785
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13917.11269420999
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8626:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1617487016466264, b_new = -1.4409782758679115, c_new = 4.97557232851177
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13553.15170105065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8627:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.139605845261112, b_new = -0.7234996447778006, c_new = 5.311339825411715
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12745.37021657055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8628:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3516439627176196, b_new = -1.03836749619528, c_new = 6.013951311473421
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7957.156089156951
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8629:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8420035887935664, b_new = -1.9291561962536792, c_new = 5.209673801858155
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5941.9940968818355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8630:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.756400249760282, b_new = -1.8341019090571078, c_new = 6.28251193643959
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7092.974372107533
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8631:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.834085020124998, b_new = -0.8533117607793061, c_new = 5.952501680471608
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3719.6327943021397
Acceptance probability: 3.594731958576642e-308
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8632:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.048616473087278, b_new = -1.3900766190599516, c_new = 5.259826730720696
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13770.385073771566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8633:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6406041638737694, b_new = -1.0643621749415708, c_new = 5.642089693943759
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11695.607877522392
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8634:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374717149233577, b_new = -1.9241421655067024, c_new = 6.373971024220945
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6154.192956116127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8635:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8795581384008875, b_new = -1.8218257925570487, c_new = 6.1342255338811515
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4685.259354644798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8636:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3687074762734404, b_new = -1.9250496487141882, c_new = 5.271022094190045
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5667.254125369229
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8637:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.949515860502878, b_new = -1.7769658524676277, c_new = 6.413056570081008
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3630.3269547951772
Acceptance probability: 2.1912897755560267e-269
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8638:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.633514382500409, b_new = -1.8469561593417572, c_new = 5.214627408712657
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9879.56506740925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8639:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.44312234312231, b_new = -0.9309406531863509, c_new = 4.711534410359993
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10668.292170515506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8640:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.444778800322286, b_new = -0.928917409391925, c_new = 5.466171138703092
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9706.225940763716
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8641:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4734924376899907, b_new = -1.4376373660965935, c_new = 6.0396238358061805
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9208.918569798998
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8642:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.146797356928463, b_new = -1.613207205713266, c_new = 6.2054381938099406
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3340.125439542903
Acceptance probability: 2.3638315581472513e-143
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8643:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4670817107236696, b_new = -1.365462448873087, c_new = 6.0691054190669345
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9282.95103113261
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8644:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2167216708618787, b_new = -1.326514835354157, c_new = 6.17216968000647
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4545.432065836667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8645:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8197328454852526, b_new = -1.3765897533586398, c_new = 6.180196873333926
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4735.910107354731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8646:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8033338282589884, b_new = -1.621960743640723, c_new = 5.355146474579236
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12101.491694029059
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8647:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3671302921348922, b_new = -1.2410757906990635, c_new = 5.578857588416348
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7543.547849292783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8648:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6618660941575736, b_new = -1.1228160089119053, c_new = 6.551832485449408
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7043.529887444212
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8649:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.346287808978689, b_new = -1.9103621095630996, c_new = 5.760888419779195
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5416.513163934709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8650:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3922953643574103, b_new = -1.1914929354307413, c_new = 5.632625996597087
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8217.29804802514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8651:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7922333274769495, b_new = -1.4847588246405368, c_new = 5.85783373427475
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5571.477556717343
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8652:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.261192589574847, b_new = -0.2367077581122241, c_new = 5.717064072455149
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -15620.481199959117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8653:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4037912430619937, b_new = -1.7365844541426252, c_new = 6.380872027424692
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11921.433697899398
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8654:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.014363315591775, b_new = -1.4820383538792998, c_new = 5.29457738538017
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3082.257397674359
Acceptance probability: 2.3135781234779217e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8655:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6052796243127165, b_new = -2.107996328075804, c_new = 5.789013140920132
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9598.274234073595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8656:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6396741786051745, b_new = -0.5778222121332182, c_new = 6.37197614105164
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12628.803178092598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8657:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.557496558248103, b_new = -0.5618765118867824, c_new = 5.55302246701531
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7969.296026554719
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8658:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.50872969453119, b_new = -1.1771404906399614, c_new = 5.4617585563255755
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10068.849134944701
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8659:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.437304751886685, b_new = -1.6868702573273375, c_new = 6.495493486619306
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11504.54318704482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8660:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.349563091380333, b_new = -1.5853886489734454, c_new = 5.924055563221448
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6360.745832962437
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8661:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.353572263379241, b_new = -1.2428369803527688, c_new = 5.412502824666198
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7186.549869323675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8662:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1036044260600013, b_new = -1.0329442184995008, c_new = 4.734562321502674
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13467.052733423476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8663:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.480224075342249, b_new = -1.435382302429766, c_new = 5.744650056415327
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10847.438369730851
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8664:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.601400310212567, b_new = -1.2650316695801997, c_new = 6.185672917324458
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8670.65820377799
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8665:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.566537323398928, b_new = -1.726584404158124, c_new = 5.603096443126431
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10413.108688402406
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8666:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.335373751252221, b_new = -0.9699814243805641, c_new = 6.734818316350681
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8109.097802150178
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8667:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3641551768198825, b_new = -0.6432883824773457, c_new = 5.939668582775551
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9248.035241585054
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8668:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.358690498463159, b_new = -1.273903707976719, c_new = 6.125703728368213
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7488.598238898481
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8669:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0558257679354597, b_new = -0.4778642699336362, c_new = 5.517778451245645
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3710.4790744629977
Acceptance probability: 3.396851238011414e-304
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8670:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.65785722501613, b_new = -1.8490417218908526, c_new = 5.484132155731299
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9391.336410560036
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8671:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.111252732926392, b_new = -1.4628819598144756, c_new = 5.7486145580056345
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3186.434945069376
Acceptance probability: 1.3199278645441232e-76
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8672:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2625106945400044, b_new = -1.3557672542171337, c_new = 5.705091130097556
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5121.50476704475
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8673:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.091351967943006, b_new = -2.2770299857328435, c_new = 5.200382759094639
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3234.7574171138685
Acceptance probability: 1.3625963973688468e-97
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8674:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5423111026238874, b_new = -1.1686717343704651, c_new = 5.980797915738106
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10656.988321713976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8675:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.110340649688438, b_new = -1.6520324508864968, c_new = 5.5932961712027
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13887.295450691836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8676:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.999868136810124, b_new = -1.3785276781892137, c_new = 5.047590356635524
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3102.14966488864
Acceptance probability: 5.311073178344354e-40
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8677:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1057212898207687, b_new = -0.9291602574867706, c_new = 5.324551186396572
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3590.931882350318
Acceptance probability: 2.816841362712692e-252
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8678:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2463845027141898, b_new = -1.3550929434400396, c_new = 5.207299672353123
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4704.381179524614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8679:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.13646350043376, b_new = -1.0987106278697083, c_new = 5.272621107901974
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14426.60590138785
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8680:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.341106343773091, b_new = -1.023191228973305, c_new = 4.99665429186122
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7369.243845138382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8681:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.643772586181686, b_new = -1.322308710154587, c_new = 4.672754657588991
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8622.044848657488
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8682:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7126743584955646, b_new = -0.3820360958505533, c_new = 5.972975919755927
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13280.505478495383
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8683:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.889008114693979, b_new = -1.2879440491312226, c_new = 6.126211926515771
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3671.8817853264322
Acceptance probability: 1.9663744210196128e-287
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8684:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5454734918763235, b_new = -1.0241417650882427, c_new = 5.477366734478035
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9263.635915437326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8685:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2991069197066163, b_new = -1.2506624393815913, c_new = 5.87038018963806
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6169.6726734487165
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8686:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0234222548714604, b_new = -1.7173430752866208, c_new = 5.824962494920647
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3126.49858834074
Acceptance probability: 1.414422609254859e-50
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8687:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2973259314555, b_new = -0.9871355589257969, c_new = 6.27598001808739
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7028.471257373848
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8688:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.131809404306044, b_new = -1.7192893382720826, c_new = 5.615956506197244
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3128.5120025385745
Acceptance probability: 1.8887066695087698e-51
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8689:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2332374173238576, b_new = -1.2789414521829345, c_new = 5.480201872833258
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4717.676684743426
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8690:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3995587720176146, b_new = -1.7345901077777273, c_new = 6.495278196039238
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7224.797741553586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8691:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7458166551474283, b_new = -2.727144405294599, c_new = 6.053714113264412
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9865.140654897123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8692:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7338996403387417, b_new = -1.8369888885994619, c_new = 6.3452752534821455
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11529.670565036002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8693:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094076505895262, b_new = -1.2352022741425959, c_new = 5.303432619152682
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3206.576584488196
Acceptance probability: 2.361279197804735e-85
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8694:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.874470306152797, b_new = -2.0304086497240963, c_new = 6.025477762172538
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5270.145922100268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8695:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7052240811868598, b_new = -1.2510126217077373, c_new = 4.8747649107774835
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7110.277942461349
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8696:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.58587284055707, b_new = -1.2439443717473302, c_new = 5.192689456523305
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9235.874111206238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8697:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.235934801278815, b_new = -1.872703898330712, c_new = 6.362202031397595
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3914.320999185912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8698:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0227124775793004, b_new = -1.3630097811128985, c_new = 6.314628987552282
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Acceptance probability: 0.036266286937842944
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8699:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.423831823599942, b_new = -1.6565862963801805, c_new = 5.440057120733924
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7540.487272593057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8700:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9959623942081928, b_new = -1.644310169053506, c_new = 6.781820098099906
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3136.5867268920483
Acceptance probability: 1.62126195286506e-53
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8701:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3269557632045896, b_new = -2.490791664677892, c_new = 5.712197653104903
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4001.29679840703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8702:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3491727694628652, b_new = -0.7228126720829948, c_new = 6.539241527171677
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9005.5997390492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8703:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.360553561166011, b_new = -0.9349509622957173, c_new = 6.493276509538737
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8629.154233925601
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8704:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.280999254537187, b_new = -1.0146841885199054, c_new = 7.012267838085111
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6891.727701889605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8705:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8771003119135323, b_new = -1.3610469838568497, c_new = 6.359678365127369
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3861.094595915251
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8706:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5034752771715825, b_new = -1.5560481294384556, c_new = 6.382301147329922
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10598.444675476125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8707:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3714156935219637, b_new = -1.5288127522999873, c_new = 6.1829404388321105
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7073.965738127894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8708:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8366797710812346, b_new = -1.1107612561885134, c_new = 5.943395690147781
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4058.871478664109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8709:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.391136011655786, b_new = -0.9016274782934741, c_new = 6.719262353889671
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10583.092696795527
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8710:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7250667671744446, b_new = -0.6887480608418975, c_new = 6.555733736729199
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -14349.097878655037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8711:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.199629924847543, b_new = -2.016085507174716, c_new = 5.8562669749113345
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3331.766222615788
Acceptance probability: 2.7827565745530015e-138
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8712:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.627689333849232, b_new = -1.8229222567310186, c_new = 6.518027148835097
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9434.227354889767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8713:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.761503229159507, b_new = -1.1171502805861104, c_new = 6.542532818109492
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5082.845109192849
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8714:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0976459810409795, b_new = -1.4215200704145863, c_new = 5.787018059497193
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3147.2793222754167
Acceptance probability: 3.6822902562660775e-58
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8715:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.709306745706558, b_new = -1.6983373553437457, c_new = 6.541579383078051
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7608.153959829151
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8716:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.672150120518595, b_new = -1.1161180917285534, c_new = 5.872684442013701
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7057.510792283179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8717:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.946210667228441, b_new = -1.8493681080956423, c_new = 6.73762293944458
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3702.4049924554774
Acceptance probability: 3.0067872272288025e-299
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8718:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.705902611088383, b_new = -0.8150553826565399, c_new = 6.177655485618352
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5524.337164225497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8719:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4058374352233596, b_new = -1.3617193112585417, c_new = 6.2324168387110745
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11350.75659148885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8720:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.322585159611835, b_new = -1.5213926396645903, c_new = 7.112363259071357
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12063.385258873486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8721:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1276612165720308, b_new = -1.328945995236659, c_new = 5.964218293842517
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3434.955271604445
Acceptance probability: 4.2661944744129815e-183
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8722:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1609043382923874, b_new = -1.3871758424768432, c_new = 6.63956468420225
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3803.2506586209183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8723:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5764674525393327, b_new = -0.8092624753427305, c_new = 6.409927900153019
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7936.815976975464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8724:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.762322556710667, b_new = -1.5368722106058426, c_new = 6.21463079969193
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6185.054873984549
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8725:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.070110560178507, b_new = -0.543041502893052, c_new = 6.055775354660939
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3888.3288283474026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8726:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.049087799566332, b_new = -1.0056341698250413, c_new = 6.757177976798408
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -14513.101206435009
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8727:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4446073921886793, b_new = -1.2881376964487266, c_new = 6.4944548482349145
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10744.16728273506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8728:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9967220476632352, b_new = -1.2820871128600209, c_new = 6.217141708802885
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13866.543512099635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8729:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2459104868933366, b_new = -1.7493066765923153, c_new = 5.462899657735291
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4049.1225471354105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8730:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.953250092147912, b_new = -1.6320514850758177, c_new = 6.474625427605079
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3423.3222525599945
Acceptance probability: 4.8105709877961976e-178
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8731:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4137134070141704, b_new = -1.9556396181180684, c_new = 6.567806613043373
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12116.160768104804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8732:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0435293280709326, b_new = -0.7568457142948769, c_new = 6.456051531526014
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3431.9042310522914
Acceptance probability: 9.017594967738876e-182
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8733:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3604460596764896, b_new = -0.7521860729437672, c_new = 6.656904570165309
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10672.040913997773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8734:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.687693655883141, b_new = -1.4229616529689375, c_new = 5.542324495768016
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7686.000727439372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8735:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.142529573192143, b_new = -1.3772697049960674, c_new = 6.058778540431364
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3525.13380664939
Acceptance probability: 2.924155695475085e-222
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8736:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.305441989606054, b_new = -1.1130547862227778, c_new = 6.254668749634976
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6838.299772076456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8737:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4023738532205132, b_new = -1.9645118365561234, c_new = 6.388048197994335
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12272.33483656442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8738:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.291240240888674, b_new = -0.46078111925215637, c_new = 6.631672394719477
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8602.904176286585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8739:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2958994394459245, b_new = -1.1970487083790617, c_new = 7.249061806545889
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6793.856579167688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8740:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7442495541184053, b_new = -2.069697753309099, c_new = 6.302946956437912
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8003.521183658479
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8741:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5718746073458907, b_new = -1.0891796532849636, c_new = 6.605524339226879
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8610.851872206502
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8742:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5814201851966865, b_new = -1.6461516792550508, c_new = 5.625643028199438
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10120.241127254982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8743:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6240310531624296, b_new = -1.8837724936701479, c_new = 6.942269177692986
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9479.37274718627
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8744:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.541019333148789, b_new = -1.1581285806492576, c_new = 6.285979676952056
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10761.166862328453
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8745:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8139148098988653, b_new = -1.8817680944952129, c_new = 6.21014652240569
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6028.725244604081
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8746:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.305649739254342, b_new = -1.4750261248782215, c_new = 6.358383554861542
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12324.149567572656
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8747:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5666779639272543, b_new = -2.173175163313097, c_new = 7.313165660650018
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10723.948941858955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8748:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2624921850645427, b_new = -2.0935071241561674, c_new = 5.698867471683568
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13562.430078819838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8749:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.566308694382228, b_new = -0.8380746931195256, c_new = 6.179869898887226
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8260.378754075648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8750:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8148095873716645, b_new = -1.722767115918786, c_new = 6.141052554455279
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5624.825678714554
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8751:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.503927991475051, b_new = -1.3353477608146807, c_new = 5.89942665071443
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9831.210274726447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8752:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.266664619541824, b_new = -1.4529353879568718, c_new = 5.153015238990996
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4825.196287355992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8753:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7900341897359553, b_new = -1.220185702488834, c_new = 5.859021007786351
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12666.736458879786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8754:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.217008120384698, b_new = -1.9204614067181782, c_new = 6.139715757872227
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3607.262228658035
Acceptance probability: 6.281740721584316e-258
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8755:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.119088571699406, b_new = -2.1106276967793502, c_new = 5.592072282814464
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3043.8694126569626
Acceptance probability: 2.9955125272862926e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8756:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1168968652813973, b_new = -1.6659314142108848, c_new = 6.64536328053249
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3165.0124807672073
Acceptance probability: 7.323271563324394e-66
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8757:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9426922152260246, b_new = -1.8495594454273911, c_new = 6.771104592246081
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13089.424861788948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8758:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8366271051992813, b_new = -2.079260534456464, c_new = 5.952363285814846
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6179.446854798884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8759:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.499589772101034, b_new = -1.6256694355920036, c_new = 6.519440886998154
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9361.527835233908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8760:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.652628656425734, b_new = -0.5788329348861332, c_new = 5.528449513546016
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6189.25294531962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8761:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3273228138145914, b_new = -1.7106634024305822, c_new = 7.029819342850657
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5962.086574276035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8762:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1893566461723903, b_new = -0.7876124998970848, c_new = 6.853955997135273
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12121.2091440331
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8763:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.4609207465920029, b_new = -1.5701828342839073, c_new = 6.601985229547869
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -15746.51919174274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8764:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1404999856882543, b_new = -1.3197029507377949, c_new = 6.207973469435416
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3598.7542672785253
Acceptance probability: 3.1120078679377373e-254
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8765:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8334413106650578, b_new = -1.6381087777334862, c_new = 6.142748865791505
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5072.758514771885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8766:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.514677609772615, b_new = -1.1423119010168503, c_new = 6.45112669922378
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -15789.788622377044
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8767:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6565986767541023, b_new = -1.3833139891448605, c_new = 6.4200183615055115
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7870.781265199463
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8768:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3846192606156684, b_new = -1.493203243589633, c_new = 6.303482280196674
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7498.851814580325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8769:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.054883792913865, b_new = -0.63111301497783, c_new = 5.121452285469951
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3445.5359346240234
Acceptance probability: 1.0837199906830531e-187
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8770:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8943750483899855, b_new = -0.945070764115217, c_new = 6.080274915210052
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13685.133612952173
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8771:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7568747365546975, b_new = -1.6455694152129121, c_new = 6.953385606906492
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6324.685411303528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8772:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.776455408413369, b_new = -1.3636893795443212, c_new = 6.548695880452097
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12577.681307264793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8773:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.75044695897652, b_new = -1.5522771698660285, c_new = 5.945807922348105
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6571.260267360802
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8774:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.83417101474997, b_new = -1.86138852660037, c_new = 6.537220864995343
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5458.423932003659
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8775:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6932726935784324, b_new = -1.987494921023158, c_new = 5.516711116522339
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9105.693108558993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8776:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.332333358411259, b_new = -1.8786368774873536, c_new = 6.184804352509971
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12723.410449253122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8777:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8342153404481776, b_new = -0.89570635276363, c_new = 6.526059312414535
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13533.856602083271
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8778:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5131907778745393, b_new = -1.177851970579365, c_new = 6.634794674447439
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9660.819339088735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8779:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7784426727817486, b_new = -1.3610249830523962, c_new = 5.636488196518613
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12343.832849127557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8780:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3179764267404654, b_new = -1.1001633293453998, c_new = 5.945844620574563
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7025.950510110621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8781:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7193489045936348, b_new = -1.1310226194057589, c_new = 6.179260475714835
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6027.846592127858
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8782:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5817693215520903, b_new = -1.0510286827576536, c_new = 5.965827752842709
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8572.735722436328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8783:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6340744471773005, b_new = -1.2175002773828292, c_new = 6.490718316687766
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11655.453700527254
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8784:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3024959730728316, b_new = -1.0173674366975471, c_new = 6.758332547059039
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7257.179850505259
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8785:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8136357372216714, b_new = -0.9130457135087373, c_new = 6.270081988155203
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3983.225436331252
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8786:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.287392622616387, b_new = -1.5305917626980095, c_new = 6.78274434077134
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5524.855001486678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8787:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2285602970161036, b_new = -1.931642403138993, c_new = 6.653198758596208
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3799.939866010941
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8788:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8730468618212561, b_new = -1.3119644711803375, c_new = 5.285174646835612
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -14604.388255075668
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8789:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.253179292284865, b_new = -1.4268036035825786, c_new = 6.519780384839173
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5044.410098096879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8790:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2721476778845977, b_new = -0.452859896484786, c_new = 5.841491502847552
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7853.161924715278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8791:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.713044095281174, b_new = -0.15255464767657334, c_new = 6.049227335919583
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4153.850518456298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8792:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1242584429722817, b_new = -0.9583259943738491, c_new = 5.814710987473355
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3839.10256831102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8793:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6615694915950563, b_new = -1.796287782046748, c_new = 6.520652026432464
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8798.416999507903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8794:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.331425936759845, b_new = -1.375959047266017, c_new = 5.378152707181712
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12263.787614852514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8795:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.176118116624247, b_new = -1.2699021755032647, c_new = 6.0042116858575145
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4028.726211822762
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8796:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3527394283279253, b_new = -1.8210071842413, c_new = 5.65294831800038
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5725.239512378133
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8797:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6562606612565096, b_new = -1.5680052868607153, c_new = 6.597064216788609
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11331.215650033238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8798:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.320169171321429, b_new = -1.488594524447062, c_new = 6.330005726730868
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6146.199532982717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8799:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7699855970064657, b_new = -1.6454419006824166, c_new = 5.986018453039304
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11993.558605207898
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8800:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0065667323255223, b_new = -2.200173732379854, c_new = 6.21561243070824
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3638.2975137711865
Acceptance probability: 2.0875021815749475e-271
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8801:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.848088009896518, b_new = -2.1563376889595243, c_new = 7.390240731878314
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12258.017518104636
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8802:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.710014035592673, b_new = -1.2554369409622257, c_new = 7.046457781348168
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12392.493128432961
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8803:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.567071870332236, b_new = -2.1024444655655428, c_new = 6.055884078915642
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9178.691778884651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8804:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1132412403005376, b_new = -0.7777708009847059, c_new = 7.248845625438188
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4352.7410811336285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8805:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4794737469097656, b_new = -1.5936548054496056, c_new = 6.377228477493534
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9066.797425457149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8806:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0024730739871752, b_new = -1.5335137320846322, c_new = 5.612791546272421
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -14238.474818577477
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8807:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9451220264837463, b_new = -1.067172486140986, c_new = 6.9800813079344035
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3078.2878221575547
Acceptance probability: 3.3786703309545275e-28
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8808:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.518961518071279, b_new = -1.7584608123746035, c_new = 5.760513273554921
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11004.263045122581
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8809:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3790553030477946, b_new = -0.09063182417379445, c_new = 6.734172496631886
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11079.489430911435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8810:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8344735065489655, b_new = -2.2557710472650534, c_new = 6.093391828926086
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6663.671538821013
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8811:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6150764870225625, b_new = -1.7093095102629317, c_new = 5.650352456792055
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9682.702212748745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8812:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.492240400850151, b_new = -1.4529438419862948, c_new = 6.444206375099496
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9604.993035592855
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8813:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2933202369432673, b_new = -1.699672010919624, c_new = 7.4160992582042
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5441.237281278837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8814:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.144190887874879, b_new = -1.1404903883658966, c_new = 6.009881546850934
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -14587.553595988706
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8815:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.192183371838884, b_new = -1.784251237711732, c_new = 7.006812225690659
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3670.9216996716004
Acceptance probability: 1.4161948961310322e-285
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8816:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2329503234496246, b_new = -0.9414685080448606, c_new = 6.219392078524752
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5734.563183861287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8817:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.805680943470287, b_new = -1.444233878162081, c_new = 5.7968495237797075
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -16098.695466478403
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8818:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7623756990138553, b_new = -1.7315635060291552, c_new = 6.361728204264602
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11918.892060633727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8819:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.782583786346, b_new = -0.7599849401196263, c_new = 6.019011053094828
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4194.322775879202
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8820:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5269482454228305, b_new = -1.586084716529487, c_new = 6.2733436715919515
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9754.938520847134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8821:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.761352282538931, b_new = -0.8411348085593261, c_new = 5.9047126248825235
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12980.413332715245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8822:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.586010927679933, b_new = -2.333031460020751, c_new = 6.60552405920012
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9148.965045010496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8823:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5316119064760345, b_new = -2.1204157390948124, c_new = 5.355524873822617
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11670.97916528529
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8824:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.890997177826014, b_new = -1.1584451181445339, c_new = 5.940593183515443
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3526.671709226046
Acceptance probability: 6.2819993913871616e-223
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8825:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.024519637927342, b_new = -1.151957534932005, c_new = 6.830582565496666
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3084.5067582387833
Acceptance probability: 6.728158203848413e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8826:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7303471467249865, b_new = -1.235283960433449, c_new = 6.5654077973783735
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5943.410502644916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8827:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7021444431002104, b_new = -1.402904870641591, c_new = 5.481470973941219
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7356.667069216531
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8828:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0322839034441955, b_new = -1.5158743078758679, c_new = 5.600936060111182
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3033.006442457656
Acceptance probability: 1.563864620986087e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8829:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9764013773239753, b_new = -1.5511632549659629, c_new = 6.425105514188687
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3202.7116333358117
Acceptance probability: 3.105783698181013e-82
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8830:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.85515129956031, b_new = -1.275599813672628, c_new = 6.370961699020011
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3997.0978222997373
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8831:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3371399260350056, b_new = -1.5937852601803781, c_new = 6.18475587499585
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12302.195118502783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8832:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2640745847459574, b_new = -1.7896721021444084, c_new = 7.24277876555145
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12784.889658875178
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8833:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.387290540640267, b_new = -1.8582480271953101, c_new = 6.217928650992126
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12285.000419472823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8834:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.856362664224834, b_new = -1.2274323358821997, c_new = 6.567720810018203
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3874.93985170868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8835:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3075483426247536, b_new = -0.702827162579997, c_new = 6.74297275661268
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8291.349689531247
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8836:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6317395053459203, b_new = -0.8719919504521934, c_new = 5.385892195216867
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7405.634312795351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8837:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.368330090697739, b_new = -2.064069474581241, c_new = 6.244728626125367
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5627.810230855384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8838:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5977014456146095, b_new = -1.5387545770075948, c_new = 6.060803536217024
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9414.400547363879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8839:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9634847373154574, b_new = -0.8885850806624795, c_new = 5.926540085520885
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3025.288828258827
Acceptance probability: 3.5149278500540655e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8840:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5077458302708595, b_new = -0.6894415785007517, c_new = 6.878942050522251
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8658.012682265666
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8841:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.726472016404857, b_new = -1.6013461361901884, c_new = 6.551058263091313
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6985.330240650814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8842:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.482272689934472, b_new = -0.7712852995238505, c_new = 5.967403920777591
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10704.590793138024
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8843:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.264385504299493, b_new = -0.9807597301243902, c_new = 6.516755028925728
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11914.99414278732
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8844:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5437626276921783, b_new = -1.1635543934103507, c_new = 6.402517252518281
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9281.222660473413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8845:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9575557268165813, b_new = -1.2712841733130433, c_new = 6.960929444331626
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3106.0753841734954
Acceptance probability: 2.889089321722107e-40
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8846:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.221343519948817, b_new = -1.2663497900974572, c_new = 6.539740125663578
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4850.489300063282
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8847:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.612298547058934, b_new = -1.9360833756906128, c_new = 6.095267954877727
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10095.661523907653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8848:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1887298246209506, b_new = -0.9344620997736577, c_new = 6.81561633737185
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5111.674601141462
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8849:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7275101762304934, b_new = -0.941005495593372, c_new = 6.73547088367113
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12861.058349750158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8850:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4779323889486147, b_new = -2.3433146332423496, c_new = 6.600403570462937
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7254.850762656259
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8851:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3296410291313334, b_new = -1.2471619980523854, c_new = 5.323578991770293
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12107.4972425669
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8852:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0107057847972936, b_new = -1.739496764670665, c_new = 6.346999920308997
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3154.73783258384
Acceptance probability: 2.122893212991916e-61
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8853:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.685646704657783, b_new = -1.3245954932231276, c_new = 6.797237707356665
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12025.737293786657
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8854:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1088520040346093, b_new = -1.774329146312162, c_new = 6.608825570241868
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3076.020353128567
Acceptance probability: 3.2620837388384965e-27
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8855:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.236238327218615, b_new = -1.216717719488879, c_new = 6.385631429798128
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5176.358987964734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8856:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.853785035659846, b_new = -1.36877058664473, c_new = 5.941584596829161
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12912.65817450889
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8857:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.358591021941083, b_new = -1.3428995846087703, c_new = 7.221713001322365
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7742.001878497833
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8858:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1903980570455954, b_new = -0.9263529195505209, c_new = 6.4400119706352035
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5036.131795184451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8859:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.199435278876554, b_new = -1.8779105102424452, c_new = 6.491566528700649
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13460.181727512756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8860:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1603940852043246, b_new = -0.8314698899102153, c_new = 7.461339210615222
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5063.758152582519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8861:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.735227061184704, b_new = 0.1920102516367168, c_new = 6.135296064284553
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3507.021536903165
Acceptance probability: 2.148123757411544e-214
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8862:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5884631463405183, b_new = -1.6159397532038802, c_new = 6.462429429272331
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9583.435261167066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8863:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.498425546233614, b_new = -1.2860336687196139, c_new = 7.284072622573938
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10345.394517663892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8864:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6083578471798132, b_new = -1.1498083267086154, c_new = 6.538976560387104
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11544.511164931631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8865:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.73511270095685, b_new = -1.1740172750942444, c_new = 6.616698494316766
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5683.375718985879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8866:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7040753717155277, b_new = -0.934619420613509, c_new = 6.669639942434953
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5694.10432467841
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8867:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.330377252935531, b_new = -1.7916077557026457, c_new = 6.890142883750873
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5764.385848649336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8868:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.890914449744347, b_new = -1.1278860257626375, c_new = 7.470130856174856
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3336.948271496393
Acceptance probability: 1.5629316420369024e-140
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8869:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.345666291604344, b_new = -1.7207505159121201, c_new = 5.940489858391644
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12482.846661024934
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8870:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7854426694163728, b_new = -1.6160931912202479, c_new = 6.303350331448833
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12234.704309806004
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8871:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.892227975460877, b_new = -0.5239696443953196, c_new = 7.178047628987276
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13430.523221810136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8872:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.617853843335196, b_new = -1.011610755075568, c_new = 5.970087511208346
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11676.262348513075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8873:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.951798754519871, b_new = -1.0748701476819735, c_new = 6.8213675602988895
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3065.7659604063415
Acceptance probability: 9.26661841619791e-23
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8874:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.296163028130917, b_new = -1.2342355549464379, c_new = 6.135101902682285
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6250.438380907151
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8875:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9595312357742167, b_new = -1.6589671991977193, c_new = 5.936554214060181
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13194.449395993688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8876:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.808167075595196, b_new = -1.697510584282083, c_new = 6.078016212798864
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12226.840942713452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8877:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.566542340589048, b_new = -0.8719830351613858, c_new = 6.071093622294851
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8373.073875165115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8878:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6417917206243886, b_new = -0.7549849236153281, c_new = 5.708701786054902
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6790.041018003937
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8879:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3813485442580804, b_new = -1.1774024250518402, c_new = 6.013080274759225
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11349.039896780361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8880:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4940113260003107, b_new = -1.2964140184455297, c_new = 6.3996866147572575
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9949.164084186323
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8881:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.050437680418813, b_new = -2.129715743454499, c_new = 6.242090989889089
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3223.500249485265
Acceptance probability: 2.909309505812241e-91
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8882:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.322733810162843, b_new = -1.728987368625386, c_new = 6.601866394156368
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5668.8871021739815
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8883:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.553136646165621, b_new = -1.6230328654603485, c_new = 6.790180145329024
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10195.824257380458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8884:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8892414886308164, b_new = -0.8444543031734799, c_new = 6.428464386823809
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3220.679031074726
Acceptance probability: 4.886855684418891e-90
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.032186244155803, b_new = -2.117967296020007, c_new = 6.582232602056277
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13238.888892056704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.661447384059471, b_new = -1.283623595134154, c_new = 5.979902334152246
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7676.234504842519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2120589732004117, b_new = -1.4420299583683953, c_new = 6.573225295741196
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4359.969067169057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7074753141003742, b_new = -0.33578238059508836, c_new = 6.515284666396833
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13466.983682532298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7274196152628867, b_new = -0.6507617380832537, c_new = 6.744593323140328
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4656.903100947895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7261403393819905, b_new = -1.712327013752673, c_new = 6.31381398593726
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11640.796029892734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8732245227346036, b_new = -1.1705268819214347, c_new = 6.022103376440052
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3702.6027731153004
Acceptance probability: 2.467218696859539e-299
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8574576950828616, b_new = -1.9462198821425356, c_new = 5.61549408494972
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12126.659854013904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.03511935563666, b_new = -2.0702788689681446, c_new = 6.7456212009583805
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13348.365485382808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.368722646070048, b_new = -1.133008076221495, c_new = 6.3804917777077605
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11291.64401703608
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.209671639358032, b_new = -2.0968925375566005, c_new = 5.82155915438472
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3332.6583165249713
Acceptance probability: 1.140364674101407e-138
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6818746737232173, b_new = -1.3661627579932378, c_new = 5.9262325060639585
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7504.787991950092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.558666830612604, b_new = -1.355195516559293, c_new = 6.081184828382429
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9581.155797712461
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6803563267521593, b_new = -1.4077265927342328, c_new = 6.680191808885217
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7369.250613957264
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8994067381906268, b_new = -1.0984806443062245, c_new = 6.247233388157507
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3360.4920251216327
Acceptance probability: 9.311458263036724e-151
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2334517722291367, b_new = -1.477926953480144, c_new = 6.099977439959674
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4491.110144531454
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.841984843724739, b_new = -0.8323576996253288, c_new = 6.004425613760992
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3606.9841215743295
Acceptance probability: 8.295840219046581e-258
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.902065326607894, b_new = -0.5446533401063404, c_new = 5.83040581110231
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3069.7377959500877
Acceptance probability: 1.745721739388119e-24
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8083585419787647, b_new = -0.9746769727405968, c_new = 6.954422540170989
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4019.961886187831
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.136129917851125, b_new = -2.09090655270938, c_new = 6.39805968152555
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3045.2690223817067
Acceptance probability: 7.389726411435716e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.390647049097916, b_new = -1.8883000922846218, c_new = 6.500189289542275
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12222.187512694532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7536377809312684, b_new = -1.2306060414731745, c_new = 6.590231458257922
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12609.249193290103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.32438191409252, b_new = -1.2481202619519585, c_new = 5.815281952506034
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12011.922429654203
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8439984265797245, b_new = -0.8382374532744721, c_new = 6.076635035557808
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3584.7534982351535
Acceptance probability: 3.745393256914425e-248
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.795672073571877, b_new = -0.23297158272788154, c_new = 7.2983158818098985
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -14306.989278918283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.406299068198334, b_new = -0.5273985287657119, c_new = 5.784630724659067
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10146.115320186498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0116453734669664, b_new = -1.215880844424542, c_new = 5.788712103860098
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Acceptance probability: 12.194319746473292
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.277277022263882, b_new = -1.9292722926677928, c_new = 6.393868910001506
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4381.12674151726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9331189648623552, b_new = -0.6869280622734653, c_new = 5.663717783265306
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3038.3825084807254
Acceptance probability: 5.932609572617368e-12
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1544990700976734, b_new = -0.31389678035742086, c_new = 5.646018055965428
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5570.566478030074
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6595294359420505, b_new = -1.3379422776524477, c_new = 5.372920681077883
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8087.305855319293
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.231893421058578, b_new = -0.9477075846752099, c_new = 5.326481214765209
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5387.450202202217
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.197553396583578, b_new = -1.0348668489943378, c_new = 5.745103996331156
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4709.66289743307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8739530835056533, b_new = -1.4224877646593808, c_new = 6.2349794445089035
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4015.7800704498395
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9339447026554, b_new = -2.5813963364403456, c_new = 6.297657501825882
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5395.483892171891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.456674530908668, b_new = -1.0173703812813542, c_new = 5.594684578631299
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10386.624921272589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.480476821972993, b_new = -0.9475093928033531, c_new = 6.274694224062292
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9745.44292359134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.469213644631497, b_new = -0.573716376083304, c_new = 5.325005612020245
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9449.536886824502
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.330260355898297, b_new = -0.7687470055333261, c_new = 5.422905356987766
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11344.514390756905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6182176564134116, b_new = -1.2741719758339556, c_new = 5.890420497638027
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8503.625600828911
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.462488363860586, b_new = -0.8821565929027064, c_new = 5.8272671425106415
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9985.2793946991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.043909958622164, b_new = -1.6968082520668402, c_new = 6.227792342274304
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13665.402003342151
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0608278664387703, b_new = -1.4914623111221605, c_new = 6.461467220650511
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3037.5253699413497
Acceptance probability: 1.3979650247372154e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.462445147950885, b_new = -0.7940464858517229, c_new = 5.95243281217463
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9777.173497945292
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.836813711866046, b_new = -1.0799347633302983, c_new = 5.90946989093575
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4015.498328658126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7037190815926455, b_new = -1.8197148516289516, c_new = 6.689256299910403
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7993.459442080728
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.888387554174175, b_new = -1.516343742000046, c_new = 5.671225993170106
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12875.209027733632
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3041395604234634, b_new = -1.4905443340833566, c_new = 6.038612303797907
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12441.68910986803
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4982620880108977, b_new = -1.2201263704757601, c_new = 5.886204407799243
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10174.726714570033
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5392880675825698, b_new = -0.41342946651057266, c_new = 5.175321811188913
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8064.243446965949
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5492556060883906, b_new = -0.9407440040133942, c_new = 6.408437008061056
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8707.081197736255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2759918417756415, b_new = -1.0115604018969817, c_new = 5.512698965316655
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6191.367921336825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3041524138143608, b_new = -0.6593151090577104, c_new = 4.767753349529846
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11598.32727322982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.112258934604557, b_new = -1.2389275222465108, c_new = 5.001240494026138
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14136.673121186252
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8613007735259075, b_new = -0.8111505574991824, c_new = 6.2704577345814485
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14006.994174419686
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.695771217078273, b_new = -1.3372250379732442, c_new = 5.877286060612523
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7160.36876739744
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8703091850047784, b_new = -0.8141827744561965, c_new = 5.2765039582611974
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3430.77171874368
Acceptance probability: 2.294969893393449e-182
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9685533785086617, b_new = -1.5368083105388013, c_new = 5.691710377381512
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3315.9109471219135
Acceptance probability: 1.7545926068884035e-132
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3532650249966443, b_new = -1.4957672428830557, c_new = 6.013276323083419
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12085.537584203643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1006399075708506, b_new = -0.9998400778593225, c_new = 4.557618663828761
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3362.352509272182
Acceptance probability: 1.1881249673212888e-152
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4918694169308893, b_new = -1.2357206587884966, c_new = 5.535295116296325
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10398.49397402767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7193716549108475, b_new = -1.234387415690126, c_new = 5.06672775212887
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11928.299810223525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.414417555787381, b_new = -1.463081157226158, c_new = 5.218261495873865
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7780.09147571697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.206136767532548, b_new = -1.449035462144006, c_new = 5.985716657677578
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4123.0710554862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5603871706885664, b_new = -1.4937462212504475, c_new = 5.571092639417701
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10135.871820804328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5563542952947365, b_new = -1.0293653729181713, c_new = 6.199628427299227
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11127.665340846812
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.326739610064343, b_new = -0.9573465710195569, c_new = 5.803482463280226
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7566.514063880912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374399019425911, b_new = -1.5376013520139098, c_new = 5.292599525242076
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6782.7887990744575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.247966648913133, b_new = -0.5733268041038099, c_new = 5.810215558128236
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11657.037540321944
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.490517456255786, b_new = -0.161660755592403, c_new = 5.879684483599165
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8086.069157196876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1819164262386117, b_new = -0.3447337969903982, c_new = 5.951741037124367
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11817.273613253727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.138918839358305, b_new = -1.393583680136482, c_new = 4.795422640407119
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3318.67560326441
Acceptance probability: 1.1053540021949678e-133
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1929842698278086, b_new = -1.2147903765032897, c_new = 6.101637215401525
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4380.167106265917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8897924953481438, b_new = -1.7993639142600801, c_new = 5.456673176260787
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14921.237313377722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.469271797947426, b_new = -1.4769522468957987, c_new = 6.772979233115631
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9318.181701102749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3334165161569125, b_new = -2.0721431374037977, c_new = 5.763783130091791
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13085.500417101084
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.440630127556777, b_new = -1.3460842940574052, c_new = 6.244427081667344
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10966.501782026446
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2745355889710184, b_new = -1.0408689550648407, c_new = 6.215622949084165
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6347.965126847534
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.771887360200305, b_new = -1.6158349547711066, c_new = 6.717801020809332
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6020.218953366179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2185836664549683, b_new = -1.7306338680023754, c_new = 6.885926057023186
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4026.8309560165976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1242323485291528, b_new = -2.1689247777974816, c_new = 5.063886802537073
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3078.852500075376
Acceptance probability: 1.5752581526555575e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1899368493671703, b_new = -0.910561637601579, c_new = 5.205761347388322
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4689.787158149148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.461798651440171, b_new = -0.8551252014632705, c_new = 6.064196696261214
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9868.722109783985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.448236107431404, b_new = -0.7022082611806876, c_new = 6.219274697614428
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9699.702599207654
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6865858956859068, b_new = -0.9767318123001427, c_new = 6.324779304895535
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6248.220495415633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.640206722361006, b_new = -0.5111030586630223, c_new = 6.666508758613712
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5919.927380279315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.336091466515539, b_new = -1.5819119155573933, c_new = 5.194876732997765
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12570.988817688474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6916214517381096, b_new = -2.0916970475977297, c_new = 5.399567504592835
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9452.328858140325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2225059182374123, b_new = -1.1192906364571475, c_new = 5.5137278351465095
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4882.899468694353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.633915775153016, b_new = -0.47523247872627017, c_new = 4.999690721857848
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12325.831536418398
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0991841795273154, b_new = -1.4383431330732506, c_new = 5.911122930543595
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3154.54130586003
Acceptance probability: 2.118951624116312e-62
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1810223460215106, b_new = -1.1362286504358738, c_new = 6.193207372014383
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4374.4647337438555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0228352767384425, b_new = -0.529518269590427, c_new = 5.702112107590869
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3386.975056445697
Acceptance probability: 2.4067210385469796e-163
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8305697003124686, b_new = -1.6119574265966992, c_new = 5.841042215819073
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5157.035203890511
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1690901172226145, b_new = -1.0161110024072295, c_new = 6.057154171830967
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4388.2064169186215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.237137123922069, b_new = -1.1374779845904412, c_new = 5.760185854818353
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5176.412525252252
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.101847943303203, b_new = -1.1341550514257428, c_new = 4.836185823088241
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3284.8552282232104
Acceptance probability: 5.388943674320437e-119
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7862632768891658, b_new = -0.4301070439201409, c_new = 6.498706079331501
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3628.2806026833305
Acceptance probability: 3.8349399754246557e-268
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.429564191167617, b_new = -0.7740330999949436, c_new = 6.213795249675735
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10065.099475963843
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.53879334684181, b_new = -1.440808382664971, c_new = 6.294964305773816
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9959.892563412324
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5724535513189597, b_new = -0.8583042592129444, c_new = 5.452093824651292
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8452.433264985895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8031905183681274, b_new = -1.415075724992454, c_new = 6.054026130815289
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5139.030955122817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.451372160201407, b_new = -1.5290308940420012, c_new = 5.8054621758880245
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8531.881697773315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.197174275932635, b_new = -1.154714343349786, c_new = 6.226058974371754
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14820.215963002991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.219310174824408, b_new = -0.9964347443508232, c_new = 5.958822715324315
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12403.675759380294
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.551747649259857, b_new = -1.6767640982206204, c_new = 5.788417636338641
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9743.850605182897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7587386016664666, b_new = -1.6345680021866358, c_new = 4.799694717364269
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7070.332127815337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.493185771729586, b_new = -0.9395385775179941, c_new = 6.358125212243175
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10644.486304709006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.800416492111185, b_new = -2.0462104088857833, c_new = 5.555204467255584
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7029.730115125516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9849718983571276, b_new = -1.24121467368532, c_new = 5.821864308511779
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3051.7699770220115
Acceptance probability: 9.102109462494024e-18
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.775964416909325, b_new = -0.5130018215852911, c_new = 5.227683993332333
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4043.6012351535246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7768459938727528, b_new = -0.87107269081069, c_new = 6.3890853365787645
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4387.737151387499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.583565901990742, b_new = -1.7089993120876492, c_new = 6.020334918036935
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10004.165314999187
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8425519168843305, b_new = -1.7480976012078697, c_new = 5.961136367243154
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5215.679036949412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.144260848192406, b_new = -0.7901763249377475, c_new = 6.657308488690905
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4622.865270281006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9000:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6354966626216703, b_new = -0.7330357397802421, c_new = 5.817099118411672
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6822.732397398565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9001:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.179487578754729, b_new = -1.0773523273000718, c_new = 4.882065215322856
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4141.6371270574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9002:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0179718029787654, b_new = -0.8963696827990795, c_new = 5.196939661742597
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3060.2123052869147
Acceptance probability: 1.961938882023514e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9003:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7958290425390184, b_new = -1.3401731607827017, c_new = 5.312886944424064
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12404.935016203865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9004:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3778746601363028, b_new = -1.497808508371759, c_new = 5.936490399587207
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11906.944441808142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9005:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3161315064205104, b_new = -1.1379611933472176, c_new = 6.180741397487823
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11817.593885428401
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9006:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7955391352528256, b_new = -0.46239189133821745, c_new = 7.364395575317701
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14065.8661126052
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9007:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.983542241941974, b_new = -1.248123120940571, c_new = 5.735284163860217
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13720.212021102685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9008:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.744236419679762, b_new = -0.9960659158456248, c_new = 5.103777848380588
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12443.529939675918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9009:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2915124569745347, b_new = -1.252942409350439, c_new = 5.46134704319013
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5856.563236211321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9010:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.163180784262208, b_new = -1.4501998404074978, c_new = 5.381419216734338
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14236.218856636035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9011:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4300526412115726, b_new = -1.552638691647681, c_new = 5.713945955096939
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8037.902204360637
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9012:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.253286859802476, b_new = -2.2425669058378537, c_new = 6.309090533520352
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3608.588134284726
Acceptance probability: 1.3680089267416345e-259
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9013:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.647884833294166, b_new = -1.895507177090542, c_new = 5.534859855780618
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10393.284759382399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9014:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0977739826883934, b_new = -1.4028775735405417, c_new = 4.9515076667506746
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3104.774624981204
Acceptance probability: 8.699933442945602e-41
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9015:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8832413174881975, b_new = -1.4834520145323025, c_new = 5.741866850558112
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4099.203286156232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9016:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0515475351904358, b_new = -1.3101111617708465, c_new = 5.912172350427769
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3043.7980823074686
Acceptance probability: 2.6381041608381656e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9017:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.78866291782501, b_new = -0.9155231209467494, c_new = 5.6741358864352565
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12997.184670408791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9018:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5933481427319127, b_new = -1.3271170815557916, c_new = 6.152945750482209
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8964.933403920251
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9019:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1860212415487807, b_new = -1.7987682490907388, c_new = 6.137183113404579
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13531.308324311896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9020:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6017884477263467, b_new = -1.1058844936968066, c_new = 5.593102829384884
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8488.972061032415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9021:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.059868068918169, b_new = -0.9416959889217718, c_new = 6.4478975353622525
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3367.4021835534704
Acceptance probability: 7.617569872388714e-155
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9022:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5880676855684133, b_new = -1.3678363249748675, c_new = 5.353942631240799
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10607.517622121344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9023:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2130020614994415, b_new = -0.9678530116237716, c_new = 5.601106172751512
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5077.991516629726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9024:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.65853071541797, b_new = -0.8890414506324222, c_new = 5.900725728395859
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6732.003777125865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9025:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2214785509195005, b_new = -1.1768283486891695, c_new = 6.1423278500597265
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4927.248447812093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9026:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.478202719385486, b_new = -0.8912025445800704, c_new = 6.273140326835259
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9665.21226853393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9027:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6489491522786834, b_new = -1.1317872315330604, c_new = 6.218268767218683
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7440.746211981128
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9028:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1574855056167843, b_new = -1.1804791391919092, c_new = 5.9507047819262775
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3926.0121039557557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9029:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9895840419177557, b_new = -1.0957259926126162, c_new = 5.894793396814489
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3017.806297798903
Acceptance probability: 0.005121303640475879
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9030:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.572329248614164, b_new = -0.7693312805076089, c_new = 6.333164393460294
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7940.602809313562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9031:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.174764309483124, b_new = -0.4099349392100877, c_new = 5.559446956614417
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12053.526662519951
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9032:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0924261435225353, b_new = -1.024904617098871, c_new = 5.477216031357663
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13333.35307288654
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9033:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.884404363296214, b_new = -1.2511343800647696, c_new = 5.543566620238482
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3772.183538915355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9034:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.790298620315886, b_new = -0.07556529872147344, c_new = 5.059905562161195
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3399.3404420930638
Acceptance probability: 1.0261409072083034e-168
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9035:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3579070377271454, b_new = -1.3039350679744952, c_new = 6.033398987454928
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11754.699086056082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9036:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.601025334344867, b_new = -1.1610827405609345, c_new = 6.338517371826102
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11393.762408887042
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9037:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.838496967876607, b_new = -1.224839963289831, c_new = 5.864954567250625
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4240.886611421026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9038:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6769573968947267, b_new = -2.1001783169140644, c_new = 5.424080000486627
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9712.533476654718
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9039:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.71239393668716, b_new = -0.9276673324321267, c_new = 6.398696270886036
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5599.32774387149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9040:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.459521933904719, b_new = -0.8761018434714505, c_new = 6.144512580383209
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10270.013353873912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9041:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.085941396366023, b_new = -1.0679618496911045, c_new = 5.980557473994781
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3370.551300412098
Acceptance probability: 3.2671748094234136e-156
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9042:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.614346701572363, b_new = -0.35516563024336856, c_new = 5.032165909559116
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12357.179773480857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9043:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.495802893045225, b_new = -1.3505902661513314, c_new = 6.101730624178433
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9755.990826383208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9044:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1362402469450563, b_new = -1.7763752497629564, c_new = 4.458533662067238
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3087.155385942787
Acceptance probability: 3.9035003250902314e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9045:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8005999555021655, b_new = -1.7465211238627538, c_new = 5.240429290435012
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6305.296879700272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9046:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.149658914507987, b_new = -1.3348524535230348, c_new = 5.454275754791578
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13375.911512266963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9047:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.918589549097471, b_new = -0.7952225792672251, c_new = 6.649825743008908
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3081.254221580987
Acceptance probability: 1.42658396769622e-30
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9048:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2839516816507683, b_new = -1.022253077115418, c_new = 5.925860013824551
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6492.787437516457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9049:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9917021803679393, b_new = -0.7765845719175908, c_new = 5.95294724954784
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3080.0154933117014
Acceptance probability: 4.923457472258026e-30
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9050:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.986527227860086, b_new = -0.7122829350262659, c_new = 4.646218075532596
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3024.574951990021
Acceptance probability: 5.88560837021552e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9051:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.807864230370937, b_new = -1.5933299452469534, c_new = 5.664118126665885
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12251.626421467281
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9052:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0847299967514195, b_new = -0.629375229159333, c_new = 6.603248005759633
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4058.746369547152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9053:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2836284775452, b_new = -1.288555173119735, c_new = 5.3610233771753055
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5572.10324925432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9054:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.85949861618817, b_new = -0.9855398045498918, c_new = 6.229220433890513
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13489.722768241847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9055:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.557628183175912, b_new = -0.9039810489428233, c_new = 5.641422361447789
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11179.584132650936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9056:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.95425700512142, b_new = -1.425941749577694, c_new = 5.7651176653163265
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3308.922910203497
Acceptance probability: 1.9012628752834874e-129
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9057:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.352092067503008, b_new = -1.1092171834547502, c_new = 5.3586179250598525
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11700.30809087798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9058:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.153581520555418, b_new = -1.2368059833636222, c_new = 6.41150773605246
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3891.985203279352
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9059:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5628414351080533, b_new = -1.4795308330922525, c_new = 6.26006489207274
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9725.374493285704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9060:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5015214134661035, b_new = -2.172153277168966, c_new = 5.193792643976394
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12112.165727575102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9061:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5528559555312453, b_new = -1.9923764583503467, c_new = 5.25234334257491
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8947.373008986384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9062:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.704990020622516, b_new = -1.539278375756185, c_new = 5.944954166389186
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11615.092254638703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9063:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.007697581646618, b_new = -1.819981221829492, c_new = 5.68927592914936
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3299.077556593572
Acceptance probability: 3.587772636829761e-125
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9064:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7593198613093723, b_new = -1.31655113938452, c_new = 5.3564966986258495
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5974.867474175664
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9065:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0574897726254626, b_new = -1.4511065140721284, c_new = 5.866342936119344
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3021.6789056582274
Acceptance probability: 0.00010654382933921087
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9066:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3304969085309133, b_new = -1.8278309887923787, c_new = 6.483563917368477
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5537.766651954001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9067:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4993293850140987, b_new = -2.2749382837500436, c_new = 6.015094544471068
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7641.566521797578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9068:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374510222102169, b_new = -1.264450839408635, c_new = 5.491152423332367
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7600.254510441897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9069:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.606566597205407, b_new = -1.5377231159025855, c_new = 4.959632527699211
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9676.465504137184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9070:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.512142314142336, b_new = -0.9529030692799263, c_new = 5.315065375796884
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9643.146464530573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9071:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.029766134417108, b_new = -0.6641767761923826, c_new = 5.921007586030744
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3339.25568819781
Acceptance probability: 1.2755105772400194e-142
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9072:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.426533652704186, b_new = -0.9810130098027919, c_new = 5.973088378703661
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9491.834207847984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9073:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0685374881878107, b_new = -1.2269617381760773, c_new = 6.016621000676422
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3145.2264891668606
Acceptance probability: 2.352309874304385e-58
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9074:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0206638088210926, b_new = -2.022056614710892, c_new = 5.691188776086996
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3396.856846373897
Acceptance probability: 1.2297559068213033e-167
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9075:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2383473806074803, b_new = -1.1007016505879132, c_new = 5.770800495161258
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5288.392345091585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9076:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.354601703724634, b_new = -0.13309687786318936, c_new = 5.529022199614642
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10173.176387097366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9077:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.271459737702475, b_new = -2.3789053061928787, c_new = 6.293278392039041
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3625.8739633297537
Acceptance probability: 4.255482039976105e-267
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9078:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.683936477476277, b_new = -0.8473738758599009, c_new = 5.894996045898775
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6117.125494049604
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9079:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.575804338761343, b_new = -1.7494675663440327, c_new = 5.898967579439295
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9944.166822469791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9080:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4987958695840065, b_new = -1.729860828626495, c_new = 5.117989137105565
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8632.651953175158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9081:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3546496665267536, b_new = -0.8996609515096055, c_new = 6.356252428293847
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11057.81550798798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9082:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.790944427038559, b_new = -1.7730973309287723, c_new = 5.631833343073144
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6433.5172071938705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9083:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.208466090330704, b_new = -1.1022595983098853, c_new = 5.623411485919869
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4714.582271354341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9084:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.291837783452474, b_new = -1.1689059037120204, c_new = 5.941046705918187
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12118.002325221714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9085:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8131698006159356, b_new = -1.1924600247287225, c_new = 5.50034006794141
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12757.440760300935
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9086:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6591195891787938, b_new = -1.2427106212214616, c_new = 6.527153627560443
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11846.358758453278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9087:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7514907953119152, b_new = -1.0988838655246163, c_new = 5.730409670321472
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14753.183006308102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9088:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.105659662947218, b_new = -1.7864122030283838, c_new = 5.875601140449868
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3037.7559533517287
Acceptance probability: 1.1100823647501189e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9089:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.450675511957801, b_new = -1.3456480126745343, c_new = 6.1204664044725
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9081.312251650474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9090:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.560634226219057, b_new = -1.3166081400383662, c_new = 5.354705236145848
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10397.211286535134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9091:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.679528793066329, b_new = -0.8108901901853356, c_new = 5.634479614180801
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12377.798760701384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9092:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.971698476703189, b_new = -1.4513462545631333, c_new = 5.871927881052081
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3208.651377382342
Acceptance probability: 6.705259101328096e-86
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9093:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.06605681321645, b_new = -0.7900618767194139, c_new = 6.9822054363818635
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3692.4412569825818
Acceptance probability: 5.237697993030361e-296
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9094:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.718895859692399, b_new = -1.6132383447418248, c_new = 5.295717028678315
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7662.142059249793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9095:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.177412940251874, b_new = -1.9925323910675639, c_new = 5.293987023930083
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13770.440596371338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9096:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2527615678177706, b_new = -0.7883801671309564, c_new = 6.121069583573383
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6546.109333510853
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9097:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8510786691731433, b_new = -0.6513931702247183, c_new = 5.754974362278716
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3375.7179568965275
Acceptance probability: 1.8634681352381084e-158
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9098:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0904447444107506, b_new = -0.9758649033868003, c_new = 5.758295266242796
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3468.730161186423
Acceptance probability: 7.5099128654231795e-199
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9099:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.063466210585508, b_new = -0.6401864462002342, c_new = 4.9596723435797285
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14486.029891305636
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9100:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0805360563408346, b_new = -1.062754797325556, c_new = 5.507792882702075
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3276.861585694004
Acceptance probability: 1.5962410862292191e-115
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9101:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4983822755391705, b_new = -1.951952479693372, c_new = 5.732415833493076
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11589.219494741072
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9102:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2444825321671664, b_new = -2.0165689403924834, c_new = 6.22405267965361
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13436.74145852471
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9103:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374464684826154, b_new = -1.3064237979647584, c_new = 5.712091678136256
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7569.463683796386
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9104:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2485407473782804, b_new = -1.461850391821176, c_new = 5.9462733899840385
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12805.798074928509
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9105:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8509131720309036, b_new = -1.5202301534543778, c_new = 6.438312167862376
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4460.395455060776
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9106:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.657185241966957, b_new = -2.2305670972121305, c_new = 5.46481551196058
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10304.887532004313
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9107:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.718574239225597, b_new = -1.1246871867992339, c_new = 5.9155657683088245
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12310.401519518684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9108:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6502818700010247, b_new = 0.13845611018894677, c_new = 5.123385273214069
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4749.809565727986
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9109:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.215371851212122, b_new = -1.2300513114632146, c_new = 6.011938230804356
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4673.549535709106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9110:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1557503914819796, b_new = -0.5799214044355051, c_new = 6.605366978960633
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5276.75015422303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9111:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.469626118592657, b_new = -0.6655622576597087, c_new = 5.65055055103155
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9525.36414509242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9112:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.261707255089466, b_new = -1.694468819949145, c_new = 6.378650330690221
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4583.49237239006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9113:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1023341702227616, b_new = -1.4204856489350803, c_new = 6.196477850420138
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3208.4203990758188
Acceptance probability: 8.44749937409161e-86
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9114:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7796388795923446, b_new = -0.8548364059166065, c_new = 6.009522797612898
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4401.012581077504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9115:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3903862305614, b_new = -0.5707233226033703, c_new = 5.58513519555067
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9730.523700496364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9116:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1476628813769336, b_new = -1.0349983496491009, c_new = 6.327178413626409
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4122.300929501844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9117:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.855864174824933, b_new = -0.71978437305005, c_new = 6.429382735998461
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3338.1357702743844
Acceptance probability: 3.908933108992155e-142
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9118:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4739697522278536, b_new = -0.6723887564250766, c_new = 6.039553124150864
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10821.078216744105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9119:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.471700177011587, b_new = -0.8075880633957906, c_new = 5.147828183989732
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10224.325204028248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9120:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.550892849304895, b_new = -1.5236371847053296, c_new = 5.961361706526468
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10087.486523741914
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9121:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8614590536890643, b_new = -0.9602362010090234, c_new = 6.018030854227885
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3566.0948560678503
Acceptance probability: 3.896594192232221e-241
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9122:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1180106361079853, b_new = -1.4200335966293087, c_new = 5.951268803797104
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13516.849693052018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9123:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.388745121775123, b_new = -1.441465816047811, c_new = 6.1656778209288365
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7674.089160245151
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9124:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.701402957355676, b_new = -0.5947370565420672, c_new = 6.047781137862217
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5148.54173601866
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9125:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4729621112376585, b_new = -0.5051153037042223, c_new = 5.9412872347070325
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9067.579635303506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9126:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.847280848248293, b_new = -0.7265594490642056, c_new = 5.740198604994867
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3478.308267555194
Acceptance probability: 5.198956157219557e-203
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9127:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3896012130788957, b_new = -0.39214189573415725, c_new = 5.861521646779558
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9943.066766003132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9128:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.845594956819451, b_new = -0.3691295144650315, c_new = 4.793755454563107
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13738.71946396097
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9129:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.734020124438115, b_new = -0.937216188302761, c_new = 5.640110634237146
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5440.609349140272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9130:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0795354856541626, b_new = -0.964764635435603, c_new = 5.519950574564496
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3358.6097720830153
Acceptance probability: 5.015476856467078e-151
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9131:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6649128854094783, b_new = -1.2844487742663353, c_new = 5.584146284670443
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7757.606404354952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9132:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1363611644718103, b_new = -1.51751393901637, c_new = 6.07805806542183
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3335.059030236642
Acceptance probability: 8.477532420940091e-141
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9133:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.120567332643394, b_new = -1.747895132922587, c_new = 5.932474733893379
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3089.710228269865
Acceptance probability: 3.033194746292655e-34
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9134:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.26486784259606, b_new = -1.4492997126398195, c_new = 5.014155646027739
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4765.892810526917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9135:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5100878250448213, b_new = -1.2154762039169056, c_new = 5.016912449672111
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10304.580472867192
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9136:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.234411225068922, b_new = -1.1046659321434895, c_new = 5.464921438080659
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12569.334678464911
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9137:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7674417823821416, b_new = -0.565744043716427, c_new = 6.452821061172462
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4010.69101569544
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9138:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.765904637995496, b_new = -1.1211554826154095, c_new = 4.939386860834862
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5495.396843956243
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9139:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.573434384010385, b_new = -1.0737275218200988, c_new = 5.552565693699023
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8911.419743646673
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9140:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0124240670957363, b_new = -1.396882682752071, c_new = 6.510167863162433
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3022.517099729679
Acceptance probability: 4.6079233038916144e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9141:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.470598842740089, b_new = -0.8723869402676308, c_new = 6.691745403921265
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10617.600796518702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9142:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.817444059635409, b_new = -2.362866495161475, c_new = 6.33323928010213
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7251.8586111076
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9143:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9201577613066756, b_new = -0.3280864292726424, c_new = 5.106270528505661
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3036.3299501317247
Acceptance probability: 4.62019741663015e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9144:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8798050524132552, b_new = -1.237859125722005, c_new = 6.115055531250733
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3705.239586136794
Acceptance probability: 1.4484273740736643e-301
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9145:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1999345137153123, b_new = -1.002188601013091, c_new = 6.530484373017667
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5062.124318667397
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9146:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.744262559426442, b_new = -0.8303876380331732, c_new = 6.14603893507473
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4878.882111032528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9147:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0218128266583517, b_new = -0.4318071950360499, c_new = 6.175734355363802
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3567.997229847892
Acceptance probability: 5.814263952135676e-242
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9148:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.245976665571059, b_new = -1.8271601173263499, c_new = 5.657433114055018
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3968.6456348695447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9149:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5628370386599624, b_new = -0.5350776995140332, c_new = 5.764895832475595
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7738.494761017521
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9150:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.120515799896188, b_new = -1.5183591412417465, c_new = 5.976140227416324
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3220.543558080999
Acceptance probability: 4.588884312261978e-91
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9151:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4198962974109666, b_new = -1.7645729942839599, c_new = 6.599880340287769
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11759.871118524816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9152:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5290187130019137, b_new = -0.05052847086155743, c_new = 5.118703445840366
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7406.36477348844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9153:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1514972832695682, b_new = -0.8465041101573769, c_new = 5.09014949500643
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12877.948217174897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9154:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4388955304485407, b_new = -1.4549067672201237, c_new = 6.8512930015505304
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10992.24325096422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9155:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1735310131706074, b_new = -0.5270892162045027, c_new = 6.875734555530439
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11894.343984915486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9156:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031290713298917, b_new = -0.5104318810516844, c_new = 6.0221414122222106
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3529.8478252968757
Acceptance probability: 2.1506544058217203e-225
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9157:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.867432462739547, b_new = -1.6717296010460898, c_new = 5.571291057820041
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4731.03512411571
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9158:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.292630402291547, b_new = -0.9094382199903781, c_new = 4.869955178512929
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6591.288278312205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9159:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2145485080652394, b_new = -1.1520774999269956, c_new = 6.0437127531074015
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12611.606058443325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9160:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0166841137454, b_new = -1.004333123573852, c_new = 5.1539810742978345
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3025.6124234397766
Acceptance probability: 2.085562623032781e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9161:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7910258987170113, b_new = -0.7949297697746451, c_new = 5.574984323222647
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13136.64114833228
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9162:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5848248813033963, b_new = -1.4564505401494128, c_new = 5.531951857262712
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9611.616381986301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9163:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4589534766961876, b_new = -1.0159062629222018, c_new = 6.784108681490407
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10198.64526416333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9164:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.650526518873913, b_new = -1.7560464994864522, c_new = 5.158542272211667
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9413.217618664157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9165:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.478970727044409, b_new = -0.7116432379625879, c_new = 5.2953484249827465
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9605.916860573816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9166:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.477161514376666, b_new = -1.1656909984367019, c_new = 5.546588698897193
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9692.494358301718
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9167:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.214730475095359, b_new = -1.3748869810711004, c_new = 5.007099453681363
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13159.867820589796
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9168:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.310369499114207, b_new = -0.807337082112731, c_new = 5.8680025050531635
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7668.16134887174
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9169:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.494684033728274, b_new = -1.2684162391670957, c_new = 5.719274769635749
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10367.240092248798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9170:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3994297858575777, b_new = 0.008179834930160723, c_new = 6.077488126829342
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11279.99039304837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9171:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.846210875536578, b_new = -1.58789816745098, c_new = 6.394861451579466
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4677.377812874353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9172:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.426846137431846, b_new = -0.595584496729284, c_new = 5.646737672889047
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9935.605386950852
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9173:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2909278700439764, b_new = -1.2417413578248397, c_new = 6.044780116266137
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6084.015212632773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9174:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.314430742773459, b_new = -0.8651747500780322, c_new = 5.42629781579552
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7408.454706540333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9175:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3067180903142157, b_new = -1.4835473380984059, c_new = 5.575731721690776
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5617.839137839947
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9176:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8356599191057623, b_new = -1.6818235200856064, c_new = 5.433664785620722
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5358.158619780019
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9177:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1575731544799472, b_new = -0.2920382377528198, c_new = 6.748718383061332
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6124.677006755223
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9178:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8401176374490182, b_new = -0.827294730491435, c_new = 5.883470842340296
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13473.545886954298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9179:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4283206860884983, b_new = -1.5662122867175643, c_new = 5.90319305979228
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11570.046587546834
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9180:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2537228568259318, b_new = -0.9910635589990751, c_new = 5.641519189458824
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5822.120065852427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9181:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0282503492570236, b_new = -1.474114146965391, c_new = 5.417768720636625
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3036.9342336112736
Acceptance probability: 2.5247800638405066e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9182:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2435175417889512, b_new = -1.5270394622945402, c_new = 5.792795560994663
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4473.162836703122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9183:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8552757234553217, b_new = -0.953674589584427, c_new = 6.063978590724144
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3611.0679456350636
Acceptance probability: 1.145830941875045e-260
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9184:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0770370706506465, b_new = -1.2383906738551071, c_new = 4.700194821778498
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3087.8540726562887
Acceptance probability: 1.940968269123481e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9185:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8536453241727466, b_new = -0.8737166110905645, c_new = 4.934648401630965
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13247.284476518875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9186:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8351903566233654, b_new = -1.2596328956984981, c_new = 5.751111410434574
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4377.142350257434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9187:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.322959580843137, b_new = -0.990142828912967, c_new = 6.363365408884987
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7622.104200231183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9188:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8252786545464574, b_new = -1.7041937342522149, c_new = 6.40176883028233
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12424.141811486079
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9189:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5227086714647595, b_new = -0.6850857780514998, c_new = 5.873093801188253
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8732.962921997198
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9190:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.250447757319361, b_new = -0.9775254615837119, c_new = 5.943102512560327
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12163.074852989985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9191:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3717720189881604, b_new = -1.0841985416770201, c_new = 6.039139673113974
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11281.789612279545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9192:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3512100264635056, b_new = -1.0934673018256351, c_new = 5.832972609967881
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11546.222757524642
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9193:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.599875572052276, b_new = -2.252536053821486, c_new = 6.037145061228268
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10907.023360013562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9194:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7528657868642594, b_new = -0.5595152519286978, c_new = 5.232228875307998
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4440.588198267826
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9195:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8676470194104478, b_new = -1.590867000840726, c_new = 5.372260318949455
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12577.652365665966
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9196:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4121059858133536, b_new = 0.007493399225422692, c_new = 5.898808013385558
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11359.032072576272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9197:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5863543073339366, b_new = -0.809106807250205, c_new = 5.871257638782861
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11684.594967882329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9198:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0614401514318392, b_new = -1.1561060120579247, c_new = 5.8950437702261835
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13535.100346049006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9199:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.918649313899295, b_new = -1.678024979076167, c_new = 6.288840488862007
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3850.394646918776
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9200:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.558638471975733, b_new = -2.0286067342711096, c_new = 5.295496880416912
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11221.427182258212
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9201:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.73583289628689, b_new = -1.52307529535391, c_new = 6.69832991535773
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12105.351299626305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9202:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2343846135346412, b_new = -0.6527215490265317, c_new = 6.142748364219529
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11789.478609925183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9203:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.193039393028913, b_new = -1.6553418257624686, c_new = 4.61339357600071
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3476.7940000695153
Acceptance probability: 2.36349217180317e-202
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9204:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.555122532346419, b_new = -1.2993981859531616, c_new = 5.286885246736682
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9784.55932150012
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9205:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3773075775813535, b_new = -0.5937556180729541, c_new = 6.43115220614024
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10280.707556749305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9206:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8239209788492508, b_new = -0.6836702672992909, c_new = 5.624475732488117
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3663.320804814498
Acceptance probability: 2.322694761297203e-283
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9207:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1697958438797613, b_new = -0.8002973334503095, c_new = 5.617638057335775
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12570.936816453665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9208:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.817900127061572, b_new = -0.9020613085317826, c_new = 5.594970467740875
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13174.616690279441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9209:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8096933642287256, b_new = -0.8193805153166162, c_new = 5.860792164115758
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3966.6900497420424
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9210:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.932756473687268, b_new = -1.0872466325822856, c_new = 5.910409690495763
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3174.519820688579
Acceptance probability: 4.462336277162039e-71
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9211:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8643163060336745, b_new = -1.8938950593015773, c_new = 5.064448451344138
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5457.085946698954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9212:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2266206324740407, b_new = -2.3084118333934764, c_new = 4.719066731818826
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3228.4692007489703
Acceptance probability: 1.65822795684639e-94
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9213:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9019707437289983, b_new = -0.09935937361930836, c_new = 6.424888235406037
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3167.8597279814417
Acceptance probability: 3.4834036843282925e-68
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9214:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7706528606629646, b_new = -1.1790339874407845, c_new = 5.298631329273799
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12438.150321664629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9215:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2020211021235108, b_new = -0.9758916484798937, c_new = 5.341128591943657
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4791.8167842203375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9216:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1881818957310584, b_new = -1.409614669078603, c_new = 4.990452338859034
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3768.1734461879914
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9217:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8242906367404164, b_new = -1.0620998685698384, c_new = 5.94487371141531
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13110.833218199334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9218:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6433617236424123, b_new = -1.1261016727757054, c_new = 4.7283278979530055
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11361.032582508
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9219:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.153322114628596, b_new = -2.360770524548312, c_new = 6.3290353926710345
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14230.49335127362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9220:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4238959839430962, b_new = -1.8556357386801259, c_new = 5.398239445757802
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12226.480238550332
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9221:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.87718973460567, b_new = -1.4702135011113848, c_new = 6.01354197962025
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4097.372615557798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9222:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.268676963187194, b_new = -0.7830564608493019, c_new = 6.006873522955858
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11737.368333949884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9223:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5164380119469323, b_new = -1.2311833346657797, c_new = 6.321347364892349
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10347.415747627541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9224:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.157441965990367, b_new = -1.1854253346713157, c_new = 5.849819289540428
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14560.90137657438
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9225:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1330138783178705, b_new = -1.1383362586671883, c_new = 5.901439020133117
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3700.363106036156
Acceptance probability: 1.899875414880568e-299
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9226:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.613526904006887, b_new = -0.9772837107337732, c_new = 5.110775845570377
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11434.05566651712
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9227:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.073353637564381, b_new = -0.5861325467350991, c_new = 4.982742948967477
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13063.246201452655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9228:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.49858056034552, b_new = -1.5556223556883524, c_new = 6.108238133801075
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9356.696962101509
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9229:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230764751721415, b_new = -1.5130595043451267, c_new = 6.223450879053419
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4415.44277323612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9230:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.908359500437441, b_new = -0.8482880162338999, c_new = 4.563207004468526
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3267.7945291855144
Acceptance probability: 1.3831557732756312e-111
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9231:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.443421072901775, b_new = -0.8696430089739062, c_new = 4.525599734423942
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9488.035771078185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9232:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0585231819455094, b_new = -2.1337846794949504, c_new = 5.744896089473943
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14536.86768022105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9233:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8286339930806776, b_new = -1.1632102760433995, c_new = 6.624777411260351
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4111.935800720086
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9234:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.060633295695176, b_new = -0.9857441883589173, c_new = 5.8560262543637185
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3254.2969648482954
Acceptance probability: 1.0064421216989774e-105
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9235:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.513696423237763, b_new = -1.675478749645053, c_new = 5.447955799915329
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9099.498978897027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9236:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6205191408432036, b_new = -1.6772897273394316, c_new = 6.273874927598485
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10696.117077802322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.69865291007822, b_new = -1.2001029321293584, c_new = 5.8183430223362755
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6755.085788009714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.076244707683334, b_new = -1.313234256541691, c_new = 6.255389980881196
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3150.460771618719
Acceptance probability: 1.2539336182027943e-60
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0171844794632516, b_new = -0.7960848942015868, c_new = 6.5806206642418275
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3237.817261289806
Acceptance probability: 1.444884470928474e-98
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.90857120180124, b_new = -1.103815055156876, c_new = 5.815461035857004
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3344.2760377230697
Acceptance probability: 8.421199738907592e-145
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6486735097038023, b_new = -0.800009523573745, c_new = 5.6468458158150865
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6788.787045216861
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.311441478091868, b_new = -0.7812420328131893, c_new = 6.463657030137457
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8022.6414289479835
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.045739296590186, b_new = -0.09199557933429636, c_new = 5.821590735261883
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4277.959008867388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.924980576957108, b_new = -0.704171850077941, c_new = 5.050341032762303
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3071.70725011614
Acceptance probability: 1.997534850466732e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.236829322375536, b_new = -1.137626229359717, c_new = 6.501045534444975
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12328.042162212072
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.905686180511291, b_new = -2.013537640941418, c_new = 6.096024154802237
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12484.574299538397
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1412075235497876, b_new = -1.8652281482579571, c_new = 6.020369127162605
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3120.255137592423
Acceptance probability: 1.645942752926822e-47
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801264071402887, b_new = -0.7735685382510049, c_new = 5.803689221826472
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4013.0816663099113
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.679241232399242, b_new = -1.2024377296679665, c_new = 6.147892731151804
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7041.839942080833
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.731114463837383, b_new = -1.2592797524846617, c_new = 6.1327370926671865
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6132.013629277605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3144817075848723, b_new = -1.356365371807851, c_new = 5.406703444653981
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6045.487245869728
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.992762885622849, b_new = -0.6353299313720783, c_new = 5.021118356023342
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14208.818776990556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0925672098625223, b_new = -1.2785270690134976, c_new = 6.6151827230744
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3309.5345869590437
Acceptance probability: 1.031322109959524e-129
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4203188515332226, b_new = -1.020452814650568, c_new = 6.875893494660601
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9644.436799415465
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.208591863054922, b_new = -1.7243900979106712, c_new = 4.865475568294238
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3572.530435028395
Acceptance probability: 6.248111174514446e-244
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6866024287246772, b_new = -1.315033012488457, c_new = 6.113800279116016
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7202.188026804057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1699664129699796, b_new = -1.4410287338755525, c_new = 5.7679046817579644
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3665.5200936754045
Acceptance probability: 2.5754500067443478e-284
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.056958989765673, b_new = -1.762282003615772, c_new = 6.04367032229516
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3033.41892898448
Acceptance probability: 8.489868312466133e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.244570597563978, b_new = -0.5516908129085565, c_new = 6.095453538023254
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -15424.853064815825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2690624853540378, b_new = -1.508706163128189, c_new = 5.909881079609902
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4959.500908796358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6477404735899936, b_new = -0.9245403030683919, c_new = 5.689005619917493
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11981.56540891688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.683724634533481, b_new = -1.4687171469453026, c_new = 5.615197730018725
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11444.54343016596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1183303044134454, b_new = -0.45359659995290513, c_new = 5.302497310943466
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12552.669078831696
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2767049098055363, b_new = -0.45123260882312377, c_new = 5.816399709365658
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7948.858282723943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.320166825642396, b_new = -2.4673291242826227, c_new = 6.070140555608016
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4013.107972724596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.331959340618116, b_new = -0.5476187263575841, c_new = 5.325191186398219
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10999.226962640168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2809852438585674, b_new = -0.4534283367041617, c_new = 5.982772523293534
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8110.483505815092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.515574160724057, b_new = -1.5688716772163656, c_new = 6.44345811320424
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9691.413467439808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0905641441880345, b_new = -0.3453761958913474, c_new = 6.411857842376848
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4618.076736604908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2963392574508026, b_new = -0.9660852593952126, c_new = 6.119529552701517
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11746.145409679313
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.028566019279199, b_new = -0.4810814673565226, c_new = 5.254071678929809
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3411.7964310119464
Acceptance probability: 3.9961312790457804e-174
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9508336275255167, b_new = -1.0324718331835858, c_new = 6.040691020241171
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3071.1055304304928
Acceptance probability: 3.6460104091230346e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1767615024288585, b_new = -0.6401293551686185, c_new = 5.681076753779849
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5204.704731490419
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.388120591832695, b_new = -2.5993986635466175, c_new = 5.9991245233400905
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4744.230106921212
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5528818568140554, b_new = -1.2589652666324564, c_new = 5.990505066435313
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10614.249404893268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.964694732972281, b_new = -1.559650428234584, c_new = 6.364562951124782
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13444.088858377256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.700796047772508, b_new = -1.7038661351564492, c_new = 5.53324844267118
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8190.974220050431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8853859636988832, b_new = -1.2371273889024692, c_new = 6.331211079863569
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3614.197784309754
Acceptance probability: 5.0101286756495325e-262
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7962329417828653, b_new = -1.2119879865322614, c_new = 5.853467711512479
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4874.433433370708
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.018667193231089, b_new = -1.6779410465262785, c_new = 6.628938530090069
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13660.17048878131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.882771007847615, b_new = -0.8727510681907937, c_new = 5.722603262429349
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3338.9405027502444
Acceptance probability: 1.748104396334235e-142
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.078178383607278, b_new = -1.3366280282534462, c_new = 6.760423164727346
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13441.659524549943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5512127480853053, b_new = -1.279753469393956, c_new = 6.34022078941148
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -15370.658080726891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.248585477673635, b_new = -2.2912047532639894, c_new = 5.385521059603472
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13946.377854152259
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5359086762151617, b_new = -1.6428695346767772, c_new = 5.701085534227652
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10598.712008301964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304480721740186, b_new = -0.6745795270176622, c_new = 6.636927684877487
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8260.75820695272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.19581661978988, b_new = -1.3300333013104795, c_new = 6.035684345647163
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4196.811227651984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0097162075582347, b_new = -0.5793629798715891, c_new = 4.955393267515883
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3171.590065198105
Acceptance probability: 8.354855403555127e-70
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.17636933460576, b_new = -2.0492943849514234, c_new = 6.3640922077851325
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3208.0695736463204
Acceptance probability: 1.199747120916015e-85
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.81890429009197, b_new = -0.9170080627204311, c_new = 5.439687274761925
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4083.2112955145185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.467700686145236, b_new = -1.426827140039635, c_new = 5.983301774939931
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9120.747886634133
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9292:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8831336252165776, b_new = -1.6418884344660423, c_new = 5.338601582955697
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4486.288297654398
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9293:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.874718689428814, b_new = -1.133303033242683, c_new = 6.102673982806561
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3628.3819585814394
Acceptance probability: 3.4652954113477056e-268
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9294:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.083464404472482, b_new = -0.8603907368183558, c_new = 5.936972199290978
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13087.404493064103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9295:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.844617903631542, b_new = -1.015110410146516, c_new = 6.423389951923496
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3742.3314261816795
Acceptance probability: 1.127497e-317
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9296:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6164364738826187, b_new = -0.6841103195332665, c_new = 6.2944459027479365
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12269.035104812318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9297:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.635506530653486, b_new = -1.6056875294793536, c_new = 6.025913072168284
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8968.305562016434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9298:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7928201991927746, b_new = -1.5215330262354625, c_new = 6.251691617933165
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12399.11395683344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9299:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7532577772456244, b_new = -0.9811618980891619, c_new = 6.215133362916211
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5023.152745602678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9300:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5058048675332616, b_new = -1.4756754834586716, c_new = 6.266020531313844
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9689.237674331634
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9301:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4161476954497902, b_new = -0.9917971515204056, c_new = 5.498080292431308
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10832.787335763713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9302:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1014484380776595, b_new = -0.6447027464220545, c_new = 4.940288923905879
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3858.580204319005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9303:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0476871721883096, b_new = -0.9640672133582863, c_new = 6.06592413964133
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13362.40648664039
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9304:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5201285526123485, b_new = -1.5865614120441984, c_new = 6.4872690161901945
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9732.994453511297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9305:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.242488240759349, b_new = -1.8077730153189626, c_new = 5.081118115380653
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3852.8289745329253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9306:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5771559522798815, b_new = -1.4678823304662136, c_new = 5.395416950214544
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10324.428635460456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9307:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2136967567100596, b_new = -1.7556445272239336, c_new = 5.781573718095921
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3720.3828478611895
Acceptance probability: 3.839385488740488e-308
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9308:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2596929139735558, b_new = -1.6516963947947172, c_new = 5.72265873008202
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4467.351708816351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9309:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4869292284546027, b_new = -2.295714725194104, c_new = 5.007856359917108
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12503.77085365928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9310:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.250986179328032, b_new = -0.6151308610678267, c_new = 5.9807918840031125
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6952.681426193145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9311:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.113306713377786, b_new = -1.2796300681949806, c_new = 5.103132221355489
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3270.2295852385378
Acceptance probability: 1.2115453828696254e-112
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9312:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8586417593852396, b_new = -0.8252455815382763, c_new = 6.123294298557403
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3437.4444195836822
Acceptance probability: 2.903085578847496e-185
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9313:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5665470073957235, b_new = -1.2984525632860073, c_new = 5.268071794724853
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9625.765857472954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9314:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.738612742078293, b_new = -0.9948329478821607, c_new = 6.310194874506728
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5289.085111087529
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9315:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.095860290735044, b_new = -0.985796599855503, c_new = 5.8359858239291595
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3517.2838501131973
Acceptance probability: 6.15227473681408e-220
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9316:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.519864789184541, b_new = 0.5552222303051941, c_new = 5.523205915104474
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13109.082487041183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9317:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8020127498441973, b_new = -0.2822232573121284, c_new = 5.704514983240748
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3429.502142295738
Acceptance probability: 8.168588869982679e-182
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9318:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3528424397845247, b_new = -1.679205962795923, c_new = 5.167148306660953
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5924.198253905596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9319:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4139458627052344, b_new = -1.7067248464141438, c_new = 6.632478575873112
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7654.013970014343
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9320:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9010315201855814, b_new = -1.6898304571069347, c_new = 5.893742963214995
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12799.867054650793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9321:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.391582939135284, b_new = -1.1276483261895849, c_new = 6.714301655149628
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10964.529601968608
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9322:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4629094039077786, b_new = -1.9181880446864383, c_new = 5.872426946800495
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11833.088172106674
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9323:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.73406974861524, b_new = -1.2603417787259306, c_new = 5.713680934124987
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6219.339069888122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9324:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.349961580583497, b_new = -1.924400668268087, c_new = 5.913238524780445
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5500.978098876683
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9325:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1586336786374147, b_new = -1.2533002553796784, c_new = 5.928106383564552
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3826.726094618253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9326:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8193974405360533, b_new = -1.3877222540962606, c_new = 5.328577105624465
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12506.2776375106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9327:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.199162008673487, b_new = -0.8302243032165253, c_new = 5.5724709287415335
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12425.98278400422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9328:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.929687707709131, b_new = -1.3405785030317594, c_new = 6.018975398624653
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3380.3531051142036
Acceptance probability: 1.8084340565591033e-160
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9329:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8046115601603607, b_new = -1.713690900658563, c_new = 4.992227495017784
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11896.530015514307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9330:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304546024233665, b_new = -0.8597254969492536, c_new = 5.186359237387817
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7112.195134908814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9331:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2831302066939103, b_new = -1.8788819338713452, c_new = 5.812375825349785
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4421.9217803715965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9332:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9940218427560545, b_new = -0.756131037365003, c_new = 6.470936263667084
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13325.057558240904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9333:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.007308269821102, b_new = -1.441219138710696, c_new = 5.268643112191593
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13522.614907570345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9334:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1997030348019626, b_new = -1.095618613262787, c_new = 5.939135602041519
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4674.4510674308
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9335:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1724573350680654, b_new = -0.9017851350512313, c_new = 5.1622973517667194
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4421.364296713681
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9336:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.947243054769435, b_new = -1.163327806513349, c_new = 5.978419461320778
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3144.2061646818042
Acceptance probability: 6.525530520279726e-58
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9337:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.978756049837094, b_new = -1.0429330744936987, c_new = 6.052708749713568
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3022.8225044948895
Acceptance probability: 3.3952334241648684e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9338:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.969483802965286, b_new = -0.9575776604351911, c_new = 6.207090987814843
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3027.209571709306
Acceptance probability: 4.222703173834654e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9339:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.166994341374009, b_new = -1.3638420882583033, c_new = 5.892202698982289
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3758.023413495378
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9340:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4902856642331015, b_new = -1.3183065571385613, c_new = 5.42594308403401
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10613.006140051371
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9341:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9468011366526112, b_new = -1.328281908873835, c_new = 5.159031254698886
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3348.3531434027427
Acceptance probability: 1.4279383892891867e-146
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9342:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2223693370652087, b_new = -0.6042619762305849, c_new = 4.899227874677225
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5923.5463128898255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9343:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6754256509093772, b_new = -1.1006427999299748, c_new = 5.818340070063444
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11984.269461670174
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9344:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.18864135830175, b_new = -1.4205367394903072, c_new = 6.232505017738908
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3997.263066840297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9345:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0566561044679386, b_new = -1.6319098938330128, c_new = 6.314400748434936
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3013.4600432268517
Acceptance probability: 0.39530736279632905
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9346:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.414139263896815, b_new = -1.1331506244138625, c_new = 6.08582088033388
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8957.287738782485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9347:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.051340515454753, b_new = -1.4799772178271002, c_new = 6.450122314861986
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13786.95211291769
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9348:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5911402423766523, b_new = -1.4520795063626084, c_new = 5.95017115235562
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9358.64878386186
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9349:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.551112559942262, b_new = -1.2743040395531489, c_new = 5.367013773664908
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9759.54610172427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9350:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.205022131288558, b_new = -0.6582501702335813, c_new = 5.7052398451803095
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5716.007580838583
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9351:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2905382770239897, b_new = -1.0771164360779382, c_new = 6.931942144474563
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11738.547235970032
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9352:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.103075058137199, b_new = -0.4072441823788162, c_new = 6.046028074829755
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4576.000766870735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9353:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9563342238985912, b_new = -2.044195333976342, c_new = 6.676258429590936
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3875.2110098532135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9354:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.896662984179781, b_new = -1.329303490269897, c_new = 5.595748519641707
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3735.681498944437
Acceptance probability: 8.712483587e-315
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9355:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2635218268645394, b_new = -1.1580611817010114, c_new = 5.25739572593419
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12494.829260708837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9356:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.887500263290267, b_new = -1.230637140347819, c_new = 5.516059992224316
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13172.74105265103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9357:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.770801897485044, b_new = -0.43364999320446707, c_new = 4.985690222266734
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4033.7367883358565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9358:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.863013515378181, b_new = -1.0191974662255856, c_new = 6.659942640149931
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3534.1609416128226
Acceptance probability: 2.880102951820831e-227
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9359:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.948723309389155, b_new = -0.1697420548212305, c_new = 5.042077760062726
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14480.193991340744
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9360:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.761741774550442, b_new = -1.7064896830860394, c_new = 5.4297784778785525
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6954.805563260012
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9361:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.720009256711291, b_new = -0.4439063531538546, c_new = 6.443113293195533
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4459.101937553551
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9362:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.385349374515835, b_new = -0.2809481892046678, c_new = 5.743675701864044
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9825.24970274818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9363:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4942114540336724, b_new = -1.191094786878346, c_new = 5.766946235586958
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9951.783533753134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9364:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.541733601127589, b_new = -1.5620655994912256, c_new = 5.178339153053357
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10544.40012129038
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9365:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0006705718822717, b_new = -1.9421306844322972, c_new = 5.492836663962707
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14641.04053609486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9366:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2143257852240725, b_new = -1.6782698478426679, c_new = 6.177836887101082
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13223.449437749463
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9367:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.889600813893458, b_new = -1.8133069070935997, c_new = 6.074860409442781
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12623.496378950107
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9368:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8373423171702212, b_new = -1.4855277888786496, c_new = 5.750258829284532
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4788.137451218341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9369:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7404291289441898, b_new = -0.1634135762478517, c_new = 5.889817092232777
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13699.96288666579
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9370:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7506439751745058, b_new = -0.7462810978786683, c_new = 5.852396790050867
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13018.67752732386
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9371:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.685123239912521, b_new = -1.8056438584727785, c_new = 5.745674636074974
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8686.99237128593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9372:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.990337160152058, b_new = -0.7103329605080057, c_new = 5.467265630112985
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3069.639357268077
Acceptance probability: 1.579678903285625e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9373:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.101496367111849, b_new = -1.3759475509843906, c_new = 5.7866450652624035
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3195.216972714025
Acceptance probability: 4.5803997196104036e-80
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9374:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.957334432876409, b_new = -1.917495619668217, c_new = 6.398415600881271
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3736.350935637458
Acceptance probability: 4.460764657e-315
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9375:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.139116985686459, b_new = -1.2740604351799556, c_new = 5.381270675483286
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3507.6589388648554
Acceptance probability: 9.31282763810142e-216
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9376:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.60624010149756, b_new = -1.7215978093240625, c_new = 5.949381446877187
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10366.545938650652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9377:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3272281352188147, b_new = -0.91016862250943, c_new = 5.51431977138149
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7593.954316383659
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9378:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.269352794559861, b_new = -0.6528243043069342, c_new = 6.277363723443343
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7383.158736825099
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9379:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.394495159485698, b_new = -1.6892019942602747, c_new = 5.776537084376658
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12104.650636771868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9380:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.806346334800345, b_new = -0.5318823556827146, c_new = 5.84379962746669
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3628.357999914431
Acceptance probability: 3.5493218313537216e-268
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9381:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.203763707406663, b_new = 0.013972130071961741, c_new = 6.03079551107387
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7799.777120864236
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9382:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.514217408995476, b_new = -0.9514202880552309, c_new = 5.5855435452606415
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10609.589202549974
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9383:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.769850116512244, b_new = -1.4323109687330344, c_new = 5.270563691341092
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6092.355097830814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9384:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9028187578640776, b_new = -0.9020331291069779, c_new = 5.030192984693204
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3297.151766155822
Acceptance probability: 2.4614163081259642e-124
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9385:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.001039890673891, b_new = -1.2253655261373504, c_new = 4.774401002889043
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3052.7279831474643
Acceptance probability: 3.492088810701175e-18
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9386:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2995374075586934, b_new = -1.1865218602704564, c_new = 5.236063783883548
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12278.246715558142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9387:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.010149300981423, b_new = -0.46563912282299036, c_new = 5.734649479250683
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14618.731773907108
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9388:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.84135359749639, b_new = -0.6776544750899657, c_new = 5.104947046587715
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3562.0051037405756
Acceptance probability: 2.3272446841716358e-239
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9389:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2739348216095, b_new = -1.8238240101868555, c_new = 5.001653334964016
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4209.638299193681
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9390:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.977746922499689, b_new = -0.8740996020145103, c_new = 5.041326883074123
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3013.890419493418
Acceptance probability: 0.2570542955742364
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9391:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4245970737071296, b_new = -0.6278143584887718, c_new = 5.3024850816879665
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10128.971156968595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9392:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9375534678169677, b_new = -1.5184961369567858, c_new = 5.24959609103422
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14556.317641069127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9393:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1987993912077615, b_new = -0.2382945971109678, c_new = 5.9539445344494375
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6872.38427143192
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9394:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5351953173973616, b_new = -1.4744382911599503, c_new = 5.593026705257546
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10308.43452011362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9395:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0468089172867825, b_new = -0.5401287087810828, c_new = 5.85057991096629
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3603.855093927541
Acceptance probability: 1.5546128067821718e-257
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9396:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7384521987410864, b_new = -0.9892187299335378, c_new = 5.30946039505491
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5584.133683986041
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9397:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2721675139400856, b_new = -1.0478736086741436, c_new = 6.5693660758866335
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11934.428163983008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9398:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0433190997515362, b_new = -1.5140482003710256, c_new = 6.553171553603432
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3016.419242045114
Acceptance probability: 0.02050081779343329
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9399:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.005091839160445, b_new = -0.8474902729021999, c_new = 5.967615261543513
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3091.2547917378033
Acceptance probability: 6.472989521956995e-35
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9400:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.5121724137013395, b_new = -1.0665846708660567, c_new = 5.697520187343386
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -15684.996442172109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9401:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6163821865918058, b_new = -0.8153263836585529, c_new = 5.7734762657056695
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11909.534396577994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9402:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.047160542413199, b_new = -1.749773184797919, c_new = 5.5880043959214465
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3074.2875136350017
Acceptance probability: 1.5132133251526259e-27
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9403:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.693294192443781, b_new = 0.030525224275908425, c_new = 5.772845121146497
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4180.281799776949
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9404:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6048743714333322, b_new = -1.8550654098380361, c_new = 5.753642781233509
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10052.657062051607
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9405:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.050004789951118, b_new = -1.1343540683640996, c_new = 6.091836673835005
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14225.795147099987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9406:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.540531473950827, b_new = -1.3294465085981757, c_new = 5.66516213448742
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10236.132661003492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9407:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1086492355985653, b_new = -0.7688264909220383, c_new = 5.722889494885707
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3921.769332056093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9408:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0368886588025226, b_new = -0.7873334057702542, c_new = 6.230567677590235
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13192.516381237001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9409:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.860022342126981, b_new = -1.1205182163967686, c_new = 5.137558129505781
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3944.625707866227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9410:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4191521590380076, b_new = -0.744923766112384, c_new = 6.257699380518336
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10121.915166411698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9411:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.939180078505648, b_new = -0.22184653374096475, c_new = 5.778897952456309
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14571.204068154017
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9412:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.43305171114049, b_new = -0.9050727938627144, c_new = 5.813933423002077
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10386.826976476686
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9413:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4244285213359933, b_new = -0.9495489092528676, c_new = 4.892815871063578
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9135.490211830416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9414:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7217221021330027, b_new = -1.4583072600355191, c_new = 5.198673068757744
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11664.334402530778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9415:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.200365972120479, b_new = -1.191347724506434, c_new = 4.922274121933509
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4243.052641116883
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9416:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.380597149216719, b_new = -0.5734794653338867, c_new = 5.96628005470949
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9713.710579769993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9417:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2251576520278404, b_new = -0.6190147006303902, c_new = 5.288423573915284
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6088.206414423219
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9418:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3122471104511026, b_new = -1.4146401923488359, c_new = 5.812579008743509
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5988.755351362652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9419:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.633521218717906, b_new = -0.19411535918206613, c_new = 6.091051217595836
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5484.096091804318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9420:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2181176296684875, b_new = -1.3976425739455447, c_new = 5.934561366085605
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4369.339480247163
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9421:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.341795774794626, b_new = -1.0389722110239006, c_new = 5.557549446122458
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7560.315649701994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9422:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9248095737434436, b_new = -0.7914572629097555, c_new = 5.9610346481404575
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3072.4769073977386
Acceptance probability: 9.252017695157425e-27
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9423:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.606498225733512, b_new = -0.6542654243151675, c_new = 5.978941417917695
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7139.010499003152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9424:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2635660368686756, b_new = -2.0559817921404893, c_new = 6.249446052755705
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3956.0106019647346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9425:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3003501276521563, b_new = -0.8210795257474008, c_new = 5.787119298607585
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7373.787888361394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9426:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.705845823380007, b_new = -0.9713164344899676, c_new = 5.337380719636404
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12266.087865645066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9427:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.61680622643013, b_new = -2.2431669418249385, c_new = 5.678696807273178
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10802.116187673179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9428:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.79998179904088, b_new = -0.6126527669843275, c_new = 6.523421530288863
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3696.9232644364015
Acceptance probability: 5.924195040613406e-298
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9429:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.902932049134587, b_new = -0.6901771033136354, c_new = 5.460636105801838
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3125.579943836642
Acceptance probability: 8.0145797913134145e-50
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9430:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3820820491603976, b_new = -0.9222220121656288, c_new = 5.670048398762604
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8747.228426061523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9431:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1240966698515966, b_new = -1.171271388926183, c_new = 5.770050563860287
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3548.226237385906
Acceptance probability: 2.243508254111395e-233
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9432:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0677054013920237, b_new = -1.260387075470196, c_new = 5.363565384604161
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3079.619741034804
Acceptance probability: 7.313802372051172e-30
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9433:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4765869541299472, b_new = -0.3883685352449133, c_new = 5.69196572169575
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8852.017047332507
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9434:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3972177221161766, b_new = -1.6702045897047995, c_new = 5.862685918006982
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7111.901224797282
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9435:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.103020474380202, b_new = -0.08751617408397405, c_new = 5.0095056901563355
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4940.241503091286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9436:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8084249621940245, b_new = -1.8281173238781698, c_new = 5.459020396483554
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6278.856254865705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9437:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0205274517798397, b_new = -0.3640095814450981, c_new = 5.30909390894944
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3481.2792745158486
Acceptance probability: 2.6645521608298813e-204
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9438:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.474790405857476, b_new = -1.6490998789345066, c_new = 5.487119597341411
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11378.732343234857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9439:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.573722797474535, b_new = -0.7203771499019741, c_new = 5.363420853920342
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8127.540849243516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9440:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8176883022575905, b_new = -1.5205218580643711, c_new = 6.9762759016500215
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4855.7434156939125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9441:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8980792263451516, b_new = -0.709758982497535, c_new = 6.114100697539813
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13968.566743133806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9442:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.621056699452076, b_new = -2.402881553333952, c_new = 5.4201458229765365
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11171.627653033196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9443:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5677176148719156, b_new = -1.3125377443189894, c_new = 5.840816561644778
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9439.780589184644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9444:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.353740039839876, b_new = -1.8002444803807254, c_new = 5.192137973004564
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5650.032963802555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9445:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1717737308486957, b_new = -0.9431026659579631, c_new = 5.835770988455259
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12679.748601935873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9446:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1451944686075537, b_new = -0.22249134304442975, c_new = 6.772205447840927
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11731.185106215704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9447:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.500776614491123, b_new = -0.8547963701227932, c_new = 5.139838055912944
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10488.887259555882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9448:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2543614709475213, b_new = -1.1747094007121603, c_new = 6.088422265036785
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5522.183232549631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9449:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.049060264613076, b_new = -0.8756293879916808, c_new = 5.865628396334327
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14419.103261598195
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9450:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2474502625319124, b_new = -1.5425766108963106, c_new = 6.388819692698626
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12799.596776817425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9451:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7002894095158445, b_new = -1.2367130003230025, c_new = 5.210821250779379
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7045.111153502759
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9452:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.063518636333989, b_new = -0.950027507808381, c_new = 5.259674891966634
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3233.00228947326
Acceptance probability: 1.7821687080773643e-96
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9453:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4943107463278125, b_new = -0.5524112518723531, c_new = 5.315880029829392
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11029.23984155234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9454:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2187365839352804, b_new = -1.0926810406205953, c_new = 4.63800610854701
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12879.6970032157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9455:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2415568842807585, b_new = -1.1562189934187648, c_new = 5.545989381139396
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5146.978635373126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9456:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.214667734613467, b_new = -1.0575422258163194, c_new = 5.859973018373981
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14881.284107042788
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9457:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.232122509197573, b_new = -1.5899666170012738, c_new = 5.848653473747953
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4207.305429612498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9458:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4148684906975344, b_new = -1.153802748634715, c_new = 5.826521622453123
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11030.618932972022
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9459:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0884000210628986, b_new = -1.3530275569481707, c_new = 5.665019511375022
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3134.5771333331395
Acceptance probability: 9.918614382747026e-54
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9460:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4470090348686067, b_new = -0.9758874528994722, c_new = 4.962198725078925
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10625.60252497442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9461:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.102917503846413, b_new = -0.737567082455036, c_new = 6.104774376329303
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3987.995490273409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9462:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.625487963755556, b_new = -1.2699508003016153, c_new = 6.315488607858535
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8207.62516452105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9463:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.579988863489039, b_new = -0.9627935801160061, c_new = 6.107237831434718
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8343.875647006542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9464:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0830307169426203, b_new = -0.4131122643252547, c_new = 5.421563912991055
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12694.333881995202
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9465:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8655863888306854, b_new = -2.404500489743244, c_new = 5.80132784215646
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6524.566311065096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9466:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6626630716829824, b_new = -1.2668559225612492, c_new = 5.094459084078312
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7943.857559796569
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9467:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.449528000892159, b_new = -1.7967576507129968, c_new = 5.433828061421617
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7685.31902194258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9468:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.797269221052323, b_new = -1.912283451543746, c_new = 5.528241860521076
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11711.121313754751
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9469:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7995865130658286, b_new = -1.498788012798674, c_new = 6.304328067653609
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5321.960394112606
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9470:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0533632220595157, b_new = -1.1813813578297074, c_new = 6.404319291199905
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3138.6716699694553
Acceptance probability: 1.652784909471417e-55
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9471:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.288768710008811, b_new = -1.1260336928013897, c_new = 6.101315173938168
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6376.2125415286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9472:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9100117115038295, b_new = -0.9137508178712495, c_new = 5.540040070721978
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3213.083595445161
Acceptance probability: 7.971273622922069e-88
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9473:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1675577213151334, b_new = -1.4311759146028775, c_new = 5.468938445261307
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13383.231865083075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9474:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.854564178864541, b_new = -1.8073753456650907, c_new = 5.281529725895048
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12199.196303923702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9475:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.834692298856172, b_new = -1.4746767975892083, c_new = 5.581924880737673
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4857.726142091414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9476:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9877015129740205, b_new = -1.1756524216603597, c_new = 5.883788389634139
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3028.8933007053956
Acceptance probability: 7.84072717833663e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9477:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5527852615007154, b_new = -1.6181929437410232, c_new = 6.273436619858383
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10029.543622687772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9478:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8684050077747667, b_new = -0.4071416644896222, c_new = 4.480146767810545
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13735.01797537394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9479:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.537585104550367, b_new = -0.6993736486401004, c_new = 5.715232794423723
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11352.186002745215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9480:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.189327821100242, b_new = -0.8490837668376131, c_new = 5.474941906575197
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4888.073949131358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9481:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7994791476972365, b_new = -1.6686004625341133, c_new = 5.958881151954536
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5856.793312113314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9482:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1157319887006407, b_new = -1.0716799924091334, c_new = 5.684307545246535
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3574.042526047004
Acceptance probability: 1.3773869467975811e-244
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9483:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.759373466164882, b_new = -0.8190329547731601, c_new = 6.068624095779372
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4629.5444792223425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9484:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3116855918322674, b_new = -0.8904495043958555, c_new = 5.663778769321242
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7372.479873452106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9485:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.135690506074084, b_new = -1.8504881933324095, c_new = 5.654029209202882
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13958.481600764026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9486:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.337212052980412, b_new = -0.9486322303934291, c_new = 5.9709112518655
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11407.720313853782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9487:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.254231958084893, b_new = -0.653576833698082, c_new = 5.630953781742714
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -15277.081211855813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9488:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.147531852008159, b_new = -0.9560034343951105, c_new = 5.86621695237622
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4143.944404215391
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9489:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8065694429005346, b_new = -0.8137411880821809, c_new = 5.609882959205541
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4044.8532851416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9490:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5574954199687334, b_new = -0.4999899656561132, c_new = 6.410229671598461
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7542.674293851625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9491:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0662981611215128, b_new = -1.186581125915814, c_new = 5.711599682910805
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3133.0312245775904
Acceptance probability: 4.654045749310894e-53
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9492:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.79685869374861, b_new = -0.9744766903664716, c_new = 5.54619098585917
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4470.920099153275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9493:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2413894869631252, b_new = -1.0932728777519973, c_new = 5.092506605717235
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5148.704544623567
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9494:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3548437988772934, b_new = -0.6057571950184488, c_new = 6.489890884579454
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9402.680839846105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9495:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8217668797322593, b_new = -1.9796756309051011, c_new = 4.984394819098131
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6603.453631284689
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9496:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9077055540909975, b_new = -1.8157301935594883, c_new = 5.936064535213194
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12699.036082100125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9497:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7725945028204797, b_new = -1.7479968419033132, c_new = 5.814559571920596
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6686.47527216663
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9498:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.285415877432469, b_new = -1.1305778797091215, c_new = 5.717012214196429
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6145.59837537578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9499:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8140584670084134, b_new = -0.8409680908483446, c_new = 5.053242210478873
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4105.009183223598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9500:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.685131390504304, b_new = -2.3976878501121908, c_new = 5.272241626717939
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9875.414220793267
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9501:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7552192182667175, b_new = -2.244835651430151, c_new = 5.365527572920249
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8666.328309742814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9502:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.660022971003812, b_new = -0.46694578991187174, c_new = 5.5309921963099615
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5772.667179939064
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9503:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6262270533364784, b_new = -1.6482357044246947, c_new = 6.174298415896262
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9173.336563318631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9504:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.082694494222355, b_new = -2.263303637469753, c_new = 5.796948352356233
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3198.4660814426848
Acceptance probability: 1.777597322532767e-81
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9505:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.519627888109578, b_new = -0.7660095856018164, c_new = 6.147653289530728
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8869.26308862597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9506:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2032415446695137, b_new = -1.2686997182872874, c_new = 5.2911784837244475
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4232.820953979303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9507:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.879489019811813, b_new = -1.148182460059921, c_new = 5.81265087580946
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3643.5632404237585
Acceptance probability: 8.842871846878241e-275
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9508:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6650897094367885, b_new = -1.417057942774435, c_new = 5.692254744540366
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11381.206283155003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9509:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083317650378327, b_new = -2.0504904535671944, c_new = 5.092443791691126
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3136.3770928882586
Acceptance probability: 1.639602242343083e-54
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9510:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8917182846185825, b_new = -1.1200328822504289, c_new = 6.125382691104616
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3455.316839716421
Acceptance probability: 5.023037223105756e-193
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9511:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6221601750599213, b_new = 0.045345129173610665, c_new = 4.990835958967852
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5461.040507105254
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9512:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.671340449465125, b_new = -1.8159721436210479, c_new = 4.838852156677593
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10569.377312523977
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9513:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1221404489919835, b_new = -1.0181420077549532, c_new = 6.18472273691407
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3804.7117166939715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9514:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.291631554676079, b_new = -1.6001585138830128, c_new = 5.460446384484492
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5026.599482599102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9515:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0945394940063826, b_new = -1.0932432744133367, c_new = 5.717271768839155
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13339.438099035382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9516:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2429779149167257, b_new = -2.3771935138480123, c_new = 5.461844077019591
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3314.3794236387967
Acceptance probability: 8.115373130549127e-132
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9517:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1693542337095506, b_new = -1.2919786936417461, c_new = 6.361030733828429
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12985.354808449647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9518:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3880834047542945, b_new = -0.7768967891220209, c_new = 6.794978140305524
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9672.33435560889
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9519:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.424864767644025, b_new = -0.8906846787447358, c_new = 6.182809339028544
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9753.474394575489
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9520:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.244922446906455, b_new = -1.0499987407430482, c_new = 6.0002624941232074
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5618.194601768109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9521:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1853911612031296, b_new = -0.7416416863777116, c_new = 5.426452481214371
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5043.5163809808255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9522:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.595954203198373, b_new = -1.488037317340967, c_new = 5.182351212510005
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10432.898911355041
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9523:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.332928038380162, b_new = -0.4978264894787485, c_new = 5.743657853918839
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8967.10286304478
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9524:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.682822264606303, b_new = -1.0246679750933507, c_new = 5.859468302558366
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6604.38536509911
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9525:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5466717231506544, b_new = -1.5252078478629545, c_new = 5.277002291978767
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9813.016235197856
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9526:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3293699481164185, b_new = -0.3627583403672646, c_new = 5.249696421844526
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9058.276885009655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9527:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.229258827991414, b_new = -1.3881253386123553, c_new = 6.38333801793721
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4679.9940550476185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9528:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6105830961157914, b_new = -1.4406495783397684, c_new = 5.53528344662001
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9171.967412916922
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9529:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5092268734277634, b_new = -1.4877036826456664, c_new = 5.507922990641703
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10685.27292986762
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9530:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.619334050225271, b_new = -0.43832090157266645, c_new = 5.6131783286365255
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6470.466255045627
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9531:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.20128643896322, b_new = -1.6342075988470417, c_new = 5.94719153341447
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3775.742195731148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9532:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0851757807589038, b_new = -0.414511318243623, c_new = 5.968780293934377
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4275.325067282659
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9533:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.301757134036117, b_new = -1.228607658409446, c_new = 5.968417972025227
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6323.293760352452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9534:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0961218335449607, b_new = -0.8270965719128118, c_new = 6.26829931010433
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3807.9913198843396
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9535:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2103232968588498, b_new = -1.024455275083149, c_new = 4.904454025963391
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4706.570388407628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9536:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.836657079035661, b_new = -0.8799044876110853, c_new = 5.689426244596528
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3768.6652486251824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9537:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9453103546736332, b_new = -1.3736770752754621, c_new = 6.83969345118806
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3223.032030764637
Acceptance probability: 3.8104577819298946e-92
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9538:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.153286930892169, b_new = -1.8883139946508416, c_new = 5.2396418641926426
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3120.7134766630934
Acceptance probability: 1.0407839751899274e-47
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9539:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0623938969542817, b_new = -1.1984253086522951, c_new = 6.28155994717477
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3157.989002028319
Acceptance probability: 6.74226193402015e-64
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9540:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9946972599080635, b_new = -0.9505099313292015, c_new = 5.600103729929479
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3020.574421950236
Acceptance probability: 0.0003215136987297664
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9541:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.967898288921364, b_new = -0.420006435140191, c_new = 5.551292951268078
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3139.351291865497
Acceptance probability: 8.376455771035634e-56
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9542:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.794147566179592, b_new = -1.1156037399426466, c_new = 5.197725754177341
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4889.55682111473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9543:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9343732163232064, b_new = -1.5831236511566713, c_new = 5.507479363250122
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13029.74495144815
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9544:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2829850522445265, b_new = -1.4198962226331862, c_new = 6.194396933915861
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5512.2260121933305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9545:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.809270788481992, b_new = -2.4307588651355228, c_new = 5.184152978394297
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10993.300989991163
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9546:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6367450995591346, b_new = -1.2827678733918881, c_new = 6.680047469930572
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7900.903830213612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9547:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8777076138115203, b_new = -2.0690188848530284, c_new = 5.568103318593477
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5457.683414585448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9548:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9240364161874854, b_new = -1.1209962182329496, c_new = 6.109881818282577
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13652.005626480037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9549:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2140013075968303, b_new = -1.0762557850544838, c_new = 6.0937712296051245
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5004.734348608501
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9550:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.122152315657405, b_new = -1.5591705838599546, c_new = 6.136942874393517
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3216.4267558872752
Acceptance probability: 2.815863412506745e-89
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9551:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9155184419275275, b_new = -1.385903554976504, c_new = 6.165240811848402
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14323.394538053688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9552:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6794674303942063, b_new = -1.2646947405729163, c_new = 5.551606626570985
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7422.449616208782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9553:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0376010625935743, b_new = -0.22024416099001476, c_new = 5.525460687507936
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12717.283964096756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9554:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.211070303727409, b_new = -1.6584371855171987, c_new = 6.645757688568077
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13101.077085351402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9555:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7634665475480302, b_new = -0.6166624212846353, c_new = 5.7599988076535125
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14311.299990163538
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9556:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2840367268272326, b_new = -1.9623513665208137, c_new = 6.006856451106021
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13193.057333334913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9557:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7318387684841117, b_new = -0.857142703030255, c_new = 5.469057465005346
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12640.962019601926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9558:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7078802537038444, b_new = -0.6347423262194744, c_new = 6.102450159017737
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5105.627788764511
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9559:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6454715498190553, b_new = -1.2757708534971997, c_new = 5.623620235348009
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8100.898382137082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9560:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6651823684117013, b_new = -1.4341610500758588, c_new = 5.4881920314461965
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8187.447750270234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9561:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.974458913761659, b_new = -1.0981008925987767, c_new = 6.063663232783093
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3033.9744185470845
Acceptance probability: 4.871412454163347e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9562:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6851679779102233, b_new = -1.0636093025869238, c_new = 5.430852739241949
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6811.4162824539635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9563:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.113848099138431, b_new = -0.39005411213773455, c_new = 6.498425003060179
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4932.527971698705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9564:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.414593988599855, b_new = -2.2513860723184083, c_new = 5.300359152896323
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5793.2872680833625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9565:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9117097619757204, b_new = -2.3596621511664524, c_new = 5.931136285545818
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5399.1607405021905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9566:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.112175407599581, b_new = -0.9107696467698804, c_new = 5.559448111822933
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3722.1021047432164
Acceptance probability: 6.88015056247822e-309
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9567:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.490014153222749, b_new = -0.17472748342563627, c_new = 5.686177752465058
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11771.924454967511
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9568:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3279237966174136, b_new = -1.577354378135137, c_new = 4.972404372215432
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12687.218650358285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9569:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0842062524152536, b_new = -0.9085316896107428, c_new = 5.629536664661803
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3469.2605925540583
Acceptance probability: 4.41846564021636e-199
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9570:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.763276466012143, b_new = -2.1538337518813933, c_new = 5.490736677853799
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8181.0355013965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9571:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.760159468802784, b_new = -0.9181766203245065, c_new = 6.381286166379245
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4734.492513129328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9572:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.404642403338771, b_new = -1.005454908453337, c_new = 5.568137374250753
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8909.384004941418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9573:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.250117833398073, b_new = -1.9360350666188677, c_new = 5.334625872741482
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3807.2689195587
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9574:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8609351721415006, b_new = -0.7158406085493911, c_new = 6.0354787881186205
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3332.888257122901
Acceptance probability: 7.43060617437145e-140
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9575:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8418263231844176, b_new = -1.3893949133540948, c_new = 6.0748671769086116
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4440.444823610389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9576:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.280368524250856, b_new = -1.0678002543994356, c_new = 5.303087356778543
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6055.5299756175955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9577:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0532320490528484, b_new = -1.3521779947257264, c_new = 5.83985864695681
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3033.4261724777584
Acceptance probability: 8.428594195647167e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9578:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.120218372278818, b_new = -1.0208173980084922, c_new = 6.521324198247377
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3850.396536188432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9579:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.981196999142273, b_new = -0.8555256593594945, c_new = 5.550487121748755
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13691.808974504787
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9580:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.988787899235335, b_new = -1.0145314396602765, c_new = 6.3260603233289725
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3029.61409572931
Acceptance probability: 3.81345864610911e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9581:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4286259339651135, b_new = -1.3421834048466579, c_new = 5.721084911224093
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8553.979588743225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9582:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.935103504161515, b_new = -0.5981650690242192, c_new = 5.196337732413057
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3027.5243158423655
Acceptance probability: 3.0824703969825614e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9583:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.047767263900218, b_new = -1.4456318692198058, c_new = 6.185304261809782
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13829.335270149419
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9584:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.62043898921703, b_new = -0.4604775600326473, c_new = 5.370880715160472
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12351.665974950027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9585:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.265153724966968, b_new = -0.49249111100132326, c_new = 5.350950479444699
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11519.516933587025
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9586:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9518961437664335, b_new = -1.0173425188318193, c_new = 5.695677429600037
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3074.8362572301185
Acceptance probability: 8.741457323248497e-28
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9587:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2278894397940303, b_new = -1.2700999122683014, c_new = 5.101319634248543
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4549.725892606031
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9588:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0366994447475077, b_new = -1.9242493900760844, c_new = 6.00617370983756
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3175.3854540318316
Acceptance probability: 1.87768402266649e-71
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9589:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.407722971324308, b_new = -1.6833646273909864, c_new = 6.043220487304895
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7362.400623014464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9590:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8083255824147444, b_new = -0.9433341515603136, c_new = 5.279250909391086
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4308.243177339962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9591:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.154106458612439, b_new = -1.7708729119761006, c_new = 6.66705656482036
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3309.1270367211155
Acceptance probability: 1.550212190967e-129
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9592:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2874045237510856, b_new = -1.7835402275380188, c_new = 4.935427325498741
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4458.7338742375505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9593:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.464743318119716, b_new = -0.8138590357636687, c_new = 5.90822778832059
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9799.97166414228
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9594:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5459407337832682, b_new = -0.8010900965877623, c_new = 5.743947181320111
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8664.566629566194
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9595:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1219665192567367, b_new = -1.6631550092168976, c_new = 5.9297162613763925
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3134.268680181049
Acceptance probability: 1.35023856476445e-53
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9596:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4706306306919075, b_new = -1.4531665244289964, c_new = 4.347073542894742
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11449.662756816651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9597:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7619354283934565, b_new = -1.4330507260660865, c_new = 5.7151850532217665
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6097.651094510703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9598:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.651344285246046, b_new = -0.5630656379312973, c_new = 5.673693206236477
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6129.05663400284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9599:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.163568691867741, b_new = -1.3350138471524546, c_new = 6.396867272994409
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3859.5456093519633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9600:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7728509070867773, b_new = -1.7870928878382817, c_new = 7.006085921471904
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12103.7445841258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9601:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0498370306865534, b_new = -1.761330518665267, c_new = 4.786555222990719
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3133.827543762862
Acceptance probability: 2.09890904983822e-53
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9602:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2102926747220035, b_new = -0.9915801436580312, c_new = 5.405132879291581
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4917.742942604048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9603:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0059521561746325, b_new = -1.7489082991905551, c_new = 5.834510088092372
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3234.6451754326336
Acceptance probability: 3.447089085754762e-97
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9604:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7940243093105654, b_new = -0.7485919213856977, c_new = 5.432336787871251
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4140.82336683551
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9605:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1311422981104324, b_new = -1.4148947062823796, c_new = 5.952888255668622
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13442.31199986551
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9606:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1046282532213665, b_new = -1.1179102728290133, c_new = 5.902477953415688
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3456.9347766690694
Acceptance probability: 9.96105426225364e-194
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9607:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.784175695655089, b_new = -1.503009709082251, c_new = 5.1253676800216255
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6036.330907833848
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9608:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.124305178700042, b_new = -1.163063761038261, c_new = 6.0773473337634805
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3612.173421976335
Acceptance probability: 3.7933094313280006e-261
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9609:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7519929177595905, b_new = -1.0707974372336284, c_new = 5.711796412905198
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12564.022371103512
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9610:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.74427852529091, b_new = -0.7022262821218261, c_new = 5.3422399290034885
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12891.760936481243
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9611:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.317341291403022, b_new = -1.6050825849056412, c_new = 5.569882170121958
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5527.06407468412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9612:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.989133042699822, b_new = -1.5293273245044514, c_new = 5.758590733097645
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3178.4123253037396
Acceptance probability: 9.10057891624325e-73
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9613:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.626530535956664, b_new = -1.5429699943359592, c_new = 5.491046172486774
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9168.690606321014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9614:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2523817960284185, b_new = -1.4661742880249977, c_new = 5.057939441240435
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4543.337732407876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9615:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2304543452730905, b_new = -1.122232234345532, c_new = 6.149870077942704
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12440.86852994013
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9616:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2662183238975553, b_new = -1.0744052750783657, c_new = 5.649968965380811
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12256.735456468723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9617:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.430302008738096, b_new = -1.19156474064043, c_new = 6.152823447567938
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10832.807448663112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9618:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9217564321912737, b_new = -0.693366912410291, c_new = 5.653540650165381
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3060.358532991727
Acceptance probability: 1.6950385856885043e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9619:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0498839887223164, b_new = 0.0757371012751673, c_new = 4.876498619636137
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4390.505298234285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9620:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9516118252082695, b_new = -0.6421268069026553, c_new = 6.0315406200295385
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3047.0446140557065
Acceptance probability: 1.0264578379640964e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9621:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.893679745126655, b_new = -1.4453636975609603, c_new = 6.277540482071701
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13152.56263079709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9622:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831786506677192, b_new = -0.5585190971252844, c_new = 5.611545954614715
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3456.4933632475145
Acceptance probability: 1.5488477140580033e-193
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9623:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7870326822662146, b_new = -1.337883567463978, c_new = 5.308447501286824
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5494.024875743364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9624:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2701296200907826, b_new = -1.7763169088707231, c_new = 5.921338093393598
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13070.305470940355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9625:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.703230719833036, b_new = -0.5445322788975766, c_new = 5.01604491070557
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5294.653398635295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9626:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5373670785643854, b_new = -1.2922968491772033, c_new = 5.816861299201215
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10317.38179216217
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9627:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.580204115642754, b_new = -1.2699634587342221, c_new = 6.94689364491121
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8776.034331697436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9628:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7974692759904154, b_new = -1.2278495718860598, c_new = 5.912151770129208
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4870.766893285357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9629:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.418328887473861, b_new = -1.0281156247605077, c_new = 6.321792428010612
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10623.08472676379
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9630:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6556799394370616, b_new = -1.0675388346876022, c_new = 6.05190664010978
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7198.853248773361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9631:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.171915099968194, b_new = -1.2066709750211062, c_new = 6.202602533013906
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4123.5875352503845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9632:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.105955965086429, b_new = -2.039546491377526, c_new = 6.411944940203863
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3021.584242828717
Acceptance probability: 0.00011712236852736837
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9633:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.847102964980917, b_new = -0.520787463960875, c_new = 5.339776738816087
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3334.135600729188
Acceptance probability: 2.1345670384528486e-140
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9634:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.242748438452404, b_new = -0.6495221116225974, c_new = 5.8862757089703415
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6627.190147248439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9635:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.839182957857308, b_new = -1.3101363001587158, c_new = 5.789134004413361
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4402.018030107444
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9636:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1653363940287513, b_new = -1.0005644676721959, c_new = 5.118036509513695
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4132.915251180259
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9637:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.924720666703623, b_new = -0.41248953731969373, c_new = 4.991464069068881
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3027.6824524931653
Acceptance probability: 2.6316070406091416e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9638:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.137040538546636, b_new = -1.603870646734306, c_new = 6.385928499134101
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13513.427697056119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9639:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.535058413778085, b_new = -1.1903370679392264, c_new = 5.9708881572927375
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10531.477537084615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9640:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3888883526708664, b_new = -0.7199671389775619, c_new = 5.74833156739699
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10572.752408666927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9641:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6209725454997757, b_new = -0.7477445405136567, c_new = 5.414857539525503
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7286.99596385099
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9642:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.588050355621703, b_new = -0.9165090371846498, c_new = 5.51808704639072
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8295.626284411437
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9643:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.209073803770459, b_new = -0.4981900401832511, c_new = 5.489429506601492
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6152.631635737568
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9644:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8955672496161777, b_new = -1.3634528076174557, c_new = 6.746588432406066
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13388.15027783541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9645:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6881834079030673, b_new = -1.7081467445724368, c_new = 5.872320077646082
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11189.301402822928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9646:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.844968531101538, b_new = -1.435358308606705, c_new = 6.237077136551877
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4439.695001369286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9647:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2446032269639797, b_new = -0.7251825850704378, c_new = 5.959086721921992
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6480.078351092565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9648:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7372770434974796, b_new = -1.4927213834685098, c_new = 5.273196224036981
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6943.634298940082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9649:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.879689969014824, b_new = -0.7715942291728666, c_new = 6.337629006465103
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3233.3893602151297
Acceptance probability: 1.2101692866462214e-96
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9650:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.033005522770568, b_new = -1.2296137360611576, c_new = 5.518675293635435
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3017.9370046010918
Acceptance probability: 0.004493815965347516
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9651:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.938412906108204, b_new = -2.5277195568653363, c_new = 5.410388983944131
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5493.178728438967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9652:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.26772273228811, b_new = -1.3752813935624524, c_new = 5.173699789262857
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5014.457197237253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9653:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6546389408500604, b_new = -1.4225943008226603, c_new = 5.784373113913993
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8246.715664824063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9654:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2345763901350506, b_new = -0.7035896232667146, c_new = 5.262721319649965
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6049.108275360426
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9655:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8237180044510053, b_new = -1.1699516768035418, c_new = 5.564428612713732
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4427.089636922667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9656:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5958350647291177, b_new = -1.673727677511624, c_new = 5.222667617257147
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10116.353709418363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9657:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.154959526220516, b_new = -2.0419702267835707, c_new = 5.093665697016263
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13580.722739539468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9658:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.821628484910573, b_new = -1.045601226276148, c_new = 6.249770439006727
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13198.804192629366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9659:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.682015704623537, b_new = -0.8627867322884786, c_new = 5.416979918218755
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12261.699635958736
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9660:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.219234386532389, b_new = -0.8071967321652358, c_new = 5.92473398440027
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5697.315823069084
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9661:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8954057771672934, b_new = -1.7453894594738601, c_new = 5.6354000670035855
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4421.159059082177
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9662:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8988217315174896, b_new = -0.9523031829785445, c_new = 5.782043847965555
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13623.23475060388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9663:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4921240205048636, b_new = -1.2025524656238575, c_new = 6.425702710860255
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10128.128533410403
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9664:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.941133253233623, b_new = -2.0118842047551384, c_new = 5.670387434692356
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4245.240283002773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9665:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.377642204017671, b_new = -1.8822229545609905, c_new = 5.607093915780663
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6060.679037441329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9666:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5198461038480775, b_new = -1.4599452264407997, c_new = 5.776175218297587
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9750.451860638675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9667:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3733398319201378, b_new = -0.7869252059790225, c_new = 5.088293029744851
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8707.746803949556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9668:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8881037234003726, b_new = -1.2675544889466124, c_new = 6.091208117082015
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3661.0279854547653
Acceptance probability: 2.3001223413202403e-282
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9669:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5222848708590395, b_new = -1.440738909278167, c_new = 5.77168196465698
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9820.828441958152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9670:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7142136484812247, b_new = -1.926791145483087, c_new = 4.922061247929914
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10829.138439133496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9671:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.815921669762579, b_new = -0.9948518066725771, c_new = 5.305803639668696
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12970.346538324668
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9672:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.263156115379875, b_new = -1.2136842743356644, c_new = 6.114276029455373
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12342.723116097226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9673:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.014965280801543, b_new = -1.1860391466000881, c_new = 5.914121553116858
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13782.91448148459
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9674:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6129320238112883, b_new = -0.7395789235405636, c_new = 6.183931525761972
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7159.166296504756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9675:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7914353011164907, b_new = -0.7802474686819967, c_new = 4.834363689390524
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4365.311383714617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9676:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.142981249780695, b_new = -0.6222110532579254, c_new = 5.978304772030837
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4748.435830699985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9677:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.556901232535303, b_new = -1.3169398022490884, c_new = 5.402467963217133
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10368.874475031516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9678:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4653928061406867, b_new = -1.7825073786420598, c_new = 5.606403075454862
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8086.348120205348
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9679:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.716661224300343, b_new = -0.5956193421160758, c_new = 5.694809430237114
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4977.782432421909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9680:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0017532360425223, b_new = -1.0116063318343915, c_new = 5.671133599978742
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3020.3683972329227
Acceptance probability: 0.0003950707524093795
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9681:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2722381412777706, b_new = -1.5199119507157683, c_new = 5.298311504436164
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4818.954640301038
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9682:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9920037814143496, b_new = -0.9509203782308945, c_new = 6.387977688887097
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3049.2211660271096
Acceptance probability: 1.164331385966244e-16
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9683:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.77081210576185, b_new = -1.2367947001327608, c_new = 6.230953683334972
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5270.986466612358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9684:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3372947735674314, b_new = -0.4160122944385931, c_new = 6.371321978112828
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9530.433373593667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9685:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5614473558891357, b_new = -1.5150641990324554, c_new = 5.108783238858182
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10215.983015238593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9686:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2223707414257152, b_new = -0.37276746694064966, c_new = 6.368688050629732
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7192.579912954028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9687:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5458392307470374, b_new = -0.6382725386550941, c_new = 6.179485311003909
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8145.014465854371
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9688:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3014200364866175, b_new = -1.0929351438612918, c_new = 5.825968598384014
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6637.475194113884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9689:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.788509382968744, b_new = -0.511024266517592, c_new = 5.783113161677974
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3796.02431331055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9690:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0668804247805093, b_new = -1.2555811170278048, c_new = 6.034774229383602
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3123.289903897765
Acceptance probability: 7.91466369447062e-49
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9691:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9195825894072884, b_new = -1.6173409423807286, c_new = 6.522459423655898
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3713.5125497333934
Acceptance probability: 3.6982331317416685e-305
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9692:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.191658979082455, b_new = -0.8664973089621055, c_new = 6.202475254438892
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5118.84651396039
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9693:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4427171592427412, b_new = -1.3462207522106786, c_new = 5.852897385385241
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11065.175435191151
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9694:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1389453826955354, b_new = -1.3611041595547235, c_new = 5.463272565156292
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3425.6001881806583
Acceptance probability: 4.0433764671370415e-180
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9695:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.939245513651521, b_new = -1.7533959600610918, c_new = 5.0678865640685204
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3976.58511982621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9696:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6822964847809203, b_new = -0.7080013961690956, c_new = 6.486402705930185
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5631.424098558444
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9697:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.950386025181485, b_new = -1.8054223111624133, c_new = 5.694019523274275
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3790.7305493542217
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9698:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1914160608272697, b_new = -1.0006525969996451, c_new = 5.416216906919709
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4588.664595432306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9699:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.385741286168016, b_new = -1.3772967309430701, c_new = 6.028821630684055
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7734.237392688363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9700:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3330495281896813, b_new = -0.9113332662529006, c_new = 6.168476440251286
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7986.882229372504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9701:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2816433370488047, b_new = -0.7317798487960824, c_new = 6.182553684531031
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7384.938237092823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9702:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5689479240798274, b_new = -0.5978371861047087, c_new = 5.611032540652758
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7830.800162158748
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9703:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7345184418405015, b_new = -0.39444961085659247, c_new = 5.074836097107381
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4450.6188153306975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9704:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.476073150473545, b_new = -1.3264859601367163, c_new = 5.7081633913302605
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9382.251018903451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9705:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9960755482096806, b_new = -1.337342818982993, c_new = 4.257751640278393
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3164.443525641345
Acceptance probability: 1.0608198367804312e-66
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9706:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3600781930623818, b_new = -1.139653289321907, c_new = 6.634462552805117
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11311.829085278101
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9707:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8944288923595267, b_new = -2.407807097706383, c_new = 5.493950837610002
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6034.50074634716
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9708:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0511775266628693, b_new = -0.9546688911452779, c_new = 6.326804078967171
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3279.3651912115497
Acceptance probability: 1.3055587624593912e-116
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9709:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4827058505080757, b_new = -0.16570999685432453, c_new = 5.572084439212252
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8316.983052548007
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9710:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.433609479688038, b_new = -1.1716237880000078, c_new = 5.0624474197796845
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11102.192737127389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9711:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.109116683520003, b_new = -1.6069174452797803, c_new = 4.233797283263477
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13607.452844998676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9712:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5555697979358194, b_new = -1.0386311443067544, c_new = 5.834679169094835
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10985.878148217953
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9713:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8848270923985617, b_new = -1.573517758166583, c_new = 5.255704802661728
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4352.545404018399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9714:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7250150236645254, b_new = -0.17190274974887831, c_new = 6.6455504463565145
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3943.224312567988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9715:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4875017952715552, b_new = -0.6972125225173412, c_new = 5.521095169150122
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10755.340351241895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9716:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.659653880546739, b_new = -1.7415520449036213, c_new = 5.8009740620486765
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10845.417643162284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9717:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.179548207980091, b_new = -2.105706708418561, c_new = 7.152607902050203
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3259.9341259077073
Acceptance probability: 3.58592220009922e-108
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9718:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6604235136359544, b_new = -2.1989498271301384, c_new = 5.749445085965957
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10077.8574904928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9719:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4125797958460846, b_new = -0.790394811137616, c_new = 5.76063378110798
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10429.350004669377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9720:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.821010980364689, b_new = -1.2109400456034325, c_new = 5.6256078081639185
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12817.957736432862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9721:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6840447398479266, b_new = -1.8067101054619075, c_new = 5.79583400067253
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8690.332006104964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9722:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0185259438157, b_new = -1.3717193967024608, c_new = 5.4941209135518285
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3027.2084817433397
Acceptance probability: 4.227308285832344e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9723:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.139675485721608, b_new = -2.0067497534131054, c_new = 5.998986801342115
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3062.9847469958136
Acceptance probability: 1.226392084009893e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9724:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.741872586650893, b_new = -1.1273353188916133, c_new = 6.4294543873134655
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5499.3042495208265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9725:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5140050491165313, b_new = -1.079484050878076, c_new = 6.186583048995622
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10565.293326061817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9726:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.63599246273231, b_new = -1.1156514502399613, c_new = 7.0037843812703695
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7381.848857853226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9727:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9524920118860971, b_new = -0.8127476730241309, c_new = 6.559619553865386
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13559.705579873807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9728:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.319381580812796, b_new = -2.2845712323551215, c_new = 5.7219247416615575
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13454.82768549752
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9729:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8197217455654098, b_new = -1.3401459546361323, c_new = 5.021383640870817
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12489.289037915541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9730:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3513320309286345, b_new = -1.8380622533230677, c_new = 5.7033807239759415
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12669.625987500502
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9731:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2847808615831964, b_new = -0.5115237853503242, c_new = 5.851998694264427
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7964.742699182453
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9732:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.491453480420362, b_new = -0.9759184310098751, c_new = 4.940978583983931
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10074.458715067998
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9733:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3152528918983397, b_new = -0.824551077746141, c_new = 5.829535286389206
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7709.129809379028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9734:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.614243752333396, b_new = -1.4050034361941108, c_new = 5.612785250798526
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8996.438624142645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9735:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.80601908040357, b_new = -1.6724137570122275, c_new = 5.530568685942334
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5885.499028973722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9736:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.562365918037664, b_new = -0.9853815826047454, c_new = 5.8068562438884435
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8798.737632330765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9737:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.83970510887943, b_new = -1.682717995404741, c_new = 7.104666300014248
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4790.165246239464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9738:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.326384780072596, b_new = -1.0748373721032947, c_new = 6.264686228373231
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7411.434619927148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9739:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.680217508433949, b_new = -0.3614718990636251, c_new = 5.83812644452625
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5078.383291489155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9740:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7135213334013084, b_new = -2.0763298768310543, c_new = 6.034907456873313
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8749.928537777258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9741:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2192350654329442, b_new = -2.2897026326186074, c_new = 6.777899573882495
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3336.664270854209
Acceptance probability: 1.702637980878269e-141
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9742:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8503385845847844, b_new = -1.1108743594383266, c_new = 5.6301942970237375
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3949.542024613129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9743:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.4942556043685205, b_new = -0.7765147542710531, c_new = 5.605851566583831
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -15812.508525076895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9744:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.803560840911487, b_new = -1.3123804986704009, c_new = 5.895595769484342
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4951.654426958159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9745:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9324527545472012, b_new = -1.9444700718754422, c_new = 5.518432944573948
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4283.831921876181
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9746:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4124924328790045, b_new = -0.9349430247755814, c_new = 5.8721774438988605
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9333.82845730063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9747:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4808754645448667, b_new = -0.7706179331226952, c_new = 5.601282166813019
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9601.146965956066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9748:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.199280146558334, b_new = -2.0644067669530166, c_new = 6.284598757742818
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14016.811155578587
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9749:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5850138059606897, b_new = -0.656143759643687, c_new = 6.267077181873959
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7457.895778001442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9750:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.246415105652083, b_new = -0.7902237754053063, c_new = 5.627125857716257
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -15148.622403884734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9751:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4738107303096815, b_new = -1.0578381709751974, c_new = 5.778565658825443
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10198.055989790102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9752:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5961456490391512, b_new = -1.558895046421685, c_new = 5.006205537610668
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9862.625313421146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9753:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.411078995714322, b_new = -1.249186994777698, c_new = 6.409666681778028
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8731.9712887671
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9754:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.235078948455709, b_new = -0.8819786820725435, c_new = 5.33010138389214
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12307.559182791589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9755:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.967711202944635, b_new = -1.8096753829490373, c_new = 5.199472978174802
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3708.1969416453653
Acceptance probability: 7.525468559004206e-303
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9756:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0622149762400657, b_new = -1.3512322002465125, c_new = 5.728687405615724
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3048.819118715612
Acceptance probability: 1.7405380962484462e-16
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9757:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5709901155997943, b_new = -1.2579638014863161, c_new = 5.778457695866362
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10746.832936709307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9758:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3776003030350386, b_new = -0.4426338107397795, c_new = 5.724430379517802
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9882.667294002258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9759:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5536992665642373, b_new = -1.1838893308250977, c_new = 5.421748593392993
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10578.824109987816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9760:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.973393025568752, b_new = -1.1632105743311894, c_new = 5.15888521265595
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3089.6822032318523
Acceptance probability: 3.119402489758977e-34
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9761:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9447229494827116, b_new = -1.4925090674168275, c_new = 5.835739179997641
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13276.504273336312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9762:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.263176612783644, b_new = -1.0331511086145677, c_new = 6.309181244346504
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6158.6954700731285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9763:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.941884449549175, b_new = -1.6015228221454298, c_new = 5.810087785235429
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3587.8031734882434
Acceptance probability: 1.4550660635744925e-250
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9764:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7938295523158807, b_new = -1.693565668962609, c_new = 6.053434757630017
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6003.81940515117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9765:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.828880822519981, b_new = -0.8015212904657291, c_new = 6.308030167719396
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3657.9893019125775
Acceptance probability: 4.8021357294564616e-281
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9766:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.419794294774802, b_new = -0.9056812145384932, c_new = 5.978112302859829
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10490.237002364964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9767:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.638970779200183, b_new = -0.8572918445608326, c_new = 5.569157246478742
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7158.214656527761
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9768:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.837252343278847, b_new = 0.15980741140231514, c_new = 6.347648104978415
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14661.686276859422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9769:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.470296901120235, b_new = -1.1212648012917183, c_new = 5.691900055754072
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9739.64925985241
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9770:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4310684652954913, b_new = -1.8859115179387618, c_new = 5.821926033316055
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12083.232388893055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9771:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2082184905498794, b_new = -2.116325818193655, c_new = 6.158974214227964
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3339.391105753396
Acceptance probability: 1.1139686459048552e-142
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9772:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.596009002790226, b_new = -0.6530540708916595, c_new = 4.945815753847963
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11736.175294064753
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9773:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0026464511401754, b_new = -1.7580934268211181, c_new = 5.63257595450805
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3285.951566936694
Acceptance probability: 1.8004032605349538e-119
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9774:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.078868741988578, b_new = -0.8959292402460051, c_new = 6.605619546833781
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14700.636635216102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9775:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3560209169257136, b_new = -1.6398435784456524, c_new = 4.905106605486569
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6002.832493320231
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9776:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.210870965267877, b_new = -1.241601663672404, c_new = 5.140389425627545
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4355.0299894047685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9777:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0130641178380144, b_new = -1.1248324948267514, c_new = 6.049502806028555
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3026.004195471096
Acceptance probability: 1.4095445396908237e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9778:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.184440245069173, b_new = -1.2590715624798163, c_new = 6.439493746593028
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4261.912847717054
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9779:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6863415417314256, b_new = -1.708943964025746, c_new = 5.73109707838109
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11130.964367652401
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9780:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.629277635376323, b_new = -1.1550044205702146, c_new = 5.701594019481289
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8068.879500453891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9781:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.77635943752466, b_new = -1.3358668605510091, c_new = 5.305493681029281
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5699.04821201845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9782:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4228666557526033, b_new = -2.0493686374154456, c_new = 5.191785686117499
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12588.754062074564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9783:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7136110917173952, b_new = -1.1226174743356079, c_new = 5.994668519444405
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6183.748557393699
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9784:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.081892285173692, b_new = -1.2370741017096891, c_new = 6.5466148461947
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13366.522730461918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9785:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.875510976770589, b_new = -1.4343033422417353, c_new = 5.960368760010901
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12971.621388794272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9786:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.545102377655234, b_new = -1.5955338744592422, c_new = 5.108991256273994
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10593.64287502698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9787:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.027241090564377, b_new = -0.8562540219717708, c_new = 5.8438055673835
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14339.92883557018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9788:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3064637403091917, b_new = -0.7769504543909622, c_new = 4.965620922599771
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11701.287049728115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9789:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1972696740192275, b_new = -0.6563955074696688, c_new = 4.23621547408157
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5084.292429406337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9790:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4828307677458565, b_new = -1.5753384292291364, c_new = 5.988544657071555
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10997.615411648618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9791:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0243090061731297, b_new = -0.6491548874206133, c_new = 5.086385869567901
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3213.151287945812
Acceptance probability: 7.449536245348063e-88
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9792:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.718463314354673, b_new = -1.7620954176719708, c_new = 5.397755196559933
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11244.230274298647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9793:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9326394554510387, b_new = -1.2206720789957564, c_new = 5.925168216904538
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3266.171952393782
Acceptance probability: 7.00724400909423e-111
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9794:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6022290856202837, b_new = -1.213225431478905, c_new = 6.191288424081985
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11272.738402305196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9795:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1846149332723086, b_new = -1.0708798902310674, c_new = 5.422544970859945
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4351.6515593771965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9796:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097251457525779, b_new = -2.2630068048002228, c_new = 5.626359117679872
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3150.816463412728
Acceptance probability: 8.786169204161356e-61
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9797:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.550564176008397, b_new = -0.9864476096452506, c_new = 5.521433415056041
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10925.317820078495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9798:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4576614632730585, b_new = -1.668711420146609, c_new = 4.786274185076661
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7938.700509522699
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9799:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.230383204584422, b_new = -0.8506537001864599, c_new = 6.308851486912426
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12045.391027753885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9800:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.100689181415493, b_new = -2.1806150008089533, c_new = 6.7543225241082965
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3035.975693376923
Acceptance probability: 6.584340575951469e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9801:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.793518448684042, b_new = -0.523342039477749, c_new = 5.495779095383031
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3801.846803046915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9802:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.29595942028185, b_new = -1.4392636441053417, c_new = 6.375338556032734
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5786.454754387662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9803:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.824853809246249, b_new = -2.262388592167495, c_new = 5.6096782732250805
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11464.673836623142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9804:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3238642077425005, b_new = -1.445075892461316, c_new = 5.124640546886551
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5912.799811629577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9805:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2515353009047865, b_new = -1.9766346104831842, c_new = 6.035070867781651
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3887.293517093577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9806:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.896123695303127, b_new = -1.7519257710480376, c_new = 5.74522418496603
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12655.531854576566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9807:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6889992729766603, b_new = -1.2603270791018761, c_new = 5.530796027215273
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7222.6900833553045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9808:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3443337960267177, b_new = -1.5935234308008188, c_new = 5.748351817964935
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12369.238695221564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9809:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.112965651949055, b_new = -1.617828440949711, c_new = 5.954586229462971
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3120.8473828213887
Acceptance probability: 9.103447483942807e-48
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9810:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.275893076970855, b_new = -1.6042394385981924, c_new = 4.9898365548256365
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4630.2588441077005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9811:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.351336428329277, b_new = -0.987685895081857, c_new = 5.466424086202736
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7870.940802034125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9812:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6496927121734672, b_new = -2.131324960357428, c_new = 5.865984620710445
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10039.8247284657
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9813:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3520716092156015, b_new = -1.9484548097422199, c_new = 5.593481199752457
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5387.057051061611
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9814:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0633597755524313, b_new = -1.237694620436318, c_new = 5.559379232415374
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3085.476924470711
Acceptance probability: 2.0912250632951007e-32
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9815:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6133387196449984, b_new = -0.896199795438223, c_new = 6.295507123248035
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7506.3648743438125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9816:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4620573721227896, b_new = -1.3275424186918048, c_new = 5.521073562232028
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10925.594514748846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9817:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7691506533954358, b_new = -1.6015486007778836, c_new = 6.415197632864444
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6143.345800105697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9818:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.539991942338086, b_new = -0.954313037452288, c_new = 5.800032469718824
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10958.452907550367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9819:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.892349383139219, b_new = -1.5823184814993305, c_new = 5.698705249915764
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4154.0139740903705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9820:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.428494074517995, b_new = -0.9081310709390371, c_new = 5.242040169177206
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9423.177848122821
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9821:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.50825557666506, b_new = -1.470672652522137, c_new = 5.867075441315446
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9598.0207814188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9822:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1639509255576916, b_new = -1.7286879287357637, c_new = 5.1174712715418975
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3253.2440730969774
Acceptance probability: 2.8843893426811423e-105
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9823:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.442196824398328, b_new = -0.8165136825556969, c_new = 4.952676546326121
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10384.713830553186
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9824:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4458144276884135, b_new = -0.9739414169782517, c_new = 6.100993133844936
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9851.132846735545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9825:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.674839321795474, b_new = -1.179461921733734, c_new = 5.907446487579696
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11889.002695967265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9826:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5870433702151208, b_new = -1.5803452448302542, c_new = 5.771617760710929
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9766.279107488486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9827:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.327567789319582, b_new = -2.1422142900539836, c_new = 5.9738169569017785
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4650.874341504383
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9828:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.268006477686328, b_new = -0.3107238326914826, c_new = 6.48483017895729
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8476.84133283069
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9829:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3549396390473993, b_new = -1.852356632535043, c_new = 5.922881986918065
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12601.722146693584
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9830:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.74784872086462, b_new = -1.7142461396701136, c_new = 6.110336181553116
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11758.410479484612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9831:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4459674908126887, b_new = -1.4649584768032673, c_new = 6.54157791270673
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8869.15182886963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9832:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7327011036220767, b_new = -1.6102250742005584, c_new = 5.826635721773279
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11707.062084334408
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9833:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.475402862269171, b_new = -1.2535912570107037, c_new = 5.86566299816725
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10523.886235014763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9834:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6045321361356444, b_new = -1.760144413811337, c_new = 5.604164552670941
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9967.3367267124
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9835:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.636317393692861, b_new = -1.323396451555586, c_new = 5.515905087202091
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8436.834340328765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9836:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.160650047062539, b_new = -1.577027101200601, c_new = 5.987458764706689
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3455.273143513421
Acceptance probability: 5.24739088231248e-193
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9837:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.886127685145479, b_new = -0.9221104357533826, c_new = 5.908367578852026
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13622.788812212899
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9838:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9478328162611196, b_new = -1.4100688238825447, c_new = 5.622143222998699
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3357.9552160045814
Acceptance probability: 9.651222404430723e-151
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9839:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7923945376701353, b_new = -0.783885785422421, c_new = 6.265452517692104
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4055.662521946445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9840:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.690833556170368, b_new = -1.5754278491717115, c_new = 5.085183059551386
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11196.471850681057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9841:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.190653255393231, b_new = -0.7132256175581911, c_new = 5.561561944002916
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12336.320538521184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9842:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4401579220531, b_new = -0.8169989559418145, c_new = 5.759374340195212
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9989.10390932827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9843:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.353292671666136, b_new = -1.98548946580777, c_new = 5.364191743429889
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5258.41351721676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9844:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.611025186268747, b_new = -1.2200551172799676, c_new = 5.183432424678765
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -15390.250684118204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9845:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.875164801703983, b_new = -1.3015441215678096, c_new = 5.060269257716412
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4057.219841968794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9846:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.825997581245754, b_new = -1.1644092766514997, c_new = 5.898149719411727
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4304.462167041829
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9847:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3637158870073445, b_new = -1.0095867213794434, c_new = 6.465609291812321
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8475.034573384566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9848:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.065682929760706, b_new = -1.4794697109774708, c_new = 6.700332896457316
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13662.948742842824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9849:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.603084236386328, b_new = -1.1701347011847725, c_new = 6.010447909394756
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8473.538156280636
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9850:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230355524937584, b_new = -0.9573785890587017, c_new = 6.3682031502565914
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5694.852255720476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9851:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.736041242124827, b_new = -1.3733783976827865, c_new = 5.299948600905177
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11925.753276601554
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9852:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.275379396973787, b_new = -1.4726085222986582, c_new = 5.284621426826152
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4968.723309395399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9853:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9675458991759314, b_new = -1.4749052908494618, c_new = 5.834190544927485
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3254.5828867507153
Acceptance probability: 7.561613932157516e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9854:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9504272690529367, b_new = -0.6110437573719955, c_new = 5.238537677732191
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3022.916669365432
Acceptance probability: 3.090112949202164e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9855:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.358442212960403, b_new = -0.6058807923838423, c_new = 5.840105673297888
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10676.49543782903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9856:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4447225400793453, b_new = -1.399347573548165, c_new = 6.495861413587907
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8991.30876160937
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9857:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1681694704029058, b_new = -0.9552632043901066, c_new = 5.039376136273985
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4231.455174277662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9858:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1329534614096666, b_new = -1.0744291707087559, c_new = 5.5790818422470085
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13138.07611809858
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9859:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.01089192991434, b_new = -1.7476533533352592, c_new = 6.0648121807328055
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13405.393075441872
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9860:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1812708692641696, b_new = -2.4985749039165746, c_new = 6.644108472540421
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3060.206814729724
Acceptance probability: 1.972740646376119e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9861:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3369637510618086, b_new = -1.8897903764984874, c_new = 5.320594373365249
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12947.100996295829
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9862:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0451989764886775, b_new = -1.6727169979520644, c_new = 5.5215345100860995
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14214.703842556188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9863:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.188320189255928, b_new = -1.1580152927315686, c_new = 5.96015405741146
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4380.803800622595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9864:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.928671960408486, b_new = 0.02586582314587038, c_new = 5.740550484789204
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14759.12339858893
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9865:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6362395554031757, b_new = -0.7492137084279082, c_new = 5.59622175854925
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6924.792606153493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9866:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1194359833257193, b_new = -1.535550175151497, c_new = 5.802631845823997
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3187.196825176879
Acceptance probability: 1.3931863118800226e-76
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9867:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9209611544827143, b_new = -0.7548296287590026, c_new = 6.1260856493023725
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3070.167072294707
Acceptance probability: 9.319338660271625e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9868:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.840421806855439, b_new = -1.210958705278703, c_new = 5.7152824815652465
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4223.746329779374
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9869:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1571357332297034, b_new = -1.358632097889514, c_new = 5.980568935836944
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3676.2585843906554
Acceptance probability: 5.587092510255923e-289
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9870:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.680835300307786, b_new = -0.37611158287655455, c_new = 5.757152404274348
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5119.635965598927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9871:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.671134946484943, b_new = -2.693957904052999, c_new = 4.744851218224489
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11404.565737065031
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9872:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.530261508490571, b_new = -1.7335822247485018, c_new = 5.479903904184201
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10919.613509548455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9873:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0780652673141637, b_new = -1.832812316793821, c_new = 5.510359199881904
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3037.6068406126833
Acceptance probability: 1.2885878825419387e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9874:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.608788842555837, b_new = -0.24821293976433656, c_new = 6.350379466728617
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12865.049649295739
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9875:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.674774259173853, b_new = -1.5828917742800581, c_new = 5.17079977827554
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8522.581197671845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9876:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.607558731124432, b_new = -1.890554513565788, c_new = 5.553350050328027
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10225.926288519651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9877:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.811682955986386, b_new = -0.8736336164154559, c_new = 5.749961023288114
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4045.4141992638115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9878:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9113725628797655, b_new = -1.925476225224516, c_new = 5.554258758805805
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4551.471228387577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9879:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.33190393979463, b_new = -1.4367090225140682, c_new = 5.458202050930001
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6217.330694862457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9880:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5098363305989966, b_new = -1.4485844220817659, c_new = 5.562237673397941
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9564.380474917412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9881:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9546381722242243, b_new = -1.7938732578056564, c_new = 6.019401808179191
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3668.1708317430484
Acceptance probability: 1.8182441889646067e-285
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9882:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1209642517212095, b_new = -0.5172745457543958, c_new = 6.094631400775006
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4646.72614365636
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9883:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.377977292690067, b_new = -0.7505260616935715, c_new = 5.087423935395903
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8887.867521896027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9884:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.219988016883702, b_new = -0.3858451285621731, c_new = 5.604290916056658
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6767.596163994822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.106128156845198, b_new = -0.6712598375970441, c_new = 5.7641066014206075
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12776.54278595019
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6367570697702862, b_new = -1.5871389520195107, c_new = 5.540589577816643
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10795.565223293885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.201219074264845, b_new = -0.9441074558926965, c_new = 5.582957265114047
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4917.799383220359
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.039180573816919, b_new = -1.2810571954293466, c_new = 5.658331035129166
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3020.4603605844572
Acceptance probability: 0.0003603592740796527
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.192333686103402, b_new = -0.6590596440322705, c_new = 5.768700100871696
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5483.874093965365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.654417126319348, b_new = -1.8256147459423868, c_new = 5.921723865662374
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10689.519542910197
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7080106587765376, b_new = -0.9841852181840756, c_new = 6.470956514410039
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12587.571763625267
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7926149105393079, b_new = -0.6616188332116937, c_new = 6.170825889994926
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14160.321582066746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0853834292840205, b_new = -1.4621148021378636, c_new = 5.174146387537359
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3053.7808619264943
Acceptance probability: 1.2185008494881126e-18
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.722177460363418, b_new = -1.3777528166353554, c_new = 5.339057630068396
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6921.358053391879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.929221978915975, b_new = -1.4396175723561235, c_new = 6.07186756492941
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3477.604882958066
Acceptance probability: 1.0504906813411645e-202
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1643518423673926, b_new = -1.3908729717667505, c_new = 5.643185019900992
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3650.7937019539613
Acceptance probability: 6.403888872942133e-278
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.551549529098519, b_new = -2.050508081357745, c_new = 6.464035869380935
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10946.835042401903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.758636909756385, b_new = -1.3019592376106301, c_new = 6.125633885947886
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5691.317983081467
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5040901889433886, b_new = -0.9748431157264446, c_new = 5.840457637812683
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10531.120553872805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1955035953877196, b_new = -2.623549148837527, c_new = 5.482789515983971
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14512.002567328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8743855656399737, b_new = -0.8766510806092696, c_new = 5.195628401040809
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3470.9174040541575
Acceptance probability: 8.428055562219105e-200
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.390770075510066, b_new = -1.7389511686100094, c_new = 5.177229817898632
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6553.212084997094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.11541590814605, b_new = -1.4758004920334886, c_new = 6.006215129245131
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3224.5335179936706
Acceptance probability: 8.489645110947534e-93
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9932801432663583, b_new = -2.2604630480487042, c_new = 6.070844420265053
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3895.5971181125406
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4547798114087063, b_new = -0.9171475358071537, c_new = 4.960827910617434
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10422.920073623947
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.202107658874601, b_new = -0.9903704720181291, c_new = 6.803685102697339
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5220.243816782773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2168546042253214, b_new = -0.18720354585594867, c_new = 6.301977157460811
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7604.4747748836435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.681566586785446, b_new = -1.110651456048835, c_new = 6.168005513163775
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12120.903926401472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0524879625431183, b_new = -0.5824064310128811, c_new = 6.20796132718002
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3674.3748414018714
Acceptance probability: 3.67523444157869e-288
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.692367744082021, b_new = -0.9187705347624783, c_new = 4.090240452009847
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6774.163222367666
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3326756656979906, b_new = -1.7656086885484386, c_new = 5.695936726767255
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5478.204719442548
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.591263804715617, b_new = -1.0439684618624567, c_new = 6.007323948975008
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11390.292256532175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3130316519523704, b_new = -1.5343010007669957, c_new = 5.439364059248085
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5573.315627629117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.081527666160393, b_new = -0.585074919309184, c_new = 5.510732633440282
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3836.6023182701315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5283903871325284, b_new = -0.9144916932701439, c_new = 5.612956427002042
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -15313.516550800456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1697648187562173, b_new = -1.2515374874903442, c_new = 5.84145670229446
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13064.451645839905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0291757432830173, b_new = -1.5842872900581773, c_new = 5.538706658626859
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3064.0158938109494
Acceptance probability: 4.373286875262383e-23
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.59845877920335, b_new = -0.6527333531414196, c_new = 6.461092032158236
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12221.032930797215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.848674464863281, b_new = -0.804907657484337, c_new = 5.453726531273585
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13434.08341379985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6870259223242488, b_new = -1.7205063963548632, c_new = 6.026920894568385
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8313.507515816042
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.031242447210593, b_new = -1.865176154983095, c_new = 4.9141669250205595
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13111.663756111024
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.983485219602897, b_new = -1.6011511188238403, c_new = 5.734674528395635
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3266.2838856133676
Acceptance probability: 6.265204646225835e-111
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9168284231217236, b_new = -1.8367645990204515, c_new = 5.622601620130727
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4282.354177361643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.690452284594473, b_new = -1.4402467890390747, c_new = 5.458256620097105
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11501.414190150821
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2525958016630248, b_new = -1.7270431711612162, c_new = 5.080524025371377
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4095.714375648356
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9245384011941282, b_new = -0.49889766347581377, c_new = 5.997145379310013
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3049.5903050457496
Acceptance probability: 8.049363975000869e-17
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.966278389877353, b_new = -1.8440912050285916, c_new = 5.5968394713615295
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3692.690633582798
Acceptance probability: 4.081667015839825e-296
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8810977028935207, b_new = -0.0949052398365815, c_new = 5.695163369327686
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3075.2098557720637
Acceptance probability: 6.016335635776939e-28
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.47903397731932, b_new = -2.095709222304639, c_new = 4.817243883348885
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7295.693444321368
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5910681170276804, b_new = -1.1109520991718538, c_new = 5.810858605495312
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8610.952630595308
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3333703560265397, b_new = -1.059643420475385, c_new = 5.945710205748212
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11619.984429743607
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.301507305149375, b_new = -0.9533250923630648, c_new = 5.433125819656481
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6878.298465974925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.276116895924136, b_new = -1.2711845217639506, c_new = 5.487729720156315
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5508.645058774406
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2552982287892425, b_new = -0.8993212657787071, c_new = 5.940781449542541
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6216.134206330545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5093406810874823, b_new = -0.8275307662035298, c_new = 6.578623630349499
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9017.148318728361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2183855968056885, b_new = -1.1645636391589054, c_new = 5.277062481724016
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4653.432681772867
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9943480647156937, b_new = -1.5992564719056257, c_new = 5.886430957462943
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3186.26528186838
Acceptance probability: 3.536497190311023e-76
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7859834347534287, b_new = -1.6101834423127255, c_new = 5.8095722686299185
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6033.557087092423
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.183813871497182, b_new = -2.1254401014336537, c_new = 6.580257485371949
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3217.243812132991
Acceptance probability: 1.243851590951838e-89
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.016889504321097, b_new = -1.5336860950569593, c_new = 6.041714161618785
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3054.391733677673
Acceptance probability: 6.614965836855109e-19
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.320499377143939, b_new = -0.45013332270852646, c_new = 6.34057634256148
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9108.787688024999
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7853540835656645, b_new = -1.7573194433131925, c_new = 4.9703348197476105
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6770.546690386811
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7985040397929777, b_new = -1.462422400798357, c_new = 5.6347551232507245
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5468.818268014585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6029671736828774, b_new = -0.8083642573806509, c_new = 5.316745551493465
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7824.774735162751
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.101156390605958, b_new = -0.24094918146339428, c_new = 4.725518691515325
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12545.809978193653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4680212377660724, b_new = -1.0386595577906683, c_new = 6.0484353255270635
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10147.42398455944
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.485870313904739, b_new = -1.4142060927859048, c_new = 5.972368873215799
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9429.027600733873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.68901497702044, b_new = -0.4626144325643706, c_new = 6.007253192808939
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5094.767302555321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.096607093174853, b_new = -1.5681200138269582, c_new = 6.273575403979527
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3101.309814249883
Acceptance probability: 2.7814042351455108e-39
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6861233476530737, b_new = -1.0567283085668289, c_new = 6.318852279004144
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6462.694558566004
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1310282312305557, b_new = -1.4460293089553684, c_new = 5.969375521987844
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3347.6262425554028
Acceptance probability: 2.953918415965131e-146
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.73157982093338, b_new = -1.6535579213573923, c_new = 5.983626740983778
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7235.066555180249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.1057889577238225, b_new = -1.269954902981862, c_new = 6.16995577096058
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14351.443406183458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1777617054499516, b_new = -0.7743302984972715, c_new = 4.916091340144658
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4690.915517184221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.54976872046463, b_new = -1.5468249469453599, c_new = 6.81464861473688
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9860.204768097266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7985002271610147, b_new = -1.645575941005605, c_new = 5.768749657023355
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5884.041615772992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1203501413725236, b_new = -2.253267657724693, c_new = 6.283918357240337
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14276.994724084492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2653528681525774, b_new = -0.02632247955846867, c_new = 5.621485461404894
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8872.978394843447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5551563561121236, b_new = -1.452335257890685, c_new = 6.279315816422174
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9768.425631257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.799530135753084, b_new = -2.0755063995789342, c_new = 5.485761710088246
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7163.235983120083
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.104023034842072, b_new = -1.5580782015786196, c_new = 5.956237621350062
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14015.028122334206
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.066252256668957, b_new = -0.29927937467420673, c_new = 5.068276622226889
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3998.551658580851
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7673205153848994, b_new = -0.8560214101742547, c_new = 7.165340680135216
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13363.606378673157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.653583399063823, b_new = -0.45992919052304215, c_new = 6.8492639447178725
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13041.832996823221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9177985034572043, b_new = -0.8683404212419257, c_new = 5.52189749709162
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3147.2192813430593
Acceptance probability: 3.206534270696747e-59
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801594645817769, b_new = -0.9395319625258274, c_new = 5.458361704334751
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4357.177174642138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6841199995354414, b_new = -1.155488175722534, c_new = 5.859262767331764
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6921.628755055743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.866746082563195, b_new = -2.3008007700579745, c_new = 5.687732550384393
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6251.316931416513
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9297154989301495, b_new = -1.8130855590924366, c_new = 6.52823066612976
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3873.2666018572504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0521081955347906, b_new = -1.9135708888741556, c_new = 5.274288828661136
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3167.118972901889
Acceptance probability: 7.306504403021945e-68
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2959703266178724, b_new = -1.538925076220427, c_new = 5.151783290602981
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12806.392050287572
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.468702387380617, b_new = -0.7013297475513935, c_new = 6.241261768476472
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9426.656495374367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6372141709170775, b_new = -0.8168268200094295, c_new = 4.960341236298763
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7307.628998162923
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7693081960821098, b_new = -1.928332428566212, c_new = 5.418967993321842
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7428.550668121984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8216595095328323, b_new = -1.1247129158976445, c_new = 6.38690102799864
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4190.4865286217
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.506639320302594, b_new = -0.9853891761653153, c_new = 6.2025625911704125
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9496.855005483338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4972034049379714, b_new = -1.7098524227209635, c_new = 6.274783121332539
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9048.741866298316
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.591152155566941, b_new = -1.5530722534223391, c_new = 5.4047393829453085
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9777.645319559575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4283241730987855, b_new = -1.7059191768732842, c_new = 5.853219817684469
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11812.635378264014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3706692434932406, b_new = -1.000271096706506, c_new = 5.7002357439924625
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11254.385689091298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1122518748306267, b_new = -1.162251411596116, c_new = 4.946558058407543
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3345.1822240279494
Acceptance probability: 3.4026889953657484e-145
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.419513548560545, b_new = -1.4725076917893456, c_new = 5.519474265306965
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7968.254194443909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3832474997747246, b_new = -1.0995523235517108, c_new = 5.951961332439492
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8410.621095130287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.40000604746275, b_new = -0.6874802551829852, c_new = 6.034200945478929
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9780.558495446201
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0162394146735005, b_new = -2.004452173843136, c_new = 5.729767463419621
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14584.566443564228
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.850956844578891, b_new = -1.9297231150839311, c_new = 5.975566550507223
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5488.82918406237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.184969294134077, b_new = -1.211901493281772, c_new = 6.601855968837646
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4398.748019648267
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.200158332521645, b_new = -1.0576820127792927, c_new = 5.862982746747504
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4738.888716946594
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4282239661259544, b_new = -1.9659916118191831, c_new = 6.043344106580553
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12164.734052301614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.437674338555972, b_new = -0.7653461770969303, c_new = 5.9344921657886305
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10035.322964342236
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.573297814684985, b_new = -1.5067395169808349, c_new = 6.20009928248696
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9655.968277489994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2139808658573683, b_new = -0.8837103490481002, c_new = 5.7593811738880225
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5344.58689401088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.780609764025323, b_new = -1.909065626122235, c_new = 5.3267959691892806
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11532.046696464156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.51630249648315, b_new = -1.7598083702491663, c_new = 5.727427453088774
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11048.298246214063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4445502196659303, b_new = -2.3141449487060033, c_new = 5.148067091655849
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12822.875300425347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.396285877678059, b_new = -0.7741663051713581, c_new = 5.498718103812287
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10662.585078895137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0321352733255384, b_new = -0.7307791131181962, c_new = 6.54462239933784
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3386.312957515907
Acceptance probability: 4.6662893586740956e-163
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8036304604982667, b_new = -1.584900937057299, c_new = 6.590245122618921
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12483.635226234106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.140674887520296, b_new = -1.1761697006988874, c_new = 5.590286205346623
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3673.938309210482
Acceptance probability: 5.686808051756761e-288
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Best coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Maximum likelihood: -3011.3995854696714